Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “patterns in complex systems”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,027 records · Page 57

Evaluating Offshore Infrastructure Integrity

Drilling in the offshore environment involves a complex network of infrastructure including pipelines, platforms, rigs, subsea installations, ports, and terminals. Government and industry partners have developed this network over many decades and it remains a critical part of the United States (U.S.) energy portfolio. Many of the major components of this system have been designed with a 20- to 30-year lifespan, yet consistent and growing energy demands support the need to extend the design life of existing infrastructure or repurpose it for secondary needs (i.e. enhanced oil recovery, carbon storage, and new wells). As a result, a growing portion of the offshore infrastructure in the U.S. is approaching or has exceeded its original design life. A critical step in ensuring the continued safe and effective operation of offshore infrastructure is developing a comprehensive understanding of the state of offshore infrastructure and the factors that effect it. The purpose of this project is to assess the current state of existing infrastructure and identify the factors involved in infrastructure degradation through the development and application of big data analytics, machine learning, and advanced spatio-temporal analysis. The project leverages existing data at NETL and combines it with new information on offshore oil and gas structures and the ambient offshore environment in an effort to identify patterns associated with infrastructure integrity. Building on the identified trends and patterns, this project incorporates exploratory analytics and spatial analysis tools in conjunction with machine learning and statistical models to characterize the condition of existing platforms in the offshore environment and predict their risk of failure.

02 PETROLEUM↗

An interactive machine learning platform for analyzing multi-particle coincidence data from cold target recoil ion momentum spectroscopy

We present SCULPT (Supervised Clustering and Uncovering Latent Patterns with Training), a comprehensive software platform for analyzing tabulated high-dimensional multi-particle coincidence data from Cold Target Recoil Ion Momentum Spectroscopy (COLTRIMS) experiments. The software addresses critical challenges in modern momentum spectroscopy by integrating advanced machine learning techniques with physics-informed analysis in an interactive web-based environment. SCULPT implements uniform manifold approximation and projection for non-linear dimensionality reduction to reveal correlations in high-dimensional data. We also discuss potential extensions to deep autoencoders for feature learning and genetic programming for automated discovery of physically meaningful observables. A novel adaptive confidence scoring system provides quantitative reliability assessments by evaluating user-selected clustering quality metrics with predefined weights that reflect each metric’s robustness. The platform features configurable molecular profiles for different experimental systems, interactive visualization with selection tools, and comprehensive data filtering capabilities. Utilizing a subset of SCULPT’s capabilities, we analyze photo-double-ionization data measured using the COLTRIMS method for three-body dissociation of the D 2 O molecule, revealing distinct fragmentation channels and their correlations with physics parameters. The software’s modular architecture and web-based implementation make it accessible to the broader atomic and molecular physics community, significantly reducing the time required for complex multi-dimensional analyses. This opens the door to finding and isolating rare events exhibiting non-linear correlations on the fly during experimental measurements, which can help steer exploration and improve the efficiency of experiments.

Artificial neural networks↗

NASA Taxonomies for Searching Problem Reports and FMEAs

Many types of hazard and risk analyses are used during the life cycle of complex systems, including Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA), Hazard Analysis, Fault Tree and Event Tree Analysis, Probabilistic Risk Assessment, Reliability Analysis and analysis of Problem Reporting and Corrective Action (PRACA) databases. The success of these methods depends on the availability of input data and the analysts knowledge. Standard nomenclature can increase the reusability of hazard, risk and problem data. When nomenclature in the source texts is not standard, taxonomies with mapping words (sets of rough synonyms) can be combined with semantic search to identify items and tag them with metadata based on a rich standard nomenclature. Semantic search uses word meanings in the context of parsed phrases to find matches. The NASA taxonomies provide the word meanings. Spacecraft taxonomies and ontologies (generalization hierarchies with attributes and relationships, based on terms meanings) are being developed for types of subsystems, functions, entities, hazards and failures. The ontologies are broad and general, covering hardware, software and human systems. Semantic search of Space Station texts was used to validate and extend the taxonomies. The taxonomies have also been used to extract system connectivity (interaction) models and functions from requirements text. Now the Reconciler semantic search tool and the taxonomies are being applied to improve search in the Space Shuttle PRACA database, to discover recurring patterns of failure. Usual methods of string search and keyword search fall short because the entries are terse and have numerous shortcuts (irregular abbreviations, nonstandard acronyms, cryptic codes) and modifier words cannot be used in sentence context to refine the search. The limited and fixed FMEA categories associated with the entries do not make the fine distinctions needed in the search. The approach assigns PRACA report titles to problem classes in the taxonomy. Each ontology class includes mapping words - near-synonyms naming different manifestations of that problem class. The mapping words for Problems, Entities and Functions are converted to a canonical form plus any of a small set of modifier words (e.g. non-uniformity NOT + UNIFORM.) The report titles are parsed as sentences if possible, or treated as a flat sequence of word tokens if parsing fails. When canonical forms in the title match mapping words, the PRACA entry is associated with the corresponding Problem, Entity or Function in the ontology. The user can search for types of failures associated with types of equipment, clustering by type of problem (e.g., all bearings found with problems of being uneven: rough, irregular, gritty ). The results could also be used for tagging PRACA report entries with rich metadata. This approach could also be applied to searching and tagging failure modes, failure effects and mitigations in FMEAs. In the pilot work, parsing 52K+ truncated titles (the test cases that were available), has resulted in identification of both a type of equipment and type of problem in about 75% of the cases. The results are displayed in a manner analogous to Google search results. The effort has also led to the enrichment of the taxonomy, adding some new categories and many new mapping words. Further work would make enhancements that have been identified for improving the clustering and further reducing the false alarm rate. (In searching for recurring problems, good clustering is more important than reducing false alarms). Searching complete PRACA reports should lead to immediate improvement.

Malin, Jane T.↗

Multimodal Nondestructive Dry Cask Basket Structure and Spent Fuel Evaluation

This NEUP-IRP assembled a team from diverse institutions and a diverse set of expertise to examine the problem of assessing the structural health of dry nuclear fuel storage casks, specifically the TN-32 design. With no physical access designed into these storage casks and the high cost and risk associated with opening casks for direct inspection, the technical difficulty of structural assessment of the basket structure and fuel assemblies is high. In response to this challenge, this IRP brought together experts in both traditional and novel NDE methodologies: active acoustics (University of Mississippi), emissions tomography (University of Florida), muon tomography (Oregon State University), and passive-active ultrasonics (University of South Carolina). Further, our industry partners in the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) and AREVA provided invaluable insight into technical design details for the cask, practical knowledge of operating parameters at a storage facility, and key relationships that enabled activities unforeseen at the time of the proposed work but were critical in guiding the path of the research. The team decided early in the project that we had a collective goal of laying the technical ground work for practical solutions that could be implemented in the field with reasonable cost, time, and reliability. A fortunate opportunity arose early in this IRP project to obtain access to a new TN-32 cask at Columbiana High Tech. Both acoustics teams were given access for testing concepts in the first year of the project. This ended up providing critical guidance in the design of subsequent laboratory experiments. Specifically, it became clear that the only reliable acoustic pathways to the interior were through the trunnions, base plate, and top ring of the cask. Based on these field tests and discussions about what would be of practical interest, the team as a whole decided a realistic goal was to detect catastrophic failure of a single fuel assembly, or one that was missing. It is clear from this work that the active acoustics / resonance and muon tomography methodologies would be capable of detecting interior structural integrity problems at this level. The other two areas of investigation (emissions tomography and passive/active ultrasonics) would need more testing to determine a successful implementation, but each may also have other applications such as long term monitoring and monitoring during transportation. This IRP project resulted in technical advances with applications that extend beyond the problem at hand, supported the training of 10 graduate students + 1 post doc, 21 publications, and 13 conference presentations. The remainder of this summary highlights significant activities and achievements in each of the methodologies and a brief discussion on how they can be combined to leverage strengths. Active Acoustics The active acoustics team at UM used both linear and non-linear structural resonance methods to infer information about the internal structure of a cask. Significant activities were a set of four field test measurements on a full scale TN-32 cask at the Columbiana Hi Tech facility in Greensboro, NC and the design and fabrication of a 1/6th scale model TN-32 cask for laboratory measurements. A significant set of acoustic data has been acquired on both the full scale and laboratory scale casks. It was determined early in the project that mechanical resonance techniques were not going to be sensitive to small scale (centimeter) cracks and structural defects in the basket structure or fuel assemblies. We were able to ascertain that both the energy and complexity of the resonance spectra were sensitive to “bulk state” of the fuel assemblies – an intact assembly versus a severely degraded assembly. By developing a novel combination of metrics, we are able to measure a statistically significant shift due to one out of the 32 fuel assemblies being either missing or degraded to a point of complete loss of structural coherence (i.e. “rubble”). We believe this combination of resonance metrics is new to the field and will have applications beyond the fuel storage problem. Emissions Tomography The Emissions Tomography team at the University of Florida explored the concept of using scattering of radiation emissions from the stored fuel as method of evaluating the internal structural health of the cask. Due to the need for emissive fuel assemblies and the difficulties of gaining access to storage facilities, this team primarily relied on simulations to inform feasibility. A key question was the flux estimates of neutrons with a small enough number of scattering events to retain spatial information. Some key conclusions from the transmission component of this work are that the number of scattering events falls rapidly with energy – setting a 11MeV threshold, the average number of scattering events is 8∓4. Rough estimates of scanning times using an ideal detector array would be 1 week. The team also explored the case of significant structural failure resulting in a shift of the source material (fuel). The result is that a +/- 2% mass shift results in a detectable (5.13%) shift in the correlated 2 neutron emission counts and thus may be a candidate as an initial survey. Finally, simulations for predicting the azimuthal dependence of the flux based on specific loading patterns were conducted. Due to self-shielding effects of the assemblies, a periodic pattern results and could potentially be used to identify missing or severely degraded assemblies. This work forms a basis for proper detector placement with the goal of optimizing sensitivity. Muon Tomography Muon tomography (MT) is a relatively novel method of interrogating interior structure on a large scale. One of the advantages of this technique is that the exciting energy source (cosmic muons) is ubiquitous and relatively stable in time. Challenging aspects are relatively low flux rates and appropriate detector technologies. The efforts of the muon group at Oregon State University focused on two areas: (1) simulation of various combinations of muon scattering events and detection schemes to assess sensitivities and time scales for image construction and (2) building a prototype muon detection system applicable to the dry storage cask problem as well as many other similar systems. Significant accomplishments in this area are: (1) demonstration that MT is a viable method for detecting missing or severely degraded rod assemblies, (2) a scintillation based detector with 4 panels and 32 channels of position data each were constructed, tested, and calibrated. Testing of the panels using natural muon background and no scattering objects yielded largely expected results – a straight line path for the muon through the four panels. However some anomalies (paths deviating from a line) were also detected. A redesign of the board improved the signal which greatly improved the muon tracking through the panels. Testing with lead bricks as scattering bodies showed a reduction in the coincidence rate with increasing bricks indicating increased scattering events. A refinement of the scintillator detector design resulted in a spatial image resolution of around 2 cm based on lead brick spacing tests lasting 24 hours. Passive/Active Ultrasonics This team at the University of South Carolina investigated the feasibility of combining passive ultrasonics, in which an elastic pulse is generated by a degradation process (such as a crack extending), and active ultrasonics, in which a known excitation is introduced into the structure and detected by an array of transducers. Significant accomplishments in this area include the development of elastic wave propagation simulation in relevant materials, development of diagnostic algorithms, and laboratory testing and validation using laser doppler vibrometry. This group demonstrated the applicability of various non-contact vibration detection methodologies such as air-coupled ultrasonic transducers and scanning laser doppler vibrometry. While passive acoustic emissions monitoring will likely have a role during the transportation of a fuel storage cask, the level of detailed information about the defect generating the event which can be ascertained from the detections in a complex structure remains for future work. Thermography The EPRI team contributed early in the project a series of thermography measurements in which various levels of water pooled in a mock-up canister were analyzed using commercially available infrared imaging technologies. While large levels of water (100 L, ~10 cm deep) were observable in the thermograms, more realistic levels of pooled water (1 L) were not detectable whether localized or distributed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Imaging the magnetic nanowire cross section and magnetic ordering within a suspended 3D artificial spin-ice

Artificial spin-ice systems are patterned arrays of magnetic nanoislands arranged into frustrated geometries and provide insight into the physics of ordering and emergence. The majority of these systems have been realized in two-dimensions, mainly due to the ease of fabrication, but with recent developments in advanced nanolithography, three-dimensional artificial spin ice (ASI) structures have become possible, providing a new paradigm in their study. Such artificially engineered 3D systems provide new opportunities in realizing tunable ground states, new domain wall topologies, monopole propagation, and advanced device concepts, such as magnetic racetrack memory. Direct imaging of 3DASI structures with magnetic force microscopy has thus far been key to probing the physics of these systems but is limited in both the depth of measurement and resolution, ultimately restricting measurement to the uppermost layers of the system. In this work, a method is developed to fabricate 3DASI lattices over an aperture using two-photon lithography, thermal evaporation, and oxygen plasma exposure, allowing the probe of element-specific structural and magnetic information using soft x-ray microscopy with x-ray magnetic circular dichroism (XMCD) as magnetic contrast. The suspended polymer–permalloy lattices are found to be stable under repeated soft x-ray exposure. Analysis of the x-ray absorption signal allows the complex cross section of the magnetic nanowires to be reconstructed and demonstrates a crescent-shaped geometry. Measurement of the XMCD images after the application of an in-plane field suggests a decrease in magnetic moment on the lattice surface due to oxidation, while a measurable signal is retained on sub-lattices below the surface.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Dilute Combustion Control Using Spiking Neural Networks

Dilute combustion with exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) in spark-ignition engines presents a cost-effective method for achieving higher levels of engine efficiency. At high levels of EGR, however, cycle-to-cycle variability (CCV) of the combustion process is exacerbated by sporadic occurrences of misfires and partial burns. Previous studies have shown that temporal deterministic patterns emerge at such conditions and certain combustion cycles have a significant influence over future events. Due to the complexity of the combustion process and the nature of CCV, harnessing all the deterministic information for control purposes has remained challenging even with physics based 0-D, 1-D, and high-fidelity computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models. In this study, we present a data-driven approach to optimize the combustion process by controlling CCV adjusting the cycle-to-cycle fuel injection quantity. Readily available data from in-cylinder pressure was used to train a spiking neural network (SNN) which learns the optimal way to manage fuel injection in order to reduce CCV while maintaining acceptable levels of fuel consumption. SNNs are particularly well suited for powertrain control applications due to their ability to be deployed on FPGA-based neuromorphic hardware which are small, inexpensive, and have a low power demand. The high-performance computing (HPC) resources of Oak Ridge National Laboratory were used to run an evolutionary-based training approach for choosing the best SNN configuration that minimizes the size of the network while achieving the desired goal. The neuromorphic hardware with the optimized SNN deployed was connected to the rapid prototyping engine control system for real-time control implementation and tested on a single cylinder version of a GM LNF 4-cylinder engine. The results show a significant reduction of CCV with a small percentage of additional fuel used to stabilize the charge.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

An XML Representation for Crew Procedures

NASA ensures safe operation of complex systems through the use of formally-documented procedures, which encode the operational knowledge of the system as derived from system experts. Crew members use procedure documentation on the ground for training purposes and on-board space shuttle and space station to guide their activities. Investigators at JSC are developing a new representation for procedures that is content-based (as opposed to display-based). Instead of specifying how a procedure should look on the printed page, the content-based representation will identify the components of a procedure and (more importantly) how the components are related (e.g., how the activities within a procedure are sequenced; what resources need to be available for each activity). This approach will allow different sets of rules to be created for displaying procedures on a computer screen, on a hand-held personal digital assistant (PDA), verbally, or on a printed page, and will also allow intelligent reasoning processes to automatically interpret and use procedure definitions. During his NASA fellowship, Dr. Simpson examined how various industries represent procedures (also called business processes or workflows), in areas such as manufacturing, accounting, shipping, or customer service. A useful method for designing and evaluating workflow representation languages is by determining their ability to encode various workflow patterns, which depict abstract relationships between the components of a procedure removed from the context of a specific procedure or industry. Investigators have used this type of analysis to evaluate how well-suited existing workflow representation languages are for various industries based on the workflow patterns that commonly arise across industry-specific procedures. Based on this type of analysis, it is already clear that existing workflow representations capture discrete flow of control (i.e., when one activity should start and stop based on when other activities start and stop), but do not capture the flow of data, materials, resources or priorities. Existing workflow representation languages are also limited to representing sequences of discrete activities, and cannot encode procedures involving continuous flow of information or materials between activities.

Simpson, Richard C.↗

Deriving Severe Hail Likelihood from Satellite Observations and Model Reanalysis Parameters using a Deep Neural Network

Geostationary satellite imagers, such as those of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) series, have been observing severe convection at 15–60-minute intervals for over 40 years. When properly assessed, such a data record can be valuable in efforts of estimating severe storm risk throughout the diurnal cycle based on automated detection of patterns consistently found atop severe storms. Furthermore, environmental conditions favorable for severe weather are well-known and are thought to be represented well by modern reanalysis products. Promoting resilience against such hazards on local and global scales is a chief goal the NASA Disasters program, which seeks to encourage use of satellite observations to mitigate risk. For instance, hail is the costliest severe weather hazard across the globe in terms of insured loss, but reporting inconsistencies for hail events globally make it difficult to develop models that can quantify the risk. Satellite observation and model reanalysis taken together have the potential to, with reasonable skill and specificity, characterize environmental conditions that are favorable for hazardous weather, and thereby enable creation of hazard climatologie. Such climatologies are particularly useful over regions without extensive radar networks or storm reporting. By mapping the multivariate combination of observed cloud features and reanalysis environmental parameters/indices to United States Next Generation Weather Radar (NEXRAD) radar-estimated Maximum Expected Size of Hail (MESH) by way of a deep neural network (DNN), estimates of likelihood for potentially severe hail can be produced. Such estimates are of greater complexity and efficiency than could be performed with previous multivariate or logistic regression analyses for observed points within convective systems. Statistical distributions of convective parameters from satellite and reanalysis are shown to highlight non-severe/severe class separation for well-known hailstorm predictors, e.g., overshooting cloud top characteristics, deep-layer wind shear, mid-level stability, helicity, and convective inhibition. These complex, multivariate predictor relationships are exploited within a DNN, which can efficiently produce a quantitative hail risk metric with better than 70% detection rate and under 30% false alarms. These hail classifications can then be aggregated across the satellite record to yield a hazard climatology for hail frequency and severity – knowledge of which is of particular interest to those who manage risk (e.g., insurers) and are seeking opportunities to identify hail-prone regions, particularly in developing nations. This NASA study uses satellite observations and model parameters in a DNN to perform climatological hailstorm analysis in support of catastrophe model development, with the hope of promoting risk resilience particularly in regions without adequate weather radar coverage.

Passive Remote Sensing↗

Vertical Hydrologic Exchange Flows Control Methane Emissions from Riverbed Sediments

CH 4 emissions from inland waters are highly uncertain in the current global CH 4 budget, especially for streams, rivers, and other lotic systems. Previous studies have attributed the strong spatiotemporal heterogeneity of riverine CH 4 to environmental factors such as sediment type, water level, temperature, or particulate organic carbon abundance through correlation analysis. However, a mechanistic understanding of the basis for such heterogeneity is lacking. Here, in this study, we combine sediment CH 4 data from the Hanford reach of the Columbia River with a biogeochemical-transport model to show that vertical hydrologic exchange flows (VHEFs), driven by the difference between river stage and groundwater level, determine CH 4 flux at the sediment–water interface. CH 4 fluxes show a nonlinear relationship with the magnitude of VHEFs, where high VHEFs introduce O 2 into riverbed sediments, which inhibit CH 4 production and induce CH 4 oxidation, and low VHEFs cause transient reduction in CH 4 flux (relative to production) due to reduced advective CH 4 transport. In addition, VHEFs lead to the hysteresis of temperature rise and CH 4 emissions because high river discharge caused by snowmelt in spring leads to strong downwelling flow that offsets increasing CH 4 production with temperature rise. Our findings reveal how the interplay between in-stream hydrologic flux besides fluvial-wetland connectivity and microbial metabolic pathways that compete with methanogenic pathways can produce complex patterns in CH 4 production and emission in riverbed alluvial sediments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Unsupervised anomaly clustering via offset alignment in multivariate grid sensing data

Modern industries increasingly rely on multi-sensor technologies to acquire complex, high-dimensional data streams, enabling advanced monitoring and control systems. One critical application is online anomaly detection in electrical smart grids, where multivariate and multimodal sensing technologies play a vital role. However, detecting anomalies in such time-series data is challenging due to their inherent temporal dependencies and stochastic behavior. Traditional approaches based on supervised and semi-supervised learning methods depend on labeled datasets, which are often unavailable in real-world scenarios. While unsupervised methods have emerged as promising alternatives, these methods are highly susceptible to noise and outliers commonly present in sensing applications. Furthermore, deep learning-based anomaly detection methods, despite their performance, are often criticized for their black-box nature, limiting their applicability in safety-critical and online environments where interpretability and explainability are paramount. In this work, we propose an unsupervised anomaly clustering method leveraging a cyclic alignment-based offset detection algorithm for multivariate time-series signals. The proposed method is applied to multivariate data collected from vibrational, voltage, and magnetic field sensors deployed in a local grid substation. Our results demonstrate the robustness of the algorithm in accurately clustering various anomalies/events across different sensing modalities. Additionally, we compare the effectiveness of the proposed approach against a simple pattern-based anomaly detection method, which performs well for univariate data but fails to generalize to multivariate and multimodal time-series data.

Mukherjee, Subrata [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000309930338)↗

MEMS Microshutter Array System for James Webb Space Telescope

A complex MEMS microshutter array system has been developed at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) for use as a multi-object aperture array for a Near-Infrared Spectrometer (NIRSpec). The NIRSpec is one of the four major instruments carried by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), the next generation of space telescope after the Hubble Space Telescope retires. The microshutter arrays (MSAs) are designed for the selective transmission of light with high efficiency and high contrast. It is demonstrated in Figure 1 how a MSA is used as a multiple object selector in deep space. The MSAs empower the NIRSpec instrument simultaneously collect spectra from more than 100 targets therefore increases the instrument efficiency 100 times or more. The MSA assembly is one of three major innovations on JWST and the first major MEMS devices serving observation missions in space. The MSA system developed at NASA GSFC is assembled with four quadrant fully addressable 365x171 shutter arrays that are actuated magnetically, latched and addressed electrostatically. As shown in Figure 2, each MSA is fabricated out of a 4' silicon-on-insulator (SOI) wafer using MEMS bulk-micromachining technology. Individual shutters are close-packed silicon nitride membranes with a pixel size close to 100x200 pm (Figure 3). Shutters are patterned with a torsion flexure permitting shutters to open 90 degrees with a minimized mechanical stress concentration. In order to prevent light leak, light shields are made on to the surrounding frame of each shutter to cover the gaps between the shutters and the Game (Figure 4). Micro-ribs and sub-micron bumps are tailored on hack walls and light shields, respectively, to prevent sticktion, shown in Figures 4 and 5. JWST instruments are required to operate at cryogenic temperatures as low as 35K, though they are to be subjected to various levels of ground tests at room temperature. The shutters should therefore maintain nearly flat in the entire temperature range between 35K and 300K. Through intensive numerical simulations and experimental studies, an optically opaque and electrically conductive metal-nitride thin film was selected as a coating material deposited on the shutters with the best thermal-expansion match to silicon nitride - the shutter blade thin film material. A shutter image shown in Figure 6 was taken at room temperature, presenting shutters slightly bowing down as expected. Shutters become flat when the temperature decreases to 35K. The MSAs are then bonded to silicon substrates that are fabricated out of 6" single-silicon wafers in the thickness of 2mm. The bonding is conducted using a novel single-sided indium flip-chip bonding technology. Indium bumps fabricated on a substrate are shown in Figure 7. There are 180,000 indium bumps for bonding a flight format MSA array to its substrate. Besides a MSA, each substrate houses five customer-designed ASIC (Application Specific Integrated Circuit) multiplexer/address chips for 2-dimensional addressing, twenty capacitors, two temperature sensors, numbers of resistors and all necessary interconnects, as shown in Figure 8. Complete MSA quadrant assemblies have been successfully manufactured and fully functionally tested. The assemblies have passed a series of critical reviews required by JWST in satisfying all the design specifications. The qualification tests cover programmable 2-D addressing, life tests, optical contrast tests, and environmental tests including radiation, vibration, and acoustic tests. A 2-D addressing pattern with 'ESA' letters programmed in a MSA is shown in Figure 9. The MSAs passed 1 million cycle life tests and achieved high optical contrast over 10,000. MSA teams are now making progress in final fabrication, testing and assembly (Figure 10). The delivery of flight-format MSA system is scheduled at the end of 2008 for being integrated to the focal plane of the NIRSpec detectors.

Li, Mary J.↗

Editorial: Understanding the Causes of Asymmetries in Earth’S Magnetosphere-Ionosphere System

Geomagnetic activity observed in geospace, the upper atmosphere, and on the ground results from solar-terrestrial interactions. Such interactions correspond to the coupling between the solar wind, magnetosphere, and the thermosphere-ionosphere (MIT) system (Khazanov, 2016). However, given the complexity of the whole system and its large spatial scale and long-term solar variability, effects resulting from this coupling can be asymmetric. For example, inter-hemispherical asymmetric responses can arise when a hemisphere receives more energy than the other (e.g., Knipp et al., 2021; Pakhotin et al., 2021), local time effects can take place due to the occurrence of intense dawn-dusk interplanetary electric fields (e.g.,Haaland et al., 2017), and asymmetric geomagnetic field and mapping are caused by the Earth’s dipole offset and tilt (e.g., Laundal et al., 2017). The drivers that generate asymmetric MIT coupling response are generally recognized as long term: solar activity (Zhang et al., 2022) and dipole offset and tilt (Laundal et al., 2017); middle term: seasons (Lu et al., 2010); and short term: the y and z components of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) (Cowley, 1981; Li et al., 2011; Knipp et al., 2021). Thermospheric neutral mass density can present local time asymmetries associated with IMF By (Forster et al., 2017), and inter-hemispheric asymmetries can be generated by cross-hemispheric propagation of large-scale gravity waves (Bruinsma and Forbes, 2007). In addition, forcing from the mesosphere and lower thermosphere can generate inter-hemispheric neutral wind asymmetric patterns that can in turn asymmetrically impact neutral density in different hemispheres (Stober et al., 2021).

magnetosphere-ionophere coupling↗

DESSY: Making a real-time expert system robust and useful

As the complexity and expected life-span of modern space systems continue to increase, the need for real-time data monitoring and failure analysis becomes more critical to their successful operation. The DEcision Support SYstem (DESSY) is a joint effort by the Intelligent Systems Branch/ER2 and the Remote Manipulator System (RMS) Section/DF44 to develop an expert system for the monitoring of the Payload Deployment and Retrieval System (PDRS). DESSY users, the RMS flight controllers, are provided with user interface enhancements and automated monitoring of system state (physical orientation) and status (operational health). Currently, a DESSY prototype for the Manipulator Positioning Mechanism (MPM) and Manipulator Retention Latches (MRL) of the PDRS has been developed and successfully demonstrated during the STS-49 and STS-46 missions. Expert systems for monitoring real-time operations must not only accurately represent domain knowledge, but also address the challenges of using unfiltered real-time data as input. This paper describes the methods and design strategies developed to overcome problems with real-time data in the NASA Mission Control Center. Types of data problems addressed are as follows: (1) loss of data; (2) erratic data; and (3) data lags and irregularities during state transition. Methods used to handle data problems include rule disabling for ignoring data when data quality is uncertain, context-sensitive bounded pattern recognition for minimizing incorrect conclusions based on bad data, and graceful recovery through system correction when reliable data returns. This combination of methods with an object-based modular DESSY design assures a robust program capable of lengthy periods of uninterrupted use in operations.

Land, Sherry A.↗

A Recursive Multi-step Machine Learning Approach for Airport Configuration Prediction

Airport configuration selection is a complex decision-making process that involves several operational and human factors. In this paper we propose a novel recursive multi-step machine learning (ML) approach to predict airport configuration. The multi-step approach guarantees stability of the predicted configuration by taking as input the configuration predicted at the previous time step. The features of the proposed model include weather data, future arrival and departure counts and current configuration. Due to the importance of arrival and departure counts in predicting the airport configuration, arrival counts are calculated using landing time predictions selected from physics-based landing time predictions available in FAA System Wide Information Management data feeds for each flight. The selection rules were developed and refined to select the most accurate time for different phases of flight. The proposed model predicts the airport configurations up to 6 hours ahead. In this paper we show the predictive performance of the proposed model for six major US airports, including Charlotte Douglas International Airport (CLT), Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (DFW), John F. Kennedy International Airport (JFK), Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR), LaGuardia Airport (LGA) and Dallas Love Field Airport (DAL). We trained and evaluated models on 2019 and 2020 data in order to study the effect of the pandemic and how changes in traffic patterns affected the performance of the proposed model. Results are compared with a baseline assuming no airport configuration changes. In our results for DFW, we obtained a prediction accuracy of 89.3% for 3 hours ahead prediction, and 82.8% for 6 hours ahead when applied on 2019 data.

machine learning↗

A Recursive Multi-step Machine Learning Approach for Airport Configuration Prediction

Airport configuration selection is a complex decision-making process that involves several operational and human factors. In this paper we propose a novel recursive multi-step machine learning (ML) approach to predict airport configuration. The multi-step approach guarantees stability of the predicted configuration by taking as input the configuration predicted at the previous time step. The features of the proposed model include weather data, future arrival and departure counts and current configuration. Due to the importance of arrival and departure counts in predicting the airport configuration, arrival counts are calculated using landing time predictions selected from physics-based landing time predictions available in FAA System Wide Information Management data feeds for each flight. The selection rules were developed and refined to select the most accurate time for different phases of flight. The proposed model predicts the airport configurations up to 6 hours ahead. In this paper we show the predictive performance of the proposed model for six major US airports, including Charlotte Douglas International Airport (CLT), Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (DFW), John F. Kennedy International Airport (JFK), Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR), LaGuardia Airport (LGA) and Dallas Love Field Airport (DAL). We trained and evaluated models on 2019 and 2020 data in order to study the effect of the pandemic and how changes in traffic patterns affected the performance of the proposed model. Results are compared with a baseline assuming no airport configuration changes. In our results for DFW, we obtained a prediction accuracy of 89.3% for 3 hours ahead prediction, and 82.8% for 6 hours ahead when applied on 2019 data.

machine learning↗

I/O Access Patterns in HPC Applications: A 360-Degree Survey

The high-performance computing I/O stack has been complex due to multiple software layers, the inter-dependencies among these layers, and the different performance tuning options for each layer. In this complex stack, the definition of an “I/O access pattern” has been reappropriated to describe what an application is doing to write or read data from the perspective of different layers of the stack, often comprising a different set of features. It has become common to have to redefine what is meant when discussing a pattern in every new study, as no assumption can be made. This survey aims to propose a baseline taxonomy, harnessing the I/O community’s knowledge over the past 20 years. This definition can serve as a common ground for high-performance computing I/O researchers and developers to apply known I/O tuning strategies and design new strategies for improving I/O performance. We seek to summarize and bring a consensus to the multiple ways to describe a pattern based on common features already used by the community over the years.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A seamless approach for evaluating climate models across spatial scales

In regions of the world where topography varies significantly with distance, most global climate models (GCMs) have spatial resolutions that are too coarse to accurately simulate key meteorological variables that are influenced by topography, such as clouds, precipitation, and surface temperatures. One approach to tackle this challenge is to run climate models of sufficiently high resolution in those topographically complex regions such as the North American Regionally Refined Model (NARRM) subset of the Department of Energy’s (DOE) Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 2 (E3SM v2). Although high-resolution simulations are expected to provide unprecedented details of atmospheric processes, running models at such high resolutions remains computationally expensive compared to lower-resolution models such as the E3SM Low Resolution (LR). Moreover, because regionally refined and high-resolution GCMs are relatively new, there are a limited number of observational datasets and frameworks available for evaluating climate models with regionally varying spatial resolutions. As such, we developed a new framework to quantify the added value of high spatial resolution in simulating precipitation over the contiguous United States (CONUS). To determine its viability, we applied the framework to two model simulations and an observational dataset. We first remapped all the data into Hierarchical Equal-Area Iso-Latitude Pixelization (HEALPix) pixels. HEALPix offers several mathematical properties that enable seamless evaluation of climate models across different spatial resolutions including its equal-area and partitioning properties. The remapped HEALPix-based data are used to show how the spatial variability of both observed and simulated precipitation changes with resolution increases. This study provides valuable insights into the requirements for achieving accurate simulations of precipitation patterns over the CONUS. It highlights the importance of allocating sufficient computational resources to run climate models at higher temporal and spatial resolutions to capture spatial patterns effectively. Furthermore, the study demonstrates the effectiveness of the HEALPix framework in evaluating precipitation simulations across different spatial resolutions. This framework offers a viable approach for comparing observed and simulated data when dealing with datasets of varying spatial resolutions. By employing this framework, researchers can extend its usage to other climate variables, datasets, and disciplines that require comparing datasets with different spatial resolutions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗