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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 109 records · Page 6

Modeling Quiet Solar Luminosity Variability from TSI Satellite Measurements and Proxy Models During 1980–2018

A continuous record of direct total solar irradiance (TSI) observations began with a series of satellite experiments in 1978. This record requires comparisons of overlapping satellite observations with adequate relative precisions to provide useful long term TSI trend information. Herein we briefly review the active cavity radiometer irradiance monitor physikalisch-meteorologisches observatorium davos (ACRIM-PMOD) TSI composite controversy regarding how the total solar irradiance (TSI) has evolved since 1978 and about whether TSI significantly increased or slightly decreased from 1980 to 2000. The main question is whether TSI increased or decreased during the so-called ACRIM-gap period from 1989 to 1992. There is significant discrepancy between TSI proxy models and observations before and after the gap, which requires a careful revisit of the data analysis and modeling performed during the ACRIM-gap period. In this study, we use three recently proposed TSI proxy models that do not present any TSI increase during the ACRIM-gap, and show that they agree with the TSI data only from 1996 to 2016. However, these same models significantly diverge from the observations from 1981 and 1996. Thus, the scaling errors must be different between the two periods, which suggests errors in these models. By adjusting the TSI proxy models to agree with the data patterns before and after the ACRIM-gap, we found that these models miss a slowly varying TSI component. The adjusted models suggest that the quiet solar luminosity increased from the 1986 to the 1996 TSI minimum by about 0.45 W/sq.m reaching a peak near 2000 and decreased by about 0.15 W/sq.m from the 1996 to the 2008 TSI cycle minimum. This pattern is found to be compatible with the ACRIM TSI composite and confirms the ACRIM TSI increasing trend from 1980 to 2000, followed by a long-term decreasing trend since.

Scafetta, Nicola↗

Modeling Quiet Solar Luminosity Variability from TSI Satellite Measurements and Proxy Models during 1980-2018

A continuous record of direct total solar irradiance (TSI) observations began with a series of satellite experiments in 1978. This record requires comparisons of overlapping satellite observations with adequate relative precisions to provide useful long term TSI trend information. Herein we briefly review the active cavity radiometer irradiance monitor physikalisch-meteorologisches observatorium davos (ACRIM-PMOD) TSI composite controversy regarding how the total solar irradiance (TSI) has evolved since 1978 and about whether TSI significantly increased or slightly decreased from 1980 to 2000. The main question is whether TSI increased or decreased during the so-called ACRIM-gap period from 1989 to 1992. There is significant discrepancy between TSI proxy models and observations before and after the gap, which requires a careful revisit of the data analysis and modeling performed during the ACRIM-gap period. In this study, we use three recently proposed TSI proxy models that do not present any TSI increase during the ACRIM-gap, and show that they agree with the TSI data only from 1996 to 2016. However, these same models significantly diverge from the observations from 1981 and 1996. Thus, the scaling errors must be different between the two periods, which suggests errors in these models. By adjusting the TSI proxy models to agree with the data patterns before and after the ACRIM-gap, we found that these models miss a slowly varying TSI component. The adjusted models suggest that the quiet solar luminosity increased from the 1986 to the 1996 TSI minimum by about 0.45 W/m2 reaching a peak near 2000 and decreased by about 0.15 W/m2 from the 1996 to the 2008 TSI cycle minimum. This pattern is found to be compatible with the ACRIM TSI composite and confirms the ACRIM TSI increasing trend from 1980 to 2000, followed by a long-term decreasing trend since.

total solar irradiance↗

Sensitivity analysis of generic deep geologic repository with focus on spatial heterogeneity induced by stochastic fracture network generation

Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment Framework is a state-of-the-art simulation software toolkit for probabilistic post-closure performance assessment of systems for deep geologic disposal of nuclear waste developed by the United States Department of Energy. This paper presents a generic reference case and shows how it is being used to develop and demonstrate performance assessment methods within the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment Framework that mitigate some of the challenges posed by high uncertainty and limited computational resources. Variance-based global sensitivity analysis is applied to assess the effects of spatial heterogeneity using graph-based summary measures for scalar and time-varying quantities of interest. Behavior of the system with respect to spatial heterogeneity is further investigated using ratios of water fluxes. This analysis shows that spatial heterogeneity is a dominant uncertainty in predictions of repository performance which can be identified in global sensitivity analysis using proxy variables derived from graph descriptions of discrete fracture networks. New quantities of interest defined using water fluxes proved useful for better understanding overall system behavior.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Probing Perovskite Inhomogeneity beyond the Surface: TOF-SIMS Analysis of Halide Perovskite Photovoltaic Devices

Understanding the origins and evolution of inhomogeneity in halide perovskite solar cells appears to be a key to advancing the technology. Time-of-flight secondary-ion mass spectrometry (TOF-SIMS) is one of the few techniques that can obtain chemical information from all components of hybrid organic-inorganic perovskite photovoltaics in one dimension (standard depth profiling), two dimensions (high-resolution 100-nm imaging), as well as three dimensions (tomography combining high-resolution imaging with depth profiling). TOF-SIMS has been used to analyze perovskite photovoltaics made by a variety of methods, and the breadth of insight that can be gained from the technique is illustrated here including: cation uniformity (depth and lateral), changes in chemistry upon alternate processing, changes in chemistry upon degradation, and lateral distribution of additives that passivate grain boundaries. Using TOF-SIMS on multiple perovskite compositions, we show information regarding hybrid perovskite formation as well as inhomogeneity critical to device performance can be extracted providing one of the best proxies for understanding compositional changes resulting from degradation. Here, we also describe in detail the measurement artifacts and recommended best practices that enable unique insight regarding hybrid perovskite solar cell materials and devices.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Model Evaluation and Intercomparison of Marine Warm Low Cloud Fractions With Neural Network Ensembles

Abstract Low cloud fractions (LCFs) and meteorological factors (MFs) over an oceanic region containing multiple cloud regimes are examined for three data sets: one Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) simulation with the default 72‐layer vertical grid (E3SM72), another one with 8‐times vertical resolution via the Framework for Improvement by Vertical Enhancement (E3SM 8), and one with MFs from ERA5 reanalysis and LCFs from the CERES SSF product (ERA5‐SSF). Neural networks (NNs) are trained to capture the relationship between MFs and LCF and to select the best‐performing MF subsets for predicting LCF. NN ensembles are used to (a) confirm the performance of selected MF subsets, (b) to serve as proxy models for each data set to predict LCFs for MFs from all data sets, and (c) to classify MFs into those in shared and uniquely occupied MF subspaces. Overall, E3SM72 and E3SM 8 have large fractions of MFs in shared MF subspace, but less so near the Californian and Peruvian stratocumulus decks. E3SM 8 and ERA5 have small fractions of MFs in shared MF subspace but greater than E3SM72 and ERA5, especially in the Southeast Pacific. The differences in LCFs between three pairs of data sets are decomposed into those associated with the differences in the LCF‐MF relationship and those involving different MFs. Given the same MFs, LCFs produced by E3SM 8 are greater than those produced by E3SM72 but are still different from those in ERA5‐SSF. In general, the shift in MFs dominates the difference in the LCFs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

ASC ATDM Level 2 Milestone #6015: Asynchronous Many-Task Software Stack Demonstration

This report is an outcome of the ASC ATDM Level 2 Milestone 6015: Asynchronous Many-Task Software Stack Demonstration. It comprises a summary and in depth analysis of DARMA and a DARMA-compliant Asynchronous Many-Task (AMT) runtime software stack. Herein performance and productivity of the over- all approach are assessed on benchmarks and proxy applications representative of the Sandia ATDM applications. As part of the effort to assess the perceived strengths and weaknesses of AMT models compared to more traditional methods, experiments were performed on ATS-1 (Advanced Technology Systems) test bed machines and Trinity. In addition to productivity and performance assessments, this report includes findings on the generality of DARMAs backend API as well as findings on interoperability with node- level and network-level system libraries. Together, this information provides a clear understanding of the strengths and limitations of the DARMA approach in the context of Sandias ATDM codes, to guide our future research and development in this area.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Experimental Setup to Investigate Hydrogen Isotope Retention on Powder Samples as Slag/Dust Proxies for Advanced Fusion Reactors

Slag/dust formation is one of the critical issues regarding tritium retention in advanced fusion reactors. We upgraded an ultrahigh vacuum device, the sample exposure station (SES), to perform temperature-programmed desorption (TPD), also known as thermal desorption spectroscopy, to investigate deuterium (D) retention in powder samples that are utilized as proxies for slag/dust particles formed in fusion reactors. TPD analysis, calibrated for the desorption rate, was successfully performed on commercially available crystalline/amorphous boron (B) powder after D 2 neutral gas or D + ion exposure. We calibrated the B powder temperature measurement for TPD analysis utilizing a D 2 desorption peak from B-D bonding known for its desorption temperature ~700 K. We introduce a separation procedure of observed D TPD signals, convoluted for corresponding D retention pathways, that was necessary for TPD analysis. This is the first report on the retention of D 2 neutral gas to B, and this observation was enabled by utilizing the B powder sample, which has a larger surface area than films commonly used in laboratory experiments. In conclusion, the upgraded SES system will enable us to investigate hydrogen isotope behaviors for powder/dust samples of various elemental compositions, including metals.

Plasma-facing component debris↗

Assessing the role of mini-applications in predicting key performance characteristics of scientific and engineering applications

Computational science and engineering application programs are typically large, complex, and dynamic, and are often constrained by distribution limitations. As a means of making tractable rapid explorations of scientific and engineering application programs in the context of new, emerging, and future computing architectures, a suite of miniapps has been created to serve as proxies for full scale applications. Each miniapp is designed to represent a key performance characteristic that does or is expected to significantly impact the runtime performance of an application program. In this paper we introduce a methodology for assessing the ability of these miniapps to effectively represent these performance issues. We applied this methodology to four miniapps, examining the linkage between them and an application they are intended to represent. Herein we evaluate the fidelity of that linkage. This work represents the initial steps required to begin to answer the question, ''Under what conditions does a miniapp represent a key performance characteristic in a full app?''

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Addressing the Tension Between Strong Perimeter Control an Usability

This paper describes a strong perimeter control system for a general purpose processing system, with the perimeter control system taking significant steps to address usability issues, thus mitigating the tension between strong perimeter protection and usability. A secure front end enforces two-factor authentication for all interactive access to an enclave that contains a large supercomputer and various associated systems, with each requiring their own authentication. Usability is addressed through a design in which the user has to perform two-factor authentication at the secure front end in order to gain access to the enclave, while an agent transparently performs public key authentication as needed to authenticate to specific systems within the enclave. The paper then describes a proxy system that allows users to transfer files into the enclave under script control, when the user is not present to perform two-factor authentication. This uses a pre-authorization approach based on public key technology, which is still strongly tied to both two-factor authentication and strict control over where files can be transferred on the target system. Finally the paper describes an approach to support network applications and systems such as grids or parallel file transfer protocols that require the use of many ports through the perimeter. The paper describes a least privilege approach that dynamically opens ports on a host-specific, if-authorized, as-needed, just-in-time basis.

Hinke, Thomas H.↗

Probing the limits of metal plasticity with molecular dynamics simulations

Ordinarily, the strength and plasticity properties of a metal are defined by dislocations—line defects in the crystal lattice whose motion results in material slippage along lattice planes. Dislocation dynamics models are usually used as mesoscale proxies for true atomistic dynamics, which are computationally expensive to perform routinely. However, atomistic simulations accurately capture every possible mechanism of material response, resolving every “jiggle and wiggle” of atomic motion, whereas dislocation dynamics models do not. We present fully dynamic atomistic simulations of bulk single-crystal plasticity in the body-centred-cubic metal tantalum. Our goal is to quantify the conditions under which the limits of dislocation-mediated plasticity are reached and to understand what happens to the metal beyond any such limit. In our simulations, the metal is compressed at ultrahigh strain rates along its [001] crystal axis under conditions of constant pressure, temperature and strain rate. To address the complexity of crystal plasticity processes on the length scales (85–340 nm) and timescales (1 ns–1μs) that we examine, we use recently developed methods of in situ computational microscopy to recast the enormous amount of transient trajectory data generated in our simulations into a form that can be analysed by a human. Our simulations predict that, on reaching certain limiting conditions of strain, dislocations alone can no longer relieve mechanical loads; instead, another mechanism, known as deformation twinning (the sudden re-orientation of the crystal lattice), takes over as the dominant mode of dynamic response. Below this limit, the metal assumes a strain-path-independent steady state of plastic flow in which the flow stress and the dislocation density remain constant as long as the conditions of straining thereafter remain unchanged. In this distinct state, tantalum flows like a viscous fluid while retaining its crystal lattice and remaining a strong and stiff metal.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Loss tangent fluctuations due to two-level systems in superconducting microwave resonators

Superconducting microwave resonators are critical to quantum computing and sensing technologies. Additionally, they are common proxies for superconducting qubits when determining the effects of performance-limiting loss mechanisms such as from two-level systems (TLSs). The extraction of these loss mechanisms is often performed by measuring the internal quality factor Qi as a function of power or temperature. In this work, we investigate large temporal fluctuations of Qi at low powers over periods of 12–16 h (relative standard deviation σQi/Qi=13%). These fluctuations are ubiquitous across multiple resonators, chips, and cooldowns. We are able to attribute these fluctuations to variations in the TLS loss tangent due to two main indicators. First, measured fluctuations decrease as power and temperature increase. Second, for interleaved measurements, we observe correlations between low- and medium-power Qi fluctuations and an absence of correlations with high-power fluctuations. Agreement with the TLS loss tangent mean is obtained by performing measurements over a time span of a few hours. We hypothesize that, in addition to decoherence, due to coupling to individual near-resonant TLS, superconducting qubits are affected by these observed TLS loss tangent fluctuations.

Vallières, André [Northwestern U.; Fermilab] (ORCI↗

Selling Into the Sun: Price Premium Analysis of a Multi-State Dataset of Solar Homes

Capturing the value that solar photovoltaic (PV) systems may add to home sales transactions is increasingly important. Our study enhances the PV-home-valuation literature by more than doubling the number of PV home sales analyzed (22,822 homes in total, 3,951 of which are PV) and examining transactions in eight states that span the years 2002–2013. We find that home buyers are consistently willing to pay PV home premiums across various states, housing and PV markets, and home types; average premiums across the full sample equate to approximately $4/W or $15,000 for an average-sized 3.6-kW PV system. Only a small and non-statistically significant difference exists between PV premiums for new and existing homes, though some evidence exists of new home PV system discounting. A PV green cachet might exist, i.e., home buyers might pay a certain amount for any size of PV system and some increment more depending on system size. The market appears to depreciate the value of PV systems in their first 10 years at a rate exceeding the rate of PV efficiency losses and the rate of straightline depreciation over the asset’s useful life. Net cost estimates—which account for government and utility PV incentives—may be the best proxy for market premiums, but income-based estimates may perform equally well if they accurately account for the complicated retail rate structures that exist in some states. Although this study focuses only on host-owned PV systems, future analysis should focus on homes with third-party-owned PV systems.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Arctic Sea Ice Simulation in the PlioMIP Ensemble

Eight general circulation models have simulated the mid-Pliocene warm period (mid-Pliocene, 3.264 to 3.025 Ma) as part of the Pliocene Modelling Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP). Here, we analyse and compare their simulation of Arctic sea ice for both the pre-industrial period and the mid-Pliocene. Mid-Pliocene sea ice thickness and extent is reduced, and the model spread of extent is more than twice the pre-industrial spread in some summer months. Half of the PlioMIP models simulate ice-free conditions in the mid-Pliocene. This spread amongst the ensemble is in line with the uncertainties amongst proxy reconstructions for mid-Pliocene sea ice extent. Correlations between mid-Pliocene Arctic temperatures and sea ice extents are almost twice as strong as the equivalent correlations for the pre-industrial simulations. The need for more comprehensive sea ice proxy data is highlighted, in order to better compare model performances.

simulation↗

Hierarchical Roofline analysis for GPUs: Accelerating performance optimization for the NERSC‐9 Perlmutter system

Summary The Roofline performance model provides an intuitive and insightful approach to identifying performance bottlenecks and guiding performance optimization. In preparation for the next‐generation supercomputer Perlmutter at NERSC, this paper presents a methodology to construct a hierarchical Roofline on NVIDIA GPUs and extends it to support reduced precision and Tensor Cores. The hierarchical Roofline incorporates L1, L2, device memory, and system memory bandwidths into one single figure, and it offers more profound insights into performance analysis than the traditional DRAM‐only Roofline. We use our Roofline methodology to analyze three proxy applications: GPP from BerkeleyGW, HPGMG from AMReX, and conv2d from TensorFlow. In doing so, we demonstrate the ability of our methodology to readily understand various aspects of performance and performance bottlenecks on NVIDIA GPUs and motivate code optimizations.

Yang, Charlene↗

Characterization of UMT2013 Performance on Advanced Architectures

This paper presents part of a larger effort to make detailed assessments of several proxy applications on various advanced architectures, with the eventual goal of extending these assessments to codes of programmatic interest running more realistic simulations. The focus here is on UMT2013, a proxy implementation of deterministic transport for unstructured meshes. I present weak and strong MPI scaling results and studies of OpenMP efficiency on the Sequoia BG/Q system at LLNL, with comparison against similar tests on an Intel Sandy Bridge TLCC2 system. The hardware counters on BG/Q provide detailed information on many aspects of on-node performance, while information from the mpiP tool gives insight into the reasons for the differing scaling behavior on these two different architectures. Preliminary tests that exploit NVRAM as extended memory on an Ivy Bridge machine designed for “Big Data” applications are also included.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

SOMA: Observability, monitoring, and in situ analytics for exascale applications

With the rise of exascale systems and large, data-centric workflows, the need to observe and analyze high performance computing (HPC) applications during their execution is becoming increasingly important. HPC applications are typically not designed with online monitoring in mind, therefore, the observability challenge lies in being able to access and analyze interesting events with low overhead while seamlessly integrating such capabilities into existing and new applications. We explore how our service-based observation, monitoring, and analytics (SOMA) approach to collecting and aggregating both application-specific diagnostic data and performance data addresses these needs. Furthermore, we present our SOMA framework and demonstrate its viability with LULESH, a hydrodynamics proxy application. Then we focus on Astaroth, a multi-GPU library for stencil computations, highlighting the integration of the TAU and APEX performance tools and SOMA for application and performance data monitoring.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Synapse: Synthetic application profiler and emulator

Abstract Motivated by the need to emulate workload execution characteristics on high- performance and distributed heterogeneous resources, we introduce Synapse. Synapse is used as a proxy application (or "representative application") for real workloads, with the advantage that it can be tuned in different ways and dimensions, and also at levels of granularity that are not possible with real applications. Synapse has a platform-independent application profiler, and has the ability to emulate profiled workloads on a variety of resources. Experiments show that the automated profiling performed using Synapse captures an application's characteristics with high fidelity. The emulation of an application using Synapse can reproduce the application's execution behavior in the original run- time environment, and can also reproduce those behaviors on different run-time environments.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

10 Years Later: Cloud Computing is Closing the Performance Gap

Can cloud computing infrastructures provide HPC-competitive performance for scientific applications broadly? Despite prolific related literature, this question remains open. Answers are crucial for designing future systems and democratizing high-performance computing. We present a multi-level approach to investigate the performance gap between HPC and cloud computing, isolating different variables that contribute to this gap. Our experiments are divided into (i) hardware and system microbenchmarks and (ii) user application proxies. The results show that today’s high-end cloud computing can deliver HPC-competitive performance not only for computationally intensive applications, but also for memory- and communication-intensive applications – at least at modest scales – thanks to the high-speed memory systems and interconnects and dedicated batch scheduling now available on some cloud platforms.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗