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At least 109 records · Page 6

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2020

Accounting for erroneous model structures in biokinetic process models

In engineering practice, model-based design requires not only a good process-based model, but also a good description of stochastic disturbances and measurement errors to learn credible parameter values from observations. However, typical methods use Gaussian error models, which often cannot describe the complex temporal patterns of residuals. Consequently, this results in overconfidence in the identified parameters and, in turn, optimistic reactor designs. Here, we assess the strengths and weaknesses of a method to statistically describe these patterns with autocorrelated error models. This method produces increased widths of the credible prediction intervals following the inclusion of the bias term, in turn leading to more conservative design choices. However, we also show that the augmented error model is not a universal tool, as its application cannot guarantee the desired reliability of the resulting wastewater reactor design.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2026

A Bayesian desmearing algorithm for Bonse–Hart USANS with anisotropic scattering

Ultra-small-angle neutron scattering (USANS) using Bonse–Hart optics provides micrometer-scale structural insights but suffers from severe slit-geometry smearing. While well-established for isotropic systems, quantitative desmearing of anisotropic data remains a challenge because conventional corrections break down for non-radial scattering. In this work, we address this by developing a resolution-aware Bayesian framework that explicitly incorporates anisotropy via an affine deformation to the scattering pattern, guided by the principle of parsimony. This results in orientation-resolved point-spread functions that enable a self-consistent determination of both the resolution and deformation parameters. Using Gaussian process regression with uncertainty quantification and a probabilistic correction for multiple scattering, we demonstrate the framework’s effectiveness through numerical benchmarks and experimental studies of a stretched polymer melt. Our approach enables the seamless integration of SANS and USANS data, facilitating quantitative structural analysis of deformed materials at nanometer to micrometer scales.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Small angle scattering of diblock copolymers profiled by machine learning

We outline a machine learning strategy for quantitively determining the conformation of AB-type diblock copolymers with excluded volume effects using small angle scattering. Complemented by computer simulations, a correlation matrix connecting conformations of different copolymers according to their scattering features is established on the mathematical framework of a Gaussian process, a multivariate extension of the familiar univariate Gaussian distribution. We show that the relevant conformational characteristics of copolymers can be probabilistically inferred from their coherent scattering cross sections without any restriction imposed by model assumptions. This work not only facilitates the quantitative structural analysis of copolymer solutions but also provides the reliable benchmarking for the related theoretical development of scattering functions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Towards Efficient Uncertainty estimation in deep learning for robust energy prediction in crystal materials

In material science, recent studies have started to explore the potential of using deep learning to improve property prediction from high-fidelity simulations, e.g, density functional theory (DFT). However, the design spaces are sometimes too large and intractable to sample completely. This results in a critical question that is how to evaluate the confidence and robustness of the prediction. In this paper, we propose an efficient approach to estimate uncertainty in deep learning using a single forward pass and then apply it for robust prediction of the total energy in crystal lattice structures. Our approach is built upon the deep kernel learning (DKL) that originally introduces to leverage the expressiveness of deep neural networks as input with a probabilistic prediction of Gaussian processes (GPs) as output. Existing DKL methods have difficulties in the accuracy of predictive uncertainty, training stability, and scaling to large datasets, which lead to significant barriers in real-world applications. We propose to address these challenges by using an inducing point approximate GP in feature space combined with spectral normalization as a regularization. We finally demonstrate our robust performance on an artificial example and a real-world application from materials chemistry.

Bi, Sirui↗

DOE OSTI2023

Adaptive methods of generating complex light arrays

Structured light arrays of various shapes have been a cornerstone in optical science, driven by the complexities of precise and adaptable generation. This study introduces an approach using a spatial light modulator (SLM) as a generator for these arrays. By projecting a holographic mask onto the SLM, it functions simultaneously as an optical convolution device, focusing mechanism, and structured light beam mask. Our approach offers unmatched versatility, allowing for the experimental fabrication of traditional beam arrays like azimuthal Laguerre–Gaussian (LG), Bessel–Gaussian (BG), and Hermite–Gauss (HG) in the far-field. Notably, it has enabled a method of generating Ince–Gauss (IG) and LG radial mode beam arrays using a convolution solution. Our system provides exceptional control over array periodicity and intensity distribution, bypassing the Talbot self-imaging phenomenon seen in traditional setups. We provide an in-depth theoretical discussion, supported by empirical evidence, of our far-field results. This method has vast potential for applications in optical communication, data processing, and multi-particle manipulation. It paves the way for rapid generation of structured light with high spatial frequencies and complex shapes, promising transformative advances in these domains.

Optics↗

DOE OSTI2021

Identification and correction of temporal and spatial distortions in scanning transmission electron microscopy

Scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) has become the technique of choice for quantitative characterization of atomic structure of materials, where the minute displacements of atomic columns from high-symmetry positions can be used to map strain, polarization, octahedra tilts, and other physical and chemical order parameter fields. The latter can be used as inputs into mesoscopic and atomistic models, providing insight into the correlative relationships and generative physics of materials on the atomic level. However, these quantitative applications of STEM necessitate understanding the microscope induced image distortions and developing the pathways to compensate them both as part of a rapid calibration procedure for in situ imaging, and the post-experimental data analysis stage. Here, we explore the spatiotemporal structure of the microscopic distortions in STEM using multivariate analysis of the atomic trajectories in the image stacks. Based on the behavior of principal component analysis (PCA), we develop the Gaussian process (GP)-based regression method for quantification of the distortion function. The limitations of such an approach and possible strategies for implementation as a part of in-line data acquisition in STEM are discussed. Here, the analysis workflow is summarized in a Jupyter notebook that can be used to retrace the analysis and analyze the reader's data.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Gaussian approximation potential for amorphous Si : H

Hydrogenation of amorphous silicon (a–Si : H) is critical for reducing defect densities, passivating midgap states and surfaces, and improving photoconductivity in silicon-based electro-optical devices. Modeling the atomic-scale structure of this material is critical to understanding these processes, which in turn is needed to describe c–Si/a–Si : H heterojunctions that are at the heart of modern solar cells with world-record efficiency. Density functional theory (DFT) studies achieve the required high accuracy but are limited to moderate system sizes of 100 atoms or so by their high computational cost. Simulations of amorphous materials have been hindered by this high cost because large structural models are required to capture the medium-range order that is characteristic of such materials. Empirical potential models are much faster, but their accuracy is not sufficient to correctly describe the frustrated local structure. Data-driven, machine-learned interatomic potentials have broken this impasse and have been highly successful in describing a variety of amorphous materials in their elemental phase. Here, we extend the Gaussian approximation potential (GAP) for silicon by incorporating the interaction with hydrogen, thereby significantly improving the degree of realism with which amorphous silicon can be modeled. We show that our Si : H GAP enables the simulation of hydrogenated silicon with an accuracy very close to DFT but with computational expense and run times reduced by several orders of magnitude for large structures. Here, we demonstrate the capabilities of the Si : H GAP by creating models of hydrogenated liquid and amorphous silicon and showing that their energies, forces, and stresses are in excellent agreement with DFT results, and their structure as captured by bond and angle distributions are in agreement with both DFT and experiments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2019

Computer Model Calibration Based on Image Warping Metrics: An Application for Sea Ice Deformation

Arctic sea ice plays an important role in the global climate. Sea ice models governed by physical equations have been used to simulate the state of the ice including characteristics such as ice thickness, concentration, and motion. More recent models also attempt to capture features such as fractures or leads in the ice. These simulated features can be partially misaligned or misshapen when compared to observational data, whether due to numerical approximation or incomplete physics. In order to make realistic forecasts and improve understanding of the underlying processes, it is necessary to calibrate the numerical model to field data. Traditional calibration methods based on generalized least-square metrics are flawed for linear features such as sea ice cracks. We develop a statistical emulation and calibration framework that accounts for feature misalignment and misshapenness, which involves optimally aligning model output with observed features using cutting-edge image registration techniques. Here, this work can also have application to other physical models which produce coherent structures.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Fully Bayesian Analysis With Model Inadequacy Correction For Nuclear Graphite Property Models With Hierarchical Variance Structure

Nuclear-grade graphites are extensively utilized in the core designs of various advanced nuclear reactors. Within the reactor environment, graphite is subjected to prolonged exposure to extreme conditions, including high temperatures, radiation, and potentially molten salt and oxygen. Such exposure can induce several degradation mechanisms in graphite, such as nonuniform volumetric strains caused by irradiation and thermal expansion, leading to stresses that may compromise the performance of graphite components. Assessing component integrity, forecasting component performance over the reactor's lifespan, and developing design standards necessitate robust tools for predicting fracture initiation and propagation in graphite structural components within nuclear reactors. This code enables the Bayesian calibration of properties for nuclear-grade graphites. Using a hierarchical Bayesian approach, multiple experimental data sources are combined to develop Gaussian process models for the properties. Using the Kennedy O'Hagan framework, the uncertainties due inadequacies in the model and the inherent spread in the experimental data are quantified.

Dhulipala, Som Lakshmi NarasimhaLakshmi Narasimha ↗

DOE OSTI2018

Representing local atomic environment using descriptors based on local correlations

Statistical learning of material properties is an emerging topic of research and has been tremendously successful in areas such as representing complex energy landscapes as well as in technologically relevant areas, like identification of better catalysts and electronic materials. However, analysis of large data sets to efficiently learn characteristic features of a complex energy landscape, for example, depends on the ability of descriptors to effectively screen different local atomic environments. Thus, discovering appropriate descriptors of bulk or defect properties and the functional dependence of such properties on these descriptors remains a difficult and tedious process. To this end, we develop here a framework to generate descriptors based on many-body correlations that can effectively capture intrinsic geometric features of the local environment of an atom. These descriptors are based on the spectrum of two-body, three-body, four-body, and higher order correlations between an atom and its neighbors and are evaluated by calculating the corresponding two-body, three-body, and four-body overlap integrals. They are invariant to global translation, global rotation, reflection, and permutations of atomic indices. By systematically testing the ability to capture the local atomic environment, it is shown that the local correlation descriptors are able to successfully reconstruct structures containing 10-25 atoms which was previously not possible.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2017

Bayesian inference for high confidence signal validation and sensor calibration assessment - 328

Online Monitoring (OLM) systems has been investigated for applications in the nuclear industry for the past two decades. These systems offer economic and technological advantages over the currently implemented time based testing methods for sensors and associated instrumentations. The advantages offered not only augment economic viability of current nuclear reactors but will be an inevitable change called for to suit the technologies of the advanced reactors (Gen III+). Irrespective, the acceptance of OLM into the regulatory structure in the U.S. is still hindered by technical and structural clarity on uncertainty quantification used by these systems. A Bayesian inference technique is implemented in the form of a residual model to quantify uncertainty in OLM predictions. The developed system used Gaussian processes to represent the OLM predictions and model inadequacy, the stationary representation of model based uncertainty. In addition, model selection techniques are used in conjunction with numerical methods such as Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Gibb's sampler to add robustness to the estimation model inadequacy, particularly in the presence of drifts and faulted conditions. The prediction model developed herein find applicability in fault detection, obtaining real values of processes after the onset of faults etc. Further development looks into the extension of current method for a multiple output scale implementation. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Polymers for Extreme Conditions Designed Using Syntax-Directed Variational Autoencoders

We report the design/discovery of new materials is highly nontrivial owing to the near-infinite possibilities of material candidates and multiple required property/performance objectives. Thus, machine learning tools are now commonly employed to virtually screen material candidates with desired properties by learning a theoretical mapping from material-to-property space, referred to as the forward problem. However, this approach is inefficient and severely constrained by the candidates that the human imagination can conceive. Thus, in this work on polymers, we tackle the materials discovery challenge by solving the inverse problem: directly generating candidates that satisfy desired property/performance objectives. We utilize syntax-directed variational autoencoders (VAE) in tandem with Gaussian process regression (GPR) models to discover polymers expected to be robust under three extreme conditions: (1) high temperatures, (2) high electric field, and (3) high temperature and high electric field, useful for critical structural, electrical, and energy storage applications. This approach to learn from and augment) human ingenuity is general and can be extended to discover polymers with other targeted properties and performance measures.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Predictive machine learning approaches for the microstructural behavior of multiphase zirconium alloys

Abstract Zirconium alloys are widely used in harsh environments characterized by high temperatures, corrosivity, and radiation exposure. These alloys, which have a hexagonal closed packed (h.c.p.) structure thermo-mechanically degrade, when exposed to severe operating environments due to hydride formation. These hydrides have a different crystalline structure, than the matrix, which results in a multiphase alloy. To accurately model these materials at the relevant physical scale, it is necessary to fully characterize them based on a microstructural fingerprint, which is defined here as a combination of features that include hydride geometry, parent and hydride texture and crystalline structure of these multiphase alloys. Hence, this investigation will develop a reduced order modeling approach, where this microstructural fingerprint is used to predict critical fracture stress levels that are physically consistent with microstructural deformation and fracture modes. Machine Learning (ML) methodologies based on Gaussian Process Regression, random forests, and multilayer perceptrons (MLP) were used to predict material fracture critical stress states. MLPs, or neural networks, had the highest accuracy on held-out test sets across three predetermined strain levels of interest. Hydride orientation, grain orientation or texture, and hydride volume fraction had the greatest effect on critical fracture stress levels and had partial dependencies that were highly significant, and in comparison hydride length and hydride spacing have less effects on fracture stresses. Furthermore, these models were also used accurately predicted material response to nominal applied strains as a function of the microstructural fingerprint.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2018

A Bayesian Approach to Predict Solubility Parameters

Abstract Solubility is a ubiquitous phenomenon in many aspects of material science. While solubility can be determined by considering the cohesive forces in a liquid via the Hansen solubility parameters (HSP), quantitative structure–property relationship models are often used for prediction, notably due to their low computational cost. Here, gpHSP, an interpretable and versatile probabilistic approach to determining HSP, is reported. Our model is based on Gaussian processes, a Bayesian machine learning approach that provides uncertainty bounds to prediction. gpHSP achieves its flexibility by leveraging a variety of input data, such as SMILES strings, COSMOtherm simulations, and quantum chemistry calculations. gpHSP is built on experimentally determined HSP, including a general solvents set aggregated from the literature, and a polymer set experimentally characterized by this group of authors. In all sets, a high degree of agreement is obtained, surpassing well‐established machine learning methods. The general applicability of gpHSP to miscibility of organic semiconductors, drug compounds, and in general solvents is demonstrated, which can be further extended to other domains. gpHSP is a fast and accurate toolbox, which could be applied to molecular design for solution processing technologies.

Sanchez‐Lengeling, Benjamin↗

DOE OSTI2025

Emulator-based Bayesian calibration of a subglacial drainage model

Subglacial drainage models, often motivated by the relationship between hydrology and ice flow, sensitively depend on numerous unconstrained parameters. We explore using borehole water-pressure time series to calibrate the uncertain parameters of a popular subglacial drainage model, taking a Bayesian perspective to quantify the uncertainty in parameter estimates and in the calibrated model predictions. To reduce the computation time associated with Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling, we construct a fast Gaussian process emulator to stand in for the subglacial drainage model. We first carry out a calibration experiment using synthetic observations consisting of model simulations with hidden parameter values as a demonstration of the method. Using real borehole water pressures measured in western Greenland, we find meaningful constraints on four of the eight model parameters and a factor-of-three reduction in uncertainty of the calibrated model predictions. These experiments illustrate Gaussian process-based Bayesian inference as a useful tool for calibration and uncertainty quantification of complex glaciological models using field data. However, significant differences between the calibrated model and the borehole data suggest that structural limitations of the model, rather than poorly constrained parameters or computational cost, remain the most important constraint on subglacial drainage modelling.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2019

Characterizing filamentary magnetic structures in counter-streaming plasmas by Fourier analysis of proton images

Proton imaging is a powerful tool for probing electromagnetic fields in a plasma, providing a path-integrated map of the field topology. However, in cases where the field structure is highly inhomogeneous, inferring spatial properties of the underlying field from proton images can be difficult. This problem is exemplified by recent experiments, which used proton imaging to probe the filamentary magnetic field structures produced by the Weibel instability in collisionless counterstreaming plasmas. In this paper, we perform analytical and numerical analyses of proton images of systems containing many magnetic filaments. We find that, in general, the features observed on proton images do not directly correspond to the spacing between magnetic filaments (the magnetic wavelength) as has previously been assumed and that they instead correspond to the filament size. Furthermore, we demonstrate this result by Fourier analysis of synthetic proton images for many randomized configurations of magnetic filaments. Our results help guide the interpretation of experimental proton images of filamentary magnetic structures in plasmas.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Industrial battery operation and utilization in the presence of electrical load uncertainty using Bayesian decision theory

Behind the meter battery storage is becoming increasing popular in all sectors, though enthusiasm has recently lagged in the industrial sector. Even though there may be many factors contributing to this including lack of innovation, prohibitive costs, and undesirable rate structures, a difficulty arises in accounting for uncertainty of electrical load in industrial facilities while still attempting to utilize battery storage as much as possible all while trying to achieve fiscal profitability. Here this study utilizes Gaussian process regression and Bayesian decision theory to organize load data and quantify electrical load uncertainty to properly and effectively discharge industrial battery storage. The study employs a simulation model to set battery load setpoints for the span of the utility billing period according to the degree of risk aversion. This combination of economic analysis according to utility billing period and utilization of degree of risk aversion to make decisions on the uncertainty of the data has not before been applied to battery storage. The method resulted in an annual average reduction of peak demand by 3.8 % at the lowest amount of savings and lowest risk aversion. The highest risk aversion resulted in an annual average reduction of peak demand of 7.5 %. The maximum reduction of peak load in any month was 13.8 % in the month of December with a relatively high risk aversion. With a the highest amount risk aversion tested, the model reduced demand ten of the twelve months of the year.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2025

The origin of the Stokes–Einstein relation in simple dense liquids

Here, we investigate the origin of the universal relation between structural relaxation and diffusion in simple dense liquids, known as the Stokes–Einstein (SE) relation. The fact that this relation, originally derived from a hydrodynamic model of a macroscopic particle in a viscous medium, can describe the microscopic-scale liquid dynamics still eludes understanding. We introduce a new universal measure of structural relaxation in a system of N identical particles based on an explicit decomposition of the configuration space into N! congruent convex polyhedra. This measure makes it possible to quantify the correlation between two distinct particle configurations in terms of their minimal Euclidean distance, optimized with respect to particle permutations. Using this measure alongside a model of independent random walkers under the single-occupancy constraint, we derive a master equation that quantifies the SE relation. It allows us to demonstrate that the universal relation between structural relaxation and diffusion in simple dense liquids is caused by two conditions: (a) the confinement of the dominant density fluctuations to the first coordination shell, manifested by de Gennes narrowing, and (b) Gaussianity of the diffusion process; the former is shown to be violated in low-density fluids, and the latter is known to be violated in supercooled liquids.

Physics - Condensed matter physics↗