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At least 1,135 records · Page 63

Wavelet and Deep-Learning-Based Approach for Generation System Problematic Parameters Identification and Calibration

Accurate models of generation systems are critical for maintaining reliable and secure grid operations. In this paper, a novel and systematic approach is proposed to identify and calibrate the generation system problematic parameters using continuous wavelet transform (CWT) and advanced deep-learning technology. The phasor measurement unit (PMU) data are used through “event playback” to check whether the parameter calibration is required, and if yes, a group of suspicious parameters will be identified as the primary problematic parameter candidates (PPCs). These primary PPCs are randomly perturbed to generate the event playback simulation data, which are used by the CWT and convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to further narrow down the primary PPCs into a smaller set of candidates. Then, the identified candidates are perturbed again to generate massive event playback simulation data for training a parameter calibration neural network. Here, we designed a multi-output neural network structure to find the mappings between the perturbed parameters and the simulation data using both CNN and long short-term memory (LSTM) models. Finally, the well-trained and tested CNN-LSTM model is used to estimate the accurate value of the suspicious parameters with actual PMU measurements. The proposed CNN-LSTM network can accurately and reliably estimate the generation-system problematic parameters, and has better performance when compared to other machine-learning methods, such as the multilayer perceptron network and the conditional variational autoencoder method. The accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed approach have been validated through simulation and real-world data.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Cognitive Aging as a Human Factor: Effects of Age on Human Performance

Nuclear power plant (NPP) control room operators must make ongoing computations and decisions that maximize production and ensure safety, which places a high cognitive burden on the operators. How cognitions such as attention, visuospatial ability, and working memory interact with socio-technical systems to achieve optimal operations is well studied. However, there is an absence of research that examines how cognitive functioning within the NPP control room environment is moderated by developmental aging processes. This is of critical importance because different types of cognitive actions are known to develop and peak at different times across the adult life span, and it is becoming increasingly clear that there is no age at which all cognitive faculties operate at maximum capacity. Thus, given that NPPs are experiencing an aging workforce, it is vital to identify how mission critical cognitions change with age. This paper reviews implications of aging on reactor operators in the current and new fleet. We highlight lessons that can be learned from state-of-the-art human factors research that considers aging, lessons from the large cognitive aging literature, and lessons from aging workers in other industries that use sophisticated socio-technical systems, such as aviation. We also consider the important subject of aging effects versus expertise and present preliminary data that support the premise that age of operator is linked to effective and efficient operations but that this relationship may be moderated by level of operations expertise. In conclusion, we apply these lessons to future considerations for aging research in current nuclear operations and with the advent of advanced modernized control rooms.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Quantum adiabatic machine learning by zooming into a region of the energy surface

Recent work has shown that quantum annealing for machine learning, referred to as QAML, can perform comparably to state-of-the-art machine learning methods with a specific application to Higgs boson classification. Here, we propose QAML-Z, an algorithm that iteratively zooms in on a region of the energy surface by mapping the problem to a continuous space and sequentially applying quantum annealing to an augmented set of weak classifiers. Results on a programmable quantum annealer show that QAML-Z matches classical deep neural network performance at small training set sizes and reduces the performance margin between QAML and classical deep neural networks by almost 50% at large training set sizes, as measured by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The significant improvement of quantum annealing algorithms for machine learning and the use of a discrete quantum algorithm on a continuous optimization problem both opens a class of problems that can be solved by quantum annealers and suggests the approach in performance of near-term quantum machine learning towards classical benchmarks.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Transitioning From Operations to Decommissioning - 16049

With the recent unplanned shutdown of a number of U.S. Nuclear Power Plants, a benchmarking effort was conducted in late 2104 to capture the lessons learned from these recently shutdown sites. The specific plants benchmarked for this effort included San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station (SONGS), Kewaunee, Zion, and Crystal River Nuclear Power Stations. The benchmark results found for the most part, site personnel had little or no decommissioning experience and in fact, were not aware of the challenges facing a plant in transitioning from operations to decommissioning. This lack of experience and knowledge resulted in a steep learning curve, a loss of productivity, and significant challenges by plant personnel prepared the site for decommissioning. The results of the benchmark identified a number of areas and challenges facing an operating plant during this period. All sites visited identified four key areas where significant cost savings and planning effectiveness could have been realized if they had been better prepared. The areas included transition planning, staffing, stakeholder involvement, and cost estimating. It was recognized if these areas are aggressively managed early in the process, it will have a significant positive impact on the effectiveness and cost of decommissioning and can better set the stage for a successful project. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Neural Lyapunov Control for Power System Transient Stability: A Deep Learning-Based Approach

We report that power system control and transient stability analysis play essential roles in secure system operation. Control of power systems typically involves highly nonlinear and complex dynamics. Most of the existing works address such problems with additional assumptions in system dynamics, leading to a requirement for a complete and general solution. This paper, therefore, proposes a novel control framework for various power system control and stability problems leveraging a learning-based approach. The proposed framework includes a two-module structure that iteratively and jointly learns the candidate Lyapunov function and control law via deep neural networks in a learning module. Meanwhile, it guides the learning procedure towards valid results satisfying Lyapunov conditions in a falsification module. The introduced termination criteria ensure provable system stability. This control framework is verified through several studies handling different types of power system control problems. The results show that the proposed framework is generalizable and can simplify the control design for complex power systems with the stability guarantee and enlarged region of attraction.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

CosmoFlow: Using Deep Learning to Learn the Universe at Scale

Deep learning is a promising tool to determine the physical model that describes our universe. To handle the considerable computational cost of this problem, we present CosmoFlow: a highly scalable deep learning application built on top of the TensorFlow framework. CosmoFlow uses efficient implementations of 3D convolution and pooling primitives, together with improvements in threading for many element-wise operations, to improve training performance on Intel ® Xeon Phi™ processors. We also utilize the Cray PE Machine Learning Plugin for efficient scaling to multiple nodes. We demonstrate fully synchronous data-parallel training on 8192 nodes of Cori with 77% parallel efficiency, achieving 3.5 Pflop/s sustained performance. To our knowledge, this is the first large-scale science application of the TensorFlow framework at supercomputer scale with fully-synchronous training. Here, these enhancements enable us to process large 3D dark matter distribution and predict the cosmological parameters Ω M , σ 8 and n s with unprecedented accuracy.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Unveiling the effect of composition on nuclear waste immobilization glasses’ durability by nonparametric machine learning

Abstract Ensuring the long-term chemical durability of glasses is critical for nuclear waste immobilization operations. Durable glasses usually undergo qualification for disposal based on their response to standardized tests such as the product consistency test or the vapor hydration test (VHT). The VHT uses elevated temperature and water vapor to accelerate glass alteration and the formation of secondary phases. Understanding the relationship between glass composition and VHT response is of fundamental and practical interest. However, this relationship is complex, non-linear, and sometimes fairly variable, posing challenges in identifying the distinct effect of individual oxides on VHT response. Here, we leverage a dataset comprising 654 Hanford low-activity waste (LAW) glasses across a wide compositional envelope and employ various machine learning techniques to explore this relationship. We find that Gaussian process regression (GPR), a nonparametric regression method, yields the highest predictive accuracy. By utilizing the trained model, we discern the influence of each oxide on the glasses’ VHT response. Moreover, we discuss the trade-off between underfitting and overfitting for extrapolating the material performance in the context of sparse and heterogeneous datasets.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Design of Hopfield Networks Based on Superconducting Coupled Oscillators

The global energy shortage has driven the development of many energy-efficient computational platforms beyond Moore's law, among which brain-inspired neuromorphic computing is one of the promising solutions. Associative memory and pattern recognition are important computations solved by brain-inspired Hopfield networks. Classical Hopfield networks store memories via fixed point attractors of their dynamics. In oscillatory Hopfield networks, these attractors are replaced by periodic orbits. Here, we design an oscillatory Hopfield network based on coupled superconducting oscillators. We first employ a mathematical phase reduction approach to map networks of coupled superconducting rapid single flux quantum (RSFQ) ring oscillators to coupled Kuramoto phase-oscillator networks. We use this theory to numerically optimize the hardware's mutual inductances in order to directly match the phase-reduced superconducting oscillators to a model of phase-oscillator-based Hopfield networks. The resulting network can store multiple oscillatory phase-locked memory patterns and recover the patterns based on the initial phase conditions. As different pattern recognition tasks, or learning, require tunable connectivity strengths between the oscillatory nodes, we further employ a coupler circuit that enables tuning the coupling strength between two oscillators by applying an external flux. We demonstrate the functionality of our design through numerical simulations of a small example network with oscillators operating at 86 GHz and recognizing patterns within 10 ns. Our approach enables the learning and retrieval of dynamical memory patterns with a wide range of applications where rhythmic dynamic output is beneficial.

Cheng, Ran↗

A Barrier-Certificated Reinforcement Learning Approach for Enhancing Power System Transient Stability

Increasing integration of renewable resources brings more flexibility and poses new challenges to modern power systems, leading to highly nonlinear and complex dynamics. Here, this paper aims to provide a general solution framework to traditional control problems, such as frequency control and voltage control, which attempt to maintain the stability of either synchronous generators-governed or inverter-governed systems when subjected to a disturbance and simultaneously guarantee operational constraints, providing a complete complement to existing works on control design. Building on reinforcement learning (RL) and control barrier functions, the framework includes two subsystems, i.e., a model-free controller and a barrier-certification system, which discover RL-based control actions and sequentially filter them using a barrier certificate to satisfy operational constraints. Calculating a barrier function is generally challenging for a complex power system. This is addressed by representing the barrier function using neural networks (NNs) and data-based approaches. An adaptive method is introduced to certify the neural barrier function that perseveres barrier conditions, which is more compatible with online implementation. The proposed framework synthesizes a stabilizing controller that satisfies predefined safety regions. The effectiveness of the proposed framework is demonstrated via several comparative case studies.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

An Online Search Method for Representative Risky Fault Chains Based on Reinforcement Learning and Knowledge Transfer

In the analysis of cascading outages and blackouts in power systems, risky cascading fault chains should be accurately identified in order to do further block or alleviate blackouts. However, the huge computational burden makes online analysis difficult. In this paper, an online search method for representative risky fault chains based on reinforcement learning and knowledge transfer is proposed. This method aims at promoting efficiency by exploiting similarities of adjacent power flow snapshots in operations. After the “representative risky fault chain” is defined, a framework of tree search based on Markov Decision Process and Q-learning is constructed. The knowledge in past runs is accumulated offline and then applied online, with a mechanism of knowledge transition and extension. The proposed learning based approach is verified on an illustrative 39-bus system with different loading levels, and simulations are carried out on a realworld 1000-bus power grid in China to show the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed approach.

Blackout↗

SRF Cavity Fault Classification and Prediction at Jefferson Lab

Over the last few years several machine learning projects at Jefferson Lab have had a common focus to optimize operation of superconducting RF (SRF) cavities in the Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator Facility (CEBAF). In this talk we highlight work to identify and classify types of faults from C100-type cavities and then to extend those capabilities to provide real-time fault prediction. Early prediction may enable mitigation strategies to prevent some types of faults. In our approach we apply a two-step fault prediction pipeline. In the first step, a model distinguishes between faulty and normal signals. In the second step, signals flagged as faulty by the first model are classified into one of seven fault types based on learned signatures in the data. Initial results show that our model can successfully predict most fault types 200 ms before onset. In additional to model performance, we also highlight challenges in working with real-world data and challenges for deploying models.

Tennant, C.↗

New intrinsically smart severe accident instrumentation saves costs and enhances severe accident management - 302

The Severe Accidents (SA) at Fukushima in 2011, identified the need for enhanced I and C to follow the progress of SA. Since SA environments are significantly Beyond DBA conditions, some new advanced Inherently Smart sensors had to be developed and tested. Nuclear plant designers and operators have helped focus the I and C enhancement based upon lessons learned from the Fukushima accidents. The result has been the addition of I and C for direct measurement of SA conditions hydrogen concentration, oxygen concentration, temperature, and pressure that provide unambiguous information for management of Severe Accident scenarios. The benefits are immediate from three important aspects. First, they deliver on the nuclear promise for enhanced safety at reduced costs. These Inherently Smart sensors have no maintenance and replace equipment that has high maintenance costs. Secondly, these sensors provide multiple benefits, such as condition monitoring information all the time and direct measurement of SA conditions if they are needed. Thirdly, and most importantly, simplify operator actions and training for SA. SA scenarios and SA Management can now rely on direct measurements to know such things as, the extent of fuel damage, integrity of the reactor pressure vessel, when corium is on the floor of containment, and conditions upon which to activate the hardened vent. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Evaluating multistation phase picking algorithm phase neural operator (PhaseNO) on local seismic networks

Reliable automatic phase picking is important for many seismic applications. With the development of machine learning approaches, many algorithms are proposed, evaluated and applied to different areas. Many of these algorithms are single station based, while recent proposed methods start to combine surrounding stations into consideration in the problem of phase picking. Among these algorithms, the phase neural operator (PhaseNO) shows promising results on regional data sets comparing to existing algorithms. But there are many use cases for the local seismic networks in our community, therefore in this paper we evaluate the performance of PhaseNO on four different local data sets and compare the results to PhaseNet and EQTransformer. We used both individual phase picking metrics as well as association metrics to illustrate the performance of PhaseNO. By manually reviewing the newly detected events, we find that the PhaseNO model outperforms the single station-based approaches in the local-scale use cases due to its consideration of coherent signals from multiple stations. We also explored PhaseNO’s behaviours when only using one station, as well as gradually increasing the number of stations in the seismic network to better understand its behaviour. Overall, using the off-the-shelf machine learning based phase pickers, PhaseNO demonstrated its good performance on local-scale seismic networks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Enabling Highly Efficient Capsule Networks Processing Through A PIM-Based Architecture Design

In recent years, the CNNs have achieved great successes in the image processing tasks, e.g., image recognition and object detection. Unfortunately, traditional CNN's classication is found to be easily misled by increasingly complex image features due to the usage of pooling operations, hence unable to preserve accurate position and pose information of the objects. To address this challenge, a novel neural network structure called Capsule Network has been proposed, which introduces equivariance through capsules to signicantly enhance the learning ability for image segmentation and object detection. Due to its requirement of performing a high volume of matrix operations, CapsNets have been generally accelerated on modern GPU platforms that provide highly optimized software library for common deep learning tasks. However, based on our performance characterization on modern GPUs, CapsNets exhibit low effciency due to the special program and execution features of their routing procedure, including massive unshareable intermediate variables and intensive syn- chronizations, which are very dicult to optimize at software level. To address these challenges, we propose a hybrid computing architecture design named PIM-CapsNet. It preserves GPU's on-chip computing capability for accelerating CNN types of layers in CapsNet, while pipelining with an off-chip in-memory acceleration solution that effectively tackles routing procedure's ineffciency by leveraging the processing-in-memory capability of today's 3D stacked memory. Using routing procedure's inherent parallellization feature, our design enables hierarchical improvements on CapsNet inference effciency through minimizing data movement and maximizing parallel processing in memory. Evaluation results demonstrate that our proposed design can achieve substantial improvement on both performance and energy savings for CapsNet inference, with almost zero accuracy loss. The results also suggest good performance scalability in optimizing the routing procedure with increasing network size.

Zhang, Xingyao↗

Integration of Behind-the-Meter PV Fleet Forecasts into Utility Grid System Operations

Four major research objectives were completed over the course of this study. Three of the objectives were to evaluate three, new, state-of-the-art solar irradiance forecasting models. The fourth objective was to improve the California Independent System Operator’s (ISO) load forecasts by integrating behind-the-meter (BTM) PV forecasts. The three, new, state-of-the-art solar irradiance forecasting models included: the infrared (IR) satellite-based cloud motion vector (CMV) model; the WRF-SolarCA model and variants; and the Optimized Deep Machine Learning (ODML)-training model. The first two forecasting models targeted known weaknesses in current operational solar forecasts. They were benchmarked against existing operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) forecasts, visible satellite CMV forecasts, and measured PV plant power production. IR CMV, WRF-SolarCA, and ODML-training forecasting models all improved the forecast to a significant degree. Improvements varied depending on time of day, cloudiness index, and geographic location. The fourth objective was to demonstrate that the California ISO’s load forecasts could be improved by integrating BTM PV forecasts. This objective represented the project’s most exciting and applicable gains. Operational BTM forecasts consisting of 200,000+ individual rooftop PV forecasts were delivered into the California ISO’s real-time automated load forecasting (ALFS) environment. They were then evaluated side-by-side with operational load forecasts with no BTM-treatment. Overall, ALFS-BTM day-ahead (DA) forecasts performed better than baseline ALFS forecasts when compared to actual load data. Specifically, ALFS-BTM DA forecasts were observed to have the largest reduction of error during the afternoon on cloudy days. Shorter term 30 minute-ahead ALFS-BTM forecasts were shown to have less error under all sky conditions, especially during the morning time periods when traditional load forecasts often experience their largest uncertainties. This work culminated in a GO decision being made by the California ISO to include zonal BTM forecasts into its operational load forecasting system. The California ISO’s Manager of Short Term Forecasting, Jim Blatchford, summarized the research performed in this project with the following quote: “The behind-the-meter (BTM) California ISO region forecasting research performed by Clean Power Research and sponsored by the Department of Energy’s SUNRISE program was an opportunity to verify value and demonstrate improved load forecast capability. In 2016, the California ISO will be incorporating the BTM forecast into the Hour Ahead and Day Ahead load models to look for improvements in the overall load forecast accuracy as BTM PV capacity continues to grow.”

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Identifying the Learning Curve for Uterine Artery Embolisation in an Interventional Radiological Training Unit

AimA clear understanding of operator experience is important in improving technical success whilst minimising patient risk undergoing endovascular procedures, and there is the need to ensure that trainees have the appropriate skills as primary operators. The aim of the study is to retrospectively analyse uterine artery embolisation (UAE) procedures performed by interventional radiology (IR) trainees at an IR training unit analysing fluoroscopy times and radiation dose as surrogate markers of technical skill.MethodsTen IR fellows were primary operator in 200 UAE procedures over a 5-year period. We compared fluoroscopy times, radiation dose and complications, after having them categorised according to three groups: Group 1, initial five, Group 2, >5 procedures and Group 3, penultimate five UAE procedures. We documented factors that may affect screening time (number of vials employed and use of microcatheters).ResultsMean fluoroscopy time was 18.4 (±8.1), 17.3 (±9.0), 16.3 (±8.4) min in Groups 1, 2 and 3, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference between these groups (p > 0.05) with respect to fluoroscopy time or radiation dose. Analysis after correction for confounding factors showed no statistical significance (p > 0.05). All procedures were technically successful, and total complication rate was 4 %.ConclusionUAE was chosen as a highly standardised procedure followed by IR practitioners. Although there is a non-significant trend for shorter screening times with experience, technical success and safety were not compromised with appropriate Consultant supervision, which illustrates a safe construct for IR training. This is important and reassuring information for patients undergoing a procedure in a training unit.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Spread spectrum time domain reflectometry (SSTDR) and frequency domain reflectometry (FDR) cable inspection using machine learning

Cables are initially qualified for nuclear power plant use for 40 years. As plants extend their operating license to 60 and 80 years, justification for continued cable use must shift to a condition-based approach since it is cost prohibitive to completely replace cables that are likely still capable of performing their design function. The Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) Accelerated and Real Time Experimental Nodal Analysis (ARENA) cable motor test bed was used to test the response of a commercial spread spectrum time domain reflectometry (SSTDR) system, a laboratory instrument software-controlled SSTDR, and a vector network analyzer-based frequency domain reflectometry (FDR) system to various cable anomalies. The three instrument systems were able to interrogate cables over a range of frequency bandwidths that can be helpful for human data analysis. Data were subjected to supervised and unsupervised machine learning (ML) analyses to distinguish normal undamaged cable responses from anomalous cable responses. Both supervised and unsupervised ML approaches produced encouraging results with an undamaged/anomalous prediction accuracy from 0.69% to 0.87%. Recommendations for further development and field implementation include increased and more balanced sample sets particularly including more training data.

SSTDR, FDR, Reflectometry, Machine Learning, ARENA↗