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At least 1,063 records · Page 59

Design Methods, Tools, and Data for Ceramic Solar Receivers Year 1 Continuation Report

This report describes the first year of work on a project to develop the methods, tools, and data required to analyze high temperature ceramic Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) components. This first year focused on developing the methods and data required for a time-independent assessment of potential components, focusing in particular on ceramic solar receivers. The report describes both model development and testing work focused on accomplishing this goal. Our overall conclusion is that high temperature ceramic CSP components are viable and could provide a means to overcome the expected low reliability and short service life for equivalent components constructed from Ni-based superalloys. Based on the results reported here, we recommend the project continue to Phase II which will develop more sophisticated, realistic models for time-dependent failure of ceramics operating in expected CSP component conditions and develop the time-dependent ceramic test data needed to parameterize these models, using commercial SiC as a reference material.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

BUQEYE guide to projection-based emulators in nuclear physics

The BUQEYE collaboration (Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification: Errors in Your effective field theory) presents a pedagogical introduction to projection-based, reduced-order emulators for applications in low-energy nuclear physics. The term emulator refers here to a fast surrogate model capable of reliably approximating high-fidelity models. As the general tools employed by these emulators are not yet well-known in the nuclear physics community, we discuss variational and Galerkin projection methods, emphasize the benefits of offline-online decompositions, and explore how these concepts lead to emulators for bound and scattering systems that enable fast and accurate calculations using many different model parameter sets. We also point to future extensions and applications of these emulators for nuclear physics, guided by the mature field of model (order) reduction. All examples discussed here and more are available as interactive, open-source Python code so that practitioners can readily adapt projection-based emulators for their own work.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Supplemental Data for the Manuscript: Quantification of Manganese for ChemCam Mars and Laboratory Spectra Using a Multivariate Model

This dataset includes all of the data needed to validate and/or reproduce the manganese calibration model described in the manuscript. The reference database contains metadata for the new Mn-bearing standards, minerals, and mixtures that are > 2.9 wt.% MnO. In addition, the files include the MnO composition data for all standards used, non-normalized spectral data, mean peak area spectrum, results of outlier determination, RMSECV data, regression vectors, and Test Set predictions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

EVALUATION OF PRESSURE DROP CORRELATIONS FOR THE WIRE-WRAPPED ROD BUNDLES

The accurate prediction of pressure drop in the fuel rod bundle is of importance for the design and thermal-hydraulic analysis of nuclear reactor system. Due to very complex geometry of wire-wrapped fuel rod bundle geometry for the Sodium Fast Reactor (SFR), a simple method using hydraulic (equivalent) diameter is not sufficient to predict the pressure drop of rod bundle accurately. For several decades, many experimental works have been performed to develop an accurate correlation for wire-wrapped fuel bundle friction factor. In these works, the friction factor correlation of wire-wrapped fuel bundle has been developed as a function of Reynolds number of the flow and the design parameters such as fuel pin diameter, wire diameter, rod pitch, and wire lead length. The Cheng and Todreas correlations are well-known and used in many subchannel analysis code, such as CADET, TRIO-U, MATRA-LMW, SE2-ANL, etc. Novendstern model, Rehme model, Baxi and Dalle Donne model are also well-known and widely referred. Computational Fluid Dynamics is another typical approach to predict the pressure drop of wire-wrapped fuel rod bundle, but it requires the model validation because the accuracy of pressure drop prediction by the CFD simulation depends on what turbulence model is employed. The present work aims at evaluating the existing pressure drop correlations for the wire-wrapped fuel rod bundle and evaluating the pressure drop of 217-pin rod bundle by the CFD analysis.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

On the Modeling of Wall Heat Flux Partitioning in Subcooled Flow Boiling

Accurate prediction of void distribution in reactor coolant channels at subcooled boiling conditions is an important factor in the analysis of the operating conditions of both pressurized water reactors (PWRs) and boiling water reactors (BWRs). Its importance arises from purely thermal-hydraulic considerations (thermal limits, CRUD formation, etc.) and the impact of void reactivity feedback on core neutronics. A mechanistic multidimensional model of subcooled boiling was originally developed by Kurul and Podowski. Whereas this model has been implemented in several commercial CFD codes and successfully used in computer simulations of flow and phase distributions in the coolant channels of light water reactor, additional new modeling aspects of forced-convection subcooled boiling heat transfer have been investigated in recent studies. The purpose of this paper is to formulate a modified model of wall heat flux partitioning, which allows for capturing and quantifying the effect of simultaneous evaporation and condensation at the heated wall on the net evaporation rate and wall temperature. The new model has been implemented in the NPHASE-CMFD code, numerically tested and validated against experimental data. A mechanistic wall heat flux partitioning model for subcooled flow boiling has been presented. This model has been combined with extensively tested models of interfacial mass, momentum and energy transfer terms. It turns out that the model predictions of the wall temperature and void fraction are in good agreement with the experimental data of reference. Future work will focus on the continuation of model validation against experimental data, and on extending its scope to include the phenomena governing departure from nucleate boiling. (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Pilot Evaluation of a 4-Dimensional Cone-Beam Computed Tomographic Scheme Based on Simultaneous Motion Estimation and Image Reconstruction

Purpose: To evaluate the performance of a 4-dimensional (4-D) cone-beam computed tomographic (CBCT) reconstruction scheme based on simultaneous motion estimation and image reconstruction (SMEIR) through patient studies. Methods and Materials: The SMEIR algorithm contains 2 alternating steps: (1) motion-compensated CBCT reconstruction using projections from all phases to reconstruct a reference phase 4D-CBCT by explicitly considering the motion models between each different phase and (2) estimation of motion models directly from projections by matching the measured projections to the forward projection of the deformed reference phase 4D-CBCT. Four lung cancer patients were scanned for 4 to 6 minutes to obtain approximately 2000 projections for each patient. To evaluate the performance of the SMEIR algorithm on a conventional 1-minute CBCT scan, the number of projections at each phase was reduced by a factor of 5, 8, or 10 for each patient. Then, 4D-CBCTs were reconstructed from the down-sampled projections using Feldkamp-Davis-Kress, total variation (TV) minimization, prior image constrained compressive sensing (PICCS), and SMEIR. Using the 4D-CBCT reconstructed from the fully sampled projections as a reference, the relative error (RE) of reconstructed images, root mean square error (RMSE), and maximum error (MaxE) of estimated tumor positions were analyzed to quantify the performance of the SMEIR algorithm. Results: The SMEIR algorithm can achieve results consistent with the reference 4D-CBCT reconstructed with many more projections per phase. With an average of 30 to 40 projections per phase, the MaxE in tumor position detection is less than 1 mm in SMEIR for all 4 patients. Conclusion: The results from a limited number of patients show that SMEIR is a promising tool for high-quality 4D-CBCT reconstruction and tumor motion modeling.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Numerical tests of coherence-corrected surface hopping methods using a donor-bridge-acceptor model system

Surface hopping (SH) is a popular mixed quantum-classical method for modeling nonadiabatic excited state processes in molecules and condensed phase materials. The method is simple, efficient, and easy to implement, but the use of classical and independent nuclear trajectories introduces an overcoherence in the electronic density matrix which, if ignored, often leads to spurious results, such as overestimated reaction rates. Several methods have been proposed to incorporate decoherence into SH simulations, but a lack of insightful benchmarks makes their relative accuracy unknown. Herein, we run numerical simulations of common coherence-corrected SH methods including Truhlar’s decay-of-mixing (DOM) and Subotnik’s augmented SH using a Donor-bridge-Acceptor (DbA) model system. Numerical simulations are carried out in the superexchange regime, where charge transfer proceeds from a donor to an acceptor as a result of donor-bridge and bridge-acceptor couplings. The computed donor-to-acceptor reaction rates are compared to the reference Marcus theory results. For the DbA model under consideration, augmented SH recovers Marcus theory with quantitative accuracy, whereas DOM is only qualitatively accurate depending on whether predefined parameters in the decoherence rate are chosen wisely. We propose a general method for parameterizing the decoherence rate in the DOM method, which improves the method’s reaction rates and presumably increases its transferability. Altogether, the decoherence method of choice must be chosen with great care and this work provides insight using an exactly solvable model.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

An Accurate Fast Fluid Dynamics Model for Data Center Applications

Traditional CFD is broadly useful in the design and operation of reliable and efficient data centers. It is nevertheless computationally expensive, particularly when employed for design optimization, which usually requires multiple simulations. To speed-up calculations while retaining essential airflow physics, several researchers have turned to an alternative CFD methodology, namely, fast fluid dynamics (FFD). FFD has been reported to be much faster than traditional CFD, but at an assumed (acceptable) trade-off of reduced accuracy. However, a recent comparison of FFD and traditional CFD for data center plenum applications produced nearly indistinguishable results and suggested that previously-reported FFD/traditional-CFD differences were due primarily to inconsistent: 1) advection schemes, 2) computational grids, and 3) turbulence models. The present paper extends this FFD/traditional-CFD comparison to the data center whitespace and confirms the finding that a true like-for-like comparison produces nearly identical predictions. Our FFD implementation utilizes a first-order upwind finite-volume scheme for advection like traditional CFD, so alternative advection schemes (e.g., semi-Lagrangian) are not considered further here. Likewise, the effect of grid choice on traditional-CFD predictions is well known. However, the effect of turbulence model for data center applications has not been reported extensively so we do consider this topic further here. We compare the standard k-e and a simpler algebraic model to benchmark experimental data from a real data center. We find that the algebraic turbulence model predicts rack-inlet temperatures at a similar level-of-accuracy as the k-e model for our fairly-simple-airflow reference data center.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Eulerian finite element implementations of a dislocation density-based continuum model

In Eulerian finite element simulations, the mesh moves relative to the material. After every change of position between the mesh and the material, the state variables are interpolated to the new mesh position, which is referred to as advection. Large strain crystal plasticity models are based on the multiplicative decomposition of the total deformation gradient. Further, the stress is evaluated as a function of the thermoelastic strain, temperature, and other state variables. Advection of tensor quantities, such as the strain, is coupled with possibly significant advection errors. In an effort to reduce the advection errors, we develop two rate forms of an established dislocation density-based continuum model. To that end, we replace the multiplicative decomposition of the deformation gradient with the additive decomposition of the velocity gradient, and define the stress rate instead of the total stress. The Eulerian implementation is compared with Lagrangian calculations, and two numerical examples with severe deformation levels are presented.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The Gaia inertial reference frame and the tilting of the Milky Way disk

While the precise relationship between the Milky Way disk and the symmetry planes of the dark matter halo remains somewhat uncertain, a time-varying disk orientation with respect to an inertial reference frame seems probable. Hierarchical structure formation models predict that the dark matter halo is triaxial and tumbles with a characteristic rate of ∼2 rad H{sub 0}{sup −1} (∼30 μas yr{sup –1}). These models also predict a time-dependent accretion of gas, such that the angular momentum vector of the disk should be misaligned with that of the halo. These effects, as well as tidal effects of the LMC, will result in the rotation of the angular momentum vector of the disk population with respect to the quasar reference frame. We assess the accuracy with which the positions and proper motions from Gaia can be referred to a kinematically non-rotating system, and show that the spin vector of the transformation from any rigid self-consistent catalog frame to the quasi-inertial system defined by quasars should be defined to better than 1 μas yr{sup –1}. Determination of this inertial frame by Gaia will reveal any signature of the disk orientation varying with time, improve models of the potential and dynamics of the Milky Way, test theories of gravity, and provide new insights into the orbital evolution of the Sagittarius dwarf galaxy and the Magellanic Clouds.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Pumped Storage Hydro Model Evaluation Report Task 1: Tool Assessment

Pumped storage hydro (PSH) projects support various aspects of power system operations. However, determining the value of PSH projects and the many services and contributions to the system they provide can be a challenge. The PSH techno-economic studies being carried out by a 5-lab consortium are defining extensive modeling approaches for evaluating the economic benefits of PSH projects. To enhance the impact of the valuation approach and follow-on techno-economic studies, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) will be developing a set of online tools that industry could adopt and use to advance PSH projects in the US. The problem is that the research team is not entirely clear on the features of the tools that would offer the most significant impact to industry. Thus, year one of this effort is designed to first define the needs of industry before developing the PSH valuation tool. The first step in defining industry needs is to evaluate existing tool packages, including those created by DOE and those by industry groups, to both measure usage levels and define tool attributes that maximize industry impact. The second step in this process will be to hold a workshop designed to elicit direct industry input. Given the breadth and nature of the task, which is to define ideal model attributes, the research team did not constrain the assessment to storage valuation tools. Several tools were assessed, and their characteristics compared against a list of “ideal” attributes that included ease of use, generalizability of results, and analytical flexibility. Information regarding usage and impact were then compared to specific model attributes to define which attributes appear to drive success. The following key lessons and implications can be drawn from the analysis: Models with high ease of use were often the most adopted by industry, though they did not necessarily have high publication reference records, meaning a published article made direct reference to the tool. For example, REScheck TM and COMcheck TM , two tools which share a site, have seen a high amount of web traffic and usage. Similarly, Storage Value Estimate Tool (StorageVET®), an energy storage valuation model, has a large number of organizations using it despite a low publication reference record. A common feature between these models is that they are web-hosted, theoretically making them more easily accessible with graphic user interfaces (GUIs) that are more navigable; Models with higher usage statistics were typically free and/or open source. While it may be unsurprising that this attribute could be considered a draw for users, there is the potential for overestimating the tool's value based on popularity due to the fact that some users may have used the model simply because it was free and not because it is the best model; Models that offer more in-depth analysis and a wide coverage of applications (e.g. VOLTTRON™, GridLAB-D™, and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVest)) have shown a high number of publication references as well as showing a high number of downloads in the case of GridLAB-D™. It should be noted that the figure below does not include the model with the highest number of publication references (EnergyPlus™) as it has been removed to show clearer distinction between the remaining tools; The most popular model within the evaluation list was EnergyPlus™. This tool has the highest number of publication references (2,034) of all models considered and contains both a high ease of use level as well as broad application flexibility. Its high usage may be correlated, however, with the presumed wider audience conducting energy consumption modeling compared to the audiences for some of the other tools in this list; Models that were low in both general usage and publication reference generally did not exhibit characteristics considered ideal by the research team. Some of these models offered a narrower range of analytical applications or lower generalizability of results. This would automatically restrict the pool of potential users to those who fall within a narrow range of specific technologies or applications. This report also explores two model structures for the PSH tool: decision tree-based, which would guide the user through the valuation methods defined in the PSH techno-economic studies currently being carried out by DOE, and an all-inclusive comprehensive model. The strengths of each were explored and a hybrid approach was defined that would embed a price taker model into the decision tree approach. Such an approach would provide a comprehensive approach for modeling small-scale PSH while recognizing the challenges associated with implementing a price-maker approach in an all-inclusive model. Insight gained in this analysis of other models can aid in narrowing down the list of effective and sought-after attributes, and in defining model structure. Next steps toward developing a model for storage valuation will be to gain direct industry input through workshops.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Inverse-Velocity Transformation Wall Model for Reacting Turbulent Hypersonic Boundary Layers

The present study builds on prior work by taking advantage of the novel framework proposed by Griffin et al. (hereafter referred to as the GFM) as a baseline. The model is progressively extended to multicomponent reacting mixtures, accounting for differential diffusion and finite-rate chemistry in a similar fashion to Di Renzo & Urzay and Di Renzo et al. The accuracy of the present approach, as well the prior model of Di Renzo & Urzay, is assessed in an a priori sense for the first time in a turbulent reacting boundary layer, using the boundary-layer data of Williams et al. Five species are included in the present analysis, i.e., N s = 5, namely N 2 , O 2 , NO, N and O, a neutral mixture most representative of dissociation/recombination phenomena for temperatures below 6000 K. A schematic of a flow over a wedge representative of the described configuration is presented in Figure 1. The brief is organized as follows: In Section 2, the wall-model equations and the computational framework are presented. In Section 3, the a priori results of the proposed model are described and compared to the extended EWM. Finally, in Section 4, some conclusions are offered.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Mesoscale crystal plasticity modeling of nanoscale Al–Al 2 Cu eutectic alloy

Nanolaminated composites composed of alternate metal and intermetallic or ceramic lamellae exhibit high strength, high strain hardening rate and measurable plasticity at ambient and elevated temperatures. Due to the difference in plastic deformation capability between the two phases, structural instability occurs in hard lamellae associated with buckling when a compression strain is applied parallel to the lamellae. Taking nanoscale Al–Al 2 Cu eutectic alloy as a model system, we develop a mesoscale crystal plasticity (CP) model based on the confined layer slip (CLS) mechanism (referred to as CLS-CP) to understand the buckling behavior of the nanolaminates. In the CLS-CP model, buckling in Al 2 Cu lamellae is constrained by the elastic-plastic deformation of Al lamellae. The critical resolved shear stress for dislocation slip in Al lamellae varies with layer thickness, estimated by the CLS mechanism. To capture the essential features of confined layer slip mechanism that dislocations propagate within the layer and are deposited at the interfaces, plastic deformation in each lamella is the same through the layer thickness. The variation of elastic deformation through the layer thickness is captured through dividing each Al lamella into three or more elements that have the same plastic deformation through the thickness. In comparison, we also conduct standard crystal plasticity modeling in which plastic deformation in the three elements through the layer thickness is calculated individually according to phenomenological power law. In these simulations, plasticity in Al 2 Cu lamellae is modeled with slips on {121} planes due to the slip continuity across the interface, which have been observed in our recent experiments. The CLS-CP model is able to predict mechanical properties of nano-scale lamellar materials. In contrast, the standard CP model is more suitable to study deformation behavior of sub-micro scale lamellar materials. In conclusion, the CLS-CP model calculations reveal that critical compression strain corresponding to buckling increases as layer thickness decreases, which agree with micro-pillar compression tests.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Active Optical Control with Machine Learning: A Proof of Concept for the Vera C. Rubin Observatory

Abstract The Active Optics System of the Vera C. Rubin Observatory (Rubin) uses information provided by four wave front sensors to determine deviations between the reconstructed wave front and the ideal wave front. The observed deviations are used to adjust the control parameters of the optical system to maintain image quality across the 3.°5 field of view. The baseline approach from the project is to obtain amplitudes of the Zernike polynomials describing the distorted wave front from out-of-focus images collected by the wave front sensors. These Zernike amplitudes are related via an “influence matrix” to the control parameters necessary to correct the wave front. In this paper, we use deep-learning methods to extract the control parameters directly from the images captured by the wave front sensors. Our neural net model uses anti-aliasing pooling to boost performance, and a domain-specific loss function to aid learning and generalization. The accuracy of the control parameters derived from our model exceeds Rubin requirements even in the presence of full-moon background levels and mis-centering of reference stars. Although the training process is time consuming, model evaluation requires only a few milliseconds. This low latency should allow for the correction of the optical configuration during the readout and slew interval between successive exposures.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

Results for Phase I of the IAEA Coordinated Research Program on HTGR Uncertainties

The quantification of uncertainties in design and safety analysis of reactors is today not only broadly accepted, but in many cases became the preferred way to replace traditional conservative analysis for safety and licensing analysis. The use of a more fundamental methodology is also consistent with the reliable high fidelity physics models and robust, efficient, and accurate codes available today. To facilitate uncertainty analysis applications a comprehensive approach and methodology must be developed and applied. High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (HTGR) has its own peculiarities, coated particle design, large graphite quantities, different materials and high temperatures that also require other simulation requirements. The IAEA has therefore launched a Coordinated Research Project (CRP) on the HTGR Uncertainty Analysis in Modeling (UAM) in 2013 to study uncertainty propagation specifically in the HTGR analysis chain. Two benchmark problems are defined, with the prismatic design represented by the General Atomics (GA) MHTGR-350 and a 250 MW modular pebble bed design similar to the HTR-PM (INET, China). This report summarizes the contributions of the HTGR Methods Simulation group at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) up to this point of the CRP. The activities at INL have been focused so far on creating the problem specifications for the prismatic design, as well as providing reference solutions for the exercises defined for Phase I. An overview is provided of the HTGR UAM objectives and scope, and the detailed specifications for Exercises I-1, I-2, I-3 and I-4 are also included here for completeness. The main focus of the report is the compilation and discussion of reference results for Phase I (i.e. for input parameters at their nominal or best-estimate values), which is defined as the first step of the uncertainty quantification process. These reference results can be used by other CRP participants for comparison with other codes or their own reference results. The status on the Monte Carlo modeling of the experimental VHTRC facility is also discussed. Reference results were obtained for the neutronics stand-alone cases (Ex. I-1 and Ex. I-2) using the (relatively new) Monte Carlo code Serpent, and comparisons were performed with the more established Monte Carlo codes MCNP and KENO-VI. For the thermal-fluids stand-alone cases (Ex. I-3 and I-4) the commercial CFD code CFX was utilized to obtain reference results that can be compared with lower fidelity tools.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Evaluation of Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) precipitation forecast from the North American Multi-Model ensemble phase II (NMME-2) over the contiguous U.S.

The second phase of the North America Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME-2) provides globally available Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) precipitation forecasts with a daily resolution. The S2S precipitation forecasts are getting increasing attention for their potentials in providing hydrometeorological forcing information for water resources planning at an extended range. However, the forecast skills of many existing S2S forecast products will significantly decrease when the lead time increases, hindering their applicability for watershed-scale hydrologic modeling. Therefore, forecast validation and large-scale evaluation are of great importance for water resources planning and hydrological applications. In this study, we comprehensively evaluate the S2S precipitation forecasts from the NMME-2 dataset over the contiguous United States (CONUS) and during the study period from 1982 to 2011. Three aspects of precipitation forecast capabilities are compared and analyzed: bias, skill scores, and the ability to predict extreme precipitation events. The Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM) is used as ground truth reference. Differs from other regional forecast validation study, we further examined and analyzed the dependences of NMME-2 precipitation forecast skills according to different seasonality, geographical locations, and lead times. Results show that the forecast biases are not sensitive to lead times but are seasonally dependent of all NMME-2 models. Overestimations are found in the Western U.S. in cooler seasons while underestimations are observed in the central regions of the U.S. in warmer seasons. The forecast skill of all individual NMME-2 models generally decreases as increases of lead times. The simple model averaging (SMA) of five NMME-2 models demonstrates a higher forecast skill than any individual NMME-2 models. Spatially, the highest forecast skill scores are observed at coastal areas in the Western U.S. with an one-week lead time. As compared to the historical resampled forecasts, NMME-2 also shows better performance in predicting extreme precipitation events above 99% percentiles and below 1% percentiles with higher probability of detections and lower false alarm ratios. Finally, the obtained results suggest the great potentials of NMME-2 precipitation forecasts in assisting ensemble hydrologic forecasts at the S2S scale over the CONUS.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Predictive Models of Genetic Redundancy in Arabidopsis thaliana

Abstract Genetic redundancy refers to a situation where an individual with a loss-of-function mutation in one gene (single mutant) does not show an apparent phenotype until one or more paralogs are also knocked out (double/higher-order mutant). Previous studies have identified some characteristics common among redundant gene pairs, but a predictive model of genetic redundancy incorporating a wide variety of features derived from accumulating omics and mutant phenotype data is yet to be established. In addition, the relative importance of these features for genetic redundancy remains largely unclear. Here, we establish machine learning models for predicting whether a gene pair is likely redundant or not in the model plant Arabidopsis thaliana based on six feature categories: functional annotations, evolutionary conservation including duplication patterns and mechanisms, epigenetic marks, protein properties including posttranslational modifications, gene expression, and gene network properties. The definition of redundancy, data transformations, feature subsets, and machine learning algorithms used significantly affected model performance based on holdout, testing phenotype data. Among the most important features in predicting gene pairs as redundant were having a paralog(s) from recent duplication events, annotation as a transcription factor, downregulation during stress conditions, and having similar expression patterns under stress conditions. We also explored the potential reasons underlying mispredictions and limitations of our studies. This genetic redundancy model sheds light on characteristics that may contribute to long-term maintenance of paralogs, and will ultimately allow for more targeted generation of functionally informative double mutants, advancing functional genomic studies.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Emergency core cooling system performance criteria for Multi-Layered Silicon Carbide nuclear fuel cladding

Multi-layered Silicon Carbide (SiC) cladding has been proposed to replace the current Zircaloy (Zr) cladding in existing nuclear power plants. Due to its ceramic property, SiC may have a different failure mechanism from that of metallic Zr clad. This characteristic should be considered in designing the plant’s safety system performance, such that the fuel’s integrity is reasonably assured during accident scenarios. This paper aims at optimizing the Emergency Core Cooling System (ECCS) performance criteria in mitigating LBLOCA accidents at a Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR) using the uranium dioxide fuel and duplex or triplex SiC cladding structures. Clad failures by brittle fractures and thermal degradation were modeled in a fuel analysis code. This fuel model was coupled with the RELAP5 plant model by adapting the fuel’s mesh configuration and formulating the effective heat transfer coefficients. A model to quantify the likelihood of clad functional failure as a combination of individual layer fractures at various axial positions was proposed. Updated SiC material properties were gathered from recent reference studies. Clad reliability estimates using the proposed model were compared with the estimates obtained using other models. The results were used to relax the criterion of required actuation timing of ECCS, such that the risk of the new plant design is less or equal to that of the initial plant configuration. Triplex clad was more reliable than duplex clad and Zr, reducing the conditional core damage probability by three orders of magnitude in the reference LBLOCA scenario. Compressive stresses due to irradiation swelling played the determining role in the vulnerabilities of each clad design. The duplex clad was vulnerable to pressure-loading stresses while triplex clad was prone to fail due to thermal shocks experienced during the LOCA reflood phase. Additionally, it was concluded that the most vulnerable axial fuel rod location in the reference LBLOCA scenario was located at the highest axial power peaking location. A sensitivity study on the ECCS timing density was conducted. The results showed that ECCS actuation timing could be extended from the initial technical specification, without increasing the fuel damage likelihood. The time extension was distributed in the order of several hundreds of seconds, which was comparable with time extensions offered by FeCrAl and Cr-coated-Zr clad designs in LBLOCA scenarios. This time extension may potentially reduce the failure probabilities of EDGs and pumps, hence improving the plant safety further.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗