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At least 1,189 records · Page 66

Prediction of High-Latitude Ionospheric Electrodynamics Using the Machine Learning Based Auroral Ionospheric Electrodynamics Model

We introduce a new framework for Machine-Learning (ML) based Auroral Ionosphere Model (ML-AIM). ML-AIM solves a current continuity equation by utilizing the ML model of Field Aligned Currents (FACs) of Kunduri et al., 2020 (https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JA027908), the FAC-derived aurora conductance model of Robinson et al., 2020 (https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JA028008), and the solar irradiance conductance model of Moen & Brekke (1993). The ML-AIM inputs are 60min time histories of solar wind plasma, interplanetary magnetic fields (IMF), and geomagnetic indices, and its outputs are ionospheric electric potential, electric fields, Pederson/Hall currents, and Joule Heating. We conduct two ML-AIM simulations for a weak geomagnetic activity on 14 May 2013 and a geomagnetic storm on 7-8 September 2017. ML-AIM produces reasonable ionospheric potential patterns such as two cell convection patterns and the enhancement of electric potentials during active times. The cross polar cap potential drop from ML-AIM is also comparable to the ones from the Weimer 2005 model, Super Dual Auroral Radar Network (SuperDARN), and Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) F17 observations. ML-AIM is unique in a sense that it predicts ionospheric responses to the time-varying solar wind and geomagnetic conditions, while other traditional empirical model like Weimer 2005 is designed to provide static ionospheric conditions under steady solar wind/IMF conditions. In future, ML-AIM will include ML-based models of aurora precipitation and ionospheric conductance, improving its performance during active times.

H. K. Connor↗

Dynamics of Solar Energetic Particles in Geospace

Solar energetic particles (SEPs) penetrate deep into the geospace and the Earth's atmosphere, initiating nuclear and chemical reactions. These reactions produce secondary hadrons, leptons, and photons, posing radiation hazards at commercial aviation altitudes, particularly during high-latitude flights. During solar particle events, protons with energies above 10 MeV can reach below 100 km altitude, causing ionization that disrupts HF communication and navigation in polar regions. Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs) and Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) pose radiation risks to satellites, astronauts, and ground infrastructure. High-energy particles can lead to single-event effects in spacecraft electronics, such as upsets, latch-ups, and burnouts. These particles also interact with the Earth's atmosphere, generating ionization and secondary particles like hadrons, leptons, and photons, creating hazards for astronauts, especially during extravehicular activities. The work presented in the paper is focused on characterizing the SEP population in geospace in the altitude range starting from that of LEO through MEO and GEO, and up to the magnetopause accounting for the realistic geomagnetic field. The dynamics of SEPs are studied during quiet and geomagnetically active times using Monte Carlo simulations. The paper discusses the variability of the SEP population in geospace in response to geomagnetic activity. The former manifests in the temporal trapping of SEPs in geospace and the suppression of rigidity cutoff during geomagnetic storms.

Valeriy Tenishev↗

Modeling and Impact of Solar Energetic Particles in the Heliosphere and Geospace

Understanding the radiation environment due to solar energetic particles in the heliosphere and the Earth’s magnetosphere is a challenging and practically important task. Exposure to energetic particles often leads to malfunctions and unexpected failures of electronics onboard spacecraft. The most vulnerable are exploratory missions when outside of the Earth’s magnetosphere. Geomagnetic field deflects Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) moving through geospace though some of these particles propagate to LEO and have a high penetrating capability, thus producing significant radiation hazards for human spaceflight. Solar energetic particles also have an essential effect on the composition and dynamics of the Earth’s atmosphere. Precipitating SEPs enhance the atmospheric concentration of NOx and HOx, which play a crucial role in the ozone balance in the middle atmosphere by destroying odd oxygen through catalytic reactions. Numerical modeling of the radiation environment due to SEPs in the inner heliosphere and geospace is a multifold problem. That includes simulating 1) solar wind dynamics and the interplanetary magnetic field, 2) global modeling of the Earth’s magnetosphere, and 3) modeling transport and acceleration of SEPs in the inner heliosphere and geospace. The lecture will outline the key physical processes that control the behavior of SEPs in the heliosphere and geospace, along with the contemporary numerical methods used for their modeling. It will primarily focus on describing the SEP population in geospace across different altitudes, ranging from Low Earth Orbit (LEO) through Medium Earth Orbit (MEO) and Geostationary Orbit (GEO), up to the magnetopause, while considering the realistic geomagnetic field. Additionally, the lecture will cover how the SEP population in geospace varies in response to geomagnetic activity. This includes the temporal trapping of SEPs in geospace and the reduction of the rigidity cutoff during geomagnetic storms.

solar energetic particles↗

Simulation of the 23 July 2012 Extreme Space Weather Event: What if This Extremely Rare CME Was Earth Directed?

Extreme space weather events are known to cause adverse impacts on critical modern day technological infrastructure such as high-voltage electric power transmission grids. On 23 July 2012, NASA's Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory-Ahead (STEREO-A) spacecraft observed in situ an extremely fast coronal mass ejection (CME) that traveled 0.96 astronomical units (approx. 1 AU) in about 19 h. Here we use the SpaceWeather Modeling Framework (SWMF) to perform a simulation of this rare CME.We consider STEREO-A in situ observations to represent the upstream L1 solar wind boundary conditions. The goal of this study is to examine what would have happened if this Rare-type CME was Earth-bound. Global SWMF-generated ground geomagnetic field perturbations are used to compute the simulated induced geoelectric field at specific ground-based active INTERMAGNET magnetometer sites. Simulation results show that while modeled global SYM-H index, a high-resolution equivalent of the Dst index, was comparable to previously observed severe geomagnetic storms such as the Halloween 2003 storm, the 23 July CME would have produced some of the largest geomagnetically induced electric fields, making it very geoeffective. These results have important practical applications for risk management of electrical power grids.

SPACE WEATHER↗

Quantifying the Effect of Magnetic Field Line Curvature Scattering on the Loss of Ring Current Ions

During geomagnetic storms, the ring current ions sometimes exhibit rapid loss as suggested by the fast recovery of the Dst index on a time scale of a few hours. Here, the effects of magnetic field line curvature (FLC) scattering on the loss of ring current ions, which have not been well quantified, are studied here by test particle simulations under the T89c magnetic field model. Our simulation results show that the prediction of ion loss based on a single–value cutoff of the κ parameter or maximum of δμ/μ of a single FLC scattering is not accurate. Instead, the e–folding lifetime (τ) for the loss of ring current ions due to cumulative FLC scattering has been calculated for different initial ion energies, equatorial pitch angles, and L shells under different geomagnetic conditions. The results show that in general the FLC scattering loss is faster for ions of higher energy, higher mass, smaller pitch angle, higher L, and at high Kp level. Specifically, we find that at Kp = 6 the lifetime can be <10 h at L > 5 for 100 s keV protons and at L > 4 for 100 s keV O + , which demonstrates that FLC scattering can be an important mechanism for the observed fast loss (τ < 10 h) of ring current ions during geomagnetic storms. Furthermore, we formulate an empirical formula for τ as a function of ion energy, pitch angle, position, species, and Kp. The empirical formula can be directly included in ring current models to account for the FLC scattering effects.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Variations of atmospheric density near 400 km with magnetic activity during the storm period of 28 September to 2 October 1969

Neutral density data were obtained near 400 km (1600 LT) from a microphone density gage on OGO-6 from 0 to 40 deg N geomagnetic latitude for 25 September through 3 October 1969. Several geomagnetic storms occurred during this period. Least squares fits were made to data points on density scatter diagrams. An equation representing the least squares fit was computed for each delay time. The equation of best fit (and the corresponding time delay between the density and the magnetic index which resulted in this best fit) was found by choosing the equation that gave the minimum standard error. The implications of the time differences associated with the best fits at various latitudes and longitudes are discussed with regard to the time delays involved in geomagnetic heating of the neutral upper atmosphere.

Anderson, A. D.↗

Neutral density measurements near 400 kilometers by a microphone density gage on Ogo 6 during July 12-15, 1969.

Analysis of persistent density peaks (maxima) measured near 400 km during daytime (1425 LT) by a microphone density gauge on Ogo 6 during July 12 to 15, 1969. Most of the density peaks occurred between geomagnetic latitudes 50 and 61 N and L values 2.3 and 4.7. The average density change in the peaks was 27%. Most of the peaks appeared in the longitude sector from 150 to 350 E. No density peaks were measured in the 50 to 130 E sector during the 3-1/2 day observation period. A persistent pair of density peaks was present on seven successive orbits during July 13 and July 14 (both geomagnetically disturbed days) near geomagnetic latitudes 53 and 61 N, respectively.

Anderson, A. D.↗

On the diamagnetic effect of the plasma sheet near 60 earth radii.

The two-dimensional (YZ plane) spatial distribution of magnetic field magnitudes in the geomagnetic tail at the lunar distance is given in both the solar magnetospheric and the neutral-sheet coordinate systems by using three years of data from the Ames magnetometer on Explorer 35. The effect of changes in geomagnetic activity is also presented. In the magnetotail near 60 earth radii, a broad region in which the magnetic field intensity is relatively weak in comparison with that in the other region of the tail is located adjacent to the solar magnetospheric equatorial plane and the calculated neutral sheet. This depression of the field due to the diamagnetic effect of the plasma sheet is more evident during times of minimum geomagnetic activity.-

Meng, C.-I.↗

Solar activity and the weather

Some evidence that the weather is influenced by solar activity is reviewed. It appears that the solar magnetic sector structure is related to the circulation of the earth's atmosphere during local winter. About 31/2 days after the passage of a sector boundary the maximum effect is seen: apparently the height of all pressure surfaces increases in high latitudes leading to anticyclogenesis, whereas at midlatitudes the height of the pressure surfaces decreases leading to low pressure systems or to deepening of existing systems. This later effect is clearly seen as an increase in the area of the base of air with absolute vorticity exceeding a given threshold. Since the increase of geomagnetic activity generally is small at a sector boundary, it is speculated that geomagnetic activity as such is not the cause of the response to the sector structure, but that both weather and geomagnetic activity are influenced by the same (unknown) mechanism.

Svalgaard, L.↗

On possible interactions between upper and lower atmosphere

Comparison of geomagnetic data with data on tropospheric and stratospheric circulation characteristics shows a statistically highly significant shrinking in areal extent of the stratospheric vortex from the third to the eight day following a geomagnetic storm. During the contraction of the polar vortex edge, the mean height of the vortex central contour decreases only slightly. This indicates that a stratospheric warming event is associated with a steepening of the contour gradient rather than a warming over the entire area of the stratospheric polar vortex. The troposphere reacts to these weak, but nevertheless significant stratospheric warming events by a shrinkage of the area of the 500-mb cold air pool. It is shown that the observed warming of the stratosphere that follows a geomagnetically disturbed key day cannot be explained by simple radiation absorption.

Macdonald, B. C.↗

The aurora as a source of planetary-scale waves in the middle atmosphere

Photographs of global scale auroral forms taken by scanning radiometers onboard weather satellites in 1972 show that auroral bands exhibit well organized wave motion with typical zonal wave number of 5 or so. The scale size of these waves is in agreement with that of well organized neutral wind fields in the 150- to 200-km region during the geomagnetic storm of May 27, 1967. Further, the horizontal scale size revealed by these observations are in agreement with that of high altitude traveling ionospheric disturbances. It is conjectured that the geomagnetic storm is a source of planetary and synoptic scale neutral atmospheric waves in the middle atmosphere. Although there is, at present, no observation of substorm related waves of this scale size at mesospheric and stratospheric altitudes, the possible existence of a new source of waves of the proper scale size to trigger instabilities in middle atmospheric circulation systems may be significant in the study of lower atmospheric response to geomagnetic activity.

Chiu, Y. T.↗

Interplantetary streams and their interaction with the earth

Plasma and magnetic field observations of interplanetary streams near 1 AU are summarized. Two types of streams have been identified corotating streams and flare-associated, and other flow patterns are present due to interactions among streams. The theory of corotating streams, which attributes them to a high temperature region near the sun, satisfactorily explains many of the effects observed at 1 AU. A correspondingly complete theory of flare-associated streams does not exist. Streams are a key link in the chain that connects solar and geomagnetic activity. The factors that most influence geomagnetic activity are probably related to streams and determined by the dynamics of streams. The evolution of streams on scales of 27 days and 11 years probably determines the corresponding variations of geomagnetic activity.

Burlaga, L. F.↗

Explorer 18 study of the stability of the magnetopause using a Kelvin-Helmholtz instability criterion

Explorer 18 magnetometer and plasma probe data are used to calculate the magnitude of the Kelvin-Helmholtz instability criterion for 42 crossings of the magnetopause. The 30 crossings through the dipole field region show that for low levels of geomagnetic disturbance ( Kp less than or equal to 2) large regions of the magnetopause near the nose are stable, whereas for higher levels of geomagnetic disturbance (Kp greater than 2) only a small region near the nose is stable. The unstable regions are found further downstream. Similarly, the 12 crossings through the tail show that the unstable regions are downstream of the stable regions. The Kelvin-Helmholtz mechanism might be the 'viscous interaction' discussed by Axford and Hines (1961) and the relevant parameter for worldwide geomagnetic disturbance, just as the southward interplanetary field has been firmly established as the major relevant parameter in the case of substorm activity.

Boller, B. R.↗

Investigation of the association of magnetopause instability with interplanetary sector structure

The variation of the solar wind parameters (speed, magnetic field intensity, and proton density) and geomagnetic disturbance with location within the interplanetary sector structure is well established. The Kelvin-Helmholtz instability of the magnetopause provides a mechanism for the initiation of worldwide geomagnetic disturbance. Since the Kelvin-Helmholtz mechanism depends on an integration of several of the solar wind parameters, it was considered of interest to see how it varies within the sector structure. Support is given to the idea that the integration of the solar wind parameters via Kelvin-Helmholtz instability is an important concept in understanding geomagnetic disturbance.

Boller, B. R.↗

Solar activity and the weather

Some new evidence that the weather is influenced by solar activity is reviewed. It appears that the solar magnetic sector structure is related to the circulation of the earth's atmosphere during local winter. About 3 1/2 days after the passage of a sector boundary the maximum effect is seen; apparently the height of all pressure surfaces increases in high latitudes leading to anticyclogenesis, whereas at midlatitudes the height of the pressure surfaces decreases leading to low pressure systems or to deepening of existing systems. This later effect is clearly seen as an increase in the area of the base of air with absolute vorticity exceeding a given threshold. Since the increase of geomagnetic activity generally is small at a sector boundary it is speculated that geomagnetic activity as such is not the cause of the response to the sector structure but that both weather and geomagnetic activity are influenced by the same (unknown) mechanism.

Svalgaard, L.↗

Some properties of the Svalgaard A/C index

Several properties of the A/C index of polar cap variations introduced by L. Svalgaard in 1972 have been found to vary with time. In the presatellite era, C days, as measured by the Ap index, are almost twice as geomagnetically active as A days, while in the modern epoch they have essentially identical activity. Prior to 1962 there were over 40% more A days than C days per year, while during the modern epoch there are essentially equal numbers of A days and C days. In view of this strong bias to assigning a 'toward' classification on geomagnetically active days it is recommended that the Svalgaard A/C classification not be used in studies of geomagnetic activity. It is also recommended that a full and thorough documentation of the index be prepared and/or that others undertake to compile such a classification separately.

Russell, C. T.↗

Interplanetary streams and their interaction with the earth

Plasma and magnetic field observations of interplanetary streams near 1 AU are summarized. Two types of streams have been identified - corotating streams and flare-associated, and other flow patterns are present due to interactions among streams. The theory of corotating streams, which attributes them to a high temperature region near the sun, satisfactorily explains many of the effects observed at 1 AU. A correspondingly complete theory of flare-associated streams does not exist. Streams are a key link in the chain that connects solar and geomagnetic activity. The factors that most influence geomagnetic activity are probably related to streams and determined by the dynamics of streams. The evolution of streams on scales of 27 days and 11 years probably determines the corresponding variations of geomagnetic activity.

Burlaga, L. F.↗

Magnetic attitude control system for dual-spin satellites

A closed-loop control law is developed for a dual-spin satellite control system which utilizes the interaction of the geomagnetic field with the satellite dipole parallel to the spin axis. The control law consists of the linear combination of the pitch axis component of the rate of change of the geomagnetic field and the product of the roll angle and roll axis component of the geomagnetic field. Application of the method of multiple time scales yields approximate solutions for the feedback gains in terms of the system parameters. Approximate solutions are also obtained for the response of the system to disturbance torques. A comparison of the approximate solutions and numerical solutions obtained by numerical integration of the exact equations of motion is then given.

Alfriend, K. T.↗