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At least 1,171 records · Page 65

THE AGE-REDSHIFT RELATION FOR LUMINOUS RED GALAXIES OBTAINED FROM FULL SPECTRUM FITTING AND ITS COSMOLOGICAL IMPLICATIONS

The relative age of galaxies at different redshifts can be used to infer the Hubble parameter and put constraints on cosmological models. We select luminous red galaxies (LRGs) from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Data Release 7 and then cross match it with the MPA/JHU catalog of galaxies to obtain a large sample of quiescent LRGs at redshift z {approx} 0.03-0.39. The total number of quiescent LRGs, 23,883, is divided into four sub-samples according to their velocity dispersions and each sub-sample is further divided into 12 redshift bins. The spectra of the LRGs in each redshift and velocity bin are co-added in order to obtain a combined spectrum with a relatively high signal-to-noise ratio. Adopting the GalexEV/SteLib model, we estimate the mean ages of the LRGs from these combined spectra by using the full-spectrum fitting method. We check the reliability of the estimated age by using Monte Carlo simulations and find that the estimates are robust and reliable. Assuming that the LRGs in each sub-sample and each redshift bin were on average formed at the same time, the Hubble parameter at the present time H {sub 0} is estimated from the age-redshift relation obtained for each sub-sample, which is compatible with the H {sub 0} value measured by other methods. We demonstrate that a systematic bias (up to {approx}20%) may be introduced to the H {sub 0} estimation because of recent star formation in the LRGs due to the later major mergers at z {approx}< 0.4, but this bias may be negligible for those sub-samples with large velocity dispersions. Using the age-redshift relations obtained from the sub-sample with the largest velocity dispersion or the two sub-samples with high velocity dispersions, we find H {sub 0} = 65{sup +7} {sub -3} km s{sup -1} Mpc{sup -1} or H {sub 0} = 74{sup +5} {sub -4} km s{sup -1} Mpc{sup -1} by assuming a spatially flat {Lambda}CDM cosmology. With upcoming surveys, such as the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey, even larger samples of quiescent massive LRGs may be obtained, and thus the Hubble parameter can be measured with high accuracy usimg the age-redshift relation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Joint inversion of electromagnetic measurements for the determination of water saturation profiles in concrete structures

Highlights: • DC-electrical and dielectric data are combined to estimate concrete saturation degree. • A joint inversion approach of the electromagnetic measurements is proposed. • The sensitivity of the measurements to the saturation model parameters is analysed. • The new joint approach was developed and is applied to synthetic and real data. • The benefits of the joint approach over the inversion of one data type are highlighted. Water saturation profiles in concrete are essential to assess its durability and can be determined using non-destructive techniques, especially the electric and the capacitive methods. In this paper, we propose a new inversion scheme where both resistivity and permittivity measurements are inverted jointly to retrieve the saturation profile. The finite element method is used to model the measurements in 3D, the concrete having a saturation profile with depth, represented by a continuous model taking the form of a Weibull curve with four parameters. A non-linear least-squares optimization based on the Levenberg-Marquardt scheme is developed for the inversion of measurements. Results show that information gathered from both measurements enriches the reconstructed profile, leading to a more reliable estimation of saturation profiles. We believe that the joint inversion method herein developed could lead to the study of more complex phenomena, such as the coupled water-chloride ingress.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Development of Ensemble Neural Network Convection Parametrizations for Climate Models Using ARM Data

The novel neural network (NN) approach has been formulated and used for development of a NN ensemble stochastic convection parametrization for climate models. This fast parametrization is built based on data from Cloud Resolving Model (CRM) simulations initialized with and forced by TOGA-COARE data. The SAM (System for Atmospheric Modeling), developed by D. Randall, M. Khairoutdinov, and their collaborators, has been used for CRM simulations. The observational data are also used for validation of model simulations. The SAM-simulated data have been averaged and projected onto the GCM space of atmospheric states to implicitly define a stochastic convection parametrization. This parametrization is emulated using an ensemble of NNs. An ensemble of NNs with different NN parameters has been trained and tested. The inherent uncertainty of the stochastic convection parametrization derived in such a way is estimated. Due to these inherent uncertainties, NN ensemble is used to constitute a stochastic NN convection parametrization. The developed NN convection parametrization have been validated in a diagnostic CAM (CAM-NN) run vs. the control CAM run. Actually, CAM inputs have been used, at every time step of the control/original CAM integration, for parallel calculations of the NN convection parametrization (CAM-NN) to produce its outputs as a diagnostic byproduct. Total precipitation (P) and cloudiness (CLD) time series, diurnal cycles, and P and CLD distributions for the large Tropical Pacific Ocean for the parallel CAM-NN and CAM runs show similarity and consistency with the NCEP reanalysis. The P and CLD distributions for the tropical area for the parallel runs have been analyzed first for the TOGA-COARE boreal winter season (November 1992 through February 1993) and then for the winter seasons of the follow-up parallel decadal simulations. The obtained results are encouraging and practically meaningful. They show the validity of the NN approach. This constitutes an important practical conclusion of the study: the obtained results on NN ensembles as a stochastic physics parametrization show a realistic possibility of development of NN convection parametrization for climate (and NWP) models based on learning cloud physics from CRM/SAM simulated data.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Predicting departure from nucleate boiling with advanced data- and physics-driven approaches

The subcooled and low-quality saturated flow boiling critical heat flux (CHF) corresponding to the departure from nucleate boiling (DNB) is one of the major limiting factors in the design and operation of pressurized water reactors (PWRs). Due to lack of agreement on its physical mechanisms, development of an accurate DNB-type CHF model has been elusive. The various steady-state (SS) predictive tools that have been proposed can be grouped into two categories: (1) data-driven methods—namely best-fit empirical correlations and look-up tables that result in relatively good agreement with specific experimental datasets but often fail to extend beyond their ranges of validity, and (2) the physics-based mechanistic models that rely on reasonable yet limited understanding of the underlying physics and apply constitutive relations to close the conservation equations. On one hand, with recent advances in computational capabilities and optimization techniques, machine learning (ML)-based methods constitute an alternative and a more advanced, data-driven approach. With enough data, they can be particularly useful in engineering fields where the physical phenomena are complex and challenging to model. On the other hand, a state-of-the-art physics-driven approach would not only provide more accurate prediction of SS CHF, but it would also help better understand and model transient applications. The data-driven regression models use deep feed-forward neural networks (NNs) and random forests to cross-validate with 1,865 CHF test cases, covering a wide range of flow conditions and channel geometries. The best-estimate ML-based predictors compare favorably with the widely used look-up table for annulus and plate, and sensitivity analysis has confirmed their effectiveness. The key advantage of ML-based methods is their online extensibility of applicability domain. The proposed physics-driven approach combines key assumptions and parameters in the relatively well-accepted theories of liquid sublayer dryout and near-wall bubble crowding. A more realistic understanding of local mechanisms has been modeled. The new model has been optimized and validated against 1,439 tube data, and it shows considerably improved performance when compared to a recent mechanistic model, demonstrating unbiased close agreement with measurements over a wide range of operating conditions. Future work will extend the improved physics-driven model to non-tube geometry applications and will couple the model with ML via a hybrid approach. The mechanistic SS work will also serve to improve understanding and to model transient CHF scenarios.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Quantitative Uncertainty Analysis for Diffraction

Current software uses a least squares statistical method. For each model parameter, current software yields a point estimate and estimated standard error for each point estimate. In contrast, we have employed a Bayesian approach with sampling algorithm to provide a full posterior probability density function on each model parameter. This yields a different type of solution (probabilistic) with better fidelity. The Quantitative Uncertainty Analysis for Diffraction (QUAD) package returns a matrix of affect model parameters as a function of iteration through the MCMC analysis. QUAD is a Python code that allows for analysis of X-ray and neutron diffraction data to infer the structure of materials with quantifiable certainty. The code uses Bayesian statistics and Markov chain sampling algorithms to create posterior probability distributions on all material structure parameters that are modeled by a researcher. The statistical packages use the open source GSASII project as a library to calculate model diffraction patterns.

Fancher, ChristopherM↗

Dark Energy Survey Year 3 results: calibration of lens sample redshift distributions using clustering redshifts with BOSS/eBOSS

ABSTRACT We present clustering redshift measurements for Dark Energy Survey (DES) lens sample galaxies used in weak gravitational lensing and galaxy clustering studies. To perform these measurements, we cross-correlate with spectroscopic galaxies from the Baryon Acoustic Oscillation Survey (BOSS) and its extension, eBOSS. We validate our methodology in simulations, including a new technique to calibrate systematic errors that result from the galaxy clustering bias, and we find that our method is generally unbiased in calibrating the mean redshift. We apply our method to the data, and estimate the redshift distribution for 11 different photometrically selected bins. We find general agreement between clustering redshift and photometric redshift estimates, with differences on the inferred mean redshift found to be below |Δz| = 0.01 in most of the bins. We also test a method to calibrate a width parameter for redshift distributions, which we found necessary to use for some of our samples. Our typical uncertainties on the mean redshift ranged from 0.003 to 0.008, while our uncertainties on the width ranged from 4 to 9 per cent. We discuss how these results calibrate the photometric redshift distributions used in companion papers for DES Year 3 results.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The Atacama Cosmology Telescope: likelihood for small-scale CMB data

The Atacama Cosmology Telescope has measured the angular power spectra of microwave fluctuations to arcminute scales at frequencies of 148 and 218 GHz, from three seasons of data. At small scales the fluctuations in the primordial Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) become increasingly obscured by extragalactic foregounds and secondary CMB signals. We present results from a nine-parameter model describing these secondary effects, including the thermal and kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (tSZ and kSZ) power; the clustered and Poisson-like power from Cosmic Infrared Background (CIB) sources, and their frequency scaling; the tSZ-CIB correlation coefficient; the extragalactic radio source power; and thermal dust emission from Galactic cirrus in two different regions of the sky. In order to extract cosmological parameters, we describe a likelihood function for the ACT data, fitting this model to the multi-frequency spectra in the multipole range 500 < l < 10000. We extend the likelihood to include spectra from the South Pole Telescope at frequencies of 95, 150, and 220 GHz. Accounting for different radio source levels and Galactic cirrus emission, the same model provides an excellent fit to both datasets simultaneously, with χ{sup 2}/dof= 675/697 for ACT, and 96/107 for SPT. We then use the multi-frequency likelihood to estimate the CMB power spectrum from ACT in bandpowers, marginalizing over the secondary parameters. This provides a simplified 'CMB-only' likelihood in the range 500 < l < 3500 for use in cosmological parameter estimation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Boundary Layer Climatology at ARM Southern Great Plains

Operational since 1992, the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) site in Oklahoma, USA, has become a reference research site for meteorological studies. Because of an open data policy the ARM data are used by researchers all over the world. In this report, we review the long-term climatology of the atmospheric boundary layer, the SGP instrumentation, the site and some site-specific atmospheric conditions, which potentially affect wind turbines in the region. Because the atmospheric boundary layer is bounded and influenced by the land surface, observations of surface radiation components and heat fluxes are crucial to understanding land–atmosphere interactions. The entrainment of air, updrafts, downdrafts, and boundary layer height characteristics is needed for understanding the structure and growth of the atmospheric boundary layer. Therefore, measurements from both ground surface in situ and remote-sensing observations at the SGP site provide an overall climatology and their interactions from ground surface up to the boundary layer. Measurements from a 60 m meteorological tower, surface flux stations, disdrometers, soil temperature and moisture flux plates, coherent Doppler lidar, Raman lidar, radiosondes, and satellite data at the SGP central facility were analyzed. All the measurements were generally made within a few square kilometers of each other at the central facility. This report focuses on data from January 2010 to June 2020 at the SGP central facility. The various sections describe the ARM SGP site and surrounding wind turbines; in situ and remotesensing instrumentation used in the report; mathematical equations to analyze fluxes, turbulence, and other boundary layer parameters; a climatological analysis of surface winds, fluxes and thermodynamic parameters for several years; an analysis of observed winds in the framework of Monin-Obukhov Similarity Theory (MOST); an analysis of the boundary layer winds and direction from a Doppler lidar; multi-year turbulence estimates through the boundary layer from a Doppler lidar; atmospheric boundary layer water vapor and relative humidity profiles from Raman lidar; cloud base height and boundary layer height from multiple sensors and satellite data; and finally site-specific atmospheric conditions, such as nocturnal low-level jets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DONKEY: A Flexible and Accurate Algorithm for Clustering

We propose an accurate clustering algorithm suitable for the varied and multidimensional data sets that correspond to temporal snapshots from on-the-fly nonadiabatic trajectory-based simulations of photoexcited dynamics. The algorithm approximates the underlying probability density function using variable kernel density estimation, with local maxima corresponding to cluster centers. Each data point is then assigned to one of the maxima by employing a maximization procedure. Finally, clusters artificially separated by minor fluctuations in the probability density are merged. The algorithm does not require parameter tuning, which ensures flexibility and reduces the risk of bias. It is tested on several synthetic data sets, where it consistently outperforms conventional clustering algorithms. As a final example, the algorithm is applied to the excited dynamics of the norbornadiene ⇌ quadricyclane (C 7 H 8 ) molecular photoswitch, demonstrating how distinct reaction pathways can be identified.

algorithms↗

Total and partial electron impact ionization cross sections of fusion-relevant diatomic molecules

We discuss calculations of total (and absolute) electron-impact ionization cross sections (EICSs) for the fusion-relevant diatomic molecular species BeH, BeN, BeO, WH, WBe, WN, WO, O 2 , and N 2 by means of the Deutsch-Märk and the binary-encounter-Bethe approaches in the energy range from threshold to 10 keV. In addition, we discuss an empirical scheme to estimate partial cross sections from the total ones based on reaction energetics and empirical threshold laws and explore its accuracy by assessing available experimental data on total and partial EICSs. Lastly, we also observe parameters obtained by fitting the calculated cross sections to an expression commonly used in fusion edge plasma modeling.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Modeling of tungsten filament in gas discharge in H - ion source

Sources of negative ions such as H - are essential elements of proton accelerators and tokamaks. They have limited lifetime. The replacement of an ion source is a costly process causing delays in the operation of the entire machine. The hot tungsten filament is the key element that limits the lifetime of the H - ion source at the Los Alamos Neutron Science Center (LANSCE) facility. An accurate model, which describes the filament physics and provides a reliable estimate on its lifetime, may significantly improve the operation of the facility. In this report we describe such a model, including a comprehensive list of relevant physical processes from first principles. The model can be used to describe different regimes of operation using diagnostics data as input parameters. It has been benchmarked against the data collected during the production cycle at LANSCE and shows good agreement with experimental data.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DISCOVERY AND EARLY MULTI-WAVELENGTH MEASUREMENTS OF THE ENERGETIC TYPE IC SUPERNOVA PTF12GZK: A MASSIVE-STAR EXPLOSION IN A DWARF HOST GALAXY

We present the discovery and extensive early-time observations of the Type Ic supernova (SN) PTF12gzk. Our light curves show a rise of 0.8 mag within 2.5 hr. Power-law fits (f(t){proportional_to}(t - t{sub 0}) {sup n}) to these data constrain the explosion date to within one day. We cannot rule out a quadratic fireball model, but higher values of n are possible as well for larger areas in the fit parameter space. Our bolometric light curve and a dense spectral sequence are used to estimate the physical parameters of the exploding star and of the explosion. We show that the photometric evolution of PTF12gzk is slower than that of most SNe Ic. The high ejecta expansion velocities we measure ({approx}30, 000 km s{sup -1} derived from line minima four days after explosion) are similar to the observed velocities of broad-lined SNe Ic associated with gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) rather than to normal SN Ic velocities. Yet, this SN does not show the persistent broad lines that are typical of broad-lined SNe Ic. The host-galaxy characteristics are also consistent with GRB-SN hosts, and not with normal SN Ic hosts. By comparison with the spectroscopically similar SN 2004aw, we suggest that the observed properties of PTF12gzk indicate an initial progenitor mass of 25-35 M{sub Sun} and a large ((5-10) Multiplication-Sign 10{sup 51} erg) kinetic energy, the later being close to the regime of GRB-SN properties.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

WE-AB-207A-02: John’s Equation Based Consistency Condition and Incomplete Projection Restoration Upon Circular Orbit CBCT

Purpose: In transmitted X-ray tomography imaging, projections are sometimes incomplete due to a variety of reasons, such as geometry inaccuracy, defective detector cells, etc. To address this issue, we have derived a direct consistency condition based on John’s Equation, and proposed a method to effectively restore incomplete projections based on this consistency condition. Methods: Through parameter substitutions, we have derived a direct consistency condition equation from John’s equation, in which the left side is only projection derivative of view and the right side is projection derivative of other geometrical parameters. Based on this consistency condition, a projection restoration method is proposed, which includes five steps: 1) Forward projecting reconstructed image and using linear interpolation to estimate the incomplete projections as the initial result; 2) Performing Fourier transform on the projections; 3) Restoring the incomplete frequency data using the consistency condition equation; 4) Performing inverse Fourier transform; 5) Repeat step 2)∼4) until our criteria is met to terminate the iteration. Results: A beam-blocking-based scatter correction case and a bad-pixel correction case were used to demonstrate the efficacy and robustness of our restoration method. The mean absolute error (MAE), signal noise ratio (SNR) and mean square error (MSE) were employed as our evaluation metrics of the reconstructed images. For the scatter correction case, the MAE is reduced from 63.3% to 71.7% with 4 iterations. Compared with the existing Patch’s method, the MAE of our method is further reduced by 8.72%. For the bad-pixel case, the SNR of the reconstructed image by our method is increased from 13.49% to 21.48%, with the MSE being decreased by 45.95%, compared with linear interpolation method. Conclusion: Our studies have demonstrated that our restoration method based on the new consistency condition could effectively restore the incomplete projections, especially for their high frequency component.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

iTOUGH2 v7.1

iTOUGH2 (inverse TOUGH2) provides inverse modeling capabilities for TOUGH2, a simulator for multi-dimensional, multi-phase, multi-component, non-isothermal flow and transport in fractured porous media. iTOUGH2 performs sensitivity analyses, data-worth analyses, parameter estimation, and uncertainty propagation analyses in geosciences and reservoir engineering and other application areas. iTOUGH2 supports a number of different combinations of fluids and components (equation-of-state (EOS) modules). In addition, the optimization routines implemented in iTOUGH2 can also be used for sensitivity analysis, automatic model calibration, and uncertainty quantification of any external code that uses text-based input and output files using the PEST protocol. iTOUGH2 solves the inverse problem by minimizing a non-linear objective function of the weighted differences between model output and the corresponding observations. Multiple minimization algorithms (derivative-free, gradient-based, and second-order; local and global) are available. iTOUGH2 also performs Latin Hypercube Monte Carlo simulations for uncertainty propagation analyses. A detailed residual and error analysis is provided. This upgrade includes (a) global sensitivity analysis methods, (b) dynamic memory allocation (c) additional input features and output analyses, (d) increased forward simulation capabilities, (e) parallel execution on multicore PCs and Linux clusters, and (f) bug fixes.

Finsterle, Stefan↗

Geometric Measures of Trustworthiness for Machine Learning Predictions

his report details the findings from the research and investigation of Geometric Measures of Trustworthiness for Machine Learning Predictions. We explored the trustworthiness of machine learning (ML) models’ predictions using geometric measures to quantify the similarity of a query point with the training data. Predictive uncertainty in ML can originate from at least three sources: (1) Model uncertainty, which represents the uncertainty in model form (e.g. decision tree, vs neural network) and estimating the model parameters from the training data, (2) Data uncertainty, which represents the natural complexities of the data such as class overlap and inherent noise, and (3) Distributional uncertainty, which represents the mismatch between the training and operational distributions. The proposed measures focus on measuring and explaining the data and distributional uncertainties by measuring the relationships of operational data with the training data.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The Large Sky Area Multi-Object Fiber Spectroscopic Telescope (LAMOST) Quasar Survey: Quasar Properties from Data Releases 6 to 9

We report the fourth installment in the series of the Large Sky Area Multi-Object Fiber Spectroscopic Telescope (LAMOST) quasar survey, which includes quasars observed between 2017 September and 2021 June. There are in total 13,066 quasars reliably identified, of which 6685 are newly discovered that are not reported in the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) DR14 quasar catalog or Million Quasars catalog. Because LAMOST does not provide accurate absolute flux calibration, we recalibrate the spectra with the SDSS/Pan-STARRS1 multiband photometric data. The emission-line properties of Hα, Hβ, Mg II , and C Iv and the continuum luminosities are measured by fitting the recalibrated spectra. We also estimate the single-epoch virial black hole masses (M BH ) using the derived emission-line and continuum parameters. This is the first time that the emission-line and continuum fluxes were estimated based on LAMOST recalibrated quasar spectra. The catalog and spectra for these quasars are available online. After the 9 yr LAMOST quasar survey, there are in total 56,175 identified quasars, of which 24,127 are newly discovered. The LAMOST quasar survey not only discovers a great number of new quasars but also provides a database for investigating the spectral variability of the quasars observed by both LAMOST and SDSS and finding rare quasars, including changing-look quasars and broad absorption line quasars.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Autonomous Inversion of In Situ Deformation Measurement Data for Injection-Induced Stress Change

Geologic carbon storage (GCS) is likely to play a key part of the global effort to dramatically reduce CO2 emissions and perhaps even reduce atmospheric CO2 concentrations through carbon negative operations. A critical part of effort to commercialize and widely deploy this technology is developing the capability to rapidly assimilate real-time monitoring data into a form that will enable site operators to make decisions to manage the safe and efficient operations. Two of the risks associate with GCS are the risk of inducing fractures in the sealing formations that can create leakage pathways and the risk of inducing earthquakes of sufficient magnitude to cause public concern, property damage, or safety risks. To properly manage these risks the site operator needs to know the initial state of stress, the change in stress induced by injection, and the relationship between operational parameters such as injection rate and pressure and the change in stress. Current methods of estimating the change in stress require choosing the type of constitutive model and the model parameters based on core, log, and geophysical data during the characterization phase, with little feedback from operational observations to validate or refine these choices. These characterization methods interrogate the geologic formations using length scales, loading rates or magnitudes that are quite different from those encountered by the actual storage system. It is shown that errors in the assumed constitutive response, even when informed by laboratory tests on core samples, are likely to be common, large, and underestimate the magnitude of stress change caused by injection. Recent advances in borehole-based strain instruments and borehole and surface-based tilt and displacement instruments have now enabled monitoring of the deformation of the storage system throughout its operational lifespan. This data can enable validation and refinement of the knowledge of the geomechanical properties and state of the system, but brings with it a challenge to transform the raw data into actionable knowledge. We demonstrate a method that uses automatic differentiation and a finite-element based geomechanical model perform a gradient-based deterministic inversion of geomechanical monitoring data. This approach allows autonomous integration of the instrument data without the need for time consuming manual interpretation and selection of updated model parameters. Furthermore, only isotropic linear elasticity is considered in this paper, the approach presented is very flexible as to what type of geomechanical constitutive response can be used. The approach is easily adaptable to nonlinear physics-based constitutive models to account for common rock behaviors such as creep and plasticity. The approach also enables training of machine learning-based constitutive models by allowing back propagation of errors through the finite element calculations. This enables strongly enforcing known physics, such as conservation of momentum and continuity, while allowing data-driven models to learn the truly unknown physics such as the constitutive or petrophysical responses.

Burghardt, Jeffrey A.↗

Petroleum Refinery Jobs and Economic Development Impact (JEDI) Model User Reference Guide

The Jobs and Economic Development Impact (JEDI) models, developed through the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), are user-friendly tools utilized to estimate the economic impacts at the local level of constructing and operating fuel and power generation projects for a range of conventional and renewable energy technologies. The JEDI Petroleum Refinery Model User Reference Guide was developed to assist users in employing and understanding the model. This guide provides information on the model's underlying methodology, as well as the parameters and references used to develop the cost data utilized in the model. This guide also provides basic instruction on model add-in features, operation of the model, and a discussion of how the results should be interpreted. Based on project-specific inputs from the user, the model estimates job creation, earning and output (total economic activity) for a given petroleum refinery. This includes the direct, indirect and induced economic impacts to the local economy associated with the refinery's construction and operation phases. Project cost and job data used in the model are derived from the most current cost estimations available. Local direct and indirect economic impacts are estimated using economic multipliers derived from IMPLAN software. By determining the regional economic impacts and job creation for a proposed refinery, the JEDI Petroleum Refinery model can be used to field questions about the added value refineries may bring to the local community.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗