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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 109 records · Page 6

Estimation of Aerosol Columnar Size Distribution from Spectral Extinction Data in Coastal and Maritime Environment

Aerosol columnar size distributions (SDs) are commonly provided by aerosol inversions based on measurements of both spectral extinction and sky radiance. These inversions developed for a fully clear sky offer few SDs for areas with abundant clouds. Here, we estimate SDs from spectral extinction data alone for cloudy coastal and maritime regions using aerosol refractive index (RI) obtained from chemical composition data. Our estimation involves finding volume and mean radius of lognormally distributed modes of an assumed bimodal size distribution through fitting of the spectral extinction data. We demonstrate that vertically integrated SDs obtained from aircraft measurements over a coastal site have distinct seasonal changes, and these changes are captured reasonably well by the estimated columnar SDs. We also demonstrate that similar seasonal changes occur at a maritime site, and columnar SDs retrieved from the combined extinction and sky radiance measurements are approximated quite well by their extinction only counterparts (correlation exceeds 0.9) during a 7-year period (2013–2019). The level of agreement between the estimated and retrieved SDs depends weakly on wavelength selection within a given spectral interval (roughly 0.4–1 µm). Since the extinction-based estimations can be performed frequently for partly cloudy skies, the number of periods where SDs can be found is greatly increased.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Measuring the robustness of predictive probability for early stopping in two-group comparisons

We report physical experiments are often expensive and time-consuming. Test engineers must certify the compatibility of aircraft and their weapon systems before they can be deployed in the field, but the testing required is time consuming, expensive, and resource limited. Adopting Bayesian adaptive designs is a promising way to borrow from the successes seen in the clinical trials domain. The use of predictive probability (PP) to stop testing early and make faster decisions is particularly appealing given the aforementioned constraints. Given the high-consequence nature of the tests performed in the national security space, a strong understanding of new methods is required before being deployed. Although PP has been thoroughly studied for binary data, there is less work with continuous data, where many reliability studies are interested in certifying the specification limits of components. A simulation study evaluating the robustness of this approach indicates early stopping based on PP is reasonably robust to minor assumption violations, especially when only a few interim analyses are conducted. The simulation study also compares PP to conditional power, showing its relative strengths and weaknesses. A post-hoc analysis exploring whether release requirements of a weapon system from an aircraft are within specification with desired reliability resulted in stopping the experiment early and saving 33% of the experimental runs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Enhancing CMC Temperature Performance in High Hydrogen Environments using Field Assisted Sintering Technology

This final report summarizes the developments in field assisted sintering technology (FAST) for rapid fabrication of ceramic matrix composite (CMC) materials with integrated environmental barrier coatings (EBCs), as well as their performance in a representative gas turbine combustor environment including stagnant flame zones, and high velocity product zones. CMCs are a possible high temperature tolerant material system for gas turbine engines, which are currently the dominant source of electric power production and the primary source of aircraft propulsion. However, CMCs are costly and time-consuming (on the order of weeks to months) to fabricate, and CMCs based on silicon carbide (SiC) ceramics are susceptible to water vapor degradation requiring the use of specialized EBCs. The manufacturing technique known as FAST can create consolidated parts in as little as a few hours using high pressure and temperature, and may be useful to integrate EBCs into CMCs directly during consolidation.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Extended Bandwidth Spread Spectrum Time Domain Reflectometry Cable Test for Thermal Aging, Low Resistance Fault, and Water Detection

In 2022, researchers at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) used the Accelerated and Real-Time Environmental Nodal Assessment (ARENA) cable and motor test bed to characterize spread spectrum time domain reflectometry (SSTDR) and compare the responses of an SSTDR instrument to those of a frequency domain reflectometry (FDR) instrument. Results showed both techniques could detect and locate cable anomalies such as phase-to-phase low resistance and shorts, thermal insulation damage, mechanical insulation damage, and the presence or absence of water in some conditions. The SSTDR tests used a commercial instrument provided by LiveWire Innovations Inc. This commercial instrument performed tests at 6, 12, 24, and 48 MHz bandwidth. The results of these tests were compared to FDR tests where bandwidths could be extended up to 1.3 GHz, although the best responses for cable tests were from 100 to 500 MHz. Lower bandwidth signals can propagate better along the cable while higher bandwidths have higher resolution for impedance change reflections allowing more precise indication of location and separation of anomalies. The 2022 research found that FDR responses were clearer than SSTDR and speculated that a higher bandwidth SSTDR could more successfully detect and locate cable anomalies. One advantage of the SSTDR system investigated was that it was designed for energized online use up to 1,000 volts, which may be a significant advantage for nuclear power plant use. The LiveWire SSTDR instrument is an established product in the rail and aircraft industry and updating the SSTDR hardware parameters is difficult to justify without more conclusive testing. Therefore, a software adjustable laboratory SSTDR instrument was developed by PNNL and was used to test extended bandwidth SSTDR cable tests. Within the ARENA test bed, 42 cable conditions were tested with the PNNL SSTDR, FDR, and the LiveWire SSTDR—each operating at four different bandwidths. Observations and conclusions regarding the relative performance of the three instruments over different bandwidths are note below. Responses of the PNNL SSTDR (at 50 MHz) and the LiveWire SSTDR (at 48 MHz) were similar. The PNNL SSTDR higher frequency bandwidths behaved as expected showing sharper peaks and higher noise. This validated the PNNL SSTDR as a reasonable implementation of the SSTDR technology. Lower bandwidth SSTDR responses (particularly 6 and 12 MHz) may have increased value for use within longer cables but were not particularly effective at identifying anomalous cable behavior in the 100 ft cables tested here. The higher bandwidths of the PNNL SSTDR (50, 100, 200, and 400 MHz) did not provide substantially clearer cable reflectometry responses, but having the higher frequency responses available did add to the cable test evaluation. Strong responses to shorts and low impedance faults between phases were particularly evident in the higher bandwidth PNNL SSTDR and the FDR data. Measurements were repeatable, with similar responses obtained from a thermally aged cable for tests taken a month apart. Signal noise was affected in the unshielded cable by the local in-tray cable arrangement including proximity to metal edges and rungs of the cable tray. Foam isolation of the cable from the tray metal reduced in both FDR and SSTDR responses. Cable condition monitoring in nuclear power plants will likely benefit from both more informative off-line testing methods and from the development of on-line methods for continuous monitoring of cables in use. The LWRS-funded ARENA test bed was a valuable resource for this development and direct comparison of nuclear electrical cable condition monitoring technologies. Test results are targeted to guide industry advancement of testing and monitoring tools for cable aging management.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Relationship of Chemical Composition and Moisture Sensitivity in LiNi x Mn y Co 1-x-y O 2 for Lithium-Ion Batteries

Chemical composition–moisture sensitivity relationship of LiNi x Mn y Co 1-x-y O 2 (NMC) cathode materials was investigated by exploring crystal structures, surface properties, and electrochemical performance behaviors of various commercial NMC powders: LiNi 1/3 Mn 1/3 Co 1/3 O 2 (NMC111), LiNi 0.5 Mn 0.3 Co 0.2 O 2 (NMC532), LiNi 0.6 Mn 0.2 Co 0.2 O 2 (NMC622), and LiNi 0.8 Mn 0.1 Co 0.1 O 2 (NMC811). The NMC powders were stored in different moisture conditions: moisture-free, humidified air, or immersed in water. Rietveld refinement analysis of X-ray diffraction (XRD) data and scanning electron microscopy (SEM) were used to characterize the crystal structure changes and the evolution of particle surfaces morphologies. The effect of moisture contamination on the electrochemical properties of NMC cathodes was studied by galvanostatic cycling and electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS). The moisture contamination resulted in either structural disorder or unwanted surficial deposition products, which increased a charge-transfer impedance and consequent performance degradation of battery cells. The results showed that NMC’s moisture vulnerability increased with Ni content (x) despite protective coatings on commercial particles, which stressed the necessity of alternative surface passivation strategies of Ni-rich NMC for broad applications such as electric vehicles and electrified aircraft propulsion.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Toward Understanding the Differences between Mesoscale and Large-Eddy Simulations of Tropical Cyclones

In this work, we investigate the ability of mesoscale and large-eddy simulation (LES) model configurations to predict the mean wind speed profile within the boundary layer of tropical cyclones (TCs). To this end, we perform idealized simulations of five hypothetical intense storms ranging from categories 1 to 5 on the Saffir–Simpson scale and extract time-averaged quantities near the eyewall region. We compare the model-generated data against mean wind speed profiles compiled from dropsondes launched from reconnaissance aircraft operating in the North Atlantic basin. Our analysis shows that mesoscale- and LES-generated mean wind fields display important differences in the boundary layer, including the magnitude of shear as well as the height where their low-level wind speed maxima are located. In addition, a comparison between the two model configurations with the dropsonde data shows that both modeling approaches are unable to capture the typical structure of mean winds in the lower part of the TC boundary layer (10–500 m), calling into question the use of simulations of near-axisymmetric storms for investigating the wind structure of past events. To better understand these differences, we conduct a momentum-budget analysis and show that modeled turbulent fluxes are underestimated in the mesoscale boundary layer parameterization compared to the LES model. Based on the analysis of the horizontal turbulent fluxes and their potential impact on mean flow quantities, a TC-specific boundary layer parameterization may be needed.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Transcutaneous and End-Tidal CO 2 Measurements in Hypoxia and Hyperoxia

BACKGROUND: Transcutaneous measurement of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) has been proposed for physiological monitoring of tactical jet aircrew because in some clinical settings it mirrors arterial CO 2 partial pressure (P a co 2 ). End-tidal monitoring in laboratory settings is known to give high-fidelity estimates of P a co 2 . METHODS: The correspondence between end-tidal (P ET co 2 ) and transcutaneous Pco 2 (tcPco 2 ) was examined in healthy volunteers under laboratory conditions of hyperoxia and hypoxia. Rest and exercise, skin heating and cooling, hyperventilation, and induced CO 2 retention were employed. RESULTS: Neither measure followed all known changes in P a co 2 and tcPco 2 changed when the skin temperature near the probe changed. Bland-Altman analysis showed significant nonzero slopes under most conditions. Regression analysis indicated that oxygen partial pressure (Po 2 ) in tissue measured as transcutaneous Po 2 (tcPo 2 ) is an important explanatory variable for tcPco 2 in addition to P ET co 2 , and that local skin temperature also has an effect. Additionally, absorption atelectasis from breathing 100% O 2 may cause P ET co 2 to deviate from P a co 2 . DISCUSSION: Even as a trend indicator for P a co 2 , tcPco 2 is not useful under conditions that resemble those in the highly dynamic tactical jet aircraft environment. P ET co 2 is also not a good indicator of CO 2 status in pilots who breathe nearly 100% O 2 . Shykoff BE, Lee LR, Gallo M, Griswold CA. Transcutaneous and end-tidal CO 2 measurements in hypoxia and hyperoxia . Aerosp Med Hum Perform. 2021; 92(11):864–872 .

Biophysics↗

Intercomparison of airborne and surface-based measurements during the CLARIFY, ORACLES and LASIC field experiments

Data are presented from intercomparisons between two research aircraft, the FAAM BAe-146 and the NASA Lockheed P3, and between the BAe-146 and the surface-based DOE (Department of Energy) ARM (Atmospheric Radiation Monitoring) Mobile Facility at Ascension Island (8 S, 14.5W, a remote island in the mid-Atlantic). These took place from 17 August to 5 September 2017, during the African biomass burning season. The primary motivation was to give confidence in the use of data from multiple platforms with which to evaluate numerical climate models. The three platforms were involved in the CLouds-Aerosol-Radiation Interaction and Forcing for Year 2017 (CLARIFY-2017), ObseRvations of Aerosols above CLouds and their intEractionS (ORACLES), and Layered Atlantic Smoke and Interactions with Clouds (LASIC) field experiments. Comparisons from flight segments on six days where the BAe-146 flew alongside the ARM facility on Ascension Island are presented, along with comparisons from wing-tip to wing-tip flight of the P3 and BAe-146 on 18 th August 2017. The intercomparison flight sampled a relatively clean atmosphere overlying a moderately polluted boundary layer, while the 6 fly-bys of the ARM site sampled both clean and polluted conditions 2–4 km upwind. We compare and validate characterisations of aerosol physical, chemical, and optical properties, atmospheric radiation, and cloud microphysics between platforms. We assess the performance of measurement instrumentation in the field, under conditions where sampling conditions are not tightly controlled as in laboratory measurements where calibrations are performed. Solar radiation measurements compared well between airborne platforms. Optical absorption coefficient measurements compared well across all three platforms, even though absolute magnitudes were often low (< 10 Mm -1 ) and close to the sensitivity limits of measurement instrumentation thereby confounding assessments of the comparability of absorption Ångström exponent characterisations. Aerosol absorption measurements from airborne platforms were more comparable than aircraft-to-ground observations. Scattering coefficient observations compared well between airborne platforms, but agreement with ground-based measurements was worse, potentially caused by small differences in sampling conditions or actual aerosol population differences. Chemical composition measurements followed a similar pattern, with better comparisons between the airborne platforms. Thermodynamics, aerosol, and cloud microphysical properties generally compared well.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Mild hybridisation of turboprop engine with high-power-density integrated electric drives

Here this paper shares with the aerospace community a case study of turboprop mild hybridisation using a recently developed integrated drive system in the University of Nottingham, UK, within the ACHIEVE project under EU H2020 CleanSky 2 program (project No. 737814). The developed drive system enables green taxiing of a turboprop aircraft while on the ground with its engine off, and as an electrical generator when the turboprop is in the air. The entire system is designed to be able to integrate within the power auxiliary gear box (PAGB) of a turboprop aircraft. Some of the key features of the developed system include a high-speed permanent magnet machine (up to 14,200rpm) with dual three-phase design, SiC-based high power density (11.8kW/L for the power converter, 35.3kW/L and 7.2kW/kg for the machine active parts), integrated cooling design for high-temperature operation (>130°C ambient temperature), fault tolerance consideration with dual channel operation capabilities and sensorless control for entire operational conditions. This paper is giving an overview of the design process of the electrical machine, power converters, and its cooling of the entire drive. Numerical analysis (FEM and CFD) and some experimental results are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness and the desired performance of the developed integrated drive system.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Thermal Management System for an Electric Machine With Additively Manufactured Hollow Conductors With Integrated Heat Pipes

Here, this paper discusses steps taken to develop a novel thermal management system for an aircraft propulsion electric machine containing additively manufactured coils integrated with heat pipes aimed at boosting its specific power. Experimental setups are used to size and characterize heat pipes for the application and 3D thermal finite element analysis is used to determine optimum heat transfer coefficient of the convective boundaries. For some of the convective boundaries, fin-based surface area enhancement is required to reach a target combined overall heat transfer coefficient and surface area performance (UA). This enhancement is worked out using a combination of the Engineering Equation Solver tool and 3D thermal FEA. The thermal management system's UA, and by extension its specific power, sensitivity to coolant temperature is explored. Temperature distribution plots of optimized machine components are also presented and discussed. Lastly, additional heat pipe testing is carried out to study its maximum heat transfer capability's sensitivity to condenser coolant temperature and configuration.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Measurement-driven, model-based estimation of residual stress and its effects on fatigue crack growth. Part 1: Validation of an eigenstrain model

The objective of this paper is to validate a measurement-driven, model-based approach to estimate residual stress (RS) in samples machined from quenched aluminum stock. Model input is derived from measurement of RS in the parent stock. Validation is performed for prismatic T-sections removed from bars at different locations. We find RS predicted agrees with RS measured, by contour and neutron diffraction methods, with root-mean-square model-measurement difference of 22 MPa. Follow-on work (in Part 2) applies the RS estimation to samples representative of aircraft structures and examines the effects of RS on fatigue crack growth in the RS-bearing samples.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Drone Fleet Summary: NNLEMS UxS Rolodex entry for Sandia

Sandia’s UAS Aviation Operations Unit (UAOU) was established in 2019 to be the single entity at Sandia conducting UAS Ops in support the labs Uncrewed Aircraft Systems (UAS) activities. The UAOU currently consists of >330 FAA Registered UAS with a large variety of primarily Class 1&2 UAS: fixed wing (>90), multi-rotor (>230), hybrids, VTOLs, jets, and balloons. Many of these are threat vehicles presented as targets to Counter-UAS (CUAS) systems as part of performance tests, with the remainder in support of other projects across Sandia often with custom payload needs. The UAOU has ~15 primary pilots and reach back to another ~45 FAA Certified Remote Pilots across Sandia. The team conducts flight and CUAS operations at many test locations, including OCONUS. Sandia was awarded the 2024 DOE Federal Aviation Safety Program Award.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Low-Cost Aero Technology Demonstrations

The main focus of this work was to demonstrate the use of polymeric additive manufacturing (AM) to create tooling for both preforming and consolidation. Polymeric tooling was utilized where both modest and higher pressures are used for part consolidation. The key focus for the AM tooling development was for fabrication of complex structures such as ducting, C-channel stiffened skins, and airfoils where conventional male tooling would typically be trapped in the cured part. The AM tooling was evaluated for use as a tool master used to fabricate and re-shape deformable/re-formable mandrels based on SpinTech’s shape memory composite technology known as Smart Tooling. The AM tooling was also evaluated for use as a mold for composite infusion and consolidation. Key performance parameters were tracked for project schedule completion with each step comprising of “art to part” cycle time, cost, and model fidelity for dimensions, performance, and cost. The primary focus of this demonstration was to determine if a 50% cost reduction was achievable, for each AM tooling-set, as compared to conventional processes. UDRI leveraged project partner SpinTech, who manufactures tools and parts in these categories and thus provided a baseline regarding current best practices and provided valuable feedback during the entirety of this demonstration. This demonstration primarily focused on the use of AM tooling for fabrication of three composite component structures which are typically utilized in aircraft and comprise salient geometric features of broad interest. These components are often tooling intensive and have features requiring extraction of male tools which are usually trapped by the geometry. The three structures selected by the team included: 1) A one-piece airfoil shell comprised of compound contours where male tooling would be trapped unless the part were manufactured in two halves as is typically the case. 2) A one-piece duct used for air handling, comprised of compound contours where male tooling would be trapped unless the part were manufactured in two halves, or a washout mandrel were to be used. 3) A co-cured C-channel stiffened skin where typically C-channels would be individually manufactured and then bonded to a cured skin. The demonstration was comprised of three main tasks: • Task 1: AM Tool Feasibility Study – ensure the AM tooling meets the performance requirements as specified by SpinTech to match baseline performance. • Task 2: Complex Tool Demonstration – Fabricate tooling, preforms, and parts representative of an airfoil and duct. • Task 3: Large Aerostructure Fabrication Demonstration – Fabricate tooling, preforms, and part representative of a C-channel stiffened skin. With the conclusion of this project, a decision tree was developed to determine the key considerations necessary to determine if use of AM tooling for the three selected structures was able to attain the same quality as historically achieved on metallic tooling, while providing a significant cost reduction.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Electrification of Airport Shuttle Operations

Fleet owners are increasingly looking to adopt electric vehicles, however careful consideration is needed to ensure electric vehicles can perform their duty without impacting operations. This work examines a fleet of 200 Dallas-Fort Worth airport shuttle buses to estimate the opportunity for vehicle electrification. Analysis suggests unique pathways to electrification for each mode of operation, and unique benefits and challenges whether they serve employee lots, rental car lots, remote lots, or aircraft hardstand operations. These analyses include daily energy consumption, charging opportunities; emissions impacts; and charging location potential using hotspot analysis. Results highlight the most promising candidates for electrification and provide pathways for future electrification.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Negative Medium-Voltage Direct Current Discharges in Air under Simulated Sub-Atmospheric Pressures for All-Electric Aircraft

The increase in the global temperature due to greenhouse gas emissions is a major concern to the world. To achieve the goal of zero emissions by 2050 in the USA the practical realization of all-electric vehicles, particularly all-electric aircraft (AEA), is important. For the design of electrical power systems (EPSs) in all-electric aircraft, a bipolar medium-voltage direct current (MVDC) system of ±5 kV is being investigated. However, several challenges manifest when using such voltages in a low-pressure environment. One of the main challenges is the partial discharge (PD) behavior of the insulation. It is important to study the PD behavior of the insulation by simulating the aviation environment in the lab. This work aimed to study the partial discharge behavior of air under a negative DC voltage in a needle-to-plane electrode geometry by simulating the aviation pressures in the lab. The partial discharge inception voltage (PDIV) and the breakdown voltage (BDV) show an obvious pressure-dependent variation. Regression analysis was performed to better understand the relationship between the PDIV and pressures. Plots were drawn for the average discharge current at each voltage step until breakdown. This paper’s findings can provide valuable insight into the design of EPS for an AEA. To the best of our knowledge, such a study has not been carried out to date.

air discharge↗

Aluminum Ultra-conductors for Energy-Efficient Aerospace Busbar Applications (Abstract)

In this project, we will develop aluminum ultra-conductors with graphene additives demonstrating enhanced electrical conductivity at 90 °C compared to electric grade aluminum alloy AA1100 (43% IACS at 90 °C). While ultra-conductivity has been developed in copper and copper alloys, it is yet to be reported extensively in aluminum-based materials. This project will scale initial work done at PNNL on aluminum ultra-conductors using shear-assisted processing and extrusion (ShAPETM), a novel solid phase processing technique. Ultra-conductors are an emerging class of composites, comprised of a metal substrate with small quantities of nanocrystalline additives such as graphene or carbon nanotubes that demonstrate enhanced conductivity at relevant operating temperatures. Aluminum ultra-conductors can improve efficiency and power density while reducing the demand for copper in a wide range of applications, such as power transmission cables and electric motors. Busbars are an important component in aerospace systems that require lightweight and high-current power distribution including both future electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircrafts and current aircraft electrical systems. We will accelerate aluminum ultra-conductor composite formulation development using combinatorial synthesis and testing methods aided by process/microstructure modeling, developed previously at PNNL. Eaton will test the properties of the ShAPE aluminum ultra-conductor feedstock (used to make the busbars) in relevant operating conditions (20 – 90 °C), predict the improvement in busbar performance when manufactured with ultra-conductors over commercial conductors (such as AA1100), and perform technoeconomic analysis to evaluate the potential for commercialization of ShAPE aluminum ultra-conductors. The project is expected to have a budget of $\$375$K, with $\$300$K in federal funding and $\$75$K in-kind cost-share contribution from Eaton over a period of performance of 24 months. Of the $\$300$K of federal funds, $\$140$K is allocated for CRADA activities that generate intellectual property (IP), and the remaining $\$160$K is reserved for modeling, material testing, characterization, travel, and reporting-related activities.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modular In-Chamber Electron Beam Welding – Process Planning: Welding, Cladding, Inspection, and Manufacturing

Electron beam welding (EBW) is commonly employed by industry today to join relatively thin section components. Industrial sectors which utilize the technology include; automotive, aircraft, aerospace, defense, medical, oil & gas, etc. The ability to produce single pass, thick section (up to 6 inches, 150mm) welds has also been available for more than 40 years; however, the technology has not been deployed for civil nuclear manufacturing and fabrication such as reactor pressure vessels, steam generators, or pressurizers. Instead, thick section joining is performed much in the same manner it has been for decades using submerged arc or gas tungsten arc welding processes. Recent research performed under U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) project DE-NE0008629 has demonstrated that the overall welding time to produce one major reactor pressure vessel (RPV) girth weld can be reduced from weeks to less than 90 minutes, while maintaining exceptional quality and inspection characteristics. The subject project (DE-NE0008846) investigates a modular in-chamber (MIC) EBW approach which allows various RPV sections to be joined within a “modular” chamber. The MIC-EBW approach utilizes individual modules that can be stacked and de-stacked to various heights to enable production girth welds to be performed at a given elevation. This report describes the various processing methodology necessary to complete major girth weldments for the NuScale Power small modular reactor including welding development, manufacturing, production sequence, inspection, and cladding.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

An Approach to Dynamic Human Reliability Analysis and Its Data Collection Framework

Human reliability analysis (HRA) is a method for evaluating human errors in a variety of complex systems such as nuclear power plants, military systems, aircraft, and chemical plants. Most HRA methods currently used by regulatory institutes or utilities are called static HRA and are carried out by simple worksheets or simple calculators. To date, there are many unsolved or intrinsic challenges in static HRA. For example, existing static HRA does not realistically model and evaluate human actions as they would be performed at actual systems. There is no method with HRA to objectively estimate the time required for human actions despite being essential to HRA processes. In addition, many HRA methods still rely on a dataset generated prior to the 1980s, from unrelated industry experience or simply from expert judgment. Accordingly, this study attempted to research how to overcome the challenges of existing HRA via dynamic risk assessment (a.k.a., simulation-based or computation-based risk assessment) techniques. First, this study developed a dynamic HRA method, named as PRocedure-based Investigation Method of EMRALD Risk Assessment – HRA (PRIMERA-HRA). The PRIMERA-HRA mainly concentrates on providing HRA analysts with specific guidelines on how to reasonably model human actions, assign human reliability data and evaluate output of simulation within a dynamic probabilistic risk assessment tool, called as Event Modeling Risk Assessment using Linked Diagrams (EMRALD). Second, this study also developed a module for performance shaping factors (i.e., the key concept in HRA quantification) applicable to dynamic HRA, then implemented it based on PRIMERA-HRA within the EMRALD tool. Third, this study developed an HRA data collection framework to support dynamic HRA, called as Simplified Human Error Experimental Program (SHEEP). Originally, the SHEEP study aimed to support static HRA and its data collection, but recently extended the scope to the new technologies such as dynamic HRA or HRA for advanced reactors. SHEEP focuses on the use of data collected from simplified simulators to complement—but not replace—data collection studies using full-scope simulators and actual operators. To date, many experiments were conducted under the SHEEP framework. Multiple analyses, such as human performance analysis, human error analysis, task complexity analysis, learning effect analysis and time distribution analysis, were also carried out using the collected data. Then, based on the major insights, an approach to inferring full-scope data based on simplified simulator data was proposed. The PRIMERA-HRA and SHEEP research are expected to evaluate human actions more realistically than existing static HRA, provide an opportunity to collect more HRA data with reasonable cost and labor, then contribute to enhance the quality of HRA.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗