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Comet and asteroid dynamics

In order to provide the ground-based observing community and NASA flight projects with accurate comet and asteroids ephemerides, improvements are being made to the existing dynamic models and new data type are being investigated. For active comets, non-gravitational forces must be taken into account; these forces are assumed due to the rocket-like thrusting of outgassing cometary ices.

Yeomans, Donald K.↗

Consequences of impacts of small asteroids and comets with Earth

The fragmentation of a small asteroid in the atmosphere greatly increases its cross sections for aerodynamic braking and energy dissipation. At a typical impact velocity of 22 km/s, the atmosphere absorbs more than half the kinetic energy of stony meteoroids with diameters, D(sub m), less than 220 m and iron meteoroids with D(sub m) less than 80 m. The corresponding diameter for comets with impact velocity 50 km/s is D(sub m) less than 1600 m. Most of the atmospheric energy dissipation occurs in a fraction of a scale height, so large meteors appear to 'explode' or 'flare' at the end of their visible paths. This dissipation of energy in the atmosphere protects the earth from direct impact damage (e.g., craters), but it produces a blast wave that can do considerable damage. The area of destruction around the impact point in which the over-pressure in the blast wave exceeds 4 lb/sq in = 2.8 x 10(exp 5) dynes/cu cm, which is enough to knock over trees and destroy buildings, increases rapidly from zero for chondritic meteoroids less than 56 m in diameter (15 megatons) to about 200 sq km for those 80 m in diameter (48 megatons); the probable diameter of the tunguska impactor of 1908 is about 80 m. Crater formation and earthquakes are not significant in land impacts by stony asteroids less than about 200 m in diameter because of the air protection. A tsunami is probably the most devastating type of damage for asteroids 200 m to 1 km in diameter. An impact by an asteroid this size anywhere in the Atlantic would devastate coastal areas on both sides of the ocean. An asteroid a few kilometers across would produce a tsunami that would reach the foothills of the Appalachian Mountains in the upper half of the East Coast of the United States. Most of Florida is protected from a tsunami by the gradual slope of the ocean off its coast, which causes most of the tsunami energy to be reflected back into the Atlantic. The atmosphere plume produced by asteroids with diameters exceeding about 120 m cannot be contained by the atmosphere, so this bubble of high-temperature gas forms a new layer on top of the atmosphere. The dust entrapped in this hot gas is likely to have optical depths exceeding tau = 10 for asteroids with diameters exceeding about 0.5 to 1 km. The optical flux from asteroids 60 m or more in diameter is enough to ignite pine forests. However, the blast wave from an impacting asteroid goes beyond the radius in which the fire starts. The blast wave tends to blow out the fire, so it is likely that the impact will char the forest, as at Tunguska, but the impact will not produce a sustained fire. Because comets dissipate their energy much higher in the atmosphere than asteroids, they illuminate a much larger region and their blast wave is weaker. So they are much more effective in producing large fires. This suggests that the KT impactor was a comet rather than an asteroid.

Hills, J. G.↗

Asteroid and comet flux in the neighborhood of the earth

Significant advances in the knowledge and understanding of the flux of large solid objects in the neighborhood of Earth have occurred. The best estimates of the collision rates with Earth of asteroids and comets and the corresponding production of impact craters are presented. Approximately 80 Earth-crossing asteroids were discovered through May 1988. Among 42 new Earth-crossing asteroids found in the last decade, two-thirds were discovered from observations at Palomar Observatory and 15 were discovered or independently detected in dedicated surveys with the Palomar Observatory and 15 were discovered or independently detected in dedicated surveys with the Palomar 46 cm Schmidt. Probabilities of collision with Earth have been calculated for about two-thirds of the known Earth-crossing asteroids. When multiplied by the estimated population of Earth-crossers, this yields an estimated present rate of collision about 65 pct higher than that previously reported. Spectrophotometric data obtained chiefly in the last decade show that the large majority of obvserved Earth-crossers are similar to asteroids found in the inner part of the main belt. The number of discovered Earth-crossing comets is more than 4 times greater than the number of known Earth-crossing asteroids, but reliable data on the sizes of comet nuclei are sparse. The flux of comets almost certainly was highly variable over late geologic time, owing to the random perturbation of the Oort comet cloud by stars in the solar neighborhood.

Shoemaker, Eugene M.↗

Comet Rendezvous Asteroid Flyby - First Mariner Mark II

The Mariner Mark II, a novel, low-cost series of spacecraft, will find its initial use during the Comet Rendezvous Asteroid Flyby (CRAF) Project; the spacecraft is expected to obtain the first observations of asteroids, and to return over three years' worth of detailed science data from the vicinity of Comet Tempel 2. The second Mariner Mark II spacecraft, designated 'Cassini' will incorporate an ESA Titan probe. Attention is given to a possible solar/electric earth gravity-assist trajectory for a mission to Tempel 2.

Draper, Ron↗

Physical Characteristics of Asteroid-like Comet Nucleus C/2001 OG108 (LONEOS)

For many years several investigators have suggested that some portion of the near-Earth asteroid population may actually be extinct cometary nuclei. Evidence used to support these hypotheses was based on: observations of asteroid orbits and associated meteor showers (e.g. 3200 Phaethon and the Geminid meteor shower); low activity of short period comet nuclei, which implied nonvolatile surface crusts (e.g. Neujmin 1, Arend-Rigaux); and detections of transient cometary activity in some near-Earth asteroids (e.g. 4015 Wilson-Harrington). Recent investigations have suggested that approximately 5-10% of the near- Earth asteroid population may be extinct comets. However if members of the near-Earth asteroid population are extinct cometary nuclei, then there should be some objects within this population that are near their final stages of evolution and so should demonstrate only low levels of activity. The recent detections of coma from near-Earth object 2001 OG108 have renewed interest in this possible comet-asteroid connection. This paper presents the first high quality ground-based near-infrared reflectance spectrum of a comet nucleus combined with detailed lightcurve and albedo measurements.

Abell, P. A.↗

The Dynamics of Interstellar Asteroids and Comets within the Galaxy: An Assessment of Local Candidate Source Regions for 1I/’Oumuamua and 2I/Borisov

The low velocity of interstellar asteroid 1I/’Oumuamua with respect to our galaxy’s local standard of rest implies that it is young. Adopting the young age hypothesis, we assess possible origin systems for this interstellar asteroid and for 2I/Borisov, though the latter’s higher speed means it is unlikely to be young. First, their past trajectories are modeled under gravitational scattering by galactic components (“disk heating”) to assess how far back one can trace them. The stochastic nature of disk heating means that a back integration can only expect to be accurate to within 15 pc and 2 km s{sup −1} at −10 Myr, dropping steeply to 400 pc and 10 km s{sup −1} at −100 Myr, sharply limiting our ability to determine a precise origin. Nevertheless, we show that ’Oumuamua’s origin system likely is currently within 1 kpc of Earth, in the local Orion Arm. Second, we back integrate ’Oumuamua’s trajectory in order to assess source regions, emphasizing young systems and moving groups. Though disk heating allows for only a statistical link to source regions, ’Oumuamua passed through a considerable subset of the Carina and Columba moving groups when those groups were forming. This makes them perhaps the most plausible source region, if ’Oumuamua was ejected during planet formation or via intra-cluster interactions. We find three stars in the Ursa Major group, one brown dwarf, and seven other stars to have plausible encounters with 2I/Borisov, within 2 pc and 30 km s{sup −1}. These encounters’ high relative speeds mean none are likely to be the home of 2I/Borisov.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Comet and Asteroid Missions in NASA's New Millennium Program

NASA's New Millennium Program (NMP) is designed to develop, test, and flight validate new, advanced technologies for planetary and Earth exploration missions, using a series of low cost spacecraft. Two of NMP's current missions include encounters with comets and asteroids. The Deep Space 1 mission was launched on October 24, 1998 and will fly by asteroid 1992 KD on July 29, 1999, and possibly Comet Wilson-Harrington and/or Comet Borrelly in 2001. The Space Technology 4/Champollion mission will be launched in April, 2003 and will rendezvous with, orbit and land on periodic Comet Tempel 1 in 2006. ST-4/Champollion is a joint project with CNES, the French space agency. The DS-1 mission is going well since launch and has already validated several major technologies, including solar electric propulsion (SEP), solar concentrator arrays, a small deep space transponder, and autonomous navigation. The spacecraft carries two scientific instruments: MICAS, a combined visible camera and UV and IR spectrometers, and PEPE, an ion and electron spectrometer. Testing of the science instruments is ongoing. Following the asteroid encounter in July, 1999, DS-1 will go on to encounters with one or both comets if NASA approves funding for an extended mission. The ST-4/Champollion mission will use an advanced, multi-engine SEP system to effect a rendezvous with Comet P/Tempel 1 in February, 2006, after a flight time of 2.8 years. After orbiting the comet for several months in order to map its surface and determine its gravity field, ST-4/Chainpollion will descend to the comet's surface and will anchor itself with a 3-meter long harpoon. Scientific experiments include narrow and wide angle cameras for orbital mapping, panoramic and near-field cameras for landing site mapping, a gas chromatograph/mass spectrometer, a combined microscope and infrared spectrometer, and physical properties probes. Cometary samples will be obtained from depths up to 1.4 meters. The spacecraft is solar powered with rechargeable batteries, thus allowing a long duration mission on the nucleus surface. At the time of this writing, the ST-4/Champollion spacecraft was undergoing a major redesign to fit within NASA cost constraints, and approval of the mission is pending.

Weissman, Paul R.↗

Dark surfaces of asteroids and comets - Evidence for macromolecular carbon compounds

The presence of very low-albedo material on the surfaces of some classes of asteroids (C,P,D) and most comets appears to be related to macromolecular carbon compounds on these bodies. Preliminary detections of an organic spectral signature have been reported for some asteroids. The complex refractory organics that occur in some meteorites are probably the material that makes low-albedo asteroids dark. Comet surfaces and ejected dust particles are also very low albedo, apparently resulting from the radiation processing of organic ices.

Cruikshank, D. P.↗

Orbital evolution of dust particles from comets and asteroids

Results are presented from a computer simulation in which dust grains of three different sizes were released at perihelion passage from each of (1) 15 main belt asteroids, (2) 15 short-period comets with perihelion greater than 1 AU, and (3) 5 such comets with perihelion less than 1 AU. The evolving-orbit calculations for each of the dust rains include the effects of solar and planetary gravity, radiation pressure, Poynting-Robertson drag, and solar wind drag. It is noted that when dust grains evolve to intersection with the earth's orbit, they retain orbital characteristics indicative of their origins.

Jackson, A. A.↗

Astrometric Observations of Comets and Asteroids and Subsequent Orbital Investigations

An earlier series of photographic observations was made with the 1.5-m reflector from 1972 to 1989. The start of the series to which this report refers occurred shortly before the conversion from photographic to CCD operation in August 1989, at which point there was a dramatic increase in the productivity of the program. This is evident gives a month-by-month summary of the observations; the earlier data refer to the measurement or remeasurement of photographic plates previously taken with the same telescope. The total number of observations made was 24,423, of which 1338 were of comets. Of the 23,085 observations of asteroids, 21,529 referred to asteroids that were unnumbered when the observations were made. Since an important emphasis of the program was to improve knowledge of the orbits to the point where asteroids can be numbered, the fact that only 4262 of the observations refer to asteroids that are still unnumbered is a measure of the program's success, with 30-35 percent of all the new numberings being habitually made solely because of the recent data from the Oak Ridge program, which even at the time of McCrosky's retirement was still the fourth largest comet-asteroid astrometric program in the world.

Marsden, Brian G.↗

A Voyager-style tour of comets and asteroids 1994-2005

A low cost program that links a dual-comet flyby sample-return mission with a multicomet/asteroid tour is proposed. Two spacecraft are used to carry out this program: a three-axis stabilized Observer-class spacecraft and a smaller spin-stabilized sample-return probe. The Observer spacecraft uses earth-swingby and propulsive maneuvers to accomplish the small-body tour, which includes flybys of three comets (Tempel-1, Tempel-2, and Encke) and two asteroids (46-Hestia and 433-Eros) over a 12-year period. Two of these comets (Tempel-1 and Tempel-2) are also the shared targets, the Observer serves as a navigational aid for the probe, which scoops up dust particles as it flies through the cometary atmosphere. After collecting the cometary dust samples, the probe returns to a low earth orbit where it is recovered by the Space Shuttle.

Farquhar, Robert W.↗