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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,045 records · Page 58

Convolutional neural networks for intra-hour solar forecasting based on sky image sequences

Accurate and timely solar forecasts play an increasingly critical role in power systems. Compared to longer forecasting timescales, very short-term solar forecasting has lagged behind in both research and practice. In this paper, we propose deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to provide operational intra-hour (10-minute-ahead to 60-minute-ahead) solar forecasts. We develop two CNN structures inspired by a widely-used CNN architecture. The CNNs are tailored to our solar forecasting regression tasks and rely solely on sky image sequences. Case studies based on six years of data (over 150,000 data points) demonstrate that the best CNN model has forecast skill scores of 20%-39% over the naive persistence of cloudiness benchmark, even at these very short timescales. The CNNs also have consistently superior performance when compared to shallow machine learning models with meteorological predictors, where the improvement averages around 7%. The sensitivity analyses show that the sky image length, resolution, and weather conditions have impacts on the deep learning model accuracy. In our intra-hour problem with specific setups, two sky images with a 10-minute 128 x 128 resolution yield the most accurate forecasts. Current limitations, future work, and deployment challenges and solutions are also discussed.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Electrocatalytic water oxidation performance in an extended porous organic framework with a covalent alliance of distinct Ru sites

The rational synthesis of durable, earth-abundant efficient electrocatalysts for the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) from water is one of the most important routes for storing renewable energy and minimizing fossil fuel combustion. The prime hurdles for effectively utilizing commercial RuO 2 as (OER) electrocatalysts are its very low stability, catalyst deactivation, and high cost. In this work, we explored a Ru-integrated porous organic polymer (Ru@Bpy-POP) by a facile one-pot Friedel–Crafts alkylation strategy between redox-active (Ru(demob) 3 Cl 2 ) and a carbazole unit, which is composed of unique features including an extended framework unit, isolated active sites, and tunable electrode kinetics. Ru@Bpy-POP can serve as a bridge between a Metal–Organic Framework (MOF) and POP-based catalytic systems with a balanced combination of covalent bonds (structural stability) and open metal sites (single site catalysis). Ru@Bpy-POP, deposited on a three-dimensional nickel foam electrode support, exhibits a promising electrocatalytic OER activity with an ultra-low ruthenium loading compared to a benchmark RuO 2 catalyst, providing an overpotential of about 270 mV to reach 10 mA cm –2 in an alkaline medium. Moreover, a high current density of 248 mA cm –2 was achieved for the Ru@Bpy-POP catalyst at only 1.6 V (vs. RHE), which is much higher than 91 mA cm –2 for commercial RuO 2 . The robust, albeit highly conjugated, POP framework not only triggered facile electro-kinetics but also suppressed aggregation and metallic corrosion during electrolysis. In particular, the benefits of covalent integration of distinct Ru sites into the framework can modulate intermediate adsorption and charge density, which contributes to its exceptional OER activity. All of the critical steps involved in OER are complemented by Density Functional Theory (DFT) calculations, which suggest that electrocatalytic water oxidation proceeds from a closed-shell configuration to open-shell electronic configurations with high-spin states. Finally, these open-shell configurations are more stable than their closed-shell counterparts by 1 eV, improving the overall catalytic activity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

MCNP® Code Version 6.3.1 Release Notes

The Monte Carlo N-Particle® (MCNP® ) code is a general-purpose, continuous-energy, generalized-geometry, time-dependent, radiation transport code developed by the MCNP development team. MCNP calculations provide predictive capabilities that can replace expensive or impossible-to-perform experiments. Specific application problems include simulations of experimental diagnostics, intrinsic radiation, radiation detection and measurement, criticality safety, nuclear threat reduction and response, radiation health protection, nuclear weapons effects, and nuclear forensics. This MCNP code, version 6.3.1, follows the MCNP6.3.0 version. Since the release of MCNP6.3.0, a variety of bug fixes and code enhancements have been completed for MCNP6.3.1. A few new features have also been added to this release to support both ongoing research and the release of the latest ENDF/B-VIII.1 nuclear data library. The MCNP code, version 6.3.1, theory and user input information is documented in MCNP® Code Version 6.3.1 Theory & User Manual, the build guidance for various platforms is documented in MCNP® Code Version 6.3.1 Build Guide, and the verification and validation testing for various application benchmark test suites is documented in MCNP® Code Version 6.3.1 Verification & Validation Testing.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Ionic liquids improve the long-term stability of perovskite solar cells

Achieving operational stability in halide perovskite solar cells remains a critical challenge for commercialization. Ionic liquids are promising bulk modifiers, yet their mechanistic role in perovskite crystallization is poorly understood. Here we engineered an ionic liquid, methoxyethoxymethyl-1-methylimidazole chloride (MEM-MIM-Cl), with an ethylene glycol ether side chain that regulates perovskite growth and stabilizes buried interfaces via synergistic interactions with NiO x . MEM-MIM-Cl induces a novel intermediate phase through chelation with undercoordinated Pb(II), suppressing defects and defect-induced degradation. Solar cells incorporating MEM-MIM-Cl achieved a power conversion efficiency of 25.9% and retained 90% of their initial performance after 1,500 h under continuous 1-sun illumination and 90 °C thermal stress—surpassing prior benchmarks under milder ageing conditions. Furthermore, diurnal cyclic ageing revealed unprecedented fatigue resistance, highlighting the dual role of MEM-MIM-Cl in simultaneously enhancing efficiency and operational resilience. In conclusion, this work elucidates design principles for functional ionic liquids while advancing perovskite photovoltaics towards industrial viability.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Toward a Holistic Performance Evaluation of Large Language Models Across Diverse AI Accelerators

Artificial intelligence (AI) methods have become critical in scientific applications to help accelerate scientific discovery. Large language models (LLMs) are being considered a promising approach to address some challenging problems because of their superior generalization capabilities across domains. The effectiveness of the models and the accuracy of the applications are contingent upon their efficient execution on the underlying hardware infrastructure. Specialized Al accelerator hardware systems have recently become available for accelerating Al applications. However, the comparative performance of these AI accelerators on large language models has not been previously studied. In this paper, we systematically study LLMs on multiple AI accelerators and GPUs and evaluate their performance characteristics for these models. We evaluate these systems with (i) a micro-benchmark using a core transformer block, (ii) a GPT-2 model, and (iii) an 1,I,M-driven science use case, GenSLM. We present our findings and analyses of the models' performance to better understand the intrinsic capabilities of AI accelerators. Furthermore, our analysis takes into account key factors such as sequence lengths, scaling behavior, and sensitivity to gradient accumulation steps.

Emani, Murali↗

Observational Data for Next-Generation Climate Model Evaluation: Requirements, Considerations, and Best Practices

Climate model simulations are an important source of information about our planet’s climate system and also enable informed decision-making under different future scenarios. As a new archive of results from the next generation of climate models is anticipated to become available with the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 7 (CMIP7), the need to develop efficient and robust methods to evaluate models is paramount. Observations are an integral part of model evaluation, providing a means to quantify and understand the degree to which climate models can faithfully reproduce Earth system processes. Such analysis is critical for constraining climate projections, identifying areas of focus for model development, and assisting analysts in deciphering the utility of models for specific applications. Observations of Earth system come from a diversity of sources, span different space–time domains, and are produced by different communities, and each dataset features different data structures and formats, metadata standards, and its own unique uncertainties. Uncertainties in an observational dataset may stem from gaps in temporal and spatial coverage, instrumentation errors, or assumptions in retrieval and processing methods. How then does one ensure that observational data are ready for use and utilized in the most appropriate way for robust, rapid, and routine climate model evaluation? The CMIP7 Model Benchmarking Task Team with input from the broader climate modeling, model evaluation, and observational data communities present a vision and considerations for best practices toward the optimal and appropriate use of observational data to support next-generation climate model evaluation.

Climate models↗

Local strain redistribution corrections for a simplified inelastic analysis procedure based on an elastic finite-element analysis

Strain redistribution corrections were developed for a simplified inelastic analysis procedure to economically calculate material cyclic response at the critical location of a structure for life prediction proposes. The method was based on the assumption that the plastic region in the structure is local and the total strain history required for input can be defined from elastic finite-element analyses. Cyclic stress-strain behavior was represented by a bilinear kinematic hardening model. The simplified procedure predicts stress-strain response with reasonable accuracy for thermally cycled problems but needs improvement for mechanically load-cycled problems. Neuber-type corrections were derived and incorporated in the simplified procedure to account for local total strain redistribution under cyclic mechanical loading. The corrected simplified method was used on a mechanically load-cycled benchmark notched-plate problem. The predicted material response agrees well with the nonlinear finite-element solutions for the problem. The simplified analysis computer program was 0.3% of the central processor unit time required for a nonlinear finite-element analysis.

Kaufman, A.↗

Modeling Respiratory Toxicity of Authentic Lunar Dust

The lunar expeditions of the Apollo operations from the 60 s and early 70 s have generated awareness about lunar dust exposures and their implication towards future lunar explorations. Critical analyses on the reports from the Apollo crew members suggest that lunar dust is a mild respiratory and ocular irritant. Currently, NASA s space toxicology group is functioning with the Lunar Airborne Dust Toxicity Assessment Group (LADTAG) and the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) to investigate and examine toxic effects to the respiratory system of rats in order to establish permissible exposure levels (PELs) for human exposure to lunar dust. In collaboration with the space toxicology group, LADTAG and NIOSH the goal of the present research is to analyze dose-response curves from rat exposures seven and twenty-eight days after intrapharyngeal instillations, and model the response using BenchMark Dose Software (BMDS) from the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Via this analysis, the relative toxicities of three types of Apollo 14 lunar dust samples and two control dust samples, titanium dioxide (TiO2) and quartz will be determined. This will be executed for several toxicity endpoints such as cell counts and biochemical markers in bronchoaveolar lavage fluid (BALF) harvested from the rats.

Santana, Patricia A.↗

Ir–Ru Particles Enable Low-Loading Acidic Oxygen Evolution for Integrated Solar Devices

Integrated photoelectrochemical (PEC) devices for water splitting represent a compelling pathway for sustainable hydrogen production, directly converting solar energy into chemical fuels. While alkaline systems have achieved state-of-the-art solar-to-hydrogen (STH) efficiencies above 20% using earth-abundant catalysts, acidic PEC architectures provide unique advantages for compact device integration, fast proton transport, and stable operation under highly dynamic solar conditions. Proton-exchange membrane (PEM)-based configurations enable high current densities, low gas crossover, and rapid ionic response, making them especially well-suited for intermittent, bias-free PEC operation, despite alkaline electrolysis being more technologically mature. A critical limitation of acidic PEC systems remains, the oxygen evolution reaction (OER), which currently relies on scarce and costly iridium catalysts, restricting scalability. Here, in this study, we report a series of low-iridium mixed-metal oxide catalysts synthesized via a surfactant-assisted borohydride reduction method. An optimized Ir 0.5 Ru 0.5 O x catalyst exhibits exceptional intrinsic activity (>400 A g –1 Ir at 1.55 V vs RHE) in 0.1 M HClO 4 and maintains stable operation for over 10 days in an integrated PEC flow-cell. Sustained hydrogen production is achieved at 1.65 V with a total iridium loading of only 0.1 mg cm –2 , substantially below commercial PEM benchmarks. These results demonstrate a viable pathway toward scalable, high-performance acidic PEC hydrogen technologies.

Acidic electrolysis↗

Status of SAS4A/SASSYS-1 Software Development and Application (FY2024)

SAS4A/SASSYS-1 is a simulation tool used to perform deterministic analysis of anticipated events as well as design basis and beyond design basis accidents for advanced liquid-metal-cooled nuclear reactors. With its origin as SAS1A in the late 1960s, the SAS series of codes has been under continuous use and development for over fifty years. It has been identified as a critical element of safety analysis capabilities for the U.S. Department of Energy and is utilized within industry to perform the transient safety analyses required to support the licensing of Liquid Metal-cooled Fast Reactors (LMFRs). This report summarizes the code development and update activities carried out during FY2024. In FY2024, programmatic activities focused on key improvements to software useability, such as enhanced user interfaces for reactivity feedback modeling, improvements in stability/useability of the Code Manual, and improvements to the acceptance testing infrastructure, including automation of acceptance testing and generation of the Acceptance Testing Report. To support end user applications, an open training was held, a semi-public forum was maintained, and a practical benchmarking and validation matrix was developed which allowed limitations of existing testing capabilities to be assessed. The existing fuel models were also enhanced with improved modeling capabilities and testing for the oxide and annular fuel models.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

On local total strain redistribution using a simplified cyclic inelastic analysis based on an elastic solution

Strain redistribution corrections were developed for a simplified inelastic analysis procedure to economically calculate material cyclic response at the critical location of a structure for life prediction purposes. The method was based on the assumption that the plastic region in the structure is local and the total strain history required for input can be defined from elastic finite element analyses. Cyclic stress-strain behavior was represented by a bilinear kinematic hardening model. The simplified procedure has been found to predict stress-strain response with reasonable accuracy for thermally cycled problems but needs improvement for mechanically load cycled problems. This study derived and incorporated Neuber type corrections in the simplified procedure to account for local total strain redistribution under cyclic mechanical loading. The corrected simplified method was exercised on a mechanically load cycled benchmark notched plate problem. Excellent agreement was found between the predicted material response and nonlinear finite element solutions for the problem. The simplified analysis computer program used 0.3 percent of the CPU time required for a nonlinear finite element analysis.

Hwang, S. Y.↗

On local total strain redistribution using a simplified cyclic inelastic analysis based on an elastic solution

Strain redistribution corrections were developed for a simplified inelastic analysis procedure to economically calculate material cyclic response at the critical location of a structure for life prediction purposes. The method was based on the assumption that the plastic region in the structure is local and the total strain history required for input can be defined from elastic finite element analyses. Cyclic stress-strain behavior was represented by a bilinear kinematic hardening model. The simplified procedure has been found to predict stress-strain response with reasonable accuracy for thermally cycled problems but needs improvement for mechanically load cycled problems. This study derived and incorporated Neuber type corrections in the simplified procedure to account for local total strain redistribution under cyclic mechanical loading. The corrected simplified method was exercised on a mechanically load cycled benchmark notched plate problem. Excellent agreement was found between the predicted material response and nonlinear finite element solutions for the problem. The simplified analysis computer program used 0.3 percent of the CPU time required for a nonlinear finite element analysis.

Hwang, S. Y.↗

Coronal Physics and the Chandra Emission Line Project

With the launch of the Chandra X-ray Observatory, high resolution X-ray spectroscopy of cosmic sources has begun. Early, deep observations of three stellar coronal sources Capella, Procyon, and HR 1099 are providing not only invaluable calibration data, but also benchmarks for plasma spectral models. These models are needed to interpret data from stellar coronae, galaxies and clusters of galaxies, supernova, remnants and other astrophysical sources. They have been called into question in recent years as problems with understanding low resolution ASCA and moderate resolution Extreme Ultraviolet Explorer Satellite (EUVE) data have arisen. The Emission Line Project is a collaborative effort, to improve the models, with Phase I being the comparison of models with observed spectra of Capella, Procyon, and HR 1099. Goals of these comparisons are (1) to determine and verify accurate and robust diagnostics and (2) to identify and prioritize issues in fundamental spectroscopy which will require further theoretical and/or laboratory work. A critical issue in exploiting the coronal data for these purposes is to understand the extent, to which common simplifying assumptions (coronal equilibrium, negligible optical depth) apply. We will discuss recent, advances in our understanding of stellar coronae, in this context.

Brickhouse, N. S.↗

Online Self-Supervised Long-Range Scene Segmentation for MAVs

Recently, there have been numerous advances in the development of payload and power constrained lightweight Micro Aerial Vehicles (MAVs). As these robots aspire for high-speed autonomous flights in complex dynamic environments, robust scene understanding at long-range becomes critical. The problem is heavily characterized by either the limitations imposed by sensor capabilities for geometry-based methods, or the need for large-amounts of manually annotated training data required by data-driven methods. This motivates the need to build systems that have the capability to alleviate these problems by exploiting the complimentary strengths of both geometry and data-driven methods. In this paper, we take a step in this direction and propose a generic framework for adaptive scene segmentation using self-supervised online learning. We present this in the context of vision-based autonomous MAV flight, and demonstrate the efficacy of our proposed system through extensive experiments on benchmark datasets and real world field tests.

Matthies, Larry↗

Role of Dynamic Polarization Interactions in the Electrical Double Layer at Calcite (104) Interfaces with Aqueous Solutions

Reactions at mineral interfaces with aqueous solutions control many geochemical and biogeochemical processes in the Earth’s critical zone. At the molecular level, insights into important properties such as the structure of the electrical double layer (EDL) at specific mineral interfaces continue to improve due to the increasing fidelity of laboratory instrumentation and computational approaches. However, molecular simulation approaches suffer from limited reach into relevant scales of time, length, and system complexity. To span this gap, a novel hybrid approach that couples first principle plane-wave density functional theory (DFT) with classical DFT (cDFT) is demonstrated and applied to calcite (104) interfaces with various electrolytes. In this approach, a region of interest described using DFT interacts with the surrounding medium described using cDFT to arrive at a self-consistent ground state. Benchmarking against experimental observations and entirely first principle DFT simulations demonstrates that this hybrid model efficiently encompasses the key short-range and collective interactions in the EDL. Simulations of calcite (104)/solution interfaces reveal the key static and dynamic polarization interactions that give rise to structuring of ions and water. Ion hydration interactions have the strongest effect on the depth of the first minimum in the density distribution of counterions at the surface, and the position and width of the first density peak is largely determined by the strength of ion-correlation forces. Finer details of ion distributions are controlled by mutual polarization of the calcite surface and interfacial electrolyte. Finally, this new ability to efficiently and rigorously predict EDL structure at mineral surfaces in contact with complex solutions paves the way to accurately modeling sorption, nucleation, dissolution, and growth in realistic systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Frequency shifts in the electron paramagnetic resonance spectrum of 39 K due to spin-exchange collisions with polarized 3 He and precise 3 He polarimetry

The Zeeman splittings and electron paramagnetic resonance frequencies of alkali-metal atoms are shifted in the presence of a polarized noble gas. For a spherical geometry, the shift is enhanced over what is expected classically by a dimensionless atomic parameter 𝜅 0 that is unique to each alkali-metal-atom–noble-gas pair. Here, we present a precise measurement of 𝜅 0 for the 39 K − 3 He system with a relative accuracy of better than 1%. A critical component of achieving subpercent accuracy involved characterizing the shape of our samples using both MRI and CT medical-imaging techniques. The parameter 𝜅 0 plays an important role in establishing the absolute polarization of 3 He in a variety of contexts, including polarized targets for electron-scattering experiments and MRI of the gas space of the lungs. Our measurement more than doubles the accuracy possible when using 𝜅 0 for polarimetry purposes. Just as important, the work presented here represents a direct measurement of 𝜅 0 for the 39 K − 3 He system; previous values for 𝜅 0 in the 39 K − 3 He system relied on a chain of measurements that were benchmarked by previous measurements of 𝜅 0 in the Rb- 3 He system.

Zeeman effect↗

Preliminary verification of the MCNP perturbation and fixed-source tally sensitivity tools

Integral benchmark experiments are vital in the adjustment and validation of the nuclear data that govern predictive simulations across the nuclear community. The nuclear data sensitivity capabilities of the Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP ®) transport code are currently limited; however, expanding sensitivity capabilities will allow benchmark experiments to be designed to resolve compensating errors and adjust nuclear data where previously prohibitively difficult. This paper provides details of a preliminary verification for the use of (i.) the recently revised perturbation and (ii.) developmental fixed-source sensitivity tools within MCNP to calculate sensitivities of tallied responses (such as current integrated over a surface, F1, and flux averaged over a cell, F4) to nuclear data in fixed-source simulations. Energy-binned and energy-integrated sensitivities calculated with these tools are compared against sensitivities calculated using a central-difference approximation. Here, the verification is completed for four configurations of a benchmarked system using a 4.5-kg plutonium sphere surrounded by varying amounts of copper and/or polyethylene. The results show that sensitivities calculated with the perturbation and fixed-source sensitivity tools agree with the central-difference-based approach.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Statistical inference of anomalous thermal transport with uncertainty quantification for interpretive 2D SOL models

The critical task of inferring anomalous cross-field transport coefficients is addressed in simulations of boundary plasmas with fluid models. A workflow for parameter inference in the UEDGE fluid code is developed using Bayesian optimization with parallelized sampling and integrated uncertainty quantification. In this workflow, transport coefficients are inferred by maximizing their posterior probability distribution, which is generally multidimensional and non-Gaussian. Uncertainty quantification is integrated throughout the optimization within the Bayesian framework that combines diagnostic uncertainties and model limitations. As a concrete example, we infer the anomalous electron thermal diffusivity $\chi_\perp$ from an interpretive 2D model describing electron heat transport in the conduction-limited region with radiative power loss. The workflow is first benchmarked against synthetic data and then tested on H-, L-, and I-mode discharges to match their midplane temperature and divertor heat flux profiles. We demonstrate that the workflow efficiently infers diffusivity and its associated uncertainty, generating 2D profiles that match 1D measurements. Future efforts will focus on incorporating more complicated fluid models and analyzing transport coefficients inferred from a large database of experimental results.

Bayesian optimization↗