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Design and optimization of flexible decoupled high-temperature gas-cooled reactor plants with thermal energy storage

Advanced nuclear power plants are well-positioned for future zero-carbon grids, however, the need for flexible power generation will be required over the traditional emphasis on baseload generation for meeting historical demands. To achieve such flexibility, this work examines viable configurations for coupling nuclear energy production with thermal energy storage. Previous designs on nuclear-thermal energy storage configurations for advanced reactor designs, which utilized reactor steam as the heat source for charging the thermal energy storage, are restricted by the heat diversion ratio and efficiency losses, thus their impacts can be limited. In this context, this study proposes configurations for fully decoupling the nuclear reactor from the power cycle and positioning the storage as an intermediate loop, thereby achieving an unconstrained heat diversion ratio and improved efficiency. Compared with a standard high-temperature gas-cooled reactor’s power cycle, steady-state thermodynamic modeling and dispatch optimizations quantify the benefits of a steam reheat cycle within the fully decoupled thermal energy system to separate the plant cycle from the high-pressure primary side. These benefits are further detailed, compatible with required high-temperature and high-pressure conditions, through (1) open-source dynamic transient models that examine the impact of off-design operation on the systems, (2) the investigation of components design and costing and finally (3) sizing and dispatch optimization. The fully-decoupled design achieves a cycle efficiency of 43.1%, an enhancement over the vendor’s standard efficiency of 42.2% (Xe-100 design). Here, the proposed design offers strengthened physical barriers from the nuclear island as well as superior operational flexibility and power boosting. Dispatch optimization and market analysis reveal that thermal energy storage size is highly dependent on the peak patterns of electricity prices and the minimum generation level constraint imposed on the balance of plant. Evaluation of off-design operation demonstrates that the full decoupling design with the suggested fail-safe control mechanisms ensures a minimal impact on reactor parameters, even during rapid power ramping.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Evidence for an Early Formation of Serenitatis Basin at 4.25 Ga Shifts Lunar Chronology

Troctolite sample 76535, collected in Serenitatis basin during Apollo 17, formed at least 50 km deep, experienced maximum shock pressures of 6 GPa, and has a 40 Ar/ 39 Ar excavation age of 4.25 Ga. Previous work attributed 76535 to the South Pole-Aitken (SPA) basin, presumably dating the SPA-impact and constraining lunar bombardment history. Here we use the iSALE-2D shock-physics code and gravity inversion modeling to determine if instead the Serenitatis impact event excavated 76535. We find nearly 140,000 km 3 of material (∼2% of near-surface ejecta) matching the depth and pressure constraints of 76535 is displaced to the surface during crater collapse of a Serenitatis-like impact event. We conclude that the Serenitatis impact event possibly excavated 76535, redefining its age to 4.25 Ga, 300 My older than the consensus age based on Apollo 17 samples. This finding would provide an important anchor point where lunar chronology where bombardment flux is especially uncertain.

Bjonnes, Evan [Lawrence Livermore National Laborat↗

Assessing the Potential Impact of Fugitive Methane Emissions on Offshore Platform Safety

One of the biggest risks to safety on offshore platform safety is the ignition of high-pressure natural gas streams. Currently, the size and number of fugitive emissions on offshore platforms is unknown and methods used to detect fugitives have significant shortcomings. To investigate the frequency, size, and potential impact of fugitives, a data collection exercise was conducted using incidents reported, leak survey data, and independent measurements. The size and number of fugitives on offshore facilities were simulated to investigate likely areas of safety concern. Incident reports indicate in 2021 there were 113 reports of gas leaks on 1119 offshore facilities, suggesting 0.02 fugitives per Type 1 facility (older, shallow-water platforms) and 0.31 fugitives per Type 2 facility (larger deeper-water facilities). Leak survey data report 12 fugitives per Type 1 facility (average emission 0.6 kg CH 4 h −1 leak −1 ) and 15 fugitives per Type 2 facility (average emission 1.5 kg CH 4 h −1 leak −1 ). Reconciliation of direct measurements with a bottom-up model suggests that the number of fugitive emissions generated from the leak report data is an underestimate for Type 1 platforms (44 fugitives facility −1 ; average emission 0.6 kg CH 4 h −1 leak −1 ) and in general agreement for the Type 2 platforms (15 fugitives facility −1 ; average emission 1.5 kg CH 4 h −1 leak −1 ). Analysis of the fugitive emission rates on an offshore platform suggests that gas will not collect to explosive concentration if any air movement is present (>0.36 mph); however, large volumes of air (~600 m 3 ) near representative leaks on the working deck could become explosive in hour-long zero-wind conditions. We suggest that wearable technology could be employed to indicate gas build up, safety regulations amended to consider low-wind conditions and real-world experiments are conducted to test assumptions of air mixing on the working deck.

explosion↗

Effects of Gasoline Composition and Operating Parameters on the Response of End-Gas Autoignition to Nitric Oxide in a Lean-Burn DI-SI Engine

Lean operation of spark-ignition engines can lead to engine thermal efficiency gains and lower NOx emissions due to reduced combustion temperatures. Yet, lean operation could still face challenges in end-gas autoignition and knock generation due to higher intake pressures and trapped NO in the residual gas. Here, this study evaluates the impact of NO on end-gas autoignition for two gasoline fuels with similar octane rating but different composition: high cycloalkane fuel (HCA) and high olefin fuel (HO). Experiments were performed at stoichiometric and lean (λ = 2) conditions and at two engine speeds of 1400 rpm and 2000 rpm. Accompanying chemical kinetics simulations in CHEMKIN revealed that the mechanisms controlling the effect of NO on autoignition are similar λ = 2 and λ = 1, with NO + HO 2 = NO 2 + OH being the main pathway for enhancing reactivity by promoting low-temperature heat release (LTHR). The compositionally different fuels reacted differently to NO seeding and engine speed, and differences were augmented at λ = 2 compared to λ = 1 as the end-gas autoignition shifted to the low temperature regime. HO, which has inherent low temperature chemistry, was strongly impacted by engine speed at low NO seeding levels, with no noticeable peak of LTHR detected at 2000 rpm. On the other hand, LTHR of HCA was marginally affected by shortened residence time at higher engine speed as NO + HO 2 reaction was not greatly affected by shorter time scales, since HO 2 production was sustained even at 2000 rpm to support OH generation from NO + HO 2 . Contrary to HO, HCA exhibited greater sensitivity to NO seeding, as the increased OH production at higher NO concentrations offset the OH-quenching effect of cyclopentane, which accounts for 28.6% of HCA’s composition. Consequently, a sensitivity analysis revealed that fuels with weak inherent low-temperature chemistry, like HCA, are likely to be more sensitive to variations in NO concentration and charge temperature, whereas fuels with strong low temperature chemistry are more sensitive to variations in end-gas λ and intake pressure.

Energy↗

Nonlinear gyrokinetic modelling of high confinement negative triangularity plasmas

Abstract Nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations correctly predict particle as well as ion and electron energy fluxes of high confinement plasmas with a negative triangularity cross sectional shape, showing that core transport in these plasmas is well described by standard gyrokinetic models. Experimentally inferred power balance fluxes are mostly reproduced within one standard deviation across a wide portion of the minor radius. Experimental conditions are reproduced by ion scale simulations, without the need to include density and temperature profile curvature effects. The experimental case is used as baseline to predict that the non-dimensional confinement scaling in negative triangularity plasmas increases strongly with plasma current while slightly degrading at increasing normalized pressure and decreasing collisionality. Recent experiments showed that low toroidal rotation negatively impacts confinement; consistent with the experiment, simulations predict that low rotational shear significantly affects confinement unless the plasma effective charge is maintained above a minimum level. Core confinement is predicted to significantly degrade in low aspect ratio devices.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Dynamic ecosystem assembly and escaping the “fire trap” in the tropics: insights from FATES_15.0.0

Abstract. Fire is a fundamental part of the Earth system, with impacts on vegetation structure, biomass, and community composition, the latter mediated in part via key fire-tolerance traits, such as bark thickness. Due to anthropogenic climate change and land use pressure, fire regimes are changing across the world, and fire risk has already increased across much of the tropics. Projecting the impacts of these changes at global scales requires that we capture the selective force of fire on vegetation distribution through vegetation functional traits and size structure. We have adapted the fire behavior and effects module, SPITFIRE (SPread and InTensity of FIRE), for use with the Functionally Assembled Terrestrial Ecosystem Simulator (FATES), a size-structured vegetation demographic model. We test how climate, fire regime, and fire-tolerance plant traits interact to determine the biogeography of tropical forests and grasslands. We assign different fire-tolerance strategies based on crown, leaf, and bark characteristics, which are key observed fire-tolerance traits across woody plants. For these simulations, three types of vegetation compete for resources: a fire-vulnerable tree with thin bark, a vulnerable deep crown, and fire-intolerant foliage; a fire-tolerant tree with thick bark, a thin crown, and fire-tolerant foliage; and a fire-promoting C4 grass. We explore the model sensitivity to a critical parameter governing fuel moisture and show that drier fuels promote increased burning, an expansion of area for grass and fire-tolerant trees, and a reduction of area for fire-vulnerable trees. This conversion to lower biomass or grass areas with increased fuel drying results in increased fire-burned area and its effects, which could feed back to local climate variables. Simulated size-based fire mortality for trees less than 20 cm in diameter and those with fire-vulnerable traits is higher than that for larger and/or fire-tolerant trees, in agreement with observations. Fire-disturbed forests demonstrate reasonable productivity and capture observed patterns of aboveground biomass in areas dominated by natural vegetation for the recent historical period but have a large bias in less disturbed areas. Though the model predicts a greater extent of burned fraction than observed in areas with grass dominance, the resulting biogeography of fire-tolerant, thick-bark trees and fire-vulnerable, thin-bark trees corresponds to observations across the tropics. In areas with more than 2500 mm of precipitation, simulated fire frequency and burned area are low, with fire intensities below 150 kW m−1, consistent with observed understory fire behavior across the Amazon. Areas drier than this demonstrate fire intensities consistent with those measured in savannas and grasslands, with high values up to 4000 kW m−1. The results support a positive grass–fire feedback across the region and suggest that forests which have existed without frequent burning may be vulnerable at higher fire intensities, which is of greater concern under intensifying climate and land use pressures. The ability of FATES to capture the connection between fire disturbance and plant fire-tolerance strategies in determining biogeography provides a useful tool for assessing the vulnerability and resilience of these critical carbon storage areas under changing conditions across the tropics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Optical emission spectroscopy and imaging of low-pressure N2 plasmas generated by intense fast-pulsed electron beams

An optical emission spectroscopic (OES) and imaging characterization is conducted on N2 plasmas generated by a 100 keV fast-pulsed electron beam. The electron beams are injected into an N2 gas filled volume with a current of 4.5 kA (300 A/cm2) and a 100 ns pulse width. The characterization is conducted at the pressures, 1 Torr and 0.1 Torr, corresponding to two distinct regimes that exhibit significantly different plasma dynamics. Beam impact ionization is shown to be a primary mechanism for producing low temperature plasmas at 1 Torr during beam output. After beam termination, ionization by an inductive electric field becomes the primary mechanism for plasma formation later in time for both pressures. OES and plasma imaging are used in this work as a diagnostic tool to track the distribution of electronic, vibrational, and rotational state transitions and ionized species. This is achieved with the use of a multi-resolution suite of spectrometers capable of acquiring time-resolved spectra. Vibrational and rotational bands of the N2 second positive system (C3Πu→B3Πg) and the N2+ first negative system (B2Σu+→X2Σg+) are identified in both regimes as well as N+ states exclusively in the lower pressure regime. Vibrational and rotational spectra are shown to track the evolution of the time-varying plasma current. Plasma imaging also reveals spatially nonuniform plasma emission at 0.1 Torr. A few hundred shots are recorded to fully characterize the emissions, and results are shown to be highly reproducible (≤±1% with 2σ confidence).

Kaiser, E. R. (ORCID:0000000336493938)↗

Fuel Bonding and its Impact on Axial Gas Communication Behavior in Light-Water Reactor Fuel Rods

Axial gas communication concerns the flow along the axial axis of nuclear fuel rods during ramp and loss of coolant accident (LOCA) conditions. During power ramps, the higher linear heat generation rate may cause fuel-to-clad gap closure that may prevent transport of released fission gases to the plenum. Upon reduction in power the gas then can communicate to the plenum. This phenomenon has been experimentally observed by short power dips during ramp experiments completed at the Risø reactor. At higher burnups it is observed that the UO2 fuel and Zircaloy cladding forms a chemical bond. This bond results in complete closure of the gap. When these high burnup rods are subjected to a LOCA, the bond has implications on both the mechanical response (i.e., ballooning) of the cladding and subsequent fuel relocation and axial gas communication. In the LOCA scenario, gas communication is of interest in two different regimes: 1) pre-rupture communication from the plenum towards the lower pressure ballooning area and 2) the post-rupture depressurization of the plenum to the external system pressure. In both regimes the presence of a fuel-to-cladding bond will impact the rate of depressurization. In this work we present a fuel-to-clad bonding model that is coupled to an existing axial gas communication model framework in the BISON fuel performance code. The effect of considering the bond on fuel performance modeling predictions is presented through comparisons to existing experimental data. Experiments considered include several rods from the Halden IFA-650 test series. An evaluation on a full-length rod that explores the combined effect of plenum size and bonding status on axial gas communication behavior is also presented.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Optimization of Triply Periodic Minimal Surface Heat Exchanger to Achieve Compactness, High Efficiency, and Low-Pressure Drop

With advancements in additive manufacturing (AM) techniques, high-quality triply periodic minimal surface (TPMS) structures can now be produced. TPMS walled heat exchangers (HX) hold significant potential for industrial applications and are receiving increasing attention. This paper explores the impact of various TPMS design variables on flow and thermal performance to optimize TPMS heat exchangers for compactness, high efficiency, and low pressure drop. The design variables examined include the type of TPMS lattice, unit cell size, wall thickness, aspect ratio, TPMS orientation, and equivalent thickness. The study reveals that the flow and heat transfer performance of TPMS structures are significantly affected by these design variables. For the Gyroid, Diamond, and SplitP lattices, performance is nearly identical when the surface-to-volume ratio is kept constant. The average velocity of the fluid in the TPMS HX should be 0.3 m/s. The corresponding Re is between 300~800. Thin wall thickness, small equivalent thickness, and flat lattice configurations can significantly reduce pressure drop while maintaining the overall heat transfer coefficient. Additionally, the angle between the flow direction and TPMS orientation can increase pressure drop. Three aluminum heat exchangers were successfully printed using an AM machine, and testing results are comparable with theoretical prediction.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Ambient-pressure 151-K superconductivity in HgBa 2 Ca 2 Cu 3 O 8+δ via pressure quench

Superconductivity has been a vigorously researched topic since its discovery in 1911. Raising the superconducting transition temperature (T c ) has been the main driving force behind such long-sustained efforts due to its potential for impacting humanity and the fundamental knowledge gained from understanding this macroscopic coherent quantum state at high temperatures. The successful development of high-T c superconductivity will make possible extraordinarily efficient generation, delivery, and utilization of energy and could also enable the development of controlled fusion while impacting other burgeoning fields like quantum computation and quantum electronics. However, progress has been hindered by a longstanding plateau in the record ambient-pressure T c , unchanged since 1993. Subsequent significant advancements in T c have been achieved only under high pressures, preventing the realization of superconductivity’s full potential. To directly address this challenge, we developed a pressure-quench protocol (PQP) to stabilize pressure-induced/-enhanced superconducting states at ambient pressure. Here, we achieve a record ambient-pressure T c of 151 K in the cuprate HgBa 2 Ca 2 Cu 3 O 8+δ via PQP. The experimental results are further supported by synchrotron X-ray diffraction measurements and phonon and electronic structure calculations. This breakthrough opens avenues for stabilizing and exploring ambient-pressure high-T c superconducting states and other quantum states that have been previously only accessible under pressure, paving the way for deeper understanding and practical applications of high-T c superconductivity and beyond.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

The Physics of Micro-Pinches

This project focused on using pulsed-power-driven techniques to study the coupling of high-energy-density (HED) magnetic fields to HED matter in the laboratory. Specifically, we studied a phenomenon known as "micro-pinching" to obtain HED conditions on a modest, university-scale pulsed-power driver: the 1-MA, 100-ns MAIZE linear transformer driver (LTD) facility at the University of Michigan. We used the "X-pinch" platform as a means of generating micro-pinch HED plasmas. An X-pinch is formed when two or more wires are crossed into the shape of an 'X' and a large electrical current is driven through the wires. This creates an intense electrical current density at the crossing point of the wires. Associated with this current density is an intense magnetic field and an intense magnetic field pressure. The magnetic field pressure compresses and heats the wire material into the HEDP regime. The use of an X-pinch platform ensures that the micro-pinch HED plasma will form in a well-controlled location, which helps with diagnostics alignment. This platform allowed us to explore the extreme plasma conditions and magnetic field pressures that can be generated with compact pulsed-power technology and intensely focused discharge currents. Understanding the limits of intensely focused discharge currents could have an enormous impact on HED science, especially when one considers the scaling of these platforms to the 30-MA Z facility at Sandia National Laboratories, where pressures well in excess of 1 Gbar could be achieved.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The impact of regional resources and technology availability on carbon dioxide removal potential in the United States

To achieve net zero carbon emissions by mid-century, the United States may need to rely on carbon dioxide removal (CDR) to offset emissions from difficult-to-decarbonize sectors and/or shortfalls in near-term mitigation efforts. CDR can be delivered using many approaches with different requirements for land, water, geologic carbon storage capacity, energy, and other resources. The availability of these resources varies by region in the U.S. suggesting that CDR deployment will be uneven across the country. Using the global change analysis model for the United States (GCAM-USA), we modeled six classes of CDR and explored their potential using four scenarios: a scenario where all the CDR pathways are available (Full Portfolio), a scenario with restricted carbon capture and storage (Low CCS), a scenario where the availability of bio-based CDR options is limited (Low Bio), and a scenario with constraints on enhanced rock weathering (ERW) capabilities (Low ERW). We find that by employing a diverse set of CDR approaches, the U.S. could remove between 1 and 1.9 GtCO 2 /yr by midcentury. In the Full Portfolio scenario, direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS) predominates, delivering approximately 50% of CO 2 removal, with bioenergy with carbon capture and storage contributing 25%, and ERW delivering 11.5%. Texas and the agricultural Midwest lead in CDR deployment due to their abundant agricultural land and geological storage availability. In the Low CCS scenario, reliance on DACCS decreases, easing pressure on energy systems but increasing pressure on the land. In all cases CDR deployment was found to drive important impacts on energy, land, or materials supply chains (to supply ERW, for example) and these effects were generally more pronounced when fewer CDR technologies were available.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Advancements in the modification of TiFe alloys for enhanced hydrogen Storage: Strategies and future Directions

Hydrogen is considered a promising clean energy source, and a potential alternative to conventional fossil fuels. TiFe alloy has been particularly interesting due to its ability to reversibly absorb and desorb hydrogen at room temperature and low pressure. The initial hydrogen absorption stage of TiFe alloy requires activation under high-temperature and high-pressure conditions, which hinders its practical application. Here, this paper primarily examines the impact of elemental substitution methods on the hydrogen storage capabilities of TiFe alloys, with a particular emphasis on elucidating the mechanisms associated with various substituent elements. Commonly utilized elements, such as Mn, V, and Zr, significantly improve the activation performance of TiFe alloys. Additionally, the incorporation of elements such as Ni, Cr, Ce, and Y contributes to the modulation of phase composition, as well as the enhancement of activation and kinetic properties. However, there exists a notable deficiency in systematic investigations concerning alternative elements, coupled with a frequent oversight of the preparation process's influence on the hydrogen storage characteristics of these alloys. Consequently, the mechanisms by which different elements affect the hydrogen storage process in TiFe alloys remain inadequately understood among current research, thereby complicating the establishment of experiment-based design guidelines for TiFe alloys. Furthermore, the plasma treatment and high-entropy alloying present new approaches for optimizing the hydrogen storage properties of TiFe alloys. This paper aims to present novel research perspectives and insights to scholars in the field by introducing methods for the modification of TiFe alloys.

Hydrogen storage↗

Product Innovation to Increase Low-to-Moderate-Income Customers' Adoption of Community Solar PV

This study aims to comprehensively analyze community solar project preferences for consumers and suppliers by conducting three distinct analyses. First we analyze the predictors of community solar contract adoption to understand how individual priorities affect the probability of adoption. Using an original data set of survey responses from potential community solar customers, we analyzed the predictors of contract adoption by employing a weighted logit model. We find that individuals who were previously familiar with community solar projects were significantly more likely to adopt than those who were not familiar. Secondly, a survey of community solar developers and financiers identified industry perceived barriers to community solar access and inclusion. Thirdly, we gathered payment performance information from community solar initiatives to measure how financial risks are perceived and how they interact with customer demographics. Our study is beneficial to the public by providing insights into the drivers and barriers of community solar adoption and sheds light on the importance of understanding individual priorities in designing effective community solar policies. The community solar industry has changed significantly since the beginning of this project. The industry continues to grow at a rapid rate, with an additional 7 gigawatts expected to come online between 2022 and 2027. With federal pressure to meet climate goals, as the harms of climate change continue to impact everybody, legislators are looking to community solar as a method to achieving their states energy policy goals. These new policies that push for low-to-moderate inclusion, coupled with the increase in community solar capacity illustrate a new era for the community solar industry. A number of policies have arisen in the last few months that push for more inclusive practices including the groundbreaking Solar for All program run by the EPA. The research created a “best practice” contract that can then be used, in conjunction with the manuscript and validated study, to pitch the industry on a more inclusive community solar product.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Industrial Carbon Capture from a Cement Facility Using the Cryocap FG Process (FE0032136)

The project's objective was to execute and complete front-end engineering and design (FEED) studies for commercial-scale, carbon capture projects that separate 95% of the total CO2 emissions at an industrial facility, producing at least 100,000 metric tonnes/year of CO2 for sequestration. The industrial facility selected is the Holcim (US) Ste. Genevieve cement manufacturing facility (the largest single kiln line in the world), while the carbon capture system selected is Pressure Swing Adsorption system (PSA) assisted Cryocap™ technology developed by Air Liquide. The impact of the project on Environmental Justice and the regional economy was also analyzed.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

High-Fidelity Computational Studies of Intermediate Pressure Capacitively Coupled Plasmas

This report discussed progress made in the development of a computational model for intermediate pressure capacitively coupled plasma discharge. A new full fidelity argon chemistry model has been developed that includes electron, argon ion, three lumped states for electronically excited species, and the background ground state argon. As such the mechanism has been validated over a wide range of intermediate pressure conditions from 100 mTorr to a few Torr. Uncertainties in the electron impact cross sections and the rate coefficients for the reactions are propagated through the model to establish uncertainties that emerge in the model due the reaction mechanism and its impact on the discharge properties. The model is therefore validated in face of uncertainties.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

High Energy Density Physics of Inertial Confinement Fusion Ablator Materials (Final Technical Report)

The goal of this project was to conduct dynamic compression experiments and predictive simulations to reveal the fundamental high-energy-density (HED) physics of amorphous carbon. These results are essential for assessing amorphous carbon as a potential ablator material for next generation of inertial confinement fusion (ICF) capsules. We made significant progress in exploring the HED properties of amorphous carbon through experiments at Omega EP Laser and the European XFEL, in addition to billion-atom, quantum-accurate molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. Through our joint experimental and simulation program, we mapped the phase diagram of amorphous carbon, uncovering its range of metastability and identifying phase transitions to diamond and liquid carbon along the Hugoniot and at higher pressures using double shock compression pathways. Our findings indicate that amorphous carbon melts at significantly lower shock pressures than high-density carbon (diamond). However, nanocrystalline diamond nucleates across a broad range of pressures and temperatures. This emergence of the nanocrystalline microstructure during compression can negatively impact the planarity of the shock front and potentially trigger ablator/fuel mixing during Inertial Fusion Energy (IFE) applications.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Investigation of acoustic waves under subsurface conditions to improve the predictions of rock mechanical properties and natural fracture characteristics

Mechanical properties and natural fracture characteristics are critical to investigate for subsurface engineering applications, including carbon storage, well drilling, and stimulation, as they govern rock stability, fluid flow, and mechanical behavior under stress. This dissertation integrates experimental and machine learning approaches to enhance the prediction and understanding of these properties by analyzing acoustic wave behavior under varied subsurface conditions. First, the influence of temperature, pore pressure, and supercritical CO2 (scCO2) saturation on poroelastic properties is examined using Gray Berea sandstone samples. The results show that temperature and pore pressure significantly affect the bulk modulus and Biot’s coefficient, while scCO2 saturation impacts rock compressibility, informing strategies for effective geological carbon storage. The study extends this understanding by experimentally evaluating the impact of reservoir depletion on the dynamic mechanical properties of the emerging Caney shale in South Oklahoma with the employment of unsupervised machine learning to predict static mechanical properties across the Caney shale. Integrating petrophysical data and chemostratigraphy, the workflow—featuring K-means clustering, principal component analysis (PCA), and inverse distance weighting (IDW)—improves stratigraphic characterization and the estimation of static-to-dynamic modulus ratios, which is vital for optimizing drilling and stimulation strategies. Finally, the work explores how natural fracture characteristics in shale influence acoustic waveforms and shear wave splitting (SWS) analysis. Experimental data on fractured samples under different stress and temperature conditions, combined with machine learning models such as K-nearest neighbors (KNN) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), reveal key fracture properties impacting SWS and wave propagation. Together, these studies provide a comprehensive framework for linking acoustic wave behavior with rock properties, advancing the methods for monitoring and predicting geomechanical changes. The insights offered valuable implications for safer, more efficient CO2 injection, hydrocarbon extraction, and subsurface management.

Elkholy, Sherif↗