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Understanding Subseasonal Moisture Recycling from Extreme MCSs Using a Land–Atmosphere Coupled Water Tracer Model

Extreme precipitation events often produce severe flooding and pose significant threats to our society. However, their subseasonal impacts on the terrestrial and atmospheric systems are not well understood. Here, we use a new land–atmosphere coupled water tracer tool embedded in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model to “tag” precipitation produced by a series of extreme mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) in May 2015 over the southern Great Plains to reveal their contributions to different terrestrial water storages and moisture recycling during May–July. During May, we find that precipitation from earlier MCSs can contribute to 20%–50% of total evapotranspiration (ET) in later May and contribute ∼10% of local precipitation for later MCSs. After May, the water “tagged” to preceding May MCS events has the most active contribution to moisture recycling during the first 5 days in June, but this contribution diminishes quickly afterward. Both periods indicate a quick turnover of tagged precipitation, which may be representative of the southern Great Plains region. The quick turnover is closely associated with the direct evaporation from the soil surface due to the predominant shrubland and grassland coverage over this region. Over some forested areas, however, the tracer-ET flux is dominated by transpiration that stably supplies a small fraction (<1%) of moisture to the atmosphere throughout June and July. In conclusion, the tracer-contributed plume (through evaporation and transpiration) in atmospheric moisture can extend 500–700 km downstream between May and July, highlighting the far-reaching contribution to moisture recycling and precipitation from the tagged MCS events in the southern Great Plains.

Atmosphere-land interaction

Surrogate modeling of Cellular-Potts agent-based models as a segmentation task using the U-Net neural network architecture

The Cellular-Potts model is a powerful and ubiquitous framework for developing computational models for simulating complex multicellular biological systems. Cellular-Potts models (CPMs) are often computationally expensive due to the explicit modeling of interactions among large numbers of individual model agents and diffusive fields described by partial differential equations (PDEs). In this work, we develop a convolutional neural network (CNN) surrogate model using a U-Net architecture that accounts for periodic boundary conditions. We use this model to accelerate the evaluation of a mechanistic CPM previously used to investigate in vitro vasculogenesis. The surrogate model was trained to predict 100 computational steps ahead (Monte-Carlo steps, MCS), accelerating simulation evaluations by a factor of 562 times compared to single-core CPM code execution on CPU. Over short timescales of up to 3 recursive evaluations, or 300 MCS, our model captures the emergent behaviors demonstrated by the original Cellular-Potts model such as vessel sprouting, extension and anastomosis, and contraction of vascular lacunae. This approach demonstrates the potential for deep learning to serve as a step toward efficient surrogate models for CPM simulations, enabling faster evaluation of computationally expensive CPM simulations of biological processes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Suppressed Cosmic-Ray Energy Densities in Molecular Clouds from Streaming Instability-regulated Transport

Abstract Cosmic rays (CRs) are the primary driver of ionization in star-forming molecular clouds (MCs). Despite their potential impacts on gas dynamics and chemistry, no simulations of star cluster formation following the creation of individual stars have included explicit cosmic-ray transport (CRT) to date. We conduct the first numerical simulations following the collapse of a 2000 M ⊙ MC and the subsequent star formation including CRT using the STAR FORmation in Gaseous Environments framework implemented in the GIZMO code. We show that when CRT is streaming-dominated, the CR energy in the cloud is strongly attenuated due to energy losses from the streaming instability. Consequently, in a Milky Way–like environment the median CR ionization rate in the cloud is low ( ζ ≲ 2 × 10 −19 s −1 ) during the main star-forming epoch of the calculation and the impact of CRs on the star formation in the cloud is limited. However, in high-CR environments, the CR distribution in the cloud is elevated ( ζ ≲ 6 × 10 −18 ), and the relatively higher CR pressure outside the cloud causes slightly earlier cloud collapse and increases the star formation efficiency by 50% to ∼13%. The initial mass function is similar in all cases except with possible variations in a high-CR environment. Further studies are needed to explain the range of ionization rates observed in MCs and explore star formation in extreme CR environments.

Astronomy & Astrophysics

Large-eddy simulation of an atmospheric bore and associated gravity wave effects on wind farm performance in the southern Great Plains

Gravity waves are a common occurrence in the atmosphere, with a variety of generation mechanisms. Their impact on wind farms has only recently gained attention, with most studies focused on wind farm-induced gravity waves. In this study, the interaction between a wind farm and gravity waves generated by an atmospheric bore event is assessed using multiscale large-eddy simulations. The atmospheric bore is created by a thunderstorm downdraft from a nocturnal mesoscale convective system (MCS). The associated gravity waves impact the wind resource and power production at a nearby wind farm during the American Wake Experiment (AWAKEN) in the US southern Great Plains. A two-domain nested setup (Δx=300 and 20 m) is used in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, forced with data from the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model, to capture both the formation of the bore and its interaction with individual wind turbines. The MCS is resolved on the large outer domain, where the structure of the bore and the associated gravity waves are found to be especially sensitive to parameterized microphysics processes. On the finer inner domain, gravity wave interactions with individual wind turbines are resolved; wake dynamics are captured using a generalized actuator disk parameterization in WRF. The gravity waves are found to have a strong effect on the atmosphere above the wind farm; however, the effect of the waves is more nuanced closer to the surface where there is additional turbulence, both ambient and wake-generated. Notably, the gravity waves modulate the mesoscale environment by weakening and dissipating the preexisting low-level jet, which reduces hub-height wind speed and hence the simulated power output, which is confirmed by the observed supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) power data. Additionally, the gravity waves induce local wind direction variations correlated with fluctuations in pressure, which lead to fluctuations in the simulated power output as various turbines within the farm are subjected to waking from nearby turbines.

17 WIND ENERGY

PASCAL/48 reference manual

PASCAL/48 is a programming language for the Intel MCS-48 series of microcomputers. In particular, it can be used with the Intel 8748. It is designed to allow the programmer to control most of the instructions being generated and the allocation of storage. The language can be used instead of ASSEMBLY language in most applications while allowing the user the necessary degree of control over hardware resources. Although it is called PASCAL/48, the language differs in many ways from PASCAL. The program structure and statements of the two languages are similar, but the expression mechanism and data types are different. The PASCAL/48 cross-compiler is written in PASCAL and runs on the CDC CYBER NOS system. It generates object code in Intel hexadecimal format that can be used to program the MCS-48 series of microcomputers. This reference manual defines the language, describes the predeclared procedures, lists error messages, illustrates use, and includes language syntax diagrams.

Knight, J. C.

Evaluating the performance of multicomputer configurations

Steps to optimize the performance of a multicomputer system (MCS) are discussed. Three aspects are emphasized: (1) the interconnection scheme that ties all the processors together, (2) the scheduling and mapping of the algorithm on the architecture, and (3) the mechanism for detecting parallelism and partitioning the algorithm into modules which achieve computational speedup when run on an MCS. Mapping and scheduling issues are addressed, and an application example is given.

Agrawal, D. P.

Analysis and modeling of summertime convective cloud and precipitation structure over the southeastern United States

Described is work performed under NASA Grant NAG8-654 for the period 15 March to 15 September 1988. This work entails primarily data analysis and numerical modeling efforts related to the 1986 Satellite Precipitation and Cloud Experiment (SPACE). In the following, the SPACE acronym is used along with the acronym COHMEX, which represents the encompassing Cooperative Huntsville Meteorological Experiment. Progress made during the second half of the first year of the study included: (1) installation and testing of the RAMS numerical Modeling system on the Alabama CRAY X-MP/24; (2) a start on the analysis of the mesoscale convection system (MCS) of 13 July 1986 COHMEX case; and (3) a cursory examination of a small MCS that formed over the COHMEX region on 15 July 1986. Details of each of these individual tasks are given.

Knupp, Kevin R.

Magma chambers

Recent observational and theoretical investigations of terrestrial magma chambers (MCs) are reviewed. Consideration is given to the evidence for MCs with active convection and crystal sorting, problems of direct MC detection, theoretical models of MC cooling, the rheology and dynamics of solidification fronts, crystal capture and differentiation, convection with solidification, MC wall flows, and MC roof melting. Diagrams, graphs, and a list of problems requiring further research are provided.

Marsh, Bruce D.

Analysis and modeling of summertime convective cloud and precipitation structure over the Southeastern United States

Data analysis and numerical modeling efforts that are related to the 1986 Satellite Precipitation and Cloud Experiment (SPACE) are discussed. Progress during this period includes the following: further testing and development of the RAMS numerical modeling system on the Alabama CRAY X-MP/24; a continuation of the observational analysis of the 13 July 1986 mesoscale convective system (MCS); and an initial investigation of a small MCS that formed over the COHMEX region on 15 July 1986. Details for each of these individual tasks are given.

Knupp, Kevin R.

Observed structural variability of deep moist convection within a mesoscale convective system

Some radar observations of the convective cloud structure within and around a developing mesoscale convective system (MCS), which attained an eventual horizontal dimension of approximately 100 by 200 km, are reported. Similarities in cloud structure within and outside the MCS include a downshear tilt of the cloud precipitation core and generation of new cells toward the direction of cloud motion and parallel to the major axis of the cloud line. The systematic difference in the longevity and intensity of the clouds is examined.

Knupp, Kevin R.

Demand Assignment in the ACTS LBR System

On the Advanced Communications Technology Satellite (ACTS) being developed at NASA Lewis, low-burst-rate (LBR) traffic stations will access the ACTS multibeam package via two hopping beams that can be directed at certain areas in the continental U.S. An onboard baseband processor (BBP) demodulates uplink traffic, switches it between uplink and downlink beams at baseband, and then remodulates it for retransmission at 20 GHz. This study describes the demand-assigned operation of the ACTS LBR system, where the onboard switch is remote from both traffic stations and master control station (MCS). Network control uses inbound and outbound orderwire channels and a BBP control channel, allowing the MCS to coordinate assignment of individual 64-kb/s spacecraft channels. Models are developed to simulate the dynamics of the assignment process and verify the call blocking behavior, to predict control channel loads, and to evaluate algorithms for burst time plan rearrangement.

White, Lawrence W.

Environment and evolution of a cold-frontal mesoscale convective system

Data obtained from the June 26-27, 1985 period of the Kansas-Oklahoma PRE-STORM field phase are employed to describe the evolution of a mesoscale convective system (MCS) responsible for a heavy rainfall event over a large portion of Oklahoma and Kansas. In the case examined, the eastward advancement of deep convection was aided by the formation of a series of nearly parallel rainbands before the main precipitation area. These rainbands, which developed in a field of boundary layer cloud streets, without the assistance of gust-front convergence, redefined the leading edge of the MCS and became the locus of the most intense convection in the precipitation system.

Trier, Stanley B.

Electrical and kinematic structure of an Oklahoma mesoscale convective system

The case study examines the dynamics and kinematics of a mesoscale convective system (MCS) by comparing its meteorological parameters with in situ electrical measurements. Conventional MCS characteristics are reported including a rear inflow jet, wake low, and a bipolar cloud-to-ground pattern, but some nonclassical conditions are also reported. Horizontally long cloud-to-ground electrical strikes are noted which demonstrate that cloud-to-ground electrical data alone cannot entirely characterize stratiform electrification in MCSs.

Hunter, Steven M.

The ACTS NASA Ground Station/Master Control Station

Two of the major components of the ACTS Ground Segment are the NASA Ground Station (NGS) and the Master Control Station (MCS), colocated at the NASA Lewis Research Center. Essentially, the NGS provides the communications links by which the MCS performs its various network control and monitoring functions. The NGS also provides telecommunications links capable of transmission/reception of up to approximately 70 Mbit/s of digital telephonic traffic. Operating as a system, the entire complex of equipment is referred to as the NGS/MCS. This paper provides an 'as-built' description of the NGS/MCS as a system.

Meadows, David N.

Convective and stratiform rain: Multichannel microwave sensing over oceans

Measurements made by the Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) radiometer over the oceans, at 19, 37, and 85 GHz in dual polarization, are used to develop a model to classify rain into light-stratiform, moderately convective, and heavy convective types in the mesoscale convective systems (MCS). It is observed that the bulk of the 19- and 37-GHz data are linearly correlated with respect to one another, and generally increase together in brightness as the mean rain rate in the field of view (FOV) of the radiometer increases. However, a significant fraction of the data from these channels departs from this linear relationship, reflecting the nonuniform rain that is convective vs. the relatively light stratiform rain. It is inferred from the SSM/I data, in a MCS, when the slope dT sub 3/dT sub 19 is greater than unity there are optically thin clouds which produce light uniform rain. On the other hand, when dT sub 3/dT sub 19 is close to unity, the rain cells have an open structure and correspond to the convective type of rain. The openings between the cells are apparently a result of the downdrafts and/or entrainment. Relatively low values of 85-GHz brightness temperatures that are present when dT sub 37/dT sub 19 is close to unity support these views and, in addition, leads us to conclude that when the convection is heavy this brightness temperature decreases due to scattering by hydrometeors. On the basis of this explanation of the SSM/I data, an empirical rain retrieval algorithm is developed. Radar backscatter observations over the Atlantic Ocean next to Florida are used to demonstrate the applicability of this method. Three monthly mean maps of rainfall over the oceans from 50 degrees N to 50 degrees S, are presented to illustrate the ability of this method to sense seasonal and interannual variations of rain.

Prabhakara, C.

Grand challenge scientific questions in coupled modeling

Most convective field experiments in the past (e.g., SESAME, CCOPE, CINDE) have attempted to resolve only the immediate scales of moist convection using network arrays that spanned two or three atmospheric scales at most. Furthermore, these scales have been defined more on practical considerations (cost, manpower, etc.) than on a clear understanding of their theoretical significance. Unfortunately, this has precluded a description of the entire life cycle of MCS's and their interaction with larger scale systems, the land surface, and trace species. Fortunately, the following factors now make it possible to attempt to simulate scale contraction processes from the synoptic scale down to the cloud scale, as well as interactions between complex meteorological, land surface, precipitation, chemical, and hydrologic processes with coupled, multiscale models: the availability of new technology to sample meteorological fields at high temporal and spatial resolution over a broad region made possible by the weather observing modernization program; increased computer power and improved numerical approaches to run limited area models with nonhydrostatic precipitation physics so as to explicitly resolve MCS (Mesoscale Convective System) processes; and four dimensional assimilation of non-conventional data to provide dynamically consistent datasets for diagnostic analysis of nonlinear scale-interactive dynamics. Several examples of scale-interactive processes which present grand challenges for coupled, multiscale modeling were presented.

Koch, Steven

SCOSII OL: A dedicated language for mission operations

The Spacecraft Control and Operations System 2 (SCOSII) is the new generation of Mission Control Systems (MCS) to be used at ESOC. The system is generic because it offers a collection of standard functions configured through a database upon which a dedicated MCS is established for a given mission. An integral component of SCOSII is the support of a dedicated Operations Language (OL). The spacecraft operation engineers edit, test, validate, and install OL scripts as part of the configuration of the system with, e.g., expressions for computing derived parameters and procedures for performing flight operations, all without involvement of software support engineers. A layered approach has been adopted for the implementation centered around the explicit representation of a data model. The data model is object-oriented defining the structure of the objects in terms of attributes (data) and services (functions) which can be accessed by the OL. SCOSII supports the creation of a mission model. System elements as, e.g., a gyro are explicit, as are the attributes which described them and the services they provide. The data model driven approach makes it possible to take immediate advantage of this higher-level of abstraction, without requiring expansion of the language. This article describes the background and context leading to the OL, concepts, language facilities, implementation, status and conclusions found so far.

Baldi, Andrea

The micro conical system: Lessons learned from a successful EVA/robot-compatible mechanism

The Micro Conical System (MCS) is a three-part, multi-purpose mechanical interface system used for acquiring and manipulating masses on-orbit by either extravehicular activity (EVA) or telerobotic means. The three components of the system are the micro conical fitting (MCF), the EVA micro tool (EMCT), and the Robot Micro Conical Tool (RMCT). The MCS was developed and refined over a four-year period. This period culminated with the delivery of 358 Class 1 and Class 2 micro conical fittings for the International Space Station and with its first use in space to handle a 1272 kg (2800 lbm) Spartan satellite (11000 times greater than the MCF mass) during an EVA aboard STS-63 in February, 1995. The micro conical system is the first successful EVA/robot-compatible mechanism to be demonstrated in the external environment aboard the U.S. Space Shuttle.

Gittleman, Mark