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DOE OSTI2024

Dual-frequency (Ka-band and G-band) radar estimates of liquid water content profiles in shallow clouds

The profile of the liquid water content (LWC) in clouds provides fundamental information for understanding the internal structure of clouds, their radiative effects, propensity to precipitate, and degree of entrainment and mixing with the surrounding environment. In principle, differential absorption techniques based on coincident dual-frequency radar reflectivity observations have the potential to provide the LWC profile. Previous differential frequency radar reflectivity (DFR) efforts were challenged by the fact that the measurable differential attenuation for small quantities of LWC is usually comparable to the system measurement error. This typically renders the retrieval impractical, as the uncertainty can become many times greater than the retrieved value itself. Theoretically, this drawback can be mitigated following two interconnected approaches: (1) increasing the frequency separation between the dual-frequency radar system to measure greater differential attenuation and (2) increasing the radar operating frequency to reduce the instrument measurement random error. Our recently developed 239 GHz radar was deployed during the Eastern Pacific Cloud Aerosol Precipitation Experiment (EPCAPE) along with a variety of collocated remote sensing and in situ instruments. We have combined Ka-band (35 GHz) and G-band (239 GHz) observations to retrieve the LWC from more than 100 vertical profiles of shallow clouds with typical amounts of LWC smaller than 1 g m -3 . We theoretically and experimentally demonstrate that the Ka-band and G-band pair of frequencies offers at least a 65 % relative improvement in the LWC retrieval sensitivity compared to previous works reported in the literature using lower-frequency radars. This new technique provides a missing capability to determine the LWC in the challenging low liquid water path (LWP) range (< 200 g m -2 ) and suggests a way forward to characterize microphysical and dynamical processes more precisely in shallow clouds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Data for Impact of Vertical and Seasonal Variation in Leaf Traits on Simulating Soybean Canopy Photosynthesis via 1D and 3D Modeling

Accurate modeling of photosynthesis is crucial for predicting crop productivity and quantifying the carbon cycle in agroecosystems. Leaf traits are essential inputs for modeling canopy photosynthesis. Yet, many existing models still use fixed plant functional type (PTF)-based values to parameterize leaf traits under a big-leaf or two-big-leaf assumption, neglecting their vertical profiles and seasonal changes. This simplification may introduce significant uncertainties in estimating gross primary productivity (GPP). In this study, we simulated soybean GPP and tested the effects of vertical and seasonal variation in three key leaf photosynthetic traits: the maximum carboxylation rate at 25 °C (Vcmax25), leaf chlorophyll content (LCC), and leaf mass per area (LMA) in the 1D-SCOPE and 3D-Helios models. Weekly field measurements were conducted during the growing season of 2024 to support the simulation. We designed ten leaf trait parameterization schemes by incorporating different combinations of vertical profiles and seasonal changes, while assuming homogeneous canopy architecture in both models. Our results revealed that Vcmax25 vertical and seasonal variation had the strongest influence on simulated GPP in both 1D and 3D models, while LCC and LMA effects were minimal. Particularly, the scheme with an empirically parameterized Vcmax25 profile achieved comparable performance to the scheme with the measured Vcmax25 profile. Both 1D-SCOPE and 3D-Helios accurately modeled GPP (SCOPE: R2 = 0.87, Bias = 0.55 µmol m⁻² s⁻¹; Helios: R2 = 0.9, Bias = 0.22 µmol m⁻² s⁻¹) under the most complex scheme, and their responses to vertical and seasonal variation in leaf traits were consistent, demonstrating the robustness of our findings. Based on our findings, we propose a scalable framework for parameterizing leaf traits to improve GPP simulations. This study contributes to improving the representation of leaf trait dynamics in canopy-level photosynthesis models, potentially enhancing our ability to predict crop productivity and understand agroecosystem carbon dynamics.

Photosynthesis↗

DOE OSTI2025

Videos, photos, and AI-derived grain size data associated with “High-throughput AI Video Surveys Enable Reproducible Multiscale Sediment Size Mapping, with Implications for Hydrobiogeochemical Parameterization”

NOTE: The manuscript associated with this data package is currently in review. The data may be revised based on reviewer feedback. Upon manuscript acceptance, this data package will be updated with the final dataset and additional metadata. This data package is associated with the manuscript “High-throughput AI Video Surveys Enable Reproducible Multiscale Sediment Size Mapping, with Implications for Hydrobiogeochemical Parameterization” under review. This data package includes five data types: 1) raw photos and videos from drone survey and walking smartphone surveys; 2) images derived from raw videos; 3) manual labeling of reference scales; 4) metadata for all images and photo resolution derived from artificial intelligence (AI) models or manual labels, 5) grain size data obtained from AI models for all photos, 6) metadata and grain size data after quality control, 7) summaries of sample efficiency for all data, and 8) computational fluid dynamics (CFD) data used to support hydro-biogeochemical (HBGC) parameter estimation. Such data is used to 1) demonstrate significant improvements in accuracy, efficiency, and quality control for grain size data collection with the help of AI models, 2) study the spatial heterogeneity of grain size and observation reproducibility based on tens of thousands of data points generated by the AI models, and 3) evaluate the impacts of grain size heterogeneity on key HBGC parameters across sediment-to-reach and hourly-to-yearly scales. In particular, the data package contains 116 folders and 179696 files. The files include 41 videos in .mov format, 64047 photos in .jpg format, 13541 video-derived photos in .png format, 12747 segmentation mask data in .tif format, 12747 segmentation data in .json format, 24771 .csv files that with metadata and grain size for each individual photo as well as water depth and velocity data from CFD and observation, 51791 .txt files of raw AI predicted labels, and 11 flight record data in .srt format. The summary for all metadata and grain size statistics information is included in “Scales_V3_NG.csv” and “Statistics_V3_NG.csv”. The summary for data that pass data quality control (QC) level 0-2 is included in “QCStatistics_V3_NG.csv”. The QC level 0 represents photos whose photo resolution is positive, excluding photos that miss reference scale. The QC level 1 means reference scale circularity uncertainty is less than 5% for smartphone images while representing photo resolution is larger than 0.44 mm/pixel for drone images. The QC level 2 means excluding photos whose grain number is less than 100, a minimum number of grains recommended by classic literature. The summary for each video’s name, length, frame rates, survey area, grain number, survey efficiency, etc. can be found in “QCSummary_V3_NG.csv”. The summary for site name, GPS coordinates, and number of images at each site can be found in “SitesSummary_V3_*.csv” files. Overall computational efficiency summary is reported in Table 4 of accompanying manuscript. Additionally, the nitrate concentration data used in this work was downloaded from an existing dataset published on ESS-DIVE (Boat-Dragged Sensor Hanford Reach.csv; Conner A. et al., 2020). We thank the United States Forest Service, Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife, Washington Department of Natural Resources, Cowiche Canyon Conservatory, Port of Benton, and the Confederated Tribes and Bands of the Yakama Nation for access to field locations where the data were collected. We also thank the Yakama Nation Tribal Council and Yakama Nation Fisheries for working with us to facilitate data collection and optimization of data usage according to their values and worldview.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2016

Final DOE-ASR Report for the Project “Advancing our Understanding and the Remote Sensing of Ice Clouds”

This project has evolved during its execution, and what follows are the key project findings. This project has arguably provided the first global view of how cirrus cloud (defined as having cloud base temperature T < 235 K) nucleation physics (evaluated through satellite retrievals of ice particle number concentration Ni, effective diameter De and ice water content IWC) evolves with the seasons for a given temperature, latitude zone and surface type (e.g. ocean vs. land), based on a new satellite remote sensing method developed for this project. The retrieval method is unique in that it is very sensitive to the small ice crystals that govern the number concentration Ni, allowing Ni to be retrieved. The method currently samples single-layer cirrus clouds having visible optical depth ranging from about 0.3 to 3.0, using co-located observations from the Infrared Imaging Radiometer (IIR) and from the CALIOP (Cloud and Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization) lidar aboard the CALIPSO (Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation) polar orbiting satellite, employing IIR channels at 10.6 μm and 12.05 μm. Retrievals of Ni are primarily used to estimate the cirrus cloud formation mechanism; that is, either homo- or heterogeneous ice nucleation (henceforth hom and het). This is possible since, in general, hom produces more than an order of magnitude more ice crystals than does het. Thus the retrievals provide insight on how these mechanisms change with the seasons for a given latitude zone or region, based on the years 2008 and 2013. Using a conservative criterion for hom cirrus, on average, the sampled cirrus clouds formed through hom occur about 43% of the time in the Arctic and 50% of the time in the Antarctic, and during winter at mid-latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere, hom cirrus occur 37% of the time. Elsewhere (and during other seasons in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes), this hom cirrus fraction is lower, and it is lowest in the tropics. Thus, the microphysical properties of cirrus clouds in the Polar Regions are much different than they are in the tropics; something unknown prior to this study. Moreover, the frequency of cirrus cloud occurrence in the Polar Regions varies strongly with season, peaking during winter in the Arctic and during spring in the Antarctic. Considering these seasonal changes in microphysics and inferred cloud coverage, this leads us to speculate that the buildup of Arctic cirrus during winter may significantly contribute to tropospheric heating in that region, possibly affecting winter jet-stream dynamics and mid-latitude weather patterns through the thermal-wind balance relationship. This cirrus cloud research provides essential guidance for realistically representing cirrus clouds in climate models; guidance previously unavailable. For example, mid-latitude hom cirrus were widespread during winter over or nearby mountainous terrain, evidently due to mountain-induced waves that produce strong updrafts at cirrus cloud levels. The treatment of turbulent mountain stress and gravity waves will likely need to be improved in climate models in order to adequately represent cirrus clouds outside the tropics. Another goal of this project was to develop a ground-based 94-GHz radar retrieval for winter snowstorms, based on (1) an improved analytical framework describing the interaction of radiation from radar with snowfall and (2) the development of a steady-state snow growth model that predicts the height-evolution of the ice particle size distribution through ice particle growth by vapor diffusion, aggregation and riming (i.e. the growth of snow through collisions with supercooled cloud droplets). Although activities (1) and (2) were completed, there was insufficient time to test and finalize the radar retrieval scheme. However, activity (2) provided a new method for relating ice particle mass “m” and projected area “A” to the ice particle maximum dimension “D”. The ice cloud microphysical processes (which determine ice cloud radiative properties) in climate models are parameterized in terms of these m-D and A-D relationships. By improving these relationships, the ice cloud radiative properties in Community Atmosphere Model version 5, or CAM5 (an atmosphere global climate model, or GCM) were improved. Student funding from the University of Nevada, Reno, was combined with funds from this project to conduct some basic research on the mechanism of the North American monsoon, or NAM. Federal research on the NAM has dwindled since 2006, but atmospheric soundings taken during research vessel cruises in the Gulf of California (GC) during the North American Monsoon Experiment (NAME) were used to reveal a likely mechanism that explains the relationship between an intrusion of tropical warm water into the GC during late spring-early summer and the onset of relatively heavy NAM rainfall in northwest Mexico and the southwestern United States. These soundings, combined with reanalysis data, satellite sea surface temperatures and satellite measurements of outgoing longwave radiation were used to develop and provide evidence for a planetary-scale NAM mechanism. As far as we know, no other physical explanation has been offered for the spring-summer evolution of the NAM system.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Intrinsic and environmental drivers of pairwise cohesion in wild Canis social groups

Animals within social groups respond to costs and benefits of sociality by adjusting the proportion of time they spend in close proximity to other individuals in the group (cohesion). Variation in cohesion between individuals, in turn, shapes important group-level processes such as subgroup formation and fission–fusion dynamics. Although critical to animal sociality, a comprehensive understanding of the factors influencing cohesion remains a gap in our knowledge of cooperative behavior in animals. We tracked 574 individuals from six species within the genus Canis in 15 countries on four continents with GPS telemetry to estimate the time that pairs of individuals within social groups spent in close proximity and test hypotheses regarding drivers of cohesion. Pairs of social canids (Canis spp.) varied widely in the proportion of time they spent together (5%–100%) during seasonal monitoring periods relative to both intrinsic characteristics and environmental conditions. The majority of our data came from three species of wolves (gray wolves, eastern wolves, and red wolves) and coyotes. For these species, cohesion within social groups was greatest between breeding pairs and varied seasonally as the nature of cooperative activities changed relative to annual life history patterns. Across species, wolves were more cohesive than coyotes. For wolves, pairs were less cohesive in larger groups, and when suitable, small prey was present reflecting the constraints of food resources and intragroup competition on social associations. Pair cohesion in wolves declined with increased anthropogenic modification of the landscape and greater climatic variability, underscoring challenges for conserving social top predators in a changing world. We show that pairwise cohesion in social groups varies strongly both within and across Canis species, as individuals respond to changing ecological context defined by resources, competition, and anthropogenic disturbance. Our work highlights that cohesion is a highly plastic component of animal sociality that holds significant promise for elucidating ecological and evolutionary mechanisms underlying cooperative behavior.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Exploring the Genetic Basis of Wild Boar ( Sus scrofa ) and Its Connection to Classical Swine Fever Spread

Classical swine fever (CSF) is the one of the most devastating contagious diseases in domestic swine and wild boar/pigs (Sus scrofa). Population genetics is often used to estimate animal dispersal and can also help evaluate host population connectivity, which is crucial for understanding pathogen dispersal. We surveyed genetic population structure of boars using MIG-seq analysis to clarify the geographic barriers that influence boar dispersal in north-central Japan and to demonstrate the relationship between the spread of CSF infection among boars and their population structure. We obtained 382 single-nucleotide polymorphisms from 348 wild boar samples, and the results of STRUCTURE analysis indicated that the highest ΔK value was at K = 2, followed by K = 4. Based on these results, it is evident that the Abukuma river, a major river within north-central Japan, does not act as a barrier to the gene flow of boars, but rather that human infrastructure hinders their dispersal. Further, according to the time series change in the capture site of CSF-infected wild boar and the sum of the probability of belonging to each of the four clades in individual CSF-infected wild boar, our results indicated that the genetic structure of boar populations was correlated with the outbreak pathway of CSF across our study region. Our study suggests that predictions of disease spread, especially for widely distributed host species, is challenging because of the risk of cryptic breaks and changes in wide range connectivity; however, understanding the genetic population structure of wild boar can be a useful tool for predicting the spread of CSF. We concluded that genetic analysis of host population structure may have the possibility to improve predictions of the future dynamics of disease spread.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Electron transfer calculations between edge sharing octahedra in hematite, goethite, and annite

A key reaction underlying the charge transport in iron containing oxides, clays, micas is the Fe$^{2+}$-Fe$^{3+}$ exchange reaction between edge-sharing iron octahedra. These reactions facilitate conduction in these minerals by the thermally-activated hopping of small polarons across the lattice. Depending on the mineral and local charge state the small polaron can either encase an electron or hole. The probability for conduction of small polarons depends strongly on the height and adiabicity of the reaction barrier, with larger and more diabatic barriers yielding slow conduction associated with either weak coupling or a large prerequisite rearrangement of the lattice during charge transport. To model these reactions, a first principle electron transfer (ET) method was developed to model the small polaron hopping between the edge-sharing octahedra sites in hematite ($e^{-}$ polaron), goethite ($e^{-}$ polaron), and annite ($h^{+}$ polaron) bulk structures. The ET method is based on electronic structure methods (i.e., plane-wave Density Functional Theory) capable of performing calculations with periodic cells and large size systems efficiently while at the same time being accurate enough to be used in the estimation of the electron-transfer coupling matrix element, $V_{AB}$, and the electron transfer transmission factor, $\kappa_{el}$. Additionally, the calculations confirmed the existence of small polarons in all three minerals, and the reactions were predicted to be strongly adiabatic. It was found that transfer of a hole in the octahedral layer of annite had an adiabatic barrier of $0.311$ eV, and the transfer of an extra electron in hematite and goethite had adiabatic barriers of $0.242$ eV and $0.232$ eV respectively. The electronic coupling parameters,$V_{AB}$, were found to be $0.188$ eV, $0.196$ eV, and $0.102$ eV respectively for hematite, goethite, and annite. While similar bonding topologies pertain, the underlying basis for the differences is the subtle differences in local structures.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

A comparative analysis of YOLOv8 and U-Net image segmentation approaches for transmission electron micrographs of polycrystalline thin films

Metallic thin films offer a platform to experimentally study the dynamics of microstructural evolution, but the required transmission electron microscopy (TEM)-based imaging generates complex images that are challenging to segment and quantify. This work provides a comparative analysis of a new YOLOv8 model and an established U-Net model for bright-field TEM images of polycrystals, employing a framework leveraging physical observables to evaluate performance against two hand-traced benchmark datasets. This methodology obviates the comparison of large, diversely structured, and manually labeled datasets that are required to assess performance on a per-image/per-pixel basis. It is found that the YOLOv8 model, adapted for real-time instance segmentation, has up to 43× faster inferencing (NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090) compared to U-Net and reconstructs hand-traced grain size distributions (GSDs) with excellent fidelity, finding mean diameter within 3% for grains near an optimal magnification; for grains that deviate from the optimal pixel-diameter, the size of small- (large)-diameter grains is systematically over- (under)-estimated. This is partially mitigated by including scale-aware augmentations during training. Moreover, when the bias is corrected post-inference by a rigid shift in distribution, the YOLOv8 model reproduces ground truth GSDs with exceptional fidelity, with statistical tests indicating <5% probability that the distributions are distinct. Based on ground truth data, calibration curves pertaining to this shift can be constructed for a given model. This issue is not present in the U-Net model’s results, indicating that for quantitative measurements where the true size of objects is of interest, special procedures must be implemented for YOLO-based models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2019

250 kWth Pilot Testing in Support of a 10 MWe Coal-Direct Chemical Looping Demonstration Feasibility Study

The Coal-Direct Chemical Looping (CDCL) process is emerging as a promising technology capable of high efficiency for producing electricity with low cost for carbon capture. In the CDCL process, coal is fully combusted to form carbon dioxide (CO2) and water via reaction with Fe2O3-based oxygen-carrier particles in a moving-bed reducer reactor. During reaction with coal, the Fe2O3 is reduced to form a mixture of Fe and FeO. The reduced particles are then transported to the combustor reactor where they are re-oxidized with air. The oxidation of the Fe and FeO mixture generates heat that can be used to produce steam for power generation. Once the particles are fully regenerated, they are pneumatically recycled to the reducer reactor where another reduction-oxidation (Redox) cycle begins. The Babcock & Wilcox Company (B&W) and The Ohio State University (OSU) have been developing the CDCL technology based on iron-based metal oxide particles circulating in a moving-bed reducer coupled with an entrained-flow combustor. As part of a Phase I effort of a DOE-sponsored project, B&W identified scale-up technology gaps for the coal-direct chemical looping reactor process, most of which fall under the moving-bed reactor design and operation. However, after the Phase I research, B&W concluded that the CDCL technology has the potential of generating electricity while meeting the DOE goals of greater than 90% CO2 capture and less than 35% increase in levelized cost of electricity (LCOE). B&W then moved to a Phase II project to design, build and demonstrate the CDCL technology at a 250 kWth capacity. B&W finished the construction and commissioning of the pilot test facility in 2017. The approach used to design a 250 kWth pilot-scale CDCL facility to investigate the technology gaps is presented. Important lessons from the commissioning activities that would transfer to commercial plant start-up are also shared. The findings from the test program are being incorporated into a Pre-FEED study for a 10 MWe large pilot demonstration. Under a separately-funded heat integration project, B&W and OSU are developing a multiphase computational fluid dynamic model (MFIX) of the combustor to quantify heat transfer to embedded steam generation surface, utilizing pinch analysis (ASPEN Energy Analyzer) to identify potential improvements of the heat integration scheme, and developing an integrated dynamic model (ProTRAX) of the steam turbine coupled with the chemical looping process to identify potential start-up and transient operation issues. Under an advanced control system for optimizing operation, B&W is supporting OSU to install a rules-based optimizer (B&W’s FocalPoint) on their 25 kWt bench-scale facility on the OSU West Campus. Finally, B&W and OSU were recently selected to perform a Phase I Feasibility study to evaluate installation of the 10 MWe pilot at the Dover Power & Light Municipal Power Plant in Dover, Ohio. The feasibility study includes compiling an Environmental Information Volume and generating a cost estimate for the design, construction and commissioning of the plant as well as lining up commitments from potential project participants and funding contributors. Updates on each project will be presented. The status of the technology development will be discussed. We focus on the progress made to date towards closing the technology gaps under each project.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2018

Update on Design of 10 MWe Iron-Based Coal Direct Chemical Looping Demonstration Plant

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Investigation of fuel film formation and soot emissions in a GDI engine during cold-start with Split-injection strategies

This study investigates the impact of fuel-film formation on engine-out soot emissions in a gasoline direct injection (GDI) engine under cold-start conditions. Split-injection strategies were applied by varying the number of injections, injection duration, and total fuel quantity to affect wall wetting and control the average in-cylinder equivalence ratio. A combined experimental and numerical approach was employed to analyze fuel-film deposition, combustion efficiency, and engine-out soot and unburnt hydrocarbons (UHC) emissions. In particular, fuel film distribution estimated by means of non-reacting, 3-D, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations, together with experimentally measured soot data, were used to investigate fuel film formation and its role in soot generation. In the experiments, a skip-fired engine control strategy was applied to mimic the transient nature of engine cold-start operation. The results indicate that, under the same total number of injections, increasing the average in-cylinder equivalence ratio through longer injection durations improves combustion stability, as indicated by the decrease of the coefficient of variation of IMEP n (Net Indicated Mean Effective Pressure) from 6.0 % to 0.6 %. However, this strategy leads to higher soot emissions, which increased by nearly an order of magnitude, primarily due to enhanced wall-film formation. In contrast, increasing the number of injections while maintaining a constant equivalence ratio significantly impacts fuel-film deposition and, consequently, soot emissions, with a fivefold reduction of the measured engine-out soot, decreasing from 3.5 mg to 0.7 mg. A soot-film correlation was developed and achieved a high coefficient of determination (r 2 = 0.95) and was further extended to account for spark timing effects. These findings confirm the effectiveness of split-injection for avoiding wall film formation and soot emissions, and the critical role of fuel film in soot generation, supporting the hypothesis that pool fires play a crucial role in contributing to soot formation under these cold-start conditions. In conclusion, the study also indicates the value of a predictive soot-film correlation for developing cold-start emission control strategies.

Engine Cold-start↗

DOE OSTI2017

Analysis of light-off during oxidation of reactant mixtures on Pt/Al 2 O 3 using micro-kinetic models

An elementary step mechanism, which accounts for adsorption, desorption and surface reaction steps is proposed for co-oxidation of CO, propylene, hydrogen and ethane on Pt/Al 2 O 3 . Parameter estimation is used to determine the kinetic parameters for these steps, which depend on platinum loading and dispersion. A micro-kinetic model is proposed for water-gas shift reaction that captures the experimental trend observed during co-oxidation of CO/H 2 . This mechanism is used to predict hysteresis features during oxidation and co-oxidation reactions. The oxidation of all the individual reactants exhibits regular hysteresis and the model predicts the experimentally observed inverse hysteresis during co-oxidation of CO and C 3 H 6 . The inverse hysteresis is caused by surface intermediates formed during C 3 H 6 oxidation. These surface intermediates block the active sites, decreasing the light-off activity of CO during ramp down. The developed micro-kinetic model can also explain steam reforming of propylene and ethane on Pt/Al 2 O 3 . We also compare the predicted hysteresis during CO oxidation by global and micro-kinetic models. The predicted ignition temperature by both global and micro-kinetic models is almost same. However, the predicted extinction temperature by the global and micro-kinetic models is rather different. This behavior is due to different rate determining step during ramp down period.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2018

Aerosol Vertical Profiling at Oliktok Point (AVPOP) Field Campaign Report

Aerosols are an important component of the atmospheric system through their various impacts on climate. Notably, the largest uncertainty of the energy budget (i.e., radiative forcing estimate) is the aerosol indirect effect. Aerosol-induced microphysical modifications influence cloud lifetime and albedo. However, constraining aerosol-cloud impacts in climate models, specifically in regions such as the Arctic, remains a significant challenge due to limited observations. The efficacy of an aerosol to impact the arctic energy budget largely depends on its concentration, composition, and source. While ground-based measurements will provide a consistent, high-resolution time series of aerosol observations, the arctic atmosphere can be stratified, and thus what is observed on the ground may not be representative of the aerosol aloft. A key gap in arctic aerosol research is routine vertical profiling of abundance and source characterization. Previous work outside of the Arctic has focused on using launched or tethered balloon systems (LBS and TBS, respectively) to measure vertical profiles of aerosol size distributions and has demonstrated the utility of such observations (e.g., Hofmann et al. 1989; Hofmann 1993; Iwasaka et al. 2003; Kim et al. 2003; Tobo et al. 2007). More specifically, particle spectrometers have also been deployed via TBS systems (de Boer et al. 2018; Greenberg et al. 2009; Maletto et al. 2003; Renard et al. 2016; Wehner et al. 2007; Siebert et al. 2004) affording information on aerosol layer locations and evolution by means of multiple profiles. Filter samples for post-processing of aerosol composition and ice nucleation properties have also been conducted in mid-latitudes (Creamean et al. 2018). However, while these studies present novel measurements of aerosol vertical profiling via balloon systems, few exist to date in the Arctic. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility TBS is composed of a variety of winches, balloons, and instrumentation that flies within ARM’s Restricted Airspace (R-2204) at the third ARM Mobile Facility (AMF3) at Oliktok Point, Alaska (Figure 1). The system payload comprises instruments that can simultaneously collect in situ data on horizontal winds, ice microphysics, turbulence, thermodynamic state, aerosols, and the cloud-top environment (https://www.arm.gov/capabilities/instruments/tbs). Recent campaigns at AMF3 have involved the use of the ARM helikite, which is a balloon-kite hybrid that uses lighter-than-air principles to obtain its initial lift and a kite to achieve stability and dynamic lift. Additional information on the specifications of the helikite TBS can be found in the ARM TBS handbook (Dexheimer 2018).

Oliktok Point, North Slope of Alaska,, tethered ba↗

DOE OSTI2025

Lipids represent a dynamic, yet stable pool of microbially-derived soil carbon

There is an emerging consensus that microorganisms are a primary source of persistent, slow-cycling soil organic matter (SOM), however which microbial residues contribute to SOM and what controls their accumulation remains unresolved. Lipids are a commonly overlooked biomolecular pool that could contribute significantly to stable SOM. While current estimates for phospholipid degradation in soils are rapid, lipids are structurally heterogeneous molecules that could turnover at different rates. Through a year-long soil incubation and compound-specific, stable isotope probing (SIP)-lipidomics, we were able to rigorously track the persistence of lipid compounds in silty and sandy switchgrass bioenergy crop soils. Here, we assessed the influence of lipid structure on soil lipid accrual and degradation as moderated by soil texture, since mineral association is presumed to be the primary mechanism for lipid persistence. After rapid incorporation of 13 C glucose into microbial biomass, we found 13 C label was retained broadly across chemically diverse lipid classes, even after one year. 13 C-labeled lipid profiles varied significantly with soil texture; however, we found no difference between sandy and silty soils in lipid retention, suggesting soil texture may only play a minor role in modulating lipid persistence. Only two lipid subclasses were found to be persistent (i.e., retention of 13 C label without significant degradation or production): phosphatidylinositol lipids and hydroxyceramide lipids, both of which are negatively charged, possibly facilitating stabilization by mineral complexation. However, several other subclasses displayed substantial ongoing production. In particular, the accumulation of triacylglycerol lipids across soil textures suggests that storage lipids may be an important component of SOC, highlighting a potential target for management strategies to promote C retention by lipid accrual. Overall, the retention for over a year of 13 C label in microbial intact lipid biomarkers reveals the importance of efficient biomass production and turnover when considering microbial C contributions to SOM.

compound-specific↗

DOE OSTI2025

In situ deformation of antigorite-olivine two-phase mixtures: Implications for dynamics and seismic anisotropy in the mantle wedge

Water released from hydrous minerals in subducting slabs reacts with the overlying plate, resulting in widespread serpentinization in the mantle wedge. Deformation of serpentinized peridotites has been invoked to explain forearc seismic anisotropy, yet studies of the mechanical properties and deformation behaviors of serpentine-bearing multiphase aggregates remain limited. Here we deformed olivine-antigorite mixtures containing 70, 50, and 20 vol.% of antigorite at 2.5 – 7.6 GPa, 673 K and strain rates of ∼10 –5 –10 –4 s –1 . Elasto-viscoplastic self-consistent simulations, constrained by synchrotron X-ray diffraction (XRD) data, were used to estimate lattice strain, stress–strain partitioning, crystallographic preferred orientations (CPO) development, and aggregate strength. Selected run products were also analyzed by electron backscatter diffraction for comparison with the CPO results obtained from XRD experiments. We found olivine transitions from A- or B-type to C-type when antigorite fraction drops to 20 vol.%, coinciding with a microstructural change from interconnected weak layers to a load-bearing framework (LBF). An additional run on a sample Atg50/Ol50 with preexisting microstructures suggested the formation of LBF was promoted by these microstructures, although the preexisting antigorite CPO has been overprinted at 20.8 % strain and could be erased completely by subsequent deformation in nature. Estimated viscosity of the two-phase mixtures suggests that low-degree serpentinization (≤20 %) in the mantle wedge may increase the strength of olivine-rich peridotite and hinder slab-mantle decoupling, whereas high-degree serpentinization (≥50–70 %) weakens the peridotite and favors decoupling if sufficient viscosity contrast (>10) develops. Seismic anisotropy shows a nonlinear dependence on antigorite fraction: antigorite CPO governs the anisotropy of the mixtures with ≥50 vol.% antigorite, whereas olivine CPO dominates at low fractions (∼20 vol.%). The presence of pre-existing microstructures reduces seismic anisotropy of the deformed mixtures, however the persistence of pre-existing CPO in actively subducting slabs remains uncertain, making their significance over geological timescales questionable.

Crystallographic preferred orientation↗

DOE OSTI2024

Timelike Compton Scattering from a longitudinally polarised target with CLAS12 at Jefferson Lab

Explorations into the internal dynamics of hadrons are constantly evolving, and the requirement for experimental results to verify theoretical models of hadron structure is paramount. A key area in this field is the study of Generalised Parton Distributions (GPDs), which are functions used to model the momenta of quarks and gluons within hadrons, and the methods to access GPDs experimentally. One such scattering process that allows access to these is Timelike Compton Scattering. TCS complements existing Deeply Virtual Compton Scattering experiments and allows investigation into the universality of GPDs through access to the real and imaginary parts of the parton helicity independent GPD Hq via beam spin asymmetries (BSA), and it provides novel access to the real and imaginary parts of the parton helicity dependent GPD ˜Hq through target polarisation asymmetries (TSA). This thesis work presents a comparative study with the first published BSA for TCS at the Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility (JLab), alongside a first time extraction of a Target Spin Asymmetry with the Summer 2022 data taking run. JLab hosts the Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator Facility (CEBAF) which provides a 12 GeV electron beam to four experimental halls. Hall-B contains the CEBAF Large Acceptance Spectrometer, which took data across three run periods on a longitudinally polarised NH3 and ND3 fixed target from 2022-2023, to extract measurements of electron-proton scattering, from which a TCS signal could be extracted. The thesis discusses work done to understand and eliminate contributions from the non-/low-polarised nuclear background, testing pre-established cuts to eliminate pion background from a dilepton (e+e-) final state and modifying them as needed for the new experimental run, and attempts to hone in on a clean TCS signal from which to extract the two asymmetry observables. A comparison with existing BSA results was performed; however, the statistical errors are too large to draw a significant conclusion as to whether there is agreement across each bin. More data is needed for a multidimensionally binned extraction. A proof of principle was achieved in the TSA measurements, with two out of four kinematic bins showing preliminary agreement in shape with theoretical values. Again, the errors are significant due to the contributions from the nuclear background. To support these conclusions, a further study was done, which takes into account an estimate of the asymmetries with the full available dataset (this thesis is based only on data taken in the summer set; at the time of writing processing was still being conducted for the final two datasets), as well as an estimate including additional future experiment days that were awarded in July 2024. Additional work was done on a secondary project exploring the feasibility of measuring TCS at the upcoming Electron Ion Collider, supporting the design proposal for the detector for the first interaction region and giving a positive outlook for the future of these types of measurements beyond JLab.

Gates, Kayleigh [Univ. of Glasgow, Scotland (Unite↗

DOE OSTI2026

Synthesizing land use and demographic change in Southeast Asia’s smaller urbanized areas from 2000–2015

The majority of the human population now reside in urban areas today. The United Nations estimates that nearly half of all urban dwellers currently live in cities smaller than 500 000 persons and the majority of future urban growth will take place in Asia and Africa, likely in these smaller urban areas, not mega cities. Thus, understanding the factors that influence urban demographic trajectories in small urban areas is critical to address sustainable and equitable policy initiatives related to food security, changing climate hazard exposure, and economic opportunities. Here we focus on Southeast Asia—a region historically characterized by lower urban population proportions, yet with a rapidly shifting dynamic demographic—to examine correlates of demographic change among smaller cities. We combine two open-source satellite-informed datasets: GHS urban center database (2015) and age-sex gridded data from WorldPop to calculate socio-demographic characteristics to model drivers of change in annualized urban population growth from 2000–2015 for 505 urbanized places. We find a general pattern of decreasing dependency ratios as city-size increases for most urban areas in Southeast Asia. Higher rates of growth and more variation is observed for smaller cities—those with fewer than 300 000 persons, the lowest population limit for UN data on urbanization. When examining covariates of urban population growth, we find significant statistical associations of population change in smaller urbanized areas with climatic, economic, and land cover/land use variables, but with country-specific variations. Characterizing a continuum of urban population development in the context of changing environmental, economic and climate conditions has been an important sustainable development and equity issue for decades, but newer analysis of city-level drivers allows for systematic inquiry thus moving beyond total population counts for policy-relevant insight.

Southeast Asia synthesis↗

DOE OSTI2019

Evaluation of global simulations of aerosol particle and cloud condensation nuclei number, with implications for cloud droplet formation

A total of 16 global chemistry transport models and general circulation models have participated in this study; 14 model shave been evaluated with regard to their ability to reproduce the near-surface observed number concentration of aerosol particles and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN), as well as derived cloud droplet number concentration (CDNC). Model results for the period 2011–2015 are compared with aerosol measurements(aerosol particle number, CCN and aerosol particle composition in the submicron fraction) from nine surface stations located in Europe and Japan.The evaluation focuses on the ability of models to simulate the average across time state in diverse environments and on the seasonal andshort-term variability in the aerosol properties. There is no single model that systematically performs best across all environments represented by the observations. Models tend to underestimate the observed aerosol particle and CCN number concentrations, with average normalized mean bias (NMB) of all models and for all stations, where dataare available, of –24% and –35% for particles with dry diameters <50 and <120 nm, as well as –36% and –34% for CCNat supersaturations of 0.2% and 1.0%, respectively. Yet, they seem to behave differently for particles activating at very low supersaturations (<0.1%) than at higher ones. A total of 15 models have been used to produce ensemble annual median distributions of relevant parameters. The model diversity (defined as the ratio of standard deviation to mean) is up to about 3 for simulated N 3 (number concentration of particles with dry diameters larger than 3 nm) and up to about 1 for simulated CCN in the extra-polar regions. A global mean reduction of a factor of about 2 is found in the model diversity for CCN at a supersaturation of 0.2% (CCN 0.2 ) compared to that for N 3 , maximizing over regions where new particle formation is important. An additional model has been used to investigate potential causes of model diversity in CCN and bias compared to the observations by performing a perturbed parameter ensemble (PPE) accounting for uncertainties in 26 aerosol-related model input parameters. This PPE suggests that biogenic secondary organic aerosol formation and the hygroscopic properties of the organic material are likely to be the major sources of CCN uncertainty in summer, with dry deposition and cloud processing being dominant in winter. Models capture the relative amplitude of the seasonal variability of the aerosol particle number concentration for all studied particle sizes with available observations (dry diameters larger than 50, 80 and 120 nm). The short-term persistence time (on the order of a few days) of CCN concentrations, which is a measure of aerosol dynamic behavior in the models, is underestimated o naverage by the models by 40% during winter and 20% in summer. In contrast to the large spread in simulated aerosol particle and CCN number concentrations, the CDNC derived from simulated CCN spectra is less diverse and in better agreement with CDNC estimates consistently derived from the observations (average NMB –13% and –22% for updraft velocities 0.3 and 0.6m s –1 , respectively). In addition, simulated CDNC is in slightly better agreement with observationally derived values at lower than at higher updraft velocities (index of agreement 0.64 vs. 0.65). The reduced spread of CDNC compared to that of CCN is attributed to the sublinear response of CDNC to aerosol particle number variations and the negative correlation between the sensitivities of CDNC to aerosol particle number concentration( ∂ N d / ∂ N a ) and to updraft velocity ( ∂ N d / ∂ w ). Overall, we find that while CCN is controlled by both aerosol particle number and composition, CDNC is sensitive to CCN at low and moderate CCN concentrations and to the updraft velocity when CCN levels are high. Discrepancies are found in sensitivities ∂ N d / ∂ N a and ∂ N d / ∂ w ; models may be predisposed to be too“aerosol sensitive” or “aerosol insensitive” in aerosol–cloud–climate interaction studies, even if they may capture average droplet numbers well.This is a subtle but profound finding that only the sensitivities can clearly reveal and may explain inter-model biases on the aerosol indirect effect.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗