Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “cost study”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 109 records · Page 6

Market analysis for the integration of new power technologies: A case study of the deployment of hybrid fossil-based generator plus energy storage (ES-FE)

This study examines the national landscape of hybridized fossil energy (FE) power plants with energy storage (ES) technologies (“ES-FE”) and presents the compilation of an ES-FE dataset, which includes over 65 ES-FE projects and concepts in the United States, comprising approximately 500 MWh of co-located ES capacity with FE power plants. This study also estimates the economic feasibility of adding ES to existing FE power plants by characterizing the potential revenues that can be generated by the ES component through flexibility and capacity value. The analysis focuses on ES technologies with 2- to 10-h. durations located in four U.S. independent system operators (ISOs): Midcontinent ISO (MISO), Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), PJM Interconnection (PJM), and California ISO (CAISO), which have +70,000 MW of combined FE power capacity that could add ES. Annual revenues are estimated for the ES component using a what-if-analysis approach, for capacity value, price arbitrage, or ancillary services provision. The results show that annual revenues depend on the end-use storage service, wholesale electricity and capacity market prices, and ES technology operation parameters such as discharging duration and cycling frequency. When performing a sensitivity analysis, ES accrues $7–178/kW-yr. via price arbitrage and ancillary services provision in the four ISOs, and $13–92/kW-yr. when providing capacity value only in MISO and PJM. A cash flow analysis is performed to estimate the net present value (NPV) of the ES addition using a range of ES costs. The study finds that for most ES technologies considered, these revenues alone are insufficient to achieve economic feasibility. In conclusion, of the 1645 total runs analyzed, 115 had positive NPVs (7%). Therefore, other revenue streams or monetizable benefits are necessary to achieve the break-even point.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Million Worker Study

Radiation health issues have been an important aspect of DOE's Worker Safety and Health programs. The goal is to ensure that workers are adequately protected from the various radiological hazards associated with DOE sites and operations. Since the early 1940’s DOE has supported the conduct of epidemiologic studies of practically every DOE (AEC) facility and collected these data, now managed by the Oak Ridge Associated Universities (ORAU), in remarkable detail. In the early 2000s, the Office of Health, Safety and Security authorized access to specific DOE worker datasets. Shortly thereafter, the DOE Office of Science provided funds for a pilot study that confirmed the feasibility of the Million Worker Study (MWS), and then additional resources were provided (with other agencies) to extend the follow-up of many populations, not just DOE workers, but also atomic veterans, industrial radiographers, nuclear power plant workers and medical radiation workers (the Million Persons Study (MPS)). This proposal was a continuation of support provided by DOE, specifically to extend the follow-up of the worker populations at the Mallinckrodt Chemical Works (MCW) and Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). The work addresses DOE’s interest in clarifying the health risks of their workers as well as contributing knowledge on radiation risks that is relevant today with regard to compensation schemes. The findings are also important for the US public in light of the increased population exposure to medical imaging, environmental circumstances such as hydraulic fracturing, increased exposures during high altitude flights, and with regard to nuclear accidents such as Fukushima and possible terrorist events. Furthermore, it is important to consider reducing the uncertainty in current risk estimates by developing risk coefficients based on healthy American workers who are more representative of U.S. workers and the general public than 1945 Japanese survivors of the atomic bombs living in a war-torn country which experienced deprivation, malnourishment, and increased rates of infections and other diseases. But more importantly, it is important to learn whether radiation exposures received gradually over time (e.g., years) are more or less effective in causing health effects, cancer in particular, than if the radiation dose is received all at once in a fraction of a second as experienced by the Japanese atomic bomb survivors. Finally, the ability to evaluate and combine large populations with intakes of radionuclides such as uranium, radium, plutonium, americium and polonium will provide new quantitative knowledge on human health effects that hitherto has not been possible. This cost-efficient study has built on the investments made and foundations laid by investigators and government agencies, including DOE, over the past 30-40 years, which have established early worker cohorts that can now provide answers to questions on the lifetime human health risks associated with low-level radiation exposures. Collaborating institutions included: International Epidemiology Institute, Oak Ridge Associated Universities, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Landauer, Inc., and Vanderbilt University. Follow-up of these two populations and the integration of them with the many other cohorts (now a total of 31) in the MPS continues under a separate DOE grant (DE-AU0000046).

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Challenges and Perspectives in Lignin‐Derived Polyurethane Foam Synthesis

Abstract Polyurethane foams (PUFs) represent a significant segment of the polyurethane (PU) and cellular plastics industries, owing to their versatile applications and desirable properties. However, the production of PUFs heavily relies on petroleum‐derived chemicals, including polyols and isocyanates, raising critical environmental concerns. Lignin, an abundant aromatic macromolecule, offers a promising alternative for replacing petroleum‐based polyols because of its intrinsic hydroxyl groups. While efforts have been made to produce and apply various lignin‐based polyurethane foams (LPUFs), their commercialization remains limited by challenges such as low product consistency, poor technical performances, and high production costs. This study critically evaluates recent advances in the development of LPUFs, including innovative synthesis methods, functional applications, and emerging research trends. Moreover, potential strategies are discussed, such as lignin fractionation, modification, and co‐solvent assistance, for addressing the challenges. By resolving them, LPUFs could play a pivotal role in transitioning the PU industry to help achieve a circular bioeconomy.

Zhang, Mairui [Carl and Melinda Helwig Department ↗

Paper or Plastic? Multiscale Material Handling Properties of Two Model Municipal Solid Waste Streams

Purpose: Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) is a potentially valuable sustainable feedstock for fuel and chemical production due to its carbon-rich content and low cost. This study aims to assess the material handling properties of paperand plastic-rich MSW feedstocks to mitigate equipment failure and processing downtime. Methods: The material handling properties of crumbled MSW feedstocks were measured using apowder rheometer with mass flow hopper calculations to assess handling performance. Inverse gas chromatography was use to measure the surface energy differences between feedstocks. Electron microscopy and Raman spectroscopy was used to evaluate microscale features that may contribute to material handling differences. Results: Plastic and paper rich feedstocks crumbled to a nominal 2 mm particle size were observed to have similar flow and handling characteristics with reasonable hopper outlets. 2 mm plastic rich crumbles, with their higher bulk density, exhibited superior flow performance. By contrast, 4 mm material required significantly larger hopper outlets, indicating poor flowability. Paper rich and 4 mm plastic rich samples displayed broad particle size distributions, which contributed to particle interlocking, jamming, and other flow issues. Electron microscopy revealed that plastic rich samples were significantly smoother, enhancing their flowability compared to the rougher, paper rich materials. Conclusions: This study establishes critical material handling baselines for processing MSW as a viable feedstock for fuel and chemical production. The findings highlight the importance of optimizing particle size and feedstock composition to improve flowability and handling performance.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Demonstrating the viability of Lagrangian in situ reduction on supercomputers

Performing exploratory analysis and visualization of large-scale time-varying computational science applications is challenging due to inaccuracies that arise from under-resolved data. In recent years, Lagrangian representations of the vector field computed using in situ processing are being increasingly researched and have emerged as a potential solution to enable exploration. However, prior works have offered limited estimates of the encumbrance on the simulation code as they consider “theoretical” in situ environments. Further, the effectiveness of this approach varies based on the nature of the vector field, benefitting from an in-depth investigation for each application area. With this study, an extended version of Sane et al. (2021), we contribute an evaluation of Lagrangian analysis viability and efficacy for simulation codes executing at scale on a supercomputer. We investigated previously unexplored cosmology and seismology applications as well as conducted a performance benchmarking study by using a hydrodynamics mini-application targeting exascale computing. Here, to inform encumbrance, we integrated in situ infrastructure with simulation codes, and evaluated Lagrangian in situ reduction in representative homogeneous and heterogeneous HPC environments. To inform post hoc accuracy, we conducted a statistical analysis across a range of spatiotemporal configurations as well as a qualitative evaluation. Additionally, our study contributes cost estimates for distributed-memory post hoc reconstruction. In all, we demonstrate viability for each application — data reduction to less than 1% of the total data via Lagrangian representations, while maintaining accurate reconstruction and requiring under 10% of total execution time in over 90% of our experiments.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Accounting for Sustainability and Performance: Contrasting Effects of PET-Derived Modifiers on Asphalt Durability

The valorization of waste plastics in roadway infrastructure requires careful balance between sustainability and performance, as ineffective modifiers may incur both environmental and financial costs. This study shows that two modifiers derived from the same waste plastic source (PET)-DOTP (N1,N4-(dioctyl)terephthalamide) and HETP (N1,N4-Bis(2-hydroxyethyl)terephthalamide)-exhibit opposite effects on asphalt properties, despite having nearly the same carbon footprint. DOTP improves elastic recovery in multiple creep recovery tests (MCRT), while HETP increases strain accumulation and reduces elasticity. Density functional theory (DFT) shows that DOTP's molecular structure can disperse well in bitumen mixtures by binding to both polar and non-polar components. In contrast, HETP binds only to the binder's polar sites, lacking adequate dispersion. This increases the risk of aggregation of polar compounds in the bitumen mixture, resulting in a more deformation-prone binder. A techno-economic analysis highlights trade-offs between sustainability and performance in industrial-scale synthesis. This study advocates for applying first-principles thinking in material design, coupled with experimental validation, to engineer plastic waste-derived additives that achieve both performance and sustainability goals.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Pathways of clean energy heating electrification programs for reducing carbon emissions in Northwest China

We report clean energy heating electrification programs provide a promising way to reduce carbon emissions from fossil fuel combustion and consumption. This work studies the cost competitiveness of clean energy heating technologies under three dynamic mechanisms: investment costs, subsidy policies, and operating costs with real data. It provides key insights into the cost competitiveness of the different heating technologies deployed in different areas, as well as their sensitivity to the three dynamic mechanisms. The results show that currently, the distinct heating programs are more cost-efficient in the urban area with existing heating networks. The average payback period of all district clean energy heating programs in the urban area is 14.9 years, while that of the individual clean heating programs is 24.7 years. The individual heating programs are becoming increasingly cost-competitive with the incentive mechanisms, especially the electricity pricing mechanisms. Moreover, individual heating technologies present remarkable advantages on flexibility and sustainability in the long run. According to the technology diffusion model proposed in this paper, the individual clean heating programs will occupy more than 50% of the market share in 2050 under the comprehensive effect of CAPEX, government subsidies, and OPEX. The real-world results and analysis render references to shape the pathway of clean energy heating electrification in Northwest China and other regions with a similar situation.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Joint Design of Multimodal Transit Networks and Shared Autonomous Mobility Fleets

Providing quality transit service to travelers in low-density areas, particularly travelers without personal vehicles, is a constant challenge for transit agencies. The advent of fully-autonomous vehicles (AVs) and their inclusion in mobility service fleets may allow transit agencies to offer better service and/or reduce their own capital and operational costs. This study focuses on the problem of allocating resources between transit patterns and operating (or subsidizing) shared-use AV mobility services (SAMSs) in a large metropolitan area. To address this question, a joint transit network redesign and SAMS fleet size determination problem (JTNR-SFSDP) is introduced, and a bi-level mathematical programming formulation and solution approach are presented. The upper-level problem modifies a transit network frequency setting problem (TNFSP) formulation via incorporating SAMS fleet size as a decision variable and allowing the removal of bus routes. The lower-level problem consists of a dynamic combined mode choice-traveler assignment problem (DCMC-TAP) formulation. The heuristic solution procedure involves solving the upper-level problem using a nonlinear programming solver and solving the lower-level problem using an iterative agent-based assignment-simulation approach. To illustrate the effectiveness of the modeling framework, this study uses traveler demand from Chicago along with the regions existing multimodal transit network. The computational results indicate significant traveler benefits, in terms of improved average traveler wait times, associated with optimizing the joint design of multimodal transit networks and SAMS fleets compared with the initial transit network design.

bi-level programming↗

LevSeq: Rapid Generation of Sequence-Function Data for Directed Evolution and Machine Learning

Sequence-function data provides valuable information about the protein functional landscape but is rarely obtained during directed evolution campaigns. Here, we present Long-read every variant Sequencing (LevSeq), a pipeline that combines a dual barcoding strategy with nanopore sequencing to rapidly generate sequence-function data for entire protein-coding genes. LevSeq integrates into existing protein engineering workflows and comes with open-source software for data analysis and visualization. The pipeline facilitates data-driven protein engineering by consolidating sequence-function data to inform directed evolution and provide the requisite data for machine learning-guided protein engineering (MLPE). LevSeq enables quality control of mutagenesis libraries prior to screening, which reduces time and resource costs. Simulation studies demonstrate LevSeq’s ability to accurately detect variants under various experimental conditions. Lastly, we show LevSeq’s utility in engineering protoglobins for new-to-nature chemistry. Widespread adoption of LevSeq and sharing of the data will enhance our understanding of protein sequence-function landscapes and empower data-driven directed evolution.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Resolving Away Stratocumulus Biases in Modern Global Climate Models

Abstract Increased horizontal and vertical resolution in global atmospheric models can reduce a significant amount of the biases associated with subtropical marine stratocumulus. The sensitivity of offshore and coastal marine stratocumulus to different horizontal and vertical resolutions has been investigated by using Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) coupled with the novel Framework for Improvement by Vertical Enhancement which has been demonstrated as a viable tool to improve the representation of marine stratocumulus while saving computational cost. Our study shows that high vertical resolution is the key to improve marine stratocumulus simulations in E3SM. Concurrent horizontal and vertical resolution increases are needed for substantial overall reduction of stubborn marine stratocumulus biases over the coastal region but not necessarily in the offshore area.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Correlating AGP on a quantum computer

For variational algorithms on the near term quantum computing hardware, it is highly desirable to use very accurate ansatze with low implementation cost. Recent studies have shown that the antisymmetrized geminal power (AGP) wavefunction can be an excellent starting point for ansatze describing systems with strong pairing correlations, as those occurring in superconductors. In this work, we show how AGP can be efficiently implemented on a quantum computer with circuit depth, number of CNOTs, and number of measurements being linear in system size. Using AGP as the initial reference, we propose and implement a unitary correlator on AGP and benchmark it on the ground state of the pairing Hamiltonian. Furthermore, the results show highly accurate ground state energies in all correlation regimes of this model Hamiltonian.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Dynamical structure factors of warm dense matter from time-dependent orbital-free and mixed-stochastic-deterministic density functional theory

Abstract We present the first calculations of the inelastic part of the dynamical structure factor (DSF) for warm dense matter (WDM) using time-dependent orbital-free density functional theory (TD-OF-DFT) and mixed-stochastic-deterministic (mixed) Kohn Sham TD-DFT (KS TD-DFT). WDM is an intermediate phase of matter found in planetary cores and laser-driven experiments, where the accurate calculation of the DSF is critical for interpreting x-ray Thomson scattering measurements. Traditional TD-DFT methods, while highly accurate, are computationally expensive, motivating the exploration of TD-OF-DFT and mixed TD-KS-DFT as more efficient alternatives. We applied these methods to experimentally measured WDM systems, including solid-density aluminum and beryllium, compressed beryllium, and carbon–hydrogen mixtures. Our results show that TD-OF-DFT requires a dynamical kinetic energy potential in order to qualitatively capture the plasmon response. Additionally, it struggles with capturing bound electron contributions. In contrast, mixed TD-KS-DFT offers greater accuracy in distinguishing bound and free electron effects, aligning well with experimental data, though at a higher computational cost. This study highlights the trade-offs between computational efficiency and accuracy, demonstrating that TD-OF-DFT remains a valuable tool for rapid scans of parameter space, while mixed TD-KS-DFT should be preferred for high-fidelity simulations. Our findings provide insight into the future development of DFT methods for WDM and suggest potential improvements for TD-OF-DFT.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Destructive Error Interference in Product-Formula Lattice Simulation

Quantum computers can efficiently simulate the dynamics of quantum systems. Here, we study the cost of digitally simulating the dynamics of several physically relevant systems using the first-order product-formula algorithm. We show that the errors from different Trotterization steps in the algorithm can interfere destructively, yielding a much smaller error than previously estimated. In particular, we prove that the total error in simulating a nearest-neighbor interacting system of n sites for time t using the first-order product formula with r time slices is O ( n t / r + n t 3 / r 2 ) when n t 2 / r is less than a small constant. Given an error tolerance ϵ , the error bound yields an estimate of max { O ( n 2 t / ϵ ) , O ( n 2 t 3 / 2 / ϵ 1 / 2 ) } for the total gate count of the simulation. The estimate is tighter than previous bounds and matches the empirical performance observed in Childs et al. [ Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 115 , 9456 (2018) ]. We also provide numerical evidence for potential improvements and conjecture an even tighter estimate for the gate count.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Shadow Distillation: Quantum Error Mitigation with Classical Shadows for Near-Term Quantum Processors

Mitigating errors in quantum information processing devices is especially important in the absence of fault tolerance. An effective method in suppressing state-preparation errors is using multiple copies to distill the ideal component from a noisy quantum state. Here, we use classical shadows and randomized measurements to circumvent the need for coherent access to multiple copies at an exponential cost. We study the scaling of resources using numerical simulations and find that the overhead is still favorable compared to full state tomography. We optimize measurement resources under realistic experimental constraints and apply our method to an experiment preparing a Greenberger-Horne-Zeilinger state with trapped ions. In addition to improving stabilizer measurements, the analysis of the improved results reveals the nature of errors affecting the experiment. Hence, our results provide a directly applicable method for mitigating errors in near-term quantum computers.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Understanding relative metal prices and availability: Combining physical and economic perspectives

Abstract Scientists typically use physical indicators, such as average crustal abundance, and energy requirements in production, as measures of the availability of mineral resources. Economists, on the other hand, typically rely on measures such as prices, and extraction costs. This study investigates the role of crustal abundance, energy requirements, and other physical indicators in determining relative metal prices. The relationship between prices, and physical indicators is estimated statistically for a sample of 22 chemical elements over the period 1970–2013 using an economic market model. The results suggest that energy requirements in production explain 43% of observed variation in metal prices, crustal abundance 21%, and other physical indicators (toxicity, native metal status, and melting point) combine to explain 12% of the observed differences in metal prices.

Watson, Brett J.↗

Recyclable Cellulose Fiber Reinforced Vitrimer Composite

Vitrimer is an innovative class of polymeric materials which demonstrates traditional thermoset-like mechanical and chemical resilience while still being able to flow on demand like a traditional thermoplastic through covalently adaptive dynamic linkages. Herein, high-performance cellulose fiber reinforced vitrimer composites are developed using an epoxy-based vitrimer and natural cellulose paper. The reinforced vitrimer composite was fabricated by impregnating the porous structure of cellulose paper with two curable monomers, followed by in-situ polymerization of the monomers inside the fibrous scaffold. The introduction of hydroxyl group present on the cellulosic framework assisted in a faster topological rearrangement of the crosslinked matrix through transesterification exchange reaction, thus imparting various sought-after properties like shape recovery and recyclability via simple thermal reprocessing. Moreover, the reinforced vitrimer composite exhibits superior tensile properties as high as 90 MPa with 15-25 volume% vitrimer loading due to the interfacial adhesion via ester exchange reaction between the epoxy matrix and functionalities on the cellulosic fibers. Noteworthily, the key ingredients of the resulting composite (i.e., epoxy-based vitrimer and cellulose fibers) can be comfortably recycled without using aggressive chemical treatment, enabling composite to be easily recycled or disposed of at the end of service life and assist in reducing the subsequent manufacturing cost. This study would shed light on the development of a recyclable polymer composite with exceptional mechanical properties while simultaneously demonstrating self-healing and shape memory capabilities.

Rohewal, Sargun Singh↗

Performance trade-offs in reconfigurable networks for HPC

Designing efficient interconnects to support high-bandwidth and low-latency communication is critical toward realizing high performance computing (HPC) and data center (DC) systems in the exascale era. At extreme computing scales, providing the requisite bandwidth through overprovisioning becomes impractical. These challenges have motivated studies exploring reconfigurable network architectures that can adapt to traffic patterns at runtime using optical circuit switching. Despite the plethora of proposed architectures, surprisingly little is known about the relative performances and trade-offs among different reconfigurable network designs. We aim to bridge this gap by tackling two key issues in reconfigurable network design. First, we study how cost, power consumption, network performance, and scalability vary based on optical circuit switch (OCS) placement in the physical topology. Specifically, we consider two classes of reconfigurable architectures: one that places OCSs between top-of-rack (ToR) switches—ToR-reconfigurable networks (TRNs)—and one that places OCSs between pods of racks—pod-reconfigurable networks (PRNs). Second, we tackle the effects of reconfiguration frequency on network performance. Our results, based on network simulations driven by real HPC and DC workloads, show that while TRNs are optimized for low fan-out communication patterns, they are less suited for carrying high fan-out workloads. PRNs exhibit better overall trade-off, capable of performing comparably to a fully non-blocking fat tree for low fan-out workloads, and significantly outperform TRNs for high fan-out communication patterns.

Teh, Min Yee↗

Selection of representative general circulation models under climatic uncertainty for Western North America

Abstract Climate change research uses an ensemble of general circulation model runs (GCMs-runs) to predict future climate under uncertainties. To reduce computational costs, this study selects representative GCM-runs (RGCM-runs) for Western North America (WNA) based on their performance in replicating historical climate conditions from 1981 to 2005 and projecting future changes from 1981–2010 to 2071–2100. This evaluation is conducted under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs) scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5. By using an envelope-based selection technique and a multi-objective distance-based approach, we identify four RGCM-runs per RCP representing diverse climatic conditions, including wet-warm, wet-cold, dry-warm, and dry-cold. Compared to the full-set, these selected runs show a decreased mean absolute error (MAE) between the reference and RGCM-runs concerning the monthly average mean air temperature (T̄) and precipitation (P̄). For RCP4.5, T̄ MAE is 0.45 (vs. 0.58 in the full-set) and P̄ MAE is 0.31 (vs. 0.42). For RCP8.5, T̄ MAE is 0.51 (vs. 0.75) and P̄ MAE is 0.25 (vs. 0.36). The lower MAE values in the RGCM-run set indicate closer alignment between predicted and reference values, making the RGCM-run suitable for climate impact assessments in the region.

Water Resources↗