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DOE OSTI2019

Kinetic Monte Carlo Simulations of Chemical Reactions on Surfaces

Lattice based kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) simulations are a powerful tool for micro-kinetic modeling. The kinetic Monte Carlo technique stochastically simulates chemical reaction processes (e.g. adsorption, desorption, diffusion), where the probability of a given reaction process being selected is weighted by its rate constant. The open source software package, KMOS1, allows fast construction of kMC simulations by automatically implementing a computationally efficient kMC framework, thus allowing the researcher to focus on accurate parameterization and formulation of the kinetic model. From this, the spatiotemporal evolution (e.g. concentration, surface configuration, turnover frequencies) of crystal surfaces or bulk crystalline structures is obtained. KMOS uses the variable step-size method implementation of kMC. At each step, the VSSM updates available events, calculates the corresponding transition rates and simulation time, and selects one of the available events. The lattice based kMC technique has many potential applications within SRNL where chemical kinetics are of interest. By transitioning through time along a trajectory of configuration space, fundamental insights to a system's dominant reactions and parameters can be gained, leading to improved materials and process design. In this work, we have established capabilities for fast implementation of kMC simulations through the installation and testing of the KMOS software on SRNL high performance computing resources. The parameterization of kMC simulations is often performed from first-principles energetic calculations. For the purposes of this work, the test cases use arbitrary species and thus, have arbitrary parameterization. In order to demonstrate the use of KMOS, two primary test cases are shown. Case 1 involves simple adsorption and desorption. Case 2 involves a slightly more complex mechanism. The evolution of the surface concentration and the final surface configuration for simulation Case 2 is shown. Rate-limiting processes and rate-limiting configurations are not always known or understood, but kMC provides information pertaining to both. The capability to implement efficient micro-kinetic models using the kinetic Monte Carlo technique has been established through the testing and installation of KMOS on SRNL HPC resources.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2016

Spacer Grid and Mixing Vanes Effects Study on Two-phase Flow Using Bubble Tracking Simulations

In Light Water Reactor (LWR) cores, the nuclear fuel rods are arranged together as rod bundles in a triangular or square pattern. The fuel rod bundles are supported by the spacer grids with mixing vanes. An understanding of spacer grid and mixing vanes effect is important since it has a direct impact on the turbulence structure in the flow and the heat removal efficiency from the fuel rod surface. Although a considerable amount of literature has been published on the experimental investigation of spacer grid and mixing vanes effect, the measurements were mainly focused on single-phase flow. The influence of spacer grid and mixing vanes on two-phase flow is yet to be fully understood. Some preliminary research efforts have been invested in nuclear community. For example, Wheeler et al. experimentally studied the effects of spacer grid in air-water two-phase flow. Although mixing vanes are not considered, they presented interesting results of time-averaged two-phase flow quantities at upstream and downstream locations of the spacer grid. Over the past decades, the rapid development of High-Performance Computing (HPC) is allowing for the increasingly larger-scale high-fidelity simulations. Thanks to this favorable historical trend, Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS), integrated with Interface Tracking Methods (ITM), has been emerging as a valuable tool to complement and expand our ability to understand the two-phase flow phenomenon. Meanwhile, in order to make best use of the large-scale two-phase flow simulations, advanced data analysis techniques are being developed, as they enable the extraction of detailed parameters about individual bubble behavior. The level set ITM is utilized in our DNS flow solver, which makes use of a signed distance field. The gas-liquid interface is modeled by the zero level set. The level set method can be readily used to distinguish different phases based on the sign of corresponding level set value (e.g. the sign is positive in the liquid phase while negative in the gas phase.). However, the traditional level set approach is not able to collect calculated values and associate with specific bubbles when multiple (even thousands of) bubbles present in the simulations of two-phase flow. This drawback hinders the collection of useful bubble information, which can give us valuable insights about bubbly flows. For example, how the different local fluid conditions could affect bubble interfacial forces, bubble deformation level, and eventually the bubble distribution throughout the whole domain. A bubble tracking methodology has been developed to address the drawbacks and improve the data collection efficiency of level set based two-phase flow simulations. In the present work, a single Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR) subchannel with reduced size spacer grid and mixing vanes is chosen as the computational domain. The springs and dimples of the spacer grid are not represented for simplicity in the present investigation. The bubble tracking methodology is applied to the simulations of two-phase bubbly flow through spacer grid and mixing vanes region. In the intended simulation, the liquid turbulence will be fully resolved by DNS while the two-phase behaviors are captured by level set ITM. Bubble tracking data are to be processed to investigate the spacer grid and mixing vanes effect on two-phase bubbly flow. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Regional-scale fault-to-structure earthquake simulations with the EQSIM framework: Workflow maturation and computational performance on GPU-accelerated exascale platforms

Continuous advancements in scientific and engineering understanding of earthquake phenomena, combined with the associated development of representative physics-based models, is providing a foundation for high-performance, fault-to-structure earthquake simulations. However, regional-scale applications of high-performance models have been challenged by the computational requirements at the resolutions required for engineering risk assessments. The EarthQuake SIMulation (EQSIM) framework, a software application development under the US Department of Energy (DOE) Exascale Computing Project, is focused on overcoming the existing computational barriers and enabling routine regional-scale simulations at resolutions relevant to a breadth of engineered systems. This multidisciplinary software development—drawing upon expertise in geophysics, engineering, applied math and computer science—is preparing the advanced computational workflow necessary to fully exploit the DOE’s exaflop computer platforms coming online in the 2023 to 2024 timeframe. Achievement of the computational performance required for high-resolution regional models containing upward of hundreds of billions to trillions of model grid points requires numerical efficiency in every phase of a regional simulation. This includes run time start-up and regional model generation, effective distribution of the computational workload across thousands of computer nodes, efficient coupling of regional geophysics and local engineering models, and application-tailored highly efficient transfer, storage, and interrogation of very large volumes of simulation data. This article summarizes the most recent advancements and refinements incorporated in the workflow design for the EQSIM integrated fault-to-structure framework, which are based on extensive numerical testing across multiple graphics processing unit (GPU)-accelerated platforms, and demonstrates the computational performance achieved on the world’s first exaflop computer platform through representative regional-scale earthquake simulations for the San Francisco Bay Area in California, USA.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2016

Sensitivity analysis of simulated SOA loadings using a variance-based statistical approach: SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF SOA

We investigate the sensitivity of secondary organic aerosol (SOA) loadings simulated by a regional chemical transport model to 7 selected tunable model parameters: 4 involving emissions of anthropogenic and biogenic volatile organic compounds, anthropogenic semi-volatile and intermediate volatility organics (SIVOCs), and NOx, 2 involving dry deposition of SOA precursor gases, and one involving particle-phase transformation of SOA to low volatility. We adopt a quasi-Monte Carlo sampling approach to effectively sample the high-dimensional parameter space, and perform a 250 member ensemble of simulations using a regional model, accounting for some of the latest advances in SOA treatments based on our recent work. We then conduct a variance-based sensitivity analysis using the generalized linear model method to study the responses of simulated SOA loadings to the tunable parameters. Analysis of SOA variance from all 250 simulations shows that the volatility transformation parameter, which controls whether particle-phase transformation of SOA from semi-volatile SOA to non-volatile is on or off, is the dominant contributor to variance of simulated surface-level daytime SOA (65% domain average contribution). We also split the simulations into 2 subsets of 125 each, depending on whether the volatility transformation is turned on/off. For each subset, the SOA variances are dominated by the parameters involving biogenic VOC and anthropogenic SIVOC emissions. Furthermore, biogenic VOC emissions have a larger contribution to SOA variance when the SOA transformation to non-volatile is on, while anthropogenic SIVOC emissions have a larger contribution when the transformation is off. NOx contributes less than 4.3% to SOA variance, and this low contribution is mainly attributed to dominance of intermediate to high NOx conditions throughout the simulated domain. The two parameters related to dry deposition of SOA precursor gases also have very low contributions to SOA variance. This study highlights the large sensitivity of SOA loadings to the particle-phase transformation of SOA volatility, which is neglected in most previous models.

Shrivastava, Manish↗

DOE OSTI2016

Dependence of radiation belt simulations to assumed radial diffusion rates tested for two empirical models of radial transport

Radial diffusion is one of the dominant physical mechanisms that drives acceleration and loss of the radiation belt electrons, which makes it very important for nowcasting and forecasting space weather models. In this paper, we investigate the sensitivity of the two parameterizations of the radial diffusion of Brautigam and Albert (2000) and Ozeke et al. (2014) on long-term radiation belt modeling using the Versatile Electron Radiation Belt (VERB). Following Brautigam and Albert (2000) and Ozeke et al. (2014), we first perform 1-D radial diffusion simulations. Comparison of the simulation results with observations shows that the difference between simulations with either radial diffusion parameterization is small. To take into account effects of local acceleration and loss, we perform 3-D simulations, including pitch angle, energy, and mixed diffusion. We found that the results of 3-D simulations are even less sensitive to the choice of parameterization of radial diffusion rates than the results of 1-D simulations at various energies (from 0.59 to 1.80 MeV). This result demonstrates that the inclusion of local acceleration and pitch angle diffusion can provide a negative feedback effect, such that the result is largely indistinguishable simulations conducted with different radial diffusion parameterizations. Finally, we also perform a number of sensitivity tests by multiplying radial diffusion rates by constant factors and show that such an approach leads to unrealistic predictions of radiation belt dynamics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2017

The Effect of a Guide Field on Local Energy Conversion During Asymmetric Magnetic Reconnection: Particle-in-Cell Simulations

We use theory and simulations to study how the out-of-plane (guide) magnetic field strength modifies the location where the energy conversion rate between the electric field and the plasma is appreciable during asymmetric magnetic reconnection, motivated by observations (Genestreti et al., 2017). For weak guide fields, energy conversion is maximum on the magnetospheric side of the X line, midway between the X line and electron stagnation point. As the guide field increases, the electron stagnation point gets closer to the X line, and energy conversion occurs closer to the electron stagnation point. We motivate one possible nonrigorous approach to extend the theory of the stagnation point location to include a guidefield. The predictions are compared to two-dimensional particle-in-cell (PIC) simulations with vastly different guide fields. The simulations have upstream parameters corresponding to three events observed with Magnetospheric Multiscale (MMS). The predictions agree reasonably well with the simulation results,capturing trends with the guide field. The theory correctly predicts that the X line and stagnation points approach each other as the guide field increases. The results are compared to MMS observations, Active Magnetosphere and Planetary Electrodynamics Response Experiment (AMPERE) observations of each event,and a global resistive-magnetohydrodynamics simulation of the 16 October 2015 event. The PIC simulation results agree well with the global observations and simulation but differ in the strong electric fields and energy conversion rates found in MMS observations. The observational, theoretical, and numerical resultssuggest that the strong electric fields observed by MMS do not represent a steady global reconnection rate.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Coupling reduced‐order modeling and coarse‐grained CFD‐DEM to accelerate coal gasifier simulation and optimization

Abstract High fidelity three‐dimensional (3‐D) numerical simulations of commercial‐scale coal gasifiers are very time consuming and expensive. This article proposes a reduced‐order modeling approach that uses quasi one‐dimensional (1‐D) CFD–DEM simulation results to serve as an accurate initial condition for the 3‐D simulation, which significantly shortens the physical time from several hours to minutes to achieve steady states. The 3‐D simulation employs a previously validated coarse‐grained CFD‐DEM approach, which further accelerates the simulation. Both 1‐D and 3‐D simulations adopt a particle shrinkage scheme to correctly account for the particle volume change due to chemical reaction and thus provides an accurate bed height. Comparison with available experimental measurements of the bed temperature and synthesis gas composition is used to validate the simulation. The final syngas composition and flowrates are strongly affected by the fuel or gasification agent rate and process operating conditions as expected. This approach is then used to optimize two important operating conditions (air and steam flows) to achieve specific gasifier performance goals for the production of Fischer–Tropsch synthesis gas and production of fuel gas for gas turbines.

Yu, Jia↗

DOE OSTI2021

The impact of coupled air–sea interaction on extreme East Asian summer monsoon simulation in CMIP5 models

Abstract In this study, the relationship between the ability to simulate air–sea interactions over the western North Pacific (WNP), and to reproduce the extreme East Asian summer monsoon (EASM), were investigated by comparing the performances of several global climate models (GCMs). High ranked in air–sea interaction simulation (HRA) and low ranked in air–sea interaction simulation (LRA) models were selected, according to their performance in simulating relations between sea surface temperature (SST) and precipitation over the WNP, from the ensemble of models that participated in the third and fifth phases of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3, CMIP5). Compared with CMIP3 models, CMIP5 models exhibited improved simulations of the distinctive air–sea interaction over the WNP, namely, the strong atmospheric forcing on the ocean. Among CMIP5 models, HRA models, which reproduced intrinsic negative correlations between precipitation and SST over the WNP, could simulate the extreme EASM better than LRA models. In particular, HRA models generated a more realistic spatial distribution of the extreme EASM compared with LRA models. The defects of the LRA models resulted from distorted synoptic fields, including underestimated geopotential height and overestimated low‐level wind over the WNP, inducing unrealistic moisture supply and convection due to the exaggerated SST forcing. In contrast, reasonable air–sea interactions represented in HRA models lead to realistic synoptic fields over the WNP, and proper simulation of the extreme EASM.

Kim, Taehyung↗

DOE OSTI2025

Efficient Simulation of Open Quantum Systems on NISQ Trapped‐Ion Hardware

Abstract Simulating open quantum systems, which interact with external environments, presents significant challenges on noisy intermediate‐scale quantum (NISQ) devices due to limited qubit resources and noise. In this study, an efficient framework is proposed for simulating open quantum systems on NISQ hardware by leveraging a time‐perturbative Kraus operator representation of the system's dynamics. This approach avoids the computationally expensive Trotterization method and exploits the Lindblad master equation to represent time evolution in a compact form, particularly for systems satisfying specific commutation relations. The efficiency of this method is demonstrated by simulating quantum channels, such as the continuous‐time Pauli channel and damped harmonic oscillators, on NISQ trapped‐ion hardware, including IonQ Harmony and Quantinuum H1‐1. Additionally, hardware‐agnostic error mitigation techniques are introduced, including Pauli channel fitting and quantum depolarizing channel inversion, to enhance the fidelity of quantum simulations. These results show strong agreement between the simulations on real quantum hardware and exact solutions, highlighting the potential of Kraus‐based methods for scalable and accurate simulation of open quantum systems on NISQ devices. This framework opens pathways for simulating more complex systems under realistic conditions in the near term.

Burdine, Colin [Department of Electrical and Compu↗

DOE OSTI2020

Using AI Simulations to Dynamically Model Multi-agent Multi-team Energy Systems

The complexity of energy systems is well known as they are complex and intricate systems. As a result, many extant studies have used many simplifications or generalizations that do not accurately reflect the nature of this complex system. In particular, most HVAC systems are modeled as a single unit, or several large units, rather than as a hierarchical composite (e.g., as a floor rather than as a collection of disparate rooms). The net result of this is that the simulations are too generic to perform meaningful analysis, machine learning, or integrated simulation. We propose using a multi-agent multi-team strategic simulations framework called SiMAMT to better define, model, simulate, and learn the HVAC environment. SiMAMT allows us to create distinct models for each type of room, hierarchically aggregate them into units (like floors, or sections), and then into larger sets (like buildings or a campus), and then perform a simulation that interacts with each sub-element individually, the teams of sub-elements collectively, and the entire set in aggregation. Further, and most importantly, we additionally model another ‘team’ within the simulation framework - the users of the systems. Again, each individual is modeled distinctly, aggregated into sub-sets, then collected into large sets. Each user, or agent, is performing on their own but with respect to the larger team goals. This provides a simulation that has a much higher model fidelity and more applicable results that match the real-world.

Franklin, D. Michael↗

DOE OSTI2019

The Current State of High-Fidelity Simulations for Main Gas Path Turbomachinery Components and Their Industrial Impact

High-fidelity simulations have become feasible for most main gas path turbomachinery components, over the past two decades. This paper introduces the key challenges of simulating and modelling turbomachinery flows and presents an overview of possible simulation strategies. A comprehensive overview is given of which particular design challenges have to date been addressed by high-fidelity simulations, with a particular focus on high-pressure and centrifugal compressors, and high-pressure and low-pressure turbines. Recommendations are provided for how quality and accuracy can be ensured for high-fidelity simulations, using direct numerical simulations of a low-pressure turbine as a case study. It is argued that industrial impact from high-fidelity simulations can be achieved in two ways, either by conducting design-of-experiment-like studies that can provide designers with insight into certain physical mechanisms and phenomena, or by helping mature and improve lower-order models. The latter is discussed with particular emphasis on recent advances in machine learning for model assessment and improvement, and the potential of one selected data-driven approach is demonstrated on predictions of wake mixing for low-pressure and high-pressure turbines.

Mechanics↗

DOE OSTI2023

Neutrino transport in general relativistic neutron star merger simulations

Abstract Numerical simulations of neutron star–neutron star and neutron star–black hole binaries play an important role in our ability to model gravitational-wave and electromagnetic signals powered by these systems. These simulations have to take into account a wide range of physical processes including general relativity, magnetohydrodynamics, and neutrino radiation transport. The latter is particularly important in order to understand the properties of the matter ejected by many mergers, the optical/infrared signals powered by nuclear reactions in the ejecta, and the contribution of that ejecta to astrophysical nucleosynthesis. However, accurate evolutions of the neutrino transport equations that include all relevant physical processes remain beyond our current reach. In this review, I will discuss the current state of neutrino modeling in general relativistic simulations of neutron star mergers and of their post-merger remnants. I will focus on the three main types of algorithms used in simulations so far: leakage, moments, and Monte-Carlo scheme. I will review the advantages and limitations of each scheme, as well as the various neutrino–matter interactions that should be included in simulations. We will see that the quality of the treatment of neutrinos in merger simulations has greatly increased over the last decade, but also that many potentially important interactions remain difficult to take into account in simulations (pair annihilation, oscillations, inelastic scattering).

Foucart, Francois (ORCID:0000000346174738)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Numerical simulation of involute-plate research reactor flow behavior using RANS, LES and DNS

This paper investigates the flow behavior of involute-plate research reactors by performing Reynolds-Averaged Navier Stokes simulation (RANS), Large Eddy Simulation (LES) and Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS) of the channel flow between fuel plates. By modeling turbulence with different numerical approaches, this study provides data with three levels of fidelity. For the RANS simulation, three widely used turbulence models, i.e., k-ε, k-ω, Reynolds Stress Turbulence model (RST) are applied by using the commercial CFD code STAR-CCM +. For LES and DNS, the open-source CFD code, Nek5000, is used given its outstanding scalability on High Performance Computer (HPC) and high-order technique. The results from RANS simulations are compared with that from LES and DNS for benchmarking. Both macroscale parameters and turbulence statistics, such as velocity magnitude, lateral velocity and turbulence kinetic energy, are presented and analyzed. The results from RANS simulation achieve good agreement with LES and DNS on velocity and turbulence kinetic energy prediction. The RST turbulence model predicts the most similar flow pattern of lateral velocity as compared to LES and DNS. The Lambda-2 (λ2) criterion with a reasonable threshold is used to demonstrate the instantaneous vortices distribution in the involute channel from both LES and DNS calculation. The DNS simulation captures more detailed turbulence especially near the corner, which explains the discrepancy between LES and DNS results near the corner. The normalized RMS error are defined and calculated to assess the performance of those turbulence models. The RST model captures the anisotropic feature of turbulence, which enable it to outperform other turbulence models for predicting the flow behavior in an involute channel. Although some discrepancies are found between LES and DNS results in the corner, the overall deviations between LES and DNS are found to be small. In conclusion, given that the computational cost of DNS calculation is an order of magnitude higher, using LES data for benchmarking RANS model is a cost-effective approach.

DNS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Stochastic simulation of occupant-driven energy use in a bottom-up residential building stock model

The residential buildings sector is one of the largest electricity consumers worldwide and contributes disproportionally to peak electricity demand in many regions. Strongly driven by occupant activities, household energy consumption is stochastic and heterogeneous in nature. However, most residential energy models applied by industry use homogeneous, deterministic activity schedules, which work well for predictions of annual energy consumption, but can result in unrealistic hourly or sub-hourly electric load profiles, with exaggerated or muted peaks. The increasing proportion of variable renewable energy generators means that representing the heterogeneity and stochasticity of occupant behavior is now crucial for reliable planning at both bulk-power and distribution-system scales. This work presents a novel and open-source occupancy simulation approach that can simulate a diverse set of individual occupant and household event schedules for all major electricity, fuel, and hot water end uses. To accomplish this, we evaluated three alternative occupant activity simulation approaches before selecting a hybrid combining time-inhomogeneous Markov chains and probability-sampling of event durations and magnitudes. Further, we integrated the stochastic occupancy simulation with an open-source bottom-up physics-simulation building stock model and published a set of 550,000 diverse household end-use activity schedules representing a national housing stock. The simulator was verified against time-use survey data, and simulation results were validated against measured end-use electricity data for accuracy and reliability. While we use data for the United States, our application demonstrates how similar approaches could be applied using the time-use survey data collected in many countries around the world.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dynamics and lipid membrane coupling of the RAS-RAF complex revealed via multiscale simulations

To gain molecular and mechanistic insights into initiation of the RAS-RAF signaling cascade, we developed and used a combination of multiscale simulation and experimental approaches. The influence and impact of the membrane on RAS and RAF proteins is a factor we are just beginning to understand and appreciate in more detail. Molecular simulation is an ideal methodology to further study this complicated relationship between the membrane and associated proteins. Our previous work using Multiscale Machine-learned Modeling Infrastructure investigated different lipid compositions solely around the KRAS4b protein and the interplay between protein behavior and these membrane environments. Multiscale Machine-learned Modeling Infrastructure uses machine learning to couple adjacent simulation scales and has been efficiently scaled across some of the world’s largest high-performance computers. Recently, we have expanded this multiresolution framework to include the all-atom simulation scale and to incorporate the RAF RBDCRD domains. Here, we present the overall analysis results from this new simulation campaign comprising a mixture of RAS and RAF RBDCRD proteins. Approximately 35,000 coarse-grained and 10,000 all-atom molecular dynamics simulations were completed, sampled from a variety of protein/lipid composition configurations that were generated from a micron-scale continuum simulation containing hundreds of copies of the proteins. Our studies suggest that orientations of the RAS-RBDCRD complex on the membrane occupy distinct configurational states, and the spatial patterns of lipid arrangements around these different protein states are unique to each state. The extent and size of lipid “fingerprints” imposed on the membrane by the RAS-RBDCRD protein complex are significantly larger than observed for just the RAS protein on its own. These protein complexes strongly associate, but we do not observe statistically significant preferred protein-protein orientations. These observations indicate that spatial colocalization of RAS-RBDCRD proteins in the same vicinity may be assisted by specific membrane environments, acting to increase the probability of signaling complex formation.

Carpenter, Timothy S. [Lawrence Livermore National↗

DOE OSTI2016

A simulation approach to estimate energy savings potential of occupant behavior measures

Occupant behavior in buildings is a leading factor influencing energy use in buildings. Low-cost behavioral solutions have demonstrated significant potential energy savings. Estimating the behavioral savings potential is important for a more effective design of behavior change interventions, which in turn will support more effective energy-efficiency policies. This study introduces a simulation approach to estimate the energy savings potential of occupant behavior measures. First it defines five typical occupant behavior measures in office buildings, then simulates and analyzes their individual and integrated impact on energy use in buildings. The energy performance of the five behavior measures was evaluated using EnergyPlus simulation for a real office building across four typical U.S. climates and two vintages. The Occupancy Simulator was used to simulate the occupant movement in each zone with inputs from the site survey of the case building. Based on the simulation results, the occupant behavior measures can achieve overall site energy savings as high as 22.9% for individual measures and up to 41.0% for integrated measures. Although energy savings of behavior measures would vary depending upon many factors, the presented simulation approach is robust and can be adopted for other studies aiming to quantify occupant behavior impact on building performance.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2026

From models to reality: a systematic review on simulated and measured residential heat pump energy savings

High-performance HVAC solutions are central to residential energy management. A substantial share of these are electric, reversible-cycle systems, with heat pumps representing the largest portion of current and near-term adoption. This review synthesizes peer-reviewed and grey literature on residential space heating and cooling heat pumps. The academic literature is dominated by modeling (73.8%), with limited field measurement (13.1%). Grey literature from United States serve as a supplemental resource providing measured savings. Conversions from electric-resistance heating consistently show the largest site energy reductions, while oil/propane baselines yield moderate savings, and gas baseline scenario often deliver small and region-dependent savings. This study cross-checks the grey literature measured data with simulation data filtered from the ResStock dataset. The comparison indicates a discrepancy between simulations and measured data: simulated site EUIs are typically lower than measured EUIs, but percentage energy savings fall in similar ranges, implying simulations capture directional effects while underestimating energy use. Factors associated with variability and model–measurement differences include system characterization and control representation (e.g., backup heat engagement, thermostat/setpoint strategies, commissioning/installation quality), occupant behavior, weather normalization, metering scope, and envelope characterization. This paper also outlines the proposed methodology for comparing simulation and measured data for heat pumps. It emphasizes the metrics used for comparison and units harmonization, building characteristics matching, and compact metadata are needed for simulations to match measured data. The proposed methodology is expected to improve the credibility of simulated savings as measured evidence grows.

Yu, Lili↗

DOE OSTI2017

Enabling co-simulation of tokamak plant models and plasma control systems

A system for connecting the Plasma Control System and a model of the tokamak Plant in closed loop co-simulation for plasma control development has been in routine use at DIII-D for more than 20 years and at other fusion labs that use variants of the DIII-D PCS for approximately the last decade. Here, co-simulation refers to the simultaneous execution of two independent codes with the exchange of data - Plant actuator commands and tokamak diagnostic data - between them during execution. Interest in this type of PCS-Plant simulation technology has also been growing recently at other fusion facilities. In fact, use of such closed loop control simulations is assumed to play an even larger role in the development of both the ITER Plasma Control System (PCS) and the experimental operation of the ITER device, where they will be used to support verification/validation of the PCS and also for ITER pulse schedule development and validation. We describe the key use cases that motivate the co-simulation capability and the features that must be provided by the Plasma Control System to support it. These features could be provided by the PCS itself or by a model of the PCS. If the PCS itself is chosen to provide them, there are requirements imposed on its architecture. If a PCS model is chosen, there are requirements imposed on the initial implementation of this simulation as well as long-term consequences for its continued development and maintenance. We describe these issues for each use case and discuss the relative merits of the two choices. Several examples are given illustrating uses of the co-simulation method to address problems of plasma control during the operation of DIII-D and of other devices that use the DIII-D PCS.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗