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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 109 records · Page 6
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Linking large-scale weather patterns to observed and modeled turbine hub-height winds offshore of the US West Coast

The US West Coast holds great potential for wind power generation, although its potential varies due to the complex coastal climate. Characterizing and modeling turbine hub-height winds under different weather conditions are vital for wind resource assessment and management. This study uses a two-stage machine learning algorithm to identify five large-scale meteorological patterns (LSMPs): post-trough, post-ridge, pre-ridge, pre-trough, and California high. The LSMPs are linked to offshore wind patterns, specifically at lidar buoy locations within lease areas for future wind farm development off Humboldt and Morro Bay. While each LSMP is associated with characteristic large-scale atmospheric conditions and corresponding differences in wind direction, diurnal variation, and jet features at the two lidar sites, substantial variability in wind speeds can still occur within each LSMP. Wind speeds at Humboldt increase during the post-trough, pre-ridge, and California-high LSMPs and decrease during the remaining LSMPs. Morro Bay has smaller responses in mean speeds, showing increased wind speed during the post-trough and California-high LSMPs. Besides the LSMPs, local factors, including the land–sea thermal contrast and topography, also modify mean winds and diurnal variation. The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model analysis does a good job of capturing the mean and variation at Humboldt but produces large biases at Morro Bay, particularly during the pre-ridge and California-high LSMPs. The findings are anticipated to guide the selection of cases for studying the influence of specific large-scale and local factors on California offshore winds and to contribute to refining numerical weather prediction models, thereby enhancing the efficiency and reliability of offshore wind energy production.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Synoptic Weather Regime Classifications for June, July, August, and September, 2022

The synoptic weather regime classification has become a highly demanded product for the ARM site in recent years. This type of regime classification has shown applications in various studies and topics, including aerosol-cloud interactions, land-atmosphere interactions, and cloud radiative effects. The VAP employs an unsupervised machine learning method, Self-organizing map (SOM), to classify weather regimes for each day of the AMF campaigns and fixed sites, using ERA5 data. This idea is mainly based on our published study for TRACER in Wang et al. (2022, JGR-A). This dataset includes the data in June, July, August, and September; the last year of the data is 2022.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Synoptic Weather Regime Classifications for the whole year, from 2014 to 2015

The synoptic weather regime classification has become a highly demanded product for the ARM site in recent years. This type of regime classification has shown applications in various studies and topics, including aerosol-cloud interactions, land-atmosphere interactions, and cloud radiative effects. The VAP employs an unsupervised machine learning method, Self-organizing map (SOM), to classify weather regimes for each day of the AMF campaigns and fixed sites, using ERA5 data. This idea is mainly based on our published study for TRACER in Wang et al. (2022, JGR-A).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Synoptic Weather Regime Classifications for June, July, August, from 2000 to 2024

The synoptic weather regime classification has become a highly demanded product for the ARM site in recent years. This type of regime classification has shown applications in various studies and topics, including aerosol-cloud interactions, land-atmosphere interactions, and cloud radiative effects. The VAP employs an unsupervised machine learning method, Self-organizing map (SOM), to classify weather regimes for each day of the AMF campaigns and fixed sites, using ERA5 data. This idea is mainly based on our published study for TRACER in Wang et al. (2022, JGR-A).

node_som_ml↗
DOE OSTI2025

Synoptic Weather Regime Classifications for March, April and May, from 2000 to 2025

The synoptic weather regime classification has become a highly demanded product for the ARM site in recent years. This type of regime classification has shown applications in various studies and topics, including aerosol-cloud interactions, land-atmosphere interactions, and cloud radiative effects. The VAP employs an unsupervised machine learning method, Self-organizing map (SOM), to classify weather regimes for each day of the AMF campaigns and fixed sites, using ERA5 data. This idea is mainly based on our published study for TRACER in Wang et al. (2022, JGR-A).

node_som_ml↗
DOE OSTI2025

Synoptic Weather Regime Classifications for June, July and August, from 2000 to 2025

The synoptic weather regime classification has become a highly demanded product for the ARM site in recent years. This type of regime classification has shown applications in various studies and topics, including aerosol-cloud interactions, land-atmosphere interactions, and cloud radiative effects. The VAP employs an unsupervised machine learning method, Self-organizing map (SOM), to classify weather regimes for each day of the AMF campaigns and fixed sites, using ERA5 data. This idea is mainly based on our published study for TRACER in Wang et al. (2022, JGR-A).

node_som_ml↗
DOE OSTI2025

Synoptic Weather Regime Classifications for December, January and February, from 2000 to 2025

The synoptic weather regime classification has become a highly demanded product for the ARM site in recent years. This type of regime classification has shown applications in various studies and topics, including aerosol-cloud interactions, land-atmosphere interactions, and cloud radiative effects. The VAP employs an unsupervised machine learning method, Self-organizing map (SOM), to classify weather regimes for each day of the AMF campaigns and fixed sites, using ERA5 data. This idea is mainly based on our published study for TRACER in Wang et al. (2022, JGR-A).

{node_som_ml,synop_wea_reg}↗
DOE OSTI2025

Synoptic Weather Regime Classifications for September, October and November, from 2000 to 2025

The synoptic weather regime classification has become a highly demanded product for the ARM site in recent years. This type of regime classification has shown applications in various studies and topics, including aerosol-cloud interactions, land-atmosphere interactions, and cloud radiative effects. The VAP employs an unsupervised machine learning method, Self-organizing map (SOM), to classify weather regimes for each day of the AMF campaigns and fixed sites, using ERA5 data. This idea is mainly based on our published study for TRACER in Wang et al. (2022, JGR-A).

node_som_ml↗
DOE OSTI2025

The relative importance of building design parameters in reducing energy use and sensible heat release from buildings in light of forecasted future weather data and building coverage ratio

Buildings typically have a 60-to-75-year lifespan before they require significant maintenance or modifications. However, most builders evaluate the performance of their new buildings using whole-building energy simulation tools based on the current typical meteorological year (TMY) file or actual meteorological year. The energy use consumption and sensible heat release pattern observed from buildings could potentially change based on shifting global climates. Therefore, the recommended energy-efficiency design parameters might also change during these periods. In this study, we evaluate the role of different building design parameters, such as material reflectivity, HVAC COP, and insulation values, on building energy usage and sensible heat release from buildings with different building coverage ratios (BCR), based on the current and future weather file TMY (fTMY) for the middle of the century (2040–2060). The role of sensible heat release from buildings is not accounted for accurately while estimating building energy usage in most whole-building energy simulations. The study conducts a series of whole-building energy simulation analyses using EnergyPlus to evaluate the role of different design parameters based on TMY and fTMY weather conditions. The analysis is conducted for two hot desert climatic cities: Phoenix (USA) and Abu Dhabi (UAE). The results show that, for the base case in a future climate, the sensible heat release is reduced by an average of 30% due to the reduced delta T between the surface and ambient air. Further, the results show an increase in total energy consumption by 5% annually. The results also show that, for buildings with traditional coatings, shorter buildings release more heat than taller buildings. On the other hand, for buildings with reflective paints, shorter buildings release less heat than taller buildings. The findings from this study can be used by policymakers, utility companies, and builders to better understand the relative role of different building design parameters while constructing new and retrofitting existing buildings.

Alhazmi, Mansour [King Fahd University of Petroleu↗
DOE OSTI2024

Exascale Computing and Data Handling: Challenges and Opportunities for Weather and Climate Prediction

The emergence of exascale computing and artificial intelligence offer tremendous potential to significantly advance Earth system prediction capabilities. However, enormous challenges must be overcome to adapt models and prediction systems to use these new technologies effectively. A 2022 WMO report on exascale computing recommends “urgency in dedicating efforts and attention to disruptions associated with evolving computing technologies that will be increasingly difficult to overcome, threatening continued advancements in weather and climate prediction capabilities.” Further, the explosive growth in data from observations, model and ensemble output, and postprocessing threatens to overwhelm the ability to deliver timely, accurate, and precise information needed for decision-making. Artificial intelligence (AI) offers untapped opportunities to alter how models are developed, observations are processed, and predictions are analyzed and extracted for decision-making. Given the extraordinarily high cost of computing, growing complexity of prediction systems, and increasingly unmanageable amount of data being produced and consumed, these challenges are rapidly becoming too large for any single institution or country to handle. This paper describes key technical and budgetary challenges, identifies gaps and ways to address them, and makes a number of recommendations.

Atmosphere↗
DOE OSTI2024

STFM: Accurate Spatio-Temporal Fusion Model for Weather Forecasting

Meteorological prediction is crucial for various sectors, including agriculture, navigation, daily life, disaster prevention, and scientific research. However, traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are constrained by their high computational resource requirements, while the accuracy of deep learning models remains suboptimal. In response to these challenges, we propose a novel deep learning-based model, the Spatiotemporal Fusion Model (STFM), designed to enhance the accuracy of meteorological predictions. Our model leverages Fifth-Generation ECMWF Reanalysis (ERA5) data and introduces two key components: a spatiotemporal encoder module and a spatiotemporal fusion module. The spatiotemporal encoder integrates the strengths of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and recurrent neural networks (RNNs), effectively capturing both spatial and temporal dependencies. Meanwhile, the spatiotemporal fusion module employs a dual attention mechanism, decomposing spatial attention into global static attention and channel dynamic attention. This approach ensures comprehensive extraction of spatial features from meteorological data. The combination of these modules significantly improves prediction performance. Experimental results demonstrate that STFM excels in extracting spatiotemporal features from reanalysis data, yielding predictions that closely align with observed values. In comparative studies, STFM outperformed other models, achieving a 7% improvement in ground and high-altitude temperature predictions, a 5% enhancement in the prediction of the u/v components of 10 m wind speed, and an increase in the accuracy of potential height and relative humidity predictions by 3% and 1%, respectively. This enhanced performance highlights STFM’s potential to advance the accuracy and reliability of meteorological forecasting.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Reduced accrual of mineral-associated organic matter after two years of enhanced rock weathering in cropland soils, though no net losses of soil organic carbon

Abstract Enhanced rock weathering (ERW), the application of crushed silicate rock to soil, can remove atmospheric carbon dioxide by converting it to (bi) carbonate ions or solid carbonate minerals. However, few studies have empirically evaluated ERW in field settings. A critical question remains as to whether additions of crushed rock might positively or negatively affect soil organic matter (SOM)—Earth’s largest terrestrial organic carbon (C) pool and a massive reservoir of organic nitrogen (N). Here, in three irrigated cropland field trials in California, USA, we investigated the effect of crushed meta-basalt rock additions on different pools of soil organic carbon and nitrogen (i.e., mineral-associated organic matter, MAOM, and particulate organic matter, POM), active microbial biomass, and microbial community composition. After 2 years of crushed rock additions, MAOM stocks were lower in the upper surface soil (0–10 cm) of plots with crushed rock compared to unamended control plots. At the 2 sites where baseline pre-treatment data were available, neither total SOC nor SON decreased over the 2 years of study in plots with crushed rock or unamended control plots. However, the accrual rate of MAOM-C and MAOM-N at 0–10 cm was lower in plots with crushed rock vs. unamended controls. Before ERW is deployed at large scales, our results suggest that field trials should assess the effects of crushed rock on SOM pools, especially over multi-year time scales and in different environmental contexts, to accurately assess changes in net C and understand the mechanisms driving interactions between ERW and SOM cycling.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Enhanced Simulation of Atmospheric Blocking in a High‐Resolution Earth System Model: Projected Changes and Implications for Extreme Weather Events

Atmospheric blocking is closely linked to the occurrence of extreme weather events. However, low-resolution Earth system models often underestimate the frequency of blocking, undermining confidence in future projections. Here, in this study, we use the high-resolution Community Earth System Model (CESM-HR; 25 km atm and 10 km ocean) to show that CESM-HR reduces biases in atmospheric blocking for both winter and summer, particularly for events lasting longer than 10 days. This improvement is partly due to reduced sea surface temperature biases at higher resolution. Additionally, applying a bias correction to the 500 hPa geopotential height further enhances blocking frequency simulations, highlighting the crucial role of the mean state. Under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario, CESM-HR projects a decrease in wintertime blocking over regions such as the Euro-Atlantic and Chukchi-Alaska, consistent with previous studies. In contrast, summer blocking is expected to become more frequent and persistent, driven by weakened zonal winds. The blocking center shifts from historical locations over Scandinavia and eastern Russia to central Eurasia, significantly increasing blocking over the Ural region. Summer blocking frequency over the Scandinavia-Ural region may eventually surpass historical winter blocking over the Euro-Atlantic. This increase in summer blocking could exacerbate summer heatwaves in a warming climate, making severe heatwaves, like those observed recently, more common in the future.

Atmospheric blocking↗
DOE OSTI2025

Modeling the impact of extreme weather events and future climate on the radiologically contaminated sites of Enewetak Atoll

Enewetak Atoll underwent 43 historical nuclear tests from 1948 to 1958, including the first hydrogen bomb test, resulting in a substantial nuclear material fallout contaminating the Atoll and the lagoon waters. The radionuclide fallout material deposited in lagoon sediments and land soil will remain for decades to come. With intensifying climate and extreme weather events, the possibility of redistribution of deposited radionuclide material has become a great concern. This study uses a numerical modeling approach to estimate the potential elevated radionuclide concentrations that can be distributed during storm events under current and future climates. We simulated three historical storm scenarios that are most likely to impact Atoll’s environment and remobilize the radionuclide-bound sediments. WRF-ARW was used to reconstruct these storm scenarios under current year (2015) and future year (2090) climates. Storm-induced ocean hydrodynamics conditions were generated using FVCOM. FVCOM-ICM was externally coupled to simulate the fate and transport of radionuclides. Given that the 239 Pu is the largest inventory of the lagoon and Atoll islands, the model results show the highest average 239 Pu concentration that an island may be exposed to is 3.25E-4 Bq/m 3 (becquerel per cubic meters), which is an increase of 84 times the average baseline/existing 239 Pu concentration without the storm conditions. The overall increase in 239 Pu average over all the islands of Atoll is about 20 folds relative to the baseline concentration. Despite the high relative increase ratios, the significantly low activity concentrations may not pose an immediate exposure risk. However, due to the limitations of the study and uncertainties/biases in the historical data used, further research supported by field surveys to better characterize the current contamination level may be needed to make more accurate predictions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Surrogate Model for Distribution Networks Influenced by Weather

Here, we propose a method for generating reduced representations of time series and for constructing low dimensional surrogate models for time dependent calculations of power and voltage in distribution networks. We employ Fourier polynomials. The surrogate model strategy is aimed at reducing the computational cost of time dependent simulations, albeit, at the expense of fidelity. The reduced representation is achieved by identifying a small and most consequential subset of degrees of freedom. In power and voltage distribution networks dynamics that are heavily influenced by strong cyclic weather events, e.g., the hourly, diurnal and seasonal cycles, the weather/climate time series spectrum exposes these most energetic components. Once the degrees of freedom are identified their amplitudes are optimized using training data. The key challenge in using spectral methods in power network surrogates is addressing the computation of quotients. For this we propose a numerically-stable deconvolution strategy.

Weather events↗
DOE OSTI2025

Five Years of Dissolved Oxygen, Temperature, Salinity, Depth, Weather Data from a Transitioning Wetland at Beaver Creek, Washington, USA

Groundwater dissolved oxygen (DO) variability in coastal system remains poorly understood despite its importance for biogeochemical cycling and ecosystem modeling. Here we investigate the temporal variability in groundwater DO and its hydro-climatic drivers across hourly to seasonal timescales in a transitioning wetland at Beaver Creek, Washington, USA. The site is transitioning from a freshwater forest to a brackish tidal wetland following removal of a barrier in 2014 that prevented tides from accessing the freshwater creek. By utilizing novel optical dissolved oxygen instrumentation (Opti O2, LLC) we obtained continuous, high-frequency (5-minute), in-situ measurements of DO from the flood-plain from June 26th, 2019 through September 30th, 2024. This 63 month dataset is comprised of groundwater dissolved oxygen, temperature, water level and salinity timeseries from the floodplain. This dataset also includes rainfall, air pressure, air temperature, and solar radiation data collected with a co-located Campbell ClimaVUE50 weather sensor. All data is contained within a single csv (2019-06-26 to 2024-09-30 Beaver Creek DO, saln, BGS, temp, weather.csv) that can easily be viewed either using software such as Excel or using any text editor.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

A total of 19 months of daily weather logging on the US east coast: the WFIP3 event log

The Third Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP3) is a multi-institutional field campaign designed to advance the understanding and prediction of the offshore atmospheric boundary layer along the US east coast. Extending from February 2024 through August 2025, WFIP3 combines long-term coastal and offshore measurements with targeted modeling and forecasting efforts. This data paper presents the WFIP3 event log, a curated record of 578 d of meteorological phenomena and field observations that complements the campaign's extensive high-frequency datasets. The event log provides both manually documented daily weather discussions and automatically derived indicators of atmospheric processes – including low-level jets, wind ramps, extreme wind veer, and weak wind conditions – based on observations from scanning lidars deployed at three coastal and offshore sites. The dataset offers structured metadata, standardized time and site identifiers, and consistent terminology to facilitate its integration with WFIP3's observational and modeling data products. The log supports diverse applications, from model evaluation and forecast verification to the selection of case studies on offshore boundary-layer dynamics. The WFIP3 event log is publicly available through the US Department of Energy's Wind Data Hub, providing the research community with a transparent and enduring contextual reference for the interpretation and use of WFIP3 measurements.

17 WIND ENERGY↗