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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 109 records · Page 6
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Radiological Source Term Estimation and Isotopic Identification with Parallel Log Domain Particle Filters

This paper presents a parallel log-domain particle filtering algorithm combined with gamma spectrum unfolding to perform localization, identification, and evaluation of multiple point sources of various isotopes in an environment with attenuating obstacles. The method uses sets of precomputed attenuation kernels that map the attenuation characteristics of the environment. These kernels are specific to the energy level of a photopeak of interest. The spectral measurements are deconvolved into count measurements of each photopeak. These count measurements are fed into a set of parallel particle filters using attenuation kernels computed for that photopeak’s energy level. The individual regularized particle filters perform all likelihood calculations in the logarithmic domain to mitigate the effects of particle degeneracy. The output of each particle filter is combined to estimate which isotopes are present as well as their positions and strengths. The performance of the algorithm is characterized in a lab-scale environment using a mobile robot equipped with a gamma ray spectrometer in the presence of up to three different radioactive isotopes simultaneously. The sources were localized to within 10 cm, and their strengths were estimated within 10% of their true values. Furthermore, the isotopes were all correctly identified, and no spurious sources were reported.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Scalable Risk Assessment of Rare Events in Power Systems With Uncertain Wind Generation and Loads

Risk assessment of rare events has become increasingly important in power system planning and operation with the increasing integration of renewable energy and the presence of system uncertainties. However, quantifying the risk posed by rare events via the traditional method, i.e., Monte Carlo sampling (MCS), incurs substantial computational expense stemming from the vast ensemble of power flow simulations. To accelerate the assessment, this paper proposes a Deep Neural Network (DNN)-kernelized vector-valued Gaussian Process (VVGP) approach with excellent computational efficiency while maintaining high accuracy. Consequently, serving as a surrogate model for the power flow solver, the DNN-kernelized VVGP enables significantly faster but accurate risk assessment compared to the power flow solver. The developed surrogate model evaluates low-order N - k events that contain more than 90% instances by adeptly capturing the topological features while the high-order N - k events are assessed via a power flow solver, thereby striking a balance between computational efficiency and uncertainty quantification accuracy. Moreover, the model incorporates a Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier to resample concerning low-probability tail events to counteract the biases potentially introduced during the DNN-kernelized VVGP evaluations. Simulations conducted on the modified IEEE 24-bus, 118-bus, and European 1354-bus systems demonstrate that the proposed method maintains the accuracy benchmark set by MCS while significantly reducing computational demands in large-scale power systems as compared to other state-of-the-art methods.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Numerical Investigation of Ammonia/n-Heptane Dual-Fuel Spray Flames Using Large Eddy Simulations

Diesel engines are extensively used in heavy-duty transportation, power generation, and marine vehicles due to their superior thermal efficiency and extended high-load operability compared to spark ignition (SI) engines. However, combustion in diesel engines is generally characterized by locally rich fuel–air mixtures and high combustion temperatures, causing significant amounts of soot and NO x emissions from these engines. Utilizing carbon-free alternative fuels and enhancing fuel efficiency represent promising strategies to mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) and other emissions in the heavy-duty transportation sector. In this context, ammonia (NH 3 ), as a hydrogen carrier, has received significant attention as a viable substitute for hydrocarbon fuels due to its carbon-free composition, relatively high energy density, and well-established infrastructure. Many previous studies have considered combustion and emission characteristics of ammonia-hydrocarbon fuel blends in engines and simplified flames. But, detailed investigations on the effects of ammonia on the performance of hydrocarbon fuels under engine conditions are lacking. In the present study, we perform large eddy simulations (LES) of the ignition and flame processes in a constant-volume combustion reactor, where n-heptane is injected in an ammonia/air ambient mixture in a diesel-like environment. A detailed and validated reaction mechanism containing 302 species and 1981 reactions is employed. The Engine Combustion Network Spray H experimental data is used to validate the spray model under both non-reacting and reacting conditions. Dual-fuel combustion is simulated using the well-stirred reactor (WSR) approach. Results are presented for two spray cases: (1) single fuel (SF) with n-heptane injected into a mixture of air and combustion products and (2) dual-fuel (DF) with the injection of n-heptane in a mixture of air, ammonia, and combustion products. It is observed that the presence of ammonia has a significant effect on the ignition and flame development processes. With ammonia addition, both the first- and second-stage ignition delay times increase, but the effect of ammonia on the second-stage ignition is significantly more prominent. In addition, the ignition kernel size and growth rate decrease noticeably. For SF spray, the main ignition is characterized by multiple ignition kernels near the spray tip, whereas for DF spray, a single relatively small ignition kernel forms and grows slowly in the downstream direction. The flame development and the final quasi-steady flame structure are also modified due to ammonia. Here, the outcome of this research would enable a better understanding of ammonia–diesel dual-fuel spray flame behavior and guide the development of associated engine combustion strategies.

ammonia↗
DOE OSTI2025

Methodology for Determination of Cellulosic Glucans and Hemicellulose Content in a Fuel Ethanol Production Facility (CRADA Final Report)

Develop a single methodology for determination of the total cellulosic glucan, including both cellulose and beta-glucans, along with hemicellulose content in corn kernel fiber which could be utilized by the dry grind corn ethanol production industry to determine the cellulosic converted fraction of the corn kernel fiber. The work will build upon a methodology already described in literature but will specifically focus on a more complete determination of the structural polysaccharides in corn kernel fiber to make it more applicable to the corn ethanol industry.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2026

RU Net for Automatic Characterization of TRISO Fuel Cross Sections

TRistructural ISOtropic (TRISO) particle fuel is a type of nuclear fuel known for its high-temperature and high-burnup performance. Each sub-millimeter diameter TRISO particle consists of uranium-oxycarbide (UCO) or UO2 fuel kernel, coated with buffer, inner pyrolytic carbon (IPyC), silicon carbide (SiC), and outer pyrolytic carbon (OPyC) layers. The SiC layer acts as the main containment barrier for the TRISO particle to retain the fission products, while the IPyC and OPyC layers provide additional barriers to the release of fission products, especially fission gases. During irradiation, phenomena like kernel swelling, buffer densification, and IPyC fracture may impact fuel performance. Post-irradiation microscopy on entire compact cross sections or samples of individual particles deconsolidated from compacts is often used to identify these irradiation-induced changes in morphology. However, each fuel compact generally contains thousands of TRISO particles. To get statistical information on these phenomena, it is cumbersome work if done manually. For example, to get information about swelling/densification behaviors of different layers or kernels after irradiation, researchers previously manually measured the perimeter of each TRISO layer in hundreds of particles after four rounds of iterative grinding and polishing encompassing more than 2000 cross-section images for a total of four fuel compacts. To attempt to reduce the subjectivity inherent in that process and accelerate data analysis, we conducted a study on the automatic TRISO layer segmentation on cross-sectional microscopic images using Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). CNNs are a class of machine learning algorithms specifically designed for processing structured grid data that have gained popularity in recent years due to their remarkable performance in various computer vision tasks, including image classification, object detection, and image segmentation. In this research, we have generated the large irradiated TRISO layer dataset with more than 2000 cross-section TRISO microscopic images and the corresponding annotated images. Based on these annotated images, we have employed different CNNs for automatic segmentation of different TRISO layers. These include RU-Net (developed in this study), as well as three existing architectures: U-Net, Residual Network (ResNet), and Attention U-Net. The preliminary results show that the model based on RU-Net has the best performance in terms of intersection-over-union (IoU). Through the aid of these CNN models, we can expedite the analysis of TRISO particle cross-sections, significantly reducing the manual labor involved and improving the objectivity of the segmentation results.

Convolutional Neural Networks↗
DOE OSTI2024

autoGEMM: Pushing the Limits of Irregular Matrix Multiplication on Arm Architectures

This paper presents an open-source library that pushes the limits of performance portability for irregular General Matrix Multiplication (GEMM) on the widely-used Arm architectures. Our library, autoGEMM, is designed to support a wide range of Arm processors: from edge devices to HPC-grade CPUs. autoGEMM generates optimized kernels for various hardware configurations by auto-combining fragments of autogenerated micro-kernels that employ hand-written optimizations to maximize computational efficiency. We optimize the kernel pipeline by tuning the register reuse and the data load/store overlapping. In addition, we use a dynamic tiling scheme to generate balanced tile shapes. Finally, we position autoGEMM on top of the TVM framework where our dynamic tiling scheme prunes the search space for TVM to identify the optimal combination of parameters for code optimization. Evaluations on five different classes of Arm chips demonstrate the advantages of autoGEMM. For small matrices, autoGEMM achieves 98% of peak and up to 2.0x speedup over state-of-the-art libraries such as LIBXSMM and LibShalom. For irregular matrices (i.e. tall skinny and long rectangles), autoGEMM is 1.3-2.0x faster than widely-used libraries such as OpenBLAS and Eigen. autoGEMM is publicly available at: https://github.com/wudu98/autoGEMM.

Wu, Du↗
DOE OSTI2025

Assessment of buffer-IPyC thermomechanical debonding behavior using new experimental strength data in BISON

TRIstructural ISOtropic (TRISO) fuel is a nuclear fuel commonly used in High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (HTGRs). A single sub-millimeter-diameter TRISO fuel particle consists of a spherical fuel kernel surrounded by four coating layers: a low-density pyrocarbon buffer layer, an inner pyrolytic carbon (IPyC) layer, a silicon carbide (SiC) layer, and an outer pyrolytic carbon (OPyC) layer. The kernel is commonly made of UO2 or a mixture of uranium carbide and uranium oxide (UCO). During reactor operation, the TRISO coating layers are subjected to irradiation-induced dimensional changes and the associated thermomechanical behavior of each layer. One of the observed behaviors is gap formation between the buffer and IPyC layer due to the porous buffer’s irradiation-induced shrinkage exceeding that of the IPyC layer. Not all irradiated particles will experience buffer-IPyC gap formation. The debonding may be partial, or it may be nearly total. However, from post-irradiation examination of UCO TRISO fuels irradiated as part of the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) Fuel Development and Qualification Program, it was concluded that partial buffer-IPyC debonding was the most common type of buffer-IPyC interaction. To predict TRISO thermomechanical performance, multi-physics models have been built that are being continually updated and refined. The BISON code is a finite element-based nuclear fuel performance code that may be used for 1D, 2D, and 3D TRISO particle simulations. This code is used to calculate fuel temperature, kernel swelling, buffer densification, thermal and irradiation creep, fracture, and fission gas production and release. One of the recent additions to the BISON code is the ability to model the process of layer debonding. This paper will focus on the simulation results of the improved BISON debonding model that will utilize updated strengths measured from irradiated AGR TRISO fuel particles. The new experimental strength data from micromechanical tests of irradiated TRISO fuel samples were exercised in the BISON simulations and compared to baseline strength data to assess their applicability in the models. This also includes updated buffer-IPyC bond strengths to simulate layer delamination. Based on current experimental observations it is noted that the buffer-IPyC separation occurs not exactly at the junction of these two layers, but more on the side of the buffer layer. That observation is also implemented in the TRISO interface debonding model. This improved modeling approach using experimental strength data to characterize buffer-IPyC debonding and its potential subsequent cracking will be presented in the paper along with comparisons to available experimental observations.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Comparison of structurally diverse simulation models for prediction of epidemic outcomes caused by a long-distance dispersed pathogen

Long-distance dispersal (LDD) pathogens pose substantial challenges for epidemic control due to their ability to generate new infection foci at great distances. While various modeling approaches have been developed to understand and manage such outbreaks, little work has compared how models of different structures behave under shared conditions. Here, in this study, we compare four structurally distinct epidemiological models — EPIMUL, GEMF, PoPS, and Warwick — each adapted to simulate the spread of wheat stripe rust (WSR), a wind-dispersed LDD pathogen, under identical epidemiological parameters and dispersal kernel. Using data from a controlled field experiment, we evaluate the ability of each model to replicate disease prevalence under nine intervention scenarios that vary in timing and culling area. While the models differ substantially in design — ranging from spatial grid-based to network-based and raster-based frameworks — the shared dispersal kernel allowed for close alignment in their predictions. All models accurately captured general epidemic trends, particularly the strong effect of early intervention on disease suppression. We qualitatively compared their behavioral responses across scenarios and also evaluated an ensemble prediction by averaging across model outputs. Our findings highlight how integrating shared epidemiological components into distinct modeling frameworks can improve consistency and accuracy, while reinforcing the importance of early culling in managing LDD pathogen outbreaks.

Dispersal kernel↗
DOE OSTI2024

IRIS: A Performance-Portable Framework for Cross-Platform Heterogeneous Computing

From edge to exascale, computer architectures are becoming more heterogeneous and complex. The systems typically have fat nodes, with multicore CPUs and multiple hardware accelerators such as GPUs, FPGAs, and DSPs. This complexity is causing a crisis in programming systems and performance portability. Several programming systems are working to address these challenges, but the increasing architectural diversity is forcing software stacks and applications to be specialized for each architecture. As we show, all of these approaches critically depend on their software framework for discovery, execution, scheduling, and data orchestration. To address this challenge, we believe that a more agile and proactive software framework is essential to increase performance portability and improve user productivity. To this end, we have designed and implemented IRIS: a performance-portable framework for cross-platform heterogeneous computing. IRIS can discover available resources, manage multiple diverse programming platforms (e.g., CUDA, Hexagon, HIP, Level Zero, OpenCL, OpenMP) simultaneously in the same execution, respect data dependencies, orchestrate data movement proactively, and provide for user-configurable scheduling. To simplify data movement, IRIS introduces a shared virtual device memory with relaxed consistency among different heterogeneous devices. IRIS also adds an automatic kernel workload partitioning technique using the polyhedral model so that it can resize kernels for a wide range of devices. Our evaluation on three architectures, ranging from Qualcomm Snapdragon to a Summit supercomputer node, shows that IRIS improves portability across a wide range of diverse heterogeneous architectures with negligible overhead.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

ChatPORT: Fine-Tuned LLM for Easy Code {PORT}ing

Fine-tuning existing LLMs for specialized tasks has become a very attractive alternative due to its low cost and quick development cycle. With many pre-trained LLMs available, it is an increasingly complex task to choose the correct model as the starting point or base model. In this work we discuss ChatPORT - a specialized fine-tuned LLM geared towards providing correctly translated codes from one programming model to another. We evaluate a number of base models and compare and contrast their features and characteristics that make them a viable starting point. In this paper, we focus on the OpenMP offload porting capabilities of ChatPORT. We build our training data using kernels from the Heterogeneous Computing Benchmarks (HeCBench) [12] and the OpenMP Validation and Verification suite [5] to fine-tune the base models. We then test the model using unseen kernels extracted from the HeCBench benchmark suite. Our results show that: (1) not all open LLMs geared towards HPC are aware of programming models like OpenMP, (2) although all base models benefit from fine-tuning they learn differently and produce different correctness rates, (3) depending on the memory size and compute resource available, different base models can be used for fine-tuning without significantly affecting the quality of transpiled code they generate, (4) fine-tuning improved the correctness rate of the LLM by an average of 43.2%, and (5) feedback-based training data further increased the correctness rate by an average of 6% over the LLMs tested.

Pophale, Swaroop [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000185446367)↗
DOE OSTI2025

Non-isometry, state dependence and holography

We establish an equivalence between non-isometry of quantum codes and state dependence of operator reconstruction, and discuss implications of this equivalence for holographic duality. Specifically, we define quantitative measures of non-isometry and state dependence and describe bounds relating these quantities. In the context of holography we show that, assuming known gravitational path integral results for overlaps between semiclassical states, non-isometric bulk-to-boundary maps with a trivial kernel are approximately isometric and bulk reconstruction approximately state-independent. In contrast, non-isometric maps with a non-empty kernel always lead to state-dependent reconstruction. We also show that if a global bulk-to-boundary map is non-isometric, then there exists a region in the bulk which is causally disconnected from the boundary. Finally, we conjecture that, under certain physical assumptions for the definition of the Hilbert space of effective field theory in AdS space, the presence of a global horizon implies a non-isometric global bulk-to-boundary map.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2024

The soaring kite: a tale of two punctured tori

We consider the 5-mass kite family of self-energy Feynman integrals and present a systematic approach for constructing an ε-form basis, along with its differential equation pulled back onto the moduli space of two tori. Each torus is associated with one of the two distinct elliptic curves this family depends on. We demonstrate how the locations of relevant punctures, which are required to parametrize the full image of the kinematic space onto this moduli space, can be extracted from integrals over maximal cuts. A boundary value is provided such that the differential equation is systematically solved in terms of iterated integrals over g-kernels and modular forms. Then, the numerical evaluation of the master integrals is discussed, and important challenges in that regard are emphasized. In an appendix, we introduce new relations between g-kernels.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Non-perturbative quarkonium dissociation rates in strongly coupled quark-gluon plasma

Heavy quarks and quarkonia are versatile probes of the transport properties of the hot QCD medium produced in ultra-relativistic heavy-ion collisions (URHICs). A robust description of heavy-flavor transport coefficients requires a microscopic approach that treats the open and hidden heavy-flavor sectors on the same footing. Here, we employ the quantum many-body T -matrix formalism to evaluate the dissociation rates of heavy quarkonia in the quark-gluon plasma (QGP). The basic ingredient is the heavy-light T -matrix, which utilizes a nonperturbative driving kernel constrained by lattice-QCD data. Its resummation in a ladder series provides a much enhanced interaction strength compared to a previously used perturbative coupling to the quasiparticle partons in the QGP. The in-medium quarkonium properties, particularly their temperature-dependent binding energies, are obtained from selfconsistent calculations with the same interaction kernel, including interference effects (also referred to as the imaginary part of the heavy-quark potential) as well as off-shell parton spectral functions. We systematically investigate the interplay of these effects and elaborate on the connections to the dipole approximation used in effective field theory.

effective field theories of QCD↗
DOE OSTI2025

Plasma assisted NH 3 /H 2 /air ignition in nanosecond discharges with non-equilibrium energy transfer

Ammonia (NH 3 ), with its high energy density and easiness to store and transport as a hydrogen carrier, has become a promising alternative green fuel. However, its adoption in power generation is hindered by challenges such as low burning velocity, slow low-temperature oxidation, high NO x emissions, and ignition difficulty. Here, this work computationally investigates the effects of non-equilibrium energy transfer by nanosecond discharges on NH 3 ignition and flame propagation in an NH 3 /H 2 /air flow at 700 K and 1 atm. The simulation results demonstrate that NH 3 /air mixtures require a large ignition energy due to their large critical ignition radius. It is shown that adding 30 % hydrogen significantly reduces the critical ignition radius and minimum ignition energy. Two-dimensional modeling further shows a non-monotonic dependence of ignition kernel volume on the applied voltage and reduced electric field. The optimum ignition enhancement occurs at 200 Td where the generation of electronically excited species and radicals including N 2 (B), O( 1 D) and OH becomes most efficient. Higher voltages divert electron energy toward ionization, which makes it less effective for NH 3 ignition. The study also identifies an optimal electrode gap size for a given pulse energy. Smaller gap sizes increase deposited energy density, raising temperature and radical concentrations. However, excessive reduction of the gap distance reduces flame propagation speed due to the flame stretch effect in rich mixtures with the effective Lewis number greater than unity. A nonlinear relationship between pulse repetition frequency and ignition kernel volume is observed in a nanosecond pulsed high frequency discharge (NPHFD). An optimal frequency range of 200 kHz to 2 MHz is found when two pulses are used. In addition, an optimal number of pulses exists for each pulse repetition frequency, with higher frequencies requiring more pulses to maximize the overlap region. These findings provide critical insights on developing controlled plasma discharge techniques for efficient NH 3 ignition in reactive flows within internal combustion engines and gas turbines.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Weighted Composition Operators for Learning Nonlinear Dynamics

Operator theoretic methods in dynamical system have been dominated by the use of Koopman operators and their continuous time counterparts, such as Koopman Generators and Liouville Operators. The advantage gained from their use primarily stems from the ability to extract subspaces and eigenfunctions within a space of observables that are invariant with respect to the Koopman operator over that space. When this occurs, a dynamic mode decomposition of the systems state provides a linear model for the dynamical system. Not all Koopman operators have eigenfunctions that may be exploited in this manner. However, the framework can still be leveraged for approximations using other operators. In this setting, we present a different operator for the study of dynamical systems, the weighted composition operator. These operators are compact for a wide range of dynamics and spaces, and through their interactions with occupation kernels and vector valued kernels, they admit an estimation of the underlying dynamics. Here, this manuscript presents a new algorithm for the data driven study of dynamical systems from data, and also provides two numerical experiments where convergence is achieved as a proof of concept.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Sharp front tracking with geometric interface reconstruction

Here, this paper presents a novel sharp front-tracking method designed to address limitations in classical front-tracking approaches, specifically their reliance on smooth interpolation kernels and extended stencils for coupling the front and fluid mesh. In contrast, the proposed method employs exclusively sharp, localized interpolation and spreading kernels, restricting the coupling to the interfacial fluid cells–those containing the interface/front. This localized coupling is achieved by integrating a divergence-preserving velocity interpolation method with a piecewise parabolic interface calculation (PPIC) and a polyhedron intersection algorithm to compute the indicator function and local interface curvature. Surface tension is computed using the Continuum Surface Force (CSF) method, maintaining consistency with the sharp representation. Additionally, we propose an efficient local roughness smoothing implementation to account for surface mesh undulations, which is easily applicable to any triangulated surface mesh. Building on our previous work, the primary innovation of this study lies in the localization of the coupling for both the indicator function and surface tension calculations. By reducing the interface thickness on the fluid mesh to a single cell, as opposed to the 4–5 cell spans typical in classical methods, the proposed sharp front-tracking method achieves a highly localized and accurate representation of the interface. This sharper representation mitigates parasitic currents and improves force balancing, making it particularly suitable for scenarios where the interface plays a critical role, such as microfluidics, fluid-fluid interactions, and fluid-structure interactions. The proposed method is comprehensively validated and tested on canonical interfacial flow problems, including stationary and translating Laplace equilibria, oscillating droplets, and rising bubbles. The presented results demonstrate that the sharp front-tracking method significantly outperforms the classical approach in terms of accuracy, stability, and computational efficiency. Notably, parasitic currents are reduced by approximately two orders of magnitude and stable results are obtained for parameter ranges where classical front tracking fails to converge.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine learning for the redox potential prediction of molecules in organic redox flow battery

Here, organic redox flow batteries (ORFB) are recognized as an innovative technology for the large-scale storage of renewable energy. The redox potential of organic redox-active molecules plays a vital role in their performance. Advanced screening techniques like high-throughput experiment and machine learning (ML) have significantly enhanced organic material performance and transformed the field of ORFB. However, the scarcity of experimental data poses a considerable challenge for ML model development in this domain. In our study, we developed lightweight graph-based Gaussian process regression (GPR) models with GPU-accelerated marginalized graph kernel and hybrid kernel to predict the redox potentials of organic redox-active molecules for ORFBs, specifically focusing on small datasets. To evaluate model accuracy, we created a new experimental database of organic redox-active molecules by the data from hundreds of published papers and assembled previous computational datasets. We also considered some key parameters, such as pH conditions and solvent type, to assess their impact on redox potential prediction. Our GPR model predicted redox potentials with high accuracy across all datasets using minimal training data. The study provides powerful tools for molecule screening and design and delivers valuable guidance on designing training datasets for costly experiments.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Data-Efficient Strategies for Probabilistic Voltage Envelopes under Network Contingencies

This work presents an efficient data-driven method to construct probabilistic voltage envelopes (PVE) using power flow learning in grids with network contingencies. First, a network-aware Gaussian process (GP) termed Vertex-Degree Kernel (VDK-GP), developed in prior work, is used to estimate voltage–power functions for a few network configurations. The paper introduces a novel multi-task vertex degree kernel (MT-VDK) that amalgamates the learned VDK-GPs to determine power flows for unseen networks, with a significant reduction in the computational complexity and hyperparameter requirements compared to alternate approaches. Simulations on the IEEE 30-Bus network demonstrate the retention and transfer of power flow knowledge in both N-1 and N-2 contingency scenarios. The MT-VDK-GP approach achieves over 50 % reduction in mean prediction error for novel N-1 contingency network configurations in low training data regimes (50–250 samples) over VDK-GP. Additionally, MT-VDK-GP outperforms a hyper-parameter based transfer learning approach in over 75 % of N-2 contingency network structures, even without historical N-2 outage data. Furthermore, the proposed method demonstrates the ability to achieve PVEs using sixteen times fewer power flow solutions compared to Monte-Carlo sampling-based methods.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗