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At least 109 records · Page 6

Supercritical Reforming of Wet Ethanol for High Efficiency Direct-injection Heavy-duty Compression-ignition Engines

The purpose of the research was to investigate the potential of using a mature bio-fuel in heavy-duty compression ignition engines. By co-optimizing both the fuel characteristics and engine system the potential for a superior outcome was demonstrated. The use of wet bio-ethanol eliminates the majority of the energy intensive distilling and dehydrating fuel production processes, which moves the fuel towards carbon neutral and also lowers the fuel costs. The relatively high water content of the resulting fuel is leveraged in the proposed novel combustion system by incorporating an integrated high efficiency exhaust waste heat recovery system. This results in significantly higher thermal efficiency. In addition the combustion system features low criteria pollutant emissions and the potential to reduce the initial cost of the engine system hardware. Substantial societal benefits are demonstrated through the co-optimization of the fuel and engine system. A computational proof-of-concept study has been performed to demonstrate the potential benefits of a novel wet ethanol heavy-duty compression ignition combustion system featuring integrated exhaust waste heat recovery. A combined in-cylinder closed cycle 3D computational fluid dynamics (CFD) - 1D engine system simulation approach was used. The models were validated to baseline engine data using diesel fuel and then applied to the wet ethanol study. The original concept was to maximize exhaust waste heat recovery through supercritical reforming of the wet ethanol fuel. Phase I simulation results indicated that the optimal solution for maximum engine efficiency gains were realized through maximizing thermo-mechanical recuperation with negligible fuel reformation. The results show the potential to achieve impressive gains in brake thermal efficiency (BTE) over the base diesel engine. The potential to increase BTE up to 20.9% over the base diesel engine was demonstrated, with even larger gains possible through reduced in-cylinder heat transfer losses. The majority of the efficiency gains were realized through integrated high efficiency exhaust waste heat recovery. The concept also has the potential to achieve future ultra-low NO x emissions standards and negligible engine-out soot emissions. The mixing controlled combustion of high temperature wet ethanol features relatively low engine-out NO x emissions without the need for exhaust gas recirculation (EGR). The soot free combustion enabled by the relatively high oxygen content of ethanol also allows for the use of stoichiometric mixing controlled combustion, which is not practical with diesel fuel. When stoichiometric combustion is used a simple passive 3-way catalyst can be used for exhaust emissions after-treatment and near zero tailpipe emissions. The Phase I simulations results have defined the system layout and requirements in preparation for the Phase II experimental proof-of-concept study. The potential applications of the research include most current applications of diesel engines. The Phase I study focused on heavy-duty on-highway class 8 trucks. However, virtually any application that requires highly efficient clean power generation would benefit from the novel engine system proposed. The results indicate substantial fuel cost savings and reduced greenhouse gas emissions with similar or reduced initial system hardware costs compared to modern diesel engine systems.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

InSAR Monitoring to Evaluate Surface Changes with CO 2 Storage in a Depleted Oil Field in Northern Michigan (Volume II.E)

The Midwest Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership (MRCSP) was founded in 2003 as part of the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership initiative. Since its founding, MRCSP has made significant strides toward making CCUS a viable option for states in the region. The public/private consortium, funded through the DOE Regional Carbon Sequestration Initiative, brings together nearly 40 industry partners and 10 states. Battelle, as the project lead, oversees research, development and operations and coordinates activities among the partners. The incremental, phased approach has built a valuable knowledge base for the industry and paved the way for commercial-scale adoption of CCUS technologies. From 2008 to 2020, MRCSP Phase III focused on the development of large-scale injection projects. This report is part of a series of reports prepared under the Midwestern Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership (MRCSP) Phase III (Development Phase). These reports summarize and detail the findings of the work conducted under the Phase III project. This report describes the effort under MRCP to evaluate the potential use of Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) for monitoring the outcome of injected CO 2 at the Dover 33 reef near Gaylord, Michigan. InSAR is a satellite-based technology that provides high-precision information on the movement of ground surface in areas with high radar coherence (e.g., roads, buildings, bare soils). Depending on the setting, this technique may provide a useful tool for characterizing reservoirs by measuring surface deformations from activities such as brine water disposal; production of water, oil, and/or gas; and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Influence of surface chemistry on Li nucleation energetics on graphene-based surfaces

Lithium metal is a promising high-capacity anode material for solid-state batteries, but it typically suffers from poor cyclability. Carbon scaffold hosts have the potential to improve this performance due to their high electronic conductivity and large surface area, which facilitates lithium-ion adsorption and desorption. Scaffold surface chemistry is known to significantly influence performance outcomes, but the details of these interactions are not fully understood. Here, this study employs first-principles simulations to explore lithium transport and nucleation on graphene anodes with various surface chemistries. Using enhanced sampling techniques, ab initio molecular dynamics, and density functional theory calculations, we find that although surface chemistry has a minimal impact on lithium interfacial transport, it influences surface nucleation significantly. Both heteroatom dopants and intrinsic defects lower the nucleation barrier, creating a more favorable environment for lithium nucleation compared to pristine graphene. In addition, our results reveal a complex interplay between surface lithium concentration, lithium transport, and nucleation kinetics. These findings highlight the potential of surface modifications to precisely control nucleation processes on carbon-based anodes and provide design guidance for reducing dendrite formation and improving the cycle life of solid-state batteries.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A bioenergy-focused versus a reforestation-focused mitigation pathway yields disparate carbon storage and climate responses

Limiting global warming to 2 °C requires urgent action on land-based mitigation. This study evaluates the biogeochemical and biogeophysical implications of two alternative land-based mitigation scenarios that aim to achieve the same radiative forcing. One scenario is primarily driven by bioenergy expansion (SSP226Lu-BIOCROP), while the other involves re/afforestation (SSP126Lu-REFOREST). We find that overall, SSP126Lu-REFOREST is a more efficient strategy for removing CO2 from the atmosphere by 2100, resulting in a net carbon sink of 242 ~ 483 PgC with smaller uncertainties compared to SSP226Lu-BIOCROP, which exhibits a wider range of -78 ~ 621 PgC. However, SSP126Lu-REFOREST leads to a relatively warmer planetary climate than SSP226Lu-BIOCROP, and this relative warming can be intensified in certain re/afforested regions where local climates are not favorable for tree growth. Despite the cooling effect on a global scale, SSP226Lu-BIOCROP reshuffles regional warming hotspots, amplifying summer temperatures in vulnerable tropical regions such as Central Africa and Southeast Asia. Our findings highlight the need for strategic land use planning to identify suitable regions for re/afforestation and bioenergy expansion, thereby improving the likelihood of achieving the intended climate mitigation outcomes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Architects, Engineers, and Contractors - Key to Moving Towards a Zero Carbon Future: Preprint

Many building owners have set energy or carbon goals often citing targets of carbon neutrality in the next 10 to 30 years. Ultimately, these goals need to be translated into actions related to new and existing construction. Designers and contractors are key to designing solutions that meet the energy and carbon goals. As a voluntary program, the Design and Construction Allies (Allies program) was formed to identify barriers for the adoption of zero energy and zero carbon buildings (ZEZC). The goal was to understand why "all" buildings are not designed with ZEZC in mind. Currently the Allies program consists of 25 leading architecture, engineering, and construction firms that are seeking to take actionable steps to deliver buildings with the ZEZC goal. In the first year, the Allies have found numerous barriers and have implemented working groups to address key challenges that can be solved readily Allies. The paper will document program formulation and engagement strategies as well as the identified barriers and related recommendations for the design and construction community to shift towards ZEZC as a normal design and construction outcome. Two major topics rose to the top that the working groups were created to address: (1) providing guidance and knowledge to clients such that they will be active in creating ZEZC, and (2) bringing together knowledge around embodied carbon such that action can be taken to reduce this carbon emission area. Each working group has refined the barriers and created solutions that have been tested by Ally members. This rapid identification of barriers and subsequent creation of deployable solutions shows rapid change can happen.

design allies↗

Integrating an Industrial Source and Commercial Algae Farm with Innovative CO 2 Transfer Membrane and Improved Strain Technologies

This report describes the overall findings of the research project “Integrating an Industrial Source and Commercial Algae Farm with Innovative CO 2 Transfer Membrane and Improved Strain Technologies”. The motivation and goal for this project were to increase the carbon utilization efficiency (CUE) and areal productivity for algal cultivations, thereby reducing CO 2 costs to cultivation operations and improving economics. This was achieved through a combination of enhanced delivery of inorganic carbon and improved strains of Nannochloropsis oceanica capable of higher rates of bicarbonate uptake and metabolism. The project succeeded in these goals. First, a bubble-free, membrane-based technology was developed for delivering CO 2 to cultivations, which increased the CUE from the 15-20% that is standard in the industry to more than 65%. In addition, N. oceanica was modified to express a bicarbonate transporter protein, BicA, which enabled the cells to grow more quickly. In addition, advances were made in the protein engineering of carbonic anhydrase (CA) for enhanced stability and catalytic performance, the computational fluid dynamics modeling of algal cultivation systems, and in the life-cycle assessment and technoeconomic analysis of algal production. Together, these outcomes contribute to advancing algal cultivation as an economically viable platform for production of fuels, materials, and other chemical products. The project results aid in addressing the dual challenges of reducing atmospheric CO 2 levels and achieving green energy solutions.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

A probabilistic economic and environmental impact assessment of a cyanobacteria-based biorefinery

Microbial based biofuels represent a potential promising solution as an environmentally favorable transportation fuel. Cyanobacteria have many of the same advantages as microalgae: ability for rapid growth in otherwise non-arable regions, suitability for genetic engineering, and simple nutritional needs. Additionally, cyanobacteria can be engineered to secrete valuable co-products that can be harvested independent from the produced biomass. However, little work has been done to identify the processes and the economic and environmental impacts associated with a large-scale cyanobacteria-to-fuels facility. The present study is a concurrent techno-economic and life cycle assessment of a facility that generates fuels and methyl laurate, an oleochemical, from the cyanobacterial species Synechocystis sp. PCC 6803. Here, the biorefinery model includes all aspects of cultivation, separation of the secreted methyl laurate, biomass harvesting and fuel processing via hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL) of the dewatered biomass. The assessments leverage Monte Carlo analysis (MCA) to address uncertainty and variability inherent in the most significant input parameters, replacing them with probabilistic functions. For the facility configuration producing both fuels and the oleochemical co-product, the MCA average minimum fuel selling price (MFSP) is $\$2.47$ per decimeter (dm 3 ) or $\$9.34$ per gallon of gasoline equivalent (gge) with the corresponding average global warming potential determined to be 118 g CO 2 -eq-MJ -1 . The case producing only fuels results in an MCA average MFSP of $\$2.01$-(dm 3 ) -1 ($\$7.60$-gge -1 ) and an average environmental impact of 100 g CO 2 -eq-MJ -1 . These results are compared to static optimistic and conservative scenario analysis estimates, illustrating the over- and under-estimation of outcomes associated with non-stochastic methods. Suggested facility improvements include increases in pond productivity of both the biomass and methyl laurate oil production, as well as improvements to carbon utilization and bio-crude yield from HTL processing.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

A Novel Platform for Algal Biomass Production Using Cellulosic Mixotrophy (CeMix) (Final Technical Report)

This novel project, branded CeMIX for cellulosic mixotrophy, targets solutions for several technological barriers limiting the deployment of algae cultivation in sunny, arid regions (specifically the southwest United States). Opening up the region for algae cultivation could increase DOE’s resource assessments and biofuel potential for the U.S. Mixotrophic metabolism in support of liquid fuel production is completely dependent on the availability of waste organic carbon in order to avoid diversion of food resources for fuel production. The use of cellulosic sugar hydrolysate (CSH) produced via the NREL process provided a standardized carbon source for study of the underlying biochemistry and metabolic adjustments to mixotrophy. Mixotrophic metabolism uses both photosynthetic CO 2 fixation and sugar oxidation to improve biomass productivity and harvest yield. The project was high-risk, high-reward in the sense that adding organic carbon to algal cultivation is an invitation for rapid-growth, heterotrophic contaminants to overtake the culture and consume mineral nutrients needed for algal growth. To help evade this outcome the project focused on acidophilic red algae that require low pH conditions with 40-48°C optimal temperature profiles that define them as low-range thermophiles. This is the only project in the BETO portfolio to utilize extreme conditions of low pH and high operating temperatures to control pathogens and competitors in mass culture. The project yielded five major outcomes. 1) Harvest densities of 5-10 g ash-free dry weight are easily achieved, providing a 10-fold reduction in water required and dewatering demand. 2) Catabolic repression of photosynthesis in G. sulphuraria is conditionally repressed by low oxygen. 3) Mixotrophic growth on cellulosic hydrolysate consumes all C6 and C5 sugars concomitant with increases in floridean starch with little change in lipid content. Protein content can be manipulated between 35 and 54 wt% by varying the C:N molar ratio from 10:1 to 20:1, respectively. 4) Mixotrophic cultures with up to 50 mM total sugar are remarkably stable at pH 2.5 and daily average reactor temperatures of 40°C. 5) Capital costs for glass tubular photobioreactors are prohibitive for liquid fuel production using a hydrothermal liquefaction processing pathway. The economic outlook for covered raceway ponds is better with a project minimum fuel selling price at $3.32 dm 3 GE -1 .

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Bio-Based Phase Change Materials (PCMs) for Thermal Energy Storage (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

The goal of this project is to develop a novel bio-based phase change material (PCM) derived from squid ring teeth (SRT) proteins, and design a prototype heat exchanger based on these bio-based PCMs for energy storage and dynamic heat exchange for building thermal energy storage systems. The PCMs, derived from SRT proteins, will demonstrate room temperature energy storage capacities and switchable thermal conductivities that redefine the current state-of-the-art (SOA) for building thermal energy storage. Further, in a single material and with a single manufacturing processes, our proposed thermal battery will be developed with “on demand” thermal conductivity for rapid charging/discharging but superior insulation during energy storage periods. More specifically, our bio-based PCMs have demonstrated: 1) the potential for increased energy storage capacity (i.e., greater than paraffines at room temperature); 2) tunability in thermal conductivity with the largest thermal conductivity switching ratios for an intrinsic material reported to date, and 3) a 100% recyclable and biodegradable PCM with low volatility and toxicity and scalability in its manufacture for both residential and commercial applications. The already established ability for roll-to-roll processing of these non-toxic, non-flammable SRT composites along with their carbon-neutral manufacturing processes that has been pioneered by our team make this solution a disruptive and impactful technology to redefine the current SOA of energy storage technologies. The outcomes of this effort have been: 1) the identification of new bio-based PCM that establishes a new SOA for thermal conductivity and energy storage density at room temperature and 2) the development of a new experimental technique to measure the energy storage density via latent heat measurements during melting of thin films. This new technique can be applied to thin films (as thin as < 1 micrometer), and represents a novel approach for thin film energy storage density measurements. Dynamic thermal energy storage is the missing technology that will enable a grid- interactive efficient building (GEB). For a “smart” building capable of connecting with the power grid, the media must be inexpensive and possess thermal switching capabilities to control the time-dependent heat flow into (and out of) the PCM on demand. Unique to the material system in this program, programmable SRT-based PCM show improvements as compared to traditionally used PCMs, and thus its technical performance will represent a leap forward for the future GEB concept.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Grid Energy Storage: Supply Chain Deep Dive Assessment

The report “America’s Strategy to Secure the Supply Chain for a Robust Clean Energy Transition” lays out the challenges and opportunities faced by the United States in the energy supply chain as well as the Federal Government plans to address these challenges and opportunities. It is accompanied by several issue-specific deep dive assessments, including this one, in response to Executive Order 14017 “America’s Supply Chains,” which directs the Secretary of Energy to submit a report on supply chains for the energy sector industrial base. The Executive Order is helping the Federal Government to build more secure and diverse U.S. supply chains, including energy supply chains. To combat the climate crisis and avoid the most severe impacts of climate change, the U.S. is committed to achieving a 50 to 52 percent reduction from 2005 levels in economy-wide net greenhouse gas pollution by 2030, creating a carbon pollution-free power sector by 2035, and achieving net zero emissions economy-wide by no later than 2050. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) recognizes that a secure, resilient supply chain will be critical in harnessing emissions outcomes and capturing the economic opportunity inherent in the energy sector transition. Potential vulnerabilities and risks to the energy sector industrial base must be addressed throughout every stage of this transition. The DOE energy supply chain strategy report summarizes the key elements of the energy supply chain as well as the strategies the U.S. Government is starting to employ to address them. Additionally, it describes recommendations for Congressional action. DOE has identified technologies and crosscutting topics for analysis in the one-year time frame set by the Executive Order. Along with the capstone policy report, DOE is releasing 11 deep dive assessment documents, including this one, covering the following technology sectors: carbon capture materials; electric grid including transformers and high voltage direct current (HVDC); energy storage; fuel cells and electrolyzers; hydropower including pumped storage hydropower (PSH); neodymium magnets; nuclear energy; platinum group metals and other catalysts; semiconductors; solar photovoltaics (PV); and wind. DOE is also releasing two deep dive assessments on the following crosscutting topics: Commercialization and competitiveness; and cybersecurity and digital components. More information can be found at www.energy.gov/policy/supplychains.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Cambered Bipyridyl Ligand with Extended Aryl System Enables Electrochemical Reduction of Carbon Dioxide and Bicarbonate by Mn(bpy)(CO) 3 Br-type Catalyst Immobilized on Carbon Nanotubes

Heterogeneous materials containing molecular catalytic sites show promise for electrocatalytic reduction of CO 2 to energy-enriched carbon products. Interactions between the catalyst and the heterogeneous support increasingly are recognized as important in governing product selectivity and rate. Recent work on Mn(R-bpy)(CO) 3 Br type catalysts immobilized on multiwalled carbon nanotubes (MWCNT) demonstrated control of electrocatalytic behavior with steric modification of the molecular catalyst. Phenyl groups installed in the 4,4' positions of the bipyridine ligand (ph-bpy) maximized performance through π–π interactions with the MWCNT support. Herein we report the outcome of extending the ligand π system with Mn(nap-bpy)(CO) 3 Br (nap-bpy = 4,4'-di(naphthalen-1-yl)-2,2'-bipyridine) and Mn(pyr-bpy)(CO) 3 Br (pyr-bpy = 4,4'-di(pyren-1-yl)-2,2'-bipyridine) immobilized on MWCNT. We demonstrate exceptional electrocatalysis with Mn(nap-bpy)(CO) 3 Br/MWCNT (FE CO > 92%; J CO = 16.5 mA/cm 2 ) and find that this catalyst electrochemically reduces bicarbonate in the absence of deliberately added CO 2 at a remarkable overall selectivity of >80% for carbon products (FE HCOO – = 52% and FE CO = 29%). We show diminishing returns to simply adding aromatic character to the bipyridyl ligand with Mn(pyr-bpy)(CO) 3 Br/MWCNT and observe a unique cambering of the Mn(nap-bpy)(CO) 3 Br bipyridyl ligand that we believe enables selective catalysis. Mechanistic studies were carried out on Mn(nap-bpy)(CO) 3 Br/MWCNT using a novel thin-film infrared spectroelectrochemical (IR-SEC) technique. These experiments observe the immobilized Mn(nap-bpy)(CO) 3 Br undergo single electron reduction to a Mn-centered radical that binds CO 2 in a reduction-coupled process.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

High-Temperature Ceramic-Carbonate Dual-Phase Membrane Reactor for Pre-combustion Carbon Dioxide Capture (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

Arizona State University, in collaboration with University of South Carolina, worked on a project aimed at development of a new high temperature, high pressure CO 2 perm-selective membrane reactor for water-gas-shift reaction (WGS) with simulated gasifier syngas to produce a high concentration H 2 stream with CO 2 capture. The membrane reactor is made of a CO 2 semi-permeable ceramic-carbonate dual-phase (CCDP) membrane with high CO 2 perm-selectivity/permeance and thermal/mechanical stability for application in WGS reaction. The objectives of this project were to (1) synthesize the chemically/thermally stable tubular CCDP membranes with CO 2 permeance and selectivity (with respect to H 2 , CO or H 2 O) larger than 6.5×10-7 mol/m2·s·Pa and 500, respectively; (2) establish CCDP membrane reactor setup and study high pressure CO 2 permeation and WGS reaction with CO 2 capture using the setup; and (3) identify conditions for WGS in the CCDP membrane reactor that produce CO 2 and H 2 streams with purity of >99% and >90% respectively at CO conversion >95% and overall carbon capture >90%. The work in this project included both membrane development and membrane reactor process study. The membrane development efforts were focused on investigating a H 2 S resistant and highly oxygen-ionic conducting metal oxide material and membrane for CO 2 separation, fabrication of tubular samaria-doped-ceria/molten-carbonate CCDP membrane with high mechanical strength, and experimental and modeling study of high-pressure CO 2 permeation of the CCDP membranes. Mathematical models were developed to describe WGS in the CCDP membrane reactor without a catalyst or packed with a commercial high temperature WGS catalyst. Experiments on WGS in the CCDP membrane reactor with the commercial WGS catalyst, guided by the model analysis, were performed to identify optimum conditions for achieving the CO conversion, carbon capture, and the purity of the H 2 and CO 2 streams mentioned above. At 30 atm feed pressure, 750°C operation temperature, space velocity of 250 h-1, and with steam sweep, a single-stage CCDP membrane reactor with average CO 2 permeation flux of 0.5 cm3(STP)/min.cm2 can achieve CO 2 conversion of 95% and overall carbon capture of 94%, and produce CO 2 and H 2 streams with dry-based purity of >99% and 92% respectively. The project also included process design and techno-economic analysis (TEA) for a CCDP membrane reactor process for WGS reaction with CO 2 capture for a 550 MW coal-fired IGCC power plant, and its comparison with the conventional fixed-bed reactor system for WGS with follow-up CO 2 capture by an amine absorption process. The target performance for the reactor for WGS with CO 2 capture includes CO conversion >95%, hydrogen stream purity >90%, CO 2 stream purity >95%, and total carbon capture >90%. The CCDP membrane developed in this project can achieve the performance target, without subsequent CO 2 capture process at the optimum conditions identified in this project. The outcome of the process design and TEA analysis shows that the membrane reactor for WGS with in-situ CO 2 capture has an operating cost about 40% lower than that for the conventional fixed-bed reactor with a separate amine absorption process for CO 2 capture. However, the capital cost of the membrane reactor process is about twice that of the conventional process because of the higher cost of the CCDP membrane. Modeling analysis shows that a membrane reactor using a CCDP membrane with higher CO 2 permeance (about three times the current value) can deliver the targeted performance for WGS reaction with CO 2 capture at a much higher space velocity and lower membrane surface area to catalyst volume ratio, leading to a smaller catalyst amount and/or membrane area and hence significantly reduced membrane reactor capital costs.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Aniak Energy Efficiency Retrofit Project

The Native Village of Aniak (NVA) is a remote Yup’ik community in western Alaska. NVA is proposing to install energy efficiency measures in the Tribal Office, Community Center, Association of Village Council Presidents (AVCP) Office, and Duplex. The goal of the project is to reduce the overall energy use of the NVA by implementing energy efficiency measures in four high-use tribal buildings. This project expects to have the following outcomes: projected annual energy savings of approximately $24,238; projected annual reduction in fuel oil of roughly 1,802 gallons and electricity of around 24,537 kWh; and annual reduction in carbon dioxide emissions of approximately 84,594 pounds/year.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Deep learning model for fast, science-based forecasting of fluid migration along faults in geologic carbon storage scenarios

Effective long-term geologic storage depends on robust site selection and credible, science-based forecasting of subsurface behavior to ensure storage integrity. For this work, we develop a deep learning–based reduced-order model (ROM) to quantify potential carbon dioxide (CO₂) and brine migration through geological faults. The ROM combines a Transformer model for binary classification and a Stacked Ensemble for regression, trained on a comprehensive dataset generated from 1400 physics-based reservoir simulations. Key geologic and operational parameters—including fault geometry, reservoir structure, and injection conditions—were systematically varied to capture a wide range of fluid migration scenarios. The ROM accurately predicts the onset of migration, cumulative migration volumes of both CO₂ and brine, and associated migration rates, as compared to an independent set of validation simulations, while significantly reducing computational cost compared to traditional simulation methods. Model performance was evaluated across diverse fault configurations, revealing that shallow reservoir geometry and fault angle are among the most influential factors governing migration behavior. Sensitivity analysis using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) provided interpretability, revealing distinct patterns in how geological and operational features drive transient versus cumulative migration outcomes. The ROM’s ability to rapidly simulate fault migration scenarios enables efficient sensitivity analyses, scenario evaluations, and decision support for site selection and monitoring design. This approach enhances the safety, scalability, and long-term operational performance of geologic carbon storage (GCS) systems by providing a robust, interpretable tool for predicting subsurface fluid migration and assessing fault-related migration potential.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Promoting Domestic and International Consensus - Program Area 1: Carbon Capture & Storage & Clean Energy Systems

This is the Final Report for the U.S. Department of Energy Cooperative Agreement DE-FE-0024159, Promoting Domestic and International Consensus on Fossil Energy Technologies: Carbon Capture and Storage and Clean Energy Systems carried out by the United States Energy Association. It is a compendium of each quarterly report submitted over the 7-year period of the agreement accounting for all accomplishments, including major activities, significant results, major findings or conclusions, key outcomes or other achievements. Changes in approach or aims, and reasons for those changes, are included as well as any problems or delays and actions taken and planned to resolve them. It also summarizes budget statuses and any changes in key personnel throughout the life of the agreement. Originally planned for 5 years, the agreement was extended twice through back-to-back no-cost extensions, one to enable full completion of tasks critical to the program’s success and the other due to the Covid-19 Pandemic. The goals of the program were to provide increased knowledge regarding Carbon, Capture, and Storage (CCS) and Clean Energy Systems (CES) to Industry and Government decision makers, technology developers, educators, policymakers, environmental and other stakeholders, and the public by sharing research, technologies, and best practices with domestic and international partners. Increasing such knowledge was key to the other goals of the program of building of a broad consensus among domestic and international decision makers, stakeholders, and the public to take action to support and implement CCS and CES technologies and systems to ensure clean, secure, and affordable energy while enhancing environmental protection. The program accomplished these goals through a series of activities including hosting of conferences and workshops, in-person briefings, virtual webinars, reports and white papers, and keeping stakeholders informed of industry happenings through email distribution lists. It is the belief of the authors of this report, that these activities can be considered to have been successful in their goals.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Understanding the impacts of elevated CO2 and vapor pressure deficit on tree mortality - CRADA 599 (Abstract)

Many studies have examined the effects of rising CO2 on gas exchange and growth of plants. However, concurrent with the rise in CO2 has been the rise in temperature and associated drying of the atmosphere, or vapor pressure deficit (VPD), which increases tree mortality. Little attention has been given to the net outcome of these antagonistic drivers of plant performance. The net balance of rising CO2 and VPD upon plant and ecosystem function is possibly the largest uncertainty in model projections of the terrestrial carbon and water cycles. The purpose of this CRADA is to improve our predictive understanding of tree mortality under our changing environment. We will collaborate with WSU to provide a mechanistic understanding of the relative impacts of CO2 and VPD on tree mortality that scales across the globe. Ultimately, we will understand the potential impacts and mechanisms underlying CO2 and VPD responses and will enable improved prediction of future tree mortality.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The GREEN ‘omics of Nutrient Feedbacks to Soil Warming

The GREEN ‘omics of Nutrient Feedbacks in Soil project advanced the DOE Biological and Environmental Research (BER) mission by developing and applying isotope-enabled ’omics tools to understand how soil microbes regulate carbon and nutrient cycling. Guided by the Growth Rate, growth Efficiency, and stoichiometry of Essential Nutrients (GREEN ’omics) framework, the project aimed to build a predictive, systems-level understanding of microbial traits that control ecosystem biogeochemistry. In a collaboration among Northern Arizona University (lead), West Virginia University, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, we combined quantitative stable isotope probing (qSIP), Chip-SIP, NanoSIMS, and genome-resolved metagenomics across long-term experiments in Arctic, boreal, temperate, and tropical ecosystems. The project produced three key outcomes: 1) We showed that community-weighted temperature sensitivities of bacterial growth (Q10) can predict ecosystem-scale soil respiration responses across diverse soils. 2) We provided the first in situ evidence for density-dependent population dynamics in soil bacteria and demonstrated that nutrient additions intensify competition, concentrating carbon use into fewer taxa. 3) We improved and extended isotope-enabled ’omics methods by quantifying qSIP measurement error to guide experimental design and coupling SIP with genome-resolved metagenomics to reveal cross-kingdom interactions among bacteria, fungi, and viruses. Together, these results show that a small number of microbial traits and taxa exert disproportionate control over soil carbon and nutrient cycling, providing critical data and methods to improve representation of microbial processes in Earth system models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Bioenergy Technologies in Long-Run Climate Change Mitigation: Results from the EMF-33 Study

Bioenergy is expected to play an important role in long-run climate change mitigation strategies as highlighted by many integrated assessment model (IAM) scenarios. These scenarios, however, also show a very wide range of results, with uncertainty about bioenergy conversion technology deployment and biomass feedstock supply. To date, the underlying differences in model assumptions and parameters for the range of results have not been conveyed. Here we explore the models and results of the 33rd study of the Stanford Energy Modeling Forum to elucidate and explore bioenergy technology specifications and constraints that underlie projected bioenergy outcomes. We first develop and report consistent bioenergy technology characterizations and modeling details. We evaluate the bioenergy technology specifications through a series of analyses—comparison with the literature, model intercomparison, and an assessment of bioenergy technology projected deployments. We find that bioenergy technology coverage and characterization varies substantially across models, spanning different conversion routes, carbon capture and storage opportunities, and technology deployment constraints. Still, the range of technology specification assumptions is largely in line with bottom-up engineering estimates. We then find that variation in bioenergy deployment across models cannot be understood from technology costs alone. Important additional determinants include biomass feedstock costs, the availability and costs of alternative mitigation options in and across end-uses, the availability of carbon dioxide removal possibilities, the speed with which large scale changes in the makeup of energy conversion facilities and integration can take place, and the relative demand for different energy services.

bioenergy↗