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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 109 records · Page 6

Consistent Practices for the Probability of Detection (POD) of Fracture Critical Metallic Components Project

NASA-STD-5009 requires that successful flaw detection by NDE methods be statistically qualified for use on fracture critical metallic components, but does not standardize practices. This task works towards standardizing calculations and record retention with a web-based tool, the NNWG POD Standards Library or NPSL. Test methods will also be standardized with an appropriately flexible appendix to -5009 identifying best practices. Additionally, this appendix will describe how specimens used to qualify NDE systems will be cataloged, stored and protected from corrosion, damage, or loss.

Hughitt, Brian↗

Carbonaceous compounds in comets - Infrared observations

The Comet Halley observations showed that carbon is a major component of the comet nucleus, with mass spectroscopic data giving near-cosmic C/O ratios. Gaseous and solid compounds were also observed with infrared spectroscopy, which gave detections of CO and CO2, probable detections or upper limits of H2CO and CH4, and a tentative detection of OCS. The CH4/CO ratio of less than unity in Comet Halley points to a CO-rich solar nebula; however, the ratio is higher than in interstellar clouds. A broad, complicated emission feature near 3.4 microns is evidence for carbonaceous compounds containing C-H groups in gas or solid phases. Analysis of radiation mechanisms and abundance constraints suggests that thermal emission or transient heating by single photons can account for the 3.4-micron emission feature. The band resembles (but is not identical to) bands of carbonaceous chondrite organic material, synthetic materials, and interstellar carbonaceous bands.

Encrenaz, T.↗

Interstellar isothiocyanic acid

Isothiocyanic acid (HNCS) has been identified in Sgr B2 from millimeter-wave spectral line observations. We have definitely detected three rotational lines, and have probably detected two others. The rotational temperature of HNCS in Sgr B2 is 14 plus or minus 5 K, its column density is 2.5 plus or minus 1.0 x 10 to the 13th per sq cm, and its abundance relative to HNCO is consistent with the cosmic S/O ratio, 1/42.

Frerking, M. A.↗

Photochemistry and molecular ions in oxygen-rich circumstellar envelopes

A theory for the ionization of the circumstellar envelopes around O-rich red giants is developed from the photochemical model. The main source of ionization is photoionization of H2O, OH, and C by the interstellar UV radiation field, supplemented by cosmic-ray ionization of hydrogen. Significant amounts of H3O(+) and HCO(+) are produced, with peak abundances of about 10 to the -7th at intermediate distances from the star. Although H3O(+) may be difficult to detect with current instrumentation, HCO(+) is probably detectable in nearby O-rich envelopes with large millimeter-wave telescopes.

Mamon, G. A.↗

How many Earth-approaching asteroids are there?

The discovery process of Earth-approaching asteroids is formulated as a periodic sampling problem from an urn with replacement. It presumes as unchanging number of such objects over recent historical times, a fixed limiting magnitude/angular speed combination for detection probability, and allows for the possibility of the lack of detection or the lack of sufficient observations to refine an orbit at the first noticed apparition. While simple, the model is sufficiently powerful to show that an estimate of the number of Earth-approaching minor planets is impossible. This conclusion is insensitive to uncertainties in perturbing influences, celestial mechanics, or a model for the distribution of the orbital element sets of these minor planets.

Taff, L. G.↗

How many earth-approaching asteroids are there?

The discovery process of earth-approaching asteroids is formulated as a periodic sampling problem from an urn with replacement. It presumes as unchanging number of such objects over recent historical times, a fixed limiting magnitude/angular speed combination for detection probability, and allows for the possibility of the lack of detection or the lack of sufficient observations to refine an orbit at the first noticed apparition. While simple, the model is sufficiently powerful to show that an estimate of the number of earth-approaching minor planets is impossible. This conclusion is insensitive to uncertainties in perturbing influences, celestial mechanics, or a model for the distribution of the orbital element sets of these minor planets.

Taff, L. G.↗

Will LISA Detect Harmonic Gravitational Waves from Galactic Cosmic String Loops?

Rapid advancement in the observation of cosmic strings has been made in recent years placing increasingly stringent constraints on their properties, with $G\mu\lesssim 10^{-11}$ from Pulsar Timing Array (PTA). Cosmic string loops with low string tension clump in the Galaxy due to slow loop decay and low gravitational recoil, resulting in great enhancement to loop abundance in the Galaxy. With an average separation of down to just a fraction of a kpc, and the total power of gravitational wave (GW) emission dominated by harmonic modes spanning a wide angular scale, resolved loops located in proximity are powerful, persistent, and highly monochromatic sources of GW with a harmonic signature not replicated by any other sources, making them prime targets for direct detection by the upcoming Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA), whose frequency range is well-matched. Unlike detection of bursts where the detection rate scales with loop abundance, the detection rate for harmonic signal is the result of a complex interplay between the strength of GW emission, loop abundance, and other sources of noise, and is most suitably studied through numerical simulations. We develop a robust and flexible framework for simulating loops in the Galaxy for predicting direct detection of harmonic signal from resolved loops by LISA. Our simulation reveals that the most accessible region in the parameter space consists of large loops $\alpha=0.1$ with low tension $10^{-21}\lesssim G\mu\lesssim 10^{-19}$. Direct detection of field theory cosmic strings is unlikely, with the detection probability $p_{\mathrm{det}}\lesssim 2\%$ for a 1-year mission. An extension suggests that direct detection of cosmic superstrings with a low intercommutation probability is very promising. Searching for harmonic GW signal from resolved loops through LISA observations will potentially place physical constraints on string theory.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Quantitative assessment of soil CO 2 concentration and stable carbon isotope for leakage detection at geological carbon sequestration sites

This paper presents a quantitative method to evaluate CO 2 concentration ([CO 2 ]) and stable carbon isotope ratio (δ 13 C) as indicators for leakage detection at a geological carbon sequestration site by combining use of field release tests and a numerical modeling approach. A numerical model was developed to simulate CO 2 dynamics by considering diffusion, dissolution in soil water, and soil respiration. The numerical model fits the background dynamics of [CO 2 ] (360 to 550 ppm) and δ 13 C (-16‰ to -6‰) well and reproduces fairly the overall trend observed during the CO 2 release test. The model was further applied to assess detection probability (DP) of [CO 2 ] and δ 13 C for leakage detection in terms of various factors, such as CO 2 leakage rate, background variations, δ 13 C of the CO 2 leaked, and the threshold value of signal-to-noise ratio. Modeling results suggest that δ 13 C may have a higher DP than [CO 2 ]. This study also shows that DP of δ 13 C for the IEA Weyburn project is close to 0, implying δ 13 C is inappropriate to be an indicator for CO 2 leakage at the site. Finally, the quantitative method developed can also be used to design a monitoring plan or strategy in a near-surface environment for geological carbon sequestration.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A Search for r-Modes from 1825 to the Present

Global oscillations (r-modes) of the Sun's outer convective envelope with periods approximately 1 month and longer have been detected in several short data strings of several years duration. To test whether r-modes might persist beyond one 11 year cycle, the daily sunspot numbers from 1825 to the present were analyzed. Good evidence, but confidence level less than 3sigma, was found for most of the 14 r-modes with spherical harmonic index lambda less than or equal to 5 that can exist in the presence of solar differential rotation. The characteristic rotation rate of almost every such r-mode was detected, displaced systematically from its expected value by only 0.15%. If this probable detection is real, then most low harmonic r-modes have lifetimes exceeding one century and the rotation of the Sun's outer layers varies by less than 0.05%, except possibly at solar minimum.

Wolff, Charles L.↗

Community-wide Validation of Geospace Model Ground Magnetic Field Perturbation Predictions to Support Model Transition to Operations

In this paper we continue the community-wide rigorous modern space weather model validation efforts carried out within GEM, CEDAR and SHINE programs. In this particular effort, in coordination among the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC), NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), modelers, and science community, we focus on studying the models' capability to reproduce observed ground magnetic field fluctuations, which are closely related to geomagnetically induced current phenomenon. One of the primary motivations of the work is to support NOAA SWPC in their selection of the next numerical model that will be transitioned into operations. Six geomagnetic events and 12 geomagnetic observatories were selected for validation.While modeled and observed magnetic field time series are available for all 12 stations, the primary metrics analysis is based on six stations that were selected to represent the high-latitude and mid-latitude locations. Events-based analysis and the corresponding contingency tables were built for each event and each station. The elements in the contingency table were then used to calculate Probability of Detection (POD), Probability of False Detection (POFD) and Heidke Skill Score (HSS) for rigorous quantification of the models' performance. In this paper the summary results of the metrics analyses are reported in terms of POD, POFD and HSS. More detailed analyses can be carried out using the event by event contingency tables provided as an online appendix. An online interface built at CCMC and described in the supporting information is also available for more detailed time series analyses.

MAGNETIC↗

An optimum PN code search technique for a given apriori signal location density

A method is presented for optimizing (minimizing) the acquisition time for a PN-type spread spectrum system when the a priori probability density function is not uniform. For an assumed a priori Gaussian density function, calculations show that the acquisition time, when the 0.5 probability acquisition time is used as a measure of acquisition time, is reduced by 40% for a cell detection probability of 0.25 and when three sweeps are used. For the same parameters and with four sweeps the acquisition time is reduced by 41%. When the acquisition time probability is set to 0.9 instead of 0.5, the reduction is 25% of the uniform sweep time.

Holmes, J. K.↗

Enhanced data validation strategy of air quality monitoring network

Quick validation and detection of faults in measured air quality data is a crucial step towards achieving the objectives of air quality networks. Therefore, the objectives of this paper are threefold: (i) to develop a modeling technique that can be used to predict the normal behavior of air quality variables and help provide accurate reference for monitoring purposes; (ii) to develop fault detection method that can effectively and quickly detect any anomalies in measured air quality data. For this purpose, a new fault detection method that is based on the combination of generalized likelihood ratio test (GLRT) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) will be developed. GLRT is a well-known statistical fault detection method that relies on maximizing the detection probability for a given false alarm rate. In this paper, we propose to develop GLRT-based EWMA fault detection method that will be able to detect the changes in the values of certain air quality variables; (iii) to develop fault isolation and identification method that allows defining the fault source(s) in order to properly apply appropriate corrective actions. In this paper, reconstruction approach that is based on Midpoint-Radii Principal Component Analysis (MRPCA) model will be developed to handle the types of data and models associated with air quality monitoring networks. All air quality modeling, fault detection, fault isolation and reconstruction methods developed in this paper will be validated using real air quality data (such as particulate matter, ozone, nitrogen and carbon oxides measurement).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Classification and imaging of spent nuclear fuel dry casks using cosmic ray muons - 132

The present work explores alternative approaches for in situ monitoring with near real-time data analysis and imaging of dry casks using muons. Monitoring can provide useful signals about the cask contents in a yes/no decision format faster and with fewer muons than traditional imaging. Imaging can be performed as a second step in this process if specific information about the location of the fuel assemblies is needed. To explore and analyze these two modalities, simulations of muon scattering and displacement were performed for various scenarios, including vertical and horizontal fully loaded dry casks, half-loaded dry casks, dry casks with one row of fuel assemblies missing, dry casks with one fuel assembly missing, and empty dry casks. This work demonstrates monitoring can provide fast and reliable indication about the contents of the cask. For 100,000 muons, a few minutes of measurement time with a 3.6 m{sup 2} detector at a 45 deg. zenith angle, 90% detection probability for missing fuel assemblies can be achieved with a false alarm rate lower than 1%. If a positive signal is detected, then longer measurements can be performed and coupled with muon imaging algorithms to determine the location of missing nuclear material. In these cases, transmission muon radiography can produce images of acceptable resolution for all scenarios. In the horizontal dry cask case, all scenarios can be identified and separated adequately. In the vertical dry cask case, similar conclusions can be drawn, but because of shadowing from other fuel assemblies, the location of a missing fuel assembly cannot be identified in the 2-D transmission map. However, views from different directions may resolve this. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

The High-Energy View of the Broad-Line Radio Galaxy 3C 111

We present the analysis of Suzaku and XMM -Newton observations of the broad-line radio galaxy (BLRG) 3C 111. Its high-energy emission shows variability, a harder continuum with respect to the radio-quiet active galactic nucleus population, and weak reflection features. Suzaku found the source in a minimum flux level; a comparison with the XMM-Newton data implies an increase of a factor of 2.5 in the 0.5-10 keV flux, in the 6 months separating the two observations. The iron K complex is detected in both data sets, with rather low equivalent width(s). The intensity of the iron K complex does not respond to the change in continuum flux. An ultrafast, high-ionization outflowing gas is clearly detected in the Suzaku/X-ray Imaging Spectrometer data; the absorber is most likely unstable. Indeed, during the XMM-Newton observation, which was 6 months after, the absorber was not detected. No clear rollover in the hard X-ray emission is detected, probably due to the emergence of the jet as a dominant component in the hard X-ray band, as suggested by the detection above approx.100 keV with the GSO onboard Suzaku, although the present data do not allow us to firmly constrain the relative contribution of the different components. The fluxes observed by the gamma-ray satellites CGRO and Fermi would be compatible with the putative jet component if peaking at energies E approx. 100MeV. In the X-ray band, the jet contribution to the continuum starts to be significant only above 10 keV. If the detection of the jet component in 3C 111 is confirmed, then its relative importance in the X-ray energy band could explain the different observed properties in the high-energy emission of BLRGs, which are otherwise similar in their other multiwavelength properties. Comparison between X-ray and gamma -ray data taken at different epochs suggests that the strong variability observed for 3C 111 is probably driven by a change in the primary continuum.

Ballo, L.↗

Multiscale hysteresis threshold detection algorithm for a small infrared target in a complex background

In the infrared small target detection, the clutter formed by buildings, trees and protruding clouds is densely distributed and difficult to filter out. The hysteresis threshold detection algorithm utilizes the geometric features of small target to reduce false alarms. Images are filtered in multiple scales, the location and scale of the points of interest are extracted by non-maximum suppression. To determine the connection state of the focus and clutter, local gradient second-order origin moment is proposed to eliminate strong edges. The hysteresis threshold segmentation is performed to exclude stubborn false alarms and detect small targets. Experiments show that the proposed algorithm has a significant effect in removing false alarms, and achieves both the high detection probability and low false alarm probability.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Demonstration of the use of ADAPT to derive predictive maintenance algorithms for the KSC central heat plant

The Avco Data Analysis and Prediction Techniques (ADAPT) were employed to determine laws capable of detecting failures in a heat plant up to three days in advance of the occurrence of the failure. The projected performance of algorithms yielded a detection probability of 90% with false alarm rates of the order of 1 per year for a sample rate of 1 per day with each detection, followed by 3 hourly samplings. This performance was verified on 173 independent test cases. The program also demonstrated diagnostic algorithms and the ability to predict the time of failure to approximately plus or minus 8 hours up to three days in advance of the failure. The ADAPT programs produce simple algorithms which have a unique possibility of a relatively low cost updating procedure. The algorithms were implemented on general purpose computers at Kennedy Space Flight Center and tested against current data.

Hunter, H. E.↗