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92 records · Page 6

Automatic Detection and Classification of Aurora in THEMIS All‐Sky Images

We report a novel machine-learning algorithm for automatically detecting and classifying aurora in all–sky images (ASI) that is largely trained without requiring ground–truth labels. By including a small number of labeled images, we are able to automatically label all of the approximately 700 million images in the Time History of Events and Macroscale Interactions during Substorms (THEMIS) ASI data set from 2008 to 2022. We use a two–stage approach. In the first stage, we adapt the Simple framework for Contrastive Learning of Representations (SimCLR) algorithm to learn latent representations of THEMIS all–sky images. We then finetune a classifier network on the latent representations our model learns of the manually labeled Oslo aurora THEMIS (OATH) data set. We demonstrate that this two–stage approach achieves excellent classification results on data for which there is no current ML classification benchmark. The outcome of this work will facilitate efficient information retrieval for researchers interested in specific categories of aurora and will enable large scale statistical studies and machine learning analyses of THEMIS all–sky images that have not previously been possible. To demonstrate possible ways to utilize this database, we performed a statistical analysis of the occurrence rates of auroral labels with respect to solar wind parameters, interplanetary magnetic field vector, and geomagnetic indices. We further investigate the occurrence rates of auroral phenomena in the annotated data set and their geoeffectiveness by utilizing the co–located THEMIS ground magnetometer data set.

Jeremiah W Johnson↗

Investigation of the Performance and Explainability Tradeoffs for Machine-Learning Models for Predictive Maintenance of Circulating Water Systems in Nuclear Power Plants

Predictive maintenance (PdM) has shown great potential for achieving substantial cost savings and enhancing the economic competitiveness of nuclear power plants (NPPs) in today's energy market. Among the different modeling approaches that exist, machine learning (ML) tools in particular have a demonstrated ability to handle high dimensional and multivariate data and to extract hidden relationships within data in industrial environments. While ML methods show great potential, their lack of explainability---especially for black-box models---is a major hurdle to their adoption. Moreover, considering the supposed trade-off between explainability and performance challenges, careful consideration must be made as to which of these quality aspects takes precedence in light of multiple modeling options, resource availability, and domain characteristics. The present work evaluates the performance of six ML models, each with a different degree of explainability, in classifying the conditions of circulating water pumps (CWPs) by utilizing sensor data from nuclear power plants. To determine the drivers behind the trade-offs presented by this array of models, this work also tests different combinations of CWP units as the training and testing data, degrees of data imbalance, and objective functions for hyperparameter tuning. It was found that black-box models tend to afford superior performance in cases where there are far more instances of one type of labeled data than of any other type. It is recommended that a guided procedure be followed for designing and delivering an ML system that is sufficiently explainable to all involved stakeholders.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗