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DOE OSTI2021

Resource selection functions based on hierarchical generalized additive models provide new insights into individual animal variation and species distributions

Habitat selection studies are designed to generate predictions of species distributions or inference regarding general habitat associations and individual variation in habitat use. Such studies frequently involve either individually indexed locations gathered across limited spatial extents and analyzed using resource selection functions (RSFs) or spatially extensive locational data without individual resolution typically analyzed using species distribution models. Both analytical methodologies have certain desirable features, but analyses that combine individual- and population-level inference with flexible non-linear functions may provide improved predictions while accounting for individual variation. Here, we describe how RSFs can be fit using hierarchical generalized additive models (HGAMs) using widely available software, providing a means to explore individual variation in habitat associations and to generate species distribution maps. We used GPS tracking data from golden eagles Aquila chrysaetos from across eastern North America with four environmental predictors to generate monthly distribution models. We considered three model structures that assumed different amounts of individual variation in the functional relationship between predictors and habitat use and used k-fold cross-validation to compare model performance. Models accounting for individual variability in shape and smoothness of functional responses performed best. Eagles exhibited the least amount of individual variation in response to land cover variables during winter months, with most individuals more closely adhering to the population-level trend. During the summer months, eagles exhibited more substantial individual variation in shape and smoothness of the functional relationships, suggesting some need to account for individual variation in eagle habitat use for both inferential and predictive purposes, during this time of year. Because they allow users to blend flexible functions with random effects structures and are well-supported by a variety of software platforms, we believe that HGAMs provide a useful addition to the suite of analyses used for modeling habitat associations or predicting species distributions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2017

Decisive role of wriggling vibrations in the formation of angular and spin distributions of products originating from binary and ternary fission of oriented nuclei

It is shown that the multiplicities and angular and energy distributions of neutrons and photons evaporated from thermalized fragments originating from the spontaneous and low-energy induced fission of nuclei, the relative yields of ground and isomeric states of final fragments, and the features of delayed neutrons emitted upon the beta decay of the above fragments can successfully be described by employing nonequilibrium distributions of spins and relative orbital angular momenta of fission fragments formed in the vicinity of the scission point for the fissile nucleus being studied. It is also shown that these distributions, which are characterized by large mean values of the spins and orbital angular momenta directed orthogonally to the symmetry axis of the fissioning nucleus are successfully constructed upon simultaneously taking into account zero-mode transverse wriggling and bending vibrations of a fissile compound nucleus in the vicinity of its scission point, the wriggling vibrations being dominant. It is confirmed that the zero-mode wriggling vibrations considered immediately above are directly involved in the formation of the angular distributions of fragments originating from the spontaneous and low-energy fission of nuclei. This makes it possible to describe successfully such distributions for photofission fragments.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Measurement of ion beam angular distribution at different helium gas pressures in a plasma focus device by large-area polycarbonate detectors

The paper presents an experimental study and analysis of full helium ion density angular distributions in a 4-kJ plasma focus device (PFD) at pressures of 10, 15, 25, and 30 mbar using large-area polycarbonate track detectors (PCTDs) (15-cm etchable diameter) processed by 50-Hz-HV electrochemical etching (ECE). Helium ion track distributions at different pressures, in particular, at the main axis of the PFD are presented. Maximum ion track density of ~4.4 × 10{sup 4} tracks/cm{sup 2} was obtained in the PCTD placed 6 cm from the anode. The ion distributions for all pressures applied are ring-shaped, which is possibly due to the hollow cylindrical copper anode used. The large-area PCTD processed by ECE proves, at the present state-of-theart, a superior method for direct observation and analysis of ion distributions at a glance with minimum efforts and time. Some observations of the ion density distributions at different pressures are reported and discussed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Distributionally Robust Partially Observable Markov Decision Process with Moment-Based Ambiguity

In this paper, we consider a distributionally robust partially observable Markov decision process (DR-POMDP), where the distribution of the transition-observation probabilities is unknown at the beginning of each decision period, but their realizations can be inferred using side information at the end of each period after an action being taken. We build an ambiguity set of the joint distribution using bounded moments via conic constraints and seek an optimal policy to maximize the worst-case (minimum) reward for any distribution in the set. We show that the value function of DR-POMDP is piecewise linear convex with respect to the belief state and propose a heuristic search value iteration method for obtaining lower and upper bounds of the value function. We conduct numerical studies and demonstrate the computational performance of our approach via testing instances of a dynamic epidemic control problem. Our results show that DR-POMDP can produce more robust policies under misspecified distributions of transition-observation probabilities as compared to POMDP but has less costly solutions than robust POMDP. The DR-POMDP policies are also insensitive to varying parameter in the ambiguity set and to noise added to the true transition-observation probability values obtained at the end of each decision period.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Near-Optimal Distributed Linear-Quadratic Regulator for Networked Systems

This paper studies the trade-off between the degree of decentralization and the performance of a distributed controller in a linear-quadratic control setting. We study a system of interconnected agents over a graph and a distributed controller, called k-distributed control, which lets the agents make control decisions based on the state information within distance k on the underlying graph. This controller can tune its degree of decentralization using the parameter k and thus allows a characterization of the relationship between decentralization and performance. We show that under mild assumptions, including stabilizability, detectability, and a subexponentially growing graph condition, the performance difference between k-distributed control and centralized optimal control becomes exponentially small in k. Finally, this result reveals that distributed control can achieve near-optimal performance with a moderate degree of decentralization, and thus it is an effective controller architecture for large-scale networked systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2019

Analytical Solutions for Precipitation Size Distributions at Steady State

Analytical solutions are derived for the steady-state size distributions of precipitating rain and snow particles assuming growth via collection of suspended cloud particles. Application of the Liouville equation to the transfer of precipitating mass through size bins in a “cascade” yields a characteristic gamma distribution with a Marshall–Palmer exponential tail with respect to particle diameter. For rain, the principle parameters controlling size distribution shape are cloud droplet liquid water path and cloud updraft speed. Stronger updrafts lead to greater concentrations of large precipitating drops and a peak in the size distribution. The solutions provide a means for relating size distributions measured in the air or on the ground to cloud bulk microphysical and dynamic properties.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Power distribution estimation method for SMR using ex-core detectors: experimental demonstration by plural control rod patterns at KUCA

The power distribution estimation method based on the ex-core detectors, or PHOEBE, was demonstrated at Kyoto University Critical Assembly, KUCA. Generally, core monitoring systems use in-core neutron detectors. Since inside the core is a harsh environment, the maintainability and reliability of the detectors are deteriorated. On the other hand, the environment outside the core is milder: core monitoring by the ex-core detectors improves the maintainability and reliability especially for small modular reactors and micro-reactors. However, neutron information from the inner region of the core is lost at the ex-core detectors. To recover the information, the authors proposed to utilize the power correlation between the fuel regions. PHOEBE concept was demonstrated at KUCA with distorted power distributions simulated by control rod patterns. The relative power distribution estimated by PHOEBE agreed with that calculated by Monte Carlo simulation code MVP. PHOEBE approximately reproduced the trend of the distorted power distributions calculated by MVP code. By contrast, the case of without power correlation between fuel regions produced significant different power distributions. Therefore, the advantage of considering the power correlation between fuel regions was also demonstrated. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Loss Factors for Small Distributed Wind Turbines Based on Field Data in the United States

While wind energy production loss due to unavailability, environmental impacts, curtailment, and other causes has been studied and characterized at the utility-scale wind farm level, observation-based characterization of project loss is lacking for distributed wind energy, particularly for projects involving small wind turbines. Contemporary tools and research that support pre-construction distributed wind energy characterization present a wide range of default loss factors to convert gross energy estimates to net: 7-18%. We hypothesize that we can use generation observations from operational distributed wind projects to develop more accurate representations of loss. Using a density-based filtering technique on distributed wind power generation timeseries, we determine periods of typical performance and use them with regression algorithms in a measure-correlate-predict fashion to simulate what the generation would have been during periods of atypical or unreported performance. From there, the actual versus predicted generation leads to the establishment of observation-informed loss factors (median = 17%) for small, single turbine installation distributed wind projects.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2017

Challenges in reducing the computational time of QSTS simulations for distribution system analysis.

The rapid increase in penetration of distributed energy resources on the electric power distribution system has created a need for more comprehensive interconnection modelling and impact analysis. Unlike conventional scenario - based studies , quasi - static time - series (QSTS) simulation s can realistically model time - dependent voltage controllers and the diversity of potential impacts that can occur at different times of year . However, to accurately model a distribution system with all its controllable devices, a yearlong simulation at 1 - second resolution is often required , which could take conventional computers a computational time of 10 to 120 hours when an actual unbalanced distribution feeder is modeled . This computational burden is a clear l imitation to the adoption of QSTS simulation s in interconnection studies and for determining optimal control solutions for utility operations . Our ongoing research to improve the speed of QSTS simulation has revealed many unique aspects of distribution system modelling and sequential power flow analysis that make fast QSTS a very difficult problem to solve. In this report , the most relevant challenges in reducing the computational time of QSTS simulations are presented: number of power flows to solve, circuit complexity, time dependence between time steps, multiple valid power flow solutions, controllable element interactions, and extensive accurate simulation analysis.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2017

Robust metal-ceramic coaxial cable sensors for distributed temperature monitoring in fossil energy power systems

The project aims to develop a new type of low cost, robust metal-ceramic coaxial cable (MCCC) Fabry-Pérot interferometer (FPI) sensor and demonstrate the capability of cascading a series of FPI sensing points in a single MCCC for real-time distributed monitoring of temperature up to 1000°C. The technical accomplishments of this project include: (i) development of metal and ceramic materials for fabricating the MCCC suitable for use in high temperature (up to 1000oC) fossil fuel, (ii) design, construction and test of single point MCCC-FPI sensors for high temperature measurement at deviation within ±2.7%, (iv) demonstration of the MCCC-FPI sensors for real-time distributed temperature measurement with desired sensitivity, spatial resolution, stability, and response speed that are important to practical applications, and (v) development of a novel MCCC-FPI sensor platform for measuring high frequency dielectric constants for solids and liquids as function of temperature. Single point MCCC-FPI sensors are fabricated based on the FPI parameters, including the relationship between reflector width and reflectance as well as the inter-reflector distance for a FPI, estimated by model calculations. MCCC-FPI sensors have been made using insulators of packed ceramic powders, ceramic tubes, and air or inert gases; outer conductors of various metal tubes; inner conductors of wires of the same metal materials as the tubes used; and reflectors of dense ceramic discs, casted ceramic discs and air gaps. The insulator, conductor and reflector materials are investigated for their thermal, chemical, and structural stabilities under temperatures up to 1000°C in simulated coal-derived syngas. Based on the experimental findings, alumina tube and discs, and stainless steel tube and wire are selected for reflector, insulator and outer and inner conductors, respectively. Air or inert gases are found to be useful for reflectors (in the form of narrow groves) or insulators (in the form of empty chamber cavity between ceramic discs) in construction of MCCC-FPI sensors. Single point MCCC-FPI sensors have been fabricated using stainless steel as conductors, dense α-alumina tubes as dielectric insulators, and two air gaps in the insulator as reflectors. The MCCC-FPI sensor with air gap reflectors has been demonstrated for measuring temperature between 200 and 500°C using microwave as sensing signal in a frequency range of 2 – 8 GHz. The temperature measurement is achieved by monitoring the frequency shift (Δƒ) of a selected resonant peak of the microwave interferogram reflected from the pair of air gap reflectors. The MCCC-FPI sensor exhibited excellent linear temperature-dependence for Δƒ, good accuracy (deviation ±2.7%), and reasonable response speed (<180 s for stabilization). Thermal drifting of the sensing signal was also rather minimal for the MCCC-FPI sensors after operating for more than one week at around 500oC. MCCC-FPI sensors with each containing 2 or 3 pairs of reflectors (i.e. 2 or 3 FPIs in a single cable) have been fabricated and demonstrated for distributed temperature measurement between 250 and 550°C in a microwave frequency range of 3-6 GHz. The measurement is achieved by monitoring the frequency shift of a selected resonant peak of the reflected microwave interferogram, which is obtained by the join-time-domain signal processing method. The results demonstrate that the FPI sensing points in both the three-point and two-point MCCC sensors can measure distributed high temperature with good reproducibility and consistency in multiple runs of measurement tests. The sensor signal displays excellent linear dependence between temperature and the corresponding frequency shift. The 2-point and 3-point MCCC-FPI sensors also exhibit fast response to environmental temperature changes. A three-point MCCC-FPI sensor has been further examined for temperature measurement up to 1000°C for multiple heating-cooling cycles and the results prove that the sensor is suitable for distributed temperature measurement up to 1000°C. MCCC-FPI sensors with more than 4 FPIs point in a single line are made in two structures: the first uses alumina tube as insulation and air gaps as reflectors; and the second uses air chamber as insulation and complete circular alumina discs (2 mm-thick) as reflectors. MCCC-FPIs in neither of the two structures are able to exceed four FPIs in a cable because the reflections from the FPIs are too strong for the microwave to transmit through >4 FPIs over a long distance. Specially shaped alumina discs made by removing parts of the circular discs are found to decrease the microwave reflectance because of reduced reflection areas. However, the smallest reflectance (in terms of percentage of the incident signal) obtained in this work is as high as 7.5%, which is still too large to construct more than 10 FPIs in a single MCCC. Nevertheless, the feasibility of the proposed multipoint MCCC-FPI has been demonstrated using air insulation and 2 mm-thick low-ε r Teflon discs as reflectors on a 2 m-long cable containing 10 FPIs (with reflectance <5% on each FPI). These results indicate that the contrast of dielectric constant between the insulation and reflector has a more significant impact on the reflectance. Thus, future research efforts should also be directed to developing ceramic materials (dense or porous) with low dielectric constant values which, when used as insulation or reflector, can realize large numbers of FPIs in a single cable over a long distance. To assist the development of high temperature dielectric materials, a novel MCCC-FPI sensor platform is developed and successfully demonstrated for measuring high frequency dielectric constants for fluids, packed dielectric solids, and ceramic tube materials and determining ε r dependencies on temperature and chemical composition, etc..

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2017

The Distributed Geothermal Market Demand Model (dGeo): Documentation

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) developed the Distributed Geothermal Market Demand Model (dGeo) as a tool to explore the potential role of geothermal distributed energy resources (DERs) in meeting thermal energy demands in the United States. The dGeo model simulates the potential for deployment of geothermal DERs in the residential and commercial sectors of the continental United States for two specific technologies: ground-source heat pumps (GHP) and geothermal direct use (DU) for district heating. To quantify the opportunity space for these technologies, dGeo leverages a highly resolved geospatial database and robust bottom-up, agent-based modeling framework. This design is consistent with others in the family of Distributed Generation Market Demand models (dGen; Sigrin et al. 2016), including the Distributed Solar Market Demand (dSolar) and Distributed Wind Market Demand (dWind) models. dGeo is intended to serve as a long-term scenario-modeling tool. It has the capability to simulate the technical potential, economic potential, market potential, and technology deployment of GHP and DU through the year 2050 under a variety of user-defined input scenarios. Through these capabilities, dGeo can provide substantial analytical value to various stakeholders interested in exploring the effects of various techno-economic, macroeconomic, financial, and policy factors related to the opportunity for GHP and DU in the United States. This report documents the dGeo modeling design, methodology, assumptions, and capabilities.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2018

Distribution System V1G PEV Charging Impacts Report

Plug-in Electric Vehicles (PEVs) are a clean form of transportation that will require a new control paradigm between the energy supply and the transportation sectors as PEV adoption continues to grow. Meeting the projected PEV energy demands will require implementing PEV / grid integration methods beyond charging PEVs at incentivized times. MATLAB was used to simulate the daily vehicle trip demands and charging processes of hundreds of PEVs. The National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) data was used as the source of vehicle travel data, and EV Project provided measured PEV charging data to calibrate the PEV population models. GridLAB-D analyses used a prototypical feeder and PEV population models to evaluate residential PEV V1G (unidirectional) charging in multiple locations, V1G PEV distribution feeder impacts, Time-Of-Use (TOU) rate effects on PEV charging, and charging control methods. The key findings were: optimized charging using California TOU rates could result in savings of over $20 per month for non-TOU program participants; non-TOU participants consume 30-40% of PEV charging energy; about 50% of PEV drivers have their transportation fuel bill reduced by 50 dollars per month; 6.6kW charging will cause distribution transformer power limits to be exceeded on prototypical feeders if the household PEV adoption rate reaches 0.75 PEVs per home; distribution feeder loading is proportional to PEV charging rate; a method was devised to remotely identify when residential transformer overloads occur using changes in PEV charging rate; and the low-cost TOU period is composed of a distribution of PEVs needing small, medium and larger energy needs that can be more effectively shifted as groups to mitigate the TOU peak power and enable a higher PEV adoption rate per household without overloading distribution transformers.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2021

Distributed Wind Research Program Workshop Report

The U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Wind Energy Technologies Office (WETO) Distributed Wind Research Program seeks to enable wind technology as an affordable, accessible, and compatible distributed energy resource (DER) option for individuals, businesses, and communities. WETO’s Distributed Wind Research Program includes national laboratory projects and partnerships with industry and academia. WETO organized the Distributed Wind Research Program Workshop to bring together laboratory and industry project stakeholders to achieve the following objectives: Educate - Create a shared high-level understanding for the breadth of WETO’s distributed wind research Collaborate - Facilitate coordination and collaboration between funding recipients to leverage resources Innovate - Understand future research challenges and opportunities. This workshop convened over 80 participants from various organizations. Workshop participants were asked for their individual feedback based on their own expertise and experience.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Opportunities and Challenges to Capturing Distributed Battery Value via Retail Utility Rates and Programs

Distributed battery deployment is increasing with advanced metering, control, and communication technologies, leaving electric utilities with an under-utilized, flexible grid resource in aggregate. Rates can reflect locational and temporal prices while utility incentive-based programs allow DERs to provide direct grid services. However, utilities must balance accurately reflecting dynamic grid conditions versus simple and feasible design that encourages customer participation. Currently, most rates and incentive-based programs are simple, but as penetration of DER and advanced controls increase, dynamic designs could become prevalent. Utilities could encourage providing multiple services to optimize distributed battery dispatch and value streams, however, challenges persist when stacking services across distribution and bulk systems. A DER committed to multiple discrete services concurrently necessitates coordination between operators and a clear hierarchy of commitments. One way to address this is to separate commitments by time or capacity. For services that follow cyclic, predictable patterns, or those that are peak driven with predictability, an operator could ensure sufficient state of charge for participation, leaving time where a distributed battery could otherwise provide different services by segmenting participation temporally. To provide continuous or unexpected services, a battery operator may use state of charge management to reserve some percentage of the battery and segment participation by capacity. Macroeconomic trends, load patterns, generation profiles, and grid configurations drive variation in value and the subsequent implications for utility offerings and how a customer might participate. As distributed battery adoption increases, both regulators and utilities will need to ensure no adverse grid impacts and encourage provision of societal value beyond the customer domain.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2022

Robust Carbon Dioxide Plume Imaging Using Joint Tomographic Inversion of Seismic Onset Time and Distributed Pressure and Temperature Measurements (Final Report)

We develop and demonstrate rapid and cost-effective methodologies for spatiotemporal tracking of CO2 plumes during geologic sequestration using joint inversion of seismic data and distributed pressure and temperature measurements. Key elements of our methodology are: (a) a computationally efficient approach to pressure and temperature propagation, (b) analysis of time lapse seismic data using a novel ‘seismic onset time’ approach to detect fluid front propagation, and (c) data assimilation and uncertainty assessment via joint inversion of pressure, temperature and time lapse seismic data, and (d) validating the numerical tomographic inversion using a CO2 injection demonstration projects, specifically data collected from the from the Petra Nova Parish Holdings CCUS project in the West Ranch Field, Texas and the Chester-16 reef CO2 injection site in Northern Michigan which is part of the DOE Midwestern Carbon Sequestration Project. The research team is led by Texas A&M University and includes Battelle as a subcontractor with support from Shell, Anadarko, Chevron and JX Nippon. A carbon dioxide (CO2) water-alternating-gas (WAG) pilot was conducted to gain insights into tertiary oil recovery potential via CO2 flood in the West Ranch Field as part of the Petra Nova project, the world’s largest post-combustion CO2 capture and utilization initiative. With a fluvial formation geology and large contrasts in permeability, this is a challenging and novel application of CO2 enhanced oil recovery (EOR). We build a predictive dynamic model of the subsurface that incorporates the multiphase and compositional data acquired during the pilot operation. The calibrated model is used for the carbon dioxide plume imaging. The study began with an initialization of the pilot sector model extracted from a calibrated full-field model. The pilot model calibration follows a two-step hierarchical workflow. First, we performed a large-scale update of the permeability distribution by integrating available bottomhole pressure and multiphase production data. In the second step, local permeability field is fine-tuned using a streamline-based method to match CO2 breakthrough times at the producers. The predictive capability of the calibrated model was verified through two blind validation tests: (1) the model showed good agreement with saturation logs acquired at two observation wells; and (2) the model reproduced the CO2 recovery as a fraction of the injected CO2. The use of seismic onset times has shown great promise for integrating near-continuous seismic surveys for updating geologic models. In this study, we analyze the impact of seismic survey frequency on the onset time approach aiming to extend the application of onset time to infrequent seismic surveys. In addition, we quantitatively examine the nonlinearity of the onset time method and compare it to the commonly used amplitude inversion method. We carry out a sensitivity analysis of seismic survey frequency based on the complete seismic survey data (over 175 surveys) of steam injection in a heavy oil reservoir (Peace River Unit) in Canada. Our results show that an adequate onset time map can be obtained from the infrequent seismic surveys by interpolation between seismic surveys as long as there is no change in the dominant underlying physics between the successive surveys. The study also shows that nonlinearity of the onset time method can be -smaller than that of the amplitude inversion method by several orders of magnitude. Application to the Brugge benchmark case shows that the onset time method obtains comparable permeability update as the traditional seismic amplitude inversion method with faster computation and improved convergence characteristics. We extend the streamline-based data integration approach to incorporate distributed temperature sensor (DTS) data using the concept of thermal tracer travel time. Then, a hierarchical workflow composed of evolutionary and streamline methods is employed to jointly history match the DTS and pressure data. Finally, CO2 saturation and streamline maps are used to visualize the CO2 plume movement during the sequestration process. The hierarchical workflow is applied to a carbon sequestration project in a carbonate reef reservoir within the Northern Niagaran Pinnacle Reef Trend in Michigan, USA. The monitoring data set consists of distributed temperature sensing (DTS) data acquired at the injection well and a monitoring well, flowing bottom-hole pressure data at the injection well, and time-lapse pressure measurements at several locations along the monitoring well. The history matching results indicate that the CO2 movement is mostly restricted to the intended zones of injection which is consistent with an independent warm-back analysis of the temperature data. In addition to employing simulation models and inverse methods for CO2 plume imaging, we also initialized a data-driven technology for detecting inter-well connectivity based on production and pressure data. Our machine-learning framework is built on the statistical recurrent unit (SRU) model and interprets well-based injection/production data into inter-well connectivity without relying on a geologic model. We test it on synthetic and field-scale CO2 EOR projects utilizing the water-alternating-gas (WAG) process. The validation of the proposed data-driven inter-well connectivity assessment is performed using synthetic data from simulation models where inter-well connectivity can be easily measured using the streamline-based flux allocation. The SRU model is shown to offer excellent prediction performance on the synthetic case. Despite significant measurement noise and frequent well shut-ins imposed in the field-scale case, the SRU model offers good prediction accuracy, the overall relative error of the phase production rates at most producers ranges from 10% to 30%. It is shown that the dominant connections identified by the data-driven method and streamline method are in close agreement. Texas A&M University, the lead organization in the project, was primarily responsible for the development of tomographic approaches for CO2 plume mapping in conjunction with distributed pressure, temperature and seismic onset time data. Battelle, as a subcontractor, was primarily responsible for the development of analytical and empirical methods for analyzing transient injection rate and pressure data from point/line sources such as injection and monitoring wells. An additional area of emphasis for Battelle was the use of machine learning for such tasks as inferring reservoir connectivity information from injection-production data, and identifying variable importance for machine learning-based proxy models developed from full-physics simulations. The two organizations also collaborated on the application of the tomographic inversion methodology for a field data set.

02 PETROLEUM↗

DOE OSTI2025

DistOPF: Advanced Solutions for Distribution Optimal Power Flow Analysis - DistOPF v0.2 Documentation

To achieve an affordable and reliable energy system, research on power distribution system is often focused on integration of distributed generators, energy storage solution, EV charging, smart meters, and other advanced assets that may benefit from or require more advanced control and optimization techniques. Despite this focus on advanced distribution system topics, early researchers and grid scientists often start from scratch when developing optimization programs for power distribution systems. This report introduces DistOPF, a Python package that consolidates years of research into a versatile and modular tool. DistOPF provides researchers with essential capabilities to solve distribution system Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problems using standard network models. Additionally, it offers a platform to benchmark both new and existing algorithms against established test systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2019

Distribution System State Estimation in the Presence of High Solar Penetration

In recent years, the low-to-medium voltage distribution networks are experiencing rising levels of distributed energy resources, including renewable generation, along with improved sensing, communication and automation infrastructure. As such, state estimation methods for distribution systems are becoming increasingly relevant as a means to enable better control strategies that can both leverage the benefits and mitigate the risks associated with high penetration of variable and uncertain distributed generation resources. Primary challenges of this problem include modeling complexities (nonlinear non-convex power-flow equations), limited availability of sensor measurements, and high penetration of uncertain renewable generation. This paper formulates the distribution system state estimation as a nonlinear weighted least squares problem, based on sensor measurements as well as forecasts data (both load and generation). We investigate the sensitivity of state estimator accuracy to (load/generation) forecast uncertainties, sensor accuracy, and sensor coverage levels.

Distribution system state estimation, nonlinear op↗

DOE OSTI2023

A Modeling Toolkit for Comparing AC and DC Electrical Distribution Efficiency in Buildings

Recently, there has been considerable research interest in the potential for DC distribution systems in buildings instead of the traditional AC distribution systems. Due to the need for performing power conversions between DC and AC electricity, DC distribution may provide electrical efficiency advantages in some systems. To support comparative evaluations of AC-only, DC-only, and hybrid AC/DC distribution systems in buildings, a new modeling toolkit called the Building Electrical Efficiency Analysis Model (BEEAM) was developed and is described in this paper. To account for harmonics in currents or voltages arising from nonlinear devices, the toolkit implements harmonic power flow, along with nonlinear device behavioral descriptions derived from empirical measurements. This paper describes the framework, network equations, device representations, and an implementation of the toolkit in an open source software package, including a component library and graphical interface for creating circuits. Simulations of electrical behavior and device and system efficiencies using the toolkit are compared with experimental measurements of a small office environment in a variety of operating and load configurations. A detailed analysis of uncertainty estimation is also provided. Key findings were that a comparison of predicted versus measured efficiencies and power losses in the validation testbed using the initial toolkit implementation predicted device- and system-level efficiencies with reasonably good accuracy under both balanced and unbalanced AC scenarios. An uncertainty analysis also revealed that the maximum estimated error for system efficiency across all scenarios was 3%, and measured and modeled system efficiency agreed within the experimental uncertainty in approximately half of the scenarios. Based on the correspondence between simulation and measurement, the toolkit is proposed by the authors as a potentially useful tool for comparing efficiency in AC, DC, and hybrid AC/DC distribution systems in buildings.

DC distribution↗