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DOE OSTI2022

Towards physics-inspired data-driven weather forecasting: integrating data assimilation with a deep spatial-transformer-based U-NET in a case study with ERA5

Abstract. There is growing interest in data-driven weather prediction (DDWP), e.g., using convolutional neural networks such as U-NET that are trained on data from models or reanalysis. Here, we propose three components, inspired by physics, to integrate with commonly used DDWP models in order to improve their forecast accuracy. These components are (1) a deep spatial transformer added to the latent space of U-NET to capture rotation and scaling transformation in the latent space for spatiotemporal data, (2) a data-assimilation (DA) algorithm to ingest noisy observations and improve the initial conditions for next forecasts, and (3) a multi-time-step algorithm, which combines forecasts from DDWP models with different time steps through DA, improving the accuracy of forecasts at short intervals. To show the benefit and feasibility of each component, we use geopotential height at 500 hPa (Z500) from ERA5 reanalysis and examine the short-term forecast accuracy of specific setups of the DDWP framework. Results show that the spatial-transformer-based U-NET (U-STN) clearly outperforms the U-NET, e.g., improving the forecast skill by 45 %. Using a sigma-point ensemble Kalman (SPEnKF) algorithm for DA and U-STN as the forward model, we show that stable, accurate DA cycles are achieved even with high observation noise. This DDWP+DA framework substantially benefits from large (O(1000)) ensembles that are inexpensively generated with the data-driven forward model in each DA cycle. The multi-time-step DDWP+DA framework also shows promise; for example, it reduces the average error by factors of 2–3. These results show the benefits and feasibility of these three components, which are flexible and can be used in a variety of DDWP setups. Furthermore, while here we focus on weather forecasting, the three components can be readily adopted for other parts of the Earth system, such as ocean and land, for which there is a rapid growth of data and need for forecast and assimilation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Model Evaluation Protocol for Fire Models Involving Fuels at Liquefied Natural Gas Facilities.

This document provides a description of the model evaluation protocol (MEP) for pool fires, jet fires, and fireballs involving liquefied natural gas (LNG), refrigerant fluids, and byproducts at LNG facilities. The purpose of the MEP is to provide procedures regarding the assessment of a model's suitability to predict heat flux from fires. Three components, namely, a scientific assessment, model verification, and model validation comprise the MEP. The evaluation of a model satisfying these three components is to be documented in the form of a model evaluation report (MER). Discussion of models for the prediction of fire, detailed information on each of the three MEP components, the MEP procedure regarding new versions of previously approved models, and the format of the model evaluation report (MER) are provided.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Model Evaluation Protocol for Fire Models Involving Fuels at Liquefied Natural Gas Facilities (Version 2)

This document provides a description of the model evaluation protocol (MEP) for pool fires, jet fires, and fireballs involving liquefied natural gas (LNG) and processing fuels at LNG facilities. The purpose of the MEP is to provide procedures regarding the assessment of a model’s suitability to predict heat flux from fires. Three components, namely, a scientific assessment, model verification, and model validation comprise the MEP. The evaluation of a model satisfying these three components is to be documented in the form of a model evaluation report (MER). Discussion of models for the prediction of fire, detailed information on each of the three MEP components, the MEP procedure regarding new versions of previously approved models, and the format of the model evaluation report (MER) are provided.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

NASA NTRS1987

Investigation of low-speed turbulent separated flow around airfoils

Described is a low-speed wind tunnel experiment to measure the flowfield around a two-dimensional airfoil operating close to maximum lift. Boundary layer separation occurs on the upper surface at x/c=0.85. A three-component laser velocimeter, coupled with a computer-controlled data acquisition system, was used to obtain three orthogonal mean velocity components and three components of the Reynolds stress tensor in both the boundary layer and wake of the airfoil. Pressure distributions on the airfoil, skin friction distribution on the upper surface of the airfoil, and integral properties of the airfoil boudary layer are also documented. In addition to these near-field flow properties, static pressure distributions, both upstream and downstream from the airfoil and on the walls of the wind tunnel, are also presented.

Wadcock, Alan J.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Use of the generalized transmission error in the equations of motion of gear systems

The vibratory excitation arising from a gear pair is widely recognized to be a consequence of the nonuniform transmission of motion by the gear pair. In the preceding paper in this issue, it is shown that a three-component transmission error is required to describe the nonuniform transmission of motion by bevel gears for vibration excitation characterization purposes. The expression for the three-component transmission error derived in that paper is combined in the present paper with an analysis of the mesh forces and mesh elasticity to yield an equation of constraint involving the six degree-of-freedom unknown vibratory displacements of the gear shaft centerliners, the three unknown components of the generalized force transmitted by the mesh, and the geometric deviations of the tooth running surfaces from perfect involute surfaces which are assumed known. This matrix equation can be combined with the equations of motion of a gear system to predict the vibratory response of the system to the generalized transmission error excitation arising from meshing gear pairs within the system.

Mark, W. D.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Pacific Marine Energy Center Laser Doppler Velocimetry Commissioning

First commissioning data for the new laser doppler velocimetry (LDV) system that will be used at the Tyler Flume at the University of Washington. The LDV system can measure three components of velocity at a point. For this dataset the three components were operated in non-coincident mode and data were acquired at the center of the empty facility. Comparisons of freestream turbulence were made with a Vectrino slightly upstream of the LDV measurement location.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

NASA NTRS1993

Velocity and drop size measurements in a swirl-stabilized, combusting spray

Velocity and drop size measurements are reported for a swirl-stabilized, combusting spray. For the gas phase, three components of mean and fluctuating velocity are reported. For the droplets, three components of mean and fluctuating velocity, diameter, and number flux are reported. The liquid fuel utilized for all the tests was heptane. The fuel was injected using an air-assist atomizer. The combustor configuration consisted of a center-mounted, air-assist atomizer surrounded by a coflowing air stream. Both the coflow and the atomizing air streams were passed through 45 degree swirlers. The swirl was imparted to both streams in the same direction. The combustion occurred unconfined in stagnant surroundings. The nonintrusive measurements were obtained using a two-component phase/Doppler particle analyzer. The laser-based instrument measured two components of velocity as well as droplet size at a particular point. Gas phase measurements were obtained by seeding the air streams with nominal 1 micron size aluminum-oxide particles and using the measured velocity from that size to represent the gas phase velocity. The atomizing air, coflow air, and ambient surroundings were all seeded with the aluminum-oxide particles to prevent biasing. Measurements are reported at an axial distance of 5 mm from the nozzle. Isothermal single-phase gas velocities are also reported for comparison with the combusting case.

Bulzan, Daniel L.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Rapid subsurface analysis of frequency-domain thermoreflectance images with K-means clustering

K-means clustering analysis is applied to frequency-domain thermoreflectance (FDTR) hyperspectral image data to rapidly screen the spatial distribution of thermophysical properties at material interfaces. Performing FDTR while raster scanning a sample consisting of 8.6 μm of doped-silicon (Si) bonded to a doped-Si substrate identifies spatial variation in the subsurface bond quality. Routine thermal analysis at select pixels quantifies this variation in bond quality and allows assignment of bonded, partially bonded, and unbonded regions. Performing this same routine thermal analysis across the entire map, however, becomes too computationally demanding for rapid screening of bond quality. To address this, K-means clustering was used to reduce the dimensionality of the dataset from more than 20 000 pixel spectra to just K = 3 component spectra. The three component spectra were then used to express every pixel in the image through a least-squares minimized linear combination providing continuous interpolation between the components across spatially varying features, e.g., bonded to unbonded transition regions. Fitting the component spectra to the thermal model, thermal properties for each K cluster are extracted and then distributed according to the weighting established by the regressed linear combination. Thermophysical property maps are then constructed and capture significant variation in bond quality over 25 μm length scales. The use of K-means clustering to achieve these thermal property maps results in a 74-fold speed improvement over explicit fitting of every pixel.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NASA NTRS2004

Hardening Doppler Global Velocimetry Systems for Large Wind Tunnel Applications

The development of Doppler Global Velocimetry from a laboratory curiosity to a wind tunnel instrumentation system is discussed. This development includes system advancements from a single velocity component to simultaneous three components, and from a steady state to instantaneous measurement. Improvements to system control and stability are discussed along with solutions to real world problems encountered in the wind tunnel. This on-going development program follows the cyclic evolution of understanding the physics of the technology, development of solutions, laboratory and wind tunnel testing, and reevaluation of the physics based on the test results.

Meyers, James F.↗

DOE OSTI2020

Mechanistic Understanding and Rational Design of Quantum Dot/Mediator Interfaces for Efficient Photon Upconversion

The semiconductor-nanocrystal-sensitized, three-component upconversion system has made great strides over the past 5 years. The three components (i.e., triplet photosensitizer, mediator, and emitter) each play critical roles in determining the input and output photon energy and overall quantum efficiency (QE). The nanocrystal photosensitizer converts the absorbed photon into singlet excitons and then triplet excitons via intersystem crossing. The mediator accepts the triplet exciton via either direct Dexter-type triplet energy transfer (TET) or sequential charge transfer (CT) while extending the exciton lifetime. Through a second triplet energy-transfer step from the mediator to the emitter, the latter is populated in its lowest excited triplet state. Triplet–triplet annihilation (TTA) between two triplet emitters generates the emitter in its bright singlet state, which then emits the upconverted photon. Quantum dots (QD) have a tunable band gap, large extinction coefficient, and small singlet–triplet energy losses compared to metal–ligand charge-transfer complexes. This high triplet exciton yield makes QDs good candidates for photosensitizers. In terms of driving triplet energy transfer, the triplet energy of the mediator should be slightly lower than the triplet exciton energy of the QD sensitizer for a downhill energy landscape with minimal energy loss. The same energy cascade is also required for the transfer from the mediator to the emitter. Lastly, the triplet energy of the emitter must be slightly larger than one-half of its singlet energy to ensure that TTA is exothermic. Optimization of the sensitizer, mediator, and emitter will lead to an increase in the anti-Stokes shift and the total quantum efficiency. Evaluating each individual step’s efficiency and kinetics is necessary for the understanding of the limiting factors in existing systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

NASA NTRS1983

Multicomponent velocity measurement in a pison-cylinder configuration using laser velocimetry

Because of its nonintrusive nature, Laser Doppler Velocimetry (LDV) has become a popular tool for velocity measurements in internal combustion engines. This work shows how one can use an on-axis measurement technique, in conjunction with the standard two channel LDV technique, to make simultaneous three-component measurements using a single focusing lens. Simultaneous measurement of two of these three components in a piston-cylinder configuration is demonstrated.

Schock, H. J.↗

NASA NTRS1993

New dynamic variables for rotating spacecraft

This paper introduces two new seven-parameter representations for spacecraft attitude dynamics modeling. The seven parameters are the three components of the total system angular momentum in the spacecraft body frame; the three components of the angular momentum in the inertial reference frame; and an angle variable. These obey a single constraint as do parameterizations that include a quaternion; in this case the constraint is the equality of the sum of the squares of the angular momentum components in the two frames. The two representations are nonsingular if the system angular momentum is non-zero and obeys certain orientation constraints. The new parameterizations of the attitude matrix, the equations of motion, and the relation of the solution of these equations to Euler angles for torque-free motion are developed and analyzed. The superiority of the new parameterizations for numerical integration is shown in a specific example.

Markley, F. Landis↗

NASA NTRS1991

Doppler Global Velocimeter Measurements of the Vortical Flow Above a Thin Delta Wing

A new measurement technique is being developed by NASA to measure off-surface flow fields. This method, Doppler global velocimetry, will allow quantification of complex three-dimensional flow fields at video camera rates. The entire flow field structure within a selected plane is measured simultaneously rather than by scanned, point-by-point measurements using conventional laser velocimetry. Data obtained using this technique will be used to correlate with other data sets for verification, and following verification, provide a quantified, highly detailed definition of the flow field. This will help to improve the understanding of fluid physics, supplement and broaden the database required to validate and refine computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models, and improve aircraft design methodology. To assess the capability of the technique, velocity measurements of the vortical flow field above a thin 75-degree delta wing were made in the NASA - Langley Basic Aerodynamics Research Tunnel. Preliminary comparisons of the results were made with similar measurements obtained using a three component laser velocimeter indicate that this technique is capable of describing the entire three - component velocity flow field simultaneously within a measurement plane in real time.

Usry, Jimmy W.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Fabrication of stainless steel clad tubing

The feasibility of producing stainless steel clad carbon steel tubing by a gas pressure bonding process was evaluated. Such a tube product could provide substantial chromium savings over monolithic stainless tubing in the event of a serious chromium shortage. The process consists of the initial assembly of three component tubesets from conventionally produced tubing, the formation of a strong metallurgical bond between the three components by gas pressure bonding, and conventional cold draw and anneal processing to final size. The quality of the tubes produced was excellent from the standpoint of bond strength, mechanical, and forming properties. The only significant quality problem encountered was carburization of the stainless clad by the carbon steel core which can be overcome by further refinement through at least three different approaches. The estimated cost of clad tubing produced by this process is greater than that for monolithic stainless tubing, but not so high as to make the process impractical as a chromium conservation method.

Kovach, C. W.↗

NASA NTRS2007

Robotic Vision-Based Localization in an Urban Environment

A system of electronic hardware and software, now undergoing development, automatically estimates the location of a robotic land vehicle in an urban environment using a somewhat imprecise map, which has been generated in advance from aerial imagery. This system does not utilize the Global Positioning System and does not include any odometry, inertial measurement units, or any other sensors except a stereoscopic pair of black-and-white digital video cameras mounted on the vehicle. Of course, the system also includes a computer running software that processes the video image data. The software consists mostly of three components corresponding to the three major image-data-processing functions: Visual Odometry This component automatically tracks point features in the imagery and computes the relative motion of the cameras between sequential image frames. This component incorporates a modified version of a visual-odometry algorithm originally published in 1989. The algorithm selects point features, performs multiresolution area-correlation computations to match the features in stereoscopic images, tracks the features through the sequence of images, and uses the tracking results to estimate the six-degree-of-freedom motion of the camera between consecutive stereoscopic pairs of images (see figure). Urban Feature Detection and Ranging Using the same data as those processed by the visual-odometry component, this component strives to determine the three-dimensional (3D) coordinates of vertical and horizontal lines that are likely to be parts of, or close to, the exterior surfaces of buildings. The basic sequence of processes performed by this component is the following: 1. An edge-detection algorithm is applied, yielding a set of linked lists of edge pixels, a horizontal-gradient image, and a vertical-gradient image. 2. Straight-line segments of edges are extracted from the linked lists generated in step 1. Any straight-line segments longer than an arbitrary threshold (e.g., 30 pixels) are assumed to belong to buildings or other artificial objects. 3. A gradient-filter algorithm is used to test straight-line segments longer than the threshold to determine whether they represent edges of natural or artificial objects. In somewhat oversimplified terms, the test is based on the assumption that the gradient of image intensity varies little along a segment that represents the edge of an artificial object.

Mchenry, Michael↗

NASA NTRS1988

An extremum principle for computation of the zone of tooth contact and generalized transmission error of spiral bevel gears

For a given set of forces transmitted by the gears, each of the three components of the generalized transmission error of spiral bevel gears is shown to be stationary with respect to small independent variations in the positions of the endpoints of the lines of tooth contact about their true values. The tangential generalized transmission error component is shown to take on a minimum value at the true endpoint positions. A computational procedure based on the method of steepest descent is described for computing the true line of contact endpoint positions and the three components of the generalized transmission error. A method for computing the Fourier series coefficients of the tooth meshing harmonics of the three generalized transmission error components also is provided.

Mark, W. D.↗

NASA NTRS1994

Perceptual compression of magnitude-detected synthetic aperture radar imagery

A perceptually-based approach for compressing synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery is presented. Key components of the approach are a multiresolution wavelet transform, a bit allocation mask based on an empirical human visual system (HVS) model, and hybrid scalar/vector quantization. Specifically, wavelet shrinkage techniques are used to segregate wavelet transform coefficients into three components: local means, edges, and texture. Each of these three components is then quantized separately according to a perceptually-based bit allocation scheme. Wavelet coefficients associated with local means and edges are quantized using high-rate scalar quantization while texture information is quantized using low-rate vector quantization. The impact of the perceptually-based multiresolution compression algorithm on visual image quality, impulse response, and texture properties is assessed for fine-resolution magnitude-detected SAR imagery; excellent image quality is found at bit rates at or above 1 bpp along with graceful performance degradation at rates below 1 bpp.

Gorman, John D.↗

DOE OSTI2026

In situ quantification of fracture slip induced by hydraulic injections in a deep borehole: A comparison of two different borehole techniques

In situ measurements of fracture deformation during fluid injection are rare, yet essential for understanding the mechanical response of fractured rock. In this study, we evaluate the reliability of two methods by comparing their slip vector estimates: high-resolution borehole acoustic televiewer images captured before and after injection tests, and displacement data from a three-component borehole deformation probe recorded during the injections. Acoustic televiewer images capture only final in-plane displacement, whereas three-component borehole deformation measurements provide full 3D, transient fracture movement. Four injection tests in a fractured granitic rock mass along an inclined borehole at the Bedretto Underground Laboratory (Switzerland), beneath more than 1100 m of overburden, were analyzed. The two methods yielded consistent kinematics and comparable slip magnitudes, typically in the range of 0.2 – 0.6 mm. Angular differences between estimated slip directions ranged from 0.2° to 28°. For two test intervals with pre-existing fractures optimally oriented for slip, the measured slip vectors agreed with forward-modeled slip vectors based on the regional in situ stress field, supporting the Wallace–Bott hypothesis. Measurable shear displacement was identified in two test intervals containing fractures oriented nearly perpendicular to the least principal stress, including a newly formed hydraulic fracture. This demonstrates that even fractures unfavorably oriented for slip can undergo shear due to local stress perturbations around an inclined borehole.

Acoustic televiewer↗