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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 109 records · Page 6

Comparison of Machine Learning Algorithms for Natural Gas Identification with Mixed Potential Electrochemical Sensor Arrays

Mixed-potential electrochemical sensor arrays consisting of indium tin oxide (ITO), La 0.87 Sr 0.13 CrO 3 , Au, and Pt electrodes can detect the leaks from natural gas infrastructure. Algorithms are needed to correctly identify natural gas sources from background natural and anthropogenic sources such as wetlands or agriculture. We report for the first time a comparison of several machine learning methods for mixture identification in the context of natural gas emissions monitoring by mixed potential sensor arrays. Random Forest, Artificial Neural Network, and Nearest Neighbor methods successfully classified air mixtures containing only CH 4 , two types of natural gas simulants, and CH 4 +NH 3 with >98% identification accuracy. The model complexity of these methods were optimized and the degree of robustness against overfitting was determined. Finally, these methods are benchmarked on both desktop PC and single-board computer hardware to simulate their application in a portable internet-of-things sensor package. The combined results show that the random forest method is the preferred method for mixture identification with its high accuracy (>98%), robustness against overfitting with increasing model complexity, and had less than 10 ms training time and less than 0.1 ms inference time on single-board computer hardware.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Image-driven discriminative and generative machine learning algorithms for establishing microstructure–processing relationships

We investigate methods of microstructure representation for the purpose of predicting processing condition from microstructure image data. A binary alloy that is currently under development as a nuclear fuel was studied for the purpose of developing an improved machine learning approach to image recognition, characterization, and building predictive capabilities linking microstructure to processing conditions. Here, we test different microstructure representations and evaluate model performance based on classification accuracy. A classification accuracy of 95.8% was achieved fordistinguishing between micrographs corresponding to ten different thermo-mechanical material processing conditions.We find that our newly developed microstructure representation describes image data well, and the traditional approachof utilizing area fractions of different phases is insufficient for distinguishing between multiple classes using a relativelysmall, imbalanced original data set of 272 images. To explore the applicability of generative methods for supplementing such limited data sets, generative adversarial networks were trained to generate artificial microstructure images. Two different generative networks were trained and tested to assess performance. Challenges and best practices associated with applying machine learning to limited microstructure image data sets is also discussed. Our work has implications for quantitative microstructure analysis, and development of microstructure-processing relationships in limited data sets typical of metallurgical process design studies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Novel Machine Learning Algorithm for Cloud Detection Using AERI Measurement Data

Infrared hyperspectral remote sensing has been widely used in the field of meteorology. Many scientists have carried out research on inversion methods of meteorological elements such as thermodynamic profile, boundary layer height, cloud base height, etc. In this study, a method based on machine learning for cloud detection using ground-based infrared hyperspectral radiation data is proposed. The features of outliers, the cloudy and cloud-free data of Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI) radiation are extracted. The “reference values” of cloudy and cloud-free are determined based on the observation data of Vaisala CL31 ceilometer within the time range of 8 min before the corresponding time of AERI. A support vector machine (SVM) algorithm is used for training. The dataset comes from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) site and North Slope Alaska (NSA) site from 2015 to 2017, and the ARM West Antarctic Radiation Experiment (AWARE) site in 2016 is also analyzed. The instruments used in this paper include AERI, ceilometer, etc. The experimental results reveal that the agreement of cloud detection results between the proposed algorithm and ceilometer is about 93% at each site. However, for high clouds or optically thin clouds, the agreement will decrease.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Efficient Data-Driven Geologic Feature Characterization from Pre-stack Seismic Measurements using Randomized Machine-Learning Algorithm

Conventional seismic techniques for detecting the subsurface geologic features are challenged by limited data coverage, computational inefficiency and subjective human factors. We developed a novel data-driven geological feature characterization approach based on pre-stack seismic measurements. Our characterization method employs an efficient and accurate machine learning method to extract useful subsurface geologic features automatically. Specifically, we use kernel ridge regression to account for the nonlinear relationship between seismic data and geological features. We moreover employ kernel tricks to avoid the explicit nonlinear mapping and infinite dimension of feature space. Yet, the conventional kernel ridge regression can be computationally prohibitive because of the large volume of seismic measurements. We employ a data reduction technique in combination with the conventional kernel ridge regression method to improve the computational efficiency and reduce memory usage. In particular, we utilize a randomized numerical linear algebra technique, named Nyström method, to effectively reduce the dimensionality of the feature space without compromising the information content required for accurate characterization. We provide thorough computational cost analysis to show the efficiency of our new geological feature characterization methods. We validate the performance of our method in characterizing geologic fault zones because faults play an important role in various subsurface applications. Our numerical examples demonstrate that our new characterization method significantly improves the computational efficiency while maintaining comparable accuracy. Interestingly, we demonstrate that our approach yields a speedup ratio on the order of ~102 to ~103 in a multicore computational environment.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Adaptive Deep Reinforcement Learning Algorithm for Distribution System Cyber Attack Defense With High Penetration of DERs

With grid modernization, smart inverters are increasingly used to execute advanced controls for distribution network reliability. However, this also increases the cyber-attack space. Here this paper focuses on the defense approaches to restore the system to normal operation circumstances in the presence of cyber-attacks. A unique deep reinforcement learning (DRL) method is developed to minimize voltage violations and reduce power losses for impacted feeders. The defense problem is reformulated as a Markov decision-making process to dynamically control DERs while minimizing load shedding. This is achieved via an improved soft actor-critic (SAC)-based DRL algorithm, which can govern DER set points and load-shedding scenarios in discrete and continuous modes via the auto-tune entropy and Gaussian policy features. Numerical comparison results on the modified IEEE 123-node system with other control approaches, such as Volt-VAR (VV), Volt-Watt (VW), and model predictive control (MPC) show that the proposed method can eliminate voltage violations and provide feasible control actions that perform complete mitigation of cyber-threats.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

New insights on the prevalence of drizzle in marine stratocumulus clouds based on a machine learning algorithm applied to radar Doppler spectra

Abstract. The detection of the early growth of drizzle particles in marine stratocumulus clouds is important for studying the transition from cloud water to rainwater. Radar reflectivity is commonly used to detect drizzle; however, its utility is limited to larger drizzle particles. Alternatively, radar Doppler spectrum skewness has proven to be a more sensitive quantity for the detection of drizzle embryos. Here, a machine learning (ML)-based technique that uses radar reflectivity and skewness for detecting small drizzle particles is presented. Aircraft in situ measurements are used to develop and validate the ML algorithm. The drizzle detection algorithm is applied to three Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) observational campaigns to investigate the drizzle occurrence in marine boundary layer clouds. It is found that drizzle is far more ubiquitous than previously thought; the traditional radar-reflectivity-based approach significantly underestimates the drizzle occurrence, especially in thin clouds with liquid water paths lower than 50 g m−2. Furthermore, the drizzle occurrence in marine boundary layer clouds differs among the three ARM campaigns, indicating that the drizzle formation, which is controlled by the microphysical process, is regime dependent. A complete understanding of the drizzle distribution climatology in marine stratocumulus clouds calls for more observational campaigns and continuing investigations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An Artificial Neural Network Model to Predict the Bainite Plate Thickness of Nanostructured Bainitic Steels Using an Efficient Network-Learning Algorithm

Nanostructured bainitic steel has an extraordinary ultrahigh strength of about 2.0 GPa along with good toughness of 30 MPa m{sup 1/2}. The finer thickness of plate 20-80 nm is largely responsible for achieving such a large hardness of 690-720 HV. In this work, a multilayer perceptron-based artificial neural network (ANN) model has been developed to predict the thickness of bainite plate pertaining to nanostructured bainitic steels. The inputs of the ANN model are, namely, Gibbs free energy for bainitic transformation, austenite strength, transformation temperature for bainite and carbon concentration in the steel. The model prediction revealed that the bainite plate thickness critically depends on austenite strength and Gibbs free energy. From the neural prediction, it is concluded that formation of nanostructured bainitic steel is feasible only if sufficient austenite strength (above 165 MPa) has been achieved. This can be accomplished with a minimum carbon content of 0.5 wt.% in steel and transformation temperature below 300 °C. Higher driving force (Gibbs free energy) below − 1800 J/mol is another prerequisite condition of formation of nanostructured bainite steel. The network-learning architecture has been optimized using the Broyden–Fletcher–Goldfarb–Shanno (BFGS) algorithm to minimize the network training error within eight training cycles. The algorithm facilitates a faster convergence of network training and testing errors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

SoMoGym: A Toolkit for Developing and Evaluating Controllers and Reinforcement Learning Algorithms for Soft Robots

Soft robotsoffer a host of benefits over traditional rigid robots, including inherent compliance that lets them passively adapt to variable environments and operate safely around humans and fragile objects. However, that same compliance makes it hard to use model-based methods in planning tasks requiring high precision or complex actuation sequences. Reinforcement learning (RL) can potentially find effective control policies, but training RL using physical soft robots is often infeasible, and training using simulations has had a high barrier to adoption. To accelerate research in control and RL for soft robotic systems, we introduce SoMoGym ( So ft Mo tion Gym ), a software toolkit that facilitates training and evaluating controllers for continuum robots. SoMoGym provides a set of benchmark tasks in which soft robots interact with various objects and environments. It allows evaluation of performance on these tasks for controllers of interest, and enables the use of RL to generate new controllers. Custom environments and robots can likewise be added easily. We provide and evaluate baseline RL policies for each of the benchmark tasks. These results show that SoMoGym enables the use of RL for continuum robots, a class of robots not covered by existing benchmarks, giving them the capability to autonomously solve tasks that were previously unattainable.

Moritz A. Graule↗

Modeling Key Predictors of Airport Runway Configurations Using Learning Algorithms

Advanced traffic flow management automation will need accurate predictions of airport runway configurations. Terminal area weather and traffic demand are generally considered to be the most significant factors in predicting runway configuration. Weather information is forecasted across multiple features, including wind direction, wind speed, gusts, cloud ceilings, visibility, temperature, and precipitation, among many others. We use machine learning techniques on historical weather and runway data to determine weather features that correlate well with runway configurations. We analyze the predictive capability of weather features using different learning models trained on data from four major U.S. airports: Atlanta (ATL), Washington – Dulles (IAD), New York – Kennedy (JFK), and San Francisco (SFO). Wind direction alone is strongly correlated with runway configurations above all other examined factors, as expected. This correlation is the most significant component of the ~80% prediction accuracy in selecting between the two most frequently used runway configurations. However, individual airports show variations on how well the runway configuration decisions correlate with wind direction. While wind direction was identified as the most significant indicator of configuration decisions in ATL, IAD, and JFK, it did not emerge as such at SFO. Traffic demand was not found to be a strong factor in predicting runway configurations at any of the airports analyzed. In rare instances, when high demand cannot be accommodated within the current configuration, temporary changes are likely to be attributable to demand. However, these occurrences are so limited in number that their overall effect is not sufficient to consider traffic demand as a major indicator of runway configuration at the airports analyzed.

Bilimoria, Karl D.↗

Evaluation of Machine Learning and Deep Learning Algorithms for Fire Prediction in Southeast Asia

Vegetation fires are prevalent in South/Southeast Asian countries, making fire prediction crucial due to their potential environmental, economic, and social impacts. Accurate predictions of fires facilitate timely interventions, helping to mitigate uncontrolled fires that can lead to biodiversity loss and air quality issues. In this study, we utilize VIIRS satellite-derived fire data alongside six machine learning and deep learning models—Simple Persistence, Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), CNN-LSTM, and ConvLSTM—to determine the most effective fire prediction model, using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) as the metric. Our results indicate that the CNN model is the most reliable in regions with spatial dependencies, such as Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Timor-Leste, and Thailand. Conversely, the ConvLSTM model excels in countries with complex spatiotemporal dynamics like Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam. The CNN-LSTM hybrid model also performed well in Cambodia, suggesting a need for a balanced approach in areas requiring both spatial and temporal feature extraction. Furthermore, simpler models like Persistence and MLP showed limitations in capturing dynamic patterns and temporal dependencies. Our findings highlight the importance of evaluating models before implementing any decision support systems (DSS) in fire management. By tailoring models to specific regional fire data, we can enhance prediction accuracy and responsiveness, ultimately improving fire risk management in Southeast Asia and beyond.

Deep learning↗

Forecasting district-scale energy dynamics through integrating building network and long short-term memory learning algorithm

With the development of data-driven techniques, building energy prediction on a district level has attracted increasing attention in recent years for revealing energy use patterns and reduction potentials. However, data acquisition in large building groups is difficult and adjacent buildings also interact with each other. To reduce data cost and incorporate the inter-building impact with the data-driven building energy model, this study proposes a deep learning predictive approach that fuses the building network model with a long short-term memory learning model for district-scale building energy modeling. The building network was constructed based on correlations between the energy use intensity of buildings, which can significantly reduce the computational complexity of the deep learning models for energy dynamic prediction. Five typical building groups with energy use data from 2015 to 2018 on two institutional campuses were selected to perform the validation experiment with TensorFlow. Based on the prediction error assessments, the results suggest that for total building energy use intensity prediction, the proposed model can achieve a mean absolute percentage error of 6.66% and a root mean square error of 0.36 kWh/m 2 , compared to 12.05% and 0.63 kWh/m 2 of the conventional artificial neural network model and to 11.06% and 0.89 kWh/m 2 for the support vector regression model.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Exploring the Capabilities of a Machine Learning Algorithm to Detect Space Weather-Significant Emerging Active Regions

Active regions are a source of various phenomena responsible for Space Weather disturbances; therefore, developing a technology for early warning about upcoming magnetic activity is crucial to mitigate its impact. However, observational limitations and the high nonlinearity of processes associated with the accumulation of magnetic flux and its interaction with the surrounding plasma during the emergence through the convection zone make early activity detection a challenging problem. To address these challenges, we developed a physics-driven machine learning model that allows us to detect active regions (ARs) before they become visible on the solar surface by analyzing the power spectra of acoustic oscillations observed by the SDO/HMI instrument. This study is based on a time series of Doppler shift maps of 31x31-degree areas tracked with the Carrington rotation rate for four days before and after the emergence. The Doppler shift time series are processed into the oscillation power maps for four frequency ranges and accompanied by line-of-sight magnetograms and the continuum intensity maps from SDO/HMI. The resulting data are converted into a 1D time series representing the mean temporal variations of these quantities. The redacted time series are used as input to predict AR emergence using the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) method. The training of the LSTM model is based on 40 ARs, which includes an independent analysis for each sub region that exhibits AR emergence or remains quiet. The emergence of magnetic flux (defined as a decrease of the continuum intensity) was detected with the developed LSTM algorithm from 5 to 48 hours before the reported time by NOAA. The developed model is capable of pointing to the time and location of active region formation. In this presentation, we discuss reasons that impact how early in advance the model can identify the upcoming activity and the possibility of improving the current predictive skills and steps to transition to the operational forecast.

Heliophysics↗

Inferring safety critical events from vehicle kinematics in naturalistic driving environment: Application of deep learning Algorithms

Advances in sensing technology has enabled the collection of countless terabytes of second-by-second kinematics data. Such data provides opportunities for real-time monitoring of driving behavior and identification of safety critical events (SCEs) including crashes and near crashes. The concept of volatility is relevant in this context, which identifies instability and erratic variations in driving behavior prior to involvement in SCEs. This study utilized vehicle kinematics from a large-scale naturalistic driving data to develop a deep learning approach based on 1D convolutional neural networks (CNN) for inferring SCEs. The data are unique in the sense that such accurate pre-crash data at high fidelity are not available in traditional crash repositories. This study contributes to the literature by providing a first attempt at predicting responses to SCEs by developing deep learning-based CNN architectures using novel driving volatility based kinematic thresholds for a sample of 9553 events. The key contribution lies in developing a volatility-based CNN input layout that is acceptable to CNN schemes and represents the motion kinematics such as speed, acceleration and volatility measures. Several 1D-CNN architectures were developed using layers, numbers of convolutions, layer patterns, and kernels. Shallow and deep architectures were tested, revealing higher accuracy of shallow architectures in detecting SCEs. The optimal number of epochs were identified using an early stopping method while the CNN performance was improved by increasing the number of epochs. The ensemble CNN had the highest predictive accuracy of 95.6% for detection of crashes and near crashes, which was 2.5% higher than the optimal CNN using 20% hold out test data. The ensemble CNN also outperformed classical machine learning models and model performance reported in past studies on detection of SCEs. Finally, these results have implications for identification of safety hotspots and providing real-time alerts and warnings in connected and highly automated vehicle environment including society of automotive engineers levels 3–5.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Novel Machine Learning Algorithm for Planetary Boundary Layer Height Estimation Using AERI Measurement Data

Accurately determining the height of the planetary boundary layer (PBL) is important since it can affect the climate, weather, and air quality. Ground-based infrared hyperspectral remote sensing is an effective way to obtain this parameter. Compared with radiosonde measurements, its temporal resolution is much higher. In this study, a method to retrieve the PBL height (PBLH) from the ground-based infrared hyperspectral radiance data is proposed based on machine learning. In this method, the channels that are sensitive to temperature and humidity profiles are selected as the feature vectors, and the PBLHs derived from radiosonde are taken as the true values. The support vector machine (SVM) is applied to train and test the data set, and the parameters are optimized in the process. The data set collected at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program Southern Great Plains (SGP) from 2012 to 2015 is analyzed. The instruments used in this letter include Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI), Vaisala CL31 ceilometer, and radiosonde. It shows that the root mean square error (RMSE) between the PBLHs calculated by the proposed method using AERI data and those from radiosonde data can be within 370 m, and the square correlation coefficient (SCC) is greater than 0.7. Compared with the PBLHs derived from the ceilometer, it can be found that the new method is more stable and less affected by clouds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Aerosol and Cloud Detection Using Machine Learning Algorithms and Space-Based Lidar Data

Clouds and aerosols play a significant role in determining the overall atmospheric radiation budget, yet remain a key uncertainty in understanding and predicting the future climate system. In addition to their impact on the Earth’s climate system, aerosols from volcanic eruptions, wildfires, man-made pollution events, and dust storms are hazardous to aviation safety and human health. Space-based lidar systems provide critical information about the vertical distributions of clouds and aerosols that greatly improve our understanding of the climate system. However, daytime data from backscatter lidars, such as the Cloud-Aerosol Transport System (CATS) on the International Space Station (ISS), must be averaged during science processing at the expense of spatial resolution to obtain sufficient signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) for accurately detecting atmospheric features. For example, 50% of all atmospheric features reported in daytime operational CATS data products require averaging to 60 km for detection. Furthermore, the single-wavelength nature of the CATS primary operation mode makes accurately typing these features challenging in complex scenes. This paper presents machine learning (ML) techniques that, when applied to CATS data, enable detection of atmospheric features during daytime operations with a horizontal resolution of 5 km compared to the 60 km horizontal resolution often required for daytime CATS data. A Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) trained using CATS standard data products also demonstrated the potential for improved cloud-aerosol discrimination compared to the operational CATS algorithms for cloud edges and complex near-surface scenes during daytime.

lidar↗

Defect And Damage Characterization Of Additively Manufactured Titanium Alloy Ti-5553 Using Traditional Computed Tomography Volume Segmentation And Machine Learning Algorithms

The mechanical response of a component is affected by defects, such as porosity, arising from the laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) fabrication process. Thus, it is important to develop accurate and efficient inspection methods for identifying porosity. In this work, porosity identified in an X-ray computed tomography (XCT) volume of a Ti-5553 coupon was compared to pores identified in a serial sectioned volume that represented the ground truth. The porosity of the XCT scan was identified using contrast-based, ISO-based, and machine learning (ML) methods for segmentation. Large inherent porosity was easy to identify, but the ISO thresholding still struggled due to the intensity gradient resulting from both the beam hardening in XCT and the uneven lighting of the serial sectioning panels. Further, the results show that ML-based methods were better suited for identifying small pores and reducing the amount of false positives. Additionally, high strain-rate impact testing was done on some of the XCT samples as well as post-mortem XCT inspection, and the same suite of segmentation and quantification tools were used to identify the large spallation cavities. The comparison of porosity pre- and post-mortem provides insight on the influence of the LPBF porosity on the formation of spall cavities.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Optimization of Thermal Conductance at Interfaces Using Machine Learning Algorithms

We report optimization of thermal transport across the interface of two different materials is critical to micro-/nanoscale electronic, photonic, and phononic devices. Although several examples of compositional intermixing at the interfaces having a positive effect on interfacial thermal conductance (ITC) have been reported, an optimum arrangement has not yet been determined because of the large number of potential atomic configurations and the significant computational cost of evaluation. On the other hand, computation-driven materials design efforts are rising in popularity and importance. Yet, the scalability and transferability of machine learning models remain as challenges in creating a complete pipeline for the simulation and analysis of large molecular systems. In this work we present a scalable Bayesian optimization framework, which leverages dynamic spawning of jobs through the Message Passing Interface (MPI) to run multiple parallel molecular dynamics simulations within a parent MPI job to optimize heat transfer at the silicon and aluminum (Si/Al) interface. We found a maximum of 50% increase in the ITC when introducing a two-layer intermixed region that consists of a higher percentage of Si. Because of the random nature of the intermixing, the magnitude of increase in the ITC varies. We observed that both homogeneity/heterogeneity of the intermixing and the intrinsic stochastic nature of molecular dynamics simulations account for the variance in ITC.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗