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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 109 records · Page 6

Projected income data under different shared socioeconomic pathways for Washington state

Abstract High-resolution income projections under different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) are essential for the climate change research communities to devise climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. To generate income projections for Washington state, we obtain state-level GDP per capita projections and convert them into projected annual household income. The resulting state-level income projections are subsequently downscaled to the census block-level based on the Longitudinal Origin-Destination Employment Statistics (LODES) dataset. For accuracy assessment, we downscale historical income data from state- level to block- and block group-level and compare the downscaled results against the actual income data from LODES. County-level accuracy assessment is also conducted based on American Community Survey. The results demonstrate a good agreement (Average R 2 of 0.67, 0.8, and 0.99 for block-, block group-, and county-level, respectively) between the downscaled income data and the reference data, thereby validating the methodology employed. Our approach is applicable to other states for income projections, which can be utilized by a broader audience, including those involved in demographic analysis, economic research, and urban planning.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

input4MIPs.CMIP7.FZJ.FZJ-CMIP-ozone-1-2

CMIP7 Forcing Datasets (input4MIPs). This dataset FZJ-CMIP-ozone-1-2 is part of input4MIPs under dataset_category: "['ozone']". More information about the dataset can be found at the following links: https://input4mips-cvs.readthedocs.io/en/latest/dataset-overviews/ozone https://input4mips-controlled-vocabularies-cvs.readthedocs.io/en/stable/database-views/input4MIPs_source-id_CMIP7.html https://input4mips-controlled-vocabularies-cvs.readthedocs.io/en/stable/dataset-overviews/ The dataset is available at: https://esgf-node.ornl.gov/search/input4mips/?mip_era=CMIP7&activity_id=input4MIPs&institution_id=FZJ&source_id=FZJ-CMIP-ozone-1-2

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Earth's Energy Imbalance More Than Doubled in Recent Decades

Abstract Global warming results from anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions which upset the delicate balance between the incoming sunlight, and the reflected and emitted radiation from Earth. The imbalance leads to energy accumulation in the atmosphere, oceans and land, and melting of the cryosphere, resulting in increasing temperatures, rising sea levels, and more extreme weather around the globe. Despite the fundamental role of the energy imbalance in regulating the climate system, as known to humanity for more than two centuries, our capacity to observe it is rapidly deteriorating as satellites are being decommissioned.

Mauritsen, Thorsten [Department of Meteorology and↗

Observationally constrained analysis on the distribution of fine- and coarse-mode nitrate in global models

Nitrate plays an important role in the Earth system and air quality. A key challenge in simulating the life cycle of nitrate aerosol in global models is to accurately represent mass size distribution of nitrate aerosol. In this study, we evaluate the performance of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 2 (E3SMv2) and the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2), along with Aerosol Comparisons between Observations and Models (AeroCom) phase III models, in simulating spatial distribution of fine-mode nitrate, the mass size distribution of fine- and coarse-mode nitrate, and the gas–aerosol partitioning between nitric acid gas and nitrate, using long-term ground-based observations and measurements from multiple aircraft campaigns. We find that most models underestimate the annual mean PM 2.5 (particulate matter with diameter less than 2.5 µm) nitrate surface concentration averaged over all sites. The observed nitrate PM 2.5 / PM 10 and PM 1 / PM 4 ratios are influenced by the relative contribution of fine sulfate or organic particles and coarse dust or sea salt particles. Overall, the ground-based observations give an annual mean surface nitrate PM 2.5 / PM 10 ratio of 0.7. Most models underestimate the annual mean PM 2.5 / PM 10 ratio in all regions. There are large spreads in the modeled nitrate PM 1 / PM 4 ratios, which span the full range from 0 to 1. Most models underestimate the surface molar ratio of nitrate to total inorganic nitrate averaged across all sites. Our study indicates the importance of gas–aerosol partition parameterization and the simulation of dust and sea salt in correctly simulating the mass size distribution of nitrate.

Nitrate↗

AmeriFlux CA-Mtk Mittimatalik (Pond Inlet) Tundra

This is the AmeriFlux version of the carbon flux data for the site CA-Mtk Mittimatalik (Pond Inlet) Tundra. Site Description - Mesic to dry tundra with dwarf shrubs, grasses, forbs, and moss vegitation. Thin organic soil layer of 10 cm with sandy soils.

Arndt, Kyle [Woodwell Climate Research Center]↗

AmeriFlux CA-RSB Resolute Bay Polar Desert

This is the AmeriFlux version of the carbon flux data for the site CA-RSB Resolute Bay Polar Desert. Site Description - Polar desert on a gentle slope. Sparse grases and forbs in lower lying areas between microtopography in ice wedge polygon formations.

Arndt, Kyle [Woodwell Climate Research Center]↗

AmeriFlux US-CAK Council Alaska Tundra

This is the AmeriFlux version of the carbon flux data for the site US-CAK Council Alaska Tundra. Site Description - Subarctic tussock tundra, discontinuous permafrost

Arndt, Kyle [Woodwell Climate Research Center]↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F CA-Mtk Mittimatalik (Pond Inlet) Tundra

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site CA-Mtk Mittimatalik (Pond Inlet) Tundra. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site CA-Mtk Mittimatalik (Pond Inlet) Tundra produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - Mesic to dry tundra with dwarf shrubs, grasses, forbs, and moss vegitation. Thin organic soil layer of 10 cm with sandy soils.

Arndt, Kyle [Woodwell Climate Research Center]↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-CAK Council Alaska Tundra

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-CAK Council Alaska Tundra. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-CAK Council Alaska Tundra produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - Subarctic tussock tundra, discontinuous permafrost

Arndt, Kyle [Woodwell Climate Research Center]↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F CA-CF3 Churchill Fen Site 3

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site CA-CF3 Churchill Fen Site 3. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site CA-CF3 Churchill Fen Site 3 produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - Fen site dominated by sedges. Flat, high water table. Frozen for long periods each year. Close to Arctic Ocean coast so affected by land/sea breezes and coastal weather.

Arndt, Kyle [Woodwell Climate Research Center]↗

PV CAMPER (Progress Report)

The objective of the Photovoltaic Collaborative to Advance Multi-climate and Performance Research (PVCAMPER) is to create a multi-climate research platform similar to the US DOE Regional Test Center (RTC) program. Overall, the goal is to foster collaborative research and to build an international organization dedicated to sharing data and exchanging best practices related to PV performance.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

PV CAMPER Annual Report 30 December 2020

The objective of the Photovoltaic Collaborative to Advance Multi-climate and Performance Research (PVCAMPER) is to: 1) Build and maintain a multi-climate research platform to enable pioneering photovoltaic research; 2) Validate the performance of emerging technologies in specific climates; 3) Help accelerate the world’s transition to a solar-intensive economy. Our focus in achieving those goals is to foster collaborative research and to build an international organization dedicated to improving data quality, minimizing measurement uncertainty and exchanging best practices related to PV performance.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Evaluation of daily gridded climate products using in situ FLUXNET data and tree growth modeling

Gridded climate data products have facilitated research in climate and ecology by providing meteorological data continuously across large spatial scales. However, the sensitivity of scientific outcomes to dataset choice remains poorly understood, and evaluation using station-based records can favor datasets built heavily on weather stations. Here, we evaluate seven high-resolution daily gridded datasets covering the contiguous United States using independent meteorology from the FLUXNET2015 dataset, with a focus on the implications of dataset choice for process-based tree growth modeling. We find that gridded products tend to capture temperature accurately while consistently overestimating the magnitude and frequency of precipitation and its extremes. Moreover, datasets vary in how they define a ‘day,’ which significantly affects temporal alignment with FLUXNET2015 observations. Despite differences among the datasets, the interannual variability in tree ring simulations is insensitive to dataset choice, likely because daily-scale biases are averaged out through accumulated growth across several months. However, inaccuracies in temperature and precipitation can significantly bias modeled xylem cell production, with systematically higher annual precipitation in the gridded datasets leading to greater xylem production compared to simulations using in situ data. Our results suggest that model applications, especially those that integrate to time scales longer than one day, are likely insensitive to climate dataset choice, but applications that are sensitive to daily climate variations or to absolute climate values need to carefully consider biases in gridded climate products.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Potential ecological impacts of climate intervention by reflecting sunlight to cool Earth

As the effects of anthropogenic climate change become more severe, several approaches for deliberate climate intervention to reduce or stabilize Earth’s surface temperature have been proposed. Solar radiation modification (SRM) is one potential approach to partially counteract anthropogenic warming by reflecting a small proportion of the incoming solar radiation to increase Earth’s albedo. While climate science research has focused on the predicted climate effects of SRM, almost no studies have investigated the impacts that SRM would have on ecological systems. The impacts and risks posed by SRM would vary by implementation scenario, anthropogenic climate effects, geographic region, and by ecosystem, community, population, and organism. Complex interactions among Earth’s climate system and living systems would further affect SRM impacts and risks. We focus here on stratospheric aerosol intervention (SAI), a well-studied and relatively feasible SRM scheme that is likely to have a large impact on Earth’s surface temperature. We outline current gaps in knowledge about both helpful and harmful predicted effects of SAI on ecological systems. Desired ecological outcomes might also inform development of future SAI implementation scenarios. In addition to filling these knowledge gaps, increased collaboration between ecologists and climate scientists would identify a common set of SAI research goals and improve the communication about potential SAI impacts and risks with the public. Without this collaboration, forecasts of SAI impacts will overlook potential effects on biodiversity and ecosystem services for humanity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Ice‐Nucleating Particles That Impact Clouds and Climate: Observational and Modeling Research Needs

Abstract Atmospheric ice‐nucleating particles (INPs) play a critical role in cloud freezing processes, with important implications for precipitation formation and cloud radiative properties, and thus for weather and climate. Additionally, INP emissions respond to changes in the Earth System and climate, for example, desertification, agricultural practices, and fires, and therefore may introduce climate feedbacks that are still poorly understood. As knowledge of the nature and origins of INPs has advanced, regional and global weather, climate, and Earth system models have increasingly begun to link cloud ice processes to model‐simulated aerosol abundance and types. While these recent advances are exciting, coupling cloud processes to simulated aerosol also makes cloud physics simulations increasingly susceptible to uncertainties in simulation of INPs, which are still poorly constrained by observations. Advancing the predictability of INP abundance with reasonable spatiotemporal resolution will require an increased focus on research that bridges the measurement and modeling communities. This review summarizes the current state of knowledge and identifies critical knowledge gaps from both observational and modeling perspectives. In particular, we emphasize needs in two key areas: (a) observational closure between aerosol and INP quantities and (b) skillful simulation of INPs within existing weather and climate models. We discuss the state of knowledge on various INP particle types and briefly discuss the challenges faced in understanding the cloud impacts of INPs with present‐day models. Finally, we identify priority research directions for both observations and models to improve understanding of INPs and their interactions with the Earth System.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Warming Permafrost Model Intercomparision Project (WrPMIP): Pan-Arctic Perturbation Warming Simulations

Title: Warming Permafrost Model Intercomparision Project (WrPMIP): Pan-Arctic Perturbation Warming Simulations Description: WrPMIP Pan-Arctic simulations including historial baseline and two warming simulations. Models were perturbed similarly to known experimental warming trials that have been implemented across the Pan-Arctic over the last several decades. More information about the dataset can be found at the following links: https://warmingpermafrost.nau.edu/ The dataset is available at: https://esgf-node.ornl.gov/search/project=WrPMIP&mip_era=CMIP6&activity_id=WrPMIP

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

One‐at‐a‐Time Parameter Perturbation Ensemble of the Community Land Model, Version 5.1

Comprehensive land models are subject to significant parametric uncertainty, which can be hard to quantify due to the large number of parameters and high model computational costs. We constructed a large parameter perturbation ensemble (PPE) for the Community Land Model version 5.1 with biogeochemistry configuration (CLM5.1-BGC). We performed more than 2,000 simulations perturbing 211 parameters across six forcing scenarios. This provides an expansive data set, which can be used to identify the most influential parameters on a wide range of output variables globally, by biome, or by plant functional type. We found that parameter effects can exceed scenario effects and that a small number of parameters explains a large fraction of variance across our ensemble. The most important parameters can differ regionally and also based on the forcing scenario. The software infrastructure developed for this experiment has greatly reduced the human and computer time needed for CLM PPEs, which can facilitate routine investigation of parameter sensitivity and uncertainty, as well as automated calibration.

Kennedy, Daniel [NSF National Center for Atmospher↗