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At least 109 records · Page 6

Causes of and Solutions to Wind Speed Bias in NREL's 2020 Offshore Wind Resource Assessment for the California Pacific Outer Continental Shelf

This report provides the results of a detailed analysis into the causes of high wind speed bias in the 20-year wind resource data set for offshore California the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) released in 2020, herein called CA20. The data set was developed using the state-of-the-art Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Notably, no floating lidars were available at the time in offshore California to validate offshore hub-height wind speeds. In late 2020, the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) deployed two floating lidars in the California outer continental shelf (OCS), near the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) call areas of Humboldt and Morro Bay. Using these observations through 2021, NREL found considerable bias in modeled hub-height winds at both locations: up to +2 m/s at Humboldt over a 6-month period, and up to +1 m/s at Morro Bay over a one-year period. Upon the discovery of this bias, the Department of Energy (DOE) and BOEM funded NREL and PNNL to investigate the causes of, impacts of, and solutions to the bias in the CA20 data set. This report summarizes the findings of this research. We first investigated whether different WRF model setups could lead to reduced bias. We found that the choice of planetary boundary layer (PBL) scheme - which controls the vertical turbulent mixing of momentum, heat, and moisture in the lowermost part of the atmosphere - greatly affected hub-height wind speeds in the region. Specifically, switching from the Mellor-Yamada-Nakanishi-Niino (MYNN) scheme used in CA20 (and widely used across a range of operational and research weather models) to the less common Yonsei University (YSU) scheme nearly eliminated the bias at both the Humboldt and Morro Bay lidar locations. The large discrepancy between the MYNN- and YSU-modeled hub-height winds pointed towards the role of atmospheric stability. In general, PBL schemes agree well in conditions of high turbulence and mixing, normally referred to as "unstable" conditions. By contrast, PBL schemes start to diverge in "stable" conditions, where turbulence is low and thermal stratification (i.e., higher temperature air sitting on top of colder air) greatly suppresses vertical mixing. Under such conditions, winds aloft can decouple from surface effects and greatly accelerate, causing high wind speeds at hub-height and frequent low-level jets (LLJs). We determined that these stable conditions are in fact dominant in offshore California. The region is characterized by moderate-to-extreme stable stratification with a LLJ on average around 200 meters above sea-level. To our knowledge, no wind energy area globally has as strongly stable stratification as offshore California. Under these extreme conditions, we determined that the MYNN scheme models higher stability than YSU, resulting in less vertical turbulent mixing than YSU, allowing for the acceleration of hub-height winds, more intense LLJs, and higher-amplitude inertial oscillations. Using surface observations, we found that MYNN overestimates near-surface stability, whereas YSU tends to model stability better. We then considered several short-term case studies to assess additional meteorological drivers of the bias at Humboldt. We found that during synoptic scale northerly flows driven by the North Pacific High and inland thermal low, a coastal warm bias in the MYNN case studies contributes to the modeled wind speed bias by altering the boundary layer thermodynamics via a thermal wind mechanism. Given the strong performance of the YSU-based runs in offshore California, NREL has produced and published an updated version of the CA20 data set with YSU as the PBL scheme. This updated data set is now part of NREL's 2023 National Offshore Wind (NOW-23) data set, which covers all the U.S. offshore waters. The development and final validation of the NOW-23 data set in offshore California is documented in this report.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Formation and Reconnection of Electron Scale Current Layers in the Turbulent Outflows of a Primary Reconnection Site

We simulate with 3D particle in cell, the spontaneous formation of turbulent outflows in an initially laminar 3D reconnecting current layer. We observe the formation of many secondary current layers and reconnection sites in the outflow. The approach we follow is to study each individual feature within the turbulent outflow. To identify all clusters of current in the outflow we use a clustering technique widely used in unsupervised machine learning: density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise. Once the clusters are identified we measure their size and compute reconnection indicators to establish which are undergoing reconnection. With this analysis we establish that the size of the current clusters reaches all the way from its initial system scale down to subelectron skin depth scale. We observe that the smaller current clusters are more prone to reconnecting and to releasing energy. We then find the process of reconnection of the smaller current cluster to be of the recently observed electron-only type that leaves the ions essentially unaffected.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Overcoming small minirhizotron datasets using transfer learning

Minirhizotron technology is widely used to study root growth and development. Yet, standard approaches for tracing roots in minirhiztron imagery is extremely tedious and time consuming. Machine learning approaches can help to automate this task. However, lack of enough annotated training data is a major limitation for the application of machine learning methods. Transfer learning is a useful technique to help with training when available datasets are limited. In this paper, we investigated the effect of pre-trained features from the massives-cale, irrelevant ImageNet dataset and a relatively moderate-scale, but relevant peanut root dataset on switchgrass root imagery segmentation applications. We compiled two minirhizotron image datasets to accomplish this study: one with 17,550 peanut root images and another with 28 switchgrass root images. Both datasets were paired with manually labeled ground truth masks. Deep neural networks based on the U-net architecture were used with different pre-trained features as initialization for automated, precise pixel-wise root segmentation in minirhizotron imagery. We observed that features pre-trained on a closely related but relatively moderate size dataset like our peanut dataset were more effective than features pre-trained on the large but unrelated ImageNet dataset. Here, we achieved high quality segmentation on peanut root dataset with 99.04% accuracy at the pixel-level and overcame errors in human-labeled ground truth masks. By applying transfer learning technique on limited switchgrass dataset with features pre-trained on peanut dataset, we obtained 99% segmentation accuracy in switchgrass imagery using only 21 images for training (fine tuning). Furthermore, the peanut pre-trained features can help the model converge faster and have much more stable performance.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Thermochemical characterization of intumescent materials and their application in FEM models using Aria

Intumescent materials are in wide use as protective coatings in fire protection or thermal management applications. These materials undergo chemical reactions occurring from approximately 300°C to 900°C, which outgas and expand the material, providing an appreciable increase in insulative performance. However, the complicated chemical mechanisms and large changes in materials properties complicate the incorporation of these materials into predictive thermal models. This document serves to outline the thermochemical characterization of select intumescent materials, the extraction of relevant parameters, and the incorporation of these parameters into the ChemEQ reaction model implemented in Aria. This work was performed in 2016 and documented in a draft SAND report in March 2017. In 2022, the draft SAND report was discovered and put through R&A.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Stochastic minibatch approach to the ptychographic iterative engine

The ptychographic iterative engine (PIE) is a widely used algorithm that enables phase retrieval at nanometer-scale resolution over a wide range of imaging experiment configurations. By analyzing diffraction intensities from multiple scanning locations where a probing wavefield interacts with a sample, the algorithm solves a difficult optimization problem with constraints derived from the experimental geometry as well as sample properties. The effectiveness at which this optimization problem is solved is highly dependent on the ordering in which we use the measured diffraction intensities in the algorithm, and random ordering is widely used due to the limited ability to escape from stagnation in poor-quality local solutions. In this study, we introduce an extension to the PIE algorithm that uses ideas popularized in recent machine learning training methods, in this case minibatch stochastic gradient descent. Our results demonstrate that these new techniques significantly improve the convergence properties of the PIE numerical optimization problem.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

autoGEMM: Pushing the Limits of Irregular Matrix Multiplication on Arm Architectures

This paper presents an open-source library that pushes the limits of performance portability for irregular General Matrix Multiplication (GEMM) on the widely-used Arm architectures. Our library, autoGEMM, is designed to support a wide range of Arm processors: from edge devices to HPC-grade CPUs. autoGEMM generates optimized kernels for various hardware configurations by auto-combining fragments of autogenerated micro-kernels that employ hand-written optimizations to maximize computational efficiency. We optimize the kernel pipeline by tuning the register reuse and the data load/store overlapping. In addition, we use a dynamic tiling scheme to generate balanced tile shapes. Finally, we position autoGEMM on top of the TVM framework where our dynamic tiling scheme prunes the search space for TVM to identify the optimal combination of parameters for code optimization. Evaluations on five different classes of Arm chips demonstrate the advantages of autoGEMM. For small matrices, autoGEMM achieves 98% of peak and up to 2.0x speedup over state-of-the-art libraries such as LIBXSMM and LibShalom. For irregular matrices (i.e. tall skinny and long rectangles), autoGEMM is 1.3-2.0x faster than widely-used libraries such as OpenBLAS and Eigen. autoGEMM is publicly available at: https://github.com/wudu98/autoGEMM.

Wu, Du↗

Bridging multimodal microscopy for advanced characterization on nuclear fuel using machine learning

Uranium dioxide (UO 2 ), widely used as driver fuel in light water reactors, experiences microstructure and property change by nuclear fission reactions. This paper bridges the characterization of fresh UO 2 fuel at different length scales, serving as a baseline for future post irradiation examination of irradiated UO 2 fuel. To characterize the microstructural change of nuclear fuel, modern approaches cover a wide range of length scales through different characterization techniques, such as mm scale for Synchrotron-based X-ray computed tomography (SXCT) and microscale for focused ion beam (FIB) and scanning electron microscopy (SEM). It is challenging to bridge the data and knowledge of the same sample in different length scales. This paper proposed a deep learning framework leveraging transfer learning to detect microstructural defects, trained from a sparse FIB, SEM, and SXCT images. The proposed model achieved superior performance in defect segmentation on multiscale microscopic data compared to four of the latest deep learning models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Cyber-Physical Anomaly Detection for Wide-Area Protection Using Machine Learning

Wide-area protection scheme (WAPS) provides system-wide protection by detecting and mitigating small and large-scale disturbances that are difficult to resolve using local protection schemes. As this protection scheme is evolving from a substation-based distributed remedial action scheme (DRAS) to the control center-based centralized RAS (CRAS), it presents severe challenges to their cybersecurity because of its heavy reliance on an insecure grid communication, and its compromise would lead to system failure. This article presents an architecture and methodology for developing a cyber-physical anomaly detection system (CPADS) that utilizes synchrophasor measurements and properties of network packets to detect data integrity and communication failure attacks on measurement and control signals in CRAS. The proposed machine leaning-based methodology applies a rules-based approach to select relevant input features, utilizes variational mode decomposition (VMD) and decision tree (DT) algorithms to develop multiple classification models, and performs final event identification using a rules-based decision logic. Here, we have evaluated the proposed methodology of CPADS using the IEEE 39 bus system for several performance measures (accuracy, recall, precision, and F-measure) in a cyber-physical testbed environment. Furthermore, our experimental results reveal that the proposed algorithm (VMD-DT) of CPADS outperforms the existing machine learning classifiers during noisy and noise-free measurements while incurring an acceptable processing overhead.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Discovery of multi-functional polyimides through high-throughput screening using explainable machine learning

Polyimides have been widely used in modern industries because of their excellent mechanical and thermal properties, e.g., high-temperature fuel cells, displays, and aerospace composites. However, it usually takes decades of experimental efforts to develop a successful product. Aiming to expedite the discovery of high-performance polyimides, we utilize computational methods of machine learning (ML) and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. Our study provides compelling evidence for the effectiveness of a data-driven approach in discovering novel polyimides. We first build a comprehensive library of more than 8 million hypothetical polyimides based on the polycondensation of existing dianhydride and diamine/diisocyanate molecules. Then we establish multiple ML models for the thermal and mechanical properties of polyimides based on their experimentally reported values, including glass transition temperature, Young’s modulus, and tensile yield strength. The obtained ML models demonstrate excellent predictive performance in identifying the key chemical substructures influencing the thermal and mechanical properties of polyimides. The use of explainable machine learning describes the effect of chemical substructures on individual properties, from which human experts can understand the cause of the ML model decision. Applying the well-trained ML models, we obtain property predictions of the 8 million hypothetical polyimides. Then, we screen the whole hypothetical dataset and identify three (3) best-performing novel polyimides that have better-combined properties than existing ones through Pareto frontier analysis. For an easy query of the discovered high-performing polyimides, we also create an online platform https://polyimide-explorer.herokuapp.com/ that embeds the developed ML model with interactive visualization. Furthermore, we validate the ML predictions through all-atom MD simulations and examine their synthesizability. The MD simulations are in good agreement with the ML predictions and the three novel polyimides are predicted to be easy to synthesize via Schuffenhauer’s synthetic accessibility score. Following the proposed ML guidance, we successfully synthesized a novel polyimide and the experimentally obtained high glass transition/thermal decomposition temperature demonstrated its excellent thermal stability. Here our study demonstrates an efficient way to expedite the discovery of novel polymers using ML prediction and MD validation. The high-throughput screening of a large computational dataset can serve as a general approach for new material discovery in other polymeric material exploration problems, such as organic photovoltaics, polymer membranes, and dielectrics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Thermal conductivity modeling of monodispersed microspheres using discrete element method

Particle beds are widely used in various systems and processes, such as particle heat exchangers, granular flow reactors, and additive manufacturing. Accurate modeling of the thermal conductivity of particle beds and understanding of their heat transfer mechanisms are important. However, previous models were based on simple cubic packing of particles, which could not accurately represent the actual heat transfer processes under certain conditions. Here, we examine the effect of the packing structure on the thermal conductivity of particle beds. We use monodispersed silica microspheres with average particle sizes ranging from 23 to 330 μm as a model material. We employ a transient hot-wire technique to measure the thermal conductivity of the particle beds with packing density of 43%–57% within a temperature range of room temperature to 500 °C and under N2 gaseous pressures of 20–760 Torr. We then use a discrete element method (DEM) to obtain the realistic packing structure of the particles, which is then fed into a finite-element model (FEM) to calculate the thermal conductivity, with the consideration of solid conduction, gas conduction, and radiation heat transfer. Our results show that the thermal conductivity model based on the more realistic random packing structure derived from the DEM shows better agreement with the experimental data compared to that based on the simple cubic-packing structure. The combined DEM and FEM methodology can serve as a useful tool to predict the effective thermal conductivity of particle beds and to quantify different heat transfer mechanisms under various conditions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Controls From Above and Below: Snow, Soil, and Steepness Drive Diverging Trends of Subsurface Water and Streamflow Dynamics

ABSTRACT The importance of subsurface water dynamics, such as water storage and flow partitioning, is well recognised. Yet, our understanding of their drivers and links to streamflow generation has remained elusive, especially in small headwater streams that are often data‐limited but crucial for downstream water quantity and quality. Large‐scale analyses have focused on streamflow characteristics across rivers with varying drainage areas, often overlooking the subsurface water dynamics that shape streamflow behaviour. Here we ask the question: What are the climate and landscape characteristics that regulate subsurface dynamic storage, flow path partitioning, and dynamics of streamflow generation in headwater streams? To answer this question, we used streamflow data and a widely‐used hydrological model (HBV) for 15 headwater catchments across the contiguous United States. Results show that climate characteristics such as aridity and precipitation phase (snow or rain) and land attributes such as topography and soil texture are key drivers of streamflow generation dynamics. In particular, steeper slopes generally promoted more streamflow, regardless of aridity. Streams in flat, rainy sites (< 30% precipitation as snow) with finer soils exhibited flashier regimes than those in snowy sites (> 30% precipitation as snow) or sites with coarse soils and deeper flow paths. In snowy sites, less weathered, thinner soils promoted shallower flow paths such that discharge was more sensitive to changes in storage, but snow dampened streamflow flashiness overall. Results here indicate that land characteristics such as steepness and soil texture modify subsurface water storage and shallow and deep flow partitioning, ultimately regulating streamflow response to climate forcing. As climate change increases uncertainty in water availability, understanding the interacting climate and landscape features that regulate streamflow will be essential to predict hydrological shifts in headwater catchments and improve water resources management.

Kerins, Devon [Department of Civil and Environment↗

Systematic benchmarking demonstrates large language models have not reached the diagnostic accuracy of traditional rare-disease decision support tools

Large language models (LLMs) show promise in supporting differential diagnosis, but their performance is challenging to evaluate due to the unstructured nature of their responses, and their accuracy compared to existing diagnostic tools is not well characterized. To assess the current capabilities of LLMs to diagnose genetic diseases, we benchmarked these models on 5213 previously published case reports using the Phenopacket Schema, the Human Phenotype Ontology and Mondo disease ontology. Prompts generated from each phenopacket were sent to seven LLMs, including four generalist models and three LLMs specialized for medical applications. The same phenopackets were used as input to a widely used diagnostic tool, Exomiser, in phenotype-only mode. The best LLM ranked the correct diagnosis first in 23.6% of cases, whereas Exomiser did so in 35.5% of cases. While the performance of LLMs for supporting differential diagnosis has been improving, it has not reached the level of commonly used traditional bioinformatics tools. Future research is needed to determine the best approach to incorporate LLMs into diagnostic pipelines.

Reese, Justin T. [Lawrence Berkeley National Labor↗

Faster Randomized Dynamical Decoupling

We present a randomized dynamical decoupling (DD) protocol that can substantially improve the performance of any given deterministic DD scheme for suppressing coherent noise by using no more than two additional pulses. Our construction is implemented by probabilistically applying sequences of pulses, which, when combined, effectively eliminate the error terms that scale linearly with the system-environment coupling strength. As a result, we show that a randomized protocol using a few pulses can outperform deterministic DD protocols that require considerably more pulses. Furthermore, we prove that the randomized protocol provides an improvement compared to deterministic DD sequences that aim to reduce the error in the system’s Hilbert space, such as Uhrig DD, which had been previously regarded to be optimal. To rigorously evaluate the performance, we introduce new analytical methods suitable for analyzing higher-order DD protocols that might be of independent interest. Here, we also present numerical simulations confirming the significant advantage of using randomized protocols compared to widely used deterministic protocols.

Quantum algorithms & computation↗

Comparative Analysis of ANN and LSTM Prediction Accuracy and Cooling Energy Savings through AHU-DAT Control in an Office Building

This paper proposes the optimal algorithm for controlling the HVAC system in the target building. Previous studies have analyzed pre-selected algorithms without considering the unique data characteristics of the target building, such as location, climate conditions, and HVAC system type. To address this, we compare the accuracy of cooling load prediction using ANN and LSTM algorithms, widely used in building energy research, to determine the optimal algorithm for HVAC control in the target building. We develop a simulation model calibrated with actual data to ensure data reliability and compare the energy consumption of the existing HVAC control method and the two algorithms-based methods. Results show that the ANN algorithm, with a CV(RMSE) of 12.7%, has a higher prediction accuracy than the LSTM algorithm, CV(RMSE) of 17.3%, making it a more suitable algorithm for HVAC control. Furthermore, implementing the ANN-based approach results in a 3.2% cooling energy reduction from the optimal control of Air Handling Unit (AHU) Discharge Air Temperature (DAT) compared to the fixed DAT at 12.8 °C in a representative day. This study demonstrates that ML-based HVAC system control can effectively reduce cooling energy consumption in HVAC systems, providing an effective strategy for energy conservation and improved HVAC system efficiency.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Towards Next-Generation Urban Decision Support Systems through AI-Powered Construction of Scientific Ontology Using Large Language Models—A Case in Optimizing Intermodal Freight Transportation

The incorporation of Artificial Intelligence (AI) models into various optimization systems is on the rise. However, addressing complex urban and environmental management challenges often demands deep expertise in domain science and informatics. This expertise is essential for deriving data and simulation-driven insights that support informed decision-making. In this context, we investigate the potential of leveraging the pre-trained Large Language Models (LLMs) to create knowledge representations for supporting operations research. By adopting ChatGPT-4 API as the reasoning core, we outline an applied workflow that encompasses natural language processing, Methontology-based prompt tuning, and Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT), to automate the construction of scenario-based ontologies using existing research articles and technical manuals of urban datasets and simulations. From these ontologies, knowledge graphs can be derived using widely adopted formats and protocols, guiding various tasks towards data-informed decision support. The performance of our methodology is evaluated through a comparative analysis that contrasts our AI-generated ontology with the widely recognized pizza ontology, commonly used in tutorials for popular ontology software. We conclude with a real-world case study on optimizing the complex system of multi-modal freight transportation. Our approach advances urban decision support systems by enhancing data and metadata modeling, improving data integration and simulation coupling, and guiding the development of decision support strategies and essential software components.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗