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A Combined Length-of-Day Series Spanning 1832-1997

The Earth's rotation is not constant but exhibits minute changes on all observable time scales ranging from subdaily to secular. This rich spectrum of observed Earth rotation changes reflects the rich variety of astronomical and geophysical phenomena that are causing the Earth's rotation to change, including, but not limited to, ocean and solid body tides, atmospheric wind and pressure changes, oceanic current and sea level height changes, post-glacial rebound, and torques acting at the core-mantle boundary. In particular, the decadal-scale variations of the Earth's rotation are thought to be largely caused by interactions between the Earth's outer core and mantle. Comparing the inferred Earth rotation variations caused by the various core-mantle interactions to observed variations requires Earth rotation observations spanning decades, if not centuries. During the past century many different techniques have been used to observe the Earth's rotation. By combining the individual Earth rotation series determined by each of these techniques, a series of the Earth's rotation can be obtained that is based upon independent measurements spanning the greatest possible time interval. In this study, independent observations of the Earth's rotation are combined to generate a length-of-day series spanning 1832-1997. The observations combined include lunar occultation measurements spanning 1832-1955, optical astrometric measurements spanning 1956-1982, lunar laser ranging measurements spanning 1970-1997, and very long baseline interferometric measurements spanning 1978-1998. These series are combined using a Kalman filter developed at JPL for just this purpose. The resulting combined length-of-day series will be presented and compared with other available length-of-day series of similar duration.

Gross, Richard S.↗

Monitoring the Urban Heat Island Effect and the Efficacy of Future Countermeasures

To relate fine-scale spatial air-temperature variations in local urban heat islands and urban cool islands—increases and decreases in outside air temperature—within a large urban-climate archipelago to variations in land-use and land-cover properties in the Los Angeles Basin, the research team sought to (a) use fine-resolution meso-urban climate models to identify areas of urban heat and cool islands, select sites for fixed weather monitoring, and choose routes for mobile observations; (b) relate observed intraurban temperature variations to land use and land cover and surface physical properties; and (c) calibrate/validate the climate models. The research team assessed urban temperature variations via simulations and observations, including mobile transects, mesonet, dense networks of personal weather stations, and sparse but more accurate research-grade monitors. To identify the causative factors of the urban heat and cool islands at the neighborhood scale, the research team collected detailed urban morphometric and land use and land cover datasets, such as 1-meter (3.3 foot) resolution roof albedo (solar reflectance) and tree canopy cover. The research team used the observationvalidated model to finalize the transect routes and site the stationary monitors. This study provides the first observational evidence from analysis of high-spatial-density weather stations that increases in roof albedo at neighborhood scale are associated with reductions in near-surface air temperature. This finding was corroborated with the analysis from mobile transect measurements and correlation of observed air temperature with neighborhood-scale albedo and vegetation. This correlation revealed a cooling effect from areawide increase in albedo or canopy cover or both. The calibrated meteorological model accurately identified the localized urban heat and cool islands observed in this study. Interested stakeholders/researchers can use the same models and calibration/validation methodology to characterize within-city microclimate variations elsewhere in California, and can apply them to analyze the benefits from using urban heat island countermeasures. This project report is an extended and more detailed version of a related report prepared for California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Seasonal and Non-Seasonal Variations of Jupiter's Atmosphere from Observations of Thermal Emission, 1994-2011

We analyzed mid-infrared images of Jupiter's thermal emission, covering approx.1.5 Jovian years, acquired in discrete filters between 7.8 and 24.5 microns. The behavior of stratospheric (approx.10-mbar) and tropospheric (approx.100-400 mbar) temperatures is generally consistent with predictions of seasonal variability, with differences between 100-mbar temperatures +/-50-60deg from the equator on the order of +/-2. Removing this effect, there appear to be long-term quasi-periodic variability of tropospheric temperatures, whose amplitude, phase and period depend on latitude. The behavior of temperatures in the Equatorial Zone (EZ) suggests a approx.4-6-year period with amplitude of about +/-1-1.5 K in temperature. At mid-latitudes, the periodicity is more distinct with amplitudes around +/-1.5-2.5 K and 4-8 year periods. The 4.2-year variation of stratospheric temperatures known as the quasiquadrennial oscillation or "QQO" (Leovy et al. 1991, Nature 354, 380) continued during this period. There were no variations of zonal mean temperatures associated with any of the "global upheaval" events that have produced dramatic changes of jupiter's visible appearance and cloud cover, although there are colder discrete regions associated with updrafts, e.g. the early stages of the re-darkening ("revival") of the South Equatorial Belt (SEB) in late 2010. On the other hand increases in the visible albedos ("fades") of belts are accompanied by increases in the thickness of a 700-mbar cloud layer (most likely NH3 ice) and clouds at higher pressures, together with the mixing ratio of NH3 gas near 400 mbar (above its condensation level). These quantities decrease during re-darkening ("revival") episodes, during which we note discrete features that are exceptions to the general correlation between dark albedos and minimal cloudiness. In contrast to all these changes, the meridional distribution of the 240-mbar para-H2 fraction appears to be invariant in time.

Orton, G.↗

Bio-fuel effects and seasonal fuel property variations related to abnormal combustion occurrences observed in the field

Since 2015, the automotive industry has regularly observed sharp increases in customer complaints of poor driveability and increased warranty claims during the months of September and October. These persistent seasonal complaint increases have been tracked to occur from increased abnormal combustion events that coincide with the seasonal transition from summer to winter fuel volatility, beginning on September 15th annually. The Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP) of gasoline during this seasonal transition has been found to be the primary property attributed to this annual issue. It’s hypothesized that an increase in volatile butanes and pentanes from advanced petroleum recovery techniques and hydrofracking production has hastened the transition from summer to winter fuel volatility in the marketplace, rather than the gradual increase of the RVP over time as historically intended. At worst, mid-winter fuel, with an RVP ranging from 12 to 16 psi, depending on location in the U.S., enters the market while ambient temperatures can still be above average for the winter season. This combination of high volatility fuel with unseasonably warm weather will increase fuel system flash boiling, injector spray cavitation, and spray collapse inside the engine’s combustion chamber, ultimately linking fuel property variations to abnormal engine combustion processes. This CRADA program will investigate these known knowledge gaps by coupling with two national laboratories, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory to employ both unique tools and expertise throughout the industry to provide the insight, knowledge, and data critical to understand the observed interactions. Overall findings of this work are that fuel wall retention increased SPI proportionally, and fuels with an increased distillation (i.e. energy fraction) above the wall temperature increased fuel retention. Likewise fuels with increased enthalpy of vaporization (HoV) increased fuel retention proportional to the temperature reduction from the HoV (~13K reduction in this work). Thus, fuel with increased HoV and increased fuel distillation above the linear temperature also exhibited increased SPI rates. Fuel with high RVP did exhibit increased fuel spray collapse form spray imaging measurements, but in SPI testing the high volatility of these fuels at the tested conditions did not necessarily increase SPI rates despite exhibiting increased spray collapse in injector imaging and increased spray-wall impingement measured in fired engine testing. It was also found that spray imaging showed collapse was possible at throttled conditions, but this was not relevant to high boost pressures relevant to SPI conditions, however, under transient load and or speed encountered in real-world operation fuel spray collapse could affect fuel retention and real-world SPI that were not probed in the automated high load test sequence of this work.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Robust design of dynamic observers

The two (identity) observer realizations z = Mz + Ky and z = transpose of Az + transpose of K(y - transpose of Cz), respectively called the open loop and closed loop realizations, for the linear system x = Ax, y = Cx are analyzed with respect to the requirement of robustness; i.e., the requirement that the observer continue to regulate the error x - z satisfactorily despite small variations in the observer parameters from the projected design values. The results show that the open loop realization is never robust, that robustness requires a closed loop implementation, and that the closed loop realization is robust with respect to small perturbations in the gains transpose of K if and only if the observer can be built to contain an exact replica of the unstable and underdamped dynamics of the system being observed. These results clarify the stringent accuracy requirements on both models and hardware that must be met before an observer can be considered for use in a control system.

Bhattacharyya, S. P.↗

Seasonal observation of Mars

The International Ultraviolet Explorer detected the Hartley bands of ozone in the spectrum of Mars. Seasonal observations show a variation in the north consistent with the measurement of Mariner 9. Observations during Martian late fall in the south were also made.

Lane, A. L.↗

Electron beams and Langmuir turbulence in solar type III radio bursts observed in the interplanetary medium

Results are presented of in situ observations of electron beams, plasma waves, and associated solar type II radio emission in the interplanetary medium near 1 AU, which were provided by the ISEE-3 spacecraft. It is shown that electron beams are formed by the faster electrons arriving before the slower ones, following an impulsive injection at the sun. The resulting bump-on-tail in the reduced 1D distribution function is unstable to the growth of electrostatic electron plasma (Langmuir) waves. The Langmuir waves are observed to be highly impulsive in nature. The onset and temporal variations of the observed plasma waves are in good qualitative agreement with the wave growth expected from the evolution of the measured 1D distribution function. The lack of obvious plateauing of the bump-on-tail suggests that the waves were removed from resonance with the beam electrons by some wave-wave interaction.

Lin, R. P.↗

Solar cycle variation of interplanetary shocks, coronal mass ejections, and stream interactions observed at 0.7 AU

A survey of the Pioneer Venus Orbiter (PVO) magnetometer and plasma data from 1979-1980, shows that the occurrence frequency of interplanetary shocks, coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and stream interactions observed at 0.7 AU exhibits a solar cycle variation. As previously found at 1 AU, the observed number of both interplanetary shocks and CMEs peaks during solar maximum (approximately 16 and approximately 27 per year, respectively) and reaches a low during solar minimum (approximately 0 and approximately 7 per year, respectively), in phase with the variation in smoothed sunspot number. The number of stream interactions observed varies in the opposite manner, having a minimum during solar maximum (approximately 15 per year) and a maximum during solar minimum (approximately 34 per year). The percentage of CMEs and stream interactions producing interplanetary shocks also varies during the solar-cycle and exhibits interesting behavior during the declining phase. While the number of CMEs observed during this phase is decreasing, the percentage of CMEs producing interplanetary shocks reaches a maximum. Also, while the number of stream interactions observed is increasing, but has not reached maximum during the declining phase, the percentage of stream interactions producing interplanety shocks is at a maximum.

Lindsay, G. M.↗

Simultaneous Observations of Atmospheric Tides from Combined in Situ and Remote Observations at Mars from the MAVEN Spacecraft

We report the observations of longitudinal variations in the Martian thermosphere associated with nonmigrating tides. Using the Neutral Gas Ion Mass Spectrometer (NGIMS) and the Imaging Ultraviolet Spectrograph (IUVS) on NASA's Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN Mission (MAVEN) spacecraft, this study presents the first combined analysis of in situ and remote observations of atmospheric tides at Mars for overlapping volumes, local times, and overlapping date ranges. From the IUVS observations, we determine the altitude and latitudinal variation of the amplitude of the nonmigrating tidal signatures, which is combined with the NGIMS, providing information on the compositional impact of these waves. Both the observations of airglow from IUVS and the CO2 density observations from NGIMS reveal a strong wave number 2 signature in a fixed local time frame. The IUVS observations reveal a strong latitudinal dependence in the amplitude of the wave number 2 signature. Combining this with the accurate CO2 density observations from NGIMS, this would suggest that the CO2 density variation is as high as 27% at 0-10 deg latitude. The IUVS observations reveal little altitudinal dependence in the amplitude of the wave number 2 signature, varying by only 20% from 160 to 200 km. Observations of five different species with NGIMS show that the amplitude of the wave number 2 signature varies in proportion to the inverse of the species scale height, giving rise to variation in composition as a function of longitude. The analysis and discussion here provide a roadmap for further analysis as additional coincident data from these two instruments become available.

atmospheric tides↗

Radial and latitudinal variations of the interplanetary magnetic field

This paper presents observations of the radial and latitudinal variations of the interplanetary magnetic field measured by the Voyager 1 (V1) and Voyager 2 (V2) spacecraft from mid-1977 to mid-1985. Observations of the radial variation of the large-scale magnetic field strength in the ecliptic agree with the predictions of Parker's (1958, 1963) model when temporal variations in the magnetic field and bulk speed are taken into account. The latitudinal variation of the magnetic field observed by V1 is in agreement with the predictions of Parker's model to first approximation. The magnetic field strength at higher latitudes is somewhat lower than expected on the basis of observations made in the ecliptic, but this could be due to an increase in bulk speed and/or a decrease of solar magnetic field strength with latitude. Fluctuations in the strength of the magnetic field are small compared to the large-scale field itself, and they decrease in amplitude with increasing distance approximately as R exp -1/4 . Fluctuations in the components are relatively large, and they make a significant contribution to the mean field that is not described by Parker's model.

Klein, Larry W.↗

The role of ring current O(+) in the formation of stable auroral red arcs

Observations of thermal and energetic ion populations by the Dynamics Explorer 1 satellite in the magnetospheric energy source region as well as nearly simultaneous Langmuir probe measurements of enhanced electron temperatures by Dynamics Explorer 2 within the stable auroral red (SAR) arc at F region heights are used to examine the role of heavy ions in the formation of SAR arcs. It is found that sufficient energy is transferred to the electron gas at high altitudes via Coulomb collisions between the observed ring current ions and thermal electrons to support the enhanced F region electron temperatures measured on these field lines. The latitudinal variation in the electron heating rates calculated using observed ion populations is consistent with the observed variation in electron temperature across the SAR arc. In all cases, ring current O(+) is the major source of energy for the SAR arcs.

Kozyra, J. U.↗

Atom probe tomography analysis of the reference Zircon GJ-1: An interlaboratory study

In recent years, atom probe tomography (APT) has been increasingly used to study minerals, and in particular the mineral zircon. Zircon (ZrSiO 4 ) is ideally suited for geochronology by utilising the U-Th-Pb isotope systems, and trace element compositions are also widely used to constrain petrogenetic processes. However, while standard geoanalytical techniques provide information at micron scale lengths, the unique combination of chemical/isotopic sensitivity and spatial resolution of APT allows compositional and textural measurements at the nanoscale. This round robin study aims to define the reproducibility of APT data across research facilities and assess the role of different aspects of the atom probe workflow on reproducibility. This is essential to allow correct evaluation of APT results and full utilization of this emerging technique within the geoscience community. In this study, nine samples from the same homogemeous, GJ-1/87 zircon reference grain were sent to nine APT institutes in Europe, USA, Canada and Australia. Each institute conducted three different rounds of APT analyses: using (i) unconstrained analysis parameters, [1] pre-defined analysis parameters, and (iii) a data analysis exercise. Data such as the measured composition, acquisition parameters, or mass spectrum peak identifications, were recorded and analyzed. We observe a significant variation in the measured composition across this round robin study as well as the number of trace elements identified. These differences are thought to directly result from the user's choice of peak identification, ranging and background correction model. The type of instrument does not seem to be a critical factor. Consequently, comparison of absolute trace element data on zircon using APT between laboratories is only valid if the same workflow has been ensured.

round robin, atom probe tomography, reference zirc↗

Correlative nm-Scale Nonuniformity of Active Charge Carriers and Electrical Potential Along Both the Plane-View and Depth Directions in Group-V-Doped CdTe Thin Films: Preprint

We report nanometer-scale imaging on inhomogeneous distributions of active carrier and electrical potential in an As-doped CdTe film along both plane-view and film-depth directions. Despite Se grading, the SCM imaging does not show a clear variation of carrier concentration along the depth of the film. Instead, we observe carrier concentration variations of about 1 order of magnitude (high 1015 to low 1017/cm3) with inhomogeneous spatial regions ranging from a few hundred nm to a few ?m. This nonuniformity is distributed randomly in both the film lateral and vertical directions, independent of grain structure and GBs. We further mapped the surface potential using Kelvin probe force microscopy (KPFM). Higher potential was found on GBs, illustrating positive GB charging but not GB-specific carrier concentration. The results indicate that this suite of techniques can help identify nonuniform carrier concentration and potential fluctuations that can contribute to Voc deficits in GrV-doped CdTe devices.

CdTe thin film photovoltaics↗

Observation of multiple-muon seasonal variations in the NOνA Near Detector

The interaction of a cosmic ray particle with an element of the atmosphere results in a cascade of particles, known as extensive air showers, which can be divided into three main branches, known as the hadronic, the electromagnetic, and the muonic component. As for the latter, since muons can reach high depths underground, they are generally used to study cosmic rays at different underground depths. The dynamics of extensive air showers is directly connected to the density of the atmosphere, as it defines the probability of particles to decay or interact. As muons are mainly produced from the decay of pions and kaons, and a warmer atmosphere results in higher number of meson decays, such particles are prone to suffer a seasonality effect that is directly correlated to the yearly seasonal variations of the atmosphere, an effect that has been verified by a large number of experiments over the past six decades. In 2015 the MINOS experiment presented an anti-correlation between the effective temperature of the atmosphere and the seasonality of the muon flux for multiplicities higher than one (i.e. more than one muon track per cosmic ray event). Said anti-correlation is not yet fully understood, counting with only a qualitative hypothesis as a probable mechanism. As such, the main goals of this study are to verify the MINOS anti-correlation effect and extend the study to verify the seasonality of the effect as a function of different variables in order to improve the understanding of the phenomenon and possible corroborations with the known hypothesis. Two full years of the NO$\nu$A Near Detector, ranging from April 2015 to April 2017, were used as the dataset for the analysis. The anti-correlation between the multiple muon flux and the effective temperature of the atmosphere is confirmed by the NO$\nu$A Near Detector, being in full agreement with the results presented by the MINOS Collaboration. The seasonal effect is also broken down by different variables: i) track separation, ii) zenith angle, iii) track angular separation, and iv) multiplicity. Different regions of these variables represent different energy ranges for the detected underground muons, their hadron parents or the primary particles that originated the cosmic ray shower, being a way to verify any particular dependency with energy. The results show that there are no clear trends in any of the studied variables, except for the multiplicity, in which the intensity of the seasonal variation increases for higher multiplicities.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

The radial variation of solar flare proton anisotropies observed in deep space on Pioneers 10 and 11

The anisotropy of solar-flare protons (greater than 3 MeV) was evaluated at the time of maximum for each of 24 events measured by Pioneers 10 and 11 and was observed to decrease gradually between 1 and 4.7 AU. Since diffusive streaming is related directly to the effective diffusion coefficient parallel to the interplanetary spiral magnetic field, these observations provide a measure of the radial dependence of interplanetary diffusion parameters. Analysis of these results suggests that the spiral field increases gradually with heliocentric distance. An expression is given for the radial dependence of that field.

Mccarthy, J.↗

Pitch angle variations in magnetospheric thermal plasma - Initial observations from Dynamics Explorer-1

Initial measurements of thermal plasma outside the plasmasphere, in the plasma trough and polar cap, reveal the presence of a great variety of pitch angle distributions which are dependent on ion composition and charge state. These observations present the first successful detection of the polar wind at high altitudes in the plasma trough, and show that detached plasma regions can be field-aligned in nature.

Chappell, C. R.↗

Hydrogen Balmer alpha intensity distributions and line profiles from multiple scattering theory using realistic geocoronal models

The H Balmer alpha nightglow is investigated by using Monte Carlo models of asymmetric geocoronal atomic hydrogen distributions as input to a radiative transfer model of solar Lyman-beta radiation in the thermosphere and atmosphere. It is shown that it is essential to include multiple scattering of Lyman-beta radiation in the interpretation of Balmer alpha airglow data. Observations of diurnal variation in the Balmer alpha airglow showing slightly greater intensities in the morning relative to evening are consistent with theory. No evidence is found for anything other than a single sinusoidal diurnal variation of exobase density. Dramatic changes in effective temperature derived from the observed Balmer alpha line profiles are expected on the basis of changing illumination conditions in the thermosphere and exosphere as different regions of the sky are scanned.

Anderson, D. E., Jr.↗

Fractal distributions of stress and strength and variations of b-value

A two-dimensional planar fault zone on which the difference between stress and strength follows a fractal distribution is simulated to study the variation of the frequency-magnitude b-value under different distributions of heterogeneities and ambient stress levels. It is suggested that earthquakes occur in regions where this difference exceeds a specified value and that the size of these regions is a measure of the magnitude of the associated earthquake. A systematic variation in b-value is observed. It is found that the b-value has a positive correlation with the fractal dimension of the distribution and is inversely related to the ambient stress level. Observational data are compared with the simulation, showing that the observed b-value variation before and during earthquake sequences is a result of changes in both the ambient stress level and in the fractal dimension of the stress-strength distribution.

Huang, J.↗