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NASA NTRS2018

Risk Tolerance and Safety Culture: Minimizing the Risk of Catastrophe by Bringing the Lessons of Space Home

The Johnson Space Center has pursued integrating safety culture and risk management practices and techniques throughout a large organization with an extraordinarily diverse mission. Past mission and institutional failures have been used to inform NASA's safety culture and a implement a uniform risk management environment. Basics from the loss prevention industry have influenced NASA's approach to sustaining its unique, yet aging, infrastructure. Lessons learned at NASA can augment and enhance occupational safety, health and risk management capabilities within hazardous industries. By focusing on risk informed decision-making, building a pervasive safety culture, and accommodating human factors, NASA's safety capabilities have been specifically developed to minimize the risk of loss of life and loss of mission.

Mishap↗

NASA NTRS2018

Microbial Monitoring and the Risk of Infectious Disease Aboard the International Space Station

The International Space Station (ISS) is a semi-closed habitat in low Earth orbit with environmental conditions provided by an advanced life support system that controls temperature and recycles air and most of the potable water. The crew's activities, such as eating, sleeping, hygiene, and laboratory research, are performed in relatively close proximity. Research in the laboratory includes a myriad of experiments, including those with rodents, plants, and pathogenic microorganisms. Despite these conditions, in-flight monitoring of ISS indicates that the microbial diversity is similar to homes on earth. Accordingly, the crew is generally very healthy, however infectious disease does occur and potential routes of infection by obligate and opportunistic pathogens cannot be completely prevented. Determining the extent of this risk is further complicated, as microorganisms can alter their characteristics in response to spaceflight culture, as exemplified by the increase in virulence of the enteric pathogen Salmonella enterica Typhimurium during spaceflight compared to otherwise identical cultures grown on Earth. Taken together, these factors suggest a need for continued microbiological monitoring and research to understand and mitigate the risk of infectious disease during long duration missions.

Ott, C. Mark↗

NASA NTRS1987

The preservation of urine samples for determination of renal stone risk factors

A preservation technique for urine specimens before determination of stone risk factors was evaluated. The purpose of these experiments was to prove the effectiveness of the preservatives used to prevent changes in the concentrations of those constituents measured. Measured concentrations in fresh specimens were compared with those in the same specimens after storage with the preservatives. Refrigeration at 4 degrees C up to five days was appropriate in a laboratory setting, as no significant changes in urinary concentrations occurred. Refrigeration, however, did not offer a convenient method for shipping. Chemical preservation was found to be an effective alternative to refrigeration. Thymol prevented changes in concentration of pH, citrate, uric acid, sulfate, sodium, potassium, and cyclic AMP, while a mixture of hydrochloric (HCl) acid and boric acid prevented changes in calcium, magnesium, phosphorus, oxalate, ammonium, and creatinine. Thus, the addition of thymol or HCl/boric acid to urine specimens will prevent significant changes in the concentrations of stone risk factors.

Non-NASA Center↗

NASA NTRS2008

Risks Associated with Long-Term Spaceflight

Requirements driving the HHC work and deliverables are derived from the Human Research Program requirements, as well as Agency standards regarding the maintenance of human health and performance and a programmatic review of the existing evidence to support identified risks. Agency human health and performance standards define acceptable risk for each type and duration of exploration mission. It is critical to have the best available scientific and clinical evidence in setting and validating these standards. In addition, it is imperative that the best available evidence on preventing and mitigating human health and performance risks is incorporated into exploration mission and vehicle designs.

Francisco, David↗

NASA NTRS2009

Human Research Program Requirements Document (Revision C)

The purpose of this document is to define, document, and allocate the Human Research Program (HRP) requirements to the HRP Program Elements. It establishes the flow-down of requirements from Exploration Systems Mission Directorate (ESMD) and Office of the Chief Health and Medical Officer (OCHMO) to the various Program Elements of the HRP to ensure that human research and technology countermeasure investments are made to insure the delivery of countermeasures and technologies that satisfy ESMD's and OCHMO's exploration mission requirements. Requirements driving the HRP work and deliverables are derived from the exploration architecture, as well as Agency standards regarding the maintenance of human health and performance. Agency human health and performance standards will define acceptable risk for each type and duration of exploration mission. It is critical to have the best available scientific and clinical evidence in setting and validating these standards. In addition, it is imperative that the best available evidence on preventing and mitigating human health and performance risks is incorporated into exploration mission and vehicle designs. These elements form the basis of the HRP research and technology development requirements and highlight the importance of HRP investments in enabling NASA's exploration missions. This PRD defines the requirements of the HRP which is comprised of the following major Program Elements: Behavioral Health and Performance (BHP), Exploration Medical Capability (ExMC), Human Health Countermeasures (HHC), ISS Medical Project (ISSMP), Space Human Factors and Habitability (SHFH), and Space Radiation (SR).

Vargas, Paul R.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Mapping Surface Vapor Pressure Deficits From Geostationary Satellites for Fire Weather Monitoring

The increase in the wildfires were observed globally in accordance with global warming, and to real- time monitoring of wildfire risk in broad scale is demanded for wildfire management to prevent the spread of wildfires. Scientists invented a lot of indices to assess the wildfire risk. Vapor Pressure Deficit (VPD) is one of the most important meteorological components for those indices. Compared to other components of fire weather indices, VPD can change quickly from lower risk to higher risk even in sub-hourly. Therefore, real-time fire risk monitoring requires high-resolution and high- temporal VPD spatial map. Here, we developed VPD estimation method using the GOES Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) data. Unlike the polar-orbital satellite data, the ABI can observe target region every 10 minutes, so that we can estimate VPD for fire weather in real-time. The method used to estimate VPD is same with the algorithm of NASA Earth Exchange Gridded Daily Meteorology (NEX- GDM), which estimate meteorological variables from ground weather observation and spatial variables based on random forest (RF). We calculated RF importance to select bands of ABI as input of the model. To validate our results, we compared the spatial pattern of our VPD data with the Real- Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA) data over the conterminous USA. We sought possibility of applying our method to the region where no real-time high-resolution weather data is available, such as South America. The developed method can produce real-time high-resolution high-frequent VPD data in the continental scale. The derived data from GOES ABI could contribute to improve the fire weather monitoring and lead to prevent wildfires.

Hirofumi Hashimoto↗

NASA NTRS1999

A Probabilistic Approach of Incorporating Safety and Reliability in System Designs for a Manned Mission to Mars

Conceptual stages in mission design often lack the input of quantitative safety and reliability assessments, simply because failure rates or other data are not yet available for systems that have not yet been designed. Absence of such data should not, however, prevent the development of a quantitative risk models with placeholders for missing data. Functions (that is, actions the systems must perform) in mission design will eventually require system probabilities of success, and there could be much learned from surrogate data, adequately bounded in uncertainty, used in a large event tree model of a complex mission.

Railsback, Jan W.↗

NASA NTRS2016

Translational Cellular Research on the International Space Station

The emerging field of Translational Research aims to coalesce interdisciplinary findings from basic science for biomedical applications. To complement spaceflight research using human subjects, translational studies can be designed to address aspects of space-related human health risks and help develop countermeasures to prevent or mitigate them, with therapeutical benefits for analogous conditions experienced on Earth. Translational research with cells and model organisms is being conducted onboard the International Space Station (ISS) in connection with various human systems impacted by spaceflight, such as the cardiovascular, musculoskeletal, and immune systems. Examples of recent cell-based translational investigations on the ISS include the following. The JAXA investigation Cell Mechanosensing seeks to identify gravity sensors in skeletal muscle cells to develop muscle atrophy countermeasures by analyzing tension fluctuations in the plasma membrane, which changes the expression of key proteins and genes. Earth applications of this study include therapeutic approaches for some forms of muscular dystrophy, which appear to parallel aspects of muscle wasting in space. Spheroids is an ESA investigation examining the system of endothelial cells lining the inner surface of all blood vessels in terms of vessel formation, cellular proliferation, and programmed cell death, because injury to the endothelium has been implicated as underpinning various cardiovascular and musculoskeletal problems arising during spaceflight. Since endothelial cells are involved in the functional integrity of the vascular wall, this research has applications to Earth diseases such as atherosclerosis, diabetes, and hypertension. The goal of the T-Cell Activation in Aging NASA investigation is to understand human immune system depression in microgravity by identifying gene expression patterns of candidate molecular regulators, which will provide further insight into factors that may play a critical role in immune function loss during aging. In addition, Omics investigations with cells have synergistic applications ranging from the evaluation of pharmacological countermeasures to drug discovery. Thus, cell-based translational research onboard the ISS is bidirectionally bridging cutting-edge cellular and molecular approaches with space bioastronautics and human health methodologies on Earth.

Love, John↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Validation of a Multiphase Computational Fluid Dynamics Model for Vapor Pull-Through in Normal and Low Gravity

On-orbit fluid transfer such as refueling of propellant tanks and life-support systems can enable long-duration space missions. For safe and efficient liquid transfer operations, prior knowledge of liquid positioning and liquid-vapor interface behavior while draining in a low-gravity environment is required. Numerical models capable of predicting vapor ingestion (or vapor pull-through) can be used to design liquid transfer operations while reducing liquid residuals, mission risk and settling thrust required to prevent vapor ingestion. An experimental program conducted in the 2.2 Second Drop Tower facility at NASA Glenn Research Center investigated the vapor ingestion phenomenon for a range of outflow rates and tank sizes providing a database for validation. This study presents a Computational Fluid Dynamics model capable of accurately predicting the vapor ingestion using the Volume-of-Fluid multiphase solver in commercial code STAR-CCM+. A description of the experimental setup and general trends from similar studies are presented. Comparisons of the numerical prediction and test data in normal and low gravity show good agreement and give confidence in pursuing design of full-scale propellant transfer systems.

Computational Fluid Dynamics↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Validation of a Multiphase Computational Fluid Dynamics Model for Vapor Pull-Through in Normal and Low Gravity

On-orbit fluid transfer such as refueling of propellant tanks and life-support systems can enable long-duration space missions. For safe and efficient liquid transfer operations, prior knowledge of liquid positioning and liquid-vapor interface behavior while draining in a reduced-gravity environment is required. Numerical models capable of predicting vapor ingestion (or vapor pull-through) can be used to design liquid transfer operations while reducing liquid residuals, mission risk and settling thrust required to prevent vapor ingestion. An experimental program conducted in the 2.2 Second Drop Tower facility at NASA Lewis Research Center in 1969 investigated the vapor ingestion phenomenon for a range of outflow rates and tank sizes providing a database for validation. This study presents a Computational Fluid Dynamics model capable of accurately predicting the vapor ingestion using the Volume-of-Fluid multiphase solver in commercial code STAR-CCM+. A description of the experimental setup and general trends from similar studies are presented. Comparisons of the numerical prediction and test data in normal and low gravity show good agreement and give confidence in pursuing design of full-scale propellant transfer systems.

Computational Fluid Dynamics↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Importance of Contrast-to-Noise Ratio Sensitivity Function in Nondestructive Evaluation

A reliable nondestructive evaluation (NDE) technique provides minimum 90% probability of detection (POD) with 95% confidence for detection of cracklike flaws of a specific size. This requirement comes from fracture control. Fracture control is a risk assessment and control approach for preventing structural failure of fracture critical hardware during its service life. One of the approaches of fracture control is damage tolerance safe life analysis, which assumes that NDE reliably detectable size flaw may exist in the hardware post nondestructive evaluation. Analysis and/or testing are performed to verify that the hardware will not fail during its service life despite existence of such a flaw. NDE methods are conventionally qualified by probability of detection (POD) demonstration testing to ensure reliable flaw detection. Here, a novel and alternative to POD flaw detection reliability approach that uses contrast-to-noise ratio (CNR) is given. The approach uses CNR sensitivity function (SF) and CNR. CNR SF is the minimum CNR needed for reliable flaw detection as a function of certain flaw indication characteristics. Primary difference between POD approaches and CNR flaw detection reliability approach is resolution of flaw detection system. POD approach does not account for the resolution of the system, while CNR approach accounts for the flaw detection resolution. Resolution is determined from the modulation transfer function (MTF) of the flaw detection system. CNR flaw detection reliability approach emphasizes quantitative assessment of “how well each flaw indication is detected”. Therefore, CNR approach is helpful in reducing number of flaws in the sample used in NDE procedure qualification, resulting in cost and time savings. CNR approach is also a case of multi-hit flaw detection analysis which has better flaw detectability size than conventional single-hit flaw detectability. Thus, CNR approach, where applicable, may be superior to conventional POD approach. The paper is an overview of development of CNR modeling, CNR SF modeling and measurement by the author. The paper gives key references to currently used NDE procedure POD qualification approaches including those specific to CNR and CNR SF development in multi-hit flaw detection in NDE. The paper covers core topics in nondestructive evaluation engineering.

Contrast-to-noise ratio↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Validation of A Multiphase Computational Fluid Dynamics Model for Vapor Pull-Through in Normal and Low Gravity

On-orbit fluid transfer such as refueling of propellant tanks and life-support systems can enable long-duration space missions. For safe and efficient liquid transfer operations, prior knowledge of liquid positioning and liquid-vapor interface behavior while draining in a reduced-gravity environment is required. Numerical models capable of predicting vapor ingestion (or vapor pull-through) can be used to design liquid transfer operations while reducing liquid residuals, mission risk and settling thrust required to prevent vapor ingestion. An experimental program conducted in the 2.2 Second Drop Tower facility at NASA Lewis Research Center in 1969 investigated the vapor ingestion phenomenon for a range of outflow rates and tank sizes providing a database for validation. This study presents a Computational Fluid Dynamics model capable of accurately predicting the vapor ingestion using the Volume-of-Fluid multiphase solver in commercial code STAR-CCM+. A description of the experimental setup and general trends from similar studies are presented. Comparisons of the numerical prediction and test data in normal and low gravity show good agreement and give confidence in pursuing design of full-scale propellant transfer systems.

Propellant Transfer↗

NASA NTRS2017

Technology Evaluation for Environmental Risk Mitigation Compendium

The Technology Evaluation for Environmental Risk Mitigation (TEERM) Principal Center and its predecessor organization the Acquisition Pollution Prevention Program (AP2) supported the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) in identifying technology solutions to risks and costs to NASA programs driven by environmental regulations and requirements. TEERM researched the commercial and government marketplace to locate viable and available technologies that met NASAs needs. TEERM focused on addressing environmentally-driven risks of direct concern to NASA programs and facilities, including hazardous materials in NASA operations and materials that became obsolescent because of environmental regulations. TEERM projects aimed to reduce cost; ensure the health and safety of people, assets, and the environment; promote efficiency; and minimize duplication. Major TEERM and AP2 projects focused on waste minimization and hazardous waste treatment, recycling, corrosion prevention and control, solvent and ozone depleting substances substitution, and aqueous based cleaners. In 2017, NASA made the decision to terminate the TEERM Principal Center. This Compendium Report documents TEERM and AP2 project successes. The Compendium Report traces the evolution of TEERM based on evolving risks and requirements for NASA and its relationship to the Space Shuttle Program, the United States Department of Defense, the European Space Agency, and other public and private stakeholders. This Compendium Report also documents project details from Project Summaries and Joint Test Plans and describes project stakeholders and collaborative effort results.

material obsolescent↗

NASA NTRS2016

Analysis of Risks to Oxygen Systems from Particulate and Fiber Contaminants and Derivation of Cleanliness Requirements

It has been well documented in the literature that contamination within oxygen systems can create significant fire hazards. Cleanliness limits for nonvolatile residues, ranging from 10 to 500 mg/sq m, have been established for various industries and types of oxygen systems to reduce the risk of ignition of flammable organic films. Particulate cleanliness limits used for oxygen systems vary considerably. Maximum allowed particle size, quantity limits, and allocations for fibers or metallic particles are all variables seen in aerospace cleanliness limits. Particles are known to have the potential to ignite within oxygen systems and must be limited to prevent fires. Particulate contamination may also pose risks to the performance of oxygen systems that are unrelated to ignition hazards. An extensive literature search was performed to better understand the relative importance of particle ignition mechanisms versus other deleterious effects of particles on oxygen systems and to identify rationale for derivation of particulate cleanliness limits for specific systems. The identified risks of different types and sizes of particles and fibers were analyzed. This paper summarizes the risks identified and rationale that may be used to derive particulate cleanliness limits for specific oxygen systems.

Lowrey, Nikki M.↗

NASA NTRS2016

Analysis of Risks to Oxygen Systems from Particulate and Fiber Contaminants and Derivation of Cleanliness Requirements

It has been well documented in the literature that contamination within oxygen systems can create significant fire hazards. Cleanliness limits for nonvolatile residues, ranging from 10 to 500 milligrams per square meter, have been established for various industries and types of oxygen systems to reduce the risk of ignition of flammable organic films. Particulate cleanliness limits used for oxygen systems, however, vary considerably, notably within the aerospace industry. Maximum allowed particle size, quantity limits, and allocations for fibers or metallic particles are all variables seen in aerospace cleanliness limits. Particles are known to have the potential to ignite within oxygen systems and must be limited to prevent fires. Particulate contamination may also pose risks to the performance of oxygen systems that are unrelated to ignition hazards. An extensive literature search was performed to better understand the relative importance of particle ignition mechanisms versus other deleterious effects of particles on oxygen systems and to identify rationale for derivation of particulate cleanliness limits for specific systems. The identified risks of different types and sizes of particles and fibers were analyzed. This paper summarizes the risks identified and rationale that may be used to derive particulate cleanliness limits for specific oxygen systems.

Lowrey, Nikki M.↗

NASA NTRS2006

Technology Development for Fire Safety in Exploration Spacecraft and Habitats

Fire during an exploration mission far from Earth is a particularly critical risk for exploration vehicles and habitats. The Fire Prevention, Detection, and Suppression (FPDS) project is part of the Exploration Technology Development Program (ETDP) and has the goal to enhance crew health and safety on exploration missions by reducing the likelihood of a fire, or, if one does occur, minimizing the risk to the mission, crew, or system. Within the past year, the FPDS project has been formalized within the ETDP structure and has seen significant progress on its tasks in fire prevention, detection, and suppression. As requirements for Constellation vehicles and, specifically, the CEV have developed, the need for the FPDS technologies has become more apparent and we continue to make strides to infuse them into the Constellation architecture. This paper describes the current structure of the project within the ETDP and summarizes the significant programmatic activities. Major technical accomplishments are identified as are activities planned for FY07.

Ruff, Gary A.↗

NASA NTRS2007

Technology Development for Fire Safety in Exploration Spacecraft and Habitats

Ruff, Gary A.↗

NASA NTRS2006

Exploration Health Risks: Probabilistic Risk Assessment

Maintenance of human health on long-duration exploration missions is a primary challenge to mission designers. Indeed, human health risks are currently the largest risk contributors to the risks of evacuation or loss of the crew on long-duration International Space Station missions. We describe a quantitative assessment of the relative probabilities of occurrence of the individual risks to human safety and efficiency during space flight to augment qualitative assessments used in this field to date. Quantitative probabilistic risk assessments will allow program managers to focus resources on those human health risks most likely to occur with undesirable consequences. Truly quantitative assessments are common, even expected, in the engineering and actuarial spheres, but that capability is just emerging in some arenas of life sciences research, such as identifying and minimize the hazards to astronauts during future space exploration missions. Our expectation is that these results can be used to inform NASA mission design trade studies in the near future with the objective of preventing the higher among the human health risks. We identify and discuss statistical techniques to provide this risk quantification based on relevant sets of astronaut biomedical data from short and long duration space flights as well as relevant analog populations. We outline critical assumptions made in the calculations and discuss the rationale for these. Our efforts to date have focussed on quantifying the probabilities of medical risks that are qualitatively perceived as relatively high risks of radiation sickness, cardiac dysrhythmias, medically significant renal stone formation due to increased calcium mobilization, decompression sickness as a result of EVA (extravehicular activity), and bone fracture due to loss of bone mineral density. We present these quantitative probabilities in order-of-magnitude comparison format so that relative risk can be gauged. We address the effects of conservative and nonconservative assumptions on the probability results. We discuss the methods necessary to assess mission risks once exploration mission scenarios are characterized. Preliminary efforts have produced results that are commensurate with earlier qualitative estimates of risk probabilities in this and other operational contexts, indicating that our approach may be usefully applied in support of the development of human health and performance standards for long-duration space exploration missions. This approach will also enable mission-specific probabilistic risk assessments for space exploration missions.

Rhatigan, Jennifer↗