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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

TRUST Nonlinear Dynamics (ND) Report: FY22

The objective of the Delivery Environments (DE) Testbeds to Reduce Uncertainty in Simulations and Tests (TRUST) work package, is to quantify and help increase confidence in specific areas of computational and experimental capabilities that are applicable to current and future delivery environments. More complete quantification of confidence in experimental and computational capabilities and the sufficient increase of confidence in those capabilities is critical to improving weapons engineering design, qualification, and assessment efforts that are relevant to the current and future stockpile. This work will use and provide feedback on analysis tools and experimental results databases for efficient and responsive engineering which are currently under development: engineering common model framework (ECMF), engineering quantification of margins and uncertainties (EQMU), and the test information management system (TIMS). Additionally, this work is being used to test a newly available framework in W-13, Weapons Analysis for Verified Engineering Simulation (WAVES).

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
DOE OSTI2022

Contentious narratives and disinformation about nuclear weapons in strategic deterrence and competition: A SOCOM perspective. Part of Section: United States Special Operations Command (USSOCOM) in Emerging Strategic & Geopolitical Challenges: Operational Implications for US Combatant Commands

Russia’s “special military operation” in Ukraine demonstrates the challenge for strategic deterrence and competition of countering contentious narratives and disinformation about weapons of mass destruction (WMD) during conventional regional wars against a nucleararmed adversary. Moscow uses both tailored, contentious narratives and targeted disinformation about WMD in Ukraine to influence and disrupt local and global perceptions in support of its deterrence and competition objectives vis-à-vis the United States and NATO. Since December 2021, Moscow has made a focal point of chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear weapons in its efforts to establish a permissive environment for its military buildup on the border with Ukraine and then its military intervention. These information tactics also demonstrate an opportunity for US Special Operations Forces (SOF). They are a case study for considering how SOF can contribute to strategic deterrence and competition objectives, specifically countering adversary gray-zone information efforts to alter regional security orders.1 Such a role is in line with the 2022 Special Operations Forces Vision and Strategy, which provides a framework for the evolution of SOF into “a force capable of creating strategic, asymmetric advantages for the nation as a key contributor of integrated deterrence” (United States Special Operations Command, 2022). This paper briefly examines this strategic challenge and SOF opportunity, focusing narrowly on the distinction between contentious narratives and disinformation about nuclear weapons and the role of SOF in countering these gray-zone information tactics. The nuclear dimension of Moscow’s contentious narratives and disinformation in the “special military operation” is of particular interest because it demonstrates the distinction between strategic efforts to influence and disrupt local and global perceptions in Moscow’s favor. This distinction between influence and disruption is less clear with Russia’s contentious narratives and disinformation about chemical and biological weapons in Ukraine, as disinformation about these two types of WMD appears to overwhelm contentious narratives. We believe this distinction is useful for policymakers and warfighters responsible for countering gray-zone information tactics because it provides a framework for crafting tailored responses to contentious narratives and disinformation about nuclear weapons and other WMD. The chapter concludes with a discussion of efforts that could be undertaken by SOF in cooperation with other relevant stakeholders to address this aspect of adversary gray-zone information tactics.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Space‐Time Causal Discovery in Earth System Science: A Local Stencil Learning Approach

Causal discovery tools enable scientists to infer meaningful relationships from observational data, spurring advances in fields as diverse as biology, economics, and climate science. Despite these successes, the application of causal discovery to space-time systems remains immensely challenging due to the high-dimensional nature of the data. For example, in climate sciences, modern observational temperature records over the past few decades regularly measure thousands of locations around the globe. To address these challenges, we introduce Causal Space-Time Stencil Learning (CaStLe), a novel meta-algorithm for discovering causal structures in complex space-time systems. CaStLe leverages regularities in local space-time dependencies to learn governing global dynamics. This local perspective eliminates spurious confounding and drastically reduces sample complexity, making space-time causal discovery practical and effective. For causal discovery, CaStLe flexibly accepts any appropriately adapted time series causal discovery algorithm to recover local causal structures. These advances enable causal discovery of geophysical phenomena that were previously unapproachable, including non-periodic, transient phenomena such as volcanic eruption plumes. Regularities in local space-time dependencies are transformed into informative spatial replicates, which actually improve CaStLe's performance when applied to ever-larger spatial grids. We successfully apply CaStLe to discover the atmospheric dynamics governing the climate response to the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption. We provide validation experiments to demonstrate the effectiveness of CaStLe over existing causal-discovery frameworks on a range of geophysics-inspired benchmarks while identifying the method's limitations and domains where its assumptions may not hold.

Nichol, J. Jake [Univ. of New Mexico, Albuquerque,↗
DOE OSTI2021

Artificial Diversity and Defense Security (ADDSec)

Artificial Diversity and Defense Security (ADDSec) machine learning algorithms are used to classify and cluster threats so that an appropriate response can be initiated as a mitigation strategy. The package includes an ensemble of machine learning algorithms such as Support Vector Machines, naïve bayes, logistic regression, and random forest that evolve with the data to recognize anomalous behavior at the host and network levels. Inputs into the machine learning algorithms include end host system calls, system utilization, packet captures, and syslog messages. The machine learning algorithms can be retrained based on user defined intervals or on the number of packets received. ADDSEC's threat responses include Internet Protocol (IP) Address randomization, application port number randomization, and application library randomization. The IP randomization implementation is built on top of a Software Defined Networking (SDN) framework. The SDN controller installs flows on each of the SDN switches with randomized source and destination IP addresses. The application port numbers are randomized using iptables. The application library randomization is created with a LLVM compiler. All randomization schemes are transparent to the endpoints on the network. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525. SAND2021-3379 O

Cox, RebeccaE.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Polymorphism and Negative Linear Compressibility in Pyrazine-d4

Pyrazine (1,4-diazine) is a widely used linker in coordination polymers, molecular magnets, and metal–organic frameworks, yet its solid-state polymorphism is controlled by weak C–H···N interactions. Using variable-temperature and high-pressure neutron diffraction, a previously unrecognized low-temperature transition to phase IV is identified, showing that the form stabilized under pressure can also be accessed below ∼90 K at ambient pressure in the perdeuterated compound. The transition from phase III → IV involves a symmetry-breaking lattice distortion driven by the reorganization of C–H···N hydrogen bonds, accompanied by negative linear compressibility, which is primarily accommodated through the reduction in void-space within the structure. Structural analysis reveals that while the overall monoclinic framework of phase IV is preserved under both temperature and pressure routes, the evolution of hydrogen-bonded network is distinct depending on the pathway taken. These results establish pyrazine as a model molecular solid for studying pressure–temperature polymorphism and demonstrate how weak directional interactions can produce anomalous mechanical responses in organic crystals.

Ridley, Christopher J. [Oak Ridge National Laborat↗
DOE OSTI2025

Humidity Disrupts Structural and Chiroptical Properties of Chiral 2D Perovskites

Chiral two-dimensional (2D) hybrid organic–inorganic metal halide perovskite semiconductors have emerged as an exceptional material platform with many design opportunities for spintronic applications. However, a comprehensive understanding of changes to the crystal structure and chiroptical properties upon exposure to atmospheric humidity has not been established. We demonstrate phase degradation to the 1D (MBA)PbI 3 (MBA = methylbenzylammonium) and the hypothetical (MBA) 3 PbI 5 ·H 2 O hydrate phases, accompanied by a reduction and disappearance of the chiroptical response. Firstprinciple simulations show that water molecules preferentially locate at the interface between the organic cations and the inorganic framework, thereby disrupting the hydrogen bonding, impacting both the structural chirality and stability of the material. These findings provide critical insights into phase degradation mechanisms and their impact on chiroptical activity in chiral 2D perovskites.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Detecting flash drought events to inform adaptive water management

Abstract: Flash droughts are characterized by a rapid onset of drought conditions, a common feature among various indicators of these events. The lack of a standardized definition and indicator makes flash droughts particularly challenging to predict and manage. We test six state-of-the-art flash drought indicators using 41 years of daily data across all Hydrological Unit Code 4 (HUC4) regions in the contiguous United States. Our results show substantial disagreements among indicators, suggesting that the detection of a flash drought event strongly depends on the choice of indicator. From the perspective of informing management and operations, an open challenge remains: which flash drought indicator should be used to trigger operational adaptations? To this end, we propose a methodological framework that informs adaptive actions by regionally assessing the level of agreement between different indicators. The regional differences in hydroclimatic conditions are expected to be reflected in the level of agreement between indicators. To better inform adaptive actions, the framework will also consider the impacted sectoral water uses and their varying response times. The insights gained from this study improve the understanding of how these different flash drought indicators capture the different aspects of regional differences and impacted sectors. Furthermore, this information can support more targeted adaptive actions to mitigate adverse impacts through improved preparedness and response strategies.

climate resilience↗
DOE OSTI2026

Multibody for Everybody (M4E) - A Linearization Approach to Enable Frequency Domain Analysis, Time Integration and Control Co-Design

1.1 Background/Objectives: Marine energy represents a promising yet underexploited source of power. To increase the harvested power, significant efforts have been made to improve wave energy converter (WEC) modeling capabilities and optimize power take-off (PTO) performance; however, these efforts have often treated WEC dynamics, PTO design, and controller development sequentially. In contrast, control co-design (CCD) is emerging as a promising strategy to address these issues directly, creating a growing need for fast analysis tools suitable for repeated simulation and parametric studies [1]. To support this need, this work presents the Multibody for Everybody (M4E) [2] linearization module, which employs a symbolic toolbox to provide deeper insight of WEC design parameters. The objective is to demonstrate that a minimal-coordinate linearization of articulated WEC dynamics can provide accurate wave response predictions and substantial computational savings relative to nonlinear time-domain simulation, while preserving compatibility with broader wave-energy analysis workflows, enabling CCD. 1.2 Approach/Activities: The proposed approach linearizes the equations of motion, generated by M4E, in minimal coordinates about a selected operating point and combines the resulting system with frequencydomain hydrodynamic terms to incorporate the reduced mass, damping, stiffness, and forcing operators. The linearized model is used for both impedance-based response amplitude operator (RAO) prediction and rapid regular-wave time integration. The methodology is demonstrated on a single-flap device and a FOSWEC configuration, with linearized M4E responses compared against the corresponding nonlinear M4E simulations and WEC-Sim results. Regular-wave time histories, RAO trends, and runtime differences are assessed. The framework is also compatible with broader wave-energy workflows, including coupling to WecOptTool, although that capability is not the focus of this work [3]. 1.3 Results/Lessons: The linearized M4E model reproduces key regularwave response characteristics such as integration and Response Amplitude over multiple frequencies. This module matches nonlinear M4E and WEC-Sim results while substantially reducing integration cost. Thus, the proposed framework can serve as a rapid analysis layer for articulated WEC design, parameter studies, and controls-oriented workflows. The analysis is most appropriate in the near-equilibrium regime, about the linearization point.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2026

Asynchronous Grid Connections Providing Fast-Frequency Response: System Integration Study

This paper presents an integration study for the recent power electronic-based fast-frequency response technology, "asynchronous grid connection" which operates as an aggregator for behind-the-meter resources and distributed generators. Both technical feasibility and techno-economic viability studies are presented. The fast-frequency response characteristics, validated against Power Hardware-in-the-Loop experiments, are integrated into an IEEE 9- bus system in DigSilent PowerFactory for system-level dynamic analysis. It demonstrates that droop-based control enhancements to local distributed generators allow their aggregation to provide grid-supporting functionalities and participate in the ancillary service markets. To this end, a long-term simulation embedding the system within the ancillary service market framework of PJM has been performed. The fast-frequency response regulation is subsequently used to calculate the potential revenue and project the results on a 15-year investment horizon. Finally, the techno-economic analysis provides recommendations for enhancements to access the full potential of distributed generators on a technical and regulatory level.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Poster: Responsible Adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Electric Grid Operations

The rapid integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in the utility transmission and distribution (T&D) sector is revolutionizing traditional grid management practices. As utilities encounter complexities from evolving consumer behaviors and energy integration, AI becomes a critical solution for enhancing grid monitoring, fault detection, and operational optimization. However, increased reliance on interconnected technologies introduces significant cybersecurity risks, regulatory compliance challenges, and human factors concerns. This study proposes a strategic, responsible and consequence-driven approach to AI implementation, examining the dual nature of AI adoption by highlighting its transformative benefits for utilities and associated risks. It provides utilities with a framework for evaluating AI integration, enabling them to navigate challenges and capitalize on opportunities to achieve greater reliability, efficiency, and resilience in an increasingly complex energy landscape.

24 - POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Template‐Directed Growth of Palladium Nanoparticles in Holey Single‐Layer Graphene for High‐Performance Room‐Temperature Hydrogen Sensing

Holey graphene (HG), formed by introducing nanoscale perforations into graphene sheets, combines the structural advantages of continuous sp 2 conjugation with the beneficial effects of high surface area and enhanced chemical reactivity associated with nanoscopic holes. Conventional HG fabrication methods often rely on harsh oxidative treatments that compromise graphene's intrinsic electronic properties by disrupting its sp 2 conjugation. A new approach is introduced to fabricate HG directly from single-layer graphene (SLG), using two-dimensional covalent organic frameworks (COFs) as a template followed by controlled oxygen plasma etching. This method preserves the integrity of the SLG's sp 2 network while producing well-defined holes with an average diameter of 2.7 nm. These hole edges act as reactive sites that facilitate the confined, autoreductive growth of palladium nanoparticles (PdNPs) without external reducing agents. The confined hole geometry prevents NP agglomeration and ensures a uniform size distribution. The resulting Pd@HG hybrid exhibits exceptional chemiresistive hydrogen sensing characteristics, including ultrahigh sensitivity, low detection limits, rapid response and recovery, and long-term stability under both dry and humid conditions. Mechanistic investigations reveal a two-step sensing process involving surface redox interactions and hydrogen absorption into the PdNP lattices. This strategy presents a scalable platform for integrating metal NPs within conductive carbon frameworks for advanced sensing applications.

chemical vapor deposition↗
DOE OSTI2026

CRAGE-RB-PI-seq reveals transcriptional dynamics of plant-associated bacteria during root colonization

Plant roots release a wide array of metabolites into the rhizosphere, shaping microbial communities and their functions. While metagenomics has expanded our understanding of these communities, little is known about the physiology of their members in host environments. Transcriptome analysis via RNA sequencing is a common approach to learning more, but its use has been challenging because of low bacterial biomass and interference from plant RNA. To overcome this, we developed a randomly-barcoded promoter-library insertion sequencing (RB-PI-seq) combined with chassis-independent recombinase-assisted genome engineering (CRAGE). Using Pseudomonas simiae WCS417 as a model rhizobacterium, this method enabled targeted amplification of barcoded transcripts, bypassing plant RNA interference and allowing measurement of thousands of promoter activities during Arabidopsis root colonization. Our analysis revealed temporally resolved transcriptional regulation, including those associated with cell growth, chemotaxis, plant immune suppression, biofilm formation, and stress responses, reflecting the coordinated physiological adaptation to the root environment. Additionally, we discovered that transcriptional activation of xanthine dehydrogenase and a lysozyme inhibitor is crucial for evading plant immune systems. This framework is scalable to other bacterial species and provides new opportunities for understanding rhizobacterial gene regulation in native environments.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Flexible AI Models for Grid Resilience

The rapid growth in size and complexity of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) models has led to increased energy demands, posing a threat to the reliability of the existing power grid. This project addresses the challenge of highly intermittent and energy-intensive inference workloads by (1) developing fidelity-adaptive neural networks capable of dynamic response to grid conditions and (2) integrating these networks with power flow simulations to assess their impact on power grid reliability. We will explore both top-down and bottom-up approaches to create hierarchies of submodels that provide a controlled trade-off between power draw and prediction accuracy. The top-down method utilizes NN pruning to reduce a flagship model into progressively smaller, energy-efficient variants. The bottom-up approach employs geometrically principled weight setting strategies to construct depth-efficient models from the ground up. A real-time hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) platform will be developed to simulate a scaled AC power grid, integrating live AI workload power draw and enabling dynamic model switching in response to grid feedback. This work will provide a novel framework for evaluating the impact of flexible AI/ML workloads on grid performance and establish new methodologies for energy-aware computing in data centers. The outcomes will demonstrate that adaptive AI/ML can play a critical role in improving grid stability while advancing NREL's leadership in energy-efficient computing research.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2022

WPTO Navigator

Protecting hydroelectric plants from incidents that adversely impact their cyber-physical systems presents unique challenges due to the plants’ widely dispersed geographic locations and varied configurations as well as the relative nascent nature of the cyberattacks targeting these facilities. To help hydroelectric plants better respond to and mitigate cybersecurity incidents, this Department of Energy Water Power Technologies Office Navigator aligns the processes within the National Institute of Standards 800-61r2 Computer Security Incident Handling Guide with the emergency actions within the FEMA 64 Emergency Action Plan Framework. This work is to be used at a hydroelectric plant to quickly understand how the plant responds to a cyber incident in relationship to the actions involved in an emergency action plan involving a hydroelectric plant. In addition to this product, there are three other products meant to be distributed to a hydroelectric plant to assist in their cyber incident response and recovery. The first, a report on the processes of building a R&R flip book based on a large set of existing guidance. The second, a handy flip book meant to be distributed to hydroelectric plants to assist them during a cybersecurity incident occurring on a hydroelectic plant. And the third is a comprehensive set of resources to assist an operator in locating appropriate guidance during the recovery process.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Projecting Future Colorado River Basin Water and Hydropower Operations

Drought, variable renewable energy (VRE) resources (primarily wind and photovoltaic technologies), and power markets can all impact hydropower plant operations. We analyze how these three factors collectively may potentially change the future operation and economics of federal dams and hydropower plants located in the Colorado River Basin (CRB). Federal CRB energy and capacity resources, including 4,200 MW of hydropower capacity, are marketed by Western Area Power Administration (WAPA) and sold through long-term Firm Electric Service (FES) contracts to entities located in 15 western and central States that serve millions of electricity consumers. The parameters of FES contracts allow a wide range of scheduling flexibility for FES customers. The FES customers will adjust the timing of energy delivery according to the changing water, power market, and VRE contribution level to the power grid. We simulate and project water and hydropower operations with two models: 1) reservoir operation and 2) power system operation (production cost) with various temporal granularity. We consider two sets of grid scenarios (one representing today's infrastructure, and one representing higher VRE contributions in 2036) and two sets of water scenarios (drought and normal hydrology). We modeled scenarios to understand the power market-energy price levels and patterns, FES customer scheduling, hydropower economics, WAPA finances and hydropower operation for various hydrologic conditions, and VRE contribution level to the power grid. The detailed modeling framework includes: (1) creating ensembles of CRB hydrologic and hydropower futures, (2) selecting representative futures, (3) simulation of FES customer contracts, (4) simulating western U.S. power grid economic scheduling and dispatch under two VRE contribution levels, utilizing information from modeling steps (1)-(4), (5) assessment of reservoir water and hydropower operation, and (6) comparing scenario operations and economics. Our study team comprising WAPA, and an interdisciplinary team of national labs will gain insight into how WAPA can prepare for and adapt its practices in response to an evolving U.S. power grid.

Colorado River↗
DOE OSTI2026

Influence of fabrication on microstructure and heat affected zone width in weldments of nuclear reactor pressure vessel steel

Advanced manufacturing routes such as electron beam welding and powder metallurgy with hot isostatic pressing are increasingly used across energy and aerospace industries, where the reliable prediction of weld behavior and heat affected zone (HAZ) evolution is critical. This study examines how fabrication routes and post-weld heat treatments influence phase distribution, crystallite size, microstrain, and dislocation density in nuclear reactor pressure vessel steels using synchrotron X-ray diffraction (SXRD). Retained austenite occurs only in samples that did not undergo austenitization, whereas an austenitizing heat treatment fully eliminates retained austenite and produces a more uniform microstructure across the weldment in terms of phase fraction, dislocation density, and microstrain. The Rosenthal solution underestimates the HAZ width for powder metallurgy samples. A newly proposed modified Rosenthal solution, reducing density by accounting for porosity, matches the SXRD-measured HAZ width with a 0.65% error. Structure–property correlations reveal that dislocation density correlates strongly with nanohardness in homogenous microstructures, while in heterogenous weldments nanohardness is further influenced by the presence of dissimilar phase boundaries. These findings provide new insight into the thermal and microstructural response of powder metallurgy fabricated steels and offer a framework for optimizing welding procedures and heat treatments in advanced manufacturing applications.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Restoring Historic Forest Disturbance Frequency Would Partially Mitigate Droughts in the Central Sierra Nevada Mountains

Forest thinning and prescribed fire are expected to improve the climate resilience and water security of forests in the western U.S., but few studies have directly modeled the hydrological effects of multi-decadal landscape-scale forest disturbance. By updating a distributed process-based hydrological model (DHSVM) with vegetation maps from a distributed forest ecosystem model (LANDIS-II), we simulate the water resource impacts of forest management scenarios targeting partial or full restoration of the pre-colonial disturbance return interval in the central Sierra Nevada mountains. In a fully restored disturbance regime that includes fire, thinning, and insect mortality, reservoir inflow increases by 4%–9% total and 8%–14% in dry years. At sub-watershed scales (10–100 km2), thinning dense forests can increase streamflow by >20% in dry years. In a thinner forest, increased understory transpiration compensates for decreased overstory transpiration. Consequentially, 73% of streamflow gains are attributable to decreased overstory rain and snow interception loss. Thinner forests can increase headwater peak flows, but reservoir-scale peak flows are almost exclusively influenced by climate. Uncertainty in future precipitation causes high uncertainty in future water yield, but the additional water yield attributable to forest disturbance is about five times less sensitive to annual precipitation uncertainty. This partial decoupling of the streamflow disturbance response from annual precipitation makes disturbance especially valuable for water supply during dry years. Our study can increase confidence in the water resource benefits of restoring historic forest disturbance frequencies in the central Sierra Nevada mountains, and our modeling framework is widely applicable to other forested mountain landscapes.

Boardman, Eli N. [University of Nevada, Reno, NV (↗
DOE OSTI2023

NARUC grid data sharing playbook

In 2022, the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners (NARUC) launched an initiative to support its members in addressing issues related to grid data sharing. The Grid Data Sharing Collaborative was funded by the DOE’s Office of Electricity and Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response (CESER). NARUC invited programmatic, policy, technical, and cybersecurity subject matter experts from public utility commissions, utilities, non-governmental organizations, energy service companies, and DOE to join the two-year Grid Data Sharing Collaborative to help develop a flexible framework for states to use as a starting point when navigating complex decision-making inherent in grid data sharing. The framework took shape through a series of intensive workshops during which Collaborative participants explored illustrative use cases to identify data needs, articulate the benefits and risks of sharing such data, and assess the trade-offs. Along the way, participants offered suggestions for how the framework could be used in practice. The purpose of this playbook is to describe the elements of the Grid Data Sharing Framework and to begin supporting its implementation.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗