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At least 1,117 records · Page 62

A theory of human error

Human error, a significant contributing factor in a very high proportion of civil transport, general aviation, and rotorcraft accidents is investigated. Correction of the sources of human error requires that one attempt to reconstruct underlying and contributing causes of error from the circumstantial causes cited in official investigative reports. A validated analytical theory of the input-output behavior of human operators involving manual control, communication, supervisory, and monitoring tasks which are relevant to aviation operations is presented. This theory of behavior, both appropriate and inappropriate, provides an insightful basis for investigating, classifying, and quantifying the needed cause-effect relationships governing propagation of human error.

Mcruer, D. T.↗

Separation of core and crustal magnetic field sources

Fluid motions in the electrically conducting core and magnetized crustal rocks are the two major sources of the magnetic field observed on or slightly above the Earth's surface. The exact separation of these two contributions is not possible without imposing a priori assumptions about the internal source distribution. Nonetheless models like these were developed for hundreds of years Gauss' method, least squares analysis with a truncated spherical harmonic expansion was the method of choice for more than 100 years although he did not address separation of core and crustal sources, but rather internal versus external ones. Using some arbitrary criterion for appropriate truncation level, we now extrapolate downward core field models through the (approximately) insulating mantle. Unfortunately our view can change dramatically depending on the degree of truncation for describing core sources.

Shure, L.↗

The Fermi Galactic Center GeV excess and implications for dark matter

Here, the region around the Galactic Center (GC) is now well established to be brighter at energies of a few GeV than what is expected from conventional models of diffuse gamma-ray emission and catalogs of known gamma-ray sources. We study the GeV excess using 6.5 yr of data from the Fermi Large Area Telescope. We characterize the uncertainty of the GC excess spectrum and morphology due to uncertainties in cosmic-ray source distributions and propagation, uncertainties in the distribution of interstellar gas in the Milky Way, and uncertainties due to a potential contribution from the Fermi bubbles. We also evaluate uncertainties in the excess properties due to resolved point sources of gamma rays. The GC is of particular interest, as it would be expected to have the brightest signal from annihilation of weakly interacting massive dark matter (DM) particles. However, control regions along the Galactic plane, where a DM signal is not expected, show excesses of similar amplitude relative to the local background. Furthermore, based on the magnitude of the systematic uncertainties, we conservatively report upper limits for the annihilation cross-section as a function of particle mass and annihilation channel.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Validation of Methodology to Simulate Gamma Doses from Historical Weapons Tests

The United States tested nuclear weapons in the atmosphere (aboveground) from 1945 until 1963, when the nation became a signatory to the Partial Test Ban Treaty. During those tests, gamma doses were often measured within kilometers of the point of detonation. Additional gamma dose measurements were made in and around the location of any personnel conducting the test, possibly with personal dosimeters. These gamma dose measurements have been declassified to provide the personnel involved with an estimate of the total dose they received while involved with the aboveground testing program. Several years ago, interest in these gamma doses was renewed by organizations that would need to provide the public with dose estimates in the event of a radiological or nuclear weapon terrorist attack on the United States. This work provides an initial validation of the computational methods used to simulate dose from a radiological or nuclear weapon. This initial work will focus on dose from gamma rays. The sources of gamma rays from a nuclear weapon include prompt fission gammas, gammas generated via neutron interactions (capture, inelastic scattering, and activation), and gammas produced by the decay of fission products. All of these gamma ray sources for a nuclear weapon are also potential sources of gammas from a radiological weapon. However, the sources of gamma rays from a radiological weapon depend on the material present in the device, and prompt fission gammas will mostly come from spontaneous fission instead of induced fission. This paper focuses on validation using gamma ray dose measurements from nuclear detonations, which is adequate to validate the requisite transport methodologies, source term generation, and cross sections needed to model gamma doses delivered by most radiological weapons. The 1961 report on Operation Plumbbob provides an overview of how the total gamma dose delivered by a nuclear weapon is broken down by the different sources specified above. The prompt fission gamma rays contribute about 5% of the total gamma dose. The gamma rays produced by neutron interactions usually deliver the largest portion of the total gamma dose, which is typically between 55% and 85% of the total. The remainder of the total gamma ray dose is attributed to decay of fission products.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Investigation into the Origin of the RF Phase Noise for the LISA Laser Transmitter

The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) mission is a collaborative consortium led by the European Space Agency (ESA)in cooperation with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). LISA’s goal is to capture gravitational wave events, such as spacetime distortions caused by massive orbiting bodies. Multiple low noise, single frequency master oscillator power amplifier (MOPA) lasers with a polarization-maintaining Yb-fiber amplifier will serve as the light sources for the LISA observatory. The NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC)is currently developing the laser transmitters for this project. The LISA lasers will carry radio frequency (RF)sidebands for exchanging reference RF clock information between spacecrafts. Excess phase noise, especially carrier-sideband differential phase noise added to the modulation side band by the phase modulator and the fiber amplifier, becomes a concern. In the gravitational wave frequency ranges, leading sources of this RF “differential” phase noise can be both intrinsic and extrinsic. Examples of intrinsic sources include thermal load on the active fiber, thermo-mechanical induced birefringence, and nonlinearities in the various passive and active fibers. Extrinsic sources can include external temperature fluctuations and infrasonic mechanical strain or vibrations. These noise spectra usually include both white and pink (1/f) thermal noise contributions. This work investigates the physical origins and impact of these sources of RF phase noise, and their characteristic spectra and management will be discussed.

Laser Interferometer Space Antenna↗

Signatures of linearized gravity in atom interferometers: A simplified computational framework

We develop a general framework for calculating the leading-order, general relativistic contributions to the gravitational phase shift in single-photon atom interferometers within the context of linearized gravity. We show that the atom gradiometer observable, which only depends on the atom interferometer propagation phase, can be written in terms of three distinct contributions: the Doppler phase shift, which accounts for the tidal displacement of atoms along the baseline, the Shapiro phase shift, which accounts for the delay in the arrival time of photons at atom-light interaction points, and the Einstein phase shift, which accounts for the gravitational redshift measured by the atoms. For specific atom gradiometer configurations, we derive the signal and response functions for two physically motivated scenarios: (i) transient gravitational waves in the transverse-traceless gauge and, for the first time, in the proper detector frame, and (ii) transient massive objects sourcing weak and slow-varying Newtonian potentials. Here, we find that the Doppler contribution of realistic Newtonian noise sources (e.g., a freight truck or a piece of space debris) at proposed atom gradiometer experiments, such as AION, MAGIS, and AEDGE, can exceed the shot noise level and thus affect physics searches if not properly subtracted. Note: 44 pages including appendices, 4 figures; v2: different formatting, fixed typos, 28 pages including appendices, 5 figures, agrees with published version

Atom interferometry↗

SRS Composite Analysis Monitoring Plan (FY2019 Model Validation)

Using a projected end-state date of 2065 (SRNS 2015b), the Savannah River Site (SRS) Composite Analysis (CA) modeling for each facility and waste site began on the inventory year assigned to it so that source depletion and radionuclide transport out of the system could be appropriately captured. Some SRS waste sites that have already achieved their end states (i.e. end-state inventories and end-state configuration) are currently contributing to the potential off-site public dose through source release, groundwater transport, discharge to on-site surface streams, and stream transport to the CA point of assessments (POAs). The inventory year assigned to these waste sites is 2002 or before. This means that SRS CA results from 2002 and beyond are a reasonable representation for these waste sites that have already achieved their end states and are currently contributing to the potential off-site public dose. The SRS Annual Environmental Report (AER) monitoring can differentiate and separate liquid pathway data allowing the data representing only waste sites at their end state to be produced. Because the SRS CA has projected reasonable end-state impacts from 2002 and beyond, and the AER monitoring can differentiate and separate operating and end-state contributions to annual liquid pathway release, an opportunity exists to use the AER monitoring data to validate the SRS CA model. The CA model validation program uses a graded and systematic approach for taking corrective action, starting with an SRS established administrative dose limit of 15 mrem/yr, below which no action is required. Based on the location of the 2010 SRS CA POAs, the only potential exposure pathway for the public is through surface water. The completion of the FY2019 CA model validation indicates that the SRS CA projected dose, while generally conservative, provides a reasonable representation of the maximum annual doses. These doses are well below the administrative limit; therefore, no additional action is required.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Model Validation for the FY2021 SRS Composite Analysis Monitoring Plan

Using a projected end-state date of 2065 (SRNS 2015b), the Savannah River Site (SRS) Composite Analysis (CA) modeling for each facility and waste site began on the inventory year assigned to it so that source depletion and radionuclide transport out of the system could be appropriately captured. Some SRS waste sites that have already achieved their end states (i.e., end-state inventories and end-state configuration) are currently contributing to the potential off-site public dose through source release, groundwater transport, discharge to on-site surface streams, and stream transport to the CA point of assessments (POAs). The inventory year assigned to these waste sites is 2002 or before. This means that SRS CA results from 2002 and beyond are a reasonable representation for these waste sites that have already achieved their end states and are currently contributing to the potential off-site public dose. The SRS Annual Environmental Report (AER) monitoring can differentiate and separate liquid pathway data allowing the data representing only waste sites at their end state to be produced. Because the SRS CA has projected reasonable end-state impacts from 2002 and beyond, and the AER monitoring can differentiate and separate operating and end-state contributions to annual liquid pathway release, an opportunity exists to use the AER monitoring data to validate the SRS CA model.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Forward and backward in time dispersion of fluid and inertial particles in isotropic turbulence

In this paper, we investigate both theoretically and numerically the Forward-In-Time (FIT) and Backward-In-Time (BIT) dispersion of fluid and inertial particle-pairs in isotropic turbulence. Fluid particles are known to separate faster BIT than FIT in three-dimensional turbulence, and we find that inertial particles do the same. However, we find that the irreversibility in the inertial particle dispersion is in general much stronger than that for fluid particles. For example, the ratio of the BIT to FIT mean-square separation can be up to an order of magnitude larger for the inertial particles than for the fluid particles. We also find that for both the inertial and fluid particles, the irreversibility becomes stronger as the scale of their separation decreases. Regarding the physical mechanism for the irreversibility, we argue that whereas the irreversibility of fluid particle-pair dispersion can be understood in terms of a directional bias arising from the energy transfer process in turbulence, inertial particles experience an additional source of irreversibility arising from the non-local contribution to their velocity dynamics, a contribution that vanishes in the limit St → 0, where St is the particle Stokes number. For each given initial (final, in the BIT case) separation, r 0 , there is an optimum value of St for which the dispersion irreversibility is strongest, as such particles are optimally affected by both sources of irreversibility. We derive analytical expressions for the BIT, mean-square separation of inertial particles and compare the predictions with numerical data obtained from a Re λ ≈ 582 (where Re λ is the Taylor Reynolds number) Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS) of particle-laden isotropic turbulent flow. The small-time theory, which in the dissipation range is valid for times ≤max[Stτ η , τ η ] (where τ η is the Kolmogorov time scale), is in excellent agreement with the DNS. The theory for long-times is in good agreement with the DNS provided that St is small enough so that the inertial particle motion at long-times may be considered as a perturbation about the fluid particle motion, a condition that would in fact be satisfied for arbitrary St at sufficiently long-times in the limit Re λ → ∞.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Global sensitivity analysis in stochastic simulators of uncertain reaction networks

Stochastic models of chemical systems are often subjected to uncertainties in kinetic parameters in addition to the inherent random nature of their dynamics. Uncertainty quantification in such systems is generally achieved by means of sensitivity analyses in which one characterizes the variability with the uncertain kinetic parameters of the first statistical moments of model predictions. In this work, we propose an original global sensitivity analysis method where the parametric and inherent variability sources are both treated through Sobol’s decomposition of the variance into contributions from arbitrary subset of uncertain parameters and stochastic reaction channels. The conceptual development only assumes that the inherent and parametric sources are independent, and considers the Poisson processes in the random-time-change representation of the state dynamics as the fundamental objects governing the inherent stochasticity. Here, a sampling algorithm is proposed to perform the global sensitivity analysis, and to estimate the partial variances and sensitivity indices characterizing the importance of the various sources of variability and their interactions. The birth-death and Schlögl models are used to illustrate both the implementation of the algorithm and the richness of the proposed analysis method. The output of the proposed sensitivity analysis is also contrasted with a local derivative-based sensitivity analysis method classically used for this type of systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Organic matter on the early surface of Mars: An assessment of the contribution by interplanetary dust

Calculations by Anders and Chyba et al. have recently revived interest in the suggestion that organic compounds important to the development of life were delivered to the primitive surface of the Earth by comets, asteroids or the interplanetary dust derived from these two sources. Anders has shown that the major post-accretion contribution of extraterrestrial organic matter to the surface of the Earth is from interplanetary dust. Since Mars is a much more favorable site for the gentle deceleration of interplanetary dust particles than is Earth, model calculations show that biologically important organic compounds are likely to have been delivered to the early surface of Mars by the interplanetary dust in an order-of-magnitude higher surface density than onto the early Earth. Using the method described by Flynn and McKay, the size frequency distribution, and the atmospheric entry velocity distribution of IDP's at Mars were calculated. The entry velocity distribution, coupled with the atmospheric entry heating model developed by Whipple and extended by Fraundorf was used to calculate the fraction of the particles in each mass decade which survives atmospheric entry without melting (i.e., those not heated above 1600K). The incident mass and surviving mass in each mass decade are shown for both Earth and Mars.

Flynn, G. J.↗

A comparison of energetic ions in the plasma depletion layer and the quasi-parallel magnetosheath

Energetic ion spectra measured by the Active Magnetospheric Particle Tracer Explorers/Charge Composition Explorer (AMPTE/CCE) downstream from the Earth's quasi-parallel bow shock (in the quasi-parallel magnetosheath) and in the plasma depletion layer are compared. In the latter region, energetic ions are from a single source, leakage of magnetospheric ions across the magnetopause and into the plasma depletion layer. In the former region, both the magnetospheric source and shock acceleration of the thermal solar wind population at the quasi-parallel shock can contribute to the energetic ion spectra. The relative strengths of these two energetic ion sources are determined through the comparison of spectra from the two regions. It is found that magnetospheric leakage can provide an upper limit of 35% of the total energetic H(+) population in the quasi-parallel magnetosheath near the magnetopause in the energy range from approximately 10 to approximately 80 keV/e and substantially less than this limit for the energetic He(2+) population. The rest of the energetic H(+) population and nearly all of the energetic He(2+) population are accelerated out of the thermal solar wind population through shock acceleration processes. By comparing the energetic and thermal He(2+) and H(+) populations in the quasi-parallel magnetosheath, it is found that the quasi-parallel bow shock is 2 to 3 times more efficient at accelerating He(2+) than H(+). This result is consistent with previous estimates from shock acceleration theory and simulati ons.

Fuselier, Stephen A.↗

Evaluating the Sources of Graphene’s Resistivity Using Differential Conductance

We explore the contributions to the electrical resistance of monolayer and bilayer graphene, revealing transitions between different regimes of charge carrier scattering. In monolayer graphene at low densities, a nonmonotonic variation of the resistance is observed as a function of temperature. Such behaviour is consistent with the influence of scattering from screened Coulomb impurities. At higher densities, the resistance instead varies in a manner consistent with the influence of scattering from acoustic and optical phonons. The crossover from phonon-, to charged-impurity, limited conduction occurs once the concentration of gate-induced carriers is reduced below that of the residual carriers. In bilayer graphene, the resistance exhibits a monotonic decrease with increasing temperature for all densities, with the importance of short-range impurity scattering resulting in a “universal” density-independent (scaled) conductivity at high densities. At lower densities, the conductivity deviates from this universal curve, pointing to the importance of thermal activation of carriers out of charge puddles. These various assignments, in both systems, are made possible by an approach of “differential-conductance mapping”, which allows us to suppress quantum corrections to reveal the underlying mechanisms governing the resistivity.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effect of a transparent water-cooled cathode on the neutron production rate in the glow discharge-type fusion neutron source

In glow discharge-type deuterium–deuterium fusion neutron sources, fusion reactions occurring on the cathode surface contribute significantly to the neutron production rate (NPR); therefore, cathode design plays a crucial role in enhancing NPR. Although the NPR generally increases with discharge current, deuterium desorption caused by cathode heating tends to stagnate it in the high-current regime. Water cooling has been shown to mitigate this stagnation for nontransparent cathodes, but its effectiveness for transparent cathodes has not been experimentally clarified. Here, in this study, a transparent cathode with active water cooling and a spherical geometry was designed and fabricated using stainless steel tubing. Neutron production experiments were conducted with and without water cooling: with water cooling, applied voltages of 20–40 kV were investigated, while without water cooling, the applied voltage was limited to 25 kV. The results showed that the NPR increased continuously with discharge current without stagnation when water cooling was applied. A maximum NPR of (1.8 ± 0.02) × 10 6 n/s was achieved at 40 kV and 50 mA. Compared with our previously reported disk cathode and nontransparent water-cooled cathode of the same diameter, the transparent water-cooled cathode exhibited a significantly enhanced NPR. These findings indicate that combining cathode transparency with active cooling is an effective strategy for improving neutron production in glow discharge-type fusion neutron sources.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Sources and distribution of NO(x) in the upper troposphere at northern midlatitudes

A simple quasi 2-D model is used to study the zonal distribution of NO(x). The model includes vertical transport in form of eddy diffusion and deep convection, zonal transport by a vertically uniform wind, and a simplified chemistry of NO, NO2 and HNO3. The NO(x) sources considered are surface emissions (mostly from the combustion of fossil fuel), lightning, aircraft emissions, and downward transport from the stratosphere. The model is applied to the latitude band of 40 deg N to 50 deg N during the month of June; the contributions to the zonal NO(x) distribution from the individual sources and transport processes are investigated. The model predicted NO(x) concentration in the upper troposphere is dominated by air lofted from the polluted planetary boundary layer over the large industrial areas of Eastern North America and Europe. Aircraft emissions are also important and contribute on average 30 percent. Stratospheric input is minor about 10 percent, less even than that by lightning. The model provides a clear indication of intercontinental transport of NO(x) and HNO3 in the upper troposphere. Comparison of the modelled NO profiles over the Western Atlantic with those measured during STRATOZ 3 in 1984 shows good agreement at all altitudes.

Rohrer, Franz↗

Seasonal Assessment and Classification of Aerosols Transported to Lahore Using AERONET and MODIS Deep Blue Retrievals

Daily measurements of aerosol optical depth (𝜏) and Ångstrom wavelength exponent (𝛼) acquired from Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) are analysed over Lahore - an urban city of Pakistan (period: 2010-2014) to investigate contribution of different types of aerosols originating from both local and regional source locations. The obtained annual averages (mean+/-standard deviation) for AERONET retrievals of 𝜏 (500 nm) and 𝛼 (440-870 nm) are 0.68+/-0.37 (0.08-2.91) and 0.99+/-0.33 (0-1.8), respectively. Of all the sources, 61% are found within Pakistan, 11% in India, 19% in Afghanistan, 6% in Iran and 2% in Saudi Arabia with seasonal contributions of 35, 25, 23 and 17% in pre-monsoon, monsoon, winter and post-monsoon, respectively. The bimodal distributions of 𝛼 show dominance of coarse-mode particles during pre-monsoon, fine-mode particles during post-monsoon and presence of both coarse-mode and fine-mode particles during winter and monsoon with winter showing more fine-mode particles. Two broad classes of aerosols namely desert dust (DD) and biomass burning/urban industrial (BU) are identified with criteria, e.g. 𝜏 ≥0.3 and 𝛼 ≤0.75 indicating presence of DD while 𝜏 ≥0.2 and 𝛼 ≥1.15 indicating BU. The frequency of occurrence (FOO) of DD and BU aerosols is further identified by applying classification criteria over Aqua-MODIS deep blue retrievals. The FOO identifies anthropogenic activity on-going throughout the year, disrupted with DD aerosols only during pre-monsoon and monsoon. The maximum dust activity is seen over Indo-Gangetic plains (IGP) (localized maxima: 35-45%) and the Arabian peninsula (>55%) during pre-monsoon, while maximum BU aerosols are found over IGP, central and south-eastern plains of India and the state of Gujarat (localized maxima: >70%) in winter and post-monsoon.

Zafar, Qudsia↗

A fluorinated cation introduces new interphasial chemistries to enable high-voltage lithium metal batteries

Abstract Fluorides have been identified as a key ingredient in interphases supporting aggressive battery chemistries. While the precursor for these fluorides must be pre-stored in electrolyte components and only delivered at extreme potentials, the chemical source of fluorine so far has been confined to either negatively-charge anions or fluorinated molecules, whose presence in the inner-Helmholtz layer of electrodes, and consequently their contribution to the interphasial chemistry, is restricted. To pre-store fluorine source on positive-charged species, here we show a cation that carries fluorine in its structure is synthesized and its contribution to interphasial chemistry is explored for the very first time. An electrolyte carrying fluorine in both cation and anion brings unprecedented interphasial chemistries that translate into superior battery performance of a lithium-metal battery, including high Coulombic efficiency of up to 99.98%, and Li 0 -dendrite prevention for 900 hours. The significance of this fluorinated cation undoubtedly extends to other advanced battery systems beyond lithium, all of which universally require kinetic protection of highly fluorinated interphases.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗