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At least 1,045 records · Page 58

Characterizing the Influence of the General Circulation on Marine Boundary Layer Clouds

The seasonal and intraseasonal variability of boundary layer cloud in the subtropical eastern oceans are studied using combined data from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis. Spectral analysis reveals that most of the time variability of cloud properties occurs on seasonal to annual time scales. The variance decreases one to two orders of magnitude for each decade of time scale decrease, indicating that daily to monthly time scales have smaller, but non-negligible variability. The length of these dominant time scales suggests that the majority of the variability is influenced by the general circulation and its interaction with boundary layer turbulence, rather than a product of boundary layer turbulence alone. Previous datasets have lacked the necessary resolution in either time or in space to properly characterize variability on synoptic scales; this is remedied by using global satellite-retrieved cloud properties. We characterize the intraseasonal subtropical cloud variability in both hemispheres and in different seasons. In addition to cloud fraction, we examine variability of cloud optical thickness - cloud top pressure frequency distributions. Despite the large concentration of research on the variability of Northern Hemisphere (NH) regions during summer, it is noted that the largest amplitude intraseasonal variability in the NH regions occurs during local winter. The effect of intraseasonal variability on the calculation and interpretation of seasonal results is investigated. Decreases in seasonally averaged cloud cover, optical thickness and cloud top pressure from the May-through-September season to the November-through-March season are most apparent in the NH regions. Further analysis indicates that these changes are due to an increase in frequency, but a decrease in the persistence of synoptic events. In addition, changes in cloud top pressure and optical thickness characteristics from the summer to winter seasons indicate that the NH subtropics undergo a change in dynamic regime with season. This change appears in the cloud fields as a shift from the more commonly seen lower-altitude, thicker optical thickness clouds to higher-altitude, thinner clouds. The latter cloud-type is associated with the lower sea level pressure, upward vertical velocity phase of the synoptic wave. Intraseasonal changes in cloud properties in the Southern Hemisphere and NH summer are much smaller in amplitude. Although they also appear to be linked to changes in the large-scale dynamics, similarly to NH winter variations, the relationships are more ambiguous due to the small amplitudes and longer time scales. We attempt to interpret some of these relationships using the results of the Betts and Ridgway (1989) box model. However, these results cannot consistently explain the patterns when results from all regions are considered, implying that this model may not adequately explain all the processes involved in the variability.

Rozendaal, Margaret A.↗

Dynamic Turbulence Modelling in Large-eddy Simulations of the Cloud-topped Atmospheric Boundary Layer

The use of large eddy simulation, or LES, to study the atmospheric boundary layer dates back to the early 1970s when Deardor (1972) used a three-dimensional simulation to determine velocity and temperature scales in the convective boundary layer. In 1974 he applied LES to the problem of mixing layer entrainment (Deardor 1974) and in 1980 to the cloud-topped boundary layer (Deardor 1980b). Since that time the LES approach has been applied to atmospheric boundary layer problems by numerous authors. While LES has been shown to be relatively robust for simple cases such as a clear, convective boundary layer (Mason 1989), simulation of the cloud-topped boundary layer has proved more of a challenge. The combination of small length scales and anisotropic turbulence coupled with cloud microphysics and radiation effects places a heavy burden on the turbulence model, especially in the cloud-top region. Consequently, over the past few decades considerable effort has been devoted to developing turbulence models that are better able to parameterize these processes. Much of this work has involved taking parameterizations developed for neutral boundary layers and deriving corrections to account for buoyancy effects associated with the background stratification and local buoyancy sources due to radiative and latent heat transfer within the cloud (see Lilly 1962; Deardor 1980a; Mason 1989; MacVean & Mason 1990, for example). In this paper we hope to contribute to this effort by presenting a number of turbulence models in which the model coefficients are calculated dynamically during the simulation rather than being prescribed a priori.

Kirkpatrick, M. P.↗

Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) Acceleration of the Goddard Earth Observing System Atmospheric Model

The Goddard Earth Observing System 5 (GEOS-5) is the atmospheric model used by the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) for a variety of applications, from long-term climate prediction at relatively coarse resolution, to data assimilation and numerical weather prediction, to very high-resolution cloud-resolving simulations. GEOS-5 is being ported to a graphics processing unit (GPU) cluster at the NASA Center for Climate Simulation (NCCS). By utilizing GPU co-processor technology, we expect to increase the throughput of GEOS-5 by at least an order of magnitude, and accelerate the process of scientific exploration across all scales of global modeling, including: The large-scale, high-end application of non-hydrostatic, global, cloud-resolving modeling at 10- to I-kilometer (km) global resolutions Intermediate-resolution seasonal climate and weather prediction at 50- to 25-km on small clusters of GPUs Long-range, coarse-resolution climate modeling, enabled on a small box of GPUs for the individual researcher After being ported to the GPU cluster, the primary physics components and the dynamical core of GEOS-5 have demonstrated a potential speedup of 15-40 times over conventional processor cores. Performance improvements of this magnitude reduce the required scalability of 1-km, global, cloud-resolving models from an unfathomable 6 million cores to an attainable 200,000 GPU-enabled cores.

Putnam, Williama↗

A Universal Model for Solar Eruptions

Magnetically driven eruptions on the Sun, from stellar-scale coronal mass ejections1 to small-scale coronal X-ray and extreme-ultraviolet jets, have frequently been observed to involve the ejection of the highly stressed magnetic flux of a filament. Theoretically, these two phenomena have been thought to arise through very different mechanisms: coronal mass ejections from an ideal (non-dissipative) process, whereby the energy release does not require a change in the magnetic topology, as in the kink or torus instability; and coronal jets from a resistive process, involving magnetic reconnection. However, it was recently concluded from new observations that all coronal jets are driven by filament ejection, just like large mass ejections. This suggests that the two phenomena have physically identical origin and hence that a single mechanism may be responsible, that is, either mass ejections arise from reconnection, or jets arise from an ideal instability. Here we report simulations of a coronal jet driven by filament ejection, whereby a region of highly sheared magnetic field near the solar surface becomes unstable and erupts. The results show that magnetic reconnection causes the energy release via 'magnetic breakout', a positive feedback mechanism between filament ejection and reconnection. We conclude that if coronal mass ejections and jets are indeed of physically identical origin (although on different spatial scales) then magnetic reconnection (rather than an ideal process) must also underlie mass ejections, and that magnetic breakout is a universal model for solar eruptions.

Wyper, Peter F.↗

Impact and cratering processes on asteroids, satellites, and planets

A new model for scaling the outcome of catastrophic collisions from laboratory scale experiments was developed and applied to large bodies where gravitational binding is dominant. This algorithm includes a pressure dependent impact strength which predicts that large asteroids behave as intrinsically strong objects due to compressive loading of overburden throughout their interiors. For small bodies, where the gravitational loading is negligible, this model assumes that the impact strength is independent of size. There was considerable discussion of scaling laws for disruption when these results were presented to one authors colleagues. The pressure strengthening impact strength model was viewed as physically quite plausible; however, it was argued that the impact strength should decrease with increasing size in the size range where gravitational compression is negligible.

Chapman, Clark R.↗

EISA (Energy Independence and Security Act) compliant ethanol fuel from corn stover in a depot-based decentralized system

Cellulosic biofuels face significant problems of feedstock aggregation and logistics leading to poor economies of scale. The current model is based on relatively small biorefineries using locally-gathered feedstocks. Here, we examine the potential capacity of a hypothetically distributed, depot-based, biorefinery system to produce cellulosic ethanol from corn stover in the United States Midwest. The local depots serve to aggregate, pretreat and densify biomass (via pellets), which are collected, transported, and fed to a few very large, cellulosic ethanol biorefineries. We found that a corn stover-based depot system would help establish one or two very large-scale biorefineries capable of processing about 8-12% of total corn stover available in the United States Midwest. About 55-153 depots could supply the pretreated pellets to each distributed biorefinery leading to an annual production of 1.02 - 2.91 billion liters of cellulosic ethanol. Most of the participating depots would be located in Illinois and Iowa. The ethanol selling price in this depot-based biorefinery system would varys between U$S 0.67 and U$S 0.72 liter-1. The estimated range of GHG savings from cellulosic ethanol in the depot system compared to gasoline was 3.35-4.84 Tg CO2 year-1. In addition of being economically competitive, a distributed, depot-based, biorefinery system could meet the 60% GHG reduction requirement of the U.S. Energy Independence and Security Act (EISA).

Biorefinery, Cellulosic biofuel, Corn stover, Dist↗

Indirect Liftoff Mechanism for High‐Throughput, Single‐Source Laser Scribing for Perovskite Solar Modules

A high‐throughput, single‐source laser scribing method exploiting a transparent conducting oxide (TCO) indirect liftoff mechanism is developed to produce serially interconnected perovskite solar modules. The TCO‐based indirect liftoff mechanism relies solely on laser absorption in the front transparent electrode material reducing thermal damage to the overlying layers and allowing for fast scribing speeds with low‐cost μs‐pulse duration fiber laser systems. Minimal resistive power losses are observed with the method compared to conventional ablative laser scribes, maintaining the power conversion efficiencies of small‐area devices (≈0.2 cm 2 ) across significantly larger deposition areas (≈1 cm 2 ). Finally, demonstrating > 3 m s −1 processing speeds, TCO‐based liftoff provides the highest throughput laser scribing method for thin‐film photovoltaic devices produced on glass/TCO substrates, capable of processing large‐area perovskite solar modules at a manufacturing scale.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Constraining Galaxy-Halo connection using machine learning

We investigate the potential of machine learning (ML) methods to model small-scale galaxy clustering for constraining Halo Occupation Distribution (HOD) parameters. Our analysis reveals that while many ML algorithms report good statistical fits, they often yield likelihood contours that are significantly biased in both mean values and variances relative to the true model parameters. This highlights the importance of careful data processing and algorithm selection in ML applications for galaxy clustering, as even seemingly robust methods can lead to biased results if not applied correctly. ML tools offer a promising approach to exploring the HOD parameter space with significantly reduced computational costs compared to traditional brute-force methods if their robustness is established. Using our ANN-based pipeline, we successfully recreate some standard results from recent literature. Properly restricting the HOD parameter space, transforming the training data, and carefully selecting ML algorithms are essential for achieving unbiased and robust predictions. Among the methods tested, artificial neural networks (ANNs) outperform random forests (RF) and ridge regression in predicting clustering statistics, when the HOD prior space is appropriately restricted. We demonstrate these findings using the projected two-point correlation function (w p (r p )), angular multipoles of the correlation function (ξ ℓ (r)), and the void probability function (VPF) of Luminous Red Galaxies from Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument mocks. Our results show that while combining w p (r p ) and VPF improves parameter constraints, adding the multipoles ξ 0 , ξ 2 , and ξ 4 to w p (r p ) does not significantly improve the constraints.

cosmology↗

FY18 J23X PDZG Final Report: Double Shock Initiation of PBX 9502 Lot HOL88H891-008

Heterogeneous high explosives subjected to sub-critical shock waves are known to exhibit desensitization to later shock inputs. While it is believed that this phenomenon is due to the removal of hot spot forming features in the explosive by the initial sub-critical shock, the effect of the time delay between the shocks is poorly understood. This report details a series of double shock plate impact experiments that vary the time between similar shocks to explore the time dependance of this shock desensitization process. These experiments were performed on the insensitive explosive PBX 9502 (95% TATB, 5% Kel-F 800) with lot number HOL88H891-008. The evolution of the shocks to a detonation was characterized by 9 embedded magnetic particle velocity gauges, and 116 embedded magnetic time of arrival gauges (AKA shock trackers). Photon Doppler velocimetry (PDV) with a LiF window was used at the back surface of the samples to capture the wave profile exiting the sample. Three double shock experiments were performed, with first and second shock pressures of 8.3 GPa and 16.5 GPa, respectively. An analogous single shock experiment at 16.3 GPa was also performed. The double shock experiments exhibited small levels of reaction during the initial shock,and shock desensitization to the second shock. Run distances after shock coalescence were shorter than those expected for a single shock, indicating the shock to detonation transition (SDT) process was slightly further along due to partial reaction in the first shock wave. These data will be used to calibrate model behavior under multiple-shock conditions. Additional double shock data will be collected to further explore this area in FY2019. All data have been uploaded to the LANL Small Scale Database for use by the research community.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Laser-Produced Coherent X-ray Sources. Final report

This is the final report for the DOE-AMO DE-FG02-05ER15663 grant. Using a high-peak-power laser system at the Extreme Light Laboratory of the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, we develop novel femtosecond radiation sources and use them to investigate ultrafast photo-induced processes. Pulses of high energy electrons and x-rays are generated when an optical pulse is focused to ultra-high intensity. The radiation is used to probe the evolution of matter under highly non-equilibrium conditions with atomic-scale temporal and spatial resolution. Moreover, the facility is small enough to fit in a university laboratory and is operated by graduate students and postdocs.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Seismic Spatial Gradients and Machine Learning-Based Classifiers for Explosion Monitoring (LDRD 218327)

This final report summarizes the work completed under the Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project “Seismic Spatial Gradients as a Machine Learning-Based Classifier for Explosion Monitoring.” The overarching goal of the project was to explore the efficacy of using machine learning-based classification algorithms where the input data are the spatial gradient of the seismic wavefield collected at a single point on the Earth’s surface. The methods that I describe here are in direct contrast to conventional methods of seismic discrimination which typically rely on a spatially extended network of instruments and physics-based wavefield attributes such as, for example, the ratio between $\textit{P}$ and $\textit{S}$ waves. Rather, we use the spatial gradient of the seismic wavefield observed at a single point on the Earth’s surface and data processing approaches inspired by the machine learning community. We tested two algorithms, a neural network and a modified version of principal component analysis termed Spectrally Filtered Principal Component Analysis (SFPCA). To test these algorithms, we first conducted a series of numerical tests using synthetic data and then conducted a small-scale controlled field experiment. The tests using synthetic data showed that both algorithms had high success rates on gradiometric data, even when simulated noise was added to the signal. Furthermore, we found that using seismic spatial gradients increased the performance of our discrimination algorithms when compared to using just the traditional translational motion seismic data. The tests with field data also showed a high degree of discriminative success.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Understanding and Controlling Photoexcited Molecules in Complex Environments (Final Technical Report)

Predicting the outcome of a photochemical reaction is complicated by factors outside the scope of tradition theoretical chemistry. On such small scales, fluctuations of the environment render outcomes stochastic, nonadiabatic dynamics blur the separation between nuclear and electronic motion, and ultrafast relaxation renders typical assumptions of equilibrium inappropriate. This project aimed to elucidate and control nonadiabatic molecular dynamics in condensed phases. We developed accurate, efficient simulation tools to study irreversible molecular processes computational across a range of scales. We applied these methodological advances to study electron transfer under exotic conditions where spin and topology opened new pathways for reactivity. We also brought these ideas to bare on light harvesting systems, where energy and charge transport are coupled, and where long lifetimes can be deleterious to function. These advances helped to establish general principles for chemical efficiency and guide the design of nanoscale energy materials, molecular machines, and related technologies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Catastrophic disruption in the solar system - Asteroid collisional history, origin of Hirayama families and disruption of small satellites

The process of collisional catastrophic disruption has played a significantly role in structuring the solar system. Diverse populations of bodies such as the asteroid belt, small satellites of Jupiter and Saturn and perhaps even the rings of Saturn have been created or substantially changed by catastrophic distruption. Understanding the outcome of large scale impacts is essential to learning about the early history of the solar system in the asteroid zone and the reason why a planet failed to form there.

Davis, D. R.↗

Steady state flow/field model of solar wind interaction with Venus - Global implications of local effects

Physical and chemical processes in the Venus ionosphere driven by the interaction of the solar wind with the atmosphere of Venus are described, and a model describing the interrelationships of these processes in a self-consistent manner is formulated. It is shown that the magnetic field configuration of the ionosphere is a steady state global structure which results from a combination of a large-scale 'open' current system connecting through the ionopause to the postshock solar wind and two small-scale 'closed' current systems entirely confined within the ionosphere and generated by ionospheric flows and shears. A previously detected ionospheric layer in O2(+) near 170 km altitude is shown to be a new type of ionospheric layer resulting from transition of solar-wind-driven vertical flow to velocities approaching Mach 1.

Cloutier, P. A.↗

How well can regional fluxes be derived from smaller-scale estimates?

Regional surface fluxes are essential lower boundary conditions for large scale numerical weather and climate models and are the elements of global budgets of important trace gases. Surface properties affecting the exchange of heat, moisture, momentum and trace gases vary with length scales from one meter to hundreds of km. A classical difficulty is that fluxes have been measured directly only at points or along lines. The process of scaling up observations limited in space and/or time to represent larger areas was done by assigning properties to surface classes and combining estimated or calculated fluxes using an area weighted average. It is not clear that a simple area weighted average is sufficient to produce the large scale from the small scale, chiefly due to the effect of internal boundary layers, nor is it known how important the uncertainty is to large scale model outcomes. Simultaneous aircraft and tower data obtained in the relatively simple terrain of the western Alaska tundra were used to determine the extent to which surface type variation can be related to fluxes of heat, moisture, and other properties. Surface type was classified as lake or land with aircraft borne infrared thermometer, and flight level heat and moisture fluxes were related to surface type. The magnitude and variety of sampling errors inherent in eddy correlation flux estimation place limits on how well any flux can be known even in simple geometries.

Moore, Kathleen E.↗

How well can regional fluxes be derived from smaller-scale estimates?

Regional surface fluxes are essential lower boundary conditions for large scale numerical weather and climate models and are the elements of global budgets of important trace gases. Surface properties affecting the exchange of heat, moisture, momentum and trace gases vary with length scales from one meter to hundreds of km. A classical difficulty is that fluxes have been measured directly only at points or along lines. The process of scaling up observations limited in space and/or time to represent larger areas was done by assigning properties to surface classes and combining estimated or calculated fluxes using an area weighted average. It is not clear that a simple area weighted average is sufficient to produce the large scale from the small scale, chiefly due to the effect of internal boundary layers, nor is it known how important the uncertainty is to large scale model outcomes. Simultaneous aircraft and tower data obtained in the relatively simple terrain of the western Alaska tundra were used to determine the extent to which surface type variation can be related to fluxes of heat, moisture, and other properties. Surface type was classified as lake or land with aircraft borne infrared thermometer, and flight level heat and moisture fluxes were related to surface type. The magnitude and variety of sampling errors inherent in eddy correlation flux estimation place limits on how well any flux can be known even in simple geometries.

Moore, Kathleen E.↗

The electron diffusion region and its relation to the larger-scale environment

The electron diffusion region forms the inner core of the magnetic reconnection machine. In this region, physical processes act to sustain a reconnection electric field, they accelerate to provide current density, and the heat to provide particle pressure in the current layer. The relative roles of these processes depend on whether the overall geometry is anti-parallel or asymmetric, and whether a guide field is present of not, but the overall concept applies in each case. The EDR is embedded in successively larger regions, starting with the ion diffusion region to even larger scales, where the plasma increasingly behaves like an anisotropic MHD plasma. With our new understanding of how the EDR works, it is of great interest to study how EDR processes couple to the larger scale environment. The ultimate efficacy of the magnetic reconnection is shaped by this interesting example of micro-macro coupling. In this presentation, we present some thoughts pertaining to this topic. In particular, we will discuss how information transport between scales is mediated, and how the very small scales can reach balance with the larger, overall system. We will review any pertinent research and present a set of questions inviting future research.

Michael Hesse↗

Lunar and Planetary Science XXXV: Mars Polar Processes: Land and Sky

The titles in this section include: 1) Morphological Evidence for the Large-scale Evolution of Martian North Polar Troughs? 2) New Views of the Martian Polar Regions: The Latest Results from the Mars Odyssey THEMIS Investigation; 3) Observations at the Chasma Australe Re-Entrant, South Polar Region, Mars; 4) Stratigraphic Details of Uppermost Units within South Polar Layered Deposits on Mars; 5) Detailed Geologic Analysis of Part of the South Polar Layered Deposits, Planum Australe, Mars: Part II; 6) SHARAD: Radar Volume Scattering and the Polar Layered Terrains on Mars; 7) Arabia and Memnonia Equatorial Regions with High Content of Water: Data from HEND/Odyssey; 8) Alaskan Permafrost Analogs of Martian Small Valley Networks, Thermokarst, Terrain Softening, Terraces, and Volcanic Craters; 9) Periglacial Processes in the Southern Hemisphere of Mars; 10) Thermal Modeling of Possible Surface Water Ice Deposits in Juventae Chasma; 11) Modeling Depth to Ground Ice on Mars; 12) Ground Ice at the Phoenix Landing Site: A Preflight Assessment; 13) Possible Temperature-related Differences in Slope Angle between the North and South Walls of Coprates Chasma, Mars; 14) Seasonal Variations within Korolev Crater, Mars; 15) South Polar Ar Enhancement as a Tracer for Southern Winter Horizontal Meridional Mixing; 16) An Investigation of the Correlation of Water-Ice and Dust Retrievals via the MGS TES Data Set; 17) Observations of Plasma Waves near Mars and Their Implications for Atmospheric Loss.

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