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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 109 records · Page 6
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Hydropower potential derived from streamflow extremes for Alaska, USA

Alaska is an expansive region known for its abundant natural resources, including thousands of miles of streams and rivers. These rivers represent potential opportunities for future hydropower development that could provide reliable energy supply for local communities. There is limited long-term high temporal resolution streamflow data available for the region, making data-driven estimates of potential hydropower and its variability across the state challenging. This study provides a novel data-driven approach for hydropower capacity estimation across Alaska. We use supervised machine learning to develop a relationship between the daily and peak flow duration curves in order to augment the size of our dataset from 44 sites to 67 sites. We perform a stochastic hydropower estimation across the 67 sites and identify approximately 1000 MW of total potential hydropower capacity distributed across these sites. Our study provides the first step towards more comprehensive hydropower estimation for this critical region, highlighting the need for future work integrating high-resolution spatial data, community needs, and economic constraints in estimates of potential hydropower development in Alaska.

Hydropower↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine learning for the redox potential prediction of molecules in organic redox flow battery

Here, organic redox flow batteries (ORFB) are recognized as an innovative technology for the large-scale storage of renewable energy. The redox potential of organic redox-active molecules plays a vital role in their performance. Advanced screening techniques like high-throughput experiment and machine learning (ML) have significantly enhanced organic material performance and transformed the field of ORFB. However, the scarcity of experimental data poses a considerable challenge for ML model development in this domain. In our study, we developed lightweight graph-based Gaussian process regression (GPR) models with GPU-accelerated marginalized graph kernel and hybrid kernel to predict the redox potentials of organic redox-active molecules for ORFBs, specifically focusing on small datasets. To evaluate model accuracy, we created a new experimental database of organic redox-active molecules by the data from hundreds of published papers and assembled previous computational datasets. We also considered some key parameters, such as pH conditions and solvent type, to assess their impact on redox potential prediction. Our GPR model predicted redox potentials with high accuracy across all datasets using minimal training data. The study provides powerful tools for molecule screening and design and delivers valuable guidance on designing training datasets for costly experiments.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2026

A Transferable Force Field for Simulating Adsorption in Metal–Organic Frameworks with Open Metal Sites Based on the 12–6–4 Lennard-Jones Potential

Metal−organic frameworks (MOFs) that contain coordinatively unsaturated open metal sites (OMSs) provide strong host− guest interactions, making them promising sorbents for low-concentration gas adsorption applications such as direct air capture and atmospheric water harvesting. However, accurately modeling host−guest interactions involving OMSs remains challenging for classical force fields (FFs) based on the 12−6 Lennard−Jones (LJ) potential, as the polarization effect of the guest molecule induced by the positively charged OMS is not considered. Here, we introduce an FF based on the 12−6−4 LJ potential, which incorporates charge−induced dipole interactions and is parametrized against a diverse set of host−guest potential energy surfaces (PESs) obtained from density functional theory (DFT). The resulting FF, trained on a generic trimetallic cluster, performs well in both host−guest binding energetics and gas adsorption isotherms across different OMS-containing MOFs, including MOF-74 series and Cu-BTC. These results highlight the excellent transferability of our approach and its potential to enhance the accuracy and robustness of high-throughput MOF discovery workflows, particularly for gas adsorption and separation in large and diverse MOF databases.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning of a Short-Range Bond-Order Potential for Silica: Analytic Embedding of Coordination with Classical Efficiency

Reinforcement learning (RL) has recently emerged as a data-efficient strategy to parametrize short-range interatomic potentials. Building on our past RL optimization of pairwise silica models, we extend the framework to a bond-order (Tersoff-type) potential that provides an analytic embedding of local coordination through a three-body term. A hierarchical RL workflow combining continuous-action Monte Carlo Tree Search and property-based rewards efficiently explores the 26-dimensional parameter space, sequentially optimizing lattice parameters, densities, angles, and cohesive energies of 21 silica polymorphs. The resulting models, Q-Tersoff and ML-Tersoff, reproduce the energetic ordering of low-energy phases and capture the angular correlations and amorphous structure factors of silica with improved fidelity over pairwise force fields, while remaining orders of magnitude faster than high-dimensional machine-learned potentials. Both models underperform for elastic constants and high-energy frameworks, delineating the limits of the current analytic form. The approach establishes a general and interpretable route to angle-aware, short-range potentials that bridge physics-based and machine-learned descriptions of silicate materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Liquid–Vapor Phase Equilibrium in Molten Aluminum Chloride (AlCl 3 ) Enabled by Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials

Molten salts are promising candidates in numerous clean energy applications, where knowledge of thermophysical properties and vapor pressure across their operating temperature ranges is critical for safe operations. Due to challenges in evaluating these properties using experimental methods, fast and scalable molecular simulations are essential to complement the experimental data. In this study, we developed machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIP) to study the AlCl 3 molten salt across varied thermodynamic conditions (T = 473–613 K and P = 2.7–23.4 bar), which allowed us to predict temperature-surface tension correlations and liquid–vapor phase diagram from direct simulations of two-phase coexistence in this molten salt. Two MLIP architectures, a Kernel-based potential and neural network interatomic potential (NNIP), were considered to benchmark their performance for AlCl 3 molten salt using experimental structure and density values. The NNIP potential employed in two-phase equilibrium simulations yields the critical temperature and critical density of AlCl 3 that are within 10 K (∼3%) and 0.03 g/cm 3 (∼7%) of the reported experimental values. An accurate correlation between temperature and viscosities is obtained as well. In doing so, we report that the inclusion of low-density configurations in their training is critical to more accurately represent the AlCl 3 system across a wide phase-space. The MLIP trained using PBE-D3 functional in the ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations (120 atoms) also showed close agreement with experimentally determined molten salt structure comprising Al 2 Cl 6 dimers, as validated using Raman spectra and neutron structure factor. Furthermore, the PBE-D3 as well as its trained MLIP showed better liquid density and temperature correlation for AlCl 3 system when compared to several other density functionals explored in this work. Overall, the demonstrated approach to predict temperature correlations for liquid and vapor densities in this study can be employed to screen nuclear reactors-relevant compositions, helping to mitigate safety concerns.

Ab initio molecular dynamics↗
DOE OSTI2025

Crystal Nucleation Kinetics and Mechanism: Influence of Interaction Potential

Modulating liquid-to-solid transitions and the resulting crystalline structure for tailored properties is much desired. Colloidal systems are exemplary to this end, but the fundamental knowledge gaps in relating the influence of intermolecular interactions to crystallization behavior continue to hinder progress. In this study, we address this knowledge gap by studying nucleation and growth in systems with modified Lennard-Jones potential. Specifically, we study the commonly used 12-6 potential and a softer 7-6 potential. The thermodynamic state point for the study is chosen such that both systems are investigated at the same level of supercooling and pressure. Under these conditions, we find that the nucleation rate for both systems is comparable. Interestingly, the nucleation pathways and resulting crystal structures are different. In the 12-6 system, nucleation and growth occur predominantly through the FCC structure. Softening the potential alters the critical nucleus composition and introduces two distinct nucleation pathways. One pathway predominantly leads to the nucleus with a body-centered cubic (BCC) structure, while the other favors the face-centered cubic (FCC) arrangement. Our study illustrates that polymorph selection can be achieved through modifications to intermolecular interactions without impacting nucleation kinetics. The results have significant implications in designing approaches for polymorph selection and modulating self-assembly mechanisms.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Tracking Spatiotemporal Electric Potential in Batteries Using High-Resolution Operando X‑ray Transmission Imaging

The formation of significant concentration gradients across electrolytes in batteries affects the rate at which electrochemical reactions occur. In this work, we use high-resolution operando X-ray transmission imaging to capture spatiotemporal salt concentration profiles c(x,t) in a symmetric cell comprising a polymer electrolyte sandwiched between two lithium–indium alloy electrodes during a constant-current experiment followed by open-circuit relaxation. The decay of open-circuit potential is related to the concentration dependence of the potential across concentration cells, U. We show how operando c(x,t) data can be used to calculate the spatiotemporal electric potential “inside” the polarized electrolyte. We track the spatial- and time-dependent cell potential during the constant-current step and distinguish its two contributions: a concentration overpotential governed by U. and an ohmic contribution governed by ionic conductivity. Over most of the time window, the concentration overpotential dominates. At steady state, it is a factor of 7 larger than the ohmic contribution. Such findings indicate that efforts to design new polymer electrolytes should focus on minimizing concentration gradients.

Electrical conductivity↗
DOE OSTI2026

Machine Learning an Ab-Initio Based Bond-Order Potential for Bismuthene

Bismuthene is a heavy 2D material whose strong spin–orbit coupling and recently observed single-element ferroelectricity have intensified interest in its structural, vibrational, and transport properties. Accurate modeling of these behaviors requires a short-range interatomic potential that can reproduce the underlying bonding physics at a fraction of the computational cost of first-principles methods. However, such a potential is currently unavailable. Here, in this work, we construct a Tersoff bond-order potential for β-bismuthene using a reinforcement-learning framework that integrates a continuous Monte Carlo Tree Search with a simplex-based local optimizer. The optimized parameter sets reproduce first-principles lattice constants, cohesive energy, the equation of state, elastic constants, and phonon dispersion. We validate the models by performing thermal-conductivity calculations and uniaxial fracture simulations our findings confirm the reliability of the resulting models across multiple thermomechanical regimes. Comparison of the three best solutions reveals how differences in pairwise interactions, angular terms, and bond-order behavior govern phonon features and mechanical responses. We demonstrate an interpretable and computationally efficient potential for bismuthene and demonstrate a general reinforcement-learning strategy for developing bond-order models in emerging 2D materials.

deformation↗
DOE OSTI2024

Modulation of Electrostatic Potential in 2D Crystal Engineered by an Array of Alternating Polar Molecules

The moiré potential in rotationally misfit two-dimensional (2D) heterostructures has been used to build artificial exciton and electron lattices, which have become platforms for realizing exotic electronic phases. Here, we demonstrate a different approach to create a superlattice potential in 2D crystals by using the near field of an array of polar molecules. Here, a bilayer of titanyl phthalocyanine (TiOPc), consisting of alternating out-of-plane dipoles, is deposited on monolayer MoS 2 . Time-resolved two-photon photoemission spectroscopy reveals a pair of interlayer exciton states with an energy difference of ~0.1 eV, which is consistent with the electrostatic potential modulation induced by the TiOPc bilayer as determined by density functional theory calculations. Because the symmetry and the period of this potential superlattice can be changed readily by using molecules of different shapes and sizes, molecule/2D heterostructures can be promising platforms for designing artificial exciton and electron lattices.

2D heterostructures↗
DOE OSTI2024

The Potential of Hydrogeodesy to Address Water-Related and Sustainability Challenges

Increasing climatic and human pressures are changing the world's water resources and hydrological processes at unprecedented rates. Understanding these changes requires comprehensive monitoring of water resources. Hydrogeodesy, the science that measures the Earth's solid and aquatic surfaces, gravity field, and their changes over time, delivers a range of novel monitoring tools that are complementary to traditional hydrological methods. It encompasses geodetic technologies such as Altimetry, Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), Gravimetry, and Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS). Beyond quantifying these changes, there is a need to understand how hydrogeodesy can contribute to more ambitious goals dealing with water-related and sustainability sciences. Addressing this need, we combine a meta-analysis of over 3,000 articles to chart the range, trends, and applications of satellite-based hydrogeodesy with an expert elicitation that systematically assesses the potential of hydrogeodesy. We find a growing body of literature relating to the advancements in hydrogeodetic methods, their accuracy and precision, and their inclusion in hydrological modeling, with a considerably smaller portion related to understanding hydrological processes, water management, and sustainability sciences. The meta-analysis also shows that while lakes, groundwater and glaciers are commonly monitored by these technologies, wetlands or permafrost could benefit from a wider range of applications. In turn, the expert elicitation envisages the potential of hydrogeodesy to help solve the 23 Unsolved Questions of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences and advance knowledge as guidance toward a safe operating space for humanity. It also highlights how this potential can be maximized by combining hydrogeodetic technologies simultaneously, exploiting artificial intelligence, and accurately integrating other Earth science disciplines. Finally, we call for a coordinated way forward to include hydrogeodesy in tertiary education and broaden its application to water-related and sustainability sciences in order to exploit its full potential.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Learning together: Towards foundation models for machine learning interatomic potentials with meta-learning

Abstract The development of machine learning models has led to an abundance of datasets containing quantum mechanical (QM) calculations for molecular and material systems. However, traditional training methods for machine learning models are unable to leverage the plethora of data available as they require that each dataset be generated using the same QM method. Taking machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) as an example, we show that meta-learning techniques, a recent advancement from the machine learning community, can be used to fit multiple levels of QM theory in the same training process. Meta-learning changes the training procedure to learn a representation that can be easily re-trained to new tasks with small amounts of data. We then demonstrate that meta-learning enables simultaneously training to multiple large organic molecule datasets. As a proof of concept, we examine the performance of a MLIP refit to a small drug-like molecule and show that pre-training potentials to multiple levels of theory with meta-learning improves performance. This difference in performance can be seen both in the reduced error and in the improved smoothness of the potential energy surface produced. We therefore show that meta-learning can utilize existing datasets with inconsistent QM levels of theory to produce models that are better at specializing to new datasets. This opens new routes for creating pre-trained, foundation models for interatomic potentials.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

Geologic hydrogen: a review of resource potential, subsurface dynamics, exploration, production, transportation, and research opportunities

Hydrogen is a versatile resource with critical roles in decarbonization, industrial manufacturing, and energy integration. However, most hydrogen today is produced from fossil fuels, resulting in high emissions and energy consumption. Although low-carbon hydrogen production methods, such as steam methane reforming with carbon capture and renewable-powered electrolysis, are advancing, their high costs hinder large-scale deployment. Identifying alternative pathways for producing low-cost, low-emission hydrogen is therefore essential. Geologic hydrogen, referring to natural and stimulated hydrogen generated in the Earth's subsurface, has attracted growing attention as a potential source of sustainable, economically viable, and environmentally favorable hydrogen. This paper provides a comprehensive review of geologic hydrogen, covering its resource potential, origins, migration and trapping mechanisms, exploration techniques, production strategies, and pipeline transportation. It also identifies key knowledge gaps and proposes a roadmap for future research. The review indicates that geologic hydrogen has vast resource potential and can leverage existing subsurface technologies and geophysical exploration methods. However, major challenges persist, including uncertain hydrogen generation rates, limited understanding and control of serpentinization processes, costly transportation infrastructure, the lack of validated techno-economic analysis, and potential social and environmental issues. As the field is still in its early stages, progress will require interdisciplinary collaboration spanning geoscience, engineering, economics, environmental science, and policy and regulation.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

The missing correlation between the potential rate impacts of rooftop solar and the timing of state net metering policy revisions

Residential solar photovoltaic (PV) output in most states is credited at the retail electricity rate, a policy commonly known as net metering. Twelve states have replaced net metering with alternative rate structures that reduce PV adopter bill savings. Proponents of these revisions argue that net metering increases the electricity rates of customers without PV. Here, we analyze the degree to which the timelines of net metering revisions have correlated with potential electricity rate impacts. We estimate that potential rate impacts at the end of 2023 were less than 1% of typical customer bills in 37 of 44 states that have offered net metering. There are no statistically significant differences in average or median estimated rate impacts between states that have and have not revised net metering. Nine of the states that had revised net metering did so when estimated impacts were less than 1% of typical customer bills. Many states have retained net metering into higher PV deployment levels with increased risk of potential rate impacts. Only two states—California and Hawaii—retained net metering beyond estimated rate impacts of 5%, and both have revised net metering. These findings do not suggest a clear, consistent link between net metering revision timelines and potential rate impacts. The timing and nature of net metering revisions are ultimately policy decisions based on state-level priorities and considerations.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Tunable pairing with local spin-dependent Rydberg molecule potentials in an atomic Fermi superfluid

We explore the energy spectrum and eigenstates of two-component atomic Fermi superfluids with tunable pairing interactions in the presence of spin-dependent ultralong-range Rydberg molecule (ULRM) potentials, within the Bogoliubov–de Gennes formalism. The attractive ULRM potentials lead to local-density accumulation, while their difference results in a local polarization potential and induces the in-gap Yu-Shiba-Rusinov (YSR) states whose energies lie below the bulk energy gap. A transition from equal population to population imbalance occurs as the pairing strength falls below a critical value, accompanied by the emergence of local Fulde-Ferrell-Larkin-Ovchinnikov (FFLO)–like states characterized by out-of-phase wave functions and lower energies compared to the YSR states. The negative contribution emanating from the FFLO-like states also causes a sign change in the gap function within the ULRM potentials. Depending on the Rydberg excitation, the transition towards population imbalance can be on either the BCS or the Bose-Einstein condensation side of the Fermi superfluid. Additionally, spin-polarized bound states arise along with oscillatory “clumpy states” to compensate for the local-density difference. Here, we discuss possible experimental realizations of the composite Rydberg-atom–Fermi-superfluid system.

Cold and ultracold molecules↗
DOE OSTI2024

Assessing correlated truncation errors in modern nucleon-nucleon potentials

We test the BUQEYE model of correlated effective field theory (EFT) truncation errors on Reinert, Krebs, and Epelbaum's semilocal momentum-space implementation of the chiral EFT (𝜒⁢EFT ) expansion of the nucleon-nucleon (NN) potential. This Bayesian model hypothesizes that dimensionless coefficient functions extracted from the order-by-order corrections to NN observables can be treated as draws from a Gaussian process (GP). We combine a variety of graphical and statistical diagnostics to assess when predicted observables have a 𝜒⁢EFT convergence pattern consistent with the hypothesized GP statistical model. Our conclusions are that, first, the BUQEYE model is generally applicable to the potential investigated here, which enables statistically principled estimates of the impact of higher EFT orders on observables. Second, parameters defining the extracted coefficients such as the expansion parameter 𝑄 must be well chosen for the coefficients to exhibit a regular convergence pattern—a property we exploit to obtain posterior distributions for such quantities. Third, the assumption of GP stationarity across lab energy and scattering angle is not generally met; this necessitates adjustments in future work. We provide a workflow and interpretive guide for our analysis framework, and show what can be inferred about probability distributions for 𝑄, the EFT breakdown scale Λ 𝑏 , the scale associated with soft physics in the 𝜒⁢EFT potential 𝑚 eff , and the GP hyperparameters. All our results can be reproduced using a publicly available Jupyter notebook, which can be straightforwardly modified to analyze other 𝜒⁢EFT NN potentials.

Bayesian methods↗
DOE OSTI2024

Bottomonium suppression from the three-loop QCD potential

We compute the suppression of bottomonium in the quark-gluon plasma using the three-loop QCD static potential. The potential describes the spin-averaged bottomonium spectrum below threshold with a less than 1% error. Within potential nonrelativistic quantum chromodynamics and an open quantum systems framework, we compute the evolution of the bottomonium density matrix. The values of the quarkonium transport coefficients are obtained from lattice QCD measurements of the bottomonium in-medium width and thermal mass shift; we additionally include for the first time a vacuum contribution to the dispersive coefficient γ . Using the three-loop potential and the values of the heavy quarkonium transport coefficients, we find that the resulting bottomonium nuclear modification factor is consistent with experimental observations, while at the same time reproducing the lattice measurements of the in-medium width. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Born-Oppenheimer potentials for $SU$(3) gauge theory

We develop parametrizations of eight of the lowest Born-Oppenheimer potentials for quarkonium hybrid mesons as functions of the separation r of the static quark and antiquark sources. The parameters are determined by fitting results calculated using pure SU⁡(3) lattice gauge theory. The parametrizations have the correct limiting behavior at small r, where the potentials form multiplets associated with gluelumps. They have the correct limiting behavior at large r, where the potentials form multiplets associated with excitations of a relativistic string. There is a narrow avoided crossing in the small-r region between two potentials with the same Born-Oppenheimer quantum numbers.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2024

Intricate short-range order in GeSn alloys revealed by atomistic simulations with highly accurate and efficient machine-learning potentials

GeSn alloys hold promise for silicon-compatible integrated applications in electronics, photonics, and topological quantum devices. However, understanding their intricate structures using density functional theory (DFT) calculations is hindered by spatiotemporal constraints. To overcome this limitation, we develop highly accurate and efficient machine-learning interatomic potentials based on a neuroevolution potential approach with farthest point sampling on a comprehensive DFT data set. The application of the developed machine-learning potential in large-scale atomistic simulations bridges the spatiotemporal gap between modeling and advanced characterizations, and facilitates the discovery of structural intricacies in GeSn alloys. Through extensive statistical sampling, we identify a type of short-range order (SRO) that is distinguished by both its structural signature and electronic band gap from the SRO structure previously predicted. Modeling based on a large simulation cell reveals the coexistence of nano SRO domains with various degrees of ordering, demonstrating a complex spatial heterogeneity of SRO structure. Finally, our study not only reinforces the significance of fine-level structural information in alloys, but it also constitutes an effective framework for exploring SRO in a broad range of complex alloys based on highly accurate and effective machine-learning potentials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗