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Exploitation of a Validation Hierarchy for Modeling and Simulation

Across engineering there is an evolving need to increase reliance on physics-based simulation to develop, design and optimize engineering systems. This increased reliance on modeling and simulation has highlighted a growing need to transform the confidence that modeling and simulation analysts have in their results into credibility for systems engineers to design and field systems more quickly and with less physical testing. For isolated components of a complex system, where a single discipline may drive product design, this is less of a concern as the relationship is often straightforward and easy to explain. However, when these isolated components are integrated, and are expected to operate in a multi-disciplinary context in which safety critical systems are involved, new concepts and model assurance standards are required. In this paper we address this challenge by showing how a model validation hierarchy can be exploited to identify those model validation experiments that will contribute most to increasing confidence and credibility of modeling and simulation predictions. The approach that is adopted contains four main steps. The first step is the construction of a model validation hierarchy that links subsystems, assemblies, and components to a hierarchy of physical experiments that can be used support model validation. This hierarchy connects the concerns of systems engineers to those of the modeling and simulation analyst in a clear and logical way. The structure and content of this hierarchy is then used in a second step to establish which physical phenomena have the greatest impact on overall system performance metrics. A gap analysis technique, based upon modeling and simulation concerns, is then used to prioritize the important physical phenomenon. Unfortunately, a common outcome of such gap analyses is the identification of many important gaps and so, in the final step of our process, we advocate the use of a global sensitivity analysis as a means to complete the prioritization.

Verification and Validation↗

Recent Developments in the WEC-Sim Open-Source Design Tool: Preprint

WEC-Sim (Wave Energy Converter SIMulator) is an open-source code for simulating wave energy converters, which has been actively developed and applied to simulate a wide variety of device archetypes and has become a popular tool since its initial release in 2014. WEC-Sim is developed jointly by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) within the MATLAB/SIMULINK environment. Figure 1 illustrates a general wave-to-wire model which begins with a deployment site resource characterization, which is used to complete the hydrodynamic simulation of a single WEC (or array), with the power generation profile imported to a grid simulator to understand the influence on the local electrical network. While modelling the entire wave-to-wire is difficult and encompass multiple time scales and physics, WEC-Sim is focused on the hydrodynamics simulation to predict, analyze and optimize WEC dynamics and power performance. WEC-Sim simulations are performed in the time domain based on the radiation and diffraction method using hydrodynamics coefficients derived from boundary element method (BEM) based-frequency-domain potential flow solvers (e.g., WAMIT, NEMOH, Capytaine, or ANSYS-AQWA). Within this level of modeling fidelity, WEC-Sim can handle floating body hydrodynamics, mechanical and electrical power generation methods, advanced control implementation, mooring systems, and other unique applications such as desalination. Table 1 lists additional WEC-Sim functionalities, which are created using prebuilt Simulink blocks and MATLAB scripts that can simulate a wide range of floating systems and the corresponding auxiliary subsystems.

hydrodynamics modeling↗

New Developments and Capabilities Within WEC-Sim: Preprint

WEC-Sim is an open-source software for simulating wave energy converters, which has been actively developed and applied since its initial release in 2014 to simulate a wide variety of device archetypes. WEC-Sim is developed jointly by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia) within the MATLAB/SIMULINK environment. A general wave-to-wire model begins with a deployment site resource characterization, which is used to complete the hydrodynamic simulation of wave energy converters (WEC), with the power generation profile imported to a grid simulator to understand the influence on the local electrical network. While modeling the entire wave-to-wire is difficult and encompasses multiple time scales and physics, WEC-Sim is focused on the hydrodynamics simulation to predict, analyze, and optimize WEC dynamics and power performance. WEC-Sim simulations are performed in the time domain based on the radiation and diffraction method using hydrodynamics coefficients derived from boundary element method (BEM)-based frequency-domain potential flow solvers (e.g., WAMIT, NEMOH, Capytaine, or ANSYS-AQWA). With this level of modeling fidelity, WEC-Sim can handle floating body hydrodynamics, mechanical and electrical power generation methods, advanced control implementation, mooring systems, and other unique applications such as desalination. Additional WEC-Sim functionalities include pre-built Simulink blocks and MATLAB scripts that can simulate a wide range of floating systems and the corresponding auxiliary subsystems. The developers of WEC-Sim continue to release new versions of the software, at least annually, with our latest release in September 2022. These releases include bug fixes, updates to software documentation, as well as new features to expand WEC-Sim's capabilities to model a wide range of WEC concepts. This publication will highlight the new features added to WEC-Sim between versions 4.1.0 to 5.0.1 which spans over a two year period from June 2020 to September 2022. New features to be described will include topics such as continuous integration checks, revised Morison Element and nonlinear hydro implementations, run directly from Simulink (required for hardware-in-the-loop execution), BEMIO updates to import Capytaine BEM hydrodynamics, addition of cable blocks, and new wave visualization features.

TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Particle Swarm Optimisation for group structure optimization for radiotherapy shielding

Neutron transport simulations are ubiquitous in nuclear engineering because they allow one to model experimental systems and render a model platform for easy perturbation of experimental designs. In addition, simulations allow one to gain experimental insight without actually having to go through the trouble of building a physical experiment. Neutron transport simulations can be stochastic or deterministic based. Stochastic neutron transport simulations are typically simulated using the Monte Carlo method and yield very accurate solutions but are computationally expensive, while deterministic methods are typically faster but can be less accurate. Here we focus on optimizing the accuracy of deterministic neutron transport simulations for radiotherapy simulations. Deterministic neutron transport requires discretization of angle, energy, and space to appropriately analyze the system one is trying to model. Discretization of energy is challenging because of the highly variable neutron flux at certain neutron energies. Improper discretization of energy in the transport model can lead to erroneous results and therefore inaccurate interpretations of the solution. In this study, we evaluate Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) as a mechanism for selecting optimal group structures for radiotherapy shielding. We tested the particle swarm optimization algorithm on radiotherapy shielding problems using Los Alamos National Laboratory's (LANL) main deterministic transport code PARTISN. Results show that the optimized energy group structures generated from the optimization algorithm outperformed LANL's standard energy group structures, and therefore demonstrate utility in using PSO to expedite computation times due to the increased accuracy obtained with a smaller but optimized group structure. (authors)

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Single- and Multiple-Objective Optimization with Differential Evolution and Neural Networks

Genetic and evolutionary algorithms have been applied to solve numerous problems in engineering design where they have been used primarily as optimization procedures. These methods have an advantage over conventional gradient-based search procedures became they are capable of finding global optima of multi-modal functions and searching design spaces with disjoint feasible regions. They are also robust in the presence of noisy data. Another desirable feature of these methods is that they can efficiently use distributed and parallel computing resources since multiple function evaluations (flow simulations in aerodynamics design) can be performed simultaneously and independently on ultiple processors. For these reasons genetic and evolutionary algorithms are being used more frequently in design optimization. Examples include airfoil and wing design and compressor and turbine airfoil design. They are also finding increasing use in multiple-objective and multidisciplinary optimization. This lecture will focus on an evolutionary method that is a relatively new member to the general class of evolutionary methods called differential evolution (DE). This method is easy to use and program and it requires relatively few user-specified constants. These constants are easily determined for a wide class of problems. Fine-tuning the constants will off course yield the solution to the optimization problem at hand more rapidly. DE can be efficiently implemented on parallel computers and can be used for continuous, discrete and mixed discrete/continuous optimization problems. It does not require the objective function to be continuous and is noise tolerant. DE and applications to single and multiple-objective optimization will be included in the presentation and lecture notes. A method for aerodynamic design optimization that is based on neural networks will also be included as a part of this lecture. The method offers advantages over traditional optimization methods. It is more flexible than other methods in dealing with design in the context of both steady and unsteady flows, partial and complete data sets, combined experimental and numerical data, inclusion of various constraints and rules of thumb, and other issues that characterize the aerodynamic design process. Neural networks provide a natural framework within which a succession of numerical solutions of increasing fidelity, incorporating more realistic flow physics, can be represented and utilized for optimization. Neural networks also offer an excellent framework for multiple-objective and multi-disciplinary design optimization. Simulation tools from various disciplines can be integrated within this framework and rapid trade-off studies involving one or many disciplines can be performed. The prospect of combining neural network based optimization methods and evolutionary algorithms to obtain a hybrid method with the best properties of both methods will be included in this presentation. Achieving solution diversity and accurate convergence to the exact Pareto front in multiple objective optimization usually requires a significant computational effort with evolutionary algorithms. In this lecture we will also explore the possibility of using neural networks to obtain estimates of the Pareto optimal front using non-dominated solutions generated by DE as training data. Neural network estimators have the potential advantage of reducing the number of function evaluations required to obtain solution accuracy and diversity, thus reducing cost to design.

Rai, Man Mohan↗

X-ray FEL linear accelerator design via start-to-end global optimization

An X-ray Free Electron Laser (FEL) prefers using an electron beam with low emittance, small energy spread, and a high core current to generate coherent radiation through an undulator. In order to attain such a high brightness beam, the linear accelerator beam dynamics design generally involves separate photoinjector optimization and linac optimization. In this paper, we propose a new beam dynamics design strategy based on global optimization with fast start-to-end simulations from the photocathode to the end of the accelerator. The new start-to-end model significantly reduces the simulation time and makes the global optimization practical. The global optimization method avoids the need to choose a single solution based on bunch length at the injector exit for the linac optimization and helps find the solution with unfavorable bunch length at the injector exit but better phase space distribution that can result in better final electron beam phase space distribution at the entrance of the undulator. Here, using the start-to-end global optimization, we showed in an application example, with a 100 pC beam that good transverse emittance and over kilo-Ampere final core current can be attained using a photoinjector that consists of a VHF gun and boosting RF cavities.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Optimal Methanol Production via Sorption-Enhanced Reaction Process

To counter the equilibrium limitations in traditional methanol production from synthesis gas, a periodic and sorption-enhanced methanol synthesis process (SE-MeOH) with in situ removal of water byproduct is designed and optimized. A generalized reaction–adsorption modeling and simulation framework is coupled with a simulation-based constrained gray-box optimizer to obtain the optimal cycle configuration, design parameters, process specifications, and operating conditions. The best-case results indicate that SE-MeOH processes can break the barrier of the current limit of industrial methanol yield and improve it by 55–87% with a slight compromise (9–46%) on CH 3 OH production capacity. This trade-off is a result of periodic operation which is required for sorption enhancement. The techno-economic optimization of a base industrial reactor also leads to more than 7% improvement in methanol yield with only 2% decrease in production capacity while keeping the cost of syngas-to-methanol production competitive. The SE-MeOH system is further optimized through varying the feed specifications and number of reactor tubes. Furthermore, the results suggest that the synthesis gas composition, flow rate, and number of tubes are the major factors in determining methanol process performance.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Optimization-Based Data-Driven Approach for Detecting Fault Location in Power Systems

In grids with large penetration of converterinterfaced resources (CIRs), measurements of voltage, current, and line parameters can fluctuate significantly during fault conditions. These fluctuations, combined with complex network topologies and extensive system branching, make accurate fault location challenging. Faults, such as short circuits, can cause prolonged outages with serious socio-economic impacts, highlighting the need for rapid fault identification to minimize downtime. However, current fault detection methods—such as relays and digital fault recorders—often relay information too slowly, impeding swift corrective action. Given the limited availability of high-resolution phasor measurement units, this paper introduces an optimization-based observer to estimate fault locations, grid line parameters, and voltages using local CIR measurements. To preserve the confidentiality of CIRs and enhance estimation accuracy, this study uses a black-box model of CIRs. This bottom-up, event-driven approach can enhances protection and control systems through optimized and real-time fault detection. Simulation results show that the optimization-based data-driven observer can accurately detect fault locations and estimate grid states and parameters, providing valuable insights for utilities and operators in grid applications.

Subedi, Sunil [ORNL] (ORCID:000000034069090X)↗

DiaMonD: An Integrated Multifaceted Approach to Mathematics at the Interfaces of Data, Models, and Decisions

The major goal of the project was to invent, analyze, implement, and apply new algorithms to speed up the computational simulation of complex systems in settings in which multiple simulations are needed. The main efforts we undertook are as follows: 1. Develop novel reduced order methods to reduce the costs of simulations, especially in settings (e.g., UQ, inference, optimization and control) for which numerous simulation are needed and also for nonlocal problems (e.g., fractional derivative, anomalous diffusion, nonlocal mechanics) for which lack of sparsity results in more expensive full-order simulation than encountered in partial differential equations settings; rigorous analyses as well as computational tests were carried out, 2. Develop multifidelity methods based on the usage of a variety of models having different fidelities and different costs to accelerate simulations again in settings where numerous simulations are needed or are especially expensive; rigorous analyses as well as computational tests were carried out, 3. Develop ensemble methods to reduced the costs of simulations again in settings where numerous simulations are needed or are especially expensive; rigorous analyses as well as computational tests were carried out, and 4. Analyze a model for Richardson pair dispersion in turbulent flows and develop discretization methods for the efficient and accurate approximations of the solution of the model; rigorous analyses as well as computational tests were carried out.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Modeling and analysis of power processing systems: Feasibility investigation and formulation of a methodology

A review is given of future power processing systems planned for the next 20 years, and the state-of-the-art of power processing design modeling and analysis techniques used to optimize power processing systems. A methodology of modeling and analysis of power processing equipment and systems has been formulated to fulfill future tradeoff studies and optimization requirements. Computer techniques were applied to simulate power processor performance and to optimize the design of power processing equipment. A program plan to systematically develop and apply the tools for power processing systems modeling and analysis is presented so that meaningful results can be obtained each year to aid the power processing system engineer and power processing equipment circuit designers in their conceptual and detail design and analysis tasks.

Biess, J. J.↗

Optimization of MLS receivers for multipath environments

Optimal design studies of MLS angle-receivers and a theoretical design-study of MLS DME-receivers are reported. The angle-receiver results include an integration of the scan data processor and tracking filter components of the optimal receiver into a unified structure. An extensive simulation study comparing the performance of the optimal and threshold receivers in a wide variety of representative dynamical interference environments was made. The optimal receiver was generally superior. A simulation of the performance of the threshold and delay-and-compare receivers in various signal environments was performed. An analysis of combined errors due to lateral reflections from vertical structures with small differential path delays, specular ground reflections with neglible differential path delays, and thermal noise in the receivers is provided.

Mcalpine, G. A.↗

On the use of controls for subsonic transport performance improvement: Overview and future directions

Increasing competition among airline manufacturers and operators has highlighted the issue of aircraft efficiency. Fewer aircraft orders have led to an all-out efficiency improvement effort among the manufacturers to maintain if not increase their share of the shrinking number of aircraft sales. Aircraft efficiency is important in airline profitability and is key if fuel prices increase from their current low. In a continuing effort to improve aircraft efficiency and develop an optimal performance technology base, NASA Dryden Flight Research Center developed and flight tested an adaptive performance seeking control system to optimize the quasi-steady-state performance of the F-15 aircraft. The demonstrated technology is equally applicable to transport aircraft although with less improvement. NASA Dryden, in transitioning this technology to transport aircraft, is specifically exploring the feasibility of applying adaptive optimal control techniques to performance optimization of redundant control effectors. A simulation evaluation of a preliminary control law optimizes wing-aileron camber for minimum net aircraft drag. Two submodes are evaluated: one to minimize fuel and the other to maximize velocity. This paper covers the status of performance optimization of the current fleet of subsonic transports. Available integrated controls technologies are reviewed to define approaches using active controls. A candidate control law for adaptive performance optimization is presented along with examples of algorithm operation.

Gilyard, Glenn↗

Optimized Quantum Program Execution Ordering to Mitigate Errors in Simulations of Quantum Systems

Simulating the time evolution of a physical system at quantum mechanical levels of detail - known as Hamiltonian Simulation (HS) - is an important and interesting problem across physics and chemistry. For this task, algorithms that run on quantum computers are known to be exponentially faster than classical algorithms; in fact, this application motivated Feynman to propose the construction of quantum computers. Nonetheless, there are challenges in reaching this performance potential. Prior work has focused on compiling circuits (quantum programs) for HS with the goal of maximizing either accuracy or gate cancellation. Our work proposes a compilation strategy that simultaneously advances both goals. At a high level, we use classical optimizations such as graph coloring and travelling salesperson to order the execution of quantum programs. Specifically, we group together mutually commuting terms in the Hamiltonian (a matrix characterizing the quantum mechanical system) to improve the accuracy of the simulation. We then rearrange the terms within each group to maximize gate cancellation in the final quantum circuit. Furthermore, these optimizations work together to improve HS performance and result in an average 40% reduction in circuit depth. This work advances the frontier of HS which in turn can advance physical and chemical modeling in both basic and applied sciences.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A systematic study of minima in alanine dipeptide

The alanine dipeptide is a standard system to model dihedral angles in proteins. It is shown that obtaining the Ramachandran plot accurately is a hard problem because of many local minima; depending on the details of geometry optimizations, different Ramachandran plots can be obtained. To locate all energy minima, starting from geometries from MD simulations, 250,000 geometry optimizations were performed at the level of RHF/6-31G*, followed by re-optimizations of the located 827 minima at the level of MP2/6-311++G**, yielding 30 unique minima, most of which were not previously reported in literature. Both in vacuo and solvated structures are discussed. The minima are systematically categorized based on four backbone dihedral angles. The Gibbs energies are evaluated and the structural factors determining the relative stabilities of conformers are discussed. (c) 2018 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Investigation of the launch pad abort capabilities of the HL-20 lifting body

The capability of the HL-20 lifting body spacecraft to perform an abort maneuver from the launch pad to a horizontal landing was studied at NASA Langley Research Center. This study involved both piloted and batch simulation models of the vehicle. A point-mass model of the vehicle was used for trajectory optimization studies. The piloted simulation was performed in the Visual Motion Simulator in fixed-base mode. A candidate maneuver was developed and refined for the worst-case launch-pad-to-landing-site geometry using an iterative procedure of off-line maneuver analysis followed by piloted evaluations and heuristic improvements to the candidate maneuver. The resulting maneuver demonstrates the launch site abort capability of the HL-20 and dictates requirements for nominal abort motor performance. The sensitivity of the maneuver to variations in several design parameters was documented.

Jackson, E. B.↗

Launch-pad abort capabilities of the HL-20 lifting body

The capability of the HL-20 lifting body to perform an abort maneuver from the launch pad to a horizontal landing was studied. The study involved both piloted and batch simulation models of the vehicle. A point-mass model of the vehicle was used for trajectory optimization studies. The piloted simulation was performed in the Langley Visual/Motion Simulator in the fixed-base mode. A candidate maneuver was developed and refined for the worst-case launch-pad-to-landing-site geometry with an iterative procedure of off-line maneuver analysis followed by piloted evaluations and heuristic improvements to the candidate maneuver. The resulting maneuver demonstrates the launch-site abort capability of the HL-20 and dictates requirements for nominal abort-motor performance. The sensitivity of the maneuver to variations in several design parameters was documented.

Jackson, E. Bruce↗

Reliability and Productivity Modeling for the Optimization of Separated Spacecraft Interferometers

As technological systems grow in capability, they also grow in complexity. Due to this complexity, it is no longer possible for a designer to use engineering judgement to identify the components that have the largest impact on system life cycle metrics, such as reliability, productivity, cost, and cost effectiveness. One way of identifying these key components is to build quantitative models and analysis tools that can be used to aid the designer in making high level architecture decisions. Once these key components have been identified, two main approaches to improving a system using these components exist: add redundancy or improve the reliability of the component. In reality, the most effective approach to almost any system will be some combination of these two approaches, in varying orders of magnitude for each component. Therefore, this research tries to answer the question of how to divide funds, between adding redundancy and improving the reliability of components, to most cost effectively improve the life cycle metrics of a system. While this question is relevant to any complex system, this research focuses on one type of system in particular: Separate Spacecraft Interferometers (SSI). Quantitative models are developed to analyze the key life cycle metrics of different SSI system architectures. Next, tools are developed to compare a given set of architectures in terms of total performance, by coupling different life cycle metrics together into one performance metric. Optimization tools, such as simulated annealing and genetic algorithms, are then used to search the entire design space to find the "optimal" architecture design. Sensitivity analysis tools have been developed to determine how sensitive the results of these analyses are to uncertain user defined parameters. Finally, several possibilities for the future work that could be done in this area of research are presented.

Kenny, Sean↗

Optimal design of phase change material storage for steam production using annual simulation

A direct steam generation (DSG) solar collector can be an efficient process-heat application compared to electricity generation, and it can significantly reduce dependence on non-renewable energy sources for steam generation. Due to intermittency of the sun, thermal energy storage is required to increase the capacity factor or the yearly utilization of the system. For this study, phase change material (PCM) is used to store the heat from the steam produced in the solar collector. Sodium formate is selected as the PCM material on a cost basis. A detailed off-design analysis is carried to predict the annual performance of the system. Fins are used to enhance the thermal performance of the PCM, and an simplified method is derived to predict the required fin mass. With an increase in the number of fins, the thermal performance of the system increases significantly at design point. Furthermore the fins are expensive, so an annual simulation and techno-economic analysis is carried to calculate the optimal number of fins and other operating parameters.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗