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At least 109 records · Page 6

One-Dimensional (1D) Nanostructured Materials for Energy Applications

At present, the world is at the peak of production of traditional fossil fuels. Much of the resources that humanity has been consuming (oil, coal, and natural gas) are coming to an end. The human being faces a future that must necessarily go through a paradigm shift, which includes a progressive movement towards increasingly less polluting and energetically viable resources. In this sense, nanotechnology has a transcendental role in this change. For decades, new materials capable of being used in energy processes have been synthesized, which undoubtedly will be the cornerstone of the future development of the planet. In this review, we report on the current progress in the synthesis and use of one-dimensional (1D) nanostructured materials (specifically nanowires, nanofibers, nanotubes, and nanorods), with compositions based on oxides, nitrides, or metals, for applications related to energy. Due to its extraordinary surface–volume relationship, tunable thermal and transport properties, and its high surface area, these 1D nanostructures have become fundamental elements for the development of energy processes. The most relevant 1D nanomaterials, their different synthesis procedures, and useful methods for assembling 1D nanostructures in functional devices will be presented. Applications in relevant topics such as optoelectronic and photochemical devices, hydrogen production, or energy storage, among others, will be discussed. The present review concludes with a forecast on the directions towards which future research could be directed on this class of nanostructured materials.

Machín, Abniel (ORCID:0000000341343344)↗

What goes up must come down: impacts of deposition in a sulfate geoengineering scenario

The problem of reducing the impacts of rising anthropogenic greenhouse gas on warming temperatures has led to the proposal of using stratospheric aerosols to reflect some of the incoming solar radiation back to space. The deliberate injection of sulfur into the stratosphere to form stratospheric sulfate aerosols, emulating volcanoes, will result in sulfate deposition to the surface. We consider here an extreme sulfate geoengineering scenario necessary to maintain temperatures at 2020 levels while greenhouse gas emissions continue to grow unabated. We show that the amount of stratospheric sulfate needed could be globally balanced by the predicted decrease in tropospheric anthropogenic SO 2 emissions, but the spatial distribution would move from industrialized regions to pristine areas. We show how these changes would affect ecosystems differently depending on present day observations of soil pH, which we use to infer the potential for acid-induced aluminum toxicity across the planet.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Editorial: Microbial C1 Metabolism and Biotechnology

Archaea and bacteria with the capacity to utilize one-carbon (C1) molecules as carbon and energy sources are widespread across the planet and are important players in many biogeochemical processes. As such, they occupy an array of diverse anaerobic and aerobic niches and perform unique metabolisms that enable the utilization of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), carbon monoxide (CO), formate (HCOOH), methanol (CH 3 OH), and methane (CH 4 ) for growth. Several industrial processes have been developed that leverage these microbes for the targeted conversion of anthropogenic waste gases that contain C1 molecules, including natural gas (CH 4 ), anaerobic digestion-derived biogas (CH 4 and CO 2 ), industrial flue gas (CO 2 and CO), and syngas (CO 2 , CO, and H 2 ) (Figure 1). Further, there is increasing interest in electrochemical reduction of CO 2 to CO, CH 4 , and intermediates with increased solubility compared to gaseous C1 molecules (formate and methanol) using electrons derived from renewable sources like wind, solar, or hydrothermal systems to mitigate atmospheric greenhouse gas. Thus, C1-utilizing microbes will likely play an integral role in biotechnologies that are part of a sustainable, circular bioeconomy. However, fundamental knowledge gaps into the metabolism and physiology of these microbes exist that limit their utility as biocatalysts for carbon-efficient biomanufacturing. This special topic presents studies focused on the fundamental aspects of C1 metabolism in diverse microbial systems with the ability to convert anthropogenic greenhouse gases into valuable products.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Editorial: Plant-Soil Interactions Under Changing Climate

The health and well-being of plants and soil is crucial for all life on Earth. It is well-known that vegetation cover follows climatic zones, and plants respond to climatic drivers such as temperature and precipitation. It is also well-known that plant health depends on the properties and health of the soil, and that strong interactions among biota above and belowground dictate the functioning of both realms. Yet, soils and the processes occurring belowground are often considered a “black box,” and are treated very simplistically in our efforts to understand, quantify, and model the future of the planet. Our understanding of the interactions between plants and soils is also far from complete and offers some of the most important research frontiers in community ecology, biogeochemistry, and global change science.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

BD+44°493: Chemo-dynamical Analysis and Constraints on Companion Planetary Masses from WIYN/NEID Spectroscopy

In this work, we present high-resolution (R ~ 100,000), high signal-to-noise ratio (S/N ~ 800) spectroscopic observations for the well-known, bright, extremely metal-poor, carbon-enhanced star BD+44°493. We determined chemical abundances and upper limits for 17 elements from WIYN/NEID data, complemented with 11 abundances redetermined from Subaru and Hubble data, using the new, more accurate, stellar atmospheric parameters calculated in this work. Our analysis suggests that BD+44°493 is a low-mass (0.83 M ⊙ ), old (12.1–13.2 Gyr) second-generation star likely formed from a gas cloud enriched by a single metal-free 20.5 M ⊙ Population III star in the early Universe. With a disk-like orbit, BD+44°493 does not appear to be associated with any major merger event in the early history of the Milky Way. From the precision radial-velocity NEID measurements (median absolute deviation = 16 m s –1 ), we were able to constrain companion planetary masses around BD+44°493 and rule out the presence of planets as small as $m\sin i=2$ M J out to periods of 100 days. This study opens a new avenue of exploration for the intersection between stellar archaeology and exoplanet science using NEID.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Thermodynamics of Minerals Stable near Earth's Surface

Project “Thermodynamics of Minerals Stable Near the Earth’s Surface” uses specialized calorimetric techniques to obtain new thermochemical data for solid phases of interest in the Earth’s “critical zone”, the near surface regions of the planet most directly affecting and affected by human activity. Major activity was in three areas: manganese oxide materials, aluminum clusters which are precursors to aluminum oxyhydroxide precipitates, and zeolites. All these classes of minerals are potential carriers of heavy metals and radionuclides in the environment, both within their crystal structures and as adsorbed layers or colloids. Their thermodynamic stability, as well as the sequence of stability of competing phases, governs the aqueous solubility of contaminants (and nutrients) in soil, groundwater, and sediments. The thermodynamics of these phases is strongly affected by particle size and crystallinity, since they often occur as very fine particles which do not coarsen in the near-surface environment. Many of these materials exhibit extensive polymorphism, multicomponent solid solution, and variable hydration states. Thus, one must define and systematize important thermodynamic variables, since one cannot make measurements on each and every possible phase, particle size, and composition. A major finding of the work on manganese oxides was labile water-induced oxidation-reduction reactions. These will be studied further by a combination of thermodynamic and synchrotron-based spectroscopic methods, the latter in collaboration with Peggy O’Day at UC Merced. The adsorption of other species, including simple organics, on such redox-active surfaces will also be investigated by a combination of thermochemical and spectroscopic studies. Studies of the energetics of water adsorption on mineral surfaces will be expanded to emphasize the adsorption of CO2 and small organic molecules, relevant to soil, groundwater, and the subsurface environment. Gas adsorption calorimetry, immersion calorimetry, and solution calorimetry will be combined with appropriate analytical and spectroscopic techniques to obtain a comprehensive picture of the interactions and their energetics. The evolution of aqueous aluminum clusters to form aluminum oxyhydroxide precipitates will be studied in detail by a combination of calorimetric and structural methods applied to aqueous samples aged at room temperature. The energetics of new classes of clusters will be explored. The project addresses several common themes relevant to the broad mission of the Department of Energy. Thermochemical data for minerals stable near the Earth’s surface, though still incomplete, are essential for understanding both natural and anthropogenic processes that affect our very existence on this planet. Such data contribute to the fundamental underpinning for mitigation and management strategies for the extraction and use of energy. Fundamental thermodynamic and mechanistic understanding is required to model processes ranging from heavy metal pollution to nuclear waste disposal to climate change.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Where Is the Water? Jupiter-like C/H Ratio but Strong H{sub 2}O Depletion Found on τ Boötis b Using SPIRou

The present-day envelope of gaseous planets is a relic of how these giant planets originated and evolved. Measuring their elemental composition therefore presents a powerful opportunity to answer long-standing questions regarding planet formation. Obtaining precise observational constraints on the elemental inventory of giant exoplanets has, however, remained challenging owing to the limited simultaneous wavelength coverage of current space-based instruments. Here, we present thermal emission observations of the nontransiting hot Jupiter τ Boo b using the new wide wavelength coverage (0.95–2.50 μm) and high spectral resolution (R = 70,000) CFHT/SPIRou spectrograph. By combining a total of 20 hr of SPIRou data obtained over five nights in a full atmospheric retrieval framework designed for high-resolution data, we constrain the abundances of all the major oxygen- and carbon-bearing molecules and recover a noninverted temperature structure using a new free-shape, nonparametric temperature–pressure profile retrieval approach. We find a volume mixing ratio of log(CO) = -2.46{sub -0.29}{sup +0.25} and a highly depleted water abundance of less than 0.0072 times the expected value for a solar composition envelope. Combined with upper limits on the abundances of CH{sub 4}, CO{sub 2}, HCN, TiO, and C{sub 2}H{sub 2}, this results in a gas-phase C/H ratio of 5.85{sub -2.82}{sup +4.44} × solar, consistent with the value of Jupiter, and an envelope C/O ratio robustly greater than 0.60, even when taking into account the oxygen that may be sequestered out of the gas phase. Combined, the inferred supersolar C/H, O/H, and C/O ratios on τ Boo b support a formation scenario beyond the water snowline in a disk enriched in CO owing to pebble drift.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

The coexistence of the streaming instability and the vertical shear instability in protoplanetary disks

The streaming instability is a promising mechanism to induce the formation of planetesimals. Nonetheless, this process has been found in previous studies to require either a dust-to-gas surface density ratio or a dust size that is enhanced compared to observed values. Employing two-dimensional global simulations of protoplanetary disks, we show that the vertical shear instability and the streaming instability in concert can cause dust concentration that is sufficient for planetesimal formation for lower surface density ratios and smaller dust sizes than the streaming instability in isolation, and in particular under conditions that are consistent with observational constraints. This is because dust overdensities forming in pressure bumps induced by the vertical shear instability act as seeds for the streaming instability and are enhanced by it. While our two-dimensional model does not include self-gravity, we find that strong dust clumping and the formation (and dissolution) of gravitationally unstable overdensities can be robustly inferred from the evolution of the maximum or the mean dust-to-gas volume density ratio. The vertical shear instability puffs up the dust layer to an average mid-plane dust-to-gas density ratio that is significantly below unity. We therefore find that reaching a mid-plane density ratio of one is not necessary to trigger planetesimal formation via the streaming instability when it acts in unison with the vertical shear instability.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Noble Gas Thermochronology of Extraterrestrial Materials

Rocks from extraterrestrial bodies in the Solar System are influenced by thermal processes occurring within planetary interiors and on their surfaces. These range from the extremely hot and brief, in the case of impact events, to the comparatively cool and protracted, in the case of solar irradiation of rocks residing in regoliths for millions to billions of years. Noble gas thermochronology has been applied to meteorites and extraterrestrial materials returned by space missions and has enabled us to decipher the histories of these materials and thereby understand fundamental aspects of the evolution of terrestrial planetary bodies, including the Moon, Mars, and asteroids.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Collaborative Research: Advancing the Physics of Magnetized Dusty Plasmas (Final Scientific /Technical Report)

A plasma is a gas of charged particles – electrons and positive ions in roughly equal concentrations. Plasmas are formed by stripping electrons from neutral atoms and molecules. It is believed that the plasma state of matter comprises over 99% of the universe. Often the plasma coexists with small (1/1000 of a millimeter) dust particles. Some of the plasma particles collect on the dust grains which cause it to be electrically charged, and so become an integral part of the plasma, forming what is called a “dusty plasma”. The large objects in the universe (planets, asteroids, comets, stars) are formed by combining dust grains into larger and larger objects, eventually held together by their self-gravitational attraction. Thus, an understanding of the processes that control the structure and evolution of the universe, requires that we understand the behavior of dusty plasmas. These plasmas also often are embedded in magnetic fields which has a strong influence on their structure and behavior. Thus, developing an understanding of dusty plasmas in magnetic fields, so-called magnetized dusty plasmas, is also essential. In addition to the dusty plasmas occurring in nature, dusty plasmas play an important role in many plasma-based technologies, such as the production of semiconductor devices, and in the next generation of clean-and-green-energy producing devices based on nuclear fusion. The purpose of the work performed with funding provided in this grant by the United States Department of Energy was to produce and investigate the physics of magnetized dusty plasmas.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Development of Novel Materials for Direct Air Capture of CO 2 : MIL-101(Cr)-Amine Sorbents Evaluation Under Realistic Direct Air Capture Conditions (Final Report)

The overarching goal of this project is to evaluate the CO 2 adsorption properties of a small family of metal-organic framework (MOFs) materials functionalized with amines at sub-ambient conditions. Our goal is to develop capabilities to measure CO 2 adsorption at conditions more relevant to the weather of the planet. For this purpose, Georgia Tech is constructing a “sub-ambient adsorption facility” in partnership with ZCP Sorbent Development, LLC, aimed specifically at rapidly and deeply characterizing the performance of DAC candidate materials in this important operational range (adsorption at -20 to 20 °C and RH of 0-100%). Here, we use the sub-ambient lab instrumentation designed or adapted to study the behavior of the pristine metal organic framework (MOF) MIL-101(Cr) and the MOF in the presence of amines ranging from small molecules (e.g. TREN, tris(2-aminoethylamine)) to oligomers (e.g. PEI, poly(ethyleneimine)). Any DAC sorbent must be amenable to deployment in practical contactors for gas-solid contacting (traditional pellet-based fixed beds are impossible at scale). To this end, we developed and tested these DAC materials in the forms of composite polymer/MOF fibers and custom 3D-printed monolith structures containing MOF DAC sorbents. The proposed studies advance these materials from technology readiness level (TRL) 2 to TRL 3.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Time-resolved Rotational Velocities in the Upper Atmosphere of WASP-33 b

While steady empirical progress has been made in understanding the structure and composition of hot-planet atmospheres, direct measurements of velocity signatures, including winds, rotation, and jets, have lagged behind. Quantifying atmospheric dynamics of hot planets is critical for a complete understanding of their atmospheres, and such measurements may even illuminate other planetary properties, such as magnetic field strengths. In this manuscript we present the first detection of the Balmer lines Hα and Hβ in the atmosphere of the ultra-hot Jupiter WASP-33 b. Using atmospheric models that include the effects of atmospheric dynamics, we show that the shape of the average Balmer line transmission spectrum is consistent with rotational velocities in the planet’s thermosphere of v{sub rot}=10.1{sub −1.0}{sup +0.8} km s{sup −1}. We also measure a low-significance day- to nightside velocity shift of −4.6{sub −3.4}{sup +3.4} km s{sup −1} in the transmission spectrum, which is naturally explained by a global wind across the planet’s terminator. In a separate analysis the time-resolved velocity centroids of individual transmission spectra show unambiguous evidence of rotation, with a best-fit velocity of 10.0{sub −2.0}{sup +2.4} km s{sup −1}, consistent with the value of v {sub rot} derived from the shape of the average Balmer line transmission spectrum. Our observations and analysis confirm the power of time-resolved transmission spectra with a high signal-to-noise ratio to measure the velocity structures in exoplanet atmospheres. The high rotational and wind velocities we measure highlight the need for more detailed 3D global climate simulations of the rarefied upper atmospheres of ultra-hot gas giants.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

The pursuit of net-positive sustainability for industrial decarbonization with hybrid energy systems

We report signatories of the Paris Agreement are set to miss their climate targets. The net-zero pledges announced to date across many countries and private industries are insufficient to achieve carbon neutrality, which requires implementation of far-reaching and significantly scaled-up climate-positive actions. All technology options that pertain to deep decarbonization and carbon removal must be part of the mitigation portfolio. Transformative action plans must be established in which every individual/organization around the globe is an actor of changes in relation to net-zero goals. Such plans must involve governmental policy support but also encourage voluntary efforts to boost innovations, investments, initiatives, and behavioral changes. Recognition of these efforts is made quantifiable with the concepts of carbon handprint and net positivity. This paper presents a carbon handprint perspective on characterizing the environmental benefits of hybrid energy systems (HESs)—a widely applicable solution to cleaner production leveraging the capabilities of a portfolio of low-carbon energy sources—that provide heat and electricity to industrial processes. First, the carbon handprint and net positivity concepts and their calculation approach are introduced. The state of the art of HES-enabled industrial cogeneration is then surveyed, and the greenhouse gas emission intensities of different energy sources that power HESs are compared. Next, drawing on a case study about a US chemical facility's voluntary initiative to explore replacing its fossil fuel–based cogeneration infrastructure with a clean energy–generated HES, several technically viable scenarios are evaluated—especially those with small modular nuclear reactors—to illustrate how the positive-thinking handprint approach helps encourage and inform the search for widespread influence pathways in pursuit of net-positive sustainability. Finally, current knowledge gaps in the case study are identified, and opportunities to scale up the proposed handprint-based analysis are outlined with consideration of an expanded role of HESs in fulfilling climate objectives.It is envisioned that like-minded decision makers in the industry sector and beyond will adopt this perspective and act synergistically to enhance their environmental stewardship through voluntary actions and make greater contributions to the planet's climate future.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A dry ancient plume mantle from noble gas isotopes

Primordial volatiles were delivered to terrestrial reservoirs during Earth’s accretion, and the mantle plume source is thought to have retained a greater proportion of primordial volatiles compared with the upper mantle. This study shows that mantle He, Ne, and Xe isotopes require that the plume mantle had low concentrations of volatiles like Xe and H 2 O at the end of accretion compared with the upper mantle. A lower extent of mantle processing alone is not sufficient to explain plume noble gas signatures. Ratios of primordial isotopes are used to determine proportions of solar, chondritic, and regassed atmospheric volatiles in the plume mantle and upper mantle. The regassed Ne flux exceeds the regassed Xe flux but has a small impact on the mantle Ne budget. Pairing primordial isotopes with radiogenic systems gives an absolute concentration of 130 Xe in the plume source of ∼1.5 × 10 7 atoms 130 Xe/g at the end of accretion, ∼4 times less than that determined for the ancient upper mantle. A record of limited accretion of volatile-rich solids thus survives in the He-Ne-Xe signatures of mantle rocks today. A primordial viscosity contrast originating from a factor of ∼4 to ∼250 times lower H 2 O concentration in the plume mantle compared with the upper mantle may explain (a) why giant impacts that triggered whole mantle magma oceans did not homogenize the growing planet, (b) why the plume mantle has experienced less processing by partial melting over Earth’s history, and (c) how early-formed isotopic heterogeneities may have survived ∼4.5 Gy of solid-state mantle convection.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Reducing the Energy Consumption of Magnetic Resonance Imaging and Computed Tomography Scanners: Integrating Ecodesign and Sustainable Operations

This review aims to provide valuable insights into how energy consumption in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and computed tomography (CT) scanners can be effectively monitored, managed, and reduced, thereby contributing to more sustainable medical imaging practices. Demand for advanced imaging technologies such as MRI and CT scanners continues to increase, and understanding the resultant impact on greenhouse gas emissions requires a thorough evaluation of their energy consumption. Here, this review examines the energy monitoring and consumption characteristics of MRI and CT scanners, highlighting potential approaches for energy savings. An overview of MRI and CT principles, hardware components, and their associated energy consumption is provided. After addressing the technical aspects, the hardware and software requirements essential for accurate energy metering are detailed. Baseline measurements of energy consumption data are then provided as a foundation to understand current usage patterns and identify areas for improvement. Ongoing efforts to reduce energy consumption are categorized into 3 main strategies: operations, scanner design enhancements, and active scanning techniques, including accelerated MRI protocols. Ultimately, we emphasize that achieving sustainability in medical imaging requires collaboration across disciplines. By incorporating eco-friendly design in new imaging equipment, we can reduce the environmental impact, promote sustainability, and set a health care industry standard for a healthier planet.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Electronic density response of warm dense matter

Matter at extreme temperatures and pressures—commonly known as warm dense matter (WDM)—is ubiquitous throughout our Universe and occurs in astrophysical objects such as giant planet interiors and brown dwarfs. Moreover, WDM is very important for technological applications such as inertial confinement fusion and is realized in the laboratory using different techniques. A particularly important property for the understanding of WDM is given by its electronic density response to an external perturbation. Such response properties are probed in x-ray Thomson scattering (XRTS) experiments and are central for the theoretical description of WDM. In this work, we give an overview of a number of recent developments in this field. To this end, we summarize the relevant theoretical background, covering the regime of linear response theory and nonlinear effects, the fully dynamic response and its static, time-independent limit, and the connection between density response properties and imaginary-time correlation functions (ITCF). In addition, we introduce the most important numerical simulation techniques, including path-integral Monte Carlo simulations and different thermal density functional theory (DFT) approaches. From a practical perspective, we present a variety of simulation results for different density response properties, covering the archetypal model of the uniform electron gas and realistic WDM systems such as hydrogen. Moreover, we show how the concept of ITCFs can be used to infer the temperature from XRTS measurements of arbitrary complex systems without the need for any models or approximations. Finally, we outline a strategy for future developments based on the close interplay between simulations and experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

An attribution of the low single-scattering albedo of biomass burning aerosol over the southeastern Atlantic

Abstract. Aerosol over the remote southeastern Atlantic is some of the most sunlight-absorbing aerosol on the planet: the in situ free-tropospheric single-scattering albedo at the 530 nm wavelength (SSA530 nm) ranges from 0.83 to 0.89 within ORACLES (ObseRvations of Aerosols above CLouds and their intEractionS) aircraft flights from late August–September. Here we seek to explain the low SSA. The SSA depends strongly on the black carbon (BC) number fraction, which ranges from 0.15 to 0.4. Low organic aerosol (OA)-to-BC mass ratios of 8–14 and modified combustion efficiency values >0.975 point indirectly to the dry, flame-efficient combustion of primarily grass fuels, with back trajectories ending in the miombo woodlands of Angola. The youngest aerosol, aged 4–5 d since emission, occupied the top half of a 5 km thick plume sampled directly west of Angola with a vertically consistent BC:ΔCO (carbon monoxide) ratio, indicating a homogenization of the source emissions. The younger aerosol, transported more quickly off of the continent by stronger winds, overlaid older, slower-moving aerosol with a larger mean particle size and fraction of BC-containing particles. This is consistent with ongoing gas condensation and the coagulation of smaller non-BC particles upon the BC-containing particles. The particle volumes and OA:BC mass ratios of the older aerosol were smaller, attributed primarily to evaporation following fragmentation, instead of dilution or thermodynamics. The CLARIFY (CLoud–Aerosol–Radiation Interaction and Forcing: Year 2017) aircraft campaign sampled aerosols that had traveled further to reach the more remote Ascension Island. CLARIFY reported higher BC number fractions, lower OA:BC mass ratios, and lower SSA yet larger mass absorption coefficients compared to this study's. Values from one ORACLES 2017 flight, held midway to Ascension Island, are intermediate, confirming the long-range changes. Overall the data are most consistent with continuing oxidation through fragmentation releasing aerosols that subsequently enter the gas phase, reducing the OA mass, rather than evaporation through dilution or thermodynamics. The data support the following best fit: SSA530nm=0.801+0055⋅(OA:BC) (r=0.84). The fires of southern Africa emit approximately one-third of the world's carbon; the emitted aerosols are distinct from other regional smoke emissions, and their composition needs to be represented appropriately to realistically depict regional aerosol radiative effects.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Decoding the dynamics of poleward shifting climate zones using aqua-planet model simulations

Growing evidence indicates that the atmospheric and oceanic circulation experiences a systematic poleward shift in a warming climate. However, the complexity of the climate system, including the coupling between the ocean and the atmosphere, natural climate variability and land-sea distribution, tends to obfuscate the causal mechanism underlying the circulation shift. Here, using an idealised coupled aqua-planet model, we explore the mechanism of the shifting circulation, by isolating the contributing factors from the direct CO 2 forcing, the indirect ocean surface warming, and the wind-stress feedback from the ocean dynamics. We find that, in contrast to the direct CO 2 forcing, ocean surface warming, in particular an enhanced subtropical ocean warming, plays an important role in driving the circulation shift. This enhanced subtropical ocean warming emerges from the background Ekman convergence of surface anomalous heat in the absence of the ocean dynamical change. Additionally, it expands the tropical warm water zone, causes a poleward shift of the mid-latitude temperature gradient, hence forces a corresponding shift in the atmospheric circulation and the associated wind pattern. The shift in wind, in turn drives a shift in the ocean circulation. Our simulations, despite being idealised, capture the main features of the observed climate changes, for example, the enhanced subtropical ocean warming, poleward shift of the patterns of near-surface wind, sea level pressure, storm tracks, precipitation and large-scale ocean circulation, implying that increase in greenhouse gas concentrations not only raises the temperature, but can also systematically shift the climate zones poleward.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗