Improving the ESA CCI daily soil moisture time series with physically-based land surface model datasets using a Fourier time-filtering method
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Proxy records that document the last 2000 years of climate provide evidence for the wide range of the natural climate variability from inter-annual to secular timescales not captured by the short window of recent direct observations. Assessing climate models ability to reproduce such natural variations is crucial to understand climate sensitivity and impacts of future climate change. Paleoclimate data assimilation (PDA) offers a powerful way to extend the short instrumental period by optimally combining the physics described by General Circulation Climate Models (GCMs) with information from available proxy records while taking into account their uncertainties. Here we present a new PDA approach based on a sequential importance resampling (SIR) Particle filter (PF) that uses Linear Inverse Modeling (LIM) as an emulator of several CMIP-class GCMs. We examine in a perfect-model framework the skill of the various LIMs to forecast the dynamics of the surface temperatures and provide spatial field reconstructions over the last millennium in a SIR PF. Our results show that the LIMs allow for skillful ensemble forecasts at 1-year lead-time based on GCMs dynamical knowledge with best prediction in the tropics and the North Atlantic. The PDA further provides a set of physically consistent spatial fields allowing robust uncertainty quantification related to climate models biases and proxy spatial sampling. Our results indicate that the LIM yields dynamical memory improving climate variability reconstructions and support the use of the LIM as a GCM-emulator in real reconstruction to propagate large ensembles of particles at low cost in SIR PF.
The Interactive Corpus Analysis Tool (ICAT) is a Python library for creating dashboards to explore textual datasets and build simple binary classification models to help filter through them and focus on entries of interest. This tool uses a form of interactive machine learning (IML), a paradigm of “machine teaching” (Simard et al., 2017) that sits at the intersection of the fields of human computer interaction (HCI), visual analytics, and machine learning. The intent of ICAT is to allow subject matter experts (SME) with limited to no experience in machine learning to benefit from an iterative human-in-the-loop (HITL) approach to building their own model without needing to understand the details of the underlying algorithm. This interactivity is achieved by allowing the user to create features, label data points, and visually manipulate a representation of the features to manually cluster and investigate data, while a model is trained on the fly based on these actions. ICAT is built on top of the Panel (Holoviz, 2018) library, using a combination of Vega, a custom IPyWidget using D3, and ipyvuetify, and is intended to be used inside of a Jupyter environment.
This paper presents an internal model based controller with embedded active damping for a three-phase grid-connected inverter with LCL filter. A strategy to control the grid current based on the internal model principle is presented in this paper. It is known that a third-order LCL filter apart from providing better attenuation also poses the problem of initiating unwanted resonance oscillations especially during transients. To address this problem, an active damping strategy based on virtual resistance emulation on the grid side filter is implemented. Also, to ensure effective active damping, an online parameter update strategy is implemented for the filter parameters. The proposed method provides better attenuation to oscillation damping and achieves good tracking performance without adversely affecting the bandwidth. The architecture is verified based on computer simulations via MATLAB/Simulink and PLECS domain and various important case study results are presented.
The onset of the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) led to a shortage of personal protective equipment (PPE), medical devices, and other medical supplies causing many stakeholders and the general public alike to turn to additive manufacturing (AM) as a stopgap when normally accessible devices were not available. However, without a method to test these AM constructs, there continued to be a disconnect between AM suppliers and the community’s needs. The objective of this study was to characterize the pressure drop and leakage of four different publicly available AM face mask models with two filter material combinations, as well as to investigate the impact of frame modification techniques including the use of foam strips and hot-water face forming to improve fit when the masks are donned on manikin head forms. AM face mask frame designs were downloaded from public repositories during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. AM face masks were fabricated and tested on manikin head forms within a custom chamber containing dry aerosolized NaCl. Pressure drops, particle penetration, and leakage were evaluated for various flow rates and NaCl concentrations. Results indicated that filter material combination and frame modification played a major role in the overall performance of the AM face masks studied. Filter material combinations showed improved performance when high filtration fabric was used, and the cross-sectional area of the fabric was increased. AM frame modifications appeared to improve AM face mask leakage performance by as much as 69.6%.
In this paper, we have developed a methodology to estimate the spatiotemporal distribution of radiation air dose rates around the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP). In our exploratory data analysis, we found that (1) the temporal evolution of dose rates is composed of a log-linear decay trend and fluctuations of air dose rates that are spatially correlated among adjacent monitoring posts; and (2) the slope of the log-linear environmental decay trend can be represented as a function of the apparent initial dose rates, coordinate position, land-use type, and soil type. From these observations, we first estimated the log-linear decay trend at each location based on these predictors, using the random forest method. We then developed a modified Kalman filter coupled with a Gaussian process model to estimate the dose-rate time series at a given location and time. We applied this method to the Fukushima evacuation zone (as of March 2017), which included 17 monitoring post locations (with monitoring datasets collected between 2014 and 2018) and generated a time series of dose-rate maps. Our results show that this approach allows us to produce accurate spatial and temporal predictions of radiation dose-rate maps using limited spatiotemporal measurements.
ABSTRACT Using the GAEA semi-analytic model, we analyse the connection between Damped Ly α systems (DLAs) and H i in galaxies. Our state-of-the-art semi-analytic model is tuned to reproduce the local galaxy H i mass function, and that also reproduces other important galaxy properties, including the galaxy mass–gas metallicity relation. To produce catalogues of simulated DLAs we throw 105 random lines of sight in a composite simulated volume: dark matter haloes with log$(\frac{M_{200}}{ {\rm M}_{\odot }}) \ge 11.5$ are extracted from the Millennium Simulation, while for $9.2 \le \log (\frac{M_{200}}{ \mathrm{M}_{\odot }})\lt 11.5$ we use the Millennium II, and for $8 \le \log (\frac{M_{200}}{\mathrm{M}_{\odot }}) \lt 9.2$ a halo occupation distribution model. At 2 < z < 3, where observational data are more accurate, our fiducial model predicts the correct shape of the column density distribution function, but its normalization falls short of the observations, with the discrepancy increasing at higher redshift. The agreement with observations is significantly improved increasing both the H i masses and the disc radii of model galaxies by a factor of 2, as implemented ‘a posteriori’ in our 2M−2R model. In the redshift range of interest, haloes with $M_{200} \ge {10}^{11} \, \mathrm{M}_{\odot }$ give the major contribution to ΩDLA, and the typical DLA host halo mass is $\sim \!{10}^{11} \, \mathrm{M}_{\odot }$. The simulated DLA metallicity distribution is in relatively good agreement with observations, but our model predicts an excess of DLAs at low metallicities. Our results suggest possible improvements for the adopted modelling of the filtering mass and metal ejection in low-mass haloes.
Overview: Creation of the Random Signal; Ensuring Signal Content; Filtering The Signal; Modeling; Method used; Creating a ground motion signal; Adjusting the signal; and, Generating the ASD.
In this work, supervised artificial neural networks (ANN) with rapidity–mass matrix (RMM) inputs are studied using several Monte Carlo event samples for various pp collision processes. The study shows the usability of this approach for general event classification problems. The proposed standardization of the ANN feature space can simplify searches for signatures of new physics at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) when using machine learning techniques. In particular, we illustrate how to improve signal-over-background ratios in the search for new physics, how to filter out Standard Model events for model-agnostic searches, and how to separate gluon and quark jets for Standard Model measurements.
This paper introduces JHTDB-wind (https://turbulence.idies.jhu.edu/datasets/windfarms, last access: 11 November 2025), a publicly accessible database containing large-eddy simulation (LES) data from wind farms. Building on the framework of the Johns Hopkins Turbulence Database (JHTDB), which hosts direct numerical simulation (DNS) and some LES datasets of canonical turbulent flows, JHTDB-wind stores the 4D space–time history of the flow and provides users the ability to access and query the data via a web-based virtual sensor interface. The initial dataset comprises LES results from a large wind farm with 10×6 turbines, modeled using a filtered actuator line method, under conventionally neutral atmospheric conditions. These data comprise 1 h (hour) of flow field data (velocity, pressure, potential temperature deviation, subgrid-scale (SGS) eddy viscosity, and turbine forces, approximately 15 TB (terabytes) and wind turbine data – including both turbine-level operational quantities and blade-level aerodynamic quantities (approximately 1.3 TB) – stored in Zarr and Parquet formats, respectively. Data retrieval is facilitated by the giverny Python package, allowing remote users to query the database in Python or MATLAB (C and Fortran support are available for flow field data). This paper details the simulation setup and demonstrates data access through examples that analyze wind farm flow structures and turbine performance. The framework is extensible to future datasets, including the JHTDB-wind diurnal cycle simulation analyzed in Xiao et al. (2025).
Systems, methods and unmanned agents for collaboratively controlling agents in a collaborative network by one or more agents continuously simulating numeric models of one or more other agents in the network to dramatically reduce the computational bandwidth required between agents, and improve the quality of shared estimates of the agent locations as well as the locations and characteristics of other objects of interest, e.g. targets. Bandwidth is reduced by using the models to intelligently filter data before communicating.
Predicting the mechanical response and failure of heterogeneous materials has proven difficult. Multiscale numerical methods based in higher order continuum theories attempt to bridge the gap between microscale and macroscale structural behavior. Micromorphic continuum theories have shown promise. The Tardigrade software package is an implementation of Eringen’s micromorphic continuum theory with capabilities to support multiscale material modeling workflows. These include homogenization through the Micromorphic Filter, calibration of micromorphic material models, and macroscale simulation in Tardigrade-MOOSE. This work discusses micromorphic upscaling efforts of the University of Colorado Boulder PSAAP III multidisciplinary simulation center (MSC). Verification studies are presented that compare the accuracy of the upscaling workflow with analytical solutions for a trivial stress state and homogeneous material using direct numerical simulations (DNS) conducted in the Ratel finite element method (FEM) and GEOS material point method (MPM) codes. These verification studies consider upscaling using the Micromorphic Filter for a “single filter domain”. Finally, DNS of a heterogeneous composite material is upscaled using a “multiple filter domain” method.
Tardigrade-examples is a repository of computational workflows that exercise the Tardigrade software package. The Tardigrade software package is an implementation of Eringen’s micromorphic continuum theory with capabilities to support multiscale material modeling. These capabilities include homogenization through the Micromorphic Filter, calibration of micromorphic material models, and macroscale simulation in Tardigrade-MOOSE. This repository investigates continuum upscaling of various direct numerical simulations (DNS) conducted in Abaqus finite element (FE), Ratel FE, and GEOS material point method (MPM) software. Verification of the upscaling workflow is first investigated by considering DNS of trivial stress states for homogeneous materials, results of which indicate that classical continuum behavior is recovered as expected. DNS of heterogeneous materials are then considered.
SPE is a project in order to develop new, more physics-based, seismic models of explosions (see Nelson et al. 2013). One key component of this effort is numerical modeling enabled by modern state-of-art code/software. Accurate modeling of the shape and amplitude of seismic waves from their generation to their propagation to remote monitoring seismic stations is important to our ability to determine the origin and strength of the source from remote recording. In this project, the modeling is performed by coupling two codes HOSS and SPECFEM3D. HOSS models the dynamic nonlinear processes happening near the explosion. SPECFEM3D computes the propagation of seismic waves as they travel through 3D complex Earth models. SPECFEM3D was modified in order to be driven by a set of time-series calculated by HOSS in lieu of a seismic source. The goal of this summer project is the investigation of several questions pertinent to the establishment of a full end-to-end modeling capability from the high-rate strain regime area to remote distances where seismic station record seismic waves generated by explosions. The investigated questions are: (1) How to perform proper filtering? Direct-solution modeling only sustains a limited range of frequency depending on the grid size. As we go from one modeling domain to the other via coupling, the mesh size is getting coarser to allow modeling at large scale but also to account for the fact that high-frequency waves do not physically travel to large distances. So filtering of the time-series generated by the near-field hydrodynamic modeling is a current practice often employed but its effects on the modeled waveforms has to be investigated. (2) Quantitative assessment of the efficiency of attenuation to remove high-frequency content of the wavefield. This assessment will allow to create meshes with a grid size appropriate to the actual physics of wave propagation for a given explosion. (3) Checking that the coupling process and the two codes respect the cylindrical symmetry that is expected in the case of a pure explosion in a half-space. (4) The effect of the state-of-stress in the near-source area on the modeled seismic waveforms. These questions will be investigated through the modeling of SPE-4P, the fourth explosion of this series because it was designed to have little interaction with the geologic surrounding and the free surface of the Earth so that it is the most explosion-like experiment, with the most symmetries to be verified.
Accurate modeling of photovoltaic (PV) performance requires the precise calculation of module temperature. Currently, most temperature models rely on steady-state assumptions that do not account for the transient climatic conditions and thermal mass of the module. On the other hand, complex physics-based transient models are computationally expensive and difficult to parameterize. In order to address this, a new approach to transient thermal modeling was developed, in which the steady-state predictions from previous timesteps are weighted and averaged to accurately predict the module temperature at finer time scales. This model is informed by 3-D finite-element analyses, which are used to calculate the effect of wind speed and module unit mass on module temperature. The model, in application, serves as an added filter over existing steady-state models that smooths out erroneous values that are a result of intermittency in solar resource. Validation of this moving-average model has shown that it can improve the overall PV energy performance model accuracy by as much as 0.58% over steady-state models based on mean absolute error improvements and can significantly reduce the variability between the model predictions and measured temperature times series data.
Assimilating recent observations improves model outcomes for real-time assessments of groundwater processes. This is demonstrated in estimating time-varying recharge to a shallow fractured-rock aquifer in response to precipitation. Results from estimating the time-varying water-table altitude (h) and recharge, and their error covariances, are compared for forecasting, filtering, and fixed-lag smoothing (FLS), which are implemented using the Kalman Filter as applied to a data-driven, mechanistic model of recharge. Forecasting uses past observations to predict future states and is the current paradigm in most groundwater modeling investigations; filtering assimilates observations up to the current time to estimate current states; and FLS estimates states following a time lag over which additional observations are collected. Results for forecasting yield a large error covariance relative to the magnitude of the expected recharge. With assimilating recent observations of h, filtering and FLS produce estimates of recharge that better represent time-varying observations of h and reduce uncertainty in comparison to forecasting. Although model outcomes from applying data assimilation through filtering or FLS reduce model uncertainty, they are not necessarily mass conservative, whereas forecasting outcomes are mass conservative. Mass conservative outcomes from forecasting are not necessarily more accurate, because process errors are inherent in any model. Improvements in estimating real-time groundwater conditions that better represent observations need to be weighed for the model application against outcomes with inherent process deficiencies. In conclusion, results from data assimilation strategies discussed in this investigation are anticipated to be relevant to other groundwater processes models where system states are sensitive to system inputs.
Two-fluid modelling has recently emerged as a promising approach to representing cumulus convection in weather and climate models. This study applies the two-fluid model described in Part II Thuburn et al., 2021b to a shallow cumulus convection case study over land (ARM). Large eddy simulation data is used to tune the majority of the closures that determine the properties of entrained and detrained air. The two-fluid model is generally able to reproduce the profiles of the mean and turbulent quantities over all stages of the diurnal cycle. As such, the initiation of shallow convection and the evolution of the cloud layer are well captured. The robustness of the two-fluid model is further verified using a steady-state test case (BOMEX), in which the cloud properties are also well modelled.
This Letter presents a spatial filter based on saturated absorption in gas as an alternative to the solid pinhole in a lens–pinhole–lens filtering system. We develop an analytic model that describes this process and demonstrate spatial filtering with simulations and experiments. We show that an ultraviolet laser pulse focused through ozone will have its spatial profile cleaned if its peak fluence rises above the ozone saturation fluence. Specifically, we demonstrate that a 5 ns 266 nm beam with 4.2 mJ of the initial energy can be effectively cleaned by focusing through a 1.4% ozone–oxygen mixture, with about 76% of the main beam energy transmitted and 89% of the sidelobe energy absorbed. In conclusion, this process can be adapted to other gases and laser wavelengths, providing alignment-insensitive and damage-resistant pinholes for high-repetition-rate high-energy lasers.