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DOE OSTI2022

Inferring small-sample-reactivity worth from oscillation experiment with auto-corrected local flux

To estimate reactivity changes as a function of time from the signal of detectors count rates, one usually uses point kinetic equations. However, when detectors are located inside the core, it is often necessary to compute a correction factor to account for the flux-shape deformation (i.e. the change of detector efficiency that may have been induced by neutron absorbers movements). Various simulation methods have been developed depending on transients observed. They range from the resolution of static equations up to full-time-dependent neutron transport in 3D. However, those methods require high computational-cost calculations of local reaction rates that rely on nuclear data evaluations. Therefore, a 'measured' reactivity is never determined through pure measurements. Taking advantage of the known oscillation movement of a small sample at the center of the MINERVE reactor, the innovative algorithm presented in this paper derives the correction factor needed to get no time drift on reactivity steps. Derived correction factors are in good agreement with those obtained independently with TRIPOLI-4 through sensitivity analysis. Low sensitivity to the sample composition and moderate sensitivity to the detectors position reinforce the reliability of those results. This application paves the way to almost pure nuclear data reactivity measurements. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Comparative Critical Mass Calculations for NNL and ENDF/B-VIII.0 Zirconium Hydride Thermal Neutron Scattering Laws

Zirconium hydride (ZrH x ) is a moderator material for TRIGA reactors and historical space reactor systems, such as SNAP-10A. Thermal neutron scattering laws (TSL) for two phases of this material, δ and ε, have been previously evaluated by Naval Nuclear Laboratory (NNL) and submitted to the National Nuclear Data Center (NNDC) for inclusion in the US national ENDF/B-VIII.1 nuclear data library. In contrast to the current ENDF/B-VIII.0 TSL evaluations, which consider only a single phase, the new evaluations are derived from separate ab initio calculations for both phases and include coherent elastic effects of the zirconium sublattice. To estimate the impact of these changes to the TSL evaluation of this material, comparative critical mass calculations were performed with MC21 for homogenous mixtures of high- enriched uranium (HEU) and ZrH x in bare and water reflected sphere configurations. These calculations yield an impact on the estimated critical mass as a function of 235 U loading density with maximum differences as large as 1% - 5% for over-moderated thermal spectrum systems. Consequently, the NNL TSL evaluations are anticipated to have a small impact on criticality calculations of thermal reactor systems regardless of the material phase. Nevertheless, characteristic differences exist in the predicted thermal spectra as function of energy for the two sets of TSL evaluations, which are attributed to difference in the underlying phonon density of states of hydrogen bound in ZrH x .

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Update of the Nuclear Criticality Slide Rule Calculations: Plutonium systems – Delayed Fission Gamma

IRSN (France), LLNL (USA) and ORNL (USA) began a long-term collaboration effort in 2015 to update the nuclear criticality Slide Rule for the emergency response to a nuclear criticality accident. The Slide Rule permits the estimation of neutron and gamma dose rates and integrated doses based upon estimated fission yields, as a function of distance from the fission source, and time after criticality accidents for different critical systems. This paper presents results from the fourth phase of the current update of the Slide Rule project, in which delayed fission-product gamma (DFG) dose rates of unreflected plutonium critical systems were compared by several modern 3D radiation transport codes (MCNP, COG, SCALE), using updated flux-to-dose conversion factors. Dose rates are calculated for fissile material at five moderation ratios (H/Pu), at 1 m above the ground as a function of distance (between 30 cm and 1,200 m) from the external surface of the source to the center of the detector, and for periods between 1 s and 1,000 min after the critical instantaneous event. Further efforts have been devoted to the determination of the delayed gamma source, by comparing the time-dependent energy spectra obtained from several methods. Overall, DFG dose rates calculated by each participant led to consistent results. Extra effort is under way to identify the cause of the remaining differences, by comparing precisely the gamma source, and particularly nuclides inventories.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Quantifying the inhibitory impact of soluble phenolics on anaerobic carbon mineralization in a thawing permafrost peatland

The mechanisms controlling the extraordinarily slow carbon (C) mineralization rates characteristic of Sphagnum -rich peatlands (“bogs”) are not fully understood, despite decades of research on this topic. Soluble phenolic compounds have been invoked as potentially significant contributors to bog peat recalcitrance due to their affinity to slow microbial metabolism and cell growth. Despite this potentially significant role, the effects of soluble phenolic compounds on bog peat C mineralization remain unclear. We analyzed this effect by manipulating the concentration of free soluble phenolics in anaerobic bog and fen peat incubations using water-soluble polyvinylpyrrolidone (“PVP”), a compound that binds with and inactivates phenolics, preventing phenolic-enzyme interactions. CO 2 and CH 4 production rates (end-products of anaerobic C mineralization) generally correlated positively with PVP concentration following Michaelis-Menten (M.M.) saturation functions. Using M.M. parameters, we estimated that the extent to which phenolics inhibit anaerobic CO 2 production was significantly higher in the bog—62 ± 16%—than the fen—14 ± 4%. This difference was found to be more substantial with regards to methane production—wherein phenolic inhibition for the bog was estimated at 54 ± 19%, while the fen demonstrated no apparent inhibition. Consistent with this habitat difference, we observed significantly higher soluble phenolic content in bog vs. fen pore-water. Together, these findings suggest that soluble phenolics could contribute to bogs’ extraordinary recalcitrance and high (relative to other peatland habitats) CO 2 :CH 4 production ratios.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2019

PTT System Design and Data Analysis for Improved Performance: Pulsed Thermal Tomography Nondestructive Examination of Additively Manufactured Reactor Materials and Components

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Potential Impacts of Water Application for Dust Suppression on Contaminant Transport in the Vadose Zone

Water is often used when there is the potential for air and water pollution from dust traveling across the landscape or through the air. If water is used for dust suppression at the Hanford Site’s Central Plateau, infiltration of the dust-suppression water has the potential to provide a hydraulic driving force to further mobilize contaminants in the vadose zone and accelerate their arrival at the water table. The scope of this investigation is to use modeling analyses to estimate contaminant mobilization as a function of volume and rate of water addition, subsurface properties, and contaminant properties. Four sets of simulations were conducted to investigate the impact of water application for dust suppression on solute transport in the vadose zone of the Hanford Site 200 Area and each set consists of several simulation cases. In first two sets of investigations (i.e., 200E and 200W), typical geologic profiles for the Hanford 200 East and 200 West Areas were used and contaminants were assumed to reside in the middle of the domain within the finer 10- to 20-m-thick layers. The third set of simulations (i.e., BY) investigated the impact of water applied for dust suppression on NO3 transport below the BY Cribs. The fourth set of simulations (i.e., S7) investigated the impact of applied water on I 129 transport below the S7 Crib. The main findings are summarized below. For all four sets of investigations, the water for dust suppression creates water pulses at higher flux rates than the base case (i.e., no water application). As more water is applied, the peak aqueous flux rates are higher. The impact of the water pulses on solute transport is dependent on the distribution of the solute in the vadose zone. When the solute is not distributed over a wide vertical range within the soil profile, the solute pulse arrives at the groundwater much later, as in the 200 East and 200 West simulations. In these cases, a larger volume of water translates to slightly earlier arrival times for the solute peak (up to 7 years) but has little impact on the peak flux rate and hence little impact on the solute concentration in the groundwater. When the solutes are vertically distributed throughout the soil profile, as they are for the BY and S7 Cribs, the solute pulse arrives at the groundwater at nearly the same time as the water pulse, possibly because solute resides in nearly all of the profile and hence diffusion plays a minor role in solute transport. In these cases, the peak solute flux rate is much higher than the value of the corresponding base case, ranging from 12% to 167% for the BY Cribs and from 2.4% to 32.5% for the S7 Crib. Because the vadose water flux is only a small fraction (about 2% for the base case) of the groundwater flux rate, a higher solute flux rate because of applied water indicates a near proportionally higher solute concentration in the groundwater. Among the cases, the peak solute flux arrival time varies up to 100 years for BY Cribs and only 7 years for the S7 Crib. When the same amount of water is applied, the variation of water application rate has very little impact on solute transport entering the water table.

200 Area↗

DOE OSTI2019

First Annual Report on Pulsed Thermal Tomography Nondestructive Evaluation of Additively Manufactured Reactor Materials and Components: Pulsed Thermal Tomography Nondestructive Examination of Additively Manufactured Reactor Materials and Components

Additive manufacturing (AM, or 3D printing) for commercial nuclear energy applications is an emerging method for cost-efficient manufacturing aimed at replacing aging nuclear reactor parts and reducing costs for new construction. Because of the geometry of metallic structures of interest for nuclear applications, which consist of planar primitives with no symmetry of revolution, limited options are available for nondestructive evaluation (NDE), either during or post manufacturing. Known material flaws in AM include low-density regions consisting of non-sintered powder, which have to be detected to ensure the safety of long-term performance nuclear reactor components. As a solution to NDE of AM, we are developing pulsed thermal tomography (PTT) models and depth inversion algorithms for 3D imaging. PTT has many advantages because the method is non-contact and allows for in-service, NDE of AM nuclear reactor parts. By analyzing transients of surface temperature response due to internal thermal resistances, one can obtain 3D reconstructions of material effusivity using a unique inversion algorithm developed at Argonne. This report provides results of preliminary performance evaluation of PTT capability in detection of flaws in metallic structures, as well imaging complex geometry AM structures. Performance of PTT was investigated through modeling and experiments, Computer models of PTT were developed using COMSOL Heat Transfer module. Defects were modeled as cylindrical flat bottom holes (FBH), which is a common model of calibrated material flaws in thermal tomography experiments. Materials considered in this study include stainless steel 316 (SS316), stainless steel 304 (SS304), and Inconel 718. Theoretical analyses were conducted to validate inversion of simulated PTT data with COMSOL for a plate. Subsequently, 3D reconstructions were performed on COMSOL simulations for FBH, revealing a decrease in spatial resolution over depth due to thermal diffusion. The results of this study show that the performance of the inversion algorithm for detecting smaller defects depends strongly on the depth of the defect as well as the incident heat flux. The size of detectable defect was estimated by fitting a Gaussian function to surface temperature profile. The criteria for detectability was taken as 20mK noise equivalent temperature difference (NETD), which is currently the sensitivity limit of high-performance infrared cameras. It was determined through computer simulations that the smallest detectable FBH in SS316 has a 50µm diameter and is located 0.5mm below the plate surface. Preliminary experimental studies were performed to evaluate PTT performance in detecting calibrated flaws using metallic specimens with AM defects simulated as drilled-in FBH’s. High strength Stainless Steel 316 and Inconel 718 alloys were considered, as well as lower grade Stainless Steel 304, Nickel 200, and Hastelloy C276. Specimens investigated in this report consisted of approximately 1/4in-thick plates made out of these alloys using conventional manufacturing methods. The diameters of FBH’s varied from 1mm to 8mm, and their depths below the plate flat surface varied between 1mm and 6mm. The size of the smallest FBH was limited to 1mm because conventional mechanical drills were used for creating the holes. PTT imaging results have shown that 1mm-diameter FBH located 1mm and 2mm below the surface were detectable. Larger size FBH were detectable at greater depth. For example, 6mm-diameter FBH could be detected at 8mm depth. Image contrast varied slightly between the specimens, with the best reconstructions obtained in SS316 and C276 plates. Finally, PTT capability in imaging several AM structures fabricated from Inconel 718 (IN718) powder feedstock was investigated. The AM structures have complex geometry, but do not have calibrated internal defects. The objective is to determine PTT settings, such as the total integration time, for imaging of representative AM structures. A new FLIR X8500sc IR camera with higher spatial resolution (1280x1024 at 181Hz frame rate) was integrated into the PTT laboratory setup. Software tools were developed to ensure compatibility of new camera files with legacy effusivity reconstruction codes. The new camera was used to obtain 3-D reconstructions of AM IN718 nozzle plate and a particle filter plate. It was shown that PTT can scan through 2/3in-thick Inconel 718 plates in approximately 15s. Several modes of 3-D data visualization were explored, including using ImageJ and MATLAB software packages. The results demonstrate the capability of PTT in 3-D imaging of complex geometry AM structures. Intermediate results demonstrated in this report will be developed further to investigate detection of flaws in AM specimens.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Simple Acceptance Decisions and Acceptance Risk

Acceptance risk may be estimated using cumulative probability distribution functions applied to populations of measurands and test measurement values. “Simple acceptance” is a decision rule that sets the acceptance range of a test result equal to the tolerance range specification. While acceptance risk is comprised of both consumer risk and producer risk, this paper compares the effects of simple acceptance decision rules and guardbanding decision rules on consumer risk. Consumer risk is also known as the probability of false acceptance. The terms describe the risk of accepting test results as passing when the actual values exceed specification limits. False acceptance is only possible when the true value of a measurand is out of tolerance and the test result indicates that the measurand is within tolerance. Metrologists generally have some information about the test uncertainty regarding a specific acceptance test result. Along with a general lack of knowledge regarding the measurand population parameters, the complicated interplay between risk, dispersion, and central values generally prevents calibration laboratories from fully characterizing acceptance probabilities. Organizations that model the measurand populations can reduce consumer risk by avoiding certification of items whose measurand populations are not well centered. The models in this paper present a recurring trend: guardbanding reduces nonnegligible risks of false acceptance when compared to simple acceptance. However, guardbanding is not the most effective means of acceptance risk mitigation. Systematic characterization of measurand populations can provide the information a calibration laboratory needs to reliably control acceptance risk.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Statistical Learning for Nonlinear Model Reduction from Local Simulations of Stochastic and Particle- and Agent-Based Systems

Stochastic physical systems across the sciences that have very high-dimensional state spaces, with a large number of fast degrees of freedom that force direct simulators to proceed by integration steps that are orders of magnitude smaller than events of interests (e.g., particle collisions). Examples range from molecular motion to dynamics of large populations of cells. A grand challenge in the simulation and understanding of such systems is the systematic construction of accurate, interpretable, reduced models, enabling faster simulations, revealing fundamental properties of the dynamics, and predicting phenomena of interest that the original simulator could not reached with sufficient accuracy or within a given computational budget. In this projected we developed novel statistical estimation/machine learning techniques for analyzing and building empirical reduced models for important families of high-dimensional stochastic systems, in particular: - we developed techniques for estimating interaction kernels in interacting particle- and agent-based systems, which are ubiquitous in Physics, Biology and many other sciences, given observed trajectories of the system; - we developed techniques for nonlinear model reduction for high-dimensional stochastic systems that have a small number of unknown, nonlinear slow variables, and a large number of fast modes, that are possibly of large magnitude, given observed short trajectories of the system in the form of bursts of trajectories from different initial conditions; - we developed novel techniques for estimating linear dynamical systems on graphs when both the dynamics and the underlying graph are unknown, and we have a sparse set of space-time observations; - we considered the problem of estimating an unknown nonlinear observation function of a standard process (e.g. Brownian motion), so that we can recognized if an observed dynamics is "just" a nonlinear version of a known dynamics; we also developed benchmarks for learning algorithms aimed at learning and classifying diffusion processes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

The DECADE cosmic shear project III: validation of analysis pipeline using spatially inhomogeneous data

We present the pipeline for the cosmic shear analysis of the Dark Energy Camera All Data Everywhere (DECADE) weak lensing dataset: a catalog consisting of 107 million galaxies observed by the Dark Energy Camera (DECam) in the northern Galactic cap. The catalog derives from a large number of disparate observing programs and is therefore more inhomogeneous across the sky compared to existing lensing surveys. First, we use simulated data-vectors to show the sensitivity of our constraints to different analysis choices in our inference pipeline, including sensitivity to residual systematics. Next we use simulations to validate our covariance modeling for inhomogeneous datasets. Finally, we show that our choices in the end-to-end cosmic shear pipeline are robust against inhomogeneities in the survey, by extracting relative shifts in the cosmology constraints across different subsets of the footprint/catalog and showing they are all consistent within 1σ to 2σ. This is done for forty-six subsets of the data and is carried out in a fully consistent manner: for each subset of the data, we re-derive the photometric redshift estimates, shear calibrations, survey transfer functions, the data vector, measurement covariance, and finally, the cosmological constraints. Our results show that existing analysis methods for weak lensing cosmology can be fairly resilient towards inhomogeneous datasets. This also motivates exploring a wider range of image data for pursuing such cosmological constraints.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

From Images to Dark Matter: End-to-end Inference of Substructure from Hundreds of Strong Gravitational Lenses

Abstract Constraining the distribution of small-scale structure in our universe allows us to probe alternatives to the cold dark matter paradigm. Strong gravitational lensing offers a unique window into small dark matter halos (<10 10 M ⊙ ) because these halos impart a gravitational lensing signal even if they do not host luminous galaxies. We create large data sets of strong lensing images with realistic low-mass halos, Hubble Space Telescope (HST) observational effects, and galaxy light from HST’s COSMOS field. Using a simulation-based inference pipeline, we train a neural posterior estimator of the subhalo mass function (SHMF) and place constraints on populations of lenses generated using a separate set of galaxy sources. We find that by combining our network with a hierarchical inference framework, we can both reliably infer the SHMF across a variety of configurations and scale efficiently to populations with hundreds of lenses. By conducting precise inference on large and complex simulated data sets, our method lays a foundation for extracting dark matter constraints from the next generation of wide-field optical imaging surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

NASA NTRS1966

Quantification of subjectively determined data in the formulation and utilization of mathematical models, part II

Use of subjectively determined data in decision making functions, and mathematical models for estimating run-out costs

COST ESTIMATE↗

NASA NTRS1968

Response of silicon transmission detectors to monoenergetic electrons.

Si transmission semiconductor detectors response function for various monoenergetic electrons, estimating detector efficiency

Berger, M. J.↗

NASA NTRS1971

State estimation with small nonlinearities

A variety of techniques is available for estimating the states of nonlinear dynamic systems from noisy data. The differences among several of these procedures in the presence of small dynamic and observational nonlinearities are investigated. Four discrete estimation algorithms are analyzed. The first is a strictly least square estimator, while the others are recursive algorithms similar to the Kalman filter used for estimating the states of linear systems. A group of analytic expressions is developed for the mean and covariance of the error in each of these estimators so that they may be compared without lengthy Monte Carlo simulations. The covariance expressions show that, to first order, all the estimators have the same covariance. Expressions for the means show that each estimator has a different bias. Several examples are carried out demonstrating that the relative magnitudes of the bias errors in the various estimators can be a strong function of such parameters as initial covariances and number of data points. Under some circumstances, more complicated algorithms can have larger biases than smaller ones.

Conrad, B.↗

NASA NTRS1973

Performance of statistical energy analysis

Statistical energy analysis (SEA) methods have been developed for high frequency modal analyses on random vibration environments. These SEA methods are evaluated by comparing analytical predictions to test results. Simple test methods are developed for establishing SEA parameter values. Techniques are presented, based on the comparison of the predictions with test values, for estimating SEA accuracy as a function of frequency for a general structure.

Davis, R. F.↗

NASA NTRS1973

Equilibrium properties of a one-dimensional kinetic system.

One-dimensional systems of N = 500 and 250 particles in equilibrium are numerically simulated utilizing the method of molecular dynamics. Periodic boundary conditions are imposed. The classical two-body interaction potential is short range, repulsive and has a corresponding finite force. The equations of state are determined for densities both less and greater than one. Corresponding theoretical isochores are determined from models based on nearest-neighbor interactions and on a truncated virial expansion, and a comparison is made with the experimental isochores. Time independent radial distributions are constructed numerically and discussed. A change of state from a solidlike state to a fluid-gas state based on the penetrability of the particles is predicted. The transition temperatures are estimated from the radial distribution functions and the nearest-neighbor model. Self-diffusion is observed and the corresponding constants are determined from the velocity autocorrelation functions.

Williams, J. H.↗

NASA NTRS1973

Measurement of the lunar photoelectron layer in the geomagnetic tail

Stable photoelectron fluxes (with energies between 40 and 200 eV) were observed by the Apollo 15 Charged Particle Lunar Environment Experiment (CPLEE). These observations, made in the magnetotail under near vacuum conditions, are compared with numerically calculated photoemission spectra to determine the approximate potential difference between ground and CPLEE'S apertures (a distance of 26 cm). Numerically calculated density and potential distributions are compared with the measured values to provide an estimate of the photoelectron yield function of the dust layer covering the moon.

Reasoner, D. L.↗

NASA NTRS1976

COREST: A FORTRAN computer program to analyze paralinear oxidation behavior and its application to chromic oxide forming alloys

A FORTRAN computer program (COREST) was developed to analyze the high-temperature paralinear oxidation behavior of metals. It is based on a mass-balance approach and uses typical gravimetric input data. COREST was applied to predominantly Cr2O3-forming alloys tested isothermally for long times. These alloys behaved paralinearly above 1100 C as a result of simultaneous scale formation and scale vaporization. Output includes the pertinent formation and vaporization constants and kinetic values of interest. COREST also estimates specific sample weight and specific scale weight as a function of time. Most importantly, from a corrosion standpoint, it estimates specific metal loss.

Barrett, C. E.↗