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At least 109 records · Page 6

Estimation of geopotential differences over intercontinental locations using satellite and terrestrial measurements

An error analysis study was conducted in order to assess the current accuracies and the future anticipated improvements in the estimation of geopotential differences over intercontinental locations. An observation/estimation scheme was proposed and studied, whereby gravity disturbance measurements on the Earth's surface, in caps surrounding the estimation points, are combined with corresponding data in caps directly over these points at the altitude of a low orbiting satellite, for the estimation of the geopotential difference between the terrestrial stations. The mathematical modeling required to relate the primary observables to the parameters to be estimated, was studied for the terrestrial data and the data at altitude. Emphasis was placed on the examination of systematic effects and on the corresponding reductions that need to be applied to the measurements to avoid systematic errors. The error estimation for the geopotential differences was performed using both truncation theory and least squares collocation with ring averages, in case observations on the Earth's surface only are used. The error analysis indicated that with the currently available global geopotential model OSU89B and with gravity disturbance data in 2 deg caps surrounding the estimation points, the error of the geopotential difference arising from errors in the reference model and the cap data is about 23 kgal cm, for 30 deg station separation.

Pavlis, Nikolaos K.↗

Estimation of Untracked Geosynchronous Population from Short-Arc Angles-Only Observations

Telescope observations of the geosynchronous regime will observe two basic types of objects --- objects related to geosynchronous earth orbit (GEO) satellites, and objects in highly elliptical geosynchronous transfer orbits (GTO). Because telescopes only measure angular rates, the GTO can occasionally mimic the motion of GEO objects over short arcs. A GEO census based solely on short arc telescope observations may be affected by these ``interlopers''. A census that includes multiple angular rates can get an accurate statistical estimate of the GTO population, and that then can be used to correct the estimate of the geosynchronous earth orbit population.

Healy, Liam↗

Small satellites of Uranus - Disk-integrated photometry and estimated radii

Voyager imaging data is used to study the evolution of the Uranian system, focusing on the disk-integrated properties and radii of the 10 small satellites orbiting Uranus interior to Miranda (Smith et al., 1986). Reflectances are derived for the two objects that are spatially resolved by the Voyager observations. The relative sizes of the satellites are estimated on the basis of relative apparent brightness (disk-integrated flux). The results are discussed in the context of the origin of these satellites and their relationship to the material forming the rings of Uranus.

Thomas, Peter↗

The Measurement of Mars Rotation Rate and Pole Position with MGS

Laser altimeter data and microwave tracking of the MGS (Mars Global Surveyor) spacecraft have been used to estimate rotation parameters for Mars. With the recent development of new high resolution gravity models for Mars and the determination of the orbit of the MGS spacecraft to the few meter level it has become possible to obtain rotational information about the planet. Perturbations of the spacecraft orbit by the planet's gravity field permit the gravity field to be estimated from the tracking data. But the perturbations arising from the non-zonal components of the gravity field have a periodicity related to the rotation of Mars on its axis and these perturbations enable the rotation rate and direction of the rotation pole in inertial space to be measured with respect to the orbit of the spacecraft. It is the anomalies in the gravity field that permit these parameters to be obtained. Similarly, altimetry data are sensitive to errors in the orbital altitude at orbital cross-over locations and the locations themselves are a function of the rotation of the planet. Thus, altimetric measurements by MOLA provide a geometric constraint on the rotation of the planet through the timing of the orbital cross-over pattern as well as information that improves the orbit determination. For a few months in 1999 MGS tracking and altimetry data have been used in a preliminary experiment to estimate the rotation rate of Mars and the right ascension and declination of the pole from an orbiting spacecraft. These preliminary results appear to have sufficient accuracy to permit detection of seasonal changes in rotation rate and also precession of the pole thus leading to a possible eventual measurement of the moment of inertia.

Smith, David E.↗

Analysis of Mariner 5 Radio Tracking Data

Mariner 5 radio tracking data was analyzed to support the following goals: (1) the determination of the mass of Venus, (2) the determination of, or the placement of a stringent upper bound on, the second order terms in the harmonic expansion of Venus' gravity field; and (3) an independent estimate of the locations of the Deep Space Net tracking stations relative to the coordinate system defined by the orbits of the planets. The rotation vector of Venus was also studied using radar observations of the planet.

Shapiro, I. I.↗

On the nature of the interaction of the Jovian magnetosphere with the icy Galilean satellites

The effects of plasma and micrometeoroid bombardment of each satellite are considered in the case of interactions between the Jovian magnetosphere and Europa, Ganymede, and Callisto, in an attempt to understand the influences of these exogenic processes on the surface properties of each of the three moons. Sublimated and sputtered H2O results in a net O2 atmosphere on each of the three moons, and the effectiveness of such an atmosphere in preventing the Jovian plasma from reaching each satellite surface is considered for a variety of magnetospheric conditions. Also studied are the effects of possible satellite magnetic field magnitude and orientation, in order to estimate satellite magnetosphere properties, and the orbits of charged micrometeroids in the Jupiter magnetosphere, in order to determine the relative flux of these particles over the satellite surfaces.

Wolff, R. S.↗

Small Mercury Relativity Orbiter

The accuracy of solar system tests of gravitational theory could be very much improved by range and Doppler measurements to a Small Mercury Relativity Orbiter. A nearly circular orbit at roughly 2400 km altitude is assumed in order to minimize problems with orbit determination and thermal radiation from the surface. The spacecraft is spin-stabilized and has a 30 cm diameter de-spun antenna. With K-band and X-band ranging systems using a 50 MHz offset sidetone at K-band, a range accuracy of 3 cm appears to be realistically achievable. The estimated spacecraft mass is 50 kg. A consider-covariance analysis was performed to determine how well the Earth-Mercury distance as a function of time could be determined with such a Relativity Orbiter. The minimum data set is assumed to be 40 independent 8-hour arcs of tracking data at selected times during a two year period. The gravity field of Mercury up through degree and order 10 is solved for, along with the initial conditions for each arc and the Earth-Mercury distance at the center of each arc. The considered parameters include the gravity field parameters of degree 11 and 12 plus the tracking station coordinates, the tropospheric delay, and two parameters in a crude radiation pressure model. The conclusion is that the Earth-Mercury distance can be determined to 6 cm accuracy or better. From a modified worst-case analysis, this would lead to roughly 2 orders of magnitude improvement in the knowledge of the precession of perihelion, the relativistic time delay, and the possible change in the gravitational constant with time.

Bender, Peter L.↗

Gravity field determination and error assessment techniques

Linear estimation theory, along with a new technique to compute relative data weights, was applied to the determination of the Earth's geopotential field and other geophysical model parameters using a combination of satellite ground-based tracking data, satellite altimetry data, and the surface gravimetry data. The relative data weights for the inhomogeneous data sets are estimated simultaneously with the gravity field and other geophysical and orbit parameters in a least squares approach to produce the University of Texas gravity field models. New techniques to perform calibration of the formal covariance matrix for the geopotential solution were developed to obtain a reliable gravity field error estimate. Different techniques, which include orbit residual analysis, surface gravity anomaly residual analysis, subset gravity solution comparisons and consider covariance analysis, were applied to investigate the reliability of the calibration.

Yuan, D. N.↗

Mars Observer: Applications to atmospheric transport

The Pressure Modulator Infrared Radiometer (PMIRR) is an atmospheric sounder designed to observe temporal and spatial variations of water vapor and of dust suspended in the Mars atmosphere, to characterize the planetary-scale thermal structure and circulation of the atmosphere, and to quantify the polar radiative balance. These measurements are fundamental to understanding the seasonal cycles of dust, of water, and of CO2 on Mars and, in particular, to determining the role of atmospheric transport. Using measurements in eight narrow-band infrared spectral regions and one broadband visible channel, the PMIRR investigation teams at JPL and Oxford University will derive vertical profiles of atmospheric temperature, extinction due to suspended dust, and water vapor concentration, as well as locations of CO2 and H2O ice clouds. These data will be used in a variety of ways to address issues of atmospheric dynamics and transport. Three topics will be emphasized here: (1) the expected precision of the retrieved profiles of temperature, dust extinction, and water vapor, including plans for validating the profiles; (2) the observation strategy, designed to best use PMIRR's two-axis scan mirror, as deployed in the Mars Observer mapping orbit; and (3) approaches to mapping the atmospheric fields globally and the derivation of key meteorological fields related to estimating atmospheric transport.

Zurek, Richard W.↗

Assessment of Current Global and Regional Mean Sea Level Estimates Based on the TOPEX/Poseidon Jason-1 and 2 Climate Data Record

Recent developments in Precise Orbit Determinations (POD) due to in particular to revisions to the terrestrial reference frame realization and the time variable gravity (TVG) continues to provide improvements to the accuracy and stability of the PO directly affecting mean sea level (MSL) estimates. Long-term credible MSL estimates require the development and continued maintenance of a stable reference frame, along with vigilant monitoring of the performance of the independent tracking systems used to calculate the orbits for altimeter spacecrafts. The stringent MSL accuracy requirements of a few tenths of an mm/yr are particularly essential for mass budget closure analysis over the relative short time period of Jason-l &2, GRACE, and Argo coincident measurements. In an effort to adhere to cross mission consistency, we have generated a full time series of experimental orbits (GSFC stdlllO) for TOPEX/Poseidon (TP), Jason-I, and OSTM based on an improved terrestrial reference frame (TRF) realization (ITRF2008), revised static (GGM03s), and time variable gravity field (Eigen6s). In this presentation we assess the impact of the revised precision orbits on inter-mission bias estimates, and resultant global and regional MSL trends. Tide gauge verification results are shown to assess the current stability of the Jason-2 sea surface height time series that suggests a possible discontinuity initiated in early 2010. Although the Jason-2 time series is relatively short (approximately 3 years), a thorough review of the entire suite of geophysical and environmental range corrections is warranted and is underway to maintain the fidelity of the record.

Beckley, B. D.↗

High Latitude Plasma Electrodynamics and Spacecraft Charging in Low Earth Orbit

Studies of spacecraft charging events on satellites over an altitude range of 800 km to 1800 km have established that negative potentials of hundreds of volts, or even kilovolts, are possible in low Earth orbit (LEO) if there is: (1) a large flux of energetic electrons (10's of keV); and (2) a depletion in the ambient plasma density (<1 x 10(exp 4)/cu cm). To date, quantitative estimates of the probability of encountering severe spacecraft charging environments for spacecraft in low Earth orbit with inclinations near 51 degrees applicable for the International Space Station (ISS), Mir, and associated vehicles are based solely on the relative probability of the vehicle encountering auroral precipitation. A number of the basic assumptions that have been adopted in previous estimates of the charging probabilities are considered in this paper. It is often assumed that precipitating electron flux measured at altitudes above 800 km can be simply adopted unmodified for the lower altitude ranges. We first examine the variations in the electron energy spectrum due to interactions of the primary auroral electrons with the atmosphere to demonstrate that indeed the spectrum of energetic auroral electrons is not significantly altered for altitudes greater than approximately 300 km. Observations of energetic electron populations at altitudes of >800 km are therefore directly applicable to the 350 km to 450 km altitudes at which Mir and the ISS operate.

Minow, Joseph I.↗

The Mean Seasonal Cycle in Relative Sea Level From Satellite Altimetry and Gravimetry

Satellite altimetry and gravimetry are used to determine the mean seasonal cycle in relative sea level, a quantity relevant to coastal flooding and related applications. The main harmonics (annual, semiannual, terannual) are estimated from 25 years of gridded altimetry, while several conventional altimeter “corrections” (gravitational tide, pole tide, and inverted barometer) are restored. To transform from absolute to relative sea levels, a model of vertical land motion is developed from a high-resolution seasonal mass inversion estimated from satellite gravimetry. An adjustment for annual geocenter motion accounts for use of a center-of-mass reference frame in satellite orbit determination. A set of 544 test tide gauges, from which seasonal harmonics have been estimated from hourly measurements, is used to assess how accurately each adjustment to the altimeter data helps converge the results to true relative sea levels. At these gauges, the median annual and semiannual amplitudes are 7.1 cm and 2.2 cm, respectively. The root-mean-square differences with altimetry are 3.24 and 1.17 cm, respectively, which are reduced to 1.93 and 0.86 cm after restoration of corrections and adjustment for land motion. Example outliers highlight some limitations of present-day coastal altimetry owing to inadequate spatial resolution: upwelling and currents off Oregon and wave setup at Minamitori Island.

Richard D Ray↗

Orbiting passive microwave sensor simulation applied to soil moisture estimation

A sensor/scene simulation program was developed and used to determine the effects of scene heterogeneity, resolution, frequency, look angle, and surface and temperature relations on the performance of a spaceborne passive microwave system designed to estimate soil water information. The ground scene is based on classified LANDSAT images which provide realistic ground classes, as well as geometries. It was determined that the average sensitivity of antenna temperature to soil moisture improves as the antenna footprint size increased. Also, the precision (or variability) of the sensitivity changes as a function of resolution.

Newton, R. W.↗

Consideration of Collision "Consequence" in Satellite Conjunction Assessment and Risk Analysis

Classic risk management theory requires the assessment of both likelihood and consequence of deleterious events. Satellite conjunction risk assessment has produced a highly-developed theory for assessing collision likelihood but holds a completely static solution for collision consequence, treating all potential collisions as essentially equally worrisome. This may be true for the survival of the protected asset, but the amount of debris produced by the potential collision, and therefore the degree to which the orbital corridor may be compromised, can vary greatly among satellite conjunctions. This study leverages present work on satellite collision modeling to develop a method by which it can be estimated, to a particular confidence level, whether a particular collision is likely to produce a relatively large or relatively small amount of resultant debris and how this datum might alter conjunction remediation decisions. The more general question of orbital corridor protection is also addressed, and a preliminary framework presented by which both collision likelihood and consequence can be jointly considered in the risk assessment process.

Hejduk, M.↗

Uncertainties in Estimates of the Risks of Late Effects from Space Radiation

The health risks faced by astronauts from space radiation include cancer, cataracts, hereditary effects, and non-cancer morbidity and mortality risks related to the diseases of the old age. Methods used to project risks in low-Earth orbit are of questionable merit for exploration missions because of the limited radiobiology data and knowledge of galactic cosmic ray (GCR) heavy ions, which causes estimates of the risk of late effects to be highly uncertain. Risk projections involve a product of many biological and physical factors, each of which has a differential range of uncertainty due to lack of data and knowledge. Within the linear-additivity model, we use Monte-Carlo sampling from subjective uncertainty distributions in each factor to obtain a Maximum Likelihood estimate of the overall uncertainty in risk projections. The resulting methodology is applied to several human space exploration mission scenarios including ISS, lunar station, deep space outpost, and Mar's missions of duration of 360, 660, and 1000 days. The major results are the quantification of the uncertainties in current risk estimates, the identification of factors that dominate risk projection uncertainties, and the development of a method to quantify candidate approaches to reduce uncertainties or mitigate risks. The large uncertainties in GCR risk projections lead to probability distributions of risk that mask any potential risk reduction using the "optimization" of shielding materials or configurations. In contrast, the design of shielding optimization approaches for solar particle events and trapped protons can be made at this time, and promising technologies can be shown to have merit using our approach. The methods used also make it possible to express risk management objectives in terms of quantitative objective's, i.e., the number of days in space without exceeding a given risk level within well defined confidence limits.

Cucinotta, F. A.↗

Interplanetary navigation

The evolution of NASA's planetary navigation techniques is traced, and radiometric and optical data types are described. Doppler navigation; the Deep Space Network; differenced two-way range techniques; differential very long base interferometry; and optical navigation are treated. The Doppler system enables a spacecraft in cruise at high absolute declination to be located within a total angular uncertainty of 1/4 microrad. The two-station range measurement provides a 1 microrad backup at low declinations. Optical data locate the spacecraft relative to the target to an angular accuracy of 5 microrad. Earth-based radio navigation and its less accurate but target-relative counterpart, optical navigation, thus form complementary measurement sources, which provide a powerful sensory system to produce high-precision orbit estimates.

Stuart, J. R.↗

Space shuttle molecular and wake vacuum measurements

The wake environment of the space shuttle is analyzed to determine whether it is feasible to perform ultrahigh vacuum experiments in or near the payload bay with the shuttle oriented such that the payload bay faces the antivelocity direction. Several mechanisms were considered by which molecules could approach the payload bay from this direction and their relative contributions to the wake environment are estimated. These mechanisms include ambient atmospheric molecules that have velocities in excess of the orbital velocity which can overtake the shuttle, ambient atmospheric molecules that are backscattered by collisions with the shuttle induced atmosphere, and self scattering from the induced atmosphere. These estimates are compared with the measurements made with the collimated mass spectrometer which was part of the Induced Environment Contamination Monitor flown on several of the early shuttle flights. Although the collimated mass spectrometer was not designed for this purpose and the instrument background for the species for which the collimator is effective is above the expected levels, upper limits can be established for these species in the wake environment which are consistent with the analysis. There was considerably more helium and argon observed in the wake direction than was predicted, however. Possible origins of these gases are discussed.

Naumann, R. J.↗

Relative error covariance analysis techniques and application

A technique for computing the error covariance of the difference between two estimators derived from different (possibly overlapping) data arcs is presented. The relative error covariance is useful for predicting the achievable consistency between Kalman-Bucy filtered estimates generated from two (not necessarily disjoint) data sets. The relative error covariance analysis technique is then applied to a Venus Orbiter simulation.

Wolff, Peter, J.↗