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DOE OSTI2025

Artificial Intelligence and Digital Engineering as Enablers for System Engineering in the Energy Sector

Systems engineering is of utmost importance for the success of high-cost, high-complexity megaprojects, which are common in the energy sector. However, the traditional document-centric systems engineering approach tends to be labor-intensive and time-consuming, which has inhibited its full adoption despite proven metrics on its return on investment. However, with the modern approach of digital engineering and technological advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, the barriers to systems engineering adoption can finally be broken. This paper goes through the systems engineering V-model for lifecycle management and assesses the current state of implementation of digital engineering (especially, mod-el-based systems engineering, digital twins, and digital threads) and AI for each step. It was observed that a combination of digital engineering and AI is being used across different industries to accelerate and optimize systems engineering processes such as concept development, requirements management, architecture definition, system development, verification and validation, operations, and maintenance. Specifically in the energy sector, AI-augmented digital engineering has shown initial potential in accelerated development and deployment, performance optimization, anomaly detection, predictive maintenance, and configuration management. However, challenges remain in integrating DE and AI into an end-to-end system lifecycle management ecosystem safely and reliably. Addressing these challenges and continuously developing impactful tools will enable fast, efficient, and high-frequency deployment of power generation capabilities to keep up with the world’s energy demands and build energy security.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Artificial Intelligence and Digital Engineering as Enablers for Systems Engineering in the Energy Sector

42 - ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Verification of Combined VR Techniques, Derivation of Future Time Equation, and Integration of LLNL Pulsed Sphere V&V Suite [Slides]

To determine whether the combination of forced-collision and DXTRAN variance-reduction (VR) techniques is unbiased, and to gain insight into the operation of these techniques, proof that first-moment estimates from Monte Carlo simulations employing both techniques are unbiased is developed. A general background on the forced-collision and DXTRAN VR techniques and their combination is given. Proof of an unbiased simulation is outlined by showing the equivalence of the history score moment equations of simulations with these techniques in use. A report with detailed proof of this equivalence is available upon request. The derivation of the future time equation using a similar approach, as well as a summary of the addition of the LLNL Pulsed Sphere experiments to the MCNP verification and validation suite, is also briefly discussed.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Oak Ridge National Laboratory Technical Input for the Nuclear Regulatory Commission Review of the 2017 Edition of ASME Section III, Division 5, ‘High Temperature Reactors’

To assist the Nuclear Regulatory Commission in its decision making on endorsement of the American Society for Mechanical Engineers Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code Section III, Division 5 (2017 Edition) for development of advanced non-light water reactors, the following Division 5 portions were reviewed: Article HBB-2000 Material; Article HCB-2000 Material; Article HGB-2000 Material; Mandatory Appendix HBB-I-14 Tables and Figures; and, Nonmandatory Appendix HBB-U Guidelines for Restricted Material Specifications to Improve Performance in Certain Service Applications. In addition to the 2017 Edition, the same parts of the 2019 Edition have also been reviewed as indicated in various sections of the report. This review was conducted by a collaboration of national laboratory and private sector participants with significant industrial experience, including some heavy lifting and deep diving from Clarus Consulting, LLC., all intended to achieve an objective, independent, and practical perspective. The report provides recommendations, descriptions of the evaluation methods, and the source references for the data used. To build confidence required for endorsement of the Code, this review was conducted as a verification and validation of the above Code contents. The objective of verification is to ensure that the Code is free of error – direct or implied; contains the information needed for its use, including proper coverage of the Code-specified materials for the intended application, and completeness and adequacy of references to other portions of the Code. The objective of validation is to authenticate that the Code tabulations and graphs represent design inputs consistent with what are determined using rules and methods specified by the Code. The authentication process used data that were assembled and/or generated independent of Code development, while the methods of analysis followed Code-specified methods where appropriate. The designated portions for this review cover the five alloys codified for high temperature reactor applications in Division 5, i.e. 316 SS, 304 SS, 800H, 2¼Cr-1Mo, and 9Cr-1Mo-V, regarding their general requirements, permitted specifications and design stress intensity values for pressure-retaining applications, deterioration in service, fatigue acceptance test, permissible weld materials, tensile and yield strength, expected minimum stress-to-rupture values (including for Alloy 718), weld stress rupture factors, permissible materials for bolting use, and restricted specifications in certain service applications. Additionally, stress intensity values for bolting materials including 316 SS, 304 SS and alloy 718 were reviewed. Analysis and discussion are also provided on contents outside of these designated Code portions where it was deemed relevant and necessary to develop a technically sound understanding of issues relating to the designated portions. Due to unavailability of sufficient test data on welds during the review period, the weld stress rupture factors in Tables HBB-I-10.14A to E, which cover a total of ten tables for the five alloys welded with twenty-eight different weld metals (some with similar properties), have been deferred to a future review effort. The review identified mainly two types of issues. The first type includes instances where the Code is found factually incomplete or incorrect, such as obsolete materials specifications listings, missing tabulation of stresses for bolting. Changes to the Code are recommended in these cases. The second type of issue includes instances where the Code tabulations and graphs are found to be less conservative than the review analysis results. In these cases, recommendations are made for further review and consideration where the difference in conservatism exceeds 10%, which is our threshold for questioning technical adequacy, meriting a risk assessment by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and/or reactor designers. It is noted that this effort has been executed using all available data and established methods of analysis, including methods and criteria specified and used by the Code. As such, the findings that are presented in quantitative detail, in a format for convenient comparison with the Code, and with identification of where further review is recommended, should provide a sound technical basis for decisions about quantifying the implications of the reduced design margins and technical adequacy/inadequacy to form a basis for conditioning specific Code tabulation values on endorsement. Recommendations for specific changes to the Code, however, entail design conservatism considerations beyond the scope of this review effort, and are not made in this report.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

A robust spectral element implementation of the $k - τ$ RANS model in Nek5000/NekRS

The $k - ω$ Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) model is one of the industry standard approaches for modeling of turbulent flows. It performs better than the $k - ϵ$ model for low Reynolds number flows and is also more suitable for boundary layers with adverse pressure gradients. Major drawback of the model, however, is that the asymptotic value of $ω$ at the walls is singular, necessitating the use of a contrived “sufficiently” large value for $ω$ as the boundary condition for its transport equation. Here, this invariably leads to the solution being sensitive to near wall grid spacing. While an acceptable solution for low order (finite volume) methods, the excessive near wall gradients lead to persistent numerical stability issues in high order codes. To alleviate the problem, specifically in the context of the high order spectral element code Nek5000, a regularized $k - ω$ approach was formulated in our prior work (Tomboulides et al., 2018). The formulation, however, relies on the use of wall distance and its gradients for modeling the closure terms and can pose problems for simulations in complex geometries. This work presents a novel implementation of the $k - τ$ RANS model in Nek5000, where $τ = 1/ω$, eliminating the need for regularization, owing to the asymptotically bounded behavior of the source terms in the $τ$ transport equation, and also eliminating dependence on wall distance. Robustness and stability of the $k - τ$ model is ensured through implicit treatment of the source terms and their careful numerical implementation and demonstrated through several cases aimed at verification and validation. Studies include both canonical and engineering relevant problems, viz., turbulent channel flow, pipe flow, backward facing step, flow over NACA 0012 airfoil and flow in a T-junction. Results from the $k - τ$ model are shown to be consistent with regularized $k - ω$ model and also with the $k - ω$ SST model in OpenFOAM (for select studies). Comparison with experimental data is also shown, where available, to bolster validation efforts for the $k - τ$ model implementation through prediction of key turbulent quantities of interest.

Nek5000↗

DOE OSTI2024

Transport coefficient approach for characterizing nonequilibrium dynamics in soft matter

Nonequilibrium states in soft condensed matter require a systematic approach to characterize and model materials, enhancing predictability and applications. Among the tools, X-ray photon correlation spectroscopy (XPCS) provides exceptional temporal and spatial resolution to extract dynamic insight into the properties of the material. However, existing models might overlook intricate details. We introduce an approach for extracting the transport coefficient, denoted as $J(t)$, from the XPCS studies. This coefficient is a fundamental parameter in nonequilibrium statistical mechanics and is crucial for characterizing transport processes within a system. Our method unifies the Green–Kubo formulas associated with various transport coefficients, including gradient flows, particle–particle interactions, friction matrices, and continuous noise. We achieve this by integrating the collective influence of random and systematic forces acting on the particles within the framework of a Markov chain. We initially validated this method using molecular dynamics simulations of a system subjected to changes in temperatures over time. Subsequently, we conducted further verification using experimental systems reported in the literature and known for their complex nonequilibrium characteristics. The results, including the derived $J(t)$ and other relevant physical parameters, align with the previous observations and reveal detailed dynamical information in nonequilibrium states. This approach represents an advancement in XPCS analysis, addressing the growing demand to extract intricate nonequilibrium dynamics. Further, the methods presented are agnostic to the nature of the material system and can be potentially expanded to hard condensed matter systems.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2022

The ASC-V&V Program [Slides]

The fundamental goal of the ASC-V&V Program is to obtain a quantitative understanding of our customers’ needs and priorities, and use it to assess applicability of numerical models of physical phenomena to physics questions, sensitivity of physics questions to physical phenomena, fidelity of a numerical implementation to the theory, the bounds of validity of theories, fidelity and coverage of experimental data relative to regimes of interest for physics questions, in order to warn users of IC codes and PEM data when simulations may lead to unsupported conclusions, and provide estimates of uncertainties on figures of merit calculated by the simulations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Structure- and Interaction-Based Design of Anti-SARS-CoV-2 Aptamers

Aptamer selection against novel infections is a complicated and time-consuming approach. Synergy can be achieved by using computational methods together with experimental procedures. In this study, we aim to develop a reliable methodology for a rational aptamer in silico et vitro design. The new approach combines multiple steps: (1) Molecular design, based on screening in a DNA aptamer library and directed mutagenesis to fit the protein tertiary structure; (2) 3D molecular modeling of the target; (3) Molecular docking of an aptamer with the protein; (4) Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of the complexes; (5) Quantum-mechanical (QM) evaluation of the interactions between aptamer and target with further analysis; (6) Experimental verification at each cycle for structure and binding affinity by using small-angle X-ray scattering, cytometry, and fluorescence polarization. By using a new iterative design procedure, structure- and interaction-based drug design (SIBDD), a highly specific aptamer to the receptor-binding domain of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein, was developed and validated. The SIBDD approach enhances speed of the high-affinity aptamers development from scratch, using a target protein structure. The method could be used to improve existing aptamers for stronger binding. This approach brings to an advanced level the development of novel affinity probes, functional nucleic acids. It offers a blueprint for the straightforward design of targeting molecules for new pathogen agents and emerging variants.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Real-Time Federated Cyber-Transmission-Distribution Testbed Architecture for the Resiliency Analysis

With the ongoing automation driven by the push toward the smart electric grid and the advancement in associated cyber infrastructure, the interaction between physical [electric transmission and distribution (T&D) systems], cyber (communication, automation, and control), and human (grid operators and decision-makers) is increasingly becoming more complex. This creates the requirement of analyzing the effect of the transmission system on the distribution system and vice versa with consideration of the additional complexity of the cyber infrastructure. Such an integrated testbed will also help with resiliency analysis, where resiliency refers to the ability of the system to continue serving energy to the critical loads even with limited extreme contingencies. Interaction of the physical power grid with the cyber layer can be effectively modeled using real-time (RT) simulator for developing and validating various operational and control algorithms. Testbeds using RT simulators with multiple capabilities have been developed at different institutions. Still, no single existing testbed can offer full scalability while simultaneously meeting high fidelity requirements for resiliency experimentation. Co-simulating federated testbed assets can provide a scalable experimentation platform that can be leveraged for verification and validation. In this article, an architecture is developed for federated cyber-physical testbed. A local federation with two real-time simulators is developed: real-time digital simulator (RTDS) and OPAL-RT have been interfaced using VILLAS framework for end-to-end testing. Also, a real-time linear predictor is developed and integrated here to address the communication latency impact on geographically allocated federated RT simulation. Finally, resiliency analysis tools are formulated and utilized for T&D systems. Finally as an illustrative use case, the resiliency of a T&D test system is simulated, and the results are analyzed. A 179-bus Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) transmission system is developed using OPAL-RT/ HYPERSIM, and a modified IEEE 13 node feeder system is modeled in RTDS/RSCAD and interfaced for resiliency analysis.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Galaxy clustering in harmonic space from the dark energy survey year 1 data: compatibility with real-space results

ABSTRACT We perform an analysis in harmonic space of the Dark Energy Survey Year 1 Data (DES-Y1) galaxy clustering photometric data using products obtained for the real-space analysis. We test our pipeline with a suite of lognormal simulations, which are used to validate scale cuts in harmonic space as well as to provide a covariance matrix that takes into account the DES-Y1 mask. We then apply this pipeline to DES-Y1 data taking into account survey property maps derived for the real-space analysis. We compare with real-space DES-Y1 results obtained from a similar pipeline. We show that the harmonic space analysis we develop yields results that are compatible with the real-space analysis for the bias parameters. This verification paves the way to performing a harmonic space analysis for the upcoming DES-Y3 data.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Enhanced Hanford Low-Activity Waste Glass Property Data Development: Phase 2

This report summarizes and analyzes the data collected on a second test matrix of 42 low-activity waste (LAW) glass compositions intended to expand the LAW glass composition region over which glass property-composition models are valid. The 42 LAW glass compositions were selected using a statistical layered experimental design approach to explore a new glass composition region that overlaps and expands beyond the previously explored LAW glass composition region. The layered design of 42 LAW glasses consisted of 21 outer-layer glasses, 15 inner-layer glasses, a center glass (three replicates), and two glasses previously tested at another laboratory. The outer-layer glass compositions include extrema based on current projections of the LAW feeds and melter operating temperatures. One of the outer-layer compositions was eliminated due to the inability to form a glass. Therefore, only 41 glasses were analyzed. The analyses performed on these glasses include chemical composition (for target compositional verification), density, viscosity, electrical conductivity, crystal fraction, canister centerline cooling with crystal identification, the Product Consistency Test, sulfur solubility, and the Vapor Hydration Test. This report discusses the results obtained from this testing.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2022

Setup and verification of a SCALE/KENO platform for generic FHR benchmark calculations

The work presented in this article is preliminary to downstream analysis of a generic fluoride salt-cooled high-temperature reactor (gFHR) core performed by the University of Tennessee in collaboration with Kairos Power (KP). A Monte Carlo transport model of the publicly available gFHR equilibrium core is developed in SCALE/KENO with multigroup energy treatment. Several output quantities of interest are used to verify the simulations against a benchmark model developed by KP using the continuous energy Monte Carlo code Serpent 2. Good agreement is seen in flux and fission rate profiles with a maximum relative difference of 1.4% and 2.8% respectively. Furthermore, an effective multiplication factor bias of 44 pcm was observed between the two simulations. The fuel temperature reactivity coefficient calculated with SCALE is within uncertainty to the reference model. This verification acts as a publicly reproducible benchmark for the gFHR in SCALE/KENO. A simplified depletion model is also presented where a single fuel pebble is depleted to discharge burnup through the equilibrium core while the equilibrium core is assumed to be invariant. This method produces results that intercept the equilibrium core concentrations in every case, however, an interesting artifact of this particular depletion model is uncovered. The phenomenon is shown to be a fundamental feature of the differential rate equations and inspires questions about how this system behaves when the time evolution of the equilibrium core is considered. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Non-linear MHD modelling of transients in tokamaks: a review of recent advances with the JOREK code

Transient magneto-hydrodynamic (MHD) events like edge localized modes (ELMs) or disruptions are a concern for magnetic confinement fusion power plants. Research with the MHD code JOREK towards understanding control of such instabilities is reviewed here in a concise way to provide a complete overview, while we refer to the original publications for details. Experimental validation for unmitigated vertical displacement events progressed. The mechanism of vertical force mitigation by impurity injection was identified. Two-way eddy current coupling to CARIDDI was completed. Shattered pellet injection was simulated in JET, KSTAR, ASDEX Upgrade (AUG) and ITER. Benign runaway electron beam termination in JET and ITER was studied. Coupling of kinetic REs to the MHD is ongoing and a virtual RE synchrotron radiation diagnostic was developed. Regarding pedestal physics, regimes devoid of large ELMs in AUG were simulated and predictive JT60-SA simulations are ongoing. For ELM suppression by resonant magnetic perturbations (RMPs), AUG, ITER and EAST simulations were performed. A free boundary RMP model was validated against experiments. Evidence for penetrated magnetic islands at the pedestal top based on AUG experiments and simulations was found. Simulations of the naturally ELM-free quiescent H-mode in AUG and HL-3 show external kink mode formation prevents pedestal build-up towards an ELM within windows of the edge safety factor. With kinetic neutral particles, high field side high density formation in ITER was simulated and with kinetic impurities, tungsten transport in AUG RMP plasmas was studied. To capture turbulent transport, electro-static full-f particle in cell models for ion temperature gradient and trapped electron modes were established and benchmarked. Application to RMP plasmas shows enhanced turbulence in comparison to unperturbed states. Energetic particle interactions with MHD were studied. Flux pumping that prevents the safety factor on axis from dropping below unity was simulated. First non-linear stellarator applications include current relaxation in $l$ = 2 stellarators, while verification for advanced stellarators progresses.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Gamma-ray Spectroscopy in Low-Power Nuclear Research Reactors

Gamma-ray spectroscopy is an effective technique for radioactive material characterization, routine inventory verification, nuclear safeguards, health physics, and source search scenarios. Gamma-ray spectrometers typically cannot be operated in the immediate vicinity of nuclear reactors due to their high flux fields and their resulting inability to resolve individual pulses. Low-power reactor facilities offer the possibility to study reactor gamma-ray fields, a domain of experiments hitherto poorly explored. In this work, we present gamma-ray spectroscopy experiments performed with various detectors in two reactors: The EPFL zero-power research reactor CROCUS, and the neutron beam facility at the Ohio State University Research Reactor (OSURR). We employed inorganic scintillators (CeBr3), organic scintillators (trans-stilbene and organic glass), and high-purity germanium semiconductors (HPGe) to cover a range of typical—and new—instruments used in gamma-ray spectroscopy. The aim of this study is to provide a guideline for reactor users regarding detector performance, observed responses, and therefore available information in the reactor photon fields up to 2 MeV. The results indicate several future prospects, such as the online (at criticality) monitoring of fission products (like Xe, I, and La), dual-particle sensitive experiments, and code validation opportunities.

Pakari, Oskari V. (ORCID:0000000337048190)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Computer Vision Pipeline for Image Analysis for Freeze‐Fracture Electron Microscopy: Rosette Cellulose Synthase Complexes Case

In materials science, plant biology, agriculture, and environmental research, the automated analysis of high-magnification, complex microscopy images, such as those generated by freeze-fracture electron microscopy (FF-TEM), remains a critical challenge that limits the scalability of data interpretation. We present a deep learning computer vision pipeline for high-throughput detection and morphological characterization analysis of cellulose synthase complexes (CSCs, or rosettes) in FF-TEM images. The pipeline integrates preprocessing, detection, human-in-the-loop verification, and semantic segmentation to quantify features such as rosette diameter and inter-lobe spacing. The approach was trained and tested on a curated dataset of high-resolution FF-TEM micrographs of Physcomitrium patens, expanded via strategic tiling and augmentation to over 650 images. We compare YOLOv8 and YOLOv9 architectures and demonstrate that YOLOv9 achieves superior performance in both localization accuracy (mAP50-95 = 0.854) and inference speed. The resulting distributions revealed biological variability consistent with prior manual studies, validating the approach for high-throughput applications. Our results show that the pipeline achieves human-expert level accuracy while dramatically reducing analysis time, enabling scalable, reproducible structural characterization of intramembrane protein complexes. The pipeline is broadly applicable to other domains requiring precise interpretation of complex microscopy data and establishes a foundation for future artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted workflows in biological imaging.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Verification of the AGREE and Serpent for the steady state HTR-10 benchmark problems

This paper provides results from steady state HTR-10 benchmark calculations performed using AGREE and Serpent that are compared to experimental results as well as calculations performed by INET. The purpose of completing this benchmark is to validate AGREE and Serpent for the prediction of HTGR operation so that they may ultimately be used to support licensing and deployment efforts of advanced reactors. The benchmark consists of several problems ranging from control rod worth calculations to k{sub eff} calculations at various temperatures. Overall, AGREE and Serpent show good agreement with the reference solutions and are effectively able to predict HTGR operation for a variety of steady state cases. The largest difference from the reference was for the initial core single rod worth, which is possibly due to the larger core helium cavity causing inaccuracies in the diffusion calculation whereas the control rod worth determined by Serpent and AGREE is much closer to the reference result for the full core loading. Moreover, in every benchmark problem, increasing the number of energy groups in the cross sections results in improved agreement of the AGREE result with the reference, although it also causes an increase in computation time. For problems with experimental data available, the accuracy of results generated by Serpent and AGREE is comparable to results obtained by other benchmark participants. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Towards Predictive Plasma Science and Engineering through Revolutionary Multi-Scale Algorithms and Models (Final Report)

This report describes the high-level accomplishments from the Plasma Science and Engineering Grand Challenge LDRD at Sandia National Laboratories. The Laboratory has a need to demonstrate predictive capabilities to model plasma phenomena in order to rapidly accelerate engineering development in several mission areas. The purpose of this Grand Challenge LDRD was to advance the fundamental models, methods, and algorithms along with supporting electrode science foundation to enable a revolutionary shift towards predictive plasma engineering design principles. This project integrated the SNL knowledge base in computer science, plasma physics, materials science, applied mathematics, and relevant application engineering to establish new cross-laboratory collaborations on these topics. As an initial exemplar, this project focused efforts on improving multi-scale modeling capabilities that are utilized to predict the electrical power delivery on large-scale pulsed power accelerators. Specifically, this LDRD was structured into three primary research thrusts that, when integrated, enable complex simulations of these devices: (1) the exploration of multi-scale models describing the desorption of contaminants from pulsed power electrodes, (2) the development of improved algorithms and code technologies to treat the multi-physics phenomena required to predict device performance, and (3) the creation of a rigorous verification and validation infrastructure to evaluate the codes and models across a range of challenge problems. These components were integrated into initial demonstrations of the largest simulations of multi-level vacuum power flow completed to-date, executed on the leading HPC computing machines available in the NNSA complex today. These preliminary studies indicate relevant pulsed power engineering design simulations can now be completed in (of order) several days, a significant improvement over pre-LDRD levels of performance.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2026

OC7 Project Phase II: Code Comparison and Experimental Validation of Hydroelastic Effects and Member-Level Loads in Floating Structures

This paper presents results from Phase II of the OC7 project, focusing on hydroelastic modeling and member-level load prediction for a flexible floating offshore structure. Numerical predictions from 11 academic and industrial partners are validated against experimental measurements obtained from a 1:70-scale test of the VolturnUS-S semisubmersible platform. A comprehensive set of verification and validation cases is examined. The results demonstrate that hydrodynamic added mass has a significant impact on predicted elastic natural frequencies. Under regular wave excitation, the numerical models reproduce platform motions and mooring line tensions with good accuracy. Member-level loads are also predicted with reasonable accuracy. Some discrepancies are observed for potential-flow models not accounting for higher-order effects associated with the instantaneous wetted surface.

17 WIND ENERGY↗