Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “probability of initiation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 109 records · Page 6
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1975

Reliability-based optimum inspection and maintenance procedures

The development of reliability-based optimum inspection and maintenance schedules for engines needs an understanding of the fatigue behavior of the engines. Critical areas of the engine structure prone to fatigue damage are usually identified beforehand or after the fleet has been put into operation. In these areas, fatigue cracks initiate after several flight hours, and these cracks grow in length until failure takes place when these cracks attain the critical lengths. Crack initiation time and its growth rate are considered to be random variables. Usually, the inspection (fatigue) or test data from similar engines are used as prior distributions. The existing state-of-the-art is to ignore the different lengths of cracks obserbed at various inspections and to consider only the fact that a crack existed (or did not exist) at the time of inspection. In this paper, a procedure has been developed to obtain the probability of finding a crack of a given size at a certain time if the probability distributions for crack initiation and rates of growth are known. Application of the developed stochastic models to devise optimum procedures for inspection and maintenance are also discussed.

Nanagud, S.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Landau-Zener transition between two levels coupled to continuum

We report for a Landau-Zener transition in a two-level system, the probability for a particle, initially in the first level, i, to survive the transition and to remain in the first level, depends exponentially on the square of the tunnel matrix element between the two levels. This result remains valid when the second level, f, is broadened due to e.g. coupling to continuum (Akulin and Schleich (1992) [26]). If the level, i, is also coupled to continuum, albeit much weaker than the level f, a particle, upon surviving the transition, will eventually escape. However, for shorter times, the probability to find the particle in the level i after crossing f is enhanced due to the coupling to continuum. This, as shown in the present paper, is the result of a second-order process, which is an additional coupling between the levels. The underlying mechanism of this additional coupling is virtual tunneling from i into continuum followed by tunneling back into f.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
NASA NTRS1977

Flight inspection data and crack initiation times

Lockheed C-130 service-flight inspection data is reduced by means of fracture mechanics and statistical analysis into a form from which the probability of time to crack initiation and the distribution of initial flaw sizes for various locations on the aircraft can be determined. Crack sizes are normalized by extrapolating a growing crack backwards from its first recorded size to .03 inches (crack initiation size) yielding the time to crack initiation. In a similar fashion, the crack is grown backwards to a time equal to zero to yield an initial flaw size. In order to perform the discussed computations, crack growth constants were computed for each individual location and were analyzed statistically. Statistical distributions were fitted to times to crack initiation and to initial flaw sizes in order to describe their expected behavior. Weibull and Johnson distributions have been found to fit the data reasonably well but for a better fit convolution integrals of Poisson load distributions and Weibull strength distributions are needed.

Johnson, W. S.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Failure evaluation of neutron-irradiated SiC/SiC composites by underwater acoustic emission

Here, understanding the statistical properties of mechanical properties of non-irradiated and neutron-irradiated SiC/SiC composites is essential for component design. This study aims to evaluate the detailed damage accumulation behavior of composites focusing on two fracture parameters: proportional limit stress (PLS) and acoustic emission (AE) onset stress. The developmental underwater AE technique, which is benefit in non-contact in-situ failure monitoring method during mechanical testing and in handle of the irradiated material, was first applied to evaluate damage accumulation behavior. Two types of chemical vapor infiltration SiC/SiC composites were used: one reinforced with Hi-Nicalon Type-S SiC fiber and one reinforced with Tyranno-SA3 SiC fiber in the form of satin-woven 2D fabrics with pyrolytic carbon interface. Neutron irradiation in the High Flux Isotope Reactor at Oak Ridge National Laboratory reached a fluence of 30 dpa at a temperature of 620–670°C. Four-point flexural tests were conducted to evaluate post-irradiation strength. Weibull statistics did not suggest marked degradation of composite strength. Detailed failure behavior evaluated by AE demonstrated no irradiation-induced change of the AE onset stress (i.e., crack initiation equivalent stress). Failure probability analysis suggests that increasing the reliability of composites (i.e., the Weibull modulus rather than strength itself) is essential to expanding the design margin and benefiting from a probabilistic design approach.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

The effect of annealing on kink band formation in Ag/Fe nanolaminates

Kink banding is a common, though not well understood, failure mechanism in anisotropic materials such as nano metallic laminates (NMLs). In this work, we investigate the effect of annealing on kink band (KB) formation in Ag/Fe NMLs prepared by accumulative roll bonding (ARB) using in situ micropillar compression, scanning/transmission electron microscopy (S/TEM), and transmission Kikuchi diffraction (TKD) analyses. Our results show that annealing increases the KB initiation strain, decreases the probability of KB formation, and decreases the load drop magnitude accompanying kink banding in Ag/Fe NMLs. Post-compression analyses reveal that annealing facilitates more uniform deformation of pillars and affects the formation of geometrically necessary grain boundaries (GNBs) near the kink band boundary (KBB). Compared to its as-rolled counterpart, annealed Ag/Fe has wider KBs with blunter KBBs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Highly excited electron cyclotron for QCD axion and dark-photon detection

We propose using highly excited cyclotron states of a trapped electron to detect meV axion and dark-photon dark matter, marking a significant improvement over our previous proposal and demonstration [One-electron quantum cyclotron as a milli-ev dark-photon detector, .]. When the axion mass matches the cyclotron frequency ω c , the cyclotron state is resonantly excited, with a transition probability proportional to its initial quantum number, n c . The sensitivity is enhanced by taking n c ∼ 10 6 ( 0.1 meV ω c ) 2 . By optimizing key experimental parameters, we minimize the required averaging time for cyclotron detection to t ave ∼ 10 − 6 s, permitting detection of such a highly excited state before its decay. An open–end-cap trap design enables the external photon signal to be directed into the trap, rendering our background-free detector compatible with large focusing cavities, such as the BREAD proposal, while capitalizing on their strong magnetic fields. Furthermore, the axion conversion rate can be coherently enhanced by incorporating layers of dielectrics with alternating refractive indices within the cavity. Collectively, these optimizations enable us to probe the QCD axion parameter space from 0.1 to 2.3 meV (25–560 GHz), covering a substantial portion of the predicted postinflationary QCD axion mass range. This sensitivity corresponds to probing the kinetic mixing parameter of the dark photon down to ε ≈ 2 × 10 − 16 . Published by the American Physical Society 2025

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Benchmarking of Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Models in Grizzly

In 2020, as part of contract/task order 31310019N0006/31310020F0060, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission tasked Idaho National Laboratory (INL) with benchmarking the MOOSE/GRIZZLY code against the NRC’s Fracture Analysis of Vessels - Oak Ridge (FAVOR), version 16.1 code. Both codes can predict large light-water reactor vessel integrity deterministically and probabilistically. In fact, such predictions are the primary purpose of the FAVOR code, and are a main focus of the GRIZZLY code, although GRIZZLY is capable of modeling a wider range of geometries and problems. The vessel integrity modeling capabilities of the GRIZZLY code are still under development and being gradually expanded, and the capability to model vessel fracture by crack growth has not yet been integrated into GRIZZLY (although it does exist in pre-release versions). Thus, the present benchmark study focused on comparing predictions for the conditional probability of crack growth initiation (CPI) between GRIZZLY and FAVOR v16.1. The present benchmarking study expands on a previous study completed in 2020, which focused on single plate regions, various flaw types, and full vessel studies. The previous study was limited in scope and revealed some relatively large discrepancies, particularly in the case of weld regions. In the present study, detailed investigations into the sources of discrepancies between GRIZZLY and FAVOR were performed, with a focus on weld regions.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
NASA NTRS1977

Probabilistic fracture mechanics and optimum fracture control of the solid rocket motor case of the shuttle

Development of a procedure for the reliability analysis of the solid rocket motor case of the space shuttle is described. The analysis is based on probabilistic fracture mechanics and consideration of a probability distribution for the initial flaw sizes. The reliability analysis can be used to select design variables, such as the thickness of the SRM case, projected design life and proof factor, on the basis of minimum expected cost and specified reliability bounds. Effects of fracture control plans such as the non-destructive inspections and the material erosion between missions can also be considered in the developed methodology for selection of design variables. The reliability-based procedure can be easily modified to consider other similar structures and different fracture control plans.

Hanagud, S.↗
NASA NTRS1977

Analysis of internal flow of J85-13 multistage compressor

Interstage data recorded on a J85-13 engine were used to analyze the internal flow of the compressor. Measured pressures and temperatures were used as input to a streamline analysis program to calculate the velocity diagrams at the inlet and outlet of each blade row. From the velocity diagrams and blade geometry, selected blade-element performance parameters were calculated. From the detailed analysis it is concluded that the compressor is probably hub critical (stall initiates at the hub) in the latter stages for the design speed conditions. As a result, the casing treatment over the blade tips has little or no effect on stall margin at design speed. Radial inlet distortion did not appear to change the flow in the stages that control stall because of the rapid attenuation of the distortion within the compressor.

Hager, R. D.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Investigation of superlattice device structures

This report describes the investigation of growth properties, and the structure of epitaxial multilayer Si(Si(1x)Ge(x)) films grown on bulk Silicon Substrates. It also describes the fabrication and characterization of MOSFET and MESFET devices made on these epitaxial films. Films were grown in a CVD reactor using hydrides of Si and Ge with H2 and He as carrier gases. Growth temperatures were between 900 C and 1050 C with most films grown at 1000 C. Layer thickness was between 300A and 2000A and total film thickness was between 0.25 micro m and 7 micro m. The Ge content (X) in the alloy layers was between .05 and 0.2. N-type multilayer films grown on (100) p-type Si showed Hall mobility in the range 1000 to 1500 sq cm/v for an average carrier concentration of approx. 10 to the 16th power/cu cm. This is up to 50% higher than the Hall mobility observed in epitaxial Si films grown under the same conditions and with the same average carrier concentration. The mobility enhancement occurred in films with average carrier concentration (n) from 0.7 x 10 to the 16th power to 2 x 10 to the 17th power/cu cm, and total film thickness greater than 1.0 micro m. No mobility enhancement was seen in n-type multilayer films grown on (111) Si or in p-type multilayer films. The structure of the films was investigated was using SEM, TEM, AES, SIMS, and X-ray double crystal diffraction techniques. The film composition profile (AES, SIMS) showed that the transition region between layers is of the order of about 100A. The TEM examination revealed a well defined layered structure with fairly sharp interfaces and good crystalline quality. It also showed that the first few layers of the film (closest to the substrate) are uneven, most probably due to the initial growth pattern of the epitaxial film where growth occurs first in isolated islands that eventually growth and coalesce. The X-ray diffraction measurement determined the elastic strain and strain relief in the alloy layers of the film and the elastic strain in the intervening Si layers.

Gergis, I. S.↗
NASA NTRS1986

The color of meteoritic hibonite - An indicator of oxygen fugacity

Hibonites similar in composition to those found in Ca-Al-rich inclusions change color from blue, to green, to orange, to nearly colorless as oxygen fugacity is increased at high temperature from below the iron-wustite buffer up to air. The development of the blue color is correlated with the growth of an absorption band at 715 nm in the optical spectra of the hibonites as the oxygen fugacity is reduced. The growth of this band is attributed to the increasing concentration of Ti(3+) in these hibonites with decreasing oxygen fugacity. The blue hibonites in meteorites reflect equilibration under reducing conditions based on the intensity of 715 nm band, it is estimated that the hibonite in the Blue Angel inclusion indicates an oxygen fugacity four to five orders of magnitude more oxidizing than that expected in the early solar nebula. This may be due to formation in an anomalously oxidizing region of the nebula or to oxidation during cooling or later alteration. The orange hibonites in Allende reflect oxygen fugacities approximately ten or more orders of magnitude more oxidizing than the expected primitive nebula; this color probably indicates alteration of initially more reduced (blue?) hibonites. The colorless hibonite in the HAL inclusion reflects highly oxidizing conditions and/or its low Ti content.

Ihinger, P. D.↗
NASA NTRS1992

The stellar content of LH 9 and 10 (N11) in the LMC - A case for sequential star formation

The young OB associations Lucke-Hodge 9 and 10 are studied with UBV photometry that is independent of reddening to determine the IMF directly from star counts. The temperature and reddening of the stars are determined which, in conjunction with the spectroscopic classification of the earliest stars, is employed to place the stellar groups on the theoretical H-R diagram. Observations are also presented of the highly compact H II region/knot N11A and the multiple system HD 32228, and LH 9 and 10 are compared. The Lyman ionizing flux calculated at 4.9-7.2 x 10 exp 50/s agrees well with flux required to generate the H-alpha luminosity of the H II region. LH 10 has a much flatter slope, a higher ratio of higher-mass to lower-mass stars, and greater reddening than LH 9, and LH 10 contains all of the O stars earlier than O6. It is concluded that LH 9 is older than LH 10 and probably contributed to the initiation of star formation in LH 10.

Parker, Joel WM.↗
NASA NTRS1994

An optical study of the faint end of the stellar luminosity function

We implement a new method by which to study the faint end of the field star luminosity function. The method relies on deep, multicolor photometry of fields projected against highly obscured, nearby molecular clouds. The clouds act as nearby opaque screens and delimit a well-defined survey volume which is in principle free of the problem of distinguishing nearby, intrinsically faint dwarf stars from more distant red giants. This study is based upon deep photographic and CCD photometry at optical (V, R, I) bandpasses toward the most highly obscured portions of the Taurus and Ophiuchus molecular clouds. The total volume delimited by the clouds is approximately 200 cu pc. Within this region our survey is complete for all stars brighter than M(sub V) = 16-17 mag; at R and I, the survey is complete down to the lowest mass stars capable of sustaining core hydrogen burning. We estimate the faint end of the field star luminosity function for the composite Taurus and Ophiuchus foreground sample and find that it resembles the local luminosity function down to M(sub V) approx. 16. At still fainter magnitudes we find more stars than do photometric parallex studies of the polar regions. This difference widens dramatically if even the simplest correction for incompleteness is applied to our data. We therefore tentatively conclude that the luminosity function rises beyond M(sub V) approx. 16; even if we discard our attempts to correct for incompleteness in the faintest magnitude bins, the luminosity function at least remains flat for the lowest mass stars. Our provisional finding that the luminosity function rises beyond its well-known peak at M(sub V) approx. 12-13, implies that the initial mass function (IMF) probably rises beyond the turnover point associated with this peak. Even if our most conservative estimate for the faint end of the luminosity function is used-in which no corrections are made for incompleteness-the IMF must at least remain flat down to the edge of the hydrogen-burning main sequence.

Jarrett, T. H.↗
NASA NTRS1999

Looking for Fossil Bacteria in Martian Materials

The rationale for looking for prokaryote fossils in Martian materials is based on our present understanding of the environmental evolution of that planet in comparison to the history of the terrestrial environments and the development and evolution of life on Earth. On Earth we have clear, albeit indirect, evidence of life in 3.8 b.y.-old rocks from Greenland and the first morphological fossils in 3.3-3.5 b.y.-old cherts from South Africa and Australia. In comparison, Mars, being smaller, probably cooled down after initial aggregation faster than the Earth. Consequently, there could have been liquid water on its surface earlier than on Earth. With a similar exogenous and endogenous input of organics and life-sustaining nutrients as is proposed for the Earth, life could have arisen on that planet, possibly slightly earlier dm it did on Earth. Whereas on Earth liquid water has remained at the surface of the planet since about 4.4 b.y. (with some possible interregnums caused by planet-sterilising impacts before 3.8. b.y. and perhaps a number of periods of a totally frozen Earth, this was not the case with Mars. Although it is not known exactly when surficial water disappeared from the surface, there would have been sufficient time for life to have developed into something similar to the terrestrial prokaryote stage. However, given the earlier environmental deterioration, it is unlikely that it evolved into the eukaryote stage and even evolution of oxygenic photosynthesis may not have been reached. Thus, the impetus of research is on single celled life simnilar to prokaryotes. We are investigating a number of methods of trace element analysis with respect to the Early Archaean microbial fossils. Preliminary neutron activation analysis of carbonaceous layers in the Early Archaean cherts from South Africa and Australia shows some partitioning of elements such as As, Sb, Cr with an especial enrichment of lanthanides in a carbonaceous-rich banded iron sediment . More significantly, preliminary TOF-SIMS investigations of organics in the cherts reveals the presence of a biomarker, which appears to be a derivative of bacterial polymer, in the carbonaceous parts of the rocks. We conclude that a combination of morphological, isotope and biogeochemical methods can be used to successfully identify signs of life in terrestrial material, and that these methods will be useful in searching for signs of life in extraterrestrial materials.

Westall, F.↗
NASA NTRS2001

Low Emissions RQL Flametube Combustor Component Test Results

This report describes and summarizes elements of the High Speed Research (HSR) Low Emissions Rich burn/Quick mix/Lean burn (RQL) flame tube combustor test program. This test program was performed at NASA Glenn Research Center circa 1992. The overall objective of this test program was to demonstrate and evaluate the capability of the RQL combustor concept for High Speed Civil Transport (HSCT) applications with the goal of achieving NOx emission index levels of 5 g/kg-fuel at representative HSCT supersonic cruise conditions. The specific objectives of the tests reported herein were to investigate component performance of the RQL combustor concept for use in the evolution of ultra-low NOx combustor design tools. Test results indicated that the RQL combustor emissions and performance at simulated supersonic cruise conditions were predominantly sensitive to the quick mixer subcomponent performance and not sensitive to fuel injector performance. Test results also indicated the mixing section configuration employing a single row of circular holes was the lowest NOx mixer tested probably due to the initial fast mixing characteristics of this mixing section. However, other quick mix orifice configurations such as the slanted slot mixer produced substantially lower levels of carbon monoxide emissions most likely due to the enhanced circumferential dispersion of the air addition. Test results also suggested that an optimum momentum-flux ratio exists for a given quick mix configuration. This would cause undesirable jet under- or over-penetration for test conditions with momentum-flux ratios below or above the optimum value. Tests conducted to assess the effect of quick mix flow area indicated that reduction in the quick mix flow area produced lower NOx emissions at reduced residence time, but this had no effect on NOx emissions measured at similar residence time for the configurations tested.

Holdeman, James D.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Component Selection, Accelerated Testing, and Improved Modeling of AMTEC Systems for Space Power (abstract)

Alkali metal thermal to electric converter (AMTEC) designs for space power are numerous, but selection of materials for construction of long-lived AMTEC devices has been limited to electrodes, current collectors, and the solid electrolyte. AMTEC devices with lifetimes greater than 5 years require careful selection and life testing of all hot-side components. The likely selection of a remote condensed design for initial flight test and probable use with a GPHS in AMTEC powered outer planet probes requires the device to be constructed to tolerate T greater than 1150K, as well as exposure to Na(sub (g)), and Na(sub (liq)) on the high pressure side. The temperatures involved make critical high strength and chemical resistance to Na containing Na(sub 2)O. Selection among materials which can be worked should not be driven by ease of fabricability, as high temperature stability is the critical issue. These concepts drive the selection of Mo alloys for Na(sub (liq)) containment in AMTEC cells for T to 1150K operation, as they are significantly stronger than comparable NB or Ta alloys, are less soluble in Na(sub (liq)) containing dissolved Na(sub 2)O, are workable compared to W alloys (which might be used for certain components), and are ductile at the T greater than 500K of proposed AMTEC modules in space applications.

AMTEC thermal to electric conversion↗
NASA NTRS2015

Lunar Impact Flash Locations from NASA's Lunar Impact Monitoring Program

Meteoroids are small, natural bodies traveling through space, fragments from comets, asteroids, and impact debris from planets. Unlike the Earth, which has an atmosphere that slows, ablates, and disintegrates most meteoroids before they reach the ground, the Moon has little-to-no atmosphere to prevent meteoroids from impacting the lunar surface. Upon impact, the meteoroid's kinetic energy is partitioned into crater excavation, seismic wave production, and the generation of a debris plume. A flash of light associated with the plume is detectable by instruments on Earth. Following the initial observation of a probable Taurid impact flash on the Moon in November 2005,1 the NASA Meteoroid Environment Office (MEO) began a routine monitoring program to observe the Moon for meteoroid impact flashes in early 2006, resulting in the observation of over 330 impacts to date. The main objective of the MEO is to characterize the meteoroid environment for application to spacecraft engineering and operations. The Lunar Impact Monitoring Program provides information about the meteoroid flux in near-Earth space in a size range-tens of grams to a few kilograms-difficult to measure with statistical significance by other means. A bright impact flash detected by the program in March 2013 brought into focus the importance of determining the impact flash location. Prior to this time, the location was estimated to the nearest half-degree by visually comparing the impact imagery to maps of the Moon. Better accuracy was not needed because meteoroid flux calculations did not require high-accuracy impact locations. But such a bright event was thought to have produced a fresh crater detectable from lunar orbit by the NASA spacecraft Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO). The idea of linking the observation of an impact flash with its crater was an appealing one, as it would validate NASA photometric calculations and crater scaling laws developed from hypervelocity gun testing. This idea was dependent upon LRO finding a fresh impact crater associated with one of the impact flashes recorded by Earth-based instruments, either the bright event of March 2013 or any other in the database of impact observations. To find the crater, LRO needed an accurate area to search. This Technical Memorandum (TM) describes the geolocation technique developed to accurately determine the impact flash location, and by association, the location of the crater, thought to lie directly beneath the brightest portion of the flash. The workflow and software tools used to geolocate the impact flashes are described in detail, along with sources of error and uncertainty and a case study applying the workflow to the bright impact flash in March 2013. Following the successful geolocation of the March 2013 flash, the technique was applied to all impact flashes detected by the MEO between November 7, 2005, and January 3, 2014.

Moser, D. E.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Component Selection, Accelerated Testing, and Improved Modeling of AMTEC Systems for Space Power

Alkali metal thermal to electric converter (AMTEC) designs for space power are numerous, but the selection of materials for construction of long-lived AMTEC devices has been limited to electrodes, current collectors, and the solid electrolyte. AMTEC devices with lifetimes greater than 5 years require careful selection and life testing of all hot-side components. The likely selection of a remote condensed design for initial flight test and probable use with a radioisotope heat source in AMTEC powered planet probes requires the device to be constructed to tolerate operating T greater than 1150K, as well as exposure to Na (g) , and Na (liq) on the high pressure side. The temperatures involved make the characterization of high strength and chemical resistance to Na containing Na 2 O critical. Selection among materials which can be worked should not be driven by ease of fabricablity, as high temperature stability is the critical issue. These concepts drive the selecton of Mo alloys for Na (liq) containment in AMTEC cells for T to 1150K operation, as they are significantly stronger than comparable Nb or Ta alloys, are less soluble in Na (liq) containing dissolved Na 2 O, are workable compared with W alloys (which might be used for certain components), and are ductile at the T greater than 500K of proposed AMTEC modules in space applications.

AMTEC↗