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Commercializing Defense Technologies and Helping Defense Firms Succeed in Commercial Markets: A Report on the Objectives, Activities, and Accomplishments of the TAP-IN Program
Technology Access for Product Innovation (TAP-IN), the largest technology deployment project funded by TRP, was competitively selected through a national solicitation for proposals. TAP-IN was created to help companies access and apply defense technologies and help defense-dependent companies enter new commercial markets. Defense technologies included technologies developed by DoD, DOE, NASA, and their contractors. TAP-IN was structured to provide region-based technology access services that were able to draw on technology resources nationwide. TAP-IN provided expert assistance in all stages of the commercialization process from concept through prototype design to capital sourcing and marketing strategy. TAP-IN helped companies locate new technology, identify business partners, secure financing, develop ideas for new products, identify new markets, license technology, solve technical problems, and develop company-specific applications of federal technology. TAP-IN leveraged NASA's existing commercial technology network to create an integrated national network of organizations that assisted companies in every state. In addition to NASA's six regional technology transfer centers (RTTCs), TAP-IN included business and technology development organizations in every state, the Industrial Designers Society of America, and the Federal Laboratory Consortium (FLC).
A comparison of building system parameters between affordable and market-rate housing in New York City
Low-income households in the United States experience higher than average energy burdens (defined as the proportion of household income spent on energy utilities), and many of these households struggle to simultaneously pay for rent, energy, and basic household necessities. The analysis presented here in this study examines whether the underlying characteristics of buildings and their energy systems could contribute to this disparity for affordable housing residents in New York City. It combines an energy audit dataset of 7,328 multifamily buildings with a database of properties receiving local, state, or federal housing subsidies. The results of this analysis indicate that the building-level installed equipment in large (greater than 50,000 square feet) affordable housing buildings in New York City is more efficient than that in market-rate buildings, but this trend largely disappears when considering overall building characteristics, such as location, size, or age. Significant differences in the types of systems installed in affordable and market-rate housing are also observed, as well as the types of energy efficiency recommendations made by energy auditors. However, these latter data were not normalized by building system characteristics, as that analysis is much more difficult to interpret for categorical data such as heating system type. These findings indicate that retrofit policies and building performance standards focused on affordable housing will likely need to account for underlying differences in building characteristics between affordable and market-rate housing to achieve intended impacts.
The Role of the Strutjet Engine in New Global and Space Markets
The Strutjet, discussed in previous IAF papers, was originally introduced as an enabling propulsion concept for single stage to orbit applications. Recent design considerations indicate that this systems also provides benefits supportive of other commercial non-space applications. This paper describes the technical progress of the Strutjet since 1997 together with a rationale why Rocket Based Combined Cycle Engines in general, and the Strutjet in particular, lend themselves uniquely to systems having the ability to expand current space and open new global 'rapid delivery' markets. During this decade, Strutjet technology has been evaluated in over 1000 tests. Its design maturity has been continuously improved and desired features, like simple variable geometry and low drag flowpath resulting in high performance, have been verified. In addition, data is now available which allows the designer, who is challenged to maximize system operability and economic feasibility, to choose between hydrogen or hydrocarbon fuels for a variety of application. The ability exists now to apply this propulsion system to various vehicles with a multitude of missions. In this paper, storable hydrocarbon and gaseous hydrogen Strutjet RBCC test data as accomplished to date and as planned for the future is presented, and the degree of required technology maturity achieved so far is assessed. Two vehicles, using cryogenic propane fuel Strutjet engines, and specifically designed for rapid point-to-point cargo delivery between Pacific rim locations are introduced, discussed, and compared.
The Role of the Strutjet Engine in New Global and Space Markets
The Strutjet, discussed in previous IAF papers, was originally introduced as an enabling propulsion concept for single stage to orbit applications. Recent design considerations indicate that this systems also provides benefits supportive of other commercial non-space applications. This paper describes the technical progress of the Strutjet since 1997 together with a rationale why Rocket Based Combined Cycle Engines in general, and the Strutjet in particular, lend themselves uniquely to systems having the ability to expand current space and open new global "rapid delivery" markets. During this decade, Strutjet technology has been evaluated in over 1000 tests. Its design maturity has been continuously improved and desired features, like simple variable geometry and low drag flowpath resulting in high performance, are verified. In addition, data is now available which allows the designer, who is challenged to maximize system operability and economic feasibility, to choose between hydrogen or hydrocarbon fuels for these application. The ability exists now to apply this propulsion system to various vehicles with a multitude of missions. In this paper, the previously presented earth-to-orbit hydrogen powered vehicle is up3ated and another vehicle, specifically designed for rapid point-to-point delivery, is introduced and discussed. High payoff propulsion technologies required for these vehicles are identified and laid out in a roadmap spanning over the next decade.
Cold-Climate Packaged Heat Pumps - Resistance is Futile
The U.S. currently has a large market for room/zonal space conditioning equipment focused primarily on cooling, namely packaged terminal air conditioners (PTACs), packaged terminal heat pumps (PTHPs), and room air conditioners. This equipment largely relies on electric resistance for heating, particularly when outdoor temperatures fall to 40°F or below, presenting a compelling opportunity for energy savings and carbon reductions from reverse cycle heating. This paper provides an overview of cold climate packaged heat pump technologies in the market capable of high output down to outdoor temperatures of 5°F and identifies the technological and market barriers to adoption. For state-of-the-art cold climate packaged heat pumps sold in the retrofit market, defrost meltwater management is the principal barrier to implementation. An energy use analysis is conducted on state-of-the-art cold climate packaged heat pumps for heating and cooling loads by building vintage and climate zone. Potential solutions to defrost meltwater are proposed and modeled for their impact on heating energy efficiency. A national impact assessment estimates the aggregate energy savings and carbon reductions if cold climate packaged heat pumps were to replace existing PTACs and PTHPs in the U.S. building stock. A national, two-track approach is proposed for increasing market adoption in the replacement and new construction markets.
ICME: The Design of Fit-for-Purpose Materials
With the increased emphasis on reducing the cost and time to market of new materials, ICME (Integrated Computational Materials Engineering) has become a fast growing discipline within materials science and engineering. The vision of ICME is compelling in many respects, not only for the value added in reducing time to market for new products with advanced, tailored materials, but also for enhanced efficiency and performance of these materials. Although the challenges and barriers (both technical and cultural) are formidable, substantial cost, schedule, and technical benefits can result from broad development, implementation, and validation of ICME principles. ICME is an integrated approach to the design of products, and the materials that comprise them, by linking material and structural models at multiple time and length scales. NASA’s Transformational Tools and Technology (TTT) Project sponsored a study (performed by a team led by Pratt & Whitney) in 2016 to define the potential 25-year future state required for integrated multiscale modeling of materials and systems (e.g., load-bearing structures) to accelerate the pace and reduce the expense of innovation in future aerospace and aeronautical systems. This talk will briefly review ICME, the findings of the 2040 Vision study, and discuss NASA’s TTT 2040 implementation activities: with special emphasis on recent accomplishments. The 2040 study, NASA CR 2018- 219771, envisions the development of a cyber-physical-social ecosystem comprised of experimentally verified and validated computational models, tools, and techniques, along with the associated digital tapestry, that impacts the entire supply chain to enable cost-effective, rapid, and revolutionary design of fit-for-purpose materials, components, and systems by enabling the engineer to not only “design-with-the” material but also concurrently “design-the” material.
Catalyzing Disruptive Mobility Opportunities Through Transformational Aviation Power
Lightweight, efficient power production has been a pacing technology for aviation. Advances in airborne electric propulsion technology have enabled new aviation concepts in markets that previously were not dominated by aviation systems, largely because electric propulsion allows for efficient, integrated propulsion/aerodynamic/control solutions that were previously not practical with combustion-based power architectures. These new markets include automated package delivery, urban air mobility, and short-haul transportation. As these markets evolve, the impact of using electricity for airborne propulsion on an expanding mission set, as well as the sheer amount of energy consumed, will begin to challenge the energy harvesting and distribution paradigm as it exists today. Left unaddressed, these challenges could stymie the evolution of these new markets and mobility options. This paper identifies some of the potential systemic issues associated with the expanded use of electric propulsion and explores the requirements associated with alternate aviation power architectures. The recommended path includes the development of a new hybrid-electric aviation power architecture that can be used in conjunction with a portfolio of evolving battery-electric and combustion-based systems.
Power market models for the clean energy transition: State of the art and future research needs
As power systems around the world are rapidly evolving to achieve decarbonization objectives, it is crucial that power system planners and operators use appropriate models and tools to analyze and address the associated challenges. This paper provides a detailed overview of the properties of power market models in the context of the clean energy transition. We review common power market model methodologies, their readiness for low- and zero-carbon grids, and new power market trends. Based on the review, we suggest model improvements and new designs to increase modeling capabilities for future grids. The paper highlights key modeling concepts related to power system flexibility, with a particular focus on hydropower and energy storage, as well as the representation of grid services, price formation, temporal structure, and the importance of uncertainty. We find that a changing resource mix, market restructuring, and growing price uncertainty require more precise modeling techniques to adequately capture the new technology constraints and the dynamics of future power markets. In particular, models must adequately represent resource opportunity costs, multi-horizon flexibility, and energy storage capabilities across the full range of grid services. Moreover, at the system level, it is increasingly important to consider sub-hourly time resolution, enhanced uncertainty representation, and introduce co-optimization for dual market clearing of energy and grid services. Likewise, models should capture interdependencies between multiple energy carriers and demand sectors.
New Flight Rules to Enable the Era of Aerial Mobility in the National Airspace System
In the 21st Century, new aviation markets, vehicle types, and technologies are fast emerging, inspiring new operational concepts for the National Airspace System such as Unmanned Aircraft Systems Traffic Management and Urban Air Mobility. These novel operations envision a dramatic increase in aerial mobility, or the ability to navigate freely through the airspace with unprecedented access and operational flexibility. Implementing these concepts presents a major challenge to the existing operational modes of Visual Flight Rules (VFR) and Instrument Flight Rules (IFR), developed under the limitations of early 20th Century technology and procedures to ensure safe navigation and separation from traffic. To meet this challenge and to support the needs of operators in the 21st Century and beyond, this paper proposes that VFR and IFR be augmented by new flight rules – Digital Flight Rules (DFR) – that leverage modern and emerging technologies and are not bound by restrictions borne of the state of technology 75-100 years ago. The objective of DFR is to provide safe and unfettered access to the airspace to all participating vehicle operators under all visibility conditions without incurring the limitations in operational flexibility inherent to IFR and even VFR. Advancements in communications, navigation, surveillance, aircraft connectivity, information access, automation technology, and supporting ground infrastructure provide the opportunity for the vehicle operator to engage at an unprecedented level in managing their flights regardless of flight visibility. Under DFR, these advancements enable the vehicle operator to assume full responsibility for traffic separation and therefore full trajectory management authority in all visibility conditions and airspace regions. The changes in roles and responsibilities are expected to enable greater airspace access and operational flexibility than afforded by IFR and VFR, thus enabling the emergence of new operations and a new era of advanced aerial mobility.
Power Quality Analysis for a High Voltage Power System for Urban Air Mobility Application
Maturation of electric power technologies has opened the door for deployment of new types of aircraft within urban air mobility (UAM) markets. These new types of aircraft use non-conventional designs, which do not fall within existing regulatory requirements; this is especially true for the design and verification of the high voltage primary power systems which are being proposed for many of these aircraft. The purpose of this paper is to investigate and inform integration requirements, mainly related to power quality, based on a point design of a NASA Lift-plus-Cruise Vehicle Electrical Power System (EPS) and Utilization Equipment (UE). The results will be used to inform normal and abnormal operating performance of the EPS and UE for future standards in regards to Power Quality.
Digital Flight: Enabling the Era of Scalable Mobility in the National Airspace System
In the 21st Century, new aviation markets, vehicle types, and technologies are fast emerging, inspiring new operational concepts for the National Airspace System such as Unmanned Aircraft Systems Traffic Management and Urban Air Mobility. These novel operations envision a dramatic increase in aerial mobility, or the ability to navigate freely through the airspace with unprecedented access and operational flexibility. Implementing these concepts presents a major challenge to the existing operational modes of Visual Flight Rules (VFR) and Instrument Flight Rules (IFR), developed under the limitations of early 20th Century technology and procedures to ensure safe navigation and separation from traffic. To meet this challenge and to support the needs of operators in the 21st Century and beyond, this paper proposes that VFR and IFR be augmented by new flight rules – Digital Flight Rules (DFR) – that leverage modern and emerging technologies and are not bound by restrictions borne of the state of technology 75-100 years ago. The objective of DFR is to provide safe and unfettered access to the airspace to all participating vehicle operators under all visibility conditions without incurring the limitations in operational flexibility inherent to IFR and even VFR. Advancements in communications, navigation, surveillance, aircraft connectivity, information access, automation technology, and supporting ground infrastructure provide the opportunity for the vehicle operator to engage at an unprecedented level in managing their flights regardless of flight visibility. Under DFR, these advancements enable the vehicle operator to assume full responsibility for traffic separation and therefore full trajectory management authority in all visibility conditions and airspace regions. The changes in roles and responsibilities are expected to enable greater airspace access and operational flexibility than afforded by IFR and VFR, thus enabling the emergence of new operations and a new era of advanced aerial mobility.
Evaluation of Novel eVTOL Aircraft Automation Concepts
As new electric propulsion technologies have matured, many new electric propulsion Vertical Takeoff and Landing (eVTOL) aircraft concepts have been proposed. These new aircraft concepts enable the creation of new aviation markets including Urban Air Mobility (UAM) but also pose new challenges in safety assurance. One early challenge is the evaluation of the diverse aircraft configurations and accompanying advanced control systems and automation designed to aid controllability. This paper describes a research activity to propose candidate means of evaluation for the aircraft concepts and automation in the context of UAM operations. The research activity proposes the adaptation of an evaluation design standard used by the military for advanced rotorcraft along with proposed descriptions and definitions to support evaluation of diverse automated concepts in the civilian eVTOL community.
Solar Energy Zone Market Analysis for the Afton Region of New Mexico
This report examines the commercial viability of the Afton solar energy zone (SEZ) in southern New Mexico based on market conditions in 2022. The Bureau of Land Management may designate a SEZ on federal land to expedite environmental review and permitting for solar energy projects. The purpose of this analysis is to understand whether current market conditions support solar development in the SEZ.
The role of corporate investment in start-ups for climate-tech innovation
Enabling and accelerating the full potential of energy innovation is a critical component of the global policy response to climate change. Incentivizing start-ups advancing climate-tech (i.e., products and services related to clean energy and climate change), has become central to innovation policy because start-ups are nimble (compared to incumbents), can quickly focus on bringing new technologies to market, and simultaneously create new jobs and catalyze local industries. Public policies to support climate-tech start-ups and efforts such as Mission Innovation tend to focus on increasing government spending (e.g., grants for research and development) or on creating demand pull for new technologies (e.g., feed-in-tariffs). But to go from research and development to widespread adoption of new products and services, start-ups need to grow and scale, and this requires support from private investors. Yet, research on how different investors can shape the direction of climate innovation—and how public policy can incentivize private investment in climate-tech start-ups to support the public good—is surprisingly sparse.
Commercial Orbital Transportation Services (COTS) Demonstrations
U.S. space policy directs pursuit of commercial opportunities for providing transportation and other services low Earth orbit and beyond. COTS Project established to implement policy. COTS strategy: Phase 1) Assist industry with system development/demonstrations (COTS Demos); Phase 2) Procure commercial services for ISS logistics support. COTS Demonstrations competition completed in 10 months. Two industry partners selected for funded Space Act Agreements: 1) SpaceX & Rocketplane-Kistler; and 2) Unfunded Space Act Agreements in work with other competitors. COTS budget of $500 M thru 2010, with pay for performance milestone approach. Cargo flight demonstrations planned for 2008 and 2009: Crew flight demonstration options for 2011-2012. Commercial cargo transportation services potentially available as early as 2009-2010. Successful COTS partners may open new space markets and provide reliable, cost effective cargo and crew transportation services, a new era for commercial space.
A fuzzy set preference model for market share analysis
Consumer preference models are widely used in new product design, marketing management, pricing, and market segmentation. The success of new products depends on accurate market share prediction and design decisions based on consumer preferences. The vague linguistic nature of consumer preferences and product attributes, combined with the substantial differences between individuals, creates a formidable challenge to marketing models. The most widely used methodology is conjoint analysis. Conjoint models, as currently implemented, represent linguistic preferences as ratio or interval-scaled numbers, use only numeric product attributes, and require aggregation of individuals for estimation purposes. It is not surprising that these models are costly to implement, are inflexible, and have a predictive validity that is not substantially better than chance. This affects the accuracy of market share estimates. A fuzzy set preference model can easily represent linguistic variables either in consumer preferences or product attributes with minimal measurement requirements (ordinal scales), while still estimating overall preferences suitable for market share prediction. This approach results in flexible individual-level conjoint models which can provide more accurate market share estimates from a smaller number of more meaningful consumer ratings. Fuzzy sets can be incorporated within existing preference model structures, such as a linear combination, using the techniques developed for conjoint analysis and market share estimation. The purpose of this article is to develop and fully test a fuzzy set preference model which can represent linguistic variables in individual-level models implemented in parallel with existing conjoint models. The potential improvements in market share prediction and predictive validity can substantially improve management decisions about what to make (product design), for whom to make it (market segmentation), and how much to make (market share prediction).