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At least 1,189 records · Page 66

Divertor Plasma Detachment Control Neural Network

DivControlNN is a state-of-the-art software tool that leverages advanced machine learning techniques to predict and control divertor plasma behavior in fusion reactors. Plasma, a highly energetic and electrically charged gas, requires meticulous management to protect reactor components and maintain optimal energy production. Conventional simulation methods, although extremely detailed, typically demand extensive computational time-making them unsuitable for real-time control scenarios. DivControlNN addresses this challenge by learning from tens of thousands of high-fidelity simulations, thereby creating a rapid surrogate model that can deliver near-instantaneous predictions. At the core of its functionality is a sophisticated technique known as latent space mapping, which condenses complex, high-dimensional plasma data into a compact, lower-dimensional representation. This streamlined representation enables the system to quickly forecast essential plasma properties and determine the precise conditions required for effective detachment. Detachment is a crucial process in which the plasma is cooled before reaching the divertor plates, thereby reducing heat loads and mitigating material erosion. In recent experiments conducted on the KSTAR tokamak in South Korea, DivControlNN successfully guided the detachment process without any fine-tuning-even when applied to a new tungsten divertor configuration. By achieving a computational speed-up of over one hundred million times compared to traditional simulation methods while maintaining low prediction errors, DivControlNN stands to significantly enhance real-time control and diagnostic capabilities in future fusion reactors. This breakthrough paves the way for safer, more reliable reactor operation and represents a major advancement toward realizing fusion energy as a practical, sustainable, and clean power source.

Xu, Xueqiao [Lawrence Livermore National Laborator↗

MOOSE Implementation of MAMBA

The development of MAMBA is targeted at capturing both core wide CRUD induced power shifts (CIPS) as well as pin-­level CRUD induced localized corrosion (CILC). Both CIPS and CILC require some sort of information from thermal-­hydraulic, neutronics, and fuel performance codes, although the degree of coupling is different for the two effects. Since CIPS necessarily requires a core-­wide power distribution solve, it requires tight coupling with a neutronics code. Conversely, CIPS tends to be an individual pin phenomenon, requiring tight coupling a fuel performance code. As efforts are now focused on coupling MAMBA within the VERA suite, a natural separation has surfaced in which a FORTRAN rewrite of MAMBA is optimal for VERA integration to capture CIPS behavior, while a CILC focused calculation would benefit from a tight coupling with BISON, motivating a MOOSE version of MAMBA.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Deploy threading in Nalu solver stack

The goal of the ExaWind project is to enable predictive simulations of wind farms composed of many MW-scale turbines situated in complex terrain. Predictive simulations will require computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations for which the mesh resolves the geometry of the turbines, and captures the rotation and large deflections of blades. Whereas such simulations for a single turbine are arguably petascale class, multi-turbine wind farm simulations will require exascale-class resources. The primary code in the ExaWind project is Nalu, which is an unstructured-grid solver for the acousticallyincompressible Navier-Stokes equations, and mass continuity is maintained through pressure projection. The model consists of the mass-continuity Poisson-type equation for pressure and a momentum equation for the velocity. For such modeling approaches, simulation times are dominated by linear-system setup and solution for the continuity and momentum systems. For the ExaWind challenge problem, the moving meshes greatly affect overall solver costs as re-initialization of matrices and re-computation of preconditioners is required at every time step In this Milestone, we examine the effect of threading on the solver stack performance against flat-MPI results obtained from previous milestones using Haswell performance data full-turbine simulations. Whereas the momentum equations are solved only with the Trilinos solvers, we investigate two algebraic-multigrid preconditioners for the continuity equations: Trilinos/Muelu and HYPRE/BoomerAMG. These two packages embody smoothed-aggregation and classical Ruge-Stiiben AMG methods, respectively. In our FY18 Q2 report, we described our efforts to improve setup and solve of the continuity equations under flat-MPI parallelism. While significant improvement was demonstrated in the solve phase, setup times remained larger than expected. Starting with the optimized settings described in the Q2 report, we explore here simulation performance where OpenMP threading is employed in the solver stack. For Trilinos, threading is acheived through the Kokkos abstraction where, whereas HYPRE/BoomerAMG employs straight OpenMP. We examined results for our mid-resolution baseline turbine simulation configuration (229M DOF). Simulations on 2048 Haswell cores explored the effect of decreasing the number of MPI ranks while increasing the number of threads. Both HYPRE and Trilinos exhibited similar overal solution times, and both showed dramatic increases in simulation time in the shift from MPI ranks to OpenMP threads. This increase is attributed to the large amount of work per MPI rank starting at the single-thread configuration. Decreasing MPI ranks, while increasing threads, may be increasing simulation time due to thread synchronization and start-up overhead contributing to the latency and serial time in the model. These result showed that an MPI+OpenMP parallel decomposition will be more effective as the amount per MPI rank computation per MPI rank decreases and the communication latency increases. This idea was demonstrated in a strong scaling study of our low-resolution baseline model (29M DOF) with the Trilinos-HYPRE configuration. While MPI-only results showed scaling improvement out to about 1536 cores, engaging threading carried scaling improvements out to 4128 cores — roughly 7000 DOF per core. This is an important result as improved strong scaling is needed for simulations to be executed over sufficiently long simulated durations (i.e., for many timesteps). In addition to threading work described above, the team examined solver-performance improvements by exploring communication-overhead in the HYPRE-GMRES implementation through a communicationoptimal- GMRE algorithm (CO-GMRES), and offloading compute-intensive solver actions to GPUs. To those ends, a HYPRE mini-app was allow us to easily test different solver approaches and HYPRE parameter settings without running the entire Nalu code. With GPU acceleration on the Summitdev supercomputer, a 20x speedup was achieved for the overall preconditioner and solver execution time for the mini-app. A study on Haswell processors showed that CO-GMRES provides benefits as one increases MPI ranks.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Eddy Current Flow Meter Measurements and Modeling Validation

The goal of the eddy current flow meter (ECFM) is to monitor velocities and temperatures of conductive liquid metals. The ECFM can also detect voids in two-phase liquid metal flows. Measurement of these flows can greatly improve the accuracy of the empirical formulas used for fluid dynamics near the reactor core and aid in mapping any non-uniformities in fluid flow such as estimates of temperature and phase. While the eventual goal is to develop the ECFM for the liquid sodium surrounding the Versatile Test Reactor (VTR) core, this report focuses on modeling and experimental validation of ECFM for a moving solid test rod and for liquid mercury in the Target Test Facility (TTF) flow loop to better understand and further develop ECFM measurement capabilities by validating model predictions with benchmark experiments. Eventually the models could be used to design and optimize future ECFMs for specific applications such as monitoring flow within the VTR pool.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Manufacturing Full-Scale High Gradient Copper Accelerators: Electron Beam Welding and Allied Processes

This DOE ARDAP-funded study examines the technical and business feasibility of manufacturing high-gradient normal conducting RF (NCRF) copper accelerating structures using electron beam welding (EBW) instead of conventional high-temperature brazing. The core motivation is material performance: brazing softens copper significantly, while hard copper alloys have demonstrated ~75% higher operational gradients in SLAC tests, making cold-joining techniques highly attractive. EBW, applied to split-cell (half or quadrant) structure designs, preserves copper hardness away from the weld joint and simplifies machining — but industrial process optimization remains immature and a substantial learning curve is expected. The business case was modeled for two scenarios: a greenfield EBW linac company (> $10M upfront costs, viable above ~30 units/year) and an EBW division added to an existing accelerator firm to reduce risk and upfront costs, at the expense of being less optimal structure for the higher volume production. The study concludes that without a significant increase in demand, private investment alone cannot sustain this capability, and recommends federal support through R&D grants, procurement incentives, and CAPEX cost-sharing to incubate domestic EBW-NCRF manufacturing — with the existing-company model.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Complete Performance Comparison Between the Optimized Image Construction Algorithm (U-MBIR) and the Existing Reconstruction Algorithm for Detecting Defects and Damage in Concrete

Reinforced concrete (RC) is a composite material subjected to mechanical, thermal, and chemical loads throughout its service life. Because of these external stressors and the susceptibility of RC structural members to shrinkage and microcracking, the material degrades throughout its life cycle. This deterioration can lead to a decrease in member capacity and, ultimately, poses a threat to the structural integrity. Thus, it is crucial that the damage caused by aging and degradation be monitored and assessed at regular intervals throughout the material’s service life. Since coring of the material is typically not feasible for in-service structural systems, non-destructive evaluation (NDE) methodologies are used to assess remaining structural capacity. NDE methods enable surface and subsurface examination without damaging or degrading the medium. Moreover, RC is a critical component of nuclear power plants; thus, its safety and reliability must be thoroughly examined throughout the life cycle of the structural system. Ultrasonic measurements have been an industry standard for both surface and subsurface inspections. To this end, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) has researched and developed advanced image reconstruction algorithms to capture internal damage. The results and discussion presented herein summarize the current state of the ultrasonic model–based iterative reconstruction (U-MBIR) algorithm developed at ORNL. More specifically, this report presents a comparison between reconstruction images produced via a widely employed ultrasonic NDE technique—the synthetic aperture focusing technique (SAFT)—and the ORNL-developed U-MBIR algorithm. These NDE methodologies are demonstrated using ultrasonic data collected from four concrete specimens. Overall, the U-MBIR algorithm eliminates artifacts and noise that are typically present within the SAFT reconstructions, and it shows defects and anomalies more clearly than the SAFT images. In conclusion, this algorithm is suitable for identifying concrete defects, although more improvements and optimization could be done to better define internal defects.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Engineering of large-pore lipid-coated mesoporous silica nanoparticles for dual cargo delivery to cancer cells

Lipid-coated mesoporous silica nanoparticles (LC-MSNs) have recently emerged as a next-generation cargo delivery nanosystem combining the unique attributes of both the organic and inorganic components. The high surface area biodegradable inorganic mesoporous silica core can accommodate multiple classes of bio-relevant cargos in large amounts, while the supported lipid bilayer coating retains the cargo and increases the stability of the nanocarrier in bio-relevant media which should promote greater bio-accumulation of LC-MSNs in cancer sites. In this paper, we report on the optimization of various sol–gel synthesis (pH, stirring speed) and post-synthesis (hydrothermal treatment) procedures to enlarge the MSN pore size and tune the surface chemistry so as to enable loading and delivery of large biomolecules. Finally, the proof of concept of the dual cargo-loaded nanocarrier has been demonstrated in immortalized cervical cancer HeLa cells using MSNs of various fine-tuned pore sizes.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Crystal structure of aminopentamide hydrogen sulfate, (C 19 H 25 N 2 O)(HSO 4 )

The crystal structure of aminopentamide hydrogen sulfate has been solved and refined using synchrotron X-ray powder diffraction data, and optimized using density functional techniques. Aminopentamide hydrogen sulfate crystallizes in space group P2 1 /c (#14) with a = 17.62255(14), b = 6.35534(4), c = 17.82499(10) Å, β = 96.4005(6)°, V = 1983.906(14) Å 3 , and Z = 4. The structure consists of layers parallel to the bc-plane with hydrogen sulfate anions at the core and aminopentamide cations on the outside. There is a strong charge-assisted O49–H53∙∙∙O52 hydrogen bond between the hydrogen sulfate anions. This hydrogen bond links the anions in a chain parallel to the b-axis. The cation forms a discrete N–H∙∙∙O hydrogen bond to the anion. The amide group also forms two weaker discrete hydrogen bonds to the anion. The three N–H∙∙∙O hydrogen bonds link the cations and anions into columns parallel to the b-axis. This commercial material from USP contained an unidentified impurity, the powder pattern of which could be indexed on a monoclinic unit cell. The powder pattern has been submitted to ICDD for inclusion in the Powder Diffraction File™ (PDF®).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Assessing Substitution Effects on Surface Chemistry by in Situ Ambient Pressure X-ray Photoelectron Spectroscopy on Perovskite Thin Films, BaCe x Zr 0.9– x Y 0.1 O 2.95 ( x = 0; 0.2; 0.9)

Performance of proton-solid oxide fuel cells (H+-SOFC) is governed by ion transport through solid/gas interfaces. Major breakthroughs are then intrinsically linked to a detailed understanding of how parameters tailoring bulk proton conductivity affect surface chemistry in situ, at an early stage. In this work, we studied proton and oxygen transport at the interface between H+-SOFC electrolyte BaCexZr0.9–xY0.1O2.95 (x = 0; 0.2; 0.9) thin films and the gas (100 mTorr of H2O and O2) by using synchrotron-based ambient pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy at operating temperature (>400 °C). We developed highly textured BaCexZr0.9–xY0.1O2.95 epitaxial thin films, which exhibit high level of in-plane proton conductivity, that is, up to 0.08 S cm–1 at 500 °C for x = 0.9. Upon applying 100 mTorr water partial pressure above 300 °C, major changes are observed only in the O 1s and Y 3d core level spectra, with a clear Zr/Ce ratio dependency. OH– formation is favored by Ce content while initiated near Y. Hydration is also associated with surface secondary phase growth comprising oxygen-under-coordinated yttrium and/or yttrium hydroxide. With BaCe0.2Zr0.7Y0.1O2.95, high levels of ionic conductivities and chemical stability are obtained as a result of the optimized surface reaction kinetics, with low activation energy barrier for proton transport while restraining formation of OH–/SO42– adsorb species.

bio-inspired, energy storage (including batteries ↗

Integrated edge-to-exascale workflow for real-time steering in neutron scattering experiments

We introduce a computational framework that integrates artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and high-performance computing to enable real-time steering of neutron scattering experiments using an edge-to-exascale workflow. Focusing on time-of-flight neutron event data at the Spallation Neutron Source, our approach combines temporal processing of four-dimensional neutron event data with predictive modeling for multidimensional crystallography. At the core of this workflow is the Temporal Fusion Transformer model, which provides voxel-level precision in predicting 3D neutron scattering patterns. The system incorporates edge computing for rapid data preprocessing and exascale computing via the Frontier supercomputer for large-scale AI model training, enabling adaptive, data-driven decisions during experiments. This framework optimizes neutron beam time, improves experimental accuracy, and lays the foundation for automation in neutron scattering. Although real-time experiment steering is still in the proof-of-concept stage, the demonstrated potential of this system offers a substantial reduction in data processing time from hours to minutes via distributed training, and significant improvements in model accuracy, setting the stage for widespread adoption across neutron scattering facilities and more efficient exploration of complex material systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Spatial core-edge coupling of the particle-in-cell gyrokinetic codes GEM and XGC

Two existing particle-in-cell gyrokinetic codes, GEM for the core region and XGC for the edge region, have been successfully coupled with a spatial coupling scheme at the interface in a toroidal geometry. Additionally, a mapping technique is developed for transferring data between GEM's structured and XGC's unstructured meshes. Two examples of coupled simulations are presented to demonstrate the coupling scheme. The optimization of GEM for graphics processing unit is also presented.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Electrolytic Oxide Reduction of Plutonium Oxide Surrogates

Our research team has investigated electrolytic oxide reduction (EOR) as an improved metal production process versus the currently employed multiple cycle direct oxide reduction (MCDOR) process for the conversion of plutonium oxide to plutonium metal. Inherent advantages in safety, waste generation, efficiency, and operational ease make EOR an attractive alternative to traditional metal production practices. Phase I of the project consisted of the construction of a prototype electrochemical cell, and proof of concept experiments towards the reduction of SnO 2 and CeO 2 compounds. Phase II of the project was focused on the optimization of the cerium system in preparation for future plutonium EOR experiments. We observed the electrolytic reduction of cerium oxide resulting in mixed degrees of success, and discovered this was a result of parasitic side reactions and partial reduction. We employed cyclic voltammetry (CV) to identify the products of these side reactions and characterize partially reduced species. We also observed that, when metal was successfully produced by EOR, a large amount of passed charge was required. We concluded that this observation was due to several inefficiencies of the process relating to the reduction mechanism (e.g. inefficient use of cathodically produced calcium). We used our CV results to guide our optimization of the EOR of CeO 2 by refining our electrochemical method, cell geometry, and materials of construction. Finally, we developed a next generation cell, worked to establish a new molten salt electrochemical capability in the Plutonium Facility, and completed a strategy for plutonium experiments. Our electrochemical method to produce plutonium metal clearly supports the core mission of the laboratory. Furthermore, this project has allowed for the development of capabilities that will provide valuable data to programs interested in characterization and detection, as well as science of signatures. Additionally, establishing this capability in the plutonium facility will facilitate future safeguard studies that can assist with safeguard development in molten salt reprocessing flowsheets, and molten salt reactor designs.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Updated status of the ART neutronic fast reactor tools integration to the NEAMS Workbench

The Workbench initiative was launched in FY-2017 within the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) Integration Product Line to facilitate the transition from conventional tools to high-fidelity tools. The Workbench provides a common user interface for model creation, real-time validation, execution, output processing, and visualization for integrated codes. The integration of the Argonne Reactor Computation (ARC) suite of codes into the NEAMS Workbench was initiated in FY-2017. The ARC codes contain both legacy codes like DIF3D and REBUS-3 that were developed with over 30 years of experience, and newer NEAMS additions like MC 2 -3 and PERSENT. The ARC integration into the NEAMS Workbench interface relies on the PyARC module which handles the pre- and post-processing of the native ARC codes input, and the runtime environment. The PyARC module together with the NEAMS Workbench interface are both released under Open Source Software licenses. This report describes the ARC capabilities available with the Workbench at the end of FY-2018, and a tutorial is provided together with the automatically-generated code documentation. Integrating the ARC codes into the Workbench benefits directly the Advanced Reactor Technology (ART) Campaign by providing a set of controlled, maintained and validated scripts to generate ARC inputs, which promotes best practices, reduces the learning curve, and facilitates project collaboration. The second benefit from this project is to improve the user experience with the ARC codes: the Workbench interface provides assistance for building an input through auto-completion, real-time validation, access to templates, and visualization. Finally, the ARC integration into the NEAMS Workbench enables new modeling capabilities, those will be extremely useful for advanced reactor design and analyses. The PyARC module facilitates and automatizes complex calculations and workflows for reactor analysis enabling geometrical perturbations, cross-section update through depletion, etc. The Dakota/PyARC coupling in the Workbench was also demonstrated to enable mathematical optimization and sensitivity analysis/uncertainty quantification (SA/UQ) techniques with ARC neutronic simulations. For demonstration purposes, the ARC codes were used through the Workbench for solving the Sodium-cooled Fast Reactor Uncertainty Analysis in Modelling (SFR-UAM) benchmark problems. The ARC codes are currently used at ANL through the Workbench by nuclear engineers for SFR core design analyses. Future efforts will focus on continuously adding modeling capabilities available with the ARC codes, training new users to continue building some experience, and on integrating high-fidelity codes such as PROTEUS into the Workbench.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Tactical Analysis for Calculating Contextual Risk at Boundaries: Summary of Laboratory Directed Research & Development Effort

The Tactical Analysis for Calculating Contextual Risk at Boundaries (TACCRAB) tool is an innovative digital twin (DT) platform and automated risk algorithm designed to transform operational decision-making in structured screening environments, with an initial focus on Southern Border Land Ports of Entry (POEs). The invention provides integration points for advanced artificial intelligence, predictive modeling, and real-time data analysis to produce a comprehensive risk management tool that enables proactive, data-informed security strategies. The core inventive features of TACCRAB center on its unique risk algorithm, which dynamically calculates contextual risk by synthesizing historical data, near real-time streaming data from the checkpoints themselves, and AI-generated predictions. Unlike traditional risk assessment methods, TACCRAB utilizes a DT to provide comprehensive operational insights, allowing stakeholders to visualize, simulate, and optimize checkpoint configurations with unprecedented speed and contextual awareness. TACCRAB's key innovation lies in its ability to combine multiple complex inputs - including technology detection probabilities, resource availability, screening pathway characteristics, and threat actor behavioral patterns - into a unified risk calculation and update these inputs based on changing operational and environmental conditions. By leveraging a DT that continuously updates and learns from linked data, TACCRAB can suggest adaptive mitigation strategies that minimize risk while maintaining operational efficiency. Particularly novel is the platform's approach to decision support, which goes beyond static risk assessment. The DT provides dynamic metrics such as wait times, resource allocation effectiveness, and potential emerging threat scenarios, enabling users to view sophisticated, relevant what-if simulations and optimize checkpoint operations in near real-time. The system's architecture allows for generalized application across different screening environments, such as secure facilities, ports of entry, and soft targets, making it a versatile tool for security and operational management. The invention distinguishes itself through its comprehensive integration of predictive modeling, AI-driven pattern discovery, and user-friendly interface design. By combining these elements, TACCRAB transforms complex risk data into actionable insights, supporting decision-makers at various organizational levels - from booth agents making split-second screening decisions to checkpoint managers optimizing the day's resource allocation to strategic planners managing long-term investments.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Relativistic Configuration-Interaction and Perturbation Theory Calculations of the Sn XV Emission Spectrum

Recently, there has been increased interest in developing advanced bright sources for lithography. Sn ions are particularly promising due to their bright emission spectrum in the required wavelength range. Cowan’s code has been used to model the emission; however, it has adjustable parameters, which limit its predictive power, and it has limited relativistic treatment. Here, we present calculations based on ab initio relativistic configuration-interaction many-body perturbation theory (CI-MBPT), with relativistic corrections included at the Dirac-Fock level and core-polarization effects with the second-order MBPT. As a proof of principle that the theory is generally applicable to other Sn ions with proper development, we focused on one ion where direct comparison with experimental observations is possible. The theory can also be used for ions of other elements to predict emissions for optimization of plasma-based bright sources.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

An Improved Analysis of Forest Carbon Dynamics using Data Assimilation

There are two broad approaches to quantifying landscape C dynamics - by measuring changes in C stocks over time, or by measuring fluxes of C directly. However, these data may be patchy, and have gaps or biases. An alternative approach to generating C budgets has been to use process-based models, constructed to simulate the key processes involved in C exchange. However, the process of model building is arguably subjective, and parameters may be poorly defined. This paper demonstrates why data assimilation (DA) techniques - which combine stock and flux observations with a dynamic model - improve estimates of, and provide insights into, ecosystem carbon (C) exchanges. We use an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) to link a series of measurements with a simple box model of C transformations. Measurements were collected at a young ponderosa pine stand in central Oregon over a 3-year period, and include eddy flux and soil C02 efflux data, litterfall collections, stem surveys, root and soil cores, and leaf area index data. The simple C model is a mass balance model with nine unknown parameters, tracking changes in C storage among five pools; foliar, wood and fine root pools in vegetation, and also fresh litter and soil organic matter (SOM) plus coarse woody debris pools. We nested the EnKF within an optimization routine to generate estimates from the data of the unknown parameters and the five initial conditions for the pools. The efficacy of the DA process can be judged by comparing the probability distributions of estimates produced with the EnKF analysis vs. those produced with reduced data or model alone. Using the model alone, estimated net ecosystem exchange of C (NEE)= -251 f 197g Cm-2 over the 3 years, compared with an estimate of -419 f 29gCm-2 when all observations were assimilated into the model. The uncertainty on daily measurements of NEE via eddy fluxes was estimated at 0.5gCm-2 day-1, but the uncertainty on assimilated estimates averaged 0.47 g Cm-2 day-1, and only exceeded 0.5gC m-2 day-1 on days where neither eddy flux nor soil efflux data were available. In generating C budgets, the assimilation process reduced the uncertainties associated with using data or model alone and the forecasts of NEE were statistically unbiased estimates. The results of the analysis emphasize the importance of time series as constraints. Occasional, rare measurements of stocks have limited use in constraining the estimates of other components of the C cycle. Long time series are particularly crucial for improving the analysis of pools with long time constants, such as SOM, woody biomass, and woody debris. Long-running forest stem surveys, and tree ring data, offer a rich resource that could be assimilated to provide an important constraint on C cycling of slow pools. For extending estimates of NEE across regions, DA can play a further important role, by assimilating remote-sensing data into the analysis of C cycles. We show, via sensitivity analysis, how assimilating an estimate of photosynthesis - which might be provided indirectly by remotely sensed data - improves the analysis of NEE.

Williams, Mathew↗

Enabling Interoperability in Earth System Digital Twins (ESDT): Integrating Observations, Models, and AI for Actionable Insights Through NASA'S Intelligent Systems Technology Program

NASA’s Intelligent Systems Technology Program (IST) is driving a paradigm shift in Earth science through the development of Earth System Digital Twins (ESDT). These integrated information systems create a dynamic "digital replica" of the Earth by harmonizing continuous, multi-source observations with high-fidelity models and state-of-the-art artificial intelligence (AI) that enable “What now?”, “What next?”, and “What if?” scenario building. These scenarios are reflected in NASA IST’s series of ESDTs, from the Coastal Zone Digital Twin that integrates complex data on the current state of the Chesapeake Bay to the Terrestrial Environmental Rapid-Replication and Assimilation Hydrometeorological (TerraHydro) AI-based ESDT that forecasts water movement across Earth’s surface, to the Agriculture Land Information System (AgLIS) which can be used to assess optimal planting dates and crop yield estimates. By bridging the gap between vast data archives and actionable insights, these projects enable a system-of-systems approach to understanding complex, interacting Earth processes. This poster will highlight recent innovations and future directions from NASA’s ESDT initiatives: Continuous Data Assimilation & Multi-Source Fusion. A core requirement of the ESDT work is the transition from static models to dynamic "living" replicas. This involves creating frameworks for the continual assimilation of near-real-time data from uncoordinated, heterogeneous sources, including satellite observations and airborne assets, and ground-based Internet of Things (IoT) sensors. These systems link design, operational status, and environmental data, ensuring the digital twin accurately reflects the current state of the physical Earth system. High-Fidelity Hybrid Modeling & Computational Acceleration to enable interactive "what-if" explorations, programs are moving beyond traditional, slow physical solvers by developing fast surrogate machine learning models and Deep Generative Models (DGMs). These hybrid approaches use neural networks to emulate complex physics, such as cloud feedback or ocean dynamics, at a fraction of the original computing cost, often leveraging advanced hardware like Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) to achieve the necessary scale. Federated Ecosystems & Interoperable Frameworks rather than building isolated tools, NASA IST is moving toward federated ESDTs and reusable analytic collaborative frameworks. This theme focuses on interoperability standards and common ontologies that allow specialized digital twins to interact and share data. This system-of-systems architecture supports multi-discipline investigations, such as analyzing how upstream watershed changes impact downstream urban flooding or how wildfire emissions affect regional air quality. By leveraging these advancements, ESDTs empower researchers and decision-makers to conduct real-time analysis and run complex hypothetical scenarios, ultimately improving our understanding of Earth’s evolving systems and informing critical real-world applications.

Earth System↗

Creation of an Upper Stage Trajectory Capability Boundary to Enable Booster System Trade Space Exploration

The problem of trajectory optimization is important in all space missions. The solution of this problem enables one to specify the optimum thrust steering program which should be followed to achieve a specified mission objective, simultaneously satisfying the constraints.1 It is well known that whether or not the ascent trajectory is optimal can have a significant impact on propellant usage for a given payload, or on payload weight for the same gross vehicle weight.2 Consequently, ascent guidance commands are usually optimized in some fashion. Multi-stage vehicles add complexity to this analysis process as changes in vehicle properties in one stage propagate to the other stages through gear ratios and changes in the optimal trajectory. These effects can cause an increase in analysis time as more variables are added and convergence of the optimizer to system closure requires more analysis iterations. In this paper, an approach to simplifying this multi-stage problem through the creation of an upper stage capability boundary is presented. This work was completed as part of a larger study focused on trade space exploration for the advanced booster system that will eventually form a part of NASA s new Space Launch System.3 The approach developed leverages Design of Experiments and Surrogate Modeling4 techniques to create a predictive model of the SLS upper stage performance. The design of the SLS core stages is considered fixed for the purposes of this study, which results in trajectory parameters such as staging conditions being the only variables relevant to the upper stage. Through the creation of a surrogate model, which takes staging conditions as inputs and predicts the payload mass delivered by the SLS upper stage to a reference orbit as the response, it is possible to identify a "surface" of staging conditions which all satisfy the SLS requirement of placing 130 metric tons into low-Earth orbit (LEO).3 This identified surface represents the 130 metric ton capability boundary for the upper stage, such that if the combined first stage and boosters can achieve any one staging point on that surface, then the design is identified as feasible. With the surrogate model created, design and analysis of advanced booster concepts is streamlined, as optimization of the upper stage trajectory is no longer required in every design loop.

Walsh, Ptrick↗