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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2014

Implications of a PTC Extension on U.S. Wind Deployment

This analysis explores the potential effects of wind production tax credit expiration and various extension scenarios on future wind deployment with the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS), a model of the U.S. electricity sector. The analysis does not estimate the potential implications on government tax revenue associated with the PTC. Key findings include: Under a scenario in which the PTC is not extended and all other policies remain unchanged, wind capacity additions are expected to be between 3 and 5 GW per year from 2013-2020; PTC extension options that ramp-down from the current level to zero-credit by year-end 2022 appear to be insufficient to support deployment at the recent historical average; Extending the PTC at its historical level may provide the best opportunity to support deployment consistent with recent levels across a range of potential market conditions; it therefore may also provide the best opportunity to sustain wind power installation and manufacturing sector at current levels.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

An Overview of the Molten Salt Thermal Properties Database–Thermophysical, Version 2.1.1 (MSTDB-TP v.2.1.1)

The current status of the Molten Salt Thermodynamic Database- Thermal Physical (MSTDB-TP) is reported. Building off of MSTDB-TP and through the direction of the Roadmap for thermal property measurement of Molten Salt Reactor systems, MSTDB-TP 2.1.1 has now been released containing a total 448 salt entries (data from 140+independent studies) compared to the original commit of 62, containing thermophysical properties including density, viscosity, thermal conductivity, and heat capacity. Along with the new database release, further advancement of Saline, a C++application programming interface (API), and a graphical user interface (GUI) has facilitated increased user/developer interaction with the database. Furthermore, estimation techniques, first principles calculations (Ab-Initio) and interpolation/extrapolation methods (Redlich-Kister/Muggianu), have shown great promise in the future of thermophysical property determination for filling out compositional spaces and investigating experimentally difficult salts (hazardous/expensive). This report describes the database composition, development and advancement of database tools, and the strategy of advancing and implementing estimation data into future iterations of the database for MSTDB-TP.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Estimating National-Scale Wind Potential Using Spatially Explicit Turbine Layout Optimization

National renewable energy potential assessments play a broad and critical role in analysis of the clean energy transition by providing foundational estimates of developable clean resources. Common to all past wind potential assessments is an assumption that wraps the complexity of wind plant layout (arrangement of turbines) into a single metric known as capacity density, or rated power capacity per unit of land area. Quite often, a singular capacity density or rotor-diameter driven capacity density is used in wind potential assessments across broad geographies despite the complexities of local drivers. Here, we present a new wind technical potential assessment for the United States, leveraging a spatial optimization approach in lieu of the traditional uniform capacity density. The optimization approach is a spatially explicit method for determining the potential locations of individual wind turbines-taking into account the turbine configuration, plant economics and losses, wind resource, and siting considerations. Our approach accounts for the interactions between wind technology design, wind plant layout, and the vast array of regulatory, land use and infrastructure conflicts with wind development. Our results highlight the potential ability of larger turbines to enable increased wind capacity, up to a point, and increased generation when siting turbines in and around spatial constraints; moreover, they demonstrate and capture the LCOE benefit of relatively lower capacity densities and reduced wake losses when land is relatively abundant. These insights provide foundational knowledge for the wind sector as it develops and pursues future turbine models and as wind energy markets expand in zero-carbon futures. Further, when applied in capacity expansion models, supply curves developed by these methods can provide detailed local insights about where wind turbines might be deployed in and among known siting constraints for those regions where wind energy is determined to be economic, providing critical nuance to local decision-makers and stakeholders.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

KCl-UCl 3 molten salts investigated by Ab Initio Molecular Dynamics (AIMD) simulations: A comparative study with three dispersion models

Ab Initio Molecular Dynamics (AIMD) simulations are performed on molten KCl-UCl 3 salt mixtures to determine energies, heat capacities, and densities. The density-dependent energy correction (DFT-dDsC), Grimme et al.’s DFT-D3, and Langreth & Lundqvist (vdW-cx) models are used for dispersion forces and combined with the Perdew-Burke-Ernzerhof (PBE) exchange-correlation potential with a Hubbard U param eter for the 5$f$ electrons of uranium. After validating predictions for the end-member systems to literature data, KCl-UCl 3 mixtures are studied at select temperatures. Densities and energies both deviate from ideal solution behavior, with the maximum deviation occurring around 36% UCl 3 for mixing energies and slightly lower (29% UCl 3 ) for densities. Compared to the NaCl-UCl 3 system, which was previously investigated using the same simulation methodologies, the KCl-UCl 3 density and mixing energy deviations from ideal solution behavior are larger by almost a factor of two. No deviation from ideal solution behavior for heat capacity was observed. The AIMD predictions for mixing energies and densities agree qualitatively with experimental data, though the spread in data obtained from the various dispersion force models utilized, measurements, and empirical estimates makes strong conclusions difficult. The dependence of thermodynamic and thermophysical properties on composition is correlated with the local chemistry of the solution phase, in particular, the tendency of UCl 3 to form network structures.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Roughrider Carbon Storage Hub (Final Report)

The Roughrider Carbon Storage Hub was a 2-year project (October 2023 – September 2025) conducted by the Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) focused on advancing the feasibility of a commercial-scale carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) geologic storage hub in McKenzie County, North Dakota. The project’s objective was to investigate the potential that stacked storage complexes (multiple deep saline formations) can safely and economically store at least 50 million tonnes of CO 2 within 30 years. The captured CO 2 would be sourced from industrial emitters including project partner ONEOK, Inc.’s gas-processing plants and a planned gas-to-liquids facility. Drilling of the Roughrider 1 stratigraphic test well (14,979-ft total depth) was completed in November 2024. The wellbore intersected four candidate storage formations: Inyan Kara, Broom Creek, Mission Canyon, and Black Island–Deadwood. Operational challenges, including a stuck drill string, were resolved without long-term impact. A comprehensive logging and coring program was conducted, followed by successful well abandonment and site reclamation. Over 660 ft of 4-in. whole core was retrieved. Core plug samples were processed and analyzed for petrophysical and geochemical properties. Results confirmed promising porosity and permeability in the Inyan Kara and Broom Creek Formations and removal of the Mission Canyon and Black Island–Deadwood horizons from further investigation. Data derived from the logging and coring program were used to improve initial geologic models built from legacy data. CO 2 injection simulations showed that the Inyan Kara alone can feasibly store the target mass of CO 2 . Because of subtle differences in geologic structure and porosity trends between the formations, a stacked storage scenario using the Broom Creek and Inyan Kara Formations resulted in a larger overall plume area than using the Inyan Kara alone. Preliminary CO 2 pipeline routes from the industrial sources were mapped utilizing existing rights of way and evaluated for capacity and cost using U.S. Department of Energy Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management/National Energy Technology Laboratory models and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency emissions data. Integrating capture, transport, and storage cost estimates with policy incentives (e.g., 45Q credits) provided a total cost-per-ton analysis. Results indicate that the small scale of the volumes to be transported over the cumulative large distances does not support the project’s financial viability. However, the groundwork laid during this project from geological, regulatory, and social perspectives positions the Roughrider hub site as a promising candidate for commercial carbon storage in North Dakota, especially if the economy of scale is introduced for CO 2 transportation to the hub site.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
NASA NTRS1992

Particle simulation of rarefied aeropass maneuvers of the Magellan spacecraft

Rarefied and free molecular flowfields corresponding to proposed aeropass maneuvers through the atmosphere of Venus by the Magellan spacecraft are computed with a vectorized particle simulation method. The significance of rarefaction and reaction effects are assessed and surface heat flux, drag coefficients, and flowfield properties are computed. A simple surface heat transfer model is coupled directly to the simulation and assumes that each surface element is in radiative equilibrium with deep space. This allows direct computation of surface temperature distributions rather than requiring prescribed isothermal boundary conditions. Uncoupled dual-node heat transfer models, which account for heat capacity and thermal conductivity within each structural component, permit more accurate determination of surface temperatures. Such temperatures restrict the allowable altitudes and entry speeds of the aeropass maneuvers, and must therefore be estimated accurately. Simulations with an entry velocity of 8600 m/s at altitudes between 125 and 140 km reveal that allowable surface temperatures occur only at the highest altitudes where the flowfield is appropriately modeled as free-molecular. Excessive surface heat flux occurs at lower altitudes where molecular collisions are significant.

Haas, Brian L.↗
NASA NTRS1992

An experimental approach to determine the heat transfer coefficient in directional solidification furnaces

The heat transfer coefficient between a molten charge and its surroundings in a Bridgman furnace was experimentally determined using in-situ temperature measurement. The ampoule containing an isothermal melt was suddenly moved from a higher temperature zone to a lower temperature zone. The temperature-time history was used in a lumped-capacity cooling model to evaluate the heat transfer coefficient between the charge and the furnace. The experimentally determined heat transfer coefficient was of the same order of magnitude as the theoretical value estimated by standard heat transfer calculations.

Banan, Mohsen↗
DOE OSTI2015

Ion-Stockmayer clusters: Minima, classical thermodynamics, and variational ground state estimates of Li{sup +}(CH{sub 3}NO{sub 2}){sub n} (n = 1–20)

Structural optimizations, classical NVT ensemble, and variational Monte Carlo simulations of ion Stockmayer clusters parameterized to approximate the Li{sup +}(CH{sub 3}NO{sub 2}){sub n} (n = 1–20) systems are performed. The Metropolis algorithm enhanced by the parallel tempering strategy is used to measure internal energies and heat capacities, and a parallel version of the genetic algorithm is employed to obtain the most important minima. The first solvation sheath is octahedral and this feature remains the dominant theme in the structure of clusters with n ≥ 6. The first “magic number” is identified using the adiabatic solvent dissociation energy, and it marks the completion of the second solvation layer for the lithium ion-nitromethane clusters. It corresponds to the n = 18 system, a solvated ion with the first sheath having octahedral symmetry, weakly bound to an eight-membered and a four-membered ring crowning a vertex of the octahedron. Variational Monte Carlo estimates of the adiabatic solvent dissociation energy reveal that quantum effects further enhance the stability of the n = 18 system relative to its neighbors.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2019

Path Forward for Groundwater Compliance Strategy at the Tuba City, Arizona, Disposal Site - 19581

The Tuba City, Arizona, Disposal Site is located in the Navajo Nation and near the Hopi Reservation. A uranium mill operated at the site from 1956 to 1966. During the operational period, mill tailings were slurried to an unlined impoundment. Excess slurry water was transferred to unlined evaporation ponds. Groundwater contamination resulting from the infiltration of fluids in the mill tailings impoundment and evaporation ponds was characterized in the 1990's. The site's Groundwater Compliance Action Plan was prepared in 1999, and a groundwater extraction and treatment system was constructed in 2002. Issues with aquifer productivity and treatment plant reliability led to the suspension of operations in 2014. The limitations of the remediation system prompted a realization that the site conceptual model should be reevaluated. An integrated study to better understand the geochemical and hydrologic factors affecting contaminant transport, to support the development of a new groundwater compliance strategy, was initiated in 2017 and is ongoing. In addition to the groundwater science components, the study included the evaluation of enhanced evaporation methods. The integrated evaluation will lead to refinement of the site groundwater flow model and development of a contaminant transport model and subsequent development of remedial alternatives. Remedial alternatives will be evaluated to determine a new groundwater compliance strategy. The objectives of geochemical testing were to confirm and quantify geochemical reactions controlling uranium fate and transport. These reactions are important because they control the distribution of uranium on the solid phase; potential for release from the solid phase; mobility of uranium in the water phase; and potential for uranium redistribution onto the currently uncontaminated solid phase. A key outcome is the change in understanding of the mass of uranium in the subsurface that is potentially soluble. These results contradict the previous basis for remediation: that uranium was almost exclusively present in soluble form, within the boundaries of the contaminant plume. Testing showed that uranium sorption downgradient from the plume was measurable but relatively minimal. The movement of other mill-related constituents (nitrate, sulfate, alkalinity) results in the dissolution of naturally occurring uranium and a higher than background concentration of uranium in groundwater. These constituents are not subject to sorption, and their downgradient concentrations are reduced only by diffusion and dispersion. The geochemical testing provides conceptual and quantitative information on potential plume migration. While the testing revealed the potential availability of uranium contaminant sources, the aquifer buffering capacity, pH, and presence of oxygen in groundwater may, individually or in combination, be controlling factors for plume movement. Evaluation of evaporative treatment alternatives was undertaken to determine one or more sustainable and efficient methods capable of treating 151 liters per minute (L/min) (40 gallons per minute), the annual average flow rate. In addition to establishing the baseline capacity for evaporation using the site's existing pond, prospective methods of enhanced evaporation included preheating water before inflow to the evaporation pond, vertical circulation in the pond, dye addition, and Wind-Aided Intensified Evaporation. Consideration of a 151 L/min evaporative treatment arose from previous analysis of extraction well production rates and contaminant mass removal, which indicated that about 80% contaminant removal, relative to full-scale operation of the site's groundwater treatment plant, could be achieved with a smaller capacity system. The lower-flow evaporative option also represented a potentially more sustainable treatment system in comparison to restarting or reconfiguring the groundwater treatment plant. Aquifer pumping tests were designed to develop or improve estimates of hydraulic properties such as transmissivity, horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivity, storativity, and storage coefficient. Testing involved pumping from one well at a constant flow rate for up to 5 days while monitoring groundwater drawdown in the pumping well and five surrounding wells and then shutting down the pumping well to observe groundwater recovery. The aquifer pumping test results provide insight regarding the hydraulics of the saturated zone. The saturated zone is in a low-conductivity formation with preferential flow in the horizontal direction. The aquifer exhibits low vertical conductance. The use of AQTESOLV software indicates that the saturated zone is a layered system due to the cross-bedded sand-grain orientation within the Navajo Sandstone. These indicators of limited vertical flow provide a potential justification for the observed depth of the contaminant plume of 15-46 meters (50-150 feet) below ground surface). Given the relatively low vertical conductance, groundwater extraction should be focused on the upper portions of the saturated zone. Aquifer response testing provided an improved understanding of aquifer characteristics. However, the primary objective, to identify optimal groundwater extraction strategies, has not been fully addressed. A list of path forward activities for hydrologic analyses was developed, with an overarching objective of providing input parameters for groundwater flow and contaminant transport modeling. Defensible predictions of contaminant transport, through modeling, are critical to the development of a new site groundwater compliance strategy. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
NASA NTRS2007

Evaluating the Capacity of Global CO2 Flux and Atmospheric Transport Models to Incorporate New Satellite Observations

As we enter the new era of satellite remote sensing for CO2 and other carbon cyclerelated quantities, advanced modeling and analysis capabilities are required to fully capitalize on the new observations. Model estimates of CO2 surface flux and atmospheric transport are required for initial constraints on inverse analyses, to connect atmospheric observations to the location of surface sources and sinks, and ultimately for future projections of carbon-climate interactions. For application to current, planned, and future remotely sensed CO2 data, it is desirable that these models are accurate and unbiased at time scales from less than daily to multi-annual and at spatial scales from several kilometers or finer to global. Here we focus on simulated CO2 fluxes from terrestrial vegetation and atmospheric transport mutually constrained by analyzed meteorological fields from the Goddard Modeling and Assimilation Office for the period 1998 through 2006. Use of assimilated meteorological data enables direct model comparison to observations across a wide range of scales of variability. The biospheric fluxes are produced by the CASA model at lxi degrees on a monthly mean basis, modulated hourly with analyzed temperature and sunlight. Both physiological and biomass burning fluxes are derived using satellite observations of vegetation, burned area (as in GFED-2), and analyzed meteorology. For the purposes of comparison to CO2 data, fossil fuel and ocean fluxes are also included in the transport simulations. In this presentation we evaluate the model's ability to simulate CO2 flux and mixing ratio variability in comparison to in situ observations at sites in Northern mid latitudes and the continental tropics. The influence of key process representations is inferred. We find that the model can resolve much of the hourly to synoptic variability in the observations, although there are limits imposed by vertical resolution of boundary layer processes. The seasonal cycle and its interannual variations generally respond adequately, but discrepancies in the tropics suggest the need for a refinement of the soil moisture dependence of the respiration flux in CASA. Examples and inferences for interpretation of satellite data will be discussed. In general, the fidelity of these simulations leads us to anticipate incorporation of real-time, highly resolved remote sensing and other observations into quantitative analyses that will reduce uncertainty in the terrestrial CO2 sink and revolutionize our understanding of the key processes controlling atmospheric CO2 and its evolution with time.

Kawa, S. R.↗
DOE OSTI2014

New National Wind Potential Estimates for Modern and Near-Future Turbine Technologies (Poster)

Recent advancements in utility-scale wind turbine technology and pricing have vastly increased the potential land area where turbines can be deployed in the United States. This presentation quantifies the new developable land potential (e.g., capacity curves), visually identifies new areas for possible development (e.g., new wind resource maps), and begins to address deployment barriers to wind in new areas for modern and future turbine technology.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Thermodynamic properties and superconductivity of natural carrollite (CuCo 2 S 4 )

The thermodynamic properties of natural carrollite with a formula Cu 0.92 Co 2.07 S 4 are studied using low temperature heat capacity and high temperature oxidative solution calorimetry. The standard thermodynamic functions at 298.15 K are: C p,m °, S m °, H m °, and Φ m ° are 158.48 J∙K −1 ∙mol −1 , 176.33 J∙K −1 ∙mol −1 , 28.40 kJ∙mol −1 , and 81.07 kJ∙mol −1 with an estimated error of 1%. The enthalpies (Δ f H), entropies (Δ f S), and Gibbs energies of formation (Δ f G) from elements at 298.15 K are: −344.46 ± 12.87 kJ∙mol −1 , −45.22 ± 1.81 J∙K −1 ∙mol −1 , and −331.14 ± 1.89 J∙K −1 ∙mol −1 . The stability of carrollite relative to the elements is demonstrated with a negative Gibbs energy (ΔG r °) of formation for several temperatures between 0 and 300 K. Furthermore, a superconductivity transition, which has been observed previously for synthetic carrollite, is confirmed by both the low temperature heat capacity and magnetization measurements.

Chemistry↗
DOE OSTI2014

Cost estimation of HVDC transmission system of Bangka’s NPP candidates

Regarding nuclear power plant development in Bangka Island, it can be estimated that produced power will be oversupply for the Bangka Island and needs to transmit to Sumatra or Java Island. The distance between the regions or islands causing considerable loss of power in transmission by alternating current, and a wide range of technical and economical issues. The objective of this paper addresses to economics analysis of direct current transmission system to overcome those technical problem. Direct current transmission has a stable characteristic, so that the power delivery from Bangka to Sumatra or Java in a large scale efficiently and reliably can be done. HVDC system costs depend on the power capacity applied to the system and length of the transmission line in addition to other variables that may be different.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Performance and economic viability assessment of a novel CO 2 adsorbent for manufacturing and integration with coal power plants

Here, this study assesses the performance and economic feasibility of a novel CO 2 adsorbent for post-combustion capture in DOE/NETL’s 650 MWnet SubC PC power plant (case B11B). Bench-scale tests showed an initial adsorption capacity of 16.3 wt%, which decreased to 12.1 wt% after 41 adsorption–desorption cycles due to induced particle aggregation by over-humidification. With a conservative adsorption capacity of 8.8 wt% and 695 adsorption–desorption cycles, an adsorbent replenishment rate of 10 tonnes/h is necessary to capture 90% of CO 2 . The breakeven sale price of the adsorbent produced at this rate is $\$$1,293/tonne, which is 40 to 80 times lower than prices for K 2 CO 3 adsorbents reported in the literature (e.g., K 2 CO 3 /TiO 2 , K 2 CO 3 /ZrO 2 ) while providing better capture performances. Sensitivity analysis reveals that increasing the plant production rate from 10 to 40 tonnes/h reduces the sale price by 8%. The study also compares the CO 2 capture cost to Cansolv, an integrated solvent-based technology. The novel adsorbent requires 2.4 GJ/tonne of CO 2 for regeneration, lower than Cansolv’s 2.7 GJ/tonne. With conservative performance estimates, the capture cost is $\$$54/tonne of CO 2 , slightly higher than Cansolv’s $\$$45/tonne. To achieve lower or comparable capture costs to Cansolv, the adsorbent should meet one of the following conditions at a commercial scale: minimum 950 cycles, 16 wt% capture capacity, 50% of the adsorbent recovery, or a reduced cost to $\$$646/tonne by upscaling the manufactury to 75 tonnes/h.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2016

Cost estimation inputs for spent nuclear fuel geologic disposal concepts (Revision 1)

A set of 16 geologic disposal concepts is described in sufficient detail for rough-order-of-magnitude repository cost estimates, for disposal of spent nuclear reactor fuel in generic crystalline, argillaceous, and salt host geologic media. The description includes total length, diameter, and volume for all underground shafts, ramps, drifts and large-diameter borings. Basic types of ground support are specified. Total repository capacity is assumed to be approximately 140,000 MT of spent fuel, but concepts are described in terms of modular panels each containing 10,000 MT. Waste packaging is described, and the materials and outer dimensions for disposal overpacks are given. The manner of emplacement is specified, with any additional fixturing, lining, buffer materials, and backfill needed. Thermal limits for waste package emplacement or repository closure are given, as appropriate for enclosed and open emplacement modes, respectively. The 16 disposal concepts are based on disposal concept studies performed for the Used Fuel Disposition R&D program between 2011 and 2014, and the accompanying engineering analyses. Revision 1 results from review and checking of repository spacings, drift length estimates, repository plan area estimates, closure power limits, and estimates of fuel age at closure.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2016

A comparison of battery testing protocols: Those used by the U.S. advanced battery consortium and those used in China

Two testing protocols, QC/T 743 and those used by the U.S. Advanced Battery Consortium (USABC), were compared using cells based on LiFePO4/graphite chemistry. Differences in the protocols directly affected the data and the performance decline mechanisms deduced from the data. In all cases, the rate of capacity fade was linear with time. Overall, the testing protocols produced very similar data when the testing conditions and metrics used to define performance were similar. The choice of depth of discharge and pulse width had a direct effect on the apparent rate of resistance increased and estimated cell life. At greater percent depth of discharge (%DOD) and pulse width, the estimated life was shorter that at lower %DOD and shorter pulse width. This indicates that cells which were at the end of life based on the USABC protocol were not at end of life based on the QC/T 743 protocol by a large margin. (C) 2016 ELSEVIER B.V. All rights reserved.

battery testing↗
DOE OSTI2021

Characterization of shale using Helium and Argon at high pressures

In order to estimate the shale gas in place and the eventual recovery during shale gas operations, one of the key requirements is to accurately characterize the shale’s petrophysical and transport properties such as porosity, permeability, diffusivity, and storage capacity. Despite the many efforts reported in the technical literature aiming to provide an improved understanding of the complex pore structures and the associated fluid flow in gas shales, complete characterization of organic-rich shale samples still poses a big challenge. Here, we have characterized mass transfer and sorption in shale at different length scales using Helium (He) and Argon (Ar) as probe gases. Thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) with a shale cube of ~1 cm 3 in size and gas expansion experiments with a full-diameter core (3.5” in diameter) were used to measure sorption kinetics/isotherms and mass transfer, respectively. Both samples are from the same depth/location in the Marcellus shale formation. The TGA steady-state technique was initially used to generate excess sorption isotherms for Ar, while dynamic TGA experiments were used to study its sorption kinetics. The TGA experiments demonstrate that Ar, which has a similar sorption potential as Methane, but is generally assumed to be inert, adsorbs onto the surfaces of the mesoporous and microporous regions of the shale samples according to a Langmuir-type behavior. Helium expansion experiments, on the full-diameter core, were used to measure the overall porosity, on the basis that He is a non-sorbing and inert gas as compared to Ar. The He expansion experiments, furthermore, allow us to delineate the mass transfer of gas across the inherent hierarchy of pore sizes, including macropores (macro- and microcracks), mesopores and micropores. Similar expansion experiments were also performed with Ar to study the combined impact of mass transfer and sorption. A triple-porosity model (TPM) was utilized to interpret the He expansion experiments with the shale core and to extract (estimate) relevant transport parameters. We report and compare here the diffusivities and permeabilities of the whole core for both He and Ar, as calculated from the modeling and fitting of the experimental data. On the premise that the shale cube is representative of the matrix region of the core, the Ar sorption kinetics from the cube experiments were subsequently combined with the transport parameters extracted from the He experiments to predict the behavior of the Ar expansion test with the full-diameter core. An excellent agreement is observed between the model predictions and the experimental data. The experimental observations and their interpretation indicate that one must be cautious when using Ar to estimate the true porosity and permeability of shales. In addition, we demonstrate that He and Ar probe gases, when used in tandem, can be employed effectively as a tool to characterize shales in terms of mass transfer and sorption dynamics across scales.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗
DOE OSTI2017

A remote sensing method for estimating regional reservoir area and evaporative loss

Evaporation from the water surface of a reservoir can significantly affect its function of ensuring the availability and temporal stability of water supply. Current estimations of reservoir evaporative loss are dependent on water area derived from a reservoir storage-area curve. Such curves are unavailable if the reservoir is located in a data-sparse region or questionable if long-term sedimentation has changed the original elevation-area relationship. In this paper, we propose a remote sensing framework to estimate reservoir evaporative loss at the regional scale. This framework uses a multispectral water index to extract reservoir area from Landsat imagery and estimate monthly evaporation volume based on pan-derived evaporative rates. The optimal index threshold is determined based on local observations and extended to unobserved locations and periods. Built on the cloud computing capacity of the Google Earth Engine, this framework can efficiently analyze satellite images at large spatiotemporal scales, where such analysis is infeasible with a single computer. Our study involves 200 major reservoirs in Texas, captured in 17,811 Landsat images over a 32-year period. The results show that these reservoirs contribute to an annual evaporative loss of 8.0 billion cubic meters, equivalent to 20% of their total active storage or 53% of total annual water use in Texas. At five coastal basins, reservoir evaporative losses exceed the minimum freshwater inflows required to sustain ecosystem health and fishery productivity of the receiving estuaries. Reservoir evaporative loss can be significant enough to counterbalance the positive effects of impounding water and to offset the contribution of water conservation and reuse practices. Our results also reveal the spatially variable performance of the multispectral water index and indicate the limitation of using scene-level cloud cover to screen satellite images. Finally, this study demonstrates the advantage of combining satellite remote sensing and cloud computing to support regional water resources assessment.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗