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DOE OSTI2024

Impact of Varying Dark Energy on Future Large-Scale Structure Studies

The cosmos withholds multiple mysteries such as dark forms of matter and energy that are yet beyond human comprehension. In the standard cosmological model, $\Lambda$CDM, the cosmological constant $\Lambda$ is thought to be responsible for the late accelerated expansion of the Universe. However, recent results from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) suggest the possibility of evolving dark energy, which warrants further exploration. Future surveys such as the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will map the large-scale structure (LSS) with unprecedented precision, giving us valuable statistical information about the cosmos. The goal of this research is to investigate the potential impact of an evolving dark energy scenario on cosmological parameters constrained by LSS probes, as will be mapped by the LSST. For this, we examine the power spectra of lens galaxies, source galaxies, and cross-power spectra between lens galaxies and source galaxies. The combination of these statistics is commonly referred to as '3 $\times$ 2 points'. For this investigation, we created a set of simulations resembling LSST data and used them to perform cosmological parameter inference in two scenarios: one in which the simulated data is based on the fiducial model and another on evolving dark energy. We then examined the degeneracy between the cosmological parameters and checked for potential shifts in the parametric space when the data contains dynamical dark energy but the modeling assumes $\Lambda$CDM. Our findings indicate that mismodeling the dark energy equation of state can significantly impact parameter inference, particularly affecting the total matter density, $\Omega_m$, and the growth of structures, as represented by the $S_8$ parameter. These results highlight the importance of further exploring extensions of the $\Lambda$CDM model in future LSS studies.

Yaman Acharya, A.↗

DOE OSTI2024

On the Emergence of Ferromagnetism in LaCoO 3 Ultrathin Films

It is well known that the properties of a crystal evolve as it increases in size from a single atomic plane to that of the bulk. Such size-dependent transitions can stem from many different origins and depend on minute changes to crystal bonding and composition. Here, a model example is that of LaCoO 3 , which is non-magnetic in the bulk but can display ferromagnetism at the nanoscale. Here, the evolution of structure-property relationships is studied in the LaCoO 3-δ /SrTiO 3 (001) system as the thickness of LaCoO 3-δ is increased from a single plane to 10 unit cells. In situ synchrotron X-ray studies are performed during and post-deposition to probe changes in the interactions between structure, stoichiometry, and magnetic behavior. Structural quantification indicates that the oxygen octahedral rotation pattern evolves with thickness, due to inherent differences in crystal symmetry between the film and substrate. The change in rotation modifies the required energy barrier for the spin state transition via the Co–O bond length and Co–O–Co bond angle, affecting the appearance of ferromagnetism. Our results highlight the contributions of high spin Co 2+ and/or high spin Co 3+ to respective weak and robust ferromagnetism and the evolution of properties with size in ultrathin LaCoO 3-δ heterostructures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Unveiling the Mechanism of Mn Dissolution Through a Dynamic Cathode‐Electrolyte Interphase on LiMn2O4

Abstract Understanding the formation and evolution of the cathode‐electrolyte interphase (CEI), which forms at the interface between the cathode and electrolyte, is crucial for revealing degradation mechanisms in cathode materials, especially for developing strategies to stabilize the interphase in the strongly oxidizing conditions that evolve at high operating voltages in next‐generation Li‐ion batteries. However, The present understanding of the CEI is challenged by its complex and dynamic nature. In this work, near‐edge X‐ray absorption fine structure spectroscopy, electrochemical characterization, and reactive molecular dynamics simulations are combined to reveal a mechanism for CEI formation and evolution above model LiMn 2 O 4 (LMO) thin‐film electrodes in contact with conventional carbonate‐based electrolytes. It is found that Mn dissolution from LMO can be understood in terms of repetitive Mn 3 O 4 formation and dissolution behavior during cycling, which is closely connected to electrolyte decomposition and a key aspect of the CEI formation and growth. The behavior of the CEI in this model system offers detailed insight into the dynamic chemistry of the interphase, underscoring the important role of electrolyte composition and cathode surface structure in interphase degradation.

Ou, Wenhan↗

DOE OSTI2026

Achieving 20.1% Efficiency in Organic Solar Cells Through Interconnected Fibrillar Networks via Local Molecular Stacking

ABSTRACT The performance of organic solar cells (OSCs) is governed by how molecular packing evolves into interconnected networks that facilitate exciton dissociation and charge transport. Using an all‐small‐molecule blend DR3TSBDT:Y6 as a model system, we study how local molecular stacking evolves into performance‐relevant morphology during solvent vapor annealing (SVA) and subsequent thermal annealing (TA). SVA promotes end‐to‐end stacking of amorphous acceptors to form interconnected fibrils, while TA compacts inter‐fibril spacing without disrupting favorable local order. Such molecular‐to‐morphological refinements broaden light absorption, enhance charge transport, and markedly improve device efficiency. Extending this approach to additional blend systems (D18:Y6, D18:L8‐BO, and DR3TSBDT:L8‐BO) yields similar structural evolution and performance gains, with the D18:L8‐BO system achieving up to 20.10% PCE. Our study establishes control over local stacking in amorphous acceptors into fibrillar networks as a general and effective route to realize high‐performance OSCs.

Wu, Junying↗

DOE OSTI2026

Profile Generation for GPU Targets

GPU accelerators are ubiquitous, but their ecosystem is far less evolved than the host one. Compiler heuristics are often tuned for CPUs and reused for GPU. Similarly, tooling and more evolved optimization techniques are historically not available on GPU targets. In this work, we address one of these shortcomings and enable profile generation and profile-guided optimizations (PGO) for GPU targets. While this is only a single step towards a CPU equivalent ecosystem for offload devices, it shows how old misconceptions on the limitations of GPUs are often not warranted anymore. Through our implementation in LLVM/Offload, we enable device-side PGO for full scientific applications and open up tooling opportunities, including code coverage analysis and compiler-built-in roofline analysis. Our evaluation highlights the performance implications of profile generation, the insights gained from these profiles, and the (missed) opportunities in utilizing the information for GPU compilation.

McDonough, Ethan Luis [Lawrence Livermore National↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dynamics of heavy quarks in strongly coupled $\mathcal{N}$ = 4 SYM plasma

We calculate the probability distribution P(k) for a heavy quark with velocity v propagating through strongly coupled N = 4 SYM plasma in the ’t Hooft limit (N c → ∞, λ = g 2 N c → ∞) at a temperature T to acquire a momentum k due to interactions with the plasma. This distribution encodes the well-known drag coefficient η D and the transverse and longitudinal momentum diffusion coefficients κ T and κ L . The jet quenching parameter $\hat{q}$ can be extracted from P(k) for v = 1. Going beyond these known Gaussian characteristics of P(k), our calculation determines all of the higher order and mixed moments to leading order in 1/$\sqrt{λ}$ for the first time. These non-Gaussian features of P(k) include qualitatively novel correlations between longitudinal energy loss and transverse momentum broadening at nonzero v. We show that all higher moments scale characteristically with an effective temperature of the boosted plasma in the heavy quark rest frame, and we demonstrate that these non-Gaussian characteristics can be sizable in magnitude and even dominant in physically relevant situations. We use these results to derive a Kolmogorov equation for the evolution of the probability distribution for the total momentum of a heavy quark that propagates through strongly coupled plasma. This evolution equation accounts for all higher order correlations between transverse momentum broadening and longitudinal energy loss, which we have calculated from first principles. It reduces to a Fokker-Planck equation when truncated to only include the effects of η D , κ T and κ L . Remarkably, while heavy quarks do not reach kinetic equilibrium with the plasma if evolved with this Fokker-Planck equation, by showing that the Boltzmann distribution is a static solution of the all-order Kolmogorov equation that we have derived we demonstrate that heavy quarks do reach kinetic equilibrium if evolved with this equation. Our results thus provide a dynamically complete framework for understanding the thermalization of a heavy quark that may be initially far from equilibrium in the strongly coupled N = 4 SYM plasma — as well as new insight into heavy quark transport and equilibration in quark-gluon plasma.

Holography and Hydrodynamics↗

DOE OSTI2026

Rerouting reductant flux via protein tethering enhances biohydrogen production in Thermococcus kodakarensis

Microbes that generate copious amounts of hydrogen (H 2 ) via dark fermentation are a promising means to evolve and improve renewable biofuels. Many anaerobic hyperthermophilic archaea, such as the fast-growing, genetically tractable, heterotroph Thermococcus kodakarensis, produce generous quantities of H2 and provide an idealized platform to further optimize naturally high levels of biohydrogen reduction. Precise genetic manipulations and modifications to growth conditions have already resulted in substantial increases to H2 output but additional improvements are desired. An unexamined and potentially valuable route towards increased H 2 production is to tether select electron donor and acceptor proteins together to reroute and maximize the flow of electrons towards H 2 production. Such strategies have shown promise in Bacteria and Eukarya but have not yet been investigated in thermophilic Archaea. Here, we generate and evaluate twelve novel T. kodakarensis strains wherein a proteinaceous electron carrier (a ferredoxin, Fd) is physically tethered to the membrane-bound-hydrogenase (MBH), the sole H 2 producing enzyme, to direct electron flux towards biohydrogen generation. Growth assessments and H 2 output measurements demonstrate that strains encoding protein-fusions evolve up to ~ 40% more H2 per cell than the host strain. Eliminating H 2 consumption and alternative routes of electron sinks in concert with protein tethering further increased H2 output per cell for a maximum increase of ~ 66% over the host strain. Our results demonstrate that rerouting electron flux via protein tethering coupled with the elimination of reductant sinks is a promising means towards improved biohydrogen production in T. kodakarensis. KEY POINTS: Protein tethering between redox proteins can reroute electron flux in vivo. Enforced protein proximity results in ~ 40% increases in H2 production per cell. Protein-tethering provides a generalizable framework to redirect redox metabolism.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Adaptive anomaly detection for identifying attacks in cyber-physical systems: A systematic literature review

Modern cyberattacks in cyber-physical systems (CPS) rapidly evolve and cannot be deterred effectively with most current methods, which focus on characterizing past threats. Adaptive anomaly detection (AAD) is among the most promising techniques to detect evolving cyberattacks, with an emphasis on fast data processing and model adaptation. AAD has been researched extensively; however, to the best of our knowledge, our work is the first systematic literature review (SLR) on current research in this field. We present a comprehensive SLR, gathering 397 relevant papers and systematically analyzing 65 of them (47 research and 18 survey papers) on AAD in CPS from 2013 to November 2023. We introduce a novel taxonomy considering attack types, CPS application, learning paradigm, data management, and algorithms. Our findings show that most studies addressed either model adaptation or data processing, but rarely both simultaneously. This indicates a research gap in fully adaptive solutions. We also categorize algorithms, datasets, and attack characteristics, and summarize strengths and weaknesses across the literature. Our review provides a structured and accessible reference for researchers and practitioners, offering insights into key trends and highlighting limitations in current approaches. Finally, we outline several future research directions, including the need for integrated real-time processing and adaptive learning, explainability, and uncertainty quantification in AAD for CPS.

Adaptation↗

DOE OSTI2025

Preserving nonlinear constraints in variational flow filtering data assimilation

Data assimilation aims to estimate the states of a dynamical system by optimally combining sparse and noisy observations of the physical system with uncertain forecasts produced by a computational model. The states of many dynamical systems of interest obey nonlinear physical constraints, and the corresponding dynamics is confined to a certain sub-manifold of the state space. Standard data assimilation techniques applied to such systems yield posterior states lying outside the manifold, violating the physical constraints. This work focuses on particle flow filters which use stochastic differential equations to evolve state samples from a prior distribution to samples from an observation-informed posterior distribution. The variational Fokker-Planck (VFP)—a generic particle flow filtering framework—is extended to incorporate non-linear, equality state constraints in the analysis. To this end, two algorithmic approaches that modify the VFP stochastic differential equation are discussed: (i) VFPSTAB, to inexactly preserve constraints with the addition of a stabilizing drift term, and (ii) VFPDAE, to exactly preserve constraints by treating the VFP dynamics as a stochastic differential-algebraic equation (SDAE). Additionally, an implicit-explicit time integrator is developed to evolve the VFPDAE dynamics. The strength of the proposed approach for constraint preservation in data assimilation is demonstrated on three test problems: the double pendulum, Korteweg-de-Vries, and the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

DyG-DPCD: A Distributed Parallel Community Detection Algorithm for Large-Scale Dynamic Graphs

Dynamic (Temporal) graphs capture the valuable evolution of real-world systems, from the continuously evolving patterns of social interactions and genetic pathways to the dynamic fluctuations of economic forces. Detecting communities for such evolving networks poses unique challenges. Detecting and analyzing the evolution of communities within dynamic graphs unlocks valuable insights into the underlying structural and temporal patterns of real-world systems. However, the sheer volume of modern graph data and the inherent complexity of the temporal dimension pose significant challenges to scalable community detection algorithms. Addressing this gap, our work explores the limited landscape of scalable distributed-memory parallel methods specifically designed for dynamic network community detection. We propose a novel parallel algorithm, DyG-DPCD (Dynamic Graph Distributed Parallel Community Detection), to detect communities in dynamic networks using the Message Passing Interface (MPI) framework. We present a vertex-centric approach, allowing us to detect communities through local optimization. Furthermore, we enhance our baseline algorithm by incorporating three heuristics, which improve the algorithm’s performance significantly while maintaining the quality of the solutions. We demonstrate the efficiency of our algorithm by experimenting on several real-world large-scale networks with hundreds of millions of edges spanning diverse domains. Notably, DyG-DPCD achieves speedups between 25× and 30× for large networks that we experimented on using NERSC compute nodes. In conclusion, our algorithm outperforms the STINGER parallel re-agglomeration algorithm by 30×.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Inferring Stochastic Rates from Heterogeneous Snapshots of Particle Positions

Many imaging techniques for biological systems—like fixation of cells coupled with fluorescence microscopy—provide sharp spatial resolution in reporting locations of individuals at a single moment in time but also destroy the dynamics they intend to capture. In this study, these snapshot observations contain no information about individual trajectories, but still encode information about movement and demographic dynamics, especially when combined with a well-motivated biophysical model. The relationship between spatially evolving populations and single-moment representations of their collective locations is well-established with partial differential equations (PDEs) and their inverse problems. However, experimental data is commonly a set of locations whose number is insufficient to approximate a continuous-in-space PDE solution. Here, motivated by popular subcellular imaging data of gene expression, we embrace the stochastic nature of the data and investigate the mathematical foundations of parametrically inferring demographic rates from snapshots of particles undergoing birth, diffusion, and death in a nuclear or cellular domain. Toward inference, we rigorously derive a connection between individual particle paths and their presentation as a Poisson spatial process. Using this framework, we investigate the properties of the resulting inverse problem and study factors that affect quality of inference. One pervasive feature of this experimental regime is the presence of cell-to-cell heterogeneity. Rather than being a hindrance, we show that cell-to-cell geometric heterogeneity can increase the quality of inference on dynamics for certain parameter regimes. Altogether, the results serve as a basis for more detailed investigations of subcellular spatial patterns of RNA molecules and other stochastically evolving populations that can only be observed for single instants in their time evolution.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

The CMS Statistical Analysis and Combination Tool: Combine

This paper describes the Combine software package used for statistical analyses by the CMS Collaboration. The package, originally designed to perform searches for a Higgs boson and the combined analysis of those searches, has evolved to become the statistical analysis tool presently used in the majority of measurements and searches performed by the CMS Collaboration. It is not specific to the CMS experiment, and this paper is intended to serve as a reference for users outside of the CMS Collaboration, providing an outline of the most salient features and capabilities. Readers are provided with the possibility to run Combine and reproduce examples provided in this paper using a publicly available container image. Since the package is constantly evolving to meet the demands of ever-increasing data sets and analysis sophistication, this paper cannot cover all details of Combine. However, the online documentation referenced within this paper provides an up-to-date and complete user guide.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Paleotribological models using preserved fossil tissue properties reveal functional significance of Eurasian mammoth dental evolution

Eurasian mammoths (Mammuthus) underwent substantial modifications in molar morphology as later-diverging species evolved progressively thinner enamel and increased enamel crest complexity. These features have been hypothesized to reduce whole-tooth wear and extend dental longevity as increasingly graze-dominated diets evolved within the lineage. This hypothesis has yet to be directly tested. Here, in this study, we developed an in-silico wear model using experimentally derived wear rates from fossil and extant proboscidean dental tissues. The models revealed that shifts in tissue topology do not affect whole-tooth wear rate, as inverse trends in lamellar frequency and enamel thickness preserve a consistent surface enamel area fraction; the determining factor of wear. Rather, topological shifts produce a wear-emergent secondary occlusal surface with greater numbers of triturating crests that create a regular, low-relief, file-like shearing pavement. These changes in occlusal architecture likely directly impacted the mastication capacity of Mammuthus dentitions, facilitating their dietary expansion to incorporate fibrous, lower-nutrient graze.

Dental wear↗

DOE OSTI2025

Identification and overexpression of endogenous transcription factors to enhance lipid accumulation in the biotechnologically relevant species Chlamydomonas pacifica

Sustainable low-carbon energy solutions are critical to mitigating global carbon emissions. Algae-based platforms offer potential by converting carbon dioxide into valuable products while aiding carbon sequestration. However, scaling algae cultivation faces challenges like contamination in outdoor systems. Previously, our lab evolved Chlamydomonas pacifica, an extremophile green alga, which tolerates high temperature, pH, salinity, and light, making it ideal for large-scale bioproduct production, including biodiesel. Here, we enhanced lipid accumulation in evolved C. pacifica by identifying and overexpressing key endogenous transcription factors through genome-wide in-silico analysis and in-vivo testing. These factors include Lipid Remodeling Regulator 1 (CpaLRL1), Nitrogen Response Regulator 1 (CpaNRR1), Compromised Hydrolysis of Triacylglycerols 7 (CpaCHT7), and Phosphorus Starvation Response 1 (CpaPSR1). Under nitrogen deprivation, CpaLRL1, CpaNRR1, and CpaCHT7 overexpression enhanced lipid accumulation compared to wild-type. However, CpaPSR1 increased lipid accumulation compared to wild-type in normal media and did not increase further under nitrogen deprivation, highlighting the difference in function based on media conditions. Notably, lipid analysis of CpaPSR1 under normal media conditions revealed a 2.4-fold increase in triglycerides (TAGs) compared to the wild-type, highlighting its potential for biodiesel production. This approach provides a framework for transcription factor-focused metabolic engineering in algae, advancing bioenergy and biomaterial production.

Biofuels↗

DOE OSTI2025

A method for assessing economic, environmental, and reliability tradeoffs of interregional transmission connecting ERCOT (the Texas grid) to the eastern and western grids

Reliable development of the power grid is an evolving concern for humanity due to extreme weather that frequently threatens power sector infrastructure. The state of Texas is a uniquely structured testbed for grid planners to study when looking for solutions to development, innovation, and overcoming such challenges. Because of its size and islanded structure, Texas is small enough to model, but big enough to matter. Texas is a global leader in energy production, energy consumption, and maintains an unusually diverse fuel mix. In addition, the state has experienced winter freezes, heat waves, wind storms, droughts and floods that have threatened power sector infrastructure or caused recent blackouts and calls for demand side conservation. One of the most devastating of these events was the North American winter storm, dubbed “Winter Storm Uri” by the Weather Channel, that froze the region in February 2021 and led to an extended power outage event that put the majority of Texan residents in darkness for days. While preparing to avoid such outage events in the future, various tools have been proposed to improve grid reliability, including energy efficiency, demand response, and distributed energy resources. An additional option would be to develop interregional transmission that connects the Texas grid to other national grids. To assess the merits of this idea, we developed a novel, universally-applicable and internationally-relevant framework to study how the Texas grid would evolve alongside access to various interregional ties. This method allows us to stress the synthetic grid structure and analyze how it would respond to the shock of a simulated winter storm event. Our method leverages open-source modeling tools, such as PowerGenome, pyGRETA, and GenX to synthesize unique zonal grid data, construct a consolidated network of model regions, and simulate different developmental pathways of capacity expansion and operational dispatch. We demonstrate our method with an analysis connecting the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), the grid that serves most of Texas, the Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC), the grid that serves the western half of the contiguous U.S., and the Eastern Interconnect, the grid that serves the eastern half of the contiguous U.S. Our results indicate that the cost-optimal capacity of interregional transmission connecting the ERCOT grid to other grids lies between 9–13 GW assuming baseline conditions. Building this amount of connecting capacity in one or multiple directions lowers the costs and emissions of development and operation by up to $16 billion and 257 million metric tonnes (MMT) respectively. Additionally, our results show that the interregional connections between ERCOT and other national grids reduce the amount of total load shed required through mild winter storm events. However, our results also show that there is a threshold of very extreme winter storm conditions, spanning multiple service areas, above which the connections exacerbate resource adequacy problems. Therefore, the results indicate that the connections need to be carefully planned alongside the rest of the grid infrastructure to avoid over-reliance on specific resources or technology options.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2026

A novel xylosylated fucoglucuronan in Penium reveals structural parallels to rhamnogalacturonan-I and its broad evolutionary footprint in lower plants

Green algae inhabit aquatic environments across the planet and play a crucial role in sustaining the global ecosystem. Ancestors of some Charophytes adapted to terrestrial conditions and eventually evolved into land plants. Extant green algae have inherited traits from their ancestors and evolved into their current morphological and chemical forms, as reflected by their cell walls with distinct shapes and compositions. To illuminate the evolution of plant cell walls and bridge the gap between green algae and land plants, we investigated the charophyte Penium margaritaceum, a close relative of terrestrial plants. We discovered a previously unknown polysaccharide in both its culture medium and cell wall. This polysaccharide, termed xylosylated fucoglucuronan (XFG), possesses a rhamnogalacturonan-I (RG-I)-like backbone composed of repeating [-3-α-Fucp-(1,4)-α-GlcpA-] disaccharides that are extensively xylosylated and acetylated. Surveying approximately 20 non-vascular plants revealed that XFG and RG-I (or related structures) first emerge in certain Chlorophyceae and subsequently co-occur throughout lineages along the evolutionary trajectory to bryophytes, thereby bridging aquatic green algae to early land plants. The striking structural parallels between XFG, RG-I, and ulvan suggest a shared evolutionary origin, offering new insight into how plant cell walls adapted during the transition from marine to freshwater environments and ultimately to land.

Algae↗

DOE OSTI2026

Modeling the Potential Impact of Storage on the US Power Sector in a Multisector Dynamic Context

The electric power sector is expected to grow in size, importance, and complexity around the world as economies expand and electric supply technologies and demand patterns evolve in significant ways. At the same time the electric power sector may see substantial increases in VRE generating technologies which can add variability and uncertainty to the diurnal and seasonal profile of electric supply. With these forces in play, the emergence of modular, flexible electricity storage technologies may have profound impacts on the operation of electric power systems. Here we reduce a storage modeling gap in MSD models by incorporating grid-based electricity storage into the electric sector dynamics of the Global Change Analysis Model-USA (GCAM-USA) with improved power sector representation. We find a potentially significant role for storage technologies in the future of the U.S. power system, with storage capacity ranging from 7.7 to 14.7 GW in 2050 and 13.9 to 31.6 GW in 2100 across several techno-economic scenarios. We also find that storage can help to smooth variability in residual load arising from evolving electricity demands and the introduction of high shares of VRE to the electric grid. This reduces reliance on high-cost peaking generators, improves system-wide capacity factors, and limits curtailment of VRE.

Patel, Pralit L.↗

DOE OSTI2026

Elastic-wave sensitivity-guided adaptive seismic survey design for cost-effective monitoring of geological carbon storage

Effective seismic monitoring is essential for verifying CO₂ containment, detecting potential leakage, and optimizing operational decisions in geologic carbon storage. Here, this study presents a time-adaptive, elastic-wave sensitivity-guided framework for designing cost-effective seismic monitoring layouts for tracking CO₂ plume migration. The method is based on elastic-wave sensitivity analysis, which quantifies how variations in subsurface properties impact seismic wavefields. Two complementary design strategies are developed: one based on selecting a fixed number of seismic sources (Method A), and the other based on selecting source–receiver pairs contributing to a fixed fraction of cumulative elastic-wave sensitivity energy (Method B). The optimization workflow to identify source–receiver configurations with the highest detection potential is demonstrated using a hypothetical GCS scenario at the Kimberlina site in California using simulations of elastic-wave sensitivity data at multiple post-injection timesteps. Results show that both strategies adapt to evolving plume geometries and wavefield sensitivities, with Method B offering broader spatial coverage and Method A ensuring simpler deployment. This framework enables site-specific, cost-effective, and risk-informed seismic survey designs, enhancing the ability to monitor CO₂ migration over time in evolving geological environments

58 GEOSCIENCES↗