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At least 109 records · Page 6

Observing System Simulation Experiments to Determine the Impact of Spaceborne Differential Absorption Radar Measurements of Marine Surface Pressure on Numerical Weather Prediction

Surface air pressures over marine regions can potentially be measured by estimating the total atmospheric column oxygen content with differential absorption radar (DAR). A demonstration instrument, the Microwave Barometric Radar and Sounder (MBARS) has been funded by NASA for airborne missions in 2024 to show proof of concept. In this presentation, the potential use of such marine surface pressure observations from a spaceborne DAR platform to improve numerical weather prediction is examined using the NASA/GMAO global Observing System Simulation Experiment. Several aspects of the instrument are explored, including contamination by heavy precipitation and the expected error characteristics of the observations. Different orbit and scan configurations are compared, including various constellations of nadir smallsats and A-Train-type scanning configurations. The impacts of marine surface pressure observations are put into context with the current global observing network with a Forecast Sensitivity Observation Impact tool.

Nikki Privé↗

The Significance of Water Vapor Isotopes in Improving Weather Prediction

Water vapor isotopes carry the integrated history of evaporation, condensation, mixing, and transport. Although previous studies have shown potential to improve forecasts under controlled conditions, real-world applications have been limited by systematic biases in both models and satellite retrievals arising from sparse measurements in the free troposphere. Here we assimilate mid‑tropospheric δD retrievals (peak sensitivity ~4.2 km) from the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer into the Isotope‑incorporated Global Spectral Model and evaluate the added value beyond co‑assimilated temperature and specific humidity with identical spatial and temporal coverage. Assimilating δD improves 0–120 h forecasts of wind, temperature, specific humidity, and geopotential height, with the largest gains in the midlatitudes; heavy‑precipitation skill also increases for thresholds >3 mm per 6 h. Demonstrated in a coarse‑resolution configuration with limited observations, the results indicate that isotopic information strengthens transport tracking and hydrological constraints, motivating evaluation in operational high‑resolution forecasting systems.

Hydrology↗

The Jovian aurora: Electron or ion precipitation

High signal-to-noise spectra of the Jovian aurora at UV wavelengths obtained using the International Ultraviolet Explorer Observatory (including the brightest Jovian aurora observed to date) set strigent upper limits for sulfur and oxygen emissions, which would be associated with the precipitation of energetic heavy ions in the upper Jovian atmosphere if they were solely responsible for Jovian auroral processes. Model calculations of heavy ion precipitation and corresponding estimates of the associated sulfur and oxygen UV emissions previously carried out suggest emission values for 1304 A OI emission that are at least 30 times larger than the upper limit values set by the IUE observations reported. On the other hand the observed (feature of SII at 1256 A of 2 kR) is quite comparable to the theoretically predicted emission intensity. Taken together these observations and calculations suggest that electron as well as ion precipitation play a role in Jovian auroral processes. In light of earlier X-ray observations and in-situ plasma observations that suggest energetic heavy ion precipitation in the Jovian auroral zone, a scenario is suggested where heavy ion auroral energy deposition is concentrated at altitudes below the homopause. Electrons with energies of 10 to 30 keV are responsible for the bulk of the observable UV and EUV emissions since they deposit their energy above the methane absorbing layer defined by the homopause.

Waite, J. H., Jr.↗

The precipitation of energetic heavy ions into the upper atmosphere of Jupiter

Evidence for auroral particle precipitation at Jupiter was provided by the ultraviolet spectrometers onboard the Voyagers 1 and 2 spacecraft and by the International Ultraviolet Explorer (IUE). Magnetospheric measurements made by instruments onboard the Voyager spacecraft show that energetic sulfur and oxygen ions are precipitating into the upper atmosphere of Jupiter. A theoretical model has been constructed describing the interaction of precipitating oxygen with the Jovian atmosphere. The auroral energy is deposited in the atmosphere by means of ionization, excitation, and dissociation and heating of the atmospheric gas. Energetic ion and electron precipitation are shown to have similar effects on the atmosphere and ionosphere of Jupiter.

Horanyi, M.↗

The precipitation of energetic heavy ions into the upper atmosphere of Jupiter

Evidence for auroral particle precipitation at Jupiter was provided by the ultraviolet spectrometers on board the Voyager 1 and 2 spacecraft and by the International Ultraviolet Explorer. Magnetospheric measurements made by instruments on board the Voyager spacecraft indicate that energetic sulfur and oxygen ions are precipitating into the upper atmosphere of Jupiter. A theoretical model describing the interaction of precipitating oxygen with the Jovian atmosphere was constructed. The auroral energy is deposited in the atmosphere by means of ionization, excitation, and dissociation and heating of the atmospheric gas. Energetic ion precipitation and electron precipitation are shown to have similar effects on the atmosphere and ionosphere of Jupiter.

Horanyi, M.↗

The role of energetic O(+) precipitation in a mid-latitude aurora

It is shown that fluxes of precipitating energetic O(+) that have been observed by satellites in the topside ionosphere can explain the magnitude of the N2+(1 N) (first negative) 3914-angstroms and N2(2 P) (second positive) 3371-angstroms emission rate observed during a mid-latitude aurora over Logan, Utah (41 degrees N, 111 degrees W), on 21-22 September 1982. Heavy particle precipitation has previously been invoked to explain the anomalously high populations in the upper vibrational levels of the N2+(1 N) system that are evident in the observed emissions. An improved model is used to investigate the impact of precipitating heavy ions on the atmosphere. The nocturnal thermospheric heating rate and ionization rate during one of these events can be equivalent to the daytime EUV heating and ionization rates. The observed spectrum can be explained by energetic O(+) precipitation to within the uncertainties of the inputs to the model.

Ishimoto, M.↗

Jovian magnetospheric neutral wind and auroral precipitation flux

A theoretical model of the Jovian magnetosphere is used to describe the mechanism by which energy is transported from Jupiter's rotation into heavy ions precipitating into the atmosphere, and resulting in intense ultraviolet aurora. The flow and magnetic field configurations used in the model are drawn from data collected by the Voyager orbiter. It is shown that the observed Jovian auroral radiation power is supplied by the precipitation of heavy ions of Iogenic origin. The ions are created by a charge exchange between the Io torus and fly as neutrals to the outer magnetosphere. A small fraction of the ions are photoionized in the outer magnetosphere where they acquire a magnetic moment determined by the local corotation electric field and planetary magnetic field. As the ions diffuse inward they are energized adiabatically. A schematic drawing illustrating the evolution of this process is provided. It is also shown that Jupiter may be a significant source of heavy ions for the solar wind by means of photoionization of a neutral wind. Secondary charge exchange in the outer magnetosphere could supply a flux of minimum energy neutral atoms that may have been measured by the Voyager Low Energy Charged Particle detector (LECP).

Eviatar, A.↗

Low-altitude measurements of precipitating protons, alpha particles, and heavy ions during the geomagnetic storm on March 26-27, 1976

During the geomagnetic storm of March 16-17, 1976, observations were made of precipitating protons, alpha particles, and heavy ions by two counter telescopes aboard the low-altitude S3-2 satellite. These observations are presented in this paper and their significance discussed. Briefly, a two-zone precipitation region is observed on the nightside, at L equals 2.7 and L equals 4.0 with an alpha/p ratio of about 0.008 in the low-latitude region and about 0.0009 at higher latitude at 0.4 MeV/necleon. The heavier ions, CNO nuclei, are seen in the low-latitude zone with a CNO/alpha ratio of about 0.056 at 0.25 MeV/nucleon.

Scholer, M.↗

Local and Remote Sources of Precipitation during the 1993 Midwestern United States Flood

During June and July of 1993, devastating and persistent rainfall caused substantial damage in the Midwest United States primarily focused on the Mississippi River Basin. Above noma1 springtime rains primed the region for flooding. The resulting wet soil was thought to be a major source of water for the heavy summer precipitation. On the other hand, northward moisture transport was extremely intense during the summer. In this study, we have implemented passive tracers to diagnose the geographic source of water for precipitation, called Water Vapor Tracers (WVT), into the NASA Data Assimilation Office (DAO) Data Assimilation System (DAS). The WVT diagnostics can produce detailed budgets of the geographical sources of water that precipitates in any region, and they consider physical and dynamical tendencies at the model time step. The 1993 summer has been reanalyzed with the new WVT diagnostics to better understand the local and remote source of water for precipitation during the flood. Because the DAS also uses observations of water in the atmospheric hydrologic budget, we will also evaluate the impact of the observations on the local and remote sources of water in the DAS.

Bosilovich, Michael↗

Heavy ion dynamics and auroral arc formation in the Jovian magnetosphere

This paper gives a brief review of some of the current controversial issues surrounding the Jovian aurora. In particular, the manner of its excitation be it that of electron or heavy ion precipitation is examined critically in the context of proposed models for magnetospheric dynamics, particle energization, and auroral energy input. A model for the X-ray aurora based on bremsstrahlung by a primary electron beam and its ionization secondaries is high-lighted and the connection to the outward magnetospheric transport of heavy ion plasma from the satellite Io is made.

Barbosa, D. D.↗

LEICA - A low energy ion composition analyzer for the study of solar and magnetospheric heavy ions

The SAMPEX LEICA instrument is designed to measure about 0.5-5 MeV/nucleon solar and magnetospheric ions over the range from He to Ni. The instrument is a time-of-flight mass spectrometer which measures particle time-of-flight over an about 0.5 m path, and the residual energy deposited in an array of Si solid state detectors. Large area microchannel plates are used, resulting in a large geometrical factor for the instrument (0.6 sq cm sr) which is essential for accurate compositional measurements in small solar flares, and in studies of precipitating magnetospheric heavy ions.

Mason, Glenn M.↗

Multispectral observations of the Jovian aurora

The upper atmospheres of the Earth and the outer planets form a screen on which precipitating charged particles, like the electron beam in a television, trace fleeting, but revealing patterns of visible, ultraviolet, infrared, and x ray emissions that offer valuable clues to processes occurring within the planetary magnetospheres. At Earth, years of in situ measurements, as well as ground based observations, have yielded a picture (still fuzzy) where the interaction of the solar wind with the magnetosphere of the Earth provides a complex path for the storage and release of energy during magnetic substorms; the ultimate manifestation of terrestrial auroral processes. More recent global imaging of substorm events from high above the Earth (greater than 3.5 R(sub e)) by Dynamics Explorer have made a unique contribution towards understanding the global and temporal evolution of such auroral events by providing a morphological perspective and by providing the crucial observational link that allows the separation of spatial and temporal variations inherent in the interpretation of in situ data. A similar role was played by the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) during the recent encounter of Ulysses with Jupiter in helping to define a new paradigm in Jovian auroral physics. The old paradigm portrayed Jupiter's magnetosphere as totally dominated by internal processes (i.e. Io related tori, heavy ions, etc.) where energetic heavy ion precipitation in the inner magnetosphere was solely responsible for the observed auroral phenomena. Ulysses and HST portray a more Earth-like paradigm where electron acceleration in the outer magnetosphere near the boundary with the solar wind plays a distinct role in the formation of auroral hot spots, yet energetic heavy ions also enter into the picture (similar to the role of the energetic ions from the terrestrial ring current during magnetic substorms). These heavy ions as a result of excitation during their transit through the atmosphere produce the x ray emissions observed in Roentgensatellit (ROSAT) x ray energy spectra.

Source record↗

Multispectral observations of the Jovian aurora

This paper presents and analyzes images of the Jovian aurora gathered by the Hubble Space Telescope Faint Object Camera (FOC) and the ROSAT Position Sensitive Proportional Counter (PSPC) to determine the function of energetic heavy ion precipitation in the inner magnetosphere and electron acceleration in the outer magnetosphere. Hubble data includes hydrogen auroral spectra and reduced images of Jupiter's north and south poles. One important result is that acceleration of electrons may be largely responsible for the discrete auroral emission features seen in the data set. ROSAT PSPC data presented includes a photon energy spectrum. A two line emission model is shown to produce the best fit to the data. The production of these emission lines occurs as a result of recombination lines that are produced from the slowing of the energetic ion beam as it enters the Jupiter upper atmosphere. It is noted that the observed energetic ion precipitation does not contain sufficient power to explain the observed ultraviolet aurora; it is therefore concluded that both electrons and ions play a role in the Jupiter auroral emissions, but that the bulk of the ultraviolet emissions comes from electron processes.

Source record↗

Observations of the Jovian System with the Chandra X-Ray Observatory

The {\sl Chandra X-ray Observatory) observed the Jovian system on 25-26 Nov 1999 with the Advanced CCD Imaging Spectrometer (ACIS), in support of the Galileo flyby of Io, and on 18 Dec 2000 with the imaging array of the High Resolution Camera (HRC-I), in support of the Cassini flyby of Jupiter. These sensitive, very high spatial-resolution X-ray observations have revealed that Jupiter's northern x-ray aurora originates at a spot fixed in a coordinate system rotating with the planet at latitude (60--70 deg north) and longitude (160--180 deg System III). Contrary to previous expectations, this location is poleward of the main FUV auroral oval and the foot of the Io Flux Tube, and is apparently connected magnetically to a region of the outer magnetosphere beyond $\sim$30 Jupiter radii. The northern auroral x-ray emission varies with a period $\sim$45 minute and has a an average power of $\sim$1 GW. The earlier view that Jupiter's x-ray aurora resulted from the precipitation of heavy ions from the outer edge of the lo Plasma Torus is now in doubt. Jupiter's disk also emits x-rays with a power of $\sim$2 GW, perhaps resulting from reprocessing of solar x-rays in its atmosphere. These observations reveal for the first time x-ray emission from the Io Plasma Torus, with a power of $\sim$0.1 Gw. The origin of this emission is not currently understood, although bremmstrahlung from non-thermal electrons may play a significant role. Finally, we report the discovery of very faint ($\sim$1--2 MW) soft x-ray emission from the Galilean satellites Io, Europa, and probably Ganymede, most likely as a result of bombardment of their surfaces by energetic ($ greater than $10 keV) H, O, and S ions from the region of the Io Plasma Torus.

Elsner, R. F.↗

The International Summer School on Land Cover Change and Hydroclimate of the La Plata Basin

The La Plata Basin (LPB) in southern South America has been subject to land cover and land use changes (LCLUCs) since colonial times and with an accelerated rate in the last decades and over extensive areas. The work of Ameghino even suggested that there were relations between those land use changes and the frequency of droughts and floods in the region. Despite this early knowledge, not much is known of the potential impacts of LCLUC on the hydroclimate of the La Plata basin. Besides, over the last century much of the La Plata Basin has had a reported increase in precipitation and heavy rains, and these changes along with an increase in population growth - have resulted in more adverse effects from flooding. To draw attention to these issues, during two weeks in November 2009 the International Summer School on Land Cover Change and Hydroclimate of the La Plata Basin was organized at the grounds of the Itaip Hydropower Plant in Brazil. The school was the result of the combination of interests between the La Plata Basin Regional Hydroclimate Project, the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), and the International Hydroinformatics Center (IHC) in Itaip . LPB is an umbrella project endorsed by the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) and the Climate Prediction and Variability (CLIVAR), both of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP). LPB has made a priority to train young scientists and promote interdisciplinary collaborations in areas related to Climate, Hydrology, Ecology and Agriculture. The IAI, with a similar agenda, was a natural partner to develop this Summer School, which in turn benefited from Itaipu s interest in relating with the scientific community of neighboring countries. The choice of location (Itaip Technological Park) was made so that participants could relate research usually done at academic institutions to applications and operations at one of the largest hydropower plants in the world. The school was attended by 45 advanced graduate students and young scientists with different backgrounds from seven countries, including less technically advanced ones in the region..

Berbery, Ernesto Hugo↗

Assessment of Extremes in Global Precipitation Products: How Reliable Are They?

Global gridded precipitation products have proven essential for many applications ranging from hydrological modeling and climate model validation to natural hazard risk assessment. They provide a global picture of how precipitation varies across time and space, specifically in regions where ground-based observations are scarce. While the application of global precipitation products has become widespread, there is limited knowledge on how well these products represent the magnitude and frequency of extreme precipitation—the key features in triggering flood hazards. Here, five global precipitation datasets (MSWEP, CFSR, CPC, PERSIANN-CDR, and WFDEI) are compared to each other and to surface observations. The spatial variability of relatively high precipitation events (tail heaviness) and the resulting discrepancy among datasets in the predicted precipitation return levels were evaluated for the time period 1979–2017. The analysis shows that 1) these products do not provide a consistent representation of the behavior of extremes as quantified by the tail heaviness, 2) there is strong spatial variability in the tail index, 3) the spatial patterns of the tail heaviness generally match the Köppen–Geiger climate classification, and 4) the predicted return levels for 100 and 1000 years differ significantly among the gridded products. More generally, our findings reveal shortcomings of global precipitation products in representing extremes and highlight that there is no single global product that performs best for all regions and climates.

Risk assessment↗

What is the Relationship Between Heavy Ion Outflow and High-Latitude Energetic Precipitation?

Second quarter progress report for year 3 on contract NASW-99002 "What is the Relationship between heavy ion outflow and high latitude energetic particle precipitation". In this Project we are studying the relationship between the fluxes, mean energies, and field-aligned flow speeds of escaping suprathermal H+ and 0+ measured by the TEAMS instrument on FAST and the energy flux of precipitating electrons obtained from the LBHL images taken by the UVI camera on POLAR. In this portion of the project we are using UVI images to tell us when substorm onsets occur and how the auroral zone changes during the course of a substorm. We are correlating this information with TEAMS flux measurements made over the auroral zone at times close to these substorms. The goal is to understand how the flux of suprathermal ion outflow varies with substorm phase.

Wilson, Gordon R.↗