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NASA NTRS2002

Ar-39-Ar-40 Ages of Euerites and the Thermal History of Asteroid 4-Vesta

Eucrite meteorites are igneous rocks that derive from a large asteroid, probably 4 Vesta. Prior studies have shown that after eucrites formed, most were subsequently metamorphosed to temperatures up to equal to or greater than 800 C, and much later many were brecciated and heated by large impacts into the parent body surface. The uncommon basaltic, unbrecciated eucrites also formed near the surface but presumably escaped later brecciation, whereas the cumulate eucrites formed at depth where metamorphism may have persisted for a considerable period. To further understand the complex HED parent body thermal history, we determined new Ar-39-Ar-40 ages for nine eucrites classified as basaltic but unbrecciated, six eucrites classified as cumulate, and several basaltic-brecciated eucrites. Relatively precise Ar-Ar ages of two cumulate eucrites (Moama and EET87520) and four unbrecciated eucrites give a tight cluster at 4.48 +/1 0.01 Gyr. Ar-Ar ages of six additional unbrecciated eucrites are consistent with this age, within their larger age uncertainties. In contrast, available literature data on Pb-Pb isochron ages of four cumulate eucrites and one unbrecciated eucrite vary over 4.4-4.515 Gyr, and Sm-147 - Nd-143 isochron ages of four cumulate and three unbrecciated eucrites vary over 4.41-4.55 Gyr. Similar Ar-Ar ages for cumulate and unbrecciated eucrites imply that cumulate eucrites do not have a younger formation age than basaltic eucrites, as previously proposed. Rather, we suggest that these cumulate and unbrecciated eucrites resided at depth where parent body temperatures were sufficiently high to cause the K-Ar and some other chronometers to remain open diffusion systems. From the strong clustering of Ar-Ar ages at approximately 4.48 Gyr, we propose that these meteorites were excavated from depth in a single large impact event approximately 4.48 Gyr ago, which quickly cooled the samples and started the K-Ar chronometer. A large (approximately 460 km) crater postulated to exist on Vesta may be the source of these eucrites and of many smaller asteroids thought to be spectrally or physically associated with Vesta. Some Pb-Pb and Sm-Nd ages of cumulate and unbrecciated eucrites are consistent with the 4.48 Gyr Ar-Ar age, and the few older Pb-Pb and Sm-Nd ages may reflect isotopic closure prior to the large cratering event. One cumulate eucrite gives an Ar-Ar age of 4.25 Gyr; three additional cumulate eucrites give Ar-Ar ages of 3.4-3.7 Gyr; and two unbrecciated eucrites give Ar-Ar ages of approximately 3.55 Gyr. We attribute these younger ages to later impact heating. In addition, we find Ar-Ar impact-reset ages of several brecciated eucrites and eucritic clasts in howardites to fall in the range of 3.5-4.1 Gyr. Among these, Piplia Kalan, the first eucrite to show evidence for extinct 26 Al, was strongly impact heated approximately3.5 Gyr ago. When these data are combined with eucrite Ar-Ar ages in the literature, they confirm the previous suggestion that several large impact heating events occurred on Vesta over the time period approximately 4.1-3.4 Gyr ago. The onset of major impact heating may have occurred at similar times for both Vesta and the Moon, but impact heating appears to have persisted to a somewhat later time on Vesta compared to the Moon.

Bogard, Donald D.↗
NASA NTRS2011

A Groundmass Composition for EET 79001A Using a Novel Microprobe Technique for Estimating Bulk Compositions. Lithology A as an Impact Melt?

Petrologic investigation of the shergottites has been hampered by the fact that most of these meteorites are partial cumulates. Two lines of inquiry have been used to evaluate the compositions of parental liquids: (i) perform melting experiments at different pressures and temperatures until the compositions of cumulate crystal cores are reproduced [e.g., 1]; and (ii) use point-counting techniques to reconstruct the compositions of intercumulus liquids [e.g., 2]. The second of these methods is hampered by the approximate nature of the technique. In effect, element maps are used to construct mineral modes; and average mineral compositions are then converted into bulk compositions. This method works well when the mineral phases are homogeneous [3]. However, when minerals are zoned, with narrow rims contributing disproportionately to the mineral volume, this method becomes problematic. Decisions need to be made about the average composition of the various zones within crystals. And, further, the proportions of those zones also need to be defined. We have developed a new microprobe technique to see whether the point-count method of determining intercumulus liquid composition is realistic. In our technique, the approximating decisions of earlier methods are unnecessary because each pixel of our x-ray maps is turned into a complete eleven-element quantitative analysis. The success or failure of our technique can then be determined by experimentation. As discussed earlier, experiments on our point-count composition can then be used to see whether experimental liquidus phases successfully reproduce natural mineral compositions. Regardless of our ultimate outcome in retrieving shergottite parent liquids, we believe our pixel-bypixel analysis technique represents a giant step forward in documenting thin-section modes and compositions. For a third time, we have analyzed the groundmass composition of EET 79001, 68 [Eg]. The first estimate of Eg was made by [4] and later modified by [5], to take phase diagram considerations into account. The Eg composition of [4] was too olivine normative to be the true Eg composition, because the ,68 groundmass contains no forsteritic olivine. A later mapping by [2] basically reconfirmed the modifications of [5]. However, even the modified composition of [5] has olivine on the liquidus for ~50 C before low-Ca pyroxene appears [6].

Jones, John H.↗
NASA NTRS1983

The origin of SNC meteorites - An alternative to Mars

The possibility that certain very young meteorites originated as impact melts on a large asteroid or asteroids is investigated. Calculations of the thermal evolution of impact melt show that the solidification time should be long enough to produce igneous or quasi-cumulate textures within rocks if the crater is large enough and if the initial clast concentration is low, at least in some portion of the melt sheet. The number of collisions within the asteroid belt which would produce craters of the requisite size is calculated. Using an estimate of the current size distribution of asteroids, it is found that over 3000 such collisions should have occurred during the lifetime of the solar system. Excavation and ejection of the solidified melt by a subsequent impact would be dynamically easy because of the low escape velocities of even the largest asteroids but improbable because of the depth that must be sampled. A second, sufficiently large impact is rare, so only the products of one such double event have been obtained up to now.

Vickery, A. M.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

4.32 Billion Year Old Impact Melts at Apollo 14: Dating the Procellarum Basin?

Introduction: Recent work has improved our understanding of lunar crustal structure and basin evolution on the Moon, but its early impact history and implications for solar system dynamics remain poorly established [1,2]. In particular, there is a derth of absolute ages, especially for the period >4.0 Ga, that could be related to basin-forming events. Here we present U-Pb isotopic data for Zr-rich minerals found in impact-melt fragments from Apollo 14 soil sample 14163 that, when combined with previously published data, dates an impact event at 4324±15 Ma. The compositions and ages of these impact-melt fragments provide unique information about the timing of early impact events and the composition of the lunar crust. Results: Fourteen rocklets ranging in size from 1 to 3 mm were extracted from soil 14163. Most are impactmelt rocks with 10-30% clasts of mostly pyroxene and plagioclase (100 to 500 μm) in a crystalline matrix. Textures of the matrix vary from subophitic, formed by intergrowths of 10-20 μm plagioclase and pyroxene crystals, to poikilitic, with plagioclase and pyroxene reaching 20-50 μm size. Some fragments that contain no visible clasts have similar textures are also interpreted as impact-melt rocks. All fragments contain notably large proportions of euhedral to subhedral ilmenite, zircon, apatite/merrillite and less abundant zirconolite and baddeleyite in the melt matrices. These grains often form intricate intergrowths with each other and rock-forming minerals, indicating their crystallization from the melt (Fig. 1). However, some slightly larger (~50 μm) zircon and phosphate grains can be interpreted as relict clasts based on their granular textures and relationships with the surrounding phases (Fig. 1). This implies that zircon and phosphate minerals were present in the target rocks. Some of these grains were profoundly remelted during the impact, which resulted in an oversaturation of the melt in Zr and P and crystallization of new grains of Zrrich minerals and phosphates during melt solidification. The presence of zircon and phosphates indicates that the melts were significantly enriched in KREEP components and ties their provenance to the Procellarum- KREEP Terrane (PKT) [3]. Combined U-Pb zircon data obtained for all fragments form two main clusters on a concordia diagram (Fig. 2), between about 4.3 and 3.9 Ga. Phosphate data mostly concentrate on the younger end of this age range but some analyses are almost as old as the older zircon grains (Fig. 2). Figure 1: Zircon (Zr) and phosphate (Apt; Mer) grains in impact melt fragments from Apollo 14 soil 14161. A-zircon grains crystallized from impact melt; B-phosphate grain inherited from the target; C- granular zircon grains Our interpretation of these data is that all U-rich minerals experienced variable resetting of the U-Pb system, with phosphate, where closure temperature is significantly lower than that in zircon, affected more profoundly by Pb loss than zircon. Our best estimate of the time of formation of zircon and phosphate is based on statistically valid analysis of grains interpreted texturally as grown from the impact melt (Fig. 2). Ten of these analyses define an age of 4324±15 Ma (MSWD=3.0, probability of fit P=0.002). Our best estimate for the time of resetting is obtained by combining data from phosphates that are statistically indistinguishable from 3.9 Ga within the analytical uncertainties. This group is represented by 18 analyses of 15 phosphate grains from different fragments (Fig. 2) and defines an age of 3922±6 Ma (MSWD=1.2, P=0.23). Conversely, a minimum age of the target lithologies, remelted in the impact that produced the rocklets studied here (Fig. 2), can be determined from the five oldest analyses of zircon clasts at 4338±13 Ma (MSWD=1.5, P=0.2), which is indistinguishable from the age of the impact melt within the uncertainties. The obtained ages, combined with textural evidence, imply that the impact melt was formed at 4324±15 Ma, and that it occurred in a zircon-rich target with a minimum age of 4338±13 Ma. Further reworking occurred during a second impact event at 3922±6 Ma. Discussion: The younger age of 3922±6 Ma can be interpreted as the time of the Imbrium impact. The older age of 4324±15 Ma would then be the time of formation of the impact melt, which was then caught in the Imbrium ejecta either at the Apollo 14 landing site or within the target rocks of the Imbrium impact. The presence of abundant accessory phases such as zircons and phosphates is consistent with a substantial KREEP component in the analyzed particles. The current distribution of KREEP on the lunar surface appears to be strongly influenced by Imbrum ejecta [4] so interpretation of the 4.32 Ga age depends in part on assumed structure of the pre-impact crust and distribution of KREEP within the crust. If KREEP was present only in the deep crust at 4.32 Ga, then a basin-scale impact possibly analogous to Imbrium or larger may be necessary to excavate a KREEPy impact melt at this time. However, if KREEPy materials were present closer to the surface perhaps due to redistribution related to Mg-suite magmatism, then smaller impacts might be able to rework KREEPy compositions at shallower depths. The coherence of the data on the particles analysed here suggests a large volume of melt that has been preserved since 4.32 Ga, consistent with a large impact event. Relict zircons and mineral clasts suggests that the igneous crust in the vicinity of this impact was well developed by at least 4.34 Ga, similar to the model age of KREEP and older than the isochron ages of many Mg-suite cumulates [5]. A problem that confronts all lunar sample studies using the current collection is that the pre-Imbrium geology of the PKT (the source of these 4.32 Ga impact melts) is not well constrained. The South Pole-Aitken basin contains regions that are moderately enriched in Th, but its ejecta is Th-poor [6]; therefore these A14 fragments are probably not SPA ejecta. Alternatively, these fragments may represent formation of a hypothesized Procellarum basin [7] although the lack of a clearly defined basin ejecta signature is a potential problem with that interpretation. In any case, they provide a younger limit on the age of lunar differentiation and formation of KREEP within the lunar crust. Figure 2: U-Pb data for zircon and phosphate grains from impact melt fragments. A-all data; B-data used for age calculations. References: [1] Orgel C., Michael G., Fassett C. I., van der Bogert C. H., Riedel C., Kneissl T., and Hiesinger H. (2018) J. Geophys. Res. Planets 123, 748- 762. [2] Evans A. J., Andrews-Hanna J. C., Head J. W., Soderblom J. M., Solomon S. C., and Zuber M. T. (2018) J. Geophys. Planets. 123, 1596-1617. [3] Jolliff, B.L., Gillis, J.J., Haskin, L.A., Korotev, R.L. and Wieczorek, M.A. (2000) J. Geophys. Res: Planets 105, 4197-4216. [4] Haskin L. A. (1998) J. Geophys. Res. Planets 103, 1679-1689. [5] Borg L.E., Gaffney A.M., and Shearer C.K. (2015) MAPS 50, 715-732. [6] Moriarty, D.P., Watkins, R.N., Valencia, S.N., Kendall, J.D., Evans, A.J., Dygert, N. and Petro, N.E. (2021) J. Geophys. Res. Planets 126. [7] Zhu, M.H., Wünnemann, K., Potter, R.W., Kleine, T. and Morbidelli, A. (2019) J. Geophys. Res: Planets 124, 2117-2140

M D Norman↗
NASA NTRS2011

Retrospective Analog Year Analyses Using NASA Satellite Data to Improve USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

The USDA World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB) is responsible for monitoring weather and climate impacts on domestic and foreign crop development. One of WAOB's primary goals is to determine the net cumulative effect of weather and climate anomalies on final crop yields. To this end, a broad array of information is consulted, including maps, charts, and time series of recent weather, climate, and crop observations; numerical output from weather and crop models; and reports from the press, USDA attach s, and foreign governments. The resulting agricultural weather assessments are published in the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin, to keep farmers, policy makers, and commercial agricultural interests informed of weather and climate impacts on agriculture. Because both the amount and timing of precipitation significantly affect crop yields, WAOB often uses precipitation time series to identify growing seasons with similar weather patterns and help estimate crop yields for the current growing season, based on observed yields in analog years. Historically, these analog years are visually identified; however, the qualitative nature of this method sometimes precludes the definitive identification of the best analog year. Thus, one goal of this study is to derive a more rigorous, statistical approach for identifying analog years, based on a modified coefficient of determination, termed the analog index (AI). A second goal is to compare the performance of AI for time series derived from surface-based observations vs. satellite-based measurements (NASA TRMM and other data).

Teng, William↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Probability Bounds Analysis Applied to Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle Nonlinearity

The Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle (MPCV) Program Orion vehicle finite element model (FEM) was updated based on a modal test performed by Lockheed Martin. Due to nonlinearity observed in the test results, linear low force level (LL) and high force level (HL) FEMs were developed for use during various Space Launch System (SLS) flight regimes depending on expected forcing levels. Uncertainty models were derived for the combined MPCV and MPCV Stage Adaptor LL and HL Hurty/Craig-Bampton (HCB) components based on the MPCV structural test article Configuration 4 modal test-analysis correlation results. Subsequently, system-level uncertainty quantification analyses were performed using both models for various SLS flight configurations to determine the impact of the nonlinearity on important system metrics. The system metrics included both transfer functions associated with attitude control and dynamic loads associated with aerodynamic buffeting during ascent. In each case, an independent Monte Carlo (MC) analysis was performed, and no attempt was made to combine the results. The Hybrid Parametric Variation (HPV) method was used to develop the LL and HL MPCV HCB uncertainty models. The HPV method provides both parametric and non-parametric components of uncertainty. The non-parametric uncertainty accounts for the difference in model-form between the linearized analytical model and the corresponding linearized component test results in the form of mode shapes and frequencies at that force level. This linear model-form uncertainty is implemented in the HPV method using random matrix theory. However, the HPV uncertainty models developed for the linear LL and HL MPCV components do not account for the nonlinearity in the MPCV. With respect to the linearized models, this nonlinearity is also an uncertainty in model form, but in this case, it must be treated independently as an epistemic uncertainty. It represents a lack of knowledge, in contrast to an aleatory uncertainty due to the randomness of a variable. In the case of an epistemic variable, the true value is unknown, only the interval within which it lies is known. Epistemic uncertainty can be reduced with increased knowledge, while in general, aleatory uncertainty cannot. This work combines the epistemic uncertainty due to the MPCV nonlinearity with the parametric and non-parametric uncertainty within the HPV method using a second order propagation approach. The LL and HL test data is augmented with surrogate test data derived from a nonlinear MPCV representation. The impact of the MPCV nonlinearity on system response statistics is determined using a series of cumulative distribution functions in the form of a horsetail plot, or p-box. This results in an interval of probabilities for a specific response value, or an interval of response values at a specific probability.

Daniel C Kammer↗
NASA NTRS2021

An Innovative Approach to Modeling VIPER Rover Software Life Cycle Cost

NASA’s “Volatiles Investigating Polar Exploration Rover” (VIPER) will be the first robotic mission to prospect for water ice near the south pole of the Moon in late 2023 on a 100-Earth-day mission. The information that the VIPER rover provides will help improve understanding of the composition, distribution, and accessibility of Lunar polar volatiles and will help determine how the Moon’s resources can support future human space exploration. VIPER, however, represents a radical departure from the way that NASA has traditionally developed planetary robotic missions. A key consequence of these differences is that estimating the cost of VIPER’s rover software is challenging and complex.For example, VIPER is being developed using management procedures typically applied to NASA research and technology projects, rather than space flight programs. In addition, key portions of the rover’s software are being designed as ground software to run on mission control computers (rather than on-board the rover as flight software as with prior planetary missions) taking advantage of continuous, interactive data communications between the Moon and Earth and higher performance computing available on the ground. Moreover, the rover’s software is being engineered using Agile software development practices and incorporates a significant amount of open-source, rather than following traditional (spiral, waterfall, etc.) development methods and in-house code. In this paper, we present an innovative process to estimate the life cycle cost of VIPER’s rover software. We first describe how we modeled the architecture and code counts for three software elements: Rover Flight Software (RFSW), Rover Ground Software (RGSW), and Rover Simulation Software (RSIM). We then discuss key challenges and unique aspects of our approach, such as the lack of Lunar rover analogies, the need to integrate and test large open source software, and the strategies developed to account for use of non-space flight management practices and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. We conclude with a summary of our results, including cumulative distribution, nearest neighbors and cluster analysis, as well as heuristics used to confirm the reasonableness of the cost estimate.

Utz, Hans↗
NASA NTRS2023

Constraining the Structure under Lunar Impact Basins with Gravity

The lunar gravity field is used to estimate and constrain the depth of mass anomalies under 19 major lunar impact basins. We use radial gravitational spectra, consisting of accelerations computed either per spherical harmonic degree or cumulatively, at surface locations to obtain the distribution of the gravity signal with spherical harmonic degree and, by implication, to the likely depth below the surface. The results provide estimates for the maximum likely depths of the primary component to the mass anomalies under 19 basins. We find that the maximum depths of the primary source of mascon gravity on the lunar nearside are deeper than the depths for those on the farside when South Pole–Aitken (SPA) is excluded. All basin mass anomalies on the lunar nearside are in the mantle. The maximum depth of the primary source of the mass anomalies is 200 km beneath the surface. The upper 20 km under all basins is largely devoid of anomalies, reflecting predominantly mixing and relaxation associated with impact melt combined with ejecta fallback, as well as homogenization associated with post-basin formation impact bombardment. Except for SPA, all basin anomalies merge with the deep interior at ∼150 km or below, indicating the depth penetration of disruption of the density structure of the lunar interior associated with impact bombardment.

Lunar gravitational field↗
NASA NTRS2004

Cosmic Ray Exposure Ages, Ar-Ar Ages, and the Origin and History of Eucrites

HED meteorites likely formed at different depths on the large asteroid 4-Vesta, but passed through Vesta-derived, km-sized intermediary bodies (Vestoids), before arriving at Earth. Most eucrites and diogenites (and all howardites) are brecciated, and impact heating disturbed or reset the K-Ar ages (and some Rb-Sr ages) of most eucrites in the time period of approx. 3.4 - 4.1 Gyr ago. Some basaltic eucrites and most cumulate eucrites, however, are not brecciated. We recently showed that the Ar-39 - Ar-40 ages for several of these eucrites tightly cluster about a value of 4.48 +/- 0.02 Gyr, and we argue that this time likely represents a single large impact event on Vesta, which ejected these objects from depth and quenched their temperatures. A different parent body has been suggested for cumulate eucrites, although the Ar-Ar ages argue for a common parent. Similarities in the cosmic-ray (space) exposure ages for basaltic eucrites and diogenites also have been used to infer a common parent body for some HEDs. Here we present CRE ages of several cumulate and unbrecciated basaltic (UB) eucrites and compare these with CRE ages of other HEDs. This comparison also has some interesting implications for the relative locations of various HED types on Vesta and/or the Vestoids.

Wakefield, Kelli↗
NASA NTRS1996

An Acoustic Emission and Acousto-Ultrasonic Analysis of Impact Damaged Composite Pressure Vessels

The research presented herein summarizes the development of acoustic emission (AE) and acousto-ultrasonic (AU) techniques for the nondestructive evaluation of filament wound composite pressure vessels. Vessels fabricated from both graphite and kevlar fibers with an epoxy matrix were examined prior to hydroburst using AU and during hydroburst using AE. A dead weight drop apparatus featuring both blunt and sharp impactor tips was utilized to produce a single known energy 'damage' level in each of the vessels so that the degree to which the effects of impact damage could be measured. The damage levels ranged from barely visible to obvious fiber breakage and delamination. Independent neural network burst pressure prediction models were developed from a sample of each fiber/resin material system. Here, the cumulative AE amplitude distribution data collected from low level proof test (25% of the expected burst for undamaged vessels) were used to measure the effects of the impact on the residual burst pressure of the vessels. The results of the AE/neural network model for the inert propellant filled graphite/epoxy vessels 'IM7/3501-6, IM7/977-2 and IM7/8553-45' demonstrated that burst pressures can be predicted from low level AE proof test data, yielding an average error of 5.0%. The trained network for the IM7/977-2 class vessels was also able to predict the expected burst pressure of taller vessels (three times longer hoop region length) constructed of the same material and using the same manufacturing technique, with an average error of 4.9%. To a lesser extent, the burst pressure prediction models could also measure the effects of impact damage to the kevlar/epoxy 'Kevlar 49/ DPL862' vessels. Here though, due to the higher attenuation of the material, an insufficient amount of AE amplitude information was collected to generate robust network models. Although, the worst case trial errors were less than 6%, when additional blind predictions were attempted, errors as high as 50% were produced. An acousto-ultrasonic robotic evaluation system (AURES) was developed for mapping the effects of damage on filament wound pressure vessels prior to hydroproof testing. The AURES injects a single broadband ultrasonic pulse into each vessel at preprogrammed positions and records the effects of the interaction of that pulse on the material volume with a broadband receiver. A stress wave factor in the form of the energy associated with the 750 to 1000 kHz and 1000 to 1250 kHz frequency bands were used to map the potential failure sites for each vessel. The energy map associated with the graphite/epoxy vessels was found to decrease in the region of the impact damage. The kevlar vessels showed the opposite trend, with the energy values increasing around the damage/failure sites.

Walker, James L.↗
NASA NTRS1981

Effects of truncation of a predominantly compression load spectrum on the life of a notched graphite/epoxy laminate

Constant amplitude and transport wing spectrum compressive loading tests were used to explore the fatigue behavior of a notched, graphite/epoxy T300/5208 laminate specimen. Results indicate that (1) the amount of buckling near the notch allowed in the tests significantly affected fatigue life; (2) load spectrum truncation at either high or low ends produced lives greater than those obtained for the baseline complete-spectrum test, but with greater impact at the high-load end; and (3) the predictions of the Palmgren-Miner cumulative damage theory were found to always be far longer than those obtained in the spectrum loading tests.

Phillips, E. P.↗
NASA NTRS2012

Model to Test Electric Field Comparisons in a Composite Fairing Cavity

Evaluating the impact of radio frequency transmission in vehicle fairings is important to sensitive spacecraft. This study shows cumulative distribution function (CDF) comparisons of composite . a fairing electromagnetic field data obtained by computational electromagnetic 3D full wave modeling and laboratory testing. This work is an extension of the bare aluminum fairing perfect electric conductor (PEC) model. Test and model data correlation is shown.

Trout, Dawn↗
NASA NTRS2013

Model to Test Electric Field Comparisons in a Composite Fairing Cavity

Evaluating the impact of radio frequency transmission in vehicle fairings is important to sensitive spacecraft. This study shows cumulative distribution function (CDF) comparisons of composite a fairing electromagnetic field data obtained by computational electromagnetic 3D full wave modeling and laboratory testing. This work is an extension of the bare aluminum fairing perfect electric conductor (PEC) model. Test and model data correlation is shown.

Trout, Dawn H.↗
NASA NTRS2016

Impact of Soil Moisture Assimilation on Land Surface Model Spin-Up and Coupled LandAtmosphere Prediction

Advances in satellite monitoring of the terrestrial water cycle have led to a concerted effort to assimilate soil moisture observations from various platforms into offline land surface models (LSMs). One principal but still open question is that of the ability of land data assimilation (LDA) to improve LSM initial conditions for coupled short-term weather prediction. In this study, the impact of assimilating Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSR-E) soil moisture retrievals on coupled WRF Model forecasts is examined during the summers of dry (2006) and wet (2007) surface conditions in the southern Great Plains. LDA is carried out using NASAs Land Information System (LIS) and the Noah LSM through an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) approach. The impacts of LDA on the 1) soil moisture and soil temperature initial conditions for WRF, 2) land-atmosphere coupling characteristics, and 3) ambient weather of the coupled LIS-WRF simulations are then assessed. Results show that impacts of soil moisture LDA during the spin-up can significantly modify LSM states and fluxes, depending on regime and season. Results also indicate that the use of seasonal cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) is more advantageous compared to the traditional annual CDF bias correction strategies. LDA performs consistently regardless of atmospheric forcing applied, with greater improvements seen when using coarser, global forcing products. Downstream impacts on coupled simulations vary according to the strength of the LDA impact at the initialization, where significant modifications to the soil moisture flux- PBL-ambient weather process chain are observed. Overall, this study demonstrates potential for future, higher-resolution soil moisture assimilation applications in weather and climate research.

soil moisture↗
NASA NTRS1983

Yearly variations of rain-rate statistics at Wallops Island and their impact on modeled slant path attenuation distributions

Rain gauge measurements at Wallops Island, VA over a five-year period have been reduced and cumulative rain-date distributions have been determined for yearly, successively combined years, and overall average cases. Yearly variations of the predicted slant path attenuation statistics for two International Radio Consultative Committee (CCIR) models (referred to as modified method I and method II) and the global model at 28.56 GHz were calculated using the yearly measured rain rates at Wallops Island. This frequency was selected as it coincided with the beacon frequency of te COMSTAR geostationary satellite which was also simultaneously monitored at Wallops Island for a period of three years enabling a comparison with the measured rain-fade statistics. The year to year variations of the predicted fades as well as the percent deviations relative to the five-year average case were examined.

Goldhirsh, J.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Grain size evolution and fractionation trends in an experimental regolith

The communication of blocky planetary surfaces into fine-grained regoliths was simulated by impacting a fragmental gabbro target 200 times with stainless steel projectiles. It is found that the comminution efficiency of the surfaces changes with time, being highest in the early stages of regolith formation and decreasing gradually. The relationship between mean grain size and cumulative energy is not linear. Individual, fine-grained regolith components can be generated very early from relatively large progenitor fragments without going through intermediate-size fractions. Impact comminution is capable of producing fractionated fines as postulated by Papike et al. (1982). The role of grain-size selective, lateral transport to explain the fractionated nature of lunar regolith fines may have been overestimated in the past.

Horz, F.↗
NASA NTRS2003

Probabilistic Evaluation of Blade Impact Damage

The response to high velocity impact of a composite blade is probabilistically evaluated. The evaluation is focused on quantifying probabilistically the effects of uncertainties (scatter) in the variables that describe the impact, the blade make-up (geometry and material), the blade response (displacements, strains, stresses, frequencies), the blade residual strength after impact, and the blade damage tolerance. The results of probabilistic evaluations results are in terms of probability cumulative distribution functions and probabilistic sensitivities. Results show that the blade has relatively low damage tolerance at 0.999 probability of structural failure and substantial at 0.01 probability.

Chamis, C. C.↗
NASA NTRS2009

Old Faithful Model for Radiolytic Gas-Driven Cryovolcanism at Enceladus

A new model is presented on how chemically driven cryovolcanism might contribute to episodic outgassing at the icy moon Enceladus and potentially elsewhere including Europa and Kuiper Belt Objects. Exposed water ices can become oxidized from radiolytic chemical alteration of near-surface water ice by space environment irradiation. In contact with primordially abundant reductants such as NH3, CH4, and other hydrocarbons, the product oxidants can react exothermically to produce volatile gases driving cryovolcanism via gas-piston forces on any subsurface liquid reservoirs. Radiolytic oxidants such as H2O2 and O2 can continuously accumulate deep in icy regoliths and be conveyed by rheological flows to subsurface chemical reaction zones over million-year time scales indicated by cratering ages for active regions of Enceladus and Europa. Surface blanketing with cryovolcanic plume ejecta would further accelerate regolith burial of radiolytic oxidants. Episodic heating from transient gravitational tides, radioisotope decay, impacts, or other geologic events might occasionally accelerate chemical reaction rates and ignite the exothermic release of cumulative radiolytic oxidant energy. The time history for the suggested "Old Faithful" model of radiolytic gas-driven cryovolcanism at Enceladus and elsewhere therefore consists of long periods of chemical energy accumulation punctuated by much briefer episodes of cryovolcanic activity. The most probable sequence for detection of activity in the current epoch is a long evolutionary phase of slow but continuous oxidant accumulation over billions of years followed by continuous but variable high activity over the past 10(exp 7)-10(exp 8) years. Detectable cryovolcanic activity could then later decline due to near-total oxidation of the rheologically accessible ice crust and depletion the accessible reductant abundances, as may have already occurred for Europa in the more intense radiation environment of Jupiter's magnetosphere. Astrobiological potential of Enceladus could correspondingly be higher than at Europa due to a less extreme state of oxidation and greater residual abundance of organics.

Cooper, John F.↗