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At least 109 records · Page 6

Demographic Microsimulator for Integrated Urban Systems: Adapting Panel Survey of Income Dynamics to Capture the Continuum of Life

Agent-based models (ABMs) in transportation modeling simulate activity and travel decisions at the disaggregate level of households and individuals. To do this, ABMs require detailed and realistic information on agents’ socioeconomic and demographic characteristics. Various synthetic population generators have been proposed to address this need. However, most of those currently in practice are cross-sectional in nature and do not account for the dynamics within households and individuals as they progress through life events over time. This is a major shortcoming, as literature has shown that transportation decisions are affected by the transition between and co-occurrence of life cycle events. While some demographic evolution simulators have been proposed to address this issue, they are developed using cross-sectional data and capture only a small set of life cycle events and their interdependence. Addressing these drawbacks, we propose a demographic microsimulator (DEMOS) that captures the “continuum of life” by considering a range of household- and individual-level life cycle events. DEMOS is developed using the Panel Survey of Income Dynamics, one of the world’s longest-running longitudinal surveys. The DEMOS submodels consider key life cycle events that are influenced by agents’ demographic variables. DEMOS is applied to evolve the population of the San Francisco Bay Area over a 9-year horizon. Results demonstrate how DEMOS generates life trajectories and how DEMOS outputs match the observed demographic trends. DEMOS is expected to enable longitudinal analysis in the context of ABMs and expand ABMs analyses relating to dynamic processes such as household-level vehicle transactions.

Demographic evolution↗

Origin of Plutonium-244 in the Early Solar System

We investigate the origin in the early Solar System of the short-lived radionuclide 244 Pu (with a half life of 80 Myr) produced by the rapid (r) neutron-capture process. We consider two large sets of r-process nucleosynthesis models and analyse if the origin of 244 Pu in the ESS is consistent with that of the other r and slow (s) neutron-capture process radioactive nuclei. Uncertainties on the r-process models come from both the nuclear physics input and the astrophysical site. The former strongly affects the ratios of isotopes of close mass ( 129 I/ 127 I, 244 Pu/ 238 U, and 247 Pu/ 235 U). The 129 I/ 247 Cm ratio, instead, which involves isotopes of a very different mass, is much more variable than those listed above and is more affected by the physics of the astrophysical site. We consider possible scenarios for the evolution of the abundances of these radioactive nuclei in the galactic interstellar medium and verify under which scenarios and conditions solutions can be found for the origin of 244 Pu that are consistent with the origin of the other isotopes. Solutions are generally found for all the possible different regimes controlled by the interval (δ) between additions from the source to the parcel of interstellar medium gas that ended up in the Solar System, relative to decay timescales. If r-process ejecta in interstellar medium are mixed within a relatively small area (leading to a long δ), we derive that the last event that explains the 129 I and 247 Cm abundances in the early Solar System can also account for the abundance of 244 Pu. Due to its longer half life, however, 244 Pu may have originated from a few events instead of one only. If r-process ejecta in interstellar medium are mixed within a relatively large area (leading to a short δ), we derive that the time elapsed from the formation of the molecular cloud to the formation of the Sun was 9-16 Myr.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Iridium Incorporation into MnO 2 for an Enhanced Electrocatalytic Oxygen Evolution Reaction

Here, we have investigated the structure and activity of electrocatalysts for the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) that had low loadings of Ir incorporated into the 2D layered MnO 2 , (birnessite, nominally δ-MnO 2 ) and the 3D MnO 2 (pyrolusite, β-MnO 2 ). The Ir-incorporated β-MnO 2 (Ir/β-MnO 2 ) electrocatalysts were prepared for the first time via a thermally induced phase transition of δ-MnO 2 containing 16-22 wt% Ir. This phase transition of δ-MnO 2 to β-MnO 2 was facilitated by the presence of Ir in the structure, as both Ir in IrO 2 and Mn in β-MnO 2 could adopt a thermodynamically favored rutile structure. Extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) of Ir/β-MnO 2 showed that the catalyst consisted of Ir substituted into the crystalline β-MnO 2 lattice. 22 wt% Ir/β-MnO 2 (60 μg Ir cm $\ ^{-2}_{geo}$) exhibited an OER overpotential (η) of 337 mV, lower than the η for commercial IrO 2 . This η was constant for 6 h, at 10 mA cm $\ ^{-2}_{geo}$ in 0.5 M H 2 SO 4 . EXAFS, high-angle annular dark-field scanning transmission electron microscopy (HAADF-STEM) and X-ray absorption near edge structure (XANES) showed that 22 wt% Ir/β-MnO 2 had a strained structure containing ~41% Mn 3+ , an OER active species, along with a modified Ir bond covalency consisting of both Ir-O-Ir and Ir-O-Mn.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

California-Kepler Survey. IX. Revisiting the Minimum-mass Extrasolar Nebula with Precise Stellar Parameters

We investigate a possible correlation between the solid surface density Σ of the minimum-mass extrasolar nebula (MMEN) and the host star mass M {sub ⋆} and metallicity [Fe/H]. Leveraging on the precise host star properties from the California-Kepler Survey (CKS), we found that Σ=50{sub −20}{sup +33} g cm{sup −2} (a/1 au){sup −1.75±0.07} (M {sub ⋆}/M {sub ⊙}){sup 1.04±0.22} 10{sup 0.22±0.05[Fe/H]} for Kepler-like systems (1–4R {sub ⊕}; a < 1 au). The strong M {sub ⋆} dependence is reminiscent of previous dust continuum results that the solid disk mass scales with M {sub ⋆}. The weaker [Fe/H] dependence shows that sub-Neptune planets, unlike giant planets, form readily in lower metallicity environment. The innermost region (a < 0.1 au) of an MMEN maintains a smooth profile despite a steep decline of planet occurrence rate: a result that favors the truncation of disks by corotating magnetospheres with a range of rotation periods, rather than the sublimation of dust. The Σ of Kepler multitransiting systems shows a much stronger correlation with M {sub ⋆} and [Fe/H] than singles. This suggests that the dynamically hot evolution that produced single systems also partially removed the memory of formation in disks. Radial-velocity planets yielded a MMEN very similar to CKS planets; transit-timing-variation planets’ postulated convergent migration history is supported by their poorly constrained MMEN. We found that lower mass stars have a higher efficiency of forming/retaining planets: for Sun-like stars, about 20% of the solid mass within ∼1 au are converted/preserved as sub-Neptunes, compared to 70% for late-K to early-M stars. This may be due to the lower binary fraction, lower giant-planet occurrence, or the longer disk lifetime of lower mass stars.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Molecular evolution of human coronavirus-NL63, -229E, -HKU1 and -OC43 in hospitalized children in China

Human coronaviruses (HCoVs) HCoV-NL63, HCoV-229E, HCoV-HKU1 and HCoV-OC43 have been circulated in the human population worldwide, and they are associated with a broad range of respiratory diseases with varying severity. However, there are neither effective therapeutic drugs nor licensed vaccines available for the treatment and prevention of infections by the four HCoVs. In this study, we collected nasopharyngeal aspirates of children hospitalized for respiratory tract infection in China during 2014–2018 and conducted next-generation sequencing. Sequences of four HCoVs were then selected for an in-depth analysis. Genome sequences of 2 HCoV-NL63, 8 HCoV-229E, 2 HCoV-HKU1, and 6 HCoV-OC43 were obtained. Based on the full-length S gene, a strong temporal signal was found in HCoV-229E and the molecular evolutionary rate was 6 × 10 −4 substitutions/site/year. Based on the maximum-likelihood (ML) phylogenetic tree of complete S gene, we designated H78 as a new sub-genotype C2 of HCoV-HKU1, and the obtained P43 sequence was grouped into the reported novel genotype K of HCoV-OC43 circulating in Guangzhou, China. Based on the complete genome, potential recombination events were found to occur as two phenomena, namely intraspecies and interspecies. Moreover, we observed two amino acid substitutions in the S1 subunit of obtained HCoV-NL63 (G534V) and HCoV-HKU1 (H512R), while residues 534 and 512 are important for the binding of angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 and neutralizing antibodies, respectively. Our findings might provide a clue for the molecular evolution of the four HCoVs and help in the early diagnosis, treatment and prevention of broad-spectrum HCoV infection.

Shao, Nan↗

Oxygen evolution reaction over catalytic single-site Co in a well-defined brookite TiO 2 nanorod surface

Efficient electrocatalysts for the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) are paramount to the development of electrochemical devices for clean energy and fuel conversion. However, the structural complexity of heterogeneous electrocatalysts makes it a great challenge to elucidate the surface catalytic sites and OER mechanisms. Here, we report that catalytic single-site Co in a well-defined brookite TiO 2 nanorod (210) surface (Co-TiO 2 ) presents turnover frequencies that are among the highest for Co-based heterogeneous catalysts reported to date, reaching 6.6 ± 1.2 and 181.4 ± 28 s -1 at 300 and 400 mV overpotentials, respectively. Based on grand canonical quantum mechanics calculations and the single-site Co atomic structure validated by in situ and ex situ spectroscopic probes, we have established a full description of the catalytic reaction kinetics for Co-TiO 2 as a function of applied potential, revealing an adsorbate evolution mechanism for the OER. The computationally predicted Tafel slope and turnover frequencies exhibit exceedingly good agreement with experiment.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Synchrotron experiment and simulation studies of magnesium-steel interface manufactured by impact welding

The effective weight reduction in the automotive industry by the wide adoption of lightweight magnesium (Mg) alloys demands high-quality joint between magnesium alloys and massively-used steels in order to wring the excess weight with strength and safety assurance. However, Mg-steel joint is difficult to achieve because there is no mutual solubility between magnesium and steel and huge disparity in physical properties. An impact-based welding method recently showed successful Mg-steel joining. In this work, the characteristics of Mg-steel interface joined by the impact welding method were investigated. Synchrotron high-energy X-ray computed tomography and diffraction were applied to characterize the microstructure across Mg-steel interface. Results revealed a deposit layer formed at the joint interface where Fe-rich particles spread deep into the Mg matrix. High-resolution 3D morphology of Mg-steel interface demonstrated the trapped pores and cracks inside the deposit layer. Finally, the formation of the deposit layer and the void/cracking evolution were analyzed by using finite element models. These findings provide insights into the immiscible Mg-steel joining process.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Dynamics of stellar disc tilting from satellite mergers

The Milky Way’s stellar disc can tilt in response to torques that result from infalling satellite galaxies and their associated tidal debris. In this work, we explore the dynamics of disc tilting by running N-body simulations of mergers in an isolated, isotropic Milky Way-like host galaxy, varying over satellite virial mass, initial position, and orbit. We develop and validate a first-principles understanding of the dynamics that govern how the host galaxy’s stellar disc responds to the satellite’s dark matter (DM) debris. We find that the degree of disc tilting can be large for cosmologically motivated merger histories. In particular, our results suggest that the Galactic disc may still be tilting in response to Gaia-Sausage-Enceladus, one of the most significant recent mergers in the Milky Way’s history. In conclusion, these findings have implications for terrestrial direct detection experiments as disc tilting changes the relative location of the Sun with respect to DM substructure left behind by a merging galaxy.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Lattice QCD Calculations of Transverse-Momentum-Dependent Soft Function through Large-Momentum Effective Theory

The transverse-momentum-dependent (TMD) soft function is a key ingredient in QCD factorization of Drell-Yan and other processes with relatively small transverse momentum. We present a lattice QCD study of this function at moderately large rapidity on a 2 + 1 flavor CLS dynamic ensemble with a = 0.098 fm. We extract the rapidity-independent (or intrinsic) part of the soft function through a large-momentumtransfer pseudoscalar meson form factor and its quasi-TMD wave function using leading-order factorization in large-momentum effective theory. We also investigate the rapidity-dependent part of the soft function—the Collins-Soper evolution kernel—based on the large-momentum evolution of the quasi-TMD wave function.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Constructing an Adaptive Heterojunction as a Highly Active Catalyst for the Oxygen Evolution Reaction

Electrochemical water splitting is of prime importance to green energy technology. Particularly, the reaction at the anode side, namely the oxygen evolution reaction (OER), requires a high overpotential associated with O—O bond formation, which dominates the energy-efficiency of the whole process. Activating the anionic redox chemistry of oxygen in metal oxides, which involves the formation of superoxo/peroxo-like (O 2 ) n – , commonly occurs in most highly active catalysts during the OER process. Here, a highly active catalyst is designed: electrochemically delithiated LiNiO 2 , which facilitates the formation of superoxo/peroxo-like (O 2 ) n – species, i.e., NiOO*, for enhancing OER activity. The OER-induced surface reconstruction builds an adaptive heterojunction, where NiOOH grows on delithiated LiNiO 2 (delithiated-LiNiO 2 /NiOOH). At this junction, the lithium vacancies within the delithiated LiNiO 2 optimize the electronic structure of the surface NiOOH to form stable NiOO* species, which enables better OER activity. This finding provides new insight for designing highly active catalysts with stable superoxo-like/peroxo-like (O 2 ) n – for water oxidation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Metal–Organic Framework Integrating Ionic Framework and Bimetallic Coupling Effect for Highly Efficient Oxygen Evolution Reaction

Metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) are recognized as promising electrocatalysts for the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) because of their permanent porosity and rich architectural diversity; however, ionic MOFs enabling fast ions exchange during OER are rarely explored. Here, an ionic MOF (Ni-btz) constructed with an azolate ligand is selected, and continuous 3D bimetallic MOF (NiFe-btz) films deriving from high-degree intergrowth of microsized MOFs particles are fabricated. The as-prepared NiFe-btz/NF-OH electrode exhibits excellent OER performance with a low overpotential of 239 mV at 10 mA cm –2 under alkaline condition. The OER charge transfer process and bimetallic coupling effect in ionic NiFe-btz are probed by density functional theory calculations and confirmed via X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy and in situ Raman measurements. The partial density of states of NiFe-btz indicates that the main contribution for electron density around the Fermi level is from Cl ions clarifying the profitable impact of ionic MOF framework. This work systematically demonstrates the relationship of electronic structure and OER activity in ionic, bimetallic MOFs and expands the scope of 3D MOF films for efficient OER.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Evidence of a Dwarf Galaxy Stream Populating the Inner Milky Way Halo

Stellar streams produced from dwarf galaxies provide direct evidence of the hierarchical formation of the Milky Way. Here, we present the first comprehensive study of the LMS-1 stellar stream, that we detect by searching for wide streams in the Gaia EDR3 data set using the STREAMFINDER algorithm. This stream was recently discovered by Yuan et al. We detect LMS-1 as a 60° long stream to the north of the galactic bulge, at a distance of ~20 kpc from the Sun, together with additional components that suggest that the overall stream is completely wrapped around the inner Galaxy. Using spectroscopic measurements from the Large Sky Area Multi-Object Fiber Spectroscopic Telescope, the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, and the Apache Point Observatory Galactic Evolution Experiment, we infer that the stream is very metal-poor (<[Fe/H]> = –2.1) with a significant metallicity dispersion (σ [Fe/H] = 0.4), and it possesses a large radial velocity dispersion (σ v = 20 ± 4 km s–1 ). These estimates together imply that LMS-1 is a dwarf galaxy stream. The orbit of LMS-1 is close to polar, with an inclination of 75° to the galactic plane. Both the orbit and metallicity of LMS-1 are remarkably similar to the globular clusters NGC 5053, NGC 5024, and the stellar stream Indus. As a result, these findings make LMS-1 an important contributor to the stellar population of the inner Milky Way halo.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

High-temperature 205 Tl decay clarifies 205 Pb dating in early Solar System

Radioactive nuclei with lifetimes on the order of millions of years can reveal the formation history of the Sun and active nucleosynthesis occurring at the time and place of its birth. Among such nuclei whose decay signatures are found in the oldest meteorites, 205 Pb is a powerful example, as it is produced exclusively by slow neutron captures (the s process), with most being synthesized in asymptotic giant branch (AGB) stars. However, making accurate abundance predictions for 205 Pb has so far been impossible because the weak decay rates of 205 Pb and 205 Tl are very uncertain at stellar temperatures. To constrain these decay rates, we measured for the first time the bound-state β - decay of fully ionized 205 Tl 81+ , an exotic decay mode that only occurs in highly charged ions. The measured half-life is 4.7 times longer than the previous theoretical estimate and our 10% experimental uncertainty has eliminated the main nuclear-physics limitation. With new, experimentally backed decay rates, we used AGB stellar models to calculate 205 Pb yields. Propagating those yields with basic galactic chemical evolution (GCE) and comparing with the 205 Pb/ 204 Pb ratio from meteorites, we determined the isolation time of solar material inside its parent molecular cloud. We find positive isolation times that are consistent with the other s-process short-lived radioactive nuclei found in the early Solar System. Our results reaffirm the site of the Sun’s birth as a long-lived, giant molecular cloud and support the use of the 205 Pb– 205 Tl decay system as a chronometer in the early Solar System.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Baseplate Temperature–Dependent Vertical Composition Gradient in Pseudo–Bilayer Films for Printing Non–Fullerene Organic Solar Cells

Numerous previous reports on the sequential deposition (SD) technique have demonstrated that this approach can achieve a p–i–n active layer architecture with an ideal vertical composition gradient, which is one of the critical factors that can influence the physical processes that determine the photovoltaic performance of organic solar cells. Herein, a commonly used photovoltaic system comprised of PM6 as a donor and Y6 as an acceptor is investigated with respect to sequential blade–processing deposition to comprehensively explore the morphology characteristics as a function of baseplate temperature. A systematic study of the temperature–dependent blend morphology elucidates the SD–processed configuration merits and device physics behind temperature–controlled degree of vertical composition gradient, and constructs the temperature–microstructure–property relationship for the corresponding photovoltaic parameters. The result shows, as the temperature increases, the morphology of the active layer has undergone a distinct evolution from the pseudo–bulk heterojunction to a pseudo–planar heterojunction and then to a pseudo–planar bilayer, leading to a non–monotonic correlation between baseplate temperature and device performance. Further, this investigation not only reveals the importance of precisely controlling baseplate temperature for gaining vertical morphology control, but also provides a path toward rational optimization of device performance in the lab–to–fab transition.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A Stochastic Reduced-Order Model for Statistical Microstructure Descriptors Evolution

Integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) models have been a crucial building block for modern materials development, relieving heavy reliance on experiments and significantly accelerating the materials design process. However, ICME models are also computationally expensive, particularly with respect to time integration for dynamics, which hinders the ability to study statistical ensembles and thermodynamic properties of large systems for long time scales. To alleviate the computational bottleneck, we propose to model the evolution of statistical microstructure descriptors as a continuous-time stochastic process using a non-linear Langevin equation, where the probability density function (PDF) of the statistical microstructure descriptors, which are also the quantities of interests (QoIs), is modeled by the Fokker–Planck equation. In this work, we discuss how to calibrate the drift and diffusion terms of the Fokker–Planck equation from the theoretical and computational perspectives. The calibrated Fokker–Planck equation can be used as a stochastic reduced-order model to simulate the microstructure evolution of statistical microstructure descriptors PDF. Considering statistical microstructure descriptors in the microstructure evolution as QoIs, we demonstrate our proposed methodology in three integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) models: kinetic Monte Carlo, phase field, and molecular dynamics simulations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Growth of Jupiter: Formation in disks of gas and solids and evolution to the present epoch

The formation of Jupiter is modeled via core-nucleated accretion, and the planet's evolution is simulated up to the present epoch. Throughout the phases when the planet acquires most of its heavy-element content, the calculation of solids' accretion accounts for interactions with an evolving disk of planetesimals. The phase of growth from an embryo of a few hundred kilometers in radius until the time when the accretion of gas overtakes solids' accretion was presented by D'Angelo et al., and the same numerical methods are applied here. Those calculations followed the formation for about 4 × 10 5 years, until the epoch when the heavy-element and hydrogen/helium masses were $M_Z ≈ 7.3$ and $M_{XY} ≈ 0.15$ Earth's masses ($M_⊕$), respectively, and $\dot {M} _{XY} ≈ $$\dot {M}_Z$. In this work, the calculation is continued through the phase when $M_{XY}$ grows to equal $M_Z$ , at which age, about 2.4 × 10 6 years, the total mass of the planet is $M_p ≈ 20 M_⊕$. About 9 × 10 5 years later, $M_p$ is approximately $60 M_⊕$ and $M_Z ≈ 16 M_⊕$, three-quarters of which are delivered by planetesimals larger than 10 km in radius. Around this epoch, the contraction of the envelope dictates gas accretion rates a few times 10 –3 $M_⊕$ per year, initiating the regime of disk-limited accretion, whereby the planet can accrete all the gas provided by the disk, and its evolution is therefore tied to disk's evolution. Growth is continued by constructing simplified models of protosolar accretion disks that evolve through viscous diffusion, winds, and accretion on the planet. Jupiter's formation ends after ≈ 3.4–4.2 Myr, depending on the applied disk viscosity parameter, when nebula gas disperses. The young Jupiter is 4.5–5.5 times as voluminous as it is presently and thousands of times as luminous, ~10 –5 $L_⊙$. The heavy-element mass is ≈ 20 $M_⊕$. The evolution proceeds through the cooling and contraction phase, in isolation except for solar irradiation. After 4570 Myr, the age of the solar system, radius and luminosity of the planet are within 10$\%$ of current values, accounting also for uncertainties in the power absorbed from the Sun. During formation, and soon thereafter, the planet exhibits features, e.g., luminosity and effective temperature, that may probe aspects of the latter stages of formation, if observable. These possibly distinctive features, however, seem to disappear within a few tens of Myr.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗