Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “test vector”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 109 records · Page 6
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

NEML2: An efficient and modular multiphysics constitutive modeling library for hybrid computing environments

This paper presents NEML2, an open-source, high-performance library developed for constitutive material modeling, designed to support the flexible and modular development of models for complex material behavior. Building on the foundational structure of its predecessor, NEML, the NEML2 library introduces significant improvements, including enhanced vectorization, automatic differentiation, and seamless integration with PyTorch, facilitating the application of machine learning techniques in material simulations. NEML2 provides a C++ backend with Python bindings, enabling users to create custom material models that can be executed efficiently on both CPU and GPU platforms. The library also supports coupling with Multiphysics simulation frameworks like MOOSE, making it suitable for realistic simulations involving coupled physical processes. Rigorous quality assurance through unit and regression testing ensures the reliability of results, while the extensible, user-friendly design encourages collaboration and reproducibility across the scientific community. This paper provides an overview of NEML2’s architecture, core features, and applications, highlighting its impact on accelerating material qualification and advancing computational methods in materials science.

GPU↗
DOE OSTI2024

E(n)-Equivariant cartesian tensor message passing interatomic potential

Machine learning potential (MLP) has been a popular topic in recent years for its capability to replace expensive first-principles calculations in some large systems. Meanwhile, message passing networks have gained significant attention due to their remarkable accuracy, and a wave of message passing networks based on Cartesian coordinates has emerged. However, the information of the node in these models is usually limited to scalars, and vectors. In this work, we propose High-order Tensor message Passing interatomic Potential (HotPP), an E(n) equivariant message passing neural network that extends the node embedding and message to an arbitrary order tensor. By performing some basic equivariant operations, high order tensors can be coupled very simply and thus the model can make direct predictions of high-order tensors such as dipole moments and polarizabilities without any modifications. The tests in several datasets show that HotPP not only achieves high accuracy in predicting target properties, but also successfully performs tasks such as calculating phonon spectra, infrared spectra, and Raman spectra, demonstrating its potential as a tool for future research.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Application of Machine Learning and Data Augmentation Algorithms in the Discovery of Metal Hydrides for Hydrogen Storage

The development of efficient and sustainable hydrogen storage materials is a key challenge for realizing hydrogen as a clean and flexible energy carrier. Among various options, metal hydrides offer high volumetric storage density and operational safety, yet their application is limited by thermodynamic, kinetic, and compositional constraints. In this work, we investigate the potential of machine learning (ML) to predict key thermodynamic properties—equilibrium plateau pressure, enthalpy, and entropy of hydride formation—based solely on alloy composition using Magpie-generated descriptors. We significantly expand an existing experimental dataset from ~400 to 806 entries and assess the impact of dataset size and data augmentation, using the PADRE algorithm, on model performance. Models including Support Vector Machines and Gradient Boosted Random Forests were trained and optimized via grid search and cross-validation. Results show a marked improvement in predictive accuracy with increased dataset size, while data augmentation benefits are limited to smaller datasets and do not improve accuracy in underrepresented pressure regimes. Furthermore, clustering and cross-validation analyses highlight the limited generalizability of models across different material classes, though high accuracy is achieved when training and testing within a single hydride family (e.g., AB2). The study demonstrates the viability and limitations of ML for accelerating hydride discovery, emphasizing the importance of dataset diversity and representation for robust property prediction.

augmentation↗
DOE OSTI2025

Detecting Process Equipment Failures Using Acoustic Data and Machine Learning

Nuclear power plant (NPP) process equipment such as fans, motors, valves, and pumps generate frequent or continuous noise, and deviations from the normal operational sounds made by this equipment can indicate potential issues. These deviations can be identified via automated acoustic anomaly detection, which involves using acoustic sensors (i.e., microphones) alongside detection algorithms to continuously monitor for changes in acoustic signatures. This task is made challenging by the substantial background noise that exists, such as operators opening and closing doors, manipulating valves, and conversing—in addition to typical plant noises. In collaboration with a nuclear power utility partner, this effort assessed the efficacy of acoustic anomaly detection when using a specific acoustic sensor that compresses data into a fixed set of features that are transferable over a standard Internet of Things communication protocol, thereby improving usability but potentially degrading detection performance. Two methods of performing automated acoustic anomaly detection were evaluated: one-class support vector machine (OC-SVM) and isolation forest (iForest). To enable the use of high-quality acoustic data encompassing both normal and anomalous conditions, the study utilized the publicly available Malfunctioning Industrial Machine Investigation and Inspection dataset, which includes real measured acoustic sensor data for a range of equipment types, model numbers, and signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs), along with a benchmark set of detection results. Using this dataset, the methods were tested and then compared against the benchmark results. The results indicated that although the specific acoustic sensor did not enable as rich a feature set extraction, the proposed methods with the limited feature set performed just as well. This provides solid justification for both the methods and the use of the proposed acoustic sensor.

46 - INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AN↗
DOE OSTI2026

Feature-Based PMU Event Classification under Variable PMU Participation and Overlapping Events

Danovo Energy Solution's presented its paper named: Feature-Based PMU Event Classification under Variable PMU Participation and Overlapping Events at the 2026 Georgia Tech Fault & Disturbance Analysis Conference. The full paper can be found at OSTI ID# 3169150 Paper Abstract—Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs) stream time synchronized, high-resolution measurements from the grid, enabling data-driven techniques for event detection and classification. Accurate event classification improves grid reliability and stability. Events can be detected by varying numbers of PMUs and exhibit different durations depending on the event type. This variability challenges standard classifiers that require uniform input sizes. Moreover, multiple events may coincide, which increases classification complexity. Standard classifiers assign each instance to the class with the highest predicted probability, whereas overlapping events may exhibit comparable probabilities across multiple classes. In this study, to handle data size variability, we extract a wide range of time–frequency domain features from all available PMUs for each event into a fixed-length vector, facilitating the application of standard machine learning classifiers, including Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, Support Vector Machine, and Multilayer Perceptron. To account for overlapping events, a probabilistic post-processing step is applied. For a given data instance, if multiple predicted class probabilities exceed 30% and the differences between them are less than 10%, the event is assigned to multiple classes. Experiments using real-world PMU data demonstrate that the Random Forest and XGBoost models achieve the highest accuracy, while the proposed post-processing method yields perfect classification performance on external unseen test sets.

Nematirad, Reza [Danova Energy Solutions]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Feature-Based PMU Event Classification under Variable PMU Participation and Overlapping Events

This paper is the basis for a presentation help at the 2026 Georgia Tech Fault & Disturbance Analysis Conference, which can be found at OSTI # 3168287 Paper Abstract—Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs) stream time synchronized, high-resolution measurements from the grid, enabling data-driven techniques for event detection and classification. Accurate event classification improves grid reliability and stability. Events can be detected by varying numbers of PMUs and exhibit different durations depending on the event type. This variability challenges standard classifiers that require uniform input sizes. Moreover, multiple events may coincide, which increases classification complexity. Standard classifiers assign each instance to the class with the highest predicted probability, whereas overlapping events may exhibit comparable probabilities across multiple classes. In this study, to handle data size variability, we extract a wide range of time–frequency domain features from all available PMUs for each event into a fixed-length vector, facilitating the application of standard machine learning classifiers, including Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, Support Vector Machine, and Multilayer Perceptron. To account for overlapping events, a probabilistic post-processing step is applied. For a given data instance, if multiple predicted class probabilities exceed 30% and the differences between them are less than 10%, the event is assigned to multiple classes. Experiments using real-world PMU data demonstrate that the Random Forest and XGBoost models achieve the highest accuracy, while the proposed post-processing method yields perfect classification performance on external unseen test sets.

Nematirad, Reza [Danovo Energy Solutions]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Multitask graph neural networks for elastoplastic response prediction in dual-phase polycrystals

Microstructure-sensitive prediction of elastoplastic response remains a recurring bottleneck in multiscale damage and fatigue modeling, where large ensembles of statistically distinct polycrystals are required to quantify variability and extreme-value behavior. In this work, we develop a multitask graph neural network (GNN) surrogate that maps dual-phase ferrite–martensite polycrystal microstructures to Statistical Volume Element (SVE)-level elastoplastic Quantities of Interest (QoIs). Each SVE is represented as a grain-adjacency graph, with node features encoding phase, geometry, and crystallographic orientation, and edge features encoding relative misorientation. A message-passing graph convolution generates node embeddings, which are pooled into a graph representation and passed to a multitask regression head that jointly predicts 10 scalar QoIs and vector-valued stress–strain responses in orthogonal loading directions across multiple martensite volume fractions and SVE sizes. Results show high accuracy for scalar QoIs and strong agreement for full stress–strain trajectories, with population envelopes reproducing both median behavior and finite-SVE variability across compositions and partition scales. A unified model trained on pooled volume-fraction data preserves most within-regime accuracy relative to regime-specific models while also capturing the broader cross-regime variation reflected in the pooled test set. Distributional comparisons further demonstrate that the surrogate preserves heterogeneity under SVE partitioning, enabling statistically consistent block-wise random-field construction for mesoscale analyses. Overall, the proposed grain-graph surrogate provides a practical pathway to accelerate ensemble-based studies of SVE-level constitutive variability in dual-phase polycrystals.

Crystal plasticity↗
DOE OSTI2026

An Infrared Database of n/k Optical Constants for Calculating Aerosol Spectra for the PICARD Program

The objective of the PICARD Program is to develop fieldable sensing platforms for the rapid chemical identification of aerosol particles in plumes. Standoff detection involves interrogating the aerosol cloud from a distance using optical methods and probing the signal returned from direct backscattering from the aerosol particles or transmitted through the plume after reflection from a retroreflector or surface of opportunity (SOO). The identification of chemical species, however, in aerosols is complicated by their complex compositions and morphologies, chemical interferants, and non-uniform particle sizes. To advance standoff detection of aerosols, modelling the infrared transmittance, reflectance and scattering spectra of aerosolized liquid and solid chemical compounds is required, and then testing that model experimentally via laboratory and field experiments. To perform accurate modeling, the infrared optical constants (n/k), i.e., the complex refractive index, of the compounds of interest are required. Thus, PNNL was tasked to provide the optical constants for a set of analytes relevant to the PICARD program. This report describes the experimental techniques used to derive the optical constants of both liquid and solid compounds using established “gold-standard” protocols, how the experimental data are processed to produce the wavenumber dependent optical constant vectors, and how the data are used in the aerosol absorption spectra modeling.

complex refractive index↗
DOE OSTI2026

Towards a Verifiable Domain-Specific Language for Hardware-Accelerated Stencils

Defining a domain-specific language (DSL) that supports vector-calculus abstractions eases the porting of partial differential equation (PDE) solvers to specialized architectures. Sufficiently high-level abstractions empower users to express universal laws with sufficient generality that the laws must always hold true within their domain of validity. A broad class of PDE solvers employs stencil-based algorithms, the target domain of Berkeley Lab's stencil accelerator chip co-design project. First released as open-source in January 2026, the Formal software framework lays a foundation for defining an embedded DSL based on composable operators that implement mimetic numerical methods -- stencil algorithms that guarantee satisfaction of discrete versions of important vector calculus theorems. The Formal DSL will be the frontend to a new class of stencil-PDE accelerators developed jointly by LBNL, UHCL, and UC Berkeley through the DOE Competitive Portfolios for Computer Science Project. This offers the potential of an order of magnitude acceleration for this important category of computational methods to serve the DOE mission. Future work on the Formal DSL will facilitate software verification via type-safe templates that enable problem-specific correctness proofs relying upon generic function theory and carefully crafted unit tests.

Rouson, Damian↗
DOE OSTI2025

Anisotropic Flow in Fixed-Target 208 Pb + 20 Ne Collisions as a Probe of Quark-Gluon Plasma

The System for Measuring Overlap with Gas (SMOG2) at the LHCb detector enables the study of fixed-target ion-ion collisions at relativistic energies ($\sqrt{𝑠_{NN}}$ ∼ 100 GeV in the center of mass). Here, with input from ab initio calculations of the structure of 16 O and 20 Ne , we compute 3+1⁢D hydrodynamic predictions for the anisotropic flow of Pb+Ne and Pb+O collisions to be tested with upcoming LHCb data. This will allow the detailed study of quark-gluon plasma formation as well as experimental tests of the predicted nuclear shapes. Elliptic flow (𝑣 2 ) in Pb + Ne collisions is greatly enhanced compared to the Pb + O baseline due to the shape of 20 Ne , which is deformed in a bowling-pin geometry. Owing to the large 208 Pb radius, this effect is seen in a broad centrality range, a unique feature of this collision configuration. Larger elliptic flow further enhances the quadrangular flow (𝑣 4 ) of Pb + Ne collisions via nonlinear coupling, and impacts the sign of the kurtosis of the elliptic flow vector distribution (𝑐 2 ⁡{4}). Exploiting the shape of 20 Ne proves thus an ideal method to investigate the formation of quark-gluon plasma in fixed-target experiments at LHCb, and demonstrates the power of System for Measuring Overlap with Gas as a tool to image nuclear ground states.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

A measurement of $H_0$ from DESI DR1 using energy densities

We present a new measurement of the Hubble constant, independent of standard rulers and robust to pre-recombination modifications such as Early Dark Energy (EDE), obtained by calibrating the total energy density of the Universe. We start using the present-day photon density as an anchor, and use the baryon-to-photon ratio from Big Bang Nucleosynthesis based measurements and the baryon-to-matter ratio from the baryons' imprint on galaxy clustering to translate to a physical matter density at present day. We then compare this to measurements of the ratio of the matter density to the critical density ($Ω_{\mathrm{m}}$), calculated using the relative positions of the baryon acoustic oscillations, to measure the critical density of the universe and hence $H_0$. The important measurements of the evolution of the energy density all happen at low redshift, so we consider this a low-redshift measurement. We validate our method both on a suite of $N$-body mocks and on noiseless theory vectors generated across a wide range of Hubble parameters in both $Λ$CDM and EDE cosmologies. Using DESI DR1 data combined with the angular CMB acoustic scale and the latest BBN constraints, we find $H_0 = 69.0 \pm 2.5$ km s$^{-1}$ Mpc$^{-1}$, consistent with existing early and late-time determinations of the Hubble constant. We consider the impact of non-standard dark energy evolution on our measurement. Future data, including that from further iterations of DESI and from Euclid, will add to these results providing a powerful test of the Hubble tension.

Krolewski, Alex [U. Waterloo (main); Waterloo U., ↗
DOE OSTI2025

Phylogenetic and ecological drivers of the avian lung mycobiome and its potentially pathogenic component

Vertebrate lungs contain diverse microbial communities, but little is known about the drivers of community composition or consequences for health. Microbiome assembly by processes such as dispersal, coevolution, and host-switching can be probed with comparative surveys; however, few studies exist for lung microbiomes, particularly for the fungal component, the mycobiome. Distinguishing among fungal taxa that are generalist or specialist symbionts, potential pathogens, or incidentally inhaled spores is urgent because of potential for emerging diseases. Here, we characterize the avian lung mycobiome and test the relative influences of environment, phylogeny, and functional traits. We used metabarcoding and culturing from 195 lung samples representing 32 bird species across 20 families. We identified 526 fungal taxa as estimated by distinct sequence types (zOTUs) including many opportunistic pathogens. These were predominantly from the phylum Ascomycota (79%) followed by Basidiomycota (16%) and Mucoromycota (5%). Yeast and yeast-like taxa (Malassezia, Filobasidium, Saccharomyces, Meyerozyma, and Aureobasidium) and filamentous fungi (Cladosporium, Alternaria, Neurospora, Fusarium, and Aspergillus) were abundant. Lung mycobiomes were strongly shaped by environmental exposure, and further modulated by host identity, traits, and phylogenetic affinities. Our results implicate migratory bird species as potential vectors for long-distance dispersal of opportunistically pathogenic fungi.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Huge ensembles – Part 1: Design of ensemble weather forecasts using spherical Fourier neural operators

Abstract. Simulating low-likelihood high-impact extreme weather events in a warming world is a significant and challenging task for current ensemble forecasting systems. While these systems presently use up to 100 members, larger ensembles could enrich the sampling of internal variability. They may capture the long tails associated with climate hazards better than traditional ensemble sizes. Due to computational constraints, it is infeasible to generate huge ensembles (comprised of 1000–10 000 members) with traditional, physics-based numerical models. In this two-part paper, we replace traditional numerical simulations with machine learning (ML) to generate hindcasts of huge ensembles. In Part 1, we construct an ensemble weather forecasting system based on spherical Fourier neural operators (SFNOs), and we discuss important design decisions for constructing such an ensemble. The ensemble represents model uncertainty through perturbed-parameter techniques, and it represents initial condition uncertainty through bred vectors, which sample the fastest-growing modes of the forecast. Using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) as a baseline, we develop an evaluation pipeline composed of mean, spectral, and extreme diagnostics. With large-scale, distributed SFNOs with 1.1 billion learned parameters, we achieve calibrated probabilistic forecasts. As the trajectories of the individual members diverge, the ML ensemble mean spectra degrade with lead time, consistent with physical expectations. However, the individual ensemble members' spectra stay constant with lead time. Therefore, these members simulate realistic weather states during the rollout, and the ML ensemble passes a crucial spectral test in the literature. The IFS and ML ensembles have similar extreme forecast indices, and we show that the ML extreme weather forecasts are reliable and discriminating. These diagnostics ensure that the ensemble can reliably simulate the time evolution of the atmosphere, including low-likelihood high-impact extremes. In Part 2, we generate a huge ensemble initialized each day in summer 2023, and we characterize the simulations of extremes.

Mahesh, Ankur↗
DOE OSTI2026

Predicting U 3 O 8 powder processing conditions: An AI/ML approach analyzing deep learning embeddings of SEM micrographs

High-resolution SEM images of uranium-oxide powders encode micro- and nanoscale clues to their synthesis route and calcination temperature. We trained a ResNet-50 model on 11 commercial-scale U₃O₈ classes, ammonium diuranate (ADU) or uranyl peroxide (H₂O₂) precursors calcined at temperatures ranging from 400 to 750 °C and added a 256-D projection head before the classifier to analyze the learned representation. The best of eight seeds reached 92.4 % accuracy on reserved testing data, but our focus is the structure of the embedding space rather than the accuracy and labels. We quantify class relatedness in the original 256-D space using centroid similarity and distributional distances, and we use Uniform Manifold Approximation Projection (UMAP) for visualization. ‘Unknown’ images from different preparation methods, SEM operators, and from the literature localized near the expected classes under a nearest-centroid analysis without retraining, as well as clustered in similar UMAP space. In conclusion, this embedding-centered workflow complements black-box classification by providing quantitative, similarity-based comparisons of U₃O₈ morphologies and reduces storage space by up to 98 % for image data used in millisecond vector search comparisons.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Prototypes of Nonrelativistic Spin Splitting and Polarization in Symmetry Broken Antiferromagnets

Antiferromagnets that break both space-time reversal and translation-spin-rotation symmetries were recently predicted [L.-D. Yuan, Z. Wang, J.-W. Luo, E. I. Rashba, and A. Zunger, Phys. Rev. B 102, 014422 (2020)] to possess splitting between the otherwise spin-degenerate energy bands even without the relativistic spin-orbit coupling (SOC). Here, we point out that such nonrelativistic spin splitting (NRSS)—in particular, “spin splitting type 4” (SST-4) symmetry-broken antiferromagnets—can be divided into subgroups having distinct patterns of spin splitting and spin textures, depending on additional auxiliary symmetries of spin interconversion and polarity. These SST-4 subgroups include the 𝛼-type (no spin-interconverting symmetry) having spin splitting at the Brillouin zone center, as well as the 𝛽 subgroup in which a rotation symmetry is applied and determines the alternating spin texture and the 𝛾 subgroup having exclusively reflection spin-interconverting symmetry. Unlike ferrimagnets, the 𝛼-type compounds are shown to have tiny net magnetization at finite temperature and thus avoid the adverse effect of the stray field. The 𝛼 and 𝛽 subgroups can be either polar or nonpolar, whereas the 𝛾 subgroup is polar only, providing a basis for possible switching by external fields. The combination of NRSS-enabling and auxiliary symmetries is used here as a filter for identifying previously synthesized compounds as specific prototypes. Their characteristic splitting and spin polarization are calculated by density functional theory to the benefit of potential future experimental testing. Interesting results are as follows: (i) SOC-independent NRSS can exceed the magnitude of the SOC-induced Rashba and Dresselhaus spin splitting in semiconductors. (ii) Examples of predicted 𝛼-type insulating compounds include BiCrO 3 (nonpolar) and Mn 2 ⁢ScSbO 6 (polar), the latter having spin splitting of 158 meV and 160 meV in the valence and conduction bands, respectively. (iii) The 𝛽-type (Cu 2 ⁢Y 2 ⁢O 5 and FeF 2 ) and 𝛾-type compounds (Mn 4 ⁢Nb 2 ⁢O 9 and FeScO 3 ) are distinguished both by their auxiliary symmetries and polarity. The spin textures of 𝛾-type compounds are mirror reflected with spin degeneracy of the wave vectors on that mirror. These observations will likely broaden the experimental playing field of NRSS physics significantly.

antiferromagnets↗
DOE OSTI2025

The persistent shadow of the supermassive black hole of M87. II. Model comparisons and theoretical interpretations

The Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) observation of M87∗ in 2018 has revealed a ring with a diameter that is consistent with the 2017 observation. The brightest part of the ring is shifted to the southwest from the southeast. In this paper, we provide theoretical interpretations for the multi-epoch EHT observations for M87∗ by comparing a new general relativistic magnetohydrodynamics model image library with the EHT observations for M87∗ in both 2017 and 2018. The model images include aligned and tilted accretion with parameterized thermal and nonthermal synchrotron emission properties. The 2018 observation again shows that the spin vector of the M87∗ supermassive black hole is pointed away from Earth. A shift of the brightest part of the ring during the multi-epoch observations can naturally be explained by the turbulent nature of black hole accretion, which is supported by the fact that the more turbulent retrograde models can explain the multi-epoch observations better than the prograde models. The EHT data are inconsistent with the tilted models in our model image library. Assuming that the black hole spin axis and its large-scale jet direction are roughly aligned, we expect the brightest part of the ring to be most commonly observed 90 deg clockwise from the forward jet. This prediction can be statistically tested through future observations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Streaming Compression of Scientific Data via Weak-SINDy

Here, in this paper, a streaming weak-SINDy algorithm is developed specifically for compressing streaming scientific data. The production of scientific data, either via simulation or experiments, is undergoing a stage of exponential growth, which makes data compression important and often necessary for storing and utilizing large scientific data sets. As opposed to classical “offline” compression algorithms that perform compression on a readily available data set, streaming compression algorithms compress data “online” while the data generated from simulation or experiments is still flowing through the system. This feature makes streaming compression algorithms well suited for scientific data compression, where storing the full data set offline is often infeasible. This work proposes a new streaming compression algorithm, streaming weak-SINDy, which takes advantage of the underlying data characteristics during compression. The streaming weak-SINDy algorithm constructs feature matrices and target vectors in the online stage via a streaming integration method in a memory efficient manner. The feature matrices and target vectors are then used in the offline stage to build a model through a regression process that aims to recover equations that govern the evolution of the data. For compressing high-dimensional streaming data, we adopt a streaming proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) process to reduce the data dimension and then use the streaming weak-SINDy algorithm to compress the temporal data of the POD expansion. We propose modifications to the streaming weak-SINDy algorithm to accommodate the dynamically updated POD basis. By combining the built model from the streaming weak-SINDy algorithm and a small amount of data samples, the full data flow could be reconstructed accurately at a low memory cost, as shown in the numerical tests.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Model-Based Detection of Coordinated Attacks (DCA) in Distribution Systems

The fast-paced growth in digitization of smart grid components enhances system observability and remote-control capabilities through efficient communication. However, enhanced connectivity results in heightened system vulnerability towards cybersecurity risks in the cyber-physical power system. Coordinated cyber-attacks (CCA), when undetected, lead to system-wide impact in terms of large disturbances or widespread outages. Detecting CCA in the cyber layer is critical to thwart cyber-attacks in real-time before the attack impacts the physical system. The challenge of locating CCA stems from the complex grid dynamics, making it difficult to distinguish between normal operational variations and cyber-attack impact. CCA often employs multiple attack vectors targeting geographically distributed components, further complicating CCA identification. Existing research in intrusion detection is primarily focused on the transmission network and limited to detecting individual attacks. In this paper, a novel proactive DCA strategy is proposed for early detection of CCA by establishing correlations among distinct attack events through model-based reinforcement learning that utilizes abductive reasoning to conclude the attacker goal. The solution includes understanding the system model, learning the system dynamics, and correlating individual cyber-attacks to extract the attacker’s objective. The developed learning algorithm identifies the most probable attack path to reach the attacker’s objective by predicting the next attack steps. A DNP3-based cyber-physical co-simulation testbed is developed to test the proposed algorithm using the IEEE 13-node test feeder.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗