Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “market structure”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 109 records · Page 6

Heat Pumps with Phase Change Thermal Storage: Flexible, Efficient, and Electrification Friendly

As we continue to electrify space- and water-heating, the electricity demand profile of many buildings will change significantly, and periods of high electricity demand will likely not align with renewable energy generation. We expect electricity demands will increase substantially in the winter, annual maximum electricity demands will increase, and more regions will experience annual peak electrical demands – and higher wholesale electricity prices – in the winter. This is especially important for cold climates where 60% of site energy use in buildings is for heating, and where heat pumps perform least efficiently. This paper focuses on one promising solution among the many paths to electrification: the use of phase change materials (PCM) for compact low-cost thermal energy storage (TES). We present the design and simulation of a combi heat pump and phase change thermal storage system used for space- and water-heating in a multifamily residence in a cold climate. To assess the benefits of this technology, we compare its annual performance to that of a current state-of-the-art air-to-air heat pump and separate heat pump water heater. Simulation results for IECC Climate Zone 6A reveal that the combi heat pump with phase change thermal storage can reduce the design size for heat pumps by 40-60%, reduce maximum electric demand by 30-50%, reduce electricity use during 4-12-hour load shed periods by 50%, and avoid the need for auxiliary electric resistance for both space- and water-heating. Tariff structures are highly varied between different utilities and currently reflect higher wholesale market prices for electricity during summer days. Consequently, although this system design provides large electric demand reductions during hypothetical 4-12-hour load shed periods, it does not provide energy cost reductions with current winter residential time-of-use tariffs.

Helmns, Dre↗

Avoiding surface instability and slurry jamming in simultaneous multilayer coating of structured particulate films

Simultaneous multilayer coating techniques are widely known, but their industrial application remains limited to narrow market sectors. One barrier to adoption may be the mismatch between industries that are familiar with such processes but have no need, and industries that have need but are not familiar. Moreover, there are application-specific technical challenges to developing multilayer-coating processes. In this article, we describe our resolution of two specific issues in simultaneous multilayer coating of all aqueous highly loaded slurries for new and emerging energy applications. The first issue is particle jamming (associated with Shear-thickening) of the highly loaded slurries in the die internals, which we alleviated by adding small amounts of viscosity modifiers without reducing the solid loading. The second issue is a Marangoni-driven surface instability that resembles top layer de-wetting, which we solved by carefully selecting surfactants to tune the dynamic surface tensions of each slurry. Both issues were resolved early in a step-wise development, saving significant development cost which in our case was driven by expensive materials.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Structural reforms and income distribution: new evidence for OECD countries

Abstract This article examines the impact of labour market and product market reforms on income inequality for 25 OECD countries between 1970 and 2020, using the local projections approach and an updated narrative-based dataset of the reform indicators. Our results suggest that both types of (endogenized) market-oriented reforms increase income inequality, but the effects are small. Consistent with this finding is that counter-reforms lead to less income inequality. Our results also indicate that the inequality-increasing effect of market-oriented reforms is mostly a result of more income going to the top of the income distribution.

Wiese, Rasmus↗

A computationally efficient algorithm for computing convex hull prices

Electricity markets worldwide allow participants to bid non-convex production offers. While non-convex offers can more accurately reflect a resource's capabilities, they create challenges for market clearing processes. For example, system operators may be required to execute side payments to participants whose costs are not covered through energy sales as determined via traditional locational marginal pricing schemes. Convex hull pricing minimizes this and other types of side payments while providing uniform (i.e., locationally and temporally consistent) prices. Computing convex hull prices involves solving either a large-scale linear program or the Lagrangian dual of the corresponding non-convex scheduling problem. Further, the former approach requires explicit descriptions of market participants' convex hulls. While linear programs for computing convex hull prices are large, their structure is naturally decomposable by generators. Here, in this work, we propose and empirically analyze a Benders decomposition approach to computing convex hull prices that leverages recent advances in convex hull formulations for thermal generating units. We demonstrate across a large set of test instances that our decomposition approach only requires modest computational effort, obtaining solutions at least an order of magnitude faster than the equivalent large-scale linear programming approach. Overall, we provide a computationally feasible method for computing convex hull prices for industrial scale market clearing problems, enabling the possibility of practical adoption of this advanced pricing mechanism.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Optimal, Reliable Building-Integrated Energy Storage (Cooperative Research and Development Final Report)

The team will advance the commercial readiness of behind-the-meter (BTM) energy storage (ES) systems by employing health-conscious controls that guarantee lifetime and optimize the ES system's value stream when integrated with onsite renewable energy generation. Specifically, the team will develop ES controls that increase the net present value (NPV) of photovoltaics (PV) by 50% in markets where net-metering policies are being replaced by variable electricity pricing structures. The team will also reduce the risk of achieving a 10-year ES warranty lifetime by at least one order of magnitude. The successful two-year project will develop the controls and system enabling Eaton to commercialize the technology by 2021. The developments achieved through this project may enable wide scale adoption of stationary energy storage benefitting the public.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Environmentally Friendly Use of Carbon Ore for Advanced Building Materials for Homes and Commercial Buildings

Through this effort, X-MAT CCC sought to confirm the utility and commercialization potential of carbon-derived building materials (CDBM) technology licensed from our partner, Semplastics. These CDBM products contain at least 52% coal-derived carbon by mass. Including the binders within the resin, the products contain at least 71% carbon by mass overall, meeting a key criterion for DE-FOA-0002185 – Area of Interest (AOI) 5 – Design Research and Development, Validation, and Fabrication of a Prototype Carbon-Based Building. The Phase II project has resulted in a technology demonstrator prototype structure, a detailed design for a carbon-based building, and updated techno-economic analysis (TEA) including detailed market surveys to show the commercial viability of CDBM products. We pursued the following objectives in Phase II: (1) construction of a partial building shell as a technology demonstrator, (2) testing of CDBM products, individually and in assemblies, (3) demonstration of bonding of CDBM and traditional building materials (TBM) in structural applications, (4) production of a detailed design for a carbon-based building, and (5) an update of the TEA that was performed in Phase I. In Phase II, X-MAT CCC and our industry team performed the development and testing needed to improve the maturity of the technology from a Technology Readiness Level (TRL) of 5 to TRL 6. CDBM have been shown by our partner Semplastics to exhibit a number of high-performance characteristics, including high strength (five times the flexure strength of the best commercial brick, and more than twice the compressive strength of construction-grade concrete block), lower density, improved mechanical durability and abrasion resistance, very high temperature stability, and resistance to chemicals, acids, salts, and water. These properties offer significant improvements over conventional building materials. Phase II built upon the work accomplished in Phase I by performing technical and economic research and development to confirm the viability of CDBM as commercial products in various markets. Acknowledgment: This material is based upon work supported by the Department of Energy under Award Number DE-FE0031985.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Structural Evolution and Transition Dynamics in Lithium Ion Battery under Fast Charging: An Operando Neutron Diffraction Investigation

Abstract Fast charging (<15 min) of lithium‐ion batteries (LIBs) for electrical vehicles (EVs) is widely seen as the key factor that will greatly stimulate the EV markets, and its realization is mainly hindered by the sluggish diffusion of Li + . To have a mechanistic understanding of Li + diffusion within LIBs, in this study, structural evolutions of electrodes for a Ni‐rich LiNi 0.6 Mn 0.2 Co 0.2 O 2 (NMC622) || graphite cylindrical cell with high areal loading (2.78 mAh cm −2 ) are developed for operando neutron powder diffraction study at different charging rates. Via sequential Rietveld refinements, changes in structures of NMC622 and Li x C 6 are obtained during moderate and fast charging (from 0.27 C to 4.4 C). NMC622 exhibits the same structural evolution regardless of C‐rates. For phase transitions of Li x C 6 , the stage I (LiC 6 ) phase emerges earlier during the stepwise intercalation at a lower state of charge when charging rate is increased. It is also found that the stage II (LiC 12 ) → stage I (LiC 6 ) transition is the rate‐limiting step during fast charging. The LiC 12 → LiC 6 transition mechanism is further analyzed using the Johnson–Mehl–Avrami–Kolmogorov model. It is concluded as a diffusion‐controlled, 1D phase transition with decreasing nucleation kinetics under increasing chargingrates.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Use of Gas Adsorption and Inversion Methods for Shale Pore Structure Characterization

The analysis of porosity and pore structure of shale rocks has received special attention in the last decades as unconventional reservoir hydrocarbons have become a larger parcel of the oil and gas market. A variety of techniques are available to provide a satisfactory description of these porous media. Some techniques are based on saturating the porous rock with a fluid to probe the pore structure. In this sense, gases have played an important role in porosity and pore structure characterization, particularly for the analysis of pore size and shapes and storage or intake capacity. In this review, we discuss the use of various gases, with emphasis on N2 and CO2, for characterization of shale pore architecture. We describe the state of the art on the related inversion methods for processing the corresponding isotherms and the procedure to obtain surface area and pore-size distribution. The state of the art is based on the collation of publications in the last 10 years. Limitations of the gas adsorption technique and the associated inversion methods as well as the most suitable scenario for its application are presented in this review. Finally, we discuss the future of gas adsorption for shale characterization, which we believe will rely on hybridization with other techniques to overcome some of the limitations.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗

Structure/Interface Coupling Effect for High-Voltage LiCoO 2 Cathodes

LiCoO 2 (LCO) is widely applied in today's rechargeable battery markets for consumer electronic devices. However, LCO operations at high voltage are hindered by accelerated structure degradation and electrode/electrolyte interface decomposition. To overcome these challenges, co-modified LCO (defined as CB-Mg-LCO) that couples pillar structures with interface shielding are successfully synthesized for achieving high-energy-density and structurally stable cathode material. Benefitting from the "Mg-pillar" effect, irreversible phase transitions are significantly suppressed and highly reversible Li + shuttling is enabled. Interestingly, bonding effects between the interfacial lattice oxygen of CB-Mg-LCO and amorphous Co x B y coating layer are found to elevate the formation energy of oxygen vacancies, thereby considerably mitigating lattice oxygen loss and inhibiting irreversible phase transformation. Meanwhile, interface shielding effects are also beneficial for mitigating parasitic electrode/electrolyte reactions, subsequent Co dissolution, and ultimately enable a robust electrode/electrolyte interface. As a result, the as-designed CB-Mg-LCO cathode achieves a high capacity and excellent cycle stability with 94.6% capacity retention at an extremely high cut-off voltage of 4.6 V. We report these findings provide new insights for cathode material modification methods, which serves to guide future cathode material design.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Temporal Galactose‐Manganese Feeding in Fed‐Batch and Perfusion Bioreactors Modulates UDP‐Galactose Pools for Enhanced mAb Glycosylation Homogeneity

ABSTRACT Monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) represent a majority of biotherapeutics in the market today. These glycoproteins undergo posttranslational modifications, such as N‐linked glycosylation, that influence the structural & functional characteristics of the antibody. Glycosylation is a heterogenous posttranslational modification that may influence therapeutic glycoprotein stability and clinical efficacy, which is why it is often considered a critical quality attribute (CQA) of the mAb product. While much is known about the glycosylation pathways of Chinese Hamster Ovary (CHO) cells and how cell culture chemical modifiers may influence the N‐glycosylation profile of the final product, this knowledge is often based on the final cumulative glycan profile at the end of the batch process. Building a temporal understanding of N‐glycosylation and how mAb glycoform composition responds to real‐time changes in the biomanufacturing process will help build integrated process models that may allow for glycosylation control to produce a more homogenous product. Here, we look at the effect of specific nutrient feed media additives (e.g., galactose, manganese) and feeding times on the N‐glycosylation pathway to modulate N‐glycosylation of a Herceptin biosimilar mAb (i.e., Trastuzumab). We deploy the N‐GLYcanyzer process analytical technology (PAT) to monitor glycoforms in near real‐time for bench‐scale bioprocesses operated in both fed‐batch and perfusion modes to build an understanding of how temporal changes in mAb N‐glycosylation are dependent on specific media additives. We find that Trastuzumab terminal galactosylation is sensitive to media feeding times and intracellular nucleotide sugar pools. Temporal analysis reveals an increased desirable production of single and double galactose‐occupied glycoforms over time under glucose‐starved fed‐batch cultures. Comparable galactosylation profiles were also observed between fed‐batch (nutrient‐limited) and perfusion (non‐nutrient‐limited) bioprocess conditions. In summary, our results demonstrate the utility of real‐time monitoring of mAb glycoforms and feeding critical cell culture nutrients under fed‐batch and perfusion bioprocessing conditions to produce higher‐quality biologics.

Biotechnology & Applied Microbiology↗

Toward net-zero sustainable aviation fuel with wet waste–derived volatile fatty acids

Significance To meet the growing demand for sustainable aviation fuels (SAF), conversion pathways are needed that leverage wet waste carbon and meet jet fuel property specifications. Here, we demonstrate SAF production from food waste–derived volatile fatty acids (VFA) by targeting normal paraffins for a near-term path to market and branched isoparaffins to increase the renewable content long term. Combining these distinct paraffin structures was shown to synergistically improve VFA-SAF flash point and viscosity to increase the renewable blend limit to 70%. Life cycle analysis shows the dramatic impact on the carbon footprint if food waste is diverted from landfills to produce VFA-SAF, highlighting the potential to meet jet fuel safety, operability, and environmental goals.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

BETO 2021 Peer Review - Inverse Bioproduct Design Through Machine Learning and Molecular Simulation

This work aims to identify performance advantaged bioproducts (PABPs) through property prediction, which will guide experimental synthesis. The impact of this work will be faster market adoption of bioproducts with greater performance relative to incumbent products. We have identified >106 bioproduct candidates, but only some will have superior performance to create a market pull. High-throughput property prediction, enabled by machine learning, and elucidation of structure-function relationships, enabled by molecular simulation, provide a hypothesis driven approach for down selection of candidate biomolecules to pursue experimentally. To enable machine learning and molecular simulation for bioproduct discovery, automated structure generation and embedding must capture relevant features for prediction, databases must cover domains applicable to biobased products, and best practices for simulation of polymer systems must be developed. To address these challenges, we have established bioproduct relevant datasets, developed high-throughput polymer structure generation, and built end-to-end neural networks that have predicted 8 properties for >1.4 x 106 biopolymers. A molecular simulation pipeline for building, running, and analyzing polymers and polymer additives is being used to predict performance and develop design principles of biobased products. In collaboration with the PABP synthesis project, these computational tools are guiding synthesis and informing design of PABPs.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Residential Building Energy Efficiency Field Studies: Low-Rise Multifamily

In recent years, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has conducted a series of research studies to validate energy efficient building technologies in the field. Much of the work has focused on single-family construction, and some has also addressed commercial energy codes. The work detailed in this DOE-funded study (EE0007616) focuses on low-rise multifamily buildings (three stories or fewer above grade) in various regions of the United States, and reports on how state-level building codes are being implemented, both in terms of observed characteristics and also in terms of estimated energy impacts. Nearly 100 buildings across four states—Illinois, Minnesota, Oregon, and Washington—were sampled, which represent a range of climate types from mild temperature to very cold continental. Both common entry and outdoor entry buildings were included, and a parallel research project evaluated envelope air tightness and current still-evolving air tightness testing methods. Finally, a set of structured interviews of building designers and other relevant professionals was carried to out to gain more insight into this market. To the greatest extent possible, the methodology developed under the project for low-rise multifamily buildings mirrored the approach established by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) for single-family residential buildings (https://www.energy.gov/eere/buildings/downloads/residential-building-energy-code-field-study). This included the general approach to sampling, recruitment, and data collection, as well as data analysis and presentation. The range of permitting dates for the sites encompassed two energy code cycles in most regions. All states in the study had adopted a variation of the International Energy Conservation Code (IECC) for the structure of their state code. The low-rise multifamily occupancy presents a hybrid building type: most of the building’s conditioned floor area was covered by the residential chapter of the code while portions of the building (such as corridors and common spaces) fell under the commercial code chapter. The key items assessed in this work were: Building Shell—exterior wall insulation, ceiling insulation, foundation insulation, windows. Common Areas—HVAC and lighting. Living Units—lighting, ventilation. A few items were not assessed in detail, given their relative paucity in this occupancy type; these included duct leakage, pipe insulation, and hot water circulation controls. Building characteristics were collected via a combination of architectural, mechanical, electrical, and plumbing plan reviews and field inspections, and entered into a spreadsheet-based tool that was later queried to build a database. Data went through quality control both upon arrival and via a later semi-automated review and assurance process. Most of the data are presented graphically so that the reader can quickly assess compliance with the applicable energy codes (both by state and by code year). As a final step, EnergyPlus™ simulations were created for all buildings in the study to estimate both the as-found energy use intensity (EUI) and the energy and CO 2 that could be saved if features that were found to not meet code minimums were brought up to code. The savings estimates were tabulated for each of the four states in the study. The research team found that the single-family approach was largely applicable to low-rise multifamily buildings. This applies to both the data collection and the prototype EUI analysis. Most of the occupied space is living units and falls under residential energy codes, and many characteristics use similar envelope construction and relatively straightforward mechanical systems and lighting. One of the most challenging aspects of this work was to build an effective spreadsheet-based data collection instrument that could allow efficient collection of both building plan and field data. The research team is of the view that other methods could be equally effective if the work is done carefully with diligent quality control. The primary findings for the work center around the thermal envelope and mechanical systems and lighting at the sites: For thermal envelope components, the majority of buildings met or were better than the prescriptive code.This suggests that building designers and builders are aware of code requirements. In some cases, surveyed buildings were designed to qualify for energy efficiency certification programs. These buildings made up at least 20% of sampled buildings in each state. Almost all buildings met mechanical system efficiency requirements (for both living units and common areas). In some cases, sites employed systems that were considerably more efficient than required by the applicable energy code. Dwelling units had a majority of high-efficacy lighting, often in excess of the state’s residential code requirements. While high-efficacy fixtures were also typical in common areas (corridors and stairwells), lighting power densities (LPDs) in these areas were sometimes higher than levels dictated by the applicable part of the state commercial energy code. The simulation models run on a series of low-rise multifamily prototypes, informed by a composite of the field data collected, calculated annual EUIs of between 20 and 50 kBtu/ft2-yr, with the range representing the effects of both building characteristics and building location (climate zone). A detailed process (based on simulations of prototype buildings) was used to estimate the amount of avoided energy use that would occur if 100% adherence to energy codes were attained. The results indicated modest savings are attainable for items such as window thermal performance and common area lighting. The result is overall only a modest potential for additional energy savings, averaging about 10% of EUI.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Cost estimates of production scale semitransparent organic photovoltaic modules for building integrated photovoltaics

Building integrated photovoltaics (BIPVs) are attached to commercial and residential structures to enable solar energy harvesting. While conventional Si photovoltaics (PVs) are dominant in the current market, second and third generation thin film solar cells based on amorphous Si, CdTe, CIGS, perovskites or organic photovoltaics (OPVs) are often considered as an alternative for BIPV applications since they may offer reduced costs compared to Si PVs. Indeed, recent advances in performance suggest that lightweight, flexible and visibly transparent OPVs can potentially be integrated into windows or other applications to which Si PVs are less well suited. Here, we estimate the cost of high efficiency, semitransparent OPVs (ST-OPVs) based on solution processing in a roll-to-roll (R2R) manufacturing line. Assuming modules with 10% power conversion efficiency (PCE), a 70% geometric fill factor (GFF), and 95% inverter efficiency, we anticipate a %1.6 per Wp module manufacturing cost that includes the cost of the microinverter to condition the OPV dc output to be compatible with the ac line voltage of the building. The materials and inverter cost comprise ~90% of the total module cost. Hence, with simplified material synthesis and a lower inverter cost, including marginally improved PCE and GFF, we expect the cost can be as low as $0.47 per Wp. Here, while the module costs ~60% of the average (uninstalled) double-pane window, we expect the payback period can be as short as 2 to 6 years, suggesting that OPVs can be an economic and attractive candidate for BIPV applications.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The impact of market design and clean energy incentives on strategic generation investments and resource adequacy in low-carbon electricity markets

Well-designed electricity markets play a crucial role in maintaining reliable electric power systems, which are critical in modern society. Here, this study examines the impact of different electricity market designs and clean energy incentive schemes on supporting renewable energy integration and achieving clean energy goals. To this end, we utilize a game-theoretical generation expansion planning model where generation companies make investment and retirement decisions to maximize their expected profit. The model is structured as an equilibrium problem with equilibrium constraints (EPEC) and solved using a diagonalization approach combined with progressive hedging. We analyze three types of electricity market designs: an energy-only market, a capacity market, and a clean energy market, and consider a wide range of market parameters resulting in 14 total scenarios. Wind and solar capacity comprise the majority of new investments in all considered scenarios, but the resultant system planning reserve margin (PRM) can differ significantly depending on market parameters. We also find that profit-driven investments lead to lower PRMs than a traditional system cost minimization approach. These individual scenario results further demonstrate how different market designs and clean energy incentive schemes may influence investor decision-making and impact resource adequacy throughout the clean energy transition.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Dopants, Isotope, Pressure and Lead Sequestration for Hybrid Perovskite Materials

Dopants, Isotope, Pressure and Lead Sequestration for Hybrid Perovskite Materials The soaring power conversion efficiency (PCE) of solution process-based organic-inorganic hybrid perovskites solar cells (PSCs) assures their membership in the competitive photovoltaic technologies. However, stability, toxicity and scalability are the three grand challenges that still impedes the market adoption of PSCs. Careful fundamental studies on how their fascinating optoelectronic properties is related to their structures may provide leads to these challenges and also spin off new applications. In this talk, I will present our recent study on the dopants, isotope and pressure effects on hybrid perovskite materials (HPMs). We discovered an interesting bipolar electron injection in LiCl-doped MAPbI 3 -based UV detectors that respond to the energy of UV photons in distinguished photocurrents polarity. We also investigated how the underline interaction between the mass of the cationic rotors and the inorganic lattice in HPMs by isotope effect. In-situ synchrotron X-ray and time-resolved photoluminescence revealed abnormal optoelectronic properties of HPMs by modulating their bond angles and bond lengths using high pressure techniques. Moreover, I will also discuss our new technology to sequestrate lead leakage on perovskite solar cells that can absorb >99% leaked Pb ions under severe device damge while without sacrificing the PCE under normal operational conditions.

Xu, Tao↗

Financial Analysis of the Smallmouth Bass Flows implemented at the Glen Canyon Dam during Water Year 2024

The Glen Canyon Dam (GCD) is a Colorado River Storage Project (CRSP) power resource that is a component of the Salt Lake City Area Integrated Projects (SLCA/IP). The 2016 record of decision (ROD) for the GCD long-term experimental and management plan (LTEMP) final Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) specifies criteria for GCD monthly water releases, daily and hourly operating limits, and experimental releases. This report presents a financial analysis of the Smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu) (SMB) flows implemented at GCD during Water Year (WY) 2024. These bypass flows were introduced by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) as an emergency response to the growing threat posed by invasive SMB in the Colorado River ecosystem downstream of the dam. SMB are a non-native predatory species that pose a significant threat to native fish populations, including the endangered humpback chub (Gila cypha). The thermal regime below GCD, typically cold due to hypolimnetic releases from Lake Powell, has historically served as a thermal barrier limiting SMB establishment. However, persistently low reservoir levels in recent years have reduced stratification in Lake Powell, allowing warmer water to be released downstream. This has enabled SMB to spawn successfully below the dam, prompting urgent ecological concerns. To mitigate the risk of SMB proliferation, the USBR implemented a series of bypass flows in WY 2024. Drawn from a lower elevation than the penstocks, the bypass structures released cooler water downstream. These short-duration bypass flows aimed to keep temperatures cool enough to prevent SMB from spawning, thereby reducing the ecological threat posed by this invasive species. Although motivated by ecological objectives, these bypass flows came with financial tradeoffs. Releasing water through the bypass structures instead of the turbines at GCD reduced hydropower generation, resulting in a significantly lower financial position for Western Area Power Administration (WAPA), which is responsible for marketing the electricity produced by the GCD Powerplant. This report analyzes the financial impact of the SMB flows implemented from July to November 2024. These experimental releases led to an estimated financial cost of approximately $18.9 million, primarily driven by the substantial volume of water diverted through the bypass structures. This study applies an integrated set of tools to estimate WAPA financial impacts by simulating GCD under two types of cases; namely, (1) a “With Experiment” case that mimics the water operations that actually occurred, including the SMB bypass flows, and (2) a “Without Experiment” case that simulates operations under the assumption that the SMB flows did not occur. Both cases comply with LTEMP hourly and daily operating criteria, and the monthly water release volumes are assumed to be identical under both cases. The Colorado River Storage Project Python-based model (CRiSPPy) model was the main modeling tool used to simulate the dispatch of the GCD hydropower plant and associated water releases from Lake Powell. In the modeling process, the research team used extensive data sets and historical information on SLCA/IP power plant characteristics, hydrologic conditions, and WAPA’s power purchases and sales prices.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

The value of wake steering wind farm flow control in US energy markets

Abstract. Wind farm flow control represents a category of control strategies for achieving wind-plant-level objectives, such as increasing wind plant power production and/or reducing structural loads, by mitigating the impact of wake interactions between wind turbines. Wake steering is a wind farm flow control technology in which specific turbines are misaligned with the wind to deflect their wakes away from downstream turbines, thus increasing overall wind plant power production. In addition to promising results from simulation studies, wake steering has been shown to successfully increase energy production through several recent field trials. However, to better understand the benefits of wind farm flow control strategies such as wake steering, the value of the additional energy to the electrical grid should be evaluated – for example, by considering the price of electricity when the additional energy is produced. In this study, we investigate the potential for wake steering to increase the value of wind plant energy production by combining model predictions of power gains using the FLOw Redirection and Induction in Steady State (FLORIS) engineering wind farm flow control tool with historical electricity price data for 15 existing US wind plants in four different electricity market regions. Specifically, for each wind plant, we use FLORIS to estimate power gains from wake steering for a time series of hourly wind speeds and wind directions spanning the years 2018–2020, obtained from the ERA5 reanalysis dataset. The modeled power gains are then correlated with hourly electricity prices for the nearest transmission node. Through this process we find that wake steering increases annual energy production (AEP) between 0.4 % and 1.7 %, depending on the wind plant, with average increases in potential annual revenue (i.e., annual revenue of production, ARP) 4 % higher than the AEP gains. For most wind plants, ARP gain was found to exceed AEP gain. But the ratio between ARP gain and AEP gain is greater for wind plants in regions with high wind penetration because electricity prices tend to be relatively higher during periods with below-rated wind plant power production, when wake losses occur and wake steering is active; for wind plants in the Southwest Power Pool – the region with the highest wind penetration analyzed (31 %) – the increase in ARP from wake steering is 11 % higher than the AEP gain. Consequently, we expect the value of wake steering, and other types of wind farm flow control, to increase as wind penetration continues to grow.

17 WIND ENERGY↗