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DOE OSTI2025

Assessing hydrogen supply chains: An integrated review of leakage and energy efficiency studies

This paper examines hydrogen leakage and efficiency across the supply chain for liquid, gaseous, and mixed hydrogen systems. These factors are crucial for assessing hydrogen's role in mitigating emissions and facilitating a clean energy transition. Drawing on a comprehensive review of existing literature and model-based analysis, the study compiles leakage rates and efficiency metrics at each stage of the supply chain: production, storage, transmission, distribution, and end-use. These data inform system scenarios that estimate the impact of leakage on overall performance and climate benefits. The analysis also identifies persistent data gaps, particularly for liquid and mixed system configurations, and outlines priorities for future research. A comparison of hydrogen system types shows that gaseous pathways generally achieve the highest efficiencies (28 %–39 %) and the lowest leakage rates (∼4.5 %) across the supply chain. Liquid hydrogen systems, while favorable for long-distance and high-volume transport due to their higher energy density, exhibit lower efficiency (∼28 %) and a greater leakage potential (∼12 %). Mixed systems, which combine gaseous and liquid elements (e.g., pipeline transmission followed by liquefaction and truck distribution), show compounded energy losses and moderate-to-high leakage rates (6.8 %–9.4 %), highlighting trade-offs associated with added system complexity. The study highlights opportunities for technological advancements, including optimizing liquefaction, enhancing insulation for storage and transportation, and refining refueling equipment. These improvements are crucial for maximizing the climate benefits of hydrogen. The results offer actionable insights for researchers, industry, and policymakers working to develop low-leakage, high-efficiency hydrogen infrastructure.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2020

Numerical predictions of cryogenic hydrogen vertical jets

Here, a comparison of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) predictions with measurements is presented for cryo-compressed hydrogen vertical jets. The stagnation conditions of the experiments are characteristic of unintended leaks from pipe systems that connect cryogenic hydrogen storage tanks and could be encountered at a fuel cell refueling station. Jets with pressure up to 5 bar and temperatures just above the saturation liquid temperature were examined. Comparisons are made to the centerline mass fraction and temperature decay rates, the radial profiles of mass fraction and the contours of volume fraction. Two notional nozzle approaches are tested to model the under-expanded jet that was formed in the tests with pressures above 2 bar. In both approaches the mass and momentum balance from the throat to the notional nozzle are solved, while the temperature at the notional nozzle was assumed equal to the nozzle temperature in the first approach and was calculated by an energy balance in the second approach. The two approaches gave identical results. Satisfactory agreement with the measurements was found in terms of centerline mass fraction and temperature. However, for test with 3 and 4 bar release the concentration was overpredicted. Furthermore, a wider radial spread was observed in the predictions possibly revealing higher degree of diffusion using the k-ε turbulence model. An integral model for cryogenic jets was also developed and provided good results. Finally, a test simulation was performed with an ambient temperature jet and compared to the cold jet showing that warm jets decay faster than cold jets.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2026

System-of-systems optimization of hydrogen infrastructure for heavy-duty freight corridors: The interstate 10 case study

Medium and heavy-duty freight transportation requires hydrogen energy infrastructure that is cost-effective, operationally reliable, spatially coherent, and resilient to demand variability along major corridors. This paper presents an integrated hydrogen corridor planning framework using Oak Ridge National Laboratory's OR-AGENT that couples freight-driven, route-resolved hydrogen demand modeling with optimized station siting, sizing, and station-level techno-economic analysis. The framework is demonstrated for the Interstate 10 freight corridor and the Houston-to-Los-Angeles region. Hydrogen demand is derived from high-resolution origin–destination freight data, duty-cycle characterization, and physics-based energy consumption modeling. Candidate refueling sites are selected from existing heavy-duty diesel fueling locations and optimized subject to onboard storage and station capacity constraints. Resulting station throughputs are evaluated using established techno-economic models for electrolytic hydrogen production and dispensing infrastructure. Results show that a regional, portfolio-level aggregation, average dispensed electrolytic hydrogen cost of $6.87–$7.26/kg is currently feasible, and is strongly influenced by demand density and utilization.

Sujan, Vivek [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000269882342)↗

DOE OSTI2020

Using Resin to Reduce Silica in Borated Fluid - 20072

The Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) strongly recommends the concentration of silica in the reactor coolant be limited, potential ingress be carefully controlled, and frequently monitored to assess potential silica deposits on fuel cladding surfaces. Boraflex is a product with silicone rubber encasing a neutron absorber for criticality control, and it was installed in the majority of nuclear power plant spent fuel pools. Over time and in the presence of radiation, the silicone rubber lining degrades into silica (SiO{sub 2}) and hydrogen gas. Silica is somewhat soluble in water and spent fuel pool water communicates with other plant systems during refueling outages, leading to a buildup of silica in the reactor coolant and connected systems. Due to the prevalence of Boraflex racks in spent fuel pools, the presence of silica is a chronic nuclear industry concern. To address this concern, many nuclear plants have installed reverse osmosis skid systems to remove the silica from their spent fuel pools and, by extension, from reactor coolant. These skids are expensive to install and maintain. Arcadis personnel demonstrated that an iron-impregnated resin could be used to remove silica from borated systems without impacting the water quality. The resin was readily available, inexpensive, and easy to install in existing plant equipment. During a nuclear power plant's refueling outage the iron-impregnated resin proved to be effective in reducing the need for feed and bleed operations, with concurrent cost savings and reduction in required outage water management activities. Thus, the following savings were realized: - Eliminated the need to purchase, install, and maintain a reverse osmosis system avoiding more than $10 million in up-front capital cost and ongoing operating and maintenance costs. - Removed 9.57 kilograms (21 pounds) of silica dioxide from the primary system fluid. - Reduced the volume of feed and bleed from 70,000 gallons (2.65 E+05 liters) to 35,000 gallons (1.32 E+05 liters). - Saved $380,000 in water production and disposal costs. (author)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2023

Liquid hydrogen storage system for heavy duty trucks: Configuration, performance, cost, and safety

In this work, we investigate the potential of liquid hydrogen storage (LH 2 ) on-board Class-8 heavy duty trucks to resolve many of the range, weight, volume, refueling time and cost issues associated with 350 or 700-bar compressed H 2 storage in Type-3 or Type-4 composite tanks. We present and discuss conceptual storage system configurations capable of supplying H 2 to fuel cells at 5-bar with or without on-board LH 2 pumps. Structural aspects of storing LH 2 in double walled, vacuum insulated, and low-pressure Type-1 tanks are investigated. Structural materials and insulation methods are discussed for service at cryogenic temperatures and mitigation of heat leak to prevent LH 2 boiloff. Failure modes of the liner and shell are identified and analyzed using the regulatory codes and detailed finite element (FE) methods. The conceptual systems are subjected to a Failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA) and a safety, codes, and standards (SCS) review to rank failures and identify safety gaps. The results indicate that the conceptual systems can reach 19.6% usable gravimetric capacity, 40.9 g-H 2 /L usable volumetric capacity and $174-183/kg-H 2 cost (2016 USD) when manufactured 100,000 systems annually.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2022

BayoTech Risk and Modeling Support of NM Gas Site

The BayoTech hydrogen generation system has been evaluated in terms of safety considerations at the NM Gas site. The consequence of a leak in different components in the system was evaluated in terms of plume dispersion and overpressure. Additionally, the likelihood of a leak scenario for different hydrogen components was identified. The worst-case plume dispersion cases, full-bore leaks, resulted in relatively large plumes. However, these cases were noted to be far less likely than the partial break cases that were evaluated. The partial break cases resulted in nearly negligible plume lengths. Similarly, the overpressure analysis of the full-bore break scenarios resulted in much larger overpressures than the partial break cases (which resulted in negligible overpressure at the lot line). There were several cases evaluated in the analysis that represented leak scenarios from both hydrogen and natural gas sources. Generally, the natural gas leak scenarios resulted in a smaller horizontal impact than that of hydrogen leaks. The worst-case consequence from a hydrogen leak resulted from the compressors, storage pods, or dispensing system. To consider the safety features that may isolate the leak, the consequence was evaluated at different times after the leak event to show the reduction of pressure. After 2 seconds, the plume dispersion from this event is contained within the perimeter of the site. The worst-case consequences show that the plume may disperse to adjacent facilities and to the street. When considering both likelihood and consequence, the risk may be considered low because the maximum frequency of a full-bore leak from any component within the hydrogen compound is 8.2 E-5/yr. This means that a full-bore leak is expected to occur less than once every 10,000 years. The risk can be further reduced by implementing mitigative countermeasures, such as CMU walls along the sides of the equipment compound. This would reduce the overall consequence of the worst-case dispersion scenarios (horizontal impact of plume). In terms of siting and safety analysis, the NFPA 2 code was used to provide a high-level evaluation of the current site plan. The most limiting equipment in terms of set-back distance are the compressors/storage units because of the high-pressure hydrogen. The site layout was evaluated for an acceptable location for the compression/storage unit based on NFPA 2 set-back distances. It is important to note that the NFPA 2 set-back distances consider both likelihood and consequence. This is important because the worst-case results evaluated herein also represent the least likely leak scenario. Other site-specific considerations were evaluated, including the parking shade structure with photovoltaic cells and refueling vehicles. These issues were dispositioned and determined to not present a safety risk.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2021

Hydrogen Component Leak Rate Quantification for System Risk and Reliability Assessment through QRA and PHM Frameworks: Preprint

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL) Hydrogen Safety Research and Development (HSR&D) program in collaboration with the University of Maryland's Systems Risk and Reliability Analysis Laboratory (SyRRA) are working to improve reliability and reduce risk in hydrogen systems. This approach strives to use quantitative data on component leaks and failures, together with Prognosis and Health Management (PHM), and Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) to identify at-risk components, reduce component failures and downtime, and predict when components require maintenance. Hydrogen component failures increase facility maintenance cost, facility downtime, and reduce public acceptance of hydrogen technologies, ultimately increasing facility size and cost because of potentially overly conservative requirements. Leaks are a predominant failure mode for hydrogen components. However, uncertainties in the amount of hydrogen emitted from leaking components and the frequency of those failure events limit the understanding of the risks that they present under real-world operational conditions. NREL has deployed a test fixture, the Leak Rate Quantification Apparatus (LRQA), to quantify the mass flow rate of leaking gases from medium and high-pressure components that have failed while in service. Quantitative hydrogen leak rate data from this system could ultimately be used to better inform risk assessment and Regulation Codes and Standards (RCS). Parallel activity explores the use of PHM and QRA techniques to assess and reduce risk, thereby improving safety and reliability of hydrogen systems. The results of QRAs could further provide a systematic and science-based foundation for the design and implementation of RCS, as in the latest versions of the NFPA 2 code for gaseous hydrogen stations. Alternatively, data-driven techniques of PHM could provide new damage diagnosis and health-state prognosis tools. This research will help end users, station owners and operators, and regulatory bodies move towards risk-informed preventative maintenance versus emergency corrective maintenance, reducing cost and improving reliability. Predictive modelling of failures could improve safety and affect RCS requirements such as setback distances at liquid refuelling sites. The combination of leak rate quantification research, PHM, and QRA can lead to better informed models enabling data-based decision to be made for hydrogen system safety improvements.

codes and standards↗

DOE OSTI2024

Refueling Infrastructure Deployment in Low-Income and Non-Urban Communities

The U.S. National Blueprint for Transportation Decarbonization identifies the need to invest in infrastructure supporting low- and zero-emission vehicles, especially in low-income and overburdened communities, to eliminate nearly all greenhouse gas emissions from the transportation sector by 2050. The alternative fuel vehicle refueling property tax credit (26 U.S. Code § 30C) includes eligibility criteria intended to encourage investment in underserved communities based on the economic characteristics or urban character of the census tract in which the fueling infrastructure is installed. Eligible census tracts are those that qualify for the New Markets Tax Credit or that are not located within urban areas as defined by the U.S. Census Bureau. This study quantifies how many fueling-related amenities are currently located in census tracts that qualify and do not qualify for the 30C tax credit based on IRS Notice 2024-20. For existing electric vehicle charging stations, 51% of Level 2 and 60% of Direct Current Fast Charging public stations are located in eligible census tracts. 73% of natural gas, propane, and hydrogen fueling stations are in qualifying census tracts and 75% of biodiesel and renewable fuel stations are in qualifying census tracts. This compares with 73% of existing gas stations in eligible census tracts. For deploying the refueling infrastructure to satisfy future demand, this study shows that truck stops (94%), commercial truck stops (92%), and Federal Highway alternative fuel corridors (89%) are predominantly located in eligible locations. Additionally, significant percentages of the population (62%), light-duty vehicle registrations (64%), and medium- and heavy-duty vehicle registrations (68%) fall within eligible areas.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Sustainable Port Operations: Powered by NREL

Seaports are vital economic hubs that allow the United States to compete on a global scale. But the heavy vehicles and cargo equipment that enable their operations also emit harmful air pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions. For nearly two decades, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) researchers have worked toward comprehensive seaport decarbonization. They fuse world-class analysis with deep vehicle and transportation systems knowledge to guide strategic deployment of low- and zero-emissions vehicles, charging and refueling infrastructure, and grid improvements. Together, these capabilities can enable sustainable port operations. This fact sheet outlines major seaport and airport decarbonization capabilities across the laboratory, including: fleet research, energy data, and insights for decarbonization; comprehensive hydrogen infrastructure deployment; optimized charging through grid integration; strategic blueprinting for clean, optimized technology deployment; and integrating diversity, equity, inclusion, and accessibility considerations into decarbonization efforts.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY CONSERVATION, C↗

DOE OSTI2020

The cold high-pressure approach to hydrogen delivery

In view of the very expensive and wasteful nature of today's approaches to H 2 delivery, in this work we explore the possibility of transporting cold (200 K) high pressure (875 bar) H 2 in thermally insulated trailers and dispensing H 2 directly from the trailer, with the potential to eliminate station compressor, cascade, and refrigerator, leading to major reductions in station complexity, maintenance, electricity consumption, and cost, while improving functionality by enabling essentially unlimited back to back refuels, and improving safety due to reduced H 2 expansion energy at low temperature. Detailed techno-economic analysis shows promise for substantial delivery cost reductions through cold high pressure H 2 dispensed directly from the trailer. Results indicate that: (1) Terminal operations for cold high pressure H 2 delivery are $\$$0.32/kg H 2 more expensive than for 350 bar compressed gas delivery (today's lowest cost H 2 delivery technology) due to higher level of pressurization (to 1000 bar) and chilling needs (to 165 K). (2) Trailer cost drops slightly ($\$$0.73 vs. $\$$0.81/kg H 2 for a 350 bar trailer) due to increased capacity (1035 kg H 2 delivered vs. 700 kg) compensating for increased capital cost ($\$$906,900 for cold high pressure H 2 vs. $\$$634,000 for 350 bar trailer). (3) Cold hydrogen delivery presents major advantages in fueling station cost, reduced from $\$$1.27 to $\$$0.46/kg H 2 due to elimination of major system components: compressor, cascade, and chiller. (4) Total compression cost (terminal + station) drops from $\$$0.92/kg H 2 ($\$$0.32 terminal and $\$$0.60 station) for 350 bar trailers to $\$$0.55/kg H 2 (all at the terminal) for cold high pressure H 2 . (5) Elimination of small-scale station compressors is the main contributor to reduced delivery cost due to their inefficiency, capital expense, and maintenance needs. In summary, total delivery cost reduction vs. 350 bar trailer equals $\$$0.58/kg H 2 (from $\$$2.96 to 2.38/kg H 2 ), equivalent to 24% of the total delivery cost. This large cost advantage will improve the economics of H 2 vehicles facilitating the transition to a future of zero emission transportation.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2025

Foam-insulated cryo-compressed hydrogen storage vessels for buses

Here, large reductions (40 % vs. compressed gaseous hydrogen vessels and 17 % vs. vacuum insulated cryo-compressed vessels) in hydrogen storage system cost are possible by operating buses with foam-insulated cryo-compressed hydrogen (CcH 2 ) vessels. Detailed thermodynamic analysis reveals that large size and rapid H 2 consumption in buses compensate for the poor performance of foam insulation (∼100 times more conductive than vacuum multilayer insulation), resulting in compact and inexpensive H 2 storage systems with sufficient H 2 capacity for the longest routes (500 km) while maintaining previously identified advantages of CcH 2 systems: increased autonomy, rapid high density refueling, and improved safety, while simultaneously avoiding vacuum insulation stability problems resulting from composite resin outgassing.

Cryo-compressed↗

DOE OSTI2023

Energy Transitions Initiative Partnership Project: Alaska Longline Fishermen’s Association Alternative Fuels Review

This report provides information about additional options in electrifying the Alaska Longline Fishermen’s Association (ALFA) fishing fleet. Currently, the Energy Transitions Initiative Partnership Project is prioritizing electric hybrid and battery electric options for retrofit of select fishing vessels in the fleet. However, there are other options for reducing carbon emissions among the fleet, namely hydrogen, ammonia, and biofuels. The use of these alternative fuels may be an option for the fleet in the future as ALFA addresses its vulnerabilities. A literature review of available resources on these fuels was conducted to provide information on several topics associated with implementation of these technologies, including current applications, commercially available power modules, necessary components, infrastructure, and safety codes and standards. An additional aspect that this report investigates is general sizing and refueling schedule based on operating records of multiple ships in the fleet.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Energy Transitions Initiative Partnership Project: Alaska Longline Fishermen’s Association Alternative Fuels Review

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2023

LOCOMOTIVES - Comprehensive Impact and Cost Assessment Framework of Carbon Lowering Approaches for the US Rail Freight System

The goal of this project is to develop a tool to aid railroads and other stakeholders assess and approach the decarbonization of freight rail operations by identifying new, viable low-carbon energy storage and conversion systems for future locomotive systems and how they should be deployed on the existing US freight rail network. In the first quarter, the project focused on collecting data, establishing a simulation workflow, and engaging industry through the creation of the Industry Advisory Board (IAB). In the second quarter, the project focused on selecting fuel pathways and powertrain technologies, setting performance targets, conducting a techno-economic analyses, and developing the simulation framework that would serve as the backbone of the future toolhead. The third quarter involved developing an industry-oriented interactive dashboard powered by a five-step sequential framework, as well as holding industry advisory board meetings as per the initial technology-to-market plan. In the remaining project quarters, the NUFRIEND dashboard were fine-tuned with the help of IAB member feedback and in-depth scenario analyses were conducted to support the techno-economic analysis of energy sources. Additionally, dashboard documentation, project insights, and open-source code on GitHub were prepared and released. Throughout the project, the team completed testing and analysis of all model components, integrated all initial test scenarios, and conducted stakeholder engagement. Lower-carbon drop-in fuels can be deployed as admixtures and are considered uniform across the network at a desired penetration rate, while hydrogen and battery-electric technology deployment poses a more complex problem as they require significant investments to be made in the siting of refueling/charging facilities and the replacement of locomotive fleets. Thus, strategies for locating and sizing refueling/charging facilities on a railroad’s network to meet their energy demands were developed to inform deployment decisions. To address this challenge, the Northwestern University Freight Rail Infrastructure & Energy Network Decarbonization (NUFRIEND) framework presents a five-step sequential framework to select O-D paths, locate facilities, reroute flows, size facilities, and evaluate the deployment for alternative energy sources that require locomotive powertrains to be converted and new refueling infrastructure to be deployed. The NUFRIEND Framework is an industry-oriented tool for simulating the deployment of new energy technologies across the US freight rail network. The framework provides a comprehensive network-level optimization and scenario simulation tool for decarbonizing the freight rail sector, addressing the uncertainties surrounding technological developments by supporting sensitivity analyses for different operational and technological parameters through a transparent and flexible input module. It offers practical alternatives to diesel locomotives and can be applied for any railroad considering the specific network structure and freight demand, outputting evaluation metrics for the associated emissions and costs relative to diesel operations. A number of relevant simulation scenarios were run and analyzed for key insights on the value of different alternative technologies for freight rail decarbonization. The project developments and findings have been presented at numerous conferences and events.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2022

Precooling system utilizing cryogenic liquid fuels for fueling pressurized vehicle gaseous onboard storage tank system with controlled dispensing temperatures

A method and a precooling system are provided for precooling gaseous fuel supplied for fueling pressurized gaseous vehicle onboard storage tank systems. The precooling system is used in pressurized gaseous fueling stations with source fuels in cryogenic state, such as liquid hydrogen (LH2) and liquefied nature gas (LNG). A thermal buffer heat exchanger includes a heat exchanger medium, and a cold loop and a warm loop contained in the heat exchanger medium. A control unit is configured for controlling cryogenic fuel supplied to the cold loop for cooling the thermal buffer heat exchanger. The thermal buffer heat exchanger enables precooling high pressure gaseous fuel to a preset temperature supplied to a dispenser supplying high pressure gaseous fuel to refuel a vehicle onboard storage tank system.

Elgowainy, Amgad A.↗

DOE OSTI2020

The role of infrastructure to enable and support electric drive vehicles: A Transportation Research Part D Special Issue

Widespread vehicle electrification appears to be necessary to achieve timely and deep reductions in greenhouse gases (GHG) and pollutant emissions as well as petroleum use in the transportation sector. The lack of a sufficient refuelling infrastructure has defeated many past efforts to promote alternatives to petroleum fuels. The papers in this special issue on the “Role of Infrastructure to Enable and Support Electric Drive Vehicles” address the diverse challenges posed by a transition from fossil-fuelled internal combustion engine vehicles to vehicles powered by electric motors and the special role of refuelling/recharging infrastructure in this transition. Electric drive vehicles are herein considered to be plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs), including plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), battery electric vehicles (BEVs), and hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs). BEVs and FCEVs are also known as Zero Emission Vehicles (ZEVs) because their propulsion systems produce no tailpipe emissions.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Reconstruction and interpretation of ionization asymmetry in magnetic confinement via synthetic diagnostics

Abstract Strong poloidal refueling asymmetry in the DIII-D tokamak is inferred from line radiation measurements. Synthetic diagnostics in neutral transport modeling coupled to gyrokinetic simulations illuminate implications for the plasma flow profile in the scrape-off layer of single-null beam-driven discharges. Recycling occurs primarily either on the inner or outer divertor legs, depending on the toroidal magnetic field direction. By reversing the toroidal magnetic field, the observed line radiation asymmetry is nearly eliminated or reversed. It is determined that, while relatively simple physics can describe the observed ionization asymmetry, predicting the overall brightness of the hydrogenic Lyman- α signal requires detailed simulation of the plasma and resulting turbulence. To this end, kinetic plasma simulations fully coupled to comprehensive neutral transport calculations—a novel capability—provide first-principles reproduction of Lyman- α observations on DIII-D.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Admissible Powertrain Alternatives for Heavy-Duty Fleets: A Case Study on Resiliency and Efficiency

Heavy-duty vehicles dominate global freight movement and primarily rely on fossil-derived diesel fuel. However, fluctuations in crude oil prices and evolving emissions regulations have prompted interest in alternative powertrains to enhance fleet energy resiliency. This study paired real-world operational data from a large commercial fleet with high-fidelity vehicle models to evaluate the potential for replacing diesel internal combustion engine (ICE) trucks with alternative powertrain architectures. The baseline vehicle for this analysis is a diesel-powered ICE truck. Alternatives include ICE trucks fueled by bio- and renewable diesel, compressed natural gas (CNG) or hydrogen (H 2 ), as well as plug-in hybrid (PHEV), fuel cell electric (FCEV), and battery electric vehicles (BEV). While most alternative powertrains resulted in some payload capacity loss, the overall fleetwide impact was negligible due to underutilized payload capacity for the specific fleet considered in this study. For sleeper cab trucks, CNG-powered trucks achieved the highest replacement potential, covering 85% of the fleet. In contrast, H 2 and BEV architectures could replace fewer than 10% and 1% of trucks, respectively. Day cab trucks, with shorter daily routes, showed higher replacement potential: 98% for CNG, 78% for H 2 , and 34% for BEVs. However, achieving full fleet replacement would still require significant operational changes such as route reassignment and enroute refueling, along with considerable improvements to onboard energy storage capacity. Additionally, the higher total cost of ownership (TCO) for alternative powertrains remains a key challenge. This study also evaluated lifecycle impacts across various fuel sources, both fossil and bio-derived. Bio-derived synthetic diesel fuels emerged as a practical option for diesel displacement without disrupting operations. Conversely, H 2 and electrified powertrains provide limited lifecycle impacts under the current energy scenario. This analysis highlights the complexity of replacing diesel ICE trucks with admissible alternatives while balancing fleet resiliency, operational demands, and emissions goals. These results reflect a US-based fleet’s duty cycles, payloads, GVWR allowances, and an assumption of depot-only refueling/recharging. Applicability to other fleets and regions may differ based on differing routing practices or technical features such as battery swapping.

BEV↗