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On the Definition of the Prompt Neutron Lifetime

There are myriad definitions for the mean neutron lifetime, neutron generation time, and other related quantities to characterize a neutron and its progeny’s propagation through an assembly. In this document, we consider lifetime definitions that are associated with eigenvalue forms of the neutron transport equation. Specifically, we focus on the two most widely used eigenvalues: the $\kappa$ eigenvalue and the $\alpha$ eigenvalue. These eigenvalues are used more often than other eigenvalues due to the physical phenomenon they capture. The $\kappa$ eigenvalue allows for the ability to determine if the system can sustain a chain reaction, while the $\alpha$ eigenvalue captures the asymptotic time dependent behavior of the system. An advantage of using these eigenvalues resides in the biorthogonality of the solutions with their adjoint counterpart. This feature allows us to simplify the expressions and to obtain appropriately weighted definitions that highlight important physics and regions of an assembly.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A new TEVA-DGA chromatography procedure to separate Pu, Am, and Np from bulk U materials

Trace actinides present within uranium (U) material are diagnostic signatures of U processing history. For example, the emplacement of U material within the high neutron-flux environment of a nuclear reactor can cause neutron capture of U to form 241-plutonium ( 241 Pu). Plutonium-241 then decays to progeny isotopes 241-americium ( 241 Am) and 237-neptunium ( 237 Np); therefore, the presence and relative abundances of these trace actinides is indicative of the material’s production history and intended employment (Mayer et al., 2013). During a pre-detonation nuclear forensics investigation, measurement of trace actinide 241 Pu, 241 Am, and 237 Np concentrations by an analytical laboratory may be requested. However, chemically purifying these elements from bulk U is a challenging and involved procedure requiring several sequential chromatography columns across 4+ days. To expedite Pu-Am-Np separation from bulk U material, and to improve the yield recovery of these elements, this DHS Postdoc Fellowship has worked to create a new chromatography separation chemistry.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

User’s Manual for RESRAD-BUILD Code V.4: Vol. 1 – Methodology and Models Used in RESRAD-BUILD Code

The RESRAD-BUILD computer code models radionuclide release and transport in indoor environments and performs pathway analyses to evaluate the potential radiological dose and risk incurred by an individual who works or lives in a building contaminated with radioactive material or housing radioactively contaminated furniture or equipment. The code provides four geometries to characterize a radiation source: point, line, area, and volume, in which radionuclides are homogeneously distributed. Radionuclides contained in a source are considered to be released to the indoor air due to various processes including erosion (mechanically or weathering), diffusion (for tritium and radon in a volume source), or emanation (radon in a point, line, or area source). The release can proceed through different time phases with different rates. In RESRAD-BUILD Version 4.0, a dynamic ventilation model is implemented to simulate the fate and transport of source material particles and radionuclides after their releases. This dynamic ventilation model considers (1) air exchange between rooms in the building and between the rooms and the outdoor environment, (2) deposition from air to floor, (3) resuspension from the floor to the air, and (4) periodical vacuuming that reduces the floor deposition. The fate and transport modeling provides estimates of radionuclide concentrations in the source, in the air, and on the floor at different times, which are then integrated over the exposure duration for the calculation of radiation doses and cancer risks. A single run of the RESRAD-BUILD code can model a building with up to 9 rooms, 10 sources, and 10 receptors. The potential radiation dose and cancer risk incurred by each receptor are calculated for seven exposure pathways: (1) external radiation directly from the sources (accounting for shielding), (2) external radiation from radioactive particles deposited on the floors, (3) external radiation from airborne radionuclides, (4) inhalation of airborne radionuclides, (5) inhalation of radon and radon progenies, (6) inadvertent ingestion of radioactive particles directly from the source, and (7) ingestion of radioactive particles deposited on the floors. Various exposure scenarios can be modeled with RESRAD-BUILD, including but are not limited to, office worker, renovation worker, decontamination worker, building visitor, and resident. Both deterministic and probabilistic analyses can be performed to obtain results in both text reports and graphic displays.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

New NBL Pu Isotopic Standards C137A and C136A as Working Reference Materials for Radiochronometry in Nuclear Forensics

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and the NBL Program Office (NBL PO) are collaborating on production of purified sub-units of the former NBS 936, 937 and 938 plutonium isotopic reference materials, which will be certified for plutonium isotopic composition and sold as certified reference materials (CRMs) C136A, C137A, and C138A, respectively. These reference materials are used throughout the United States and international community as standards for isotopic measurement method calibration and quality control and were first produced over 50 years ago. To reduce quantities of in-grown daughter products and potentially enable their use as Pu radiochronometry reference materials, the materials undergo a two-stage anion exchange purification to significantly reduce the quantities of U, Am, and Np in the source material. The purified Pu is aliquoted into ~1 mg units in the nitrate form, which will facilitate easier shipping and use compared to the 0.25 g parent units. The production process has been completed for the high- and medium- burnup isotopic standards C137A and C136A and will soon be performed for the weapons-grade Pu standard C138A. This report describes the measurement of trace actinide progeny of the Pu isotopes ( 234 U, 235 U, 236U, 241 Am and 237 Np) in purified C137A and 136A isotopic standards to provide informational values and assess the possibility of their use as working reference materials for radiochronometry.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

An LSTM Deep Learning Network for ¿Background Radiation Prediction

Determination of appropriate background radiation is important in any measurement application. Environmental radiation monitors and monitors used to assess dose to individuals outside of controlled areas are particularly susceptible to changes in readings due to fluctuations in the environmental conditions. These fluctuations (e.g. radon progeny concentrations) lead to changes in the detector response in the actual radiation environment, and they need to be taken into account when extracting the net operational doses. Work has been ongoing to apply advances in Deep Learning and Artificial Intelligence to account for changes in detector responses based on environmental parameters; in particular, a Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) Deep Learning architecture has been utilized to incorporate time-series data into a prediction model. In this work, we present the current status of the project to predict radiation measurements based on meteorological conditions and air packet trajectories extracted using the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT4) model.

Degtiarenko, Pavel↗

Defining Lipidomic Responses to Coronavirus Infection

Highly pathogenic human coronavirus infection can cause a severe atypical, rapid onset pneumonia with a mortality rate of up to 10% for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 1 (SARS-CoV 1), 35% for Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV), or 1% for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV 2 causative agent of COVID 19). While medical countermeasures successfully controlled the worldwide SARS-CoV epidemic, the MERS-CoV epidemic is still ongoing and continues to be a concern for travelers in the Middle East and the multi-year SARS-CoV 2 pandemic underscore the importance of defining biomarkers that are diagnostic and/or predictive of severe disease outcomes for respiratory viruses. Systems biology approaches provide global snapshots of infection induced changes in host cells/tissues and provide extremely rich datasets for understanding host pathogen interactions. Metabolites, especially lipids, are critical for viral replication but less is understood about infection induced changes to lipids due to limits in lipid species detection and identification. To characterize how individual lipid species and proteins with lipid associated functions contribute to highly pathogenic human coronavirus replication and disease severity, existing datasets were probed to determine cell type specific lipid responses to MERS-CoV infection and verification studies were performed to determine if modification of the host lipid signature (by inhibiting enzymatic functions that produce specific lipid species) can perturb CoV replication in human lung cells. MERS-CoV infects human lung epithelial, endothelial and fibroblast cells. All three cell types were infected with MERS-CoV and samples collected to analyze lipids, proteins, metabolites, and transcripts from 12 to 48 hours post infection. Time matched mock-infected cells were collected in parallel for each cell type. Following sample and statistical analysis, functional enrichment and bioinformatic analysis was performed to identify differentially expressed lipids and proteins. Two lipid species were found to be significantly upregulated following MERS-CoV infection, ceramides, and triacylglycerol both of which are indicative of cells undergoing apoptotic cell death. In contrast, sphingomyelins (lipid molecules that can serve as a precursor for one pathway for ceramide synthesis) had significantly decreased expression in MERS-CoV infected cells. An inhibitor of acid sphingomyelinase (that converts sphingomyelin to ceramides and phosphorylcholine) reduced MERS-CoV replication suggesting that production of ceramides is key for successful viral replication and transmission. Acyl-CoA-synthetase 3 (ACSL3), the only protein whose function is lipid associated and had increased differential expression in our dataset, regulates the synthesis of triacylglycerol (increased expression). Inhibitors that directly block ACSL3 (Triacsin C) but not steps later in the triacylglycerol synthesis pathway (Etomoxir) inhibit MERS-CoV replication suggesting that triacylglycerol production and/or ACSL3 activity is also key for viral replication. ACSL3 expression is also upregulated in lung cancer cells and is predicted to promote continued cell viability which would also enhance viral replication. The differentially expressed lipid and lipid-associated protein species identified in our studies suggest that MERS-CoV infection is activating cellular death pathways to limit the number of cells that become infected but also stimulating the production of lipid-associated enzymes that can prolong host cell viability and the amount of time progeny virions can be produced and released. As the inhibitors that worked against MERS-CoV infection were also efficacious against SARS-CoV 2 infection, countermeasures that target these host pathways may provide novel ways to block highly pathogenic human coronavirus infection and/or prevent severe disease outcomes.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Genetics and Genomics of Pathogen Resistance in Switchgrass (Final Report)

This project was funded by DOE under Grant no. DE-SC0016108. Originally approved for the 2016-2019 period, two no-cost extensions were solicited and approved, which prolonged the lifespan through July 2021. This final report informs on the results obtained so far from the research implemented. The research hinged on integrating genomics (genomic selection, RNAseq, virus-plant interactions) with classical genetics (conventional breeding) to incorporate durable resistance to fungal (rust) and viral (mosaic) diseases in switchgrass (Panicum virgatum) populations being bred for bioenergy. Higher biomass yield, higher quality (low lignin content), and durable disease resistance are key features to make lignocellulosic switchgrass feedstocks economically competitive and sustainable. Genomic selection is being applied on three generations of a switchgrass population derived from crossing two ecotypes (Kanlow as lowland female and Summer as upland male) with differential performance in terms of biomass yield and quality, disease resistance, and winter survivability. Target populations were screened for rust and mosaic in field and/or lab and phenotyped for biomass yield and quality traits. Genetic analyses were applied across generations to capture the joint inheritance of the targeted traits and predict breeding values for parents and progeny with greater accuracy. Parental and a panel of different switchgrass populations were genotyped with the DArTseq technology to develop SNP (0, 1, 2) and in-silico (presence/absence) DArT markers. Rust inoculations techniques were developed and applied successfully on switchgrass. The original populations (Kanlow and Summer) were sequenced with RNAseq to capture the gene expression profiles across sequential time-points and appraise the basis of greater resistance in the Kanlow vs the Summer ecotype. Constructs of PMV and sPMV mosaic virus were assembled and tested first on proso millet to find the best protocol to use later on switchgrass. Results from the preliminary analyses indicate that 1) ample additive genetic variation is available for selection and improving this inter-ecotypic population for yield, quality, and disease traits, 2) significant gains are to be expected with the genetic correlations being favorable between yield and lignin content and between yield and disease ratings, 3) substantial differences exist in the genetic regions controlling rust resistance in the two ecotypes, 4) co-infection with PMV isolates from Nebraska and its satellite from Kansas elicit severe mosaic symptoms, and 5) two different genetic systems are responsible for imparting resistance to rust and virus in switchgrass.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

The Gene Fitness Atlas: A Roadmap for Predicting Evolution

We developed a novel, high-throughput microfluidic device design containing “interaction zones” where progeny cell lines compete against each other allowing for accurate analysis of bacterial cell fitness. The goal of the project was to use the device for two applications: 1) gene knockout screening and 2) antibiotic resistance screening. The microfluidic platform was fabricated using photolithography and soft lithography in polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS). E.coli Keio mutants and fluorescent wildtype parent were chosen for the study. Cells were grown overnight and their loading into the devices and seeding in mother machines was optimized. For mutant screening, the least fit mutant and wildtype parent were cultured individually and then added to the microfluidic device. The mother machines which were seeded with mutant and wildtype were imaged through time lapse microscopy and the growth of cells was observed. For antibiotic screening, wildtype E.coli cells which were grown overnight were added to the device and washed with media containing the antibiotic ampicillin. The growth pattern in presence and absence of ampicillin was observed through time lapse microscopy. It was observed that over a period of four hours, both the mutant and the wildtype divided in the mother machine and pushed daughter cells out into the interaction zone. In case of the antibiotic screening experiment, the fluorescent wildtype divided both in the absence and presence of sublethal concentration of ampicillin. This study is a proof of concept demonstration of high- throughput single cell analysis of cells using a novel microfluidics device.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Development of Production Strains of Chlamydomonas Using Breeding Technologies

Chlamydomonas is a well-studied strain with excellent breeding capability. It can produce recombinant proteins in the raceway in the greenhouse. Increasing the pH of the culture resulted in a very stable cultivation process and cultures did not crash. This strain was not tolerant of high UV levels at KAF. This is can be probably easily overcome by breeding with a light tolerant strain. Overall Chlamydomonas is a very promising strain for production of recombinant proteins not only in the lab but also outdoors. It has excellent breeding capability and its progeny expressed the introduced protein for a long tiem. Chlamydomonas sp. produced lipids but overall lipid yield was low with highest lipid content of 15%. Chlamydomonas is a genus with a great potential for production of various specific proteins. It can be potentially cultivated outdoors and should be further investigated for production of specific molecules.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

New NDA Methods for Thorium Fuel Cycle Safeguards (Final Report)

This project developed portable Neutron Resonance Transmission Analysis (pNRTA) as a new non-destructive assay (NDA) method for thorium fuel cycles safeguards and other applications where multiple isotopes must be measured when present together. pNRTA leverages epithermal neutron resonances to assay multiple safeguards-relevant isotopes (e.g., 233 U and 235 U) when they are present together in a sample. Existing techniques are challenged by this task, driving the need for new active interrogation methods. With selected detectors, pNRTA works in high gamma-ray backgrounds from fission and activation products and 232 U progeny expected in thorium fuel cycle samples. This project leveraged a pNRTA system developed at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) and collaboration with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). The system uses a commercially available deuterium-tritium (DT) neutron generator at short standoff (2 m). Key achievements in this project included: first-of-a-kind pNRTA quantitative measurements of 233 U oxide samples, an assessment of neutron detector technologies suitable for pNRTA in high gamma-ray background environments, experimentally demonstrating quantitative assay of samples containing 233 U and 235 U, and modeling studies showing the applicability of pNRTA to a wide range of material forms. Further, a custom algorithm was developed at MIT, which provided mean bias of 9% and relative standard deviation of 36% in assaying 233 U, 235 U, 238 U, and 232 Th content in eight measured samples. These outcomes form a solid technical basis for pNRTA as a new promising capability for international safeguards verification that is portable, non-destructive, quantitative, and isotopic specific.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Production of NBL PO plutonium isotopic standards CRM 136A, CRM 137A, and CRM 138A

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) produced approximately 1 mg units of purified Pu from the parent New Brunswick Laboratory (NBL) certified reference materials (CRM) 137, 136 and 138 isotopic standards for the NBL Program Office (NBL PO) as detailed in the revised project plan. As stated in the plan, three representative units of each material were dispensed at the same time to be characterized at LLNL and provide informational values for the quantity of Pu and progeny nuclides in each unit. NBL PO intends to collect and evaluate isotopic measurement data from multiple laboratories and certify these materials as new isotopic standards C137A, C136A, and C138A, respectively. Soon after production eleven units of each analytical standard were shipped to other analytical laboratories for the certification effort, and 121, 119, and 119 units of C137A, C136A and C138A, respectively were shipped to Mickey Finch at Y12 NBL distribution center in November 2024 (30-gallon drum, TID 003777 PRL 7000005043). Residual purified Pu from the effort is being stored indefinitely in B332 at LLNL. Detailed methods can be found in the production plan, and this report describes and documents aspects of the production effort that are not in or were modified from the original production plan.

and nuclear chemistry↗

Controlling Host Responses to Infection

Pathogen invasion of host cells causes a myriad of functional changes including alterations of chromatin accessibility often limiting defense responses, shunting of cellular resources to centers of viral replication, and rearrangement of intracellular membranes to facilitate genome reproduction and progeny release. Systems biology approaches provide global snapshots of pathogen induced changes following infection and provide a variety of tools to begin to define how cellular homeostasis is disrupted, but improvements on these tools are required to determine how cellular functions are altered post infection. Chromatin accessibility techniques, biochemical assays to assess the activity of epigenetic enzymes, scalable sample collection platforms, and activity-based probes were used to characterize how human respiratory viruses modify host responses in infected human lungs over time. These studies enhanced our knowledge of how pathogens usurp the host environment during infection and identify additional targets for future evaluations of medical countermeasures.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

User’s Manual for RESRAD-RDD&IND Code Version 2: Vol. 2—User’s Guide for RESRAD-RDD&IND Code

Version 2.0 of the RESRAD-RDD&IND computer code is designed to support the implementation of protective action guides (PAGs) after a nuclear emergency incident including a radiological dispersal device (RDD) and/or an improvised nuclear device (IND) incident (EPA 2017). Eight different group types, addressing various decisions, are available for selection. The RESRAD-RDD&IND code calculates radiological doses, stay times, etc., for the selected group that the user wishes to focus on. (That is, the results for all the groups are not calculated simultaneously, and the input for those other groups do not matter, although some parameter values are shared between groups.) Version 2.0 has a user-friendly interface so that the RESRAD-RDD&IND code can be used with minimal training. For example, the user can select the major characteristics of the problem-event type, source term, and decision type from the left side of the interface and then calculate the results with the default assumptions for the exposure scenarios. More in-depth analysis would include specifying site-specific exposure scenario characteristics in the right side of the interface. The procedures for data entry and results viewing are self-explanatory. This is because common window maneuvering features and text instructions were incorporated in the interface design. General and context-specific help are available to aid users entering parameter values, as well. The RESRAD-RDD&IND computer code gives the user the option to select either an RDD or IND incident for analysis. For an RDD event analysis, 11 radionuclides (Am-241, Cf-252, Cm-244, Co-60, Cs-137, Ir-192, Po-210, Pu-238, Pu-239, Ra-226, and Sr-90) are included. These 11 radionuclides are the radionuclides most likely used for an RDD. More than 90 radionuclides can be selected for an IND event analysis. Initial default concentrations are provided for 44 radionuclides for a uranium-fueled IND event. These 44 radionuclides are those that would contribute significantly to the radiation dose associated with a uranium-fueled bomb detonation. The radionuclides generated from ingrowth of these 44 initial radionuclides are also automatically included in the analysis. Pu-239, Cs-134m, Ru-105, and Rb-89 and their progeny can be selected for analysis if they are detected and their concentrations are determined. This user’s guide, which is Volume 2 of the User’s Manual for RESRAD-RDD&IND Code Version 2, provides instructions to users on how to install the RESRAD-RDD&IND code, navigate the interface, and use the various features, including those discussed above, to set up an analysis and view/print the results in text outputs. Volume 1 of the User’s Manual for RESRAD-RDD&IND Code Version 2 (Yu et al. 2026), which contains descriptions of the methodology and theoretical basis for dose modeling and the mathematical equations implemented in the code, can be accessed and viewed through the Help menu in the code or can be downloaded from the RESRAD website (https://resrad.evs.anl.gov).

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Vectors of Efficiency in Hybrid Poplar Genotype Testing

Abstract The Natural Resources Research Institute Hybrid Poplar Program breeds and tests genetically improved clones for bio-mass production and environmental services. The testing process progresses from Nursery Progeny Tests (NPT) to Family Field Trials (FFT) to Clone Trials (CT) to Yield Blocks (YB), with limited replication of many clones in FFT and CT and a limited number of highly selected clones set out in monoclonal blocks (YB) to approximate the conditions of commercial plantations. We used correlation vectors, R 2 (coefficient of determination) and r s (Spearman’s Coefficient) for growth (DBH 2 ) and McFadden’s Pseudo R 2 for canker severity score, to determine where testing times could be altered (age – age correlations) and whole testing steps eliminated. FFT can be shortened from 5 years to 4 years. In CT, rank correlations between age 5 (half-rotation) and age 9/10 (full rotation) were significant (R 2 = 0.39 – 0.72), but age 5 selection missed 44 % of the top ten clones at age 9/10. Clone rank in CT at full, but not half, rotation was correlated with rank at full rotation in YB. Choosing clones at 9 years in CT adds 4 years but allows possible elimination of YB for clone selection. Both FFT and CT are necessary. Canker abundance and severity in CT at full rotation cannot be determined at earlier ages. An aggressive strategy saves 6 years of testing.

Forestry↗

Genome_shuffling_enables_quantitative_trait_locus_mapping_in_Bacillus_subtilis

Genetic mapping is a powerful tool for eukaryotic genetics that has only been applied to bacteria in limited circumstances. Quantitative trait locus (QTL) mapping generally relies on sexual recombination to break linkages between genes, yet bacteria rarely undergo sufficient homologous recombination to generate suitable mapping populations. In this work, we used iterative biparental genome shuffling by protoplast fusion inBacillus subtilisto generate a population of bacteria with substantial random recombination throughout their genomes. Individual shuffled progeny were arrayed in well plates, resequenced, and characterized for a range of complex phenotypes including spore germination and swarming motility. Genetic mapping of the resulting phenotypes identified high-confidence QTLs of moderate size (∼10 kb), and these associations were validated through targeted genetic swaps. ThisB. subtilisQTL population can easily be used to map additional phenotypes, and the general approach for QTL mapping is applicable in a wide range of bacteria.

Bacillus subtilis↗

Radioactive Thoron 220 Rn Exhalation From Unfired Mud Building Material Into Room Air of Earthen Dwellings

Thoron ( 220 Rn), an isotope of radon with a strong α-decay energy, and its short-lived metallic progeny can pose an elevated lung cancer hazard in room air when unfired-soil derived building materials are used in earthen dwellings. Changes in moisture content and density influencing the thoron exhalation rate from earthen materials into room air were studied in the laboratory with terra rossa from a village on the Ðòng Van Karst Plateau Geopark, Viêt Nam, where ethnic minorities construct traditional dwellings with unfired terra rossa walls and floors. Our results show that the thoron exhalation rate from mud surfaces depends on (i) the content of radioactive parental nuclides in mineral components; (ii) the moisture content of mud where ~5–10 weight % water maximizes the 220 Rn exhalation rate; and (iii) the density of dry mud as primarily controlled by internal macroscopic voids, fractures, and porosity. Additional time-series of 220 Rn exhalation data from an interior mud wall of a terra rossa-built house under different seasonal and weather conditions show that the temperature is influencing thoron exhalation via the water vapor pressure deficit (VPD) in air and the associated amount of atmospheric moisture adsorbed onto indoor mud surfaces. Our data suggest that occupants of “mud house” earthen dwellings in northern Viêt Nam are exposed to an increased thoron geohazard during cooler weather, low VPD, and high relative humidity in air. Detailed studies are needed to evaluate the thoron geohazard for inhabitants of mud-built dwellings in other climates and geological terrains.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

A Stochastic Intracellular Model of Anthrax Infection With Spore Germination Heterogeneity

We present a stochastic mathematical model of the intracellular infection dynamics of Bacillus anthracis in macrophages. Following inhalation of B. anthracis spores, these are ingested by alveolar phagocytes. Ingested spores then begin to germinate and divide intracellularly. This can lead to the eventual death of the host cell and the extracellular release of bacterial progeny. Some macrophages successfully eliminate the intracellular bacteria and will recover. Here, a stochastic birth-and-death process with catastrophe is proposed, which includes the mechanism of spore germination and maturation of B. anthracis . The resulting model is used to explore the potential for heterogeneity in the spore germination rate, with the consideration of two extreme cases for the rate distribution: continuous Gaussian and discrete Bernoulli. We make use of approximate Bayesian computation to calibrate our model using experimental measurements from in vitro infection of murine peritoneal macrophages with spores of the Sterne 34F2 strain of B. anthracis . The calibrated stochastic model allows us to compute the probability of rupture, mean time to rupture, and rupture size distribution, of a macrophage that has been infected with one spore. We also obtain the mean spore and bacterial loads over time for a population of cells, each assumed to be initially infected with a single spore. Our results support the existence of significant heterogeneity in the germination rate, with a subset of spores expected to germinate much later than the majority. Furthermore, in agreement with experimental evidence, our results suggest that most of the spores taken up by macrophages are likely to be eliminated by the host cell, but a few germinated spores may survive phagocytosis and lead to the death of the infected cell. Finally, we discuss how this stochastic modelling approach, together with dose-response data, allows us to quantify and predict individual infection risk following exposure.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Phenotypic Evaluation of Saccharum spp. Genotypes during the Plant-Cane Crop for Biomass Production in Northcentral Mississippi

Saccharum is relatively new to 33° N latitude. S. spontaneum readily hybridizes with commercial sugarcane (Saccharum spp.) and lends cold tolerance and greater yield to the hybrid progeny, called energycane. Since 2007, there have been numerous new hybrid and backcross energycane genotypes developed but there is a paucity of information about them. Twenty energycane genotypes were tested in the first season of growth from cane propagules (plant cane; PC) against Ho 02-113 (a control) for two site-years in northcentral Mississippi. Grand (exponential) growth continued into October. The prevailing paradigm is that tonnage is what matters. Except for percentage cellulose, all factors tested (dry matter yield, extractable juice volume, °Brix, theoretical ethanol from fermentation, theoretical ethanol from cellulose, and total theoretical ethanol) were greater from the second site-location compared to the first. Dry matter yield (DMY) and total theoretical ethanol yield (TTEY) were moderately correlated. Over the two years of this test only Ho 14-9213 exceeded in mean DMY of Ho 02-113. Sixteen of the 19 test genotypes in this test equaled or exceeded the mean TTEY of Ho 02-113.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗