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DOE OSTI2026

Seawater Acidification and Bubble Plume Dispersion from Accidental Subsea CO 2 Pipeline Rupture: A Multiphase CFD Study

If a CO 2 reservoir or transmission pipeline were to leak, both the surrounding ecology and maritime traffic safety could be put at risk. To better understand and prepare for this risk, multiphase Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) models were built in ANSYS Fluent to capture the behavior of a leak once it enters the water. A 3D Eulerian–Eulerian model was used for validation, while a simplified 2D model was applied to simulate conditions at a 50-m depth. The models integrate bubble dynamics, gas holdup, CO 2 dissolution, dissolved species transport, and seawater acidification into a unified CFD framework. Mass transfer was calculated using the Hughmark correlation, and local seawater temperature and salinity were factored in to determine dissociation behavior and the relevant Henry’s Law constant. To confirm the 3D model’s accuracy, results were checked against two experimental datasets: the QICS field study and the Hauser Tank experiments. The team also modeled a hypothetical release scenario at the High Island 10L site and compared the results with earlier published work. The results show that at a depth of 50 m, the surrounding water column can completely absorb a CO 2 release at a rate of 35 kg/s, since the gas dissolves into the seawater as it rises toward the surface. Beyond confirming this mitigation capacity, the simulations shed light on how a leak would actually unfold in the environment, including the shape and movement of the rising bubble plume, how much CO 2 dissolves along the way, and the resulting shifts in seawater pH and pCO 2 . Together, this provides a practical framework for assessing how CO 2 leaks could affect marine environments in the Gulf of Mexico.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

The economic and environmental costs and benefits of the renewable fuel standard

Abstract Mandates, like the renewable fuel standard (RFS), for biofuels from corn and cellulosic feedstocks, impact the environment in multiple ways by affecting land use, nitrogen (N)-leakage, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. We analyze the differing trade-offs these different types of biofuels offer among these multi-dimensional environmental effects and convert them to a monetized value of environmental damages (or benefits) that can be compared with the economic costs of extending these mandates over the 2016–2030 period. The discounted values of cumulative net benefits (or costs) are then compared to those with a counterfactual level of biofuels that would have been produced in the absence of the RFS over this period. We find that maintaining the corn ethanol mandate at 56 billion l till 2030 will lead to a discounted cumulative value of an economic cost of $199 billion over the 2016–2030 period compared to the counterfactual scenario; this includes $109 billion of economic costs and $85 billion of net monetized environmental damages. The additional implementation of a cellulosic biofuel mandate for 60 billion l by 2030 will increase this economic cost by $69 billion which will be partly offset by the net discounted monetized value of environmental benefits of $20 billion, resulting in a net cost of $49 billion over the 2016–2030 period. We explore the sensitivity of these net (economic and environmental) costs to alternative values of the social costs of carbon and nitrogen and other technological and market parameters. We find that, unlike corn ethanol, cellulosic biofuels can result in positive net benefits if the monetary benefits of GHG mitigation are valued high and those of N-damages are not very high.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Deep learning inversion of gravity data for detection of CO 2 plumes in overlying aquifers

In this work, we developed an effective U-Net based deep learning (DL) model for inversion of surface gravity data on a rectangular grid to predict 2-D high-resolution subsurface CO 2 distribution along a vertical cross-section due to CO 2 leakage through a wellbore within a deep CO 2 storage reservoir. We used synthetic data to model two types of CO 2 leakage scenarios: one CO 2 plume in a shallow aquifer (single plume case), and two plumes present at different depths (double plume case). The 3-D synthetic plume samples were created by sampling among predetermined CO 2 plume depths, saturations, and volumes. The corresponding surface gravity data on a rectangular grid were generated by a 3-D forward model. The U-Net model detected 72% of single-plume samples, and one or both plumes in 75% of double-plume samples. Most of the undetected single plumes have small gravity field strengths below the typical noise level of 5 μGal. This model generated reproducible, reliable predictions with acceptable errors and demonstrated improved spatial resolution over the conventional least-squares inversion. In contrast to the conventional least-squares inversion, which often overestimates the size of its target and underestimates its density, this U-Net model accurately delineated the boundary of a target. Furthermore, this DL inversion detected deep, small, or low saturation CO 2 plumes that are often more difficult to resolve with conventional gravity inversion methods. We note the limitations of this feasibility study, including the use of synthetic data with regular CO 2 plume shapes, and the prediction of a 2-D plume cross-section rather than the full 3-D plume, as well, we recognize the lower detection fraction for double-plume scenarios. Nevertheless, this study demonstrates that DL gravity inversion is a promising and potentially superior method to conventional least-squares inversion. Our U-Net based deep learning inversion approach may be adapted for inversion of other types of geophysical data. DL inversion can facilitate near real-time monitoring of geologic carbon sequestration to provide site operators with prompt information about subsurface CO 2 distribution for risk management and mitigation.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Methane Mitigation Thermoelectric Generator (MMTEG) (Final Scientific/ Technical Report)

Gas Technology Institute (GTI) has completed a $1.815M (plus $500K cost share), 54-month Co-operative agreement with the Department of Energy’s National Energy Technology Laboratory to develop a Methane Mitigation Thermoelectric Generator (MMTEG) system for gas field applications. This novel system uses fugitive gas to produce electrical power and consists of Thermoelectric Generators (TEG) driven by a linear burner, an air compressor, an accumulator, valves, batteries, and power electronics. The electrical power generated by the system is used to compress air and, in turn, the air is used to operate the pneumatic valves at the well site instead of using natural gas (NG) which would then be vented. The team completed the project objectives which included (1) Design, fabricate and test an integrated 6We nominal MMTEG prototype system, (2) Design a “retrofit kit” MMTEG system capable of being field tested at a gas well production site, and (3) build and test the field MMTEG system in a laboratory environment. Multiple system options were developed prior to selecting a “Passive” system which meets cost, NG savings, and greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction targets although not as efficient as initially planned. The MMTEG system is built primarily from commercial off-the-shelf parts (in some cases re-purposed) including the heat exchanger, heat rejection, electronic components, and also the TEGs. The team developed and implemented a novel system including the control system developed by Morrison Applied Sciences (MAS). The team completed incremental demonstrations of the hardware prior to the MMTEG system demonstration. A one-year simulation of the air delivery and battery charging subsystems was completed prior to the integration into the MMTEG system. In addition, the team simulated two-years of thermal cycles for integrated Burner/TEG/heat rejection subsystem. Finally, the entire MMTEG system was assembled, and troubleshooting was completed over a two-week period. Next, the MMTEG system was tested to simulate over 15 weeks of entire system operation over approximately four weeks in an accelerated test fashion with minimal intervention (such as changing fuel tanks). The MMTEG system met the key goals of a unit cost of under $1500 while saving 97% of NG expended today (including leakage) on average by pneumatic systems venting to the atmosphere. The MMTEG system reduced GHG emissions by 1000X (using the methane intensification factor of 28 relative to CO2). GTI is currently pursuing a field test of the MMTEG system. Interfacing with producers has provided additional insight into system improvements. Planned improvements include additional weather protection and control system improvements including the implementation of a long- range radio capability to notify operators if there is a fault.

03 NATURAL GAS↗